EURUSD: Targets focus on declines to 1.1480 support levelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade within a clear Downward Channel, maintaining a strong bearish structure characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Early in the chart, the pair formed a prolonged Range Phase, signaling indecision before sellers eventually took control and pushed the price downward. After breaking below the range, EURUSD repeatedly retested the Resistance Area around 1.1550, where the market showed strong bearish reactions. Each bounce into this resistance zone resulted in a clear rejection, proving that sellers consistently defend this area. The chart also highlights multiple Breakout attempts, all of which failed to sustain upward continuation, confirming a lack of bullish strength. Additionally, the chart shows the formation of a Triangle Pattern, with price reacting between the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Despite temporary recoveries, every move upward was limited and capped by descending trendline pressure.
Currently, EURUSD broke below the minor structure support again, demonstrating that bearish momentum remains dominant. Price is now heading toward the Support Zone near 1.1480, which aligns with both horizontal demand and the Triangle Support Line. This confluence makes it a key level to watch. As long as EURUSD trades below the 1.1550 Resistance Area and stays inside the Downward Channel, the bearish structure remains intact. Any bullish recovery is likely to be corrective rather than trend-changing unless buyers manage to break above major resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to continue edging lower toward the 1.1480 Support Zone, following the recent rejection from resistance. A minor upward correction may occur, potentially retesting broken support or the Triangle Resistance Line, but such a move would likely be short-lived without strong bullish confirmation.
A confirmed breakdown below 1.1480 would open the path for deeper bearish continuation within the Downward Channel. Only a solid breakout above 1.1550, backed by strong buying pressure, would challenge the prevailing bearish trend. For now, selling the pullbacks remains the more favorable strategy while price stays below major resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Range
XAUUSD: Price Holds Triangle Support, Aiming for $4,120Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broad symmetrical triangle structure, where price continues to respect both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. After a strong bullish rally inside the Upward Channel earlier, Gold reached the Resistance Area around $4,120–$4,130, where a sharp reversal occurred. This zone has consistently acted as a major supply level, triggering multiple corrections in recent sessions. Following the breakout below the Upward Channel, XAUUSD entered a consolidation phase supported by the Support Zone near $4,000, which aligns with the lower triangle boundary. This level has proven to be a key reaction zone, showing strong buyer interest each time price tested it.
Currently, Gold attempted another bullish push after bouncing from the Triangle Support Line. Price is now approaching the Resistance Area once again, but buyers face strong selling pressure around $4,080–$4,120, which overlaps with both horizontal resistance and the descending triangle boundary. A break and close above the Triangle Resistance Line would confirm bullish continuation and likely lead to a retest of higher liquidity levels near $4,180–$4,200. As long as XAUUSD stays above the $4,000 Support Zone, the broader structure remains bullish. However, sustained failure to break the resistance area may result in another corrective move back toward the Triangle Support Line.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, as long as Gold holds above $4,000, the bullish bias remains intact.
My near-term target (TP1) is the $4,120 Resistance Area, with potential extension toward $4,160–$4,200 if buyers manage a clean breakout above the triangle resistance. I will look for long entries on pullbacks toward the Triangle Support Line or the Support Zone around $4,000–$4,020, especially if bullish rejection patterns appear.
If XAUUSD breaks below the $4,000 level, the bullish setup becomes invalid and deeper correction toward $3,960–$3,920 may follow. For now, price action favors a bullish continuation setup, provided support continues to hold.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Weakens at Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1480 ExpectedHello traders! Let’s break down the current EURUSD structure. EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending channel, where both the resistance and support lines have been respected multiple times, forming a steady sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Each touch of the upper boundary resulted in a clear Turned Around reaction, confirming the strength of seller control within the overall bearish trend. Earlier, the pair entered a range phase in the left section of the chart, where price consolidated before breaking to the downside. This breakout accelerated bearish momentum, pushing EURUSD toward the lower half of the channel. Subsequent attempts at recovery formed shallow corrections, each aligning with the mid-channel dashed trendline, signaling persistent downward pressure. Recently, price approached the Buyer Zone near the 1.1480–1.1500 region, which also overlaps with the broader Support Level and the lower boundary of the descending channel. This area has previously acted as a strong reaction zone, and buyers are once again attempting to hold this level. At the moment, the EURUSD pair is showing early signs of a potential corrective rebound, with the price aiming for the nearest resistance level around 1.1540, which also coincides with the seller's zone. This region previously acted as support, and is now expected to serve as a barrier for a retest. As long as the pair remains below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. A short-term correction to the level around 1.1540 is likely if buyers continue to defend the support level. However, a deviation from the resistance cluster could trigger renewed selling pressure, potentially sending EURUSD back to the channel bottom for another reaction. In my opinion, the price will move towards TP1 with a target of 1.14800. A confirmed break above the descending resistance line would be the first sign of a possible bullish shift, opening the door for a stronger recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
BTCUSD Short: Descending Channel Targets $89,000 Demand ZoneHello traders! BTCUSD continues to trade within a clear descending channel, maintaining a strong bearish structure characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. The price action repeatedly respected the channel boundaries, confirming solid seller control throughout the recent decline. Each time Bitcoin reached the upper boundary of the channel, it formed a pivot point, initiating another downward wave. Before the latest drop, BTCUSD spent some time moving sideways inside a Range Zone, showing temporary accumulation before sellers regained dominance. The bearish continuation led to another pivot formation near the channel’s resistance, triggering a fresh leg to the downside.
Currently, price has now approached the $89,000 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This level has acted as a significant reaction point, generating short-term bounces in previous price swings. The current positioning suggests that buyers may once again attempt to defend this zone. While below the $96,000 Supply Zone and the channel resistance, the broader trend remains bearish. BTCUSD is likely to experience a short-term corrective rebound from the demand area, aiming toward the $92,000–$93,500 region — a previous reaction cluster and local resistance.
My scenario is targeting the $89,000 level. However, if Bitcoin breaks below the $89,000 Demand Zone, it may trigger a deeper bearish continuation toward the lower liquidity areas around $88,000 or even lower. A confirmed breakout above $96,000 would be required to invalidate the bearish structure and signal a potential shift in momentum. For now, BTCUSD remains bearish, with a potential short-term correction from demand before further direction becomes clearer. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: Bearish Momentum Aiming for New LowsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSD continues to follow a strong bearish market structure, consistently moving inside a well-defined Downward Channel. The chart clearly shows that after a prolonged consolidation phase inside the large Range, Bitcoin attempted both a fake breakout to the downside and a bullish breakout above the upper boundary — but neither attempt resulted in a sustained trend shift. This indicates that buyers lacked the strength to reverse the broader trend. Once price broke down from the range, BTCUSD established a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows, forming two consecutive downward channels. Each retest of the channel’s upper boundary resulted in a strong bearish rejection, confirming heavy selling pressure at every corrective move upward.
Currently, the recent breakout below the minor support line inside the second downward channel once again demonstrates that sellers remain fully in control. Price is currently trading just above the major Support Zone around $90,400–$91,000, which has acted as a short-term demand area. However, the repeated bearish impulses and weak buyer reactions suggest decreasing bullish interest at these levels. BTCUSD is now hovering around support but forming a continuation pattern that leans toward further decline. Failure to break above the $96,000 Resistance Zone, aligned with previous structure and the former trendline, reinforces the bearish outlook.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect that Bitcoin will likely attempt a minor corrective push to retest the broken support or the lower boundary of the channel — but any such move is expected to be short-lived unless strong buying pressure appears. After this corrective phase, BTCUSD may continue its decline toward the lower part of the channel and deeper support areas.
A confirmed breakdown below the current Support Zone ($90,400–$91,000) would strengthen the bearish scenario and open the path toward the next downside targets. Only a strong breakout above $96,000 — with clear bullish confirmation — would weaken the bearish bias and signal that buyers are stepping back into the market. For now, short positions remain more favorable, especially after corrective pullbacks into resistance zones within the downward channel structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold Analysis: Buyers vs Sellers Near Critical LevelsHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD is currently trading within a broad corrective structure, moving between a well-defined Resistance Level near $4,100 and a strong Support Level around $4,030. Throughout the recent sessions, Gold has repeatedly reacted to these two key zones, forming clear ranges and turnarounds visible on the chart. Earlier, price created a large Range Phase, followed by a sharp rejection from the upper boundary of the descending Resistance Line, confirming continued selling pressure from higher levels. The repeated “Turned Around” reactions along this trendline show that sellers remain active every time price approaches the upper trend boundary. After breaking below the Seller Zone around $4,100, Gold retraced into the lower structure and entered the Buyer Zone, which aligns with both horizontal support and the ascending Support Line of the current bullish correction. This confluence makes the $4,030–$4,050 region a major demand area. Recently, XAUUSD bounced strongly from the Support Line, but the recovery stalled at the Seller Zone, where price is now showing signs of rejection once again. This confirms the zone as a significant barrier for buyers. A rejection from this level may trigger another downward movement toward the Support Level around $4,030, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. As long as Gold trades below the descending Resistance Line and the $4,100–$4,110 area, the market retains a bearish-to-neutral tone. Only a clean breakout above this zone would signal a shift toward a stronger bullish phase and open the path to higher resistance levels. As long as XAUUSD remains below the $4,100 Resistance Level, sellers retain the advantage. I expect price to potentially reject the Seller Zone and move back toward the $4,050–$4,030 Support Level. A rejection from resistance sends price down toward $4,030, where buyers may attempt another defense. Break below this level opens the door for deeper correction. Overall, the market currently favors selling pullbacks into resistance, while the Support Line remains the key area for defending bullish structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPCAD – Triple Tap Trouble!GBPCAD has been trading within a well-defined range, with price rejecting the 1.8850 resistance zone multiple times in the past.
Each test of this area has led to strong bearish moves, highlighting its significance as a supply zone.
Here’s what the chart shows:
🔴 Resistance Zone: Price is approaching the upper bound of the range, where sellers have consistently stepped in.
🔵 Support Zone: The 1.8300 area remains a solid demand zone, holding price higher on several occasions.
📈 Rising Channel: The latest bullish leg is developing inside an ascending channel, but momentum is slowing near resistance.
⚠️ Short Opportunity: As long as price trades below the resistance, the area remains attractive for short setups targeting the mid-range or lower bound.
Confirmation with bearish candlestick patterns will strengthen the case for a downside move.
📌 Will GBP/CAD respect its range and roll over once again, or will the bulls finally break through?
This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk properly before taking trades.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD Short: Price Sliding Back Toward 1.1540 SupportHello traders! EURUSD continues to move within a broader bearish trend structure, consistently respecting the descending Trend Line that has acted as a dynamic resistance for several weeks. Each retest of this line has resulted in strong bearish reactions, confirming persistent seller dominance. Throughout the decline, the market formed several pivot points and repeated breakouts, showing how price reacts to key liquidity areas. A notable pattern on the chart is the Rounding Top, which formed near the mid-trend zone and signaled an early shift from bullish correction to renewed bearish pressure. After completing this pattern, EURUSD dropped sharply, breaking down through support and heading toward the demand area. Recently, price attempted a breakout above the descending Trend Line but created a Fake Breakout, indicating that buyers were unable to hold gains above resistance. This rejection occurred inside the Supply Zone around 1.1620, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the trend line once again, showing weakening bullish attempts and maintaining the overall downward trajectory. Price is slowly drifting toward the Demand Zone at 1.15400, which has previously served as a strong reaction area.
My scenario if EURUSD fails to break the descending Trend Line and stays below the Supply Zone, the pair is likely to continue moving lower toward the 1.15400 Demand Zone. This area is the next major support and the most probable target for sellers. However, if buyers defend the current levels and push price back toward resistance, a short-term correction toward the trend line may occur before another bearish impulse. A confirmed break below 1.15400 would open the way for further downside continuation, in line with the broader bearish structure. For now, the bias remains bearish while price trades under the Trend Line and below 1.1620. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Sellers Target Move Toward 1.1550 Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is currently reacting within a broader corrective structure after failing to break above the major Resistance Area around 1.16500. This zone has repeatedly acted as a strong supply region, where price formed multiple rejection points and false breakouts. Each attempt to move higher was stopped by the descending Resistance Line, confirming continued bearish pressure. Earlier, EURUSD moved inside a wide Range Phase, followed by a breakout that initiated an upward correction inside an Upward Channel. However, bullish momentum weakened once price reached the upper boundary of the channel and the major resistance area. This led to a strong reversal and a bearish breakout below channel support.
Currently, EURUSD is climbing again toward the same Resistance Area near 1.16500, but the structure suggests the move is likely a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal. Price is approaching the intersection of the Resistance Line and the Resistance Zone, creating a confluence area where sellers are expected to regain control.As long as the market trades below this resistance cluster, the overall trend remains bearish. A rejection from the 1.16500 level could trigger a decline toward the Support Zone at 1.15550, which previously acted as a key demand region.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to complete its pullback soon and resume the bearish trend once price reaches the 1.16500 Resistance Area. This zone remains the strongest supply region in the current structure. Potential short entries become valid once bearish confirmation appears near 1.16500, with the primary target at the 1.15550 Support Zone (TP1).
A clean breakdown below 1.15550 would signal continuation of the downtrend.
Alternatively, if EURUSD successfully breaks above 1.16500 and stays above the descending resistance line, bullish momentum may develop — but for now, this scenario remains secondary. Market bias stays bearish as long as price trades below resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
NFP is Back! Here's how to map out your playbook with statsHOW TO USE NFP RANGE STATS TO PREPARE YOUR PLAYBOOK
There has not been a Non-Farm Payroll release since Friday 5 September 2025 . Due to the government shutdown the September report that was originally set for Friday 3 October was postponed. It will finally be released on Thursday 20 November - a 48 day delay. With uncertainty around the labour data higher than usual it helps to know what “normal” looks like for ES S&P Futures. The table shows historical ranges after the 08:30 ET release on a 30-minute chart: 1 bar (30mins), 2 bars (60mins) 3 bars (90mins), 4 bars (2hrs), 8 bars (4hrs) and 15 bars (up to ~16:00 ET). The stats are based on the last 21 NFP releases (approx 2-years).
👉 If you think this would be useful as a script you can run yourself let me know (boost and drop a comment) and if there's enough interest I'll see if I can publish something.
WHAT THE COLUMNS MEAN
Avg - the typical move for that window based on past NFPs
StdDev - the variability around that average
Avg + 1 StdDev and Avg - 1 StdDev - quick upper and lower guardrails for a “normal” day
Min / Max - historical extremes in the sample
WAYS TO USE IT
1) Set guardrails for price discovery
Use Avg + 1 StdDev as a first “stretch” expectation for the window you trade. If price pushes beyond that level early you know we are outside normal and can adapt position size and expectations.
2) Pre-plan targets and emergency exits
Before 08:30 ET map a base scenario. Example for ES: if the 30m Avg post-release is X then a first take-profit can sit near X and a stretch target near Avg + 1 StdDev . Place an emergency stop beyond the Avg - 1 StdDev line if fading the first move.
3) Size positions to volatility
Translate the Avg 30m range into ticks or points and size so that a typical NFP bar does not exceed your defined risk. If your stats say the first 30m averages 9 points on ES do not run a size that cannot survive a 9-12 point swing.
4) Choose a playbook by window
1 bar (30m) - breakout or first-reaction mean-reversion
2-4 bars (60-120m) - continuation or reversal probabilities stabilise around the Avg envelope
8-15 bars - when the full session range is already at or beyond Avg + 1 StdDev be cautious chasing late moves
With the report 48 days late the probability of surprise is elevated. Go into the print with your ranges pre-mapped and your position sizing tied to those Avg and Avg ± StdDev bands. Clarity beats adrenaline.
👉 REMINDER:
If you think this would be useful as a script you can run yourself let me know (boost and drop a comment) and if there's enough interest I'll see if I can publish something.
XAUUSD: Bullish Rebound Setup as Price Holds Above Wedge SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure after rebounding from the key Wedge Support Line, which continues to act as a major dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. The chart shows that Gold previously formed a broad Range at the top, followed by a sharp rejection from the Resistance Area near $4,170–$4,200, where strong sellers stepped in. This zone remains the primary supply region and aligns closely with the Wedge Resistance Line, creating a strong confluence barrier. After the rejection, price moved back into a correction phase, retesting both the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,070 and the ascending wedge structure. Notably, the recent bullish reaction inside this zone indicates that buyers are still defending this area effectively. Multiple breakouts and a prior fake breakout highlight that sellers are struggling to maintain downward momentum, while buyers continue to accumulate at lower levels.
Currently, XAUUSD is stabilizing just above the Support Zone, forming early signs of a potential upward continuation. As long as the price respects the wedge support and holds above $4,070, the bullish structure remains intact. The market behavior suggests increasing buyer interest, especially during retests of lower support.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect Gold to continue its upward movement from the current support area and retest the $4,170–$4,200 Resistance Zone once again. This level will be the next major decision point; a successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward higher highs and potentially signal a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
However, if XAUUSD breaks below the Wedge Support Line, the bullish outlook would weaken, and the price could revisit deeper support levels before buyers attempt another recovery. For now, bullish continuation remains the most probable scenario as long as the support structure holds. Pullback-based long entries remain the best approach while price continues to trade above the key support zone and upward trendline.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD Rebounds From Channel Support — Targeting $93K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, where price has repeatedly respected both the resistance and support lines. Every touch of the upper boundary resulted in a Turned Around reaction, confirming strong seller dominance throughout the downtrend. After breaking below a key local support, BTCUSD shifted into a deeper bearish phase and moved toward the broader Support Zone beneath $90,000. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and has acted as a strong reaction area in previous price swings. Recently, price reached the channel’s support line, where buyers stepped in and formed an early rebound attempt. BTCUSD is now showing signs of a potential short-term correction, with price aiming toward the nearest resistance cluster at $93,000–$96,000, which also represents the mid-channel region and a key retest zone. As long as Bitcoin stays below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. However, a corrective move toward TP1 near $93,000 is likely if the current support continues to hold. A rejection from the resistance area could send the price back toward the channel bottom for another test. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance line would be the first signal of a potential shift in momentum and could open the way for a stronger recovery. Until then, BTCUSD remains in a bearish structure with a possible short-term bullish pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Rejected From Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1560 in PlayHello traders! Let’s analyze the current EURUSD market structure. EURUSD continues to move within a broad descending channel, where both the Resistance Line and the Support Line have been respected multiple times, confirming a well-defined bearish market structure. Throughout the past sessions, price formed several Range phases near key levels, followed by Breakouts that maintained the overall downward momentum. Recently, EURUSD approached the upper boundary of the channel and reacted strongly from the major Resistance Level near 1.16600, which overlaps with the Seller Zone. This area has triggered multiple Turned Around movements in the past, reinforcing its importance as a supply region where sellers consistently regain control. After rejecting this resistance, price started a downward move toward the mid-range structure. The pair is now approaching the Buyer Zone around 1.15500–1.15600, which aligns with both the local support area and previous Range accumulation. This zone has historically served as a strong reaction level, where short-term bullish corrections often began. As long as EURUSD remains below the descending channel’s resistance and fails to break above the Seller Zone, the bearish structure remains intact. A continuation toward TP1: 1.15600 is the most likely scenario in the short term, especially if sellers maintain momentum below the 1.16200 area. A clean break below the Buyer Zone could open the door for a deeper decline toward the Support Line at the bottom of the channel. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.16600 Resistance Level would invalidate the current bearish view and potentially shift the trend toward recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD Long: Short-Term Correction Eyes $97,500 ResistanceHello traders! BTCUSD continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a broader bearish structure while forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. Throughout the move, the price has created multiple pivot points along both the upper and lower channel boundaries, confirming the strength of this trend. Inside the channel, Bitcoin developed two notable range phases, each reflecting temporary consolidation before continuing downward. A key formation on the chart is the Rounding Top Pattern, which developed near the mid-channel area. This structure signaled weakening bullish pressure and preceded a sharp decline back toward the channel’s lower boundary. After the breakdown, BTC attempted a small recovery, but price failed at the Supply Zone, creating a rejection that aligned with a bearish breakout confirmation.
Currently, the price is approaching the $97,500 short-term target, which sits close to the lower edge of the Supply Zone. This level has acted as a significant reaction area several times, and the market may retest it before deciding the next direction. As long as BTC trades within the descending channel, the broader trend remains bearish, but short-term corrective moves to the upside are possible due to the strong reaction from demand.
My scenario as long as BTCUSD holds above the Demand Zone ($94,000–$94,500) and shows continued strength, a corrective move toward $97,500 remains likely. This level represents the nearest resistance and aligns with previous supply reactions. A clean breakout above $97,500 would open the way for a deeper correction toward the channel’s mid-line or even the upper boundary. However, if price gets rejected at the supply zone again, sellers may regain control and attempt another push back toward the demand area. A confirmed break below the Demand Zone would invalidate the bullish recovery setup and could trigger continuation of the broader downtrend. For now, the structure supports short-term bullish correction, but overall trend remains bearish until the descending channel is broken. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Breakout Structure Supports Move Toward 1.1650Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is showing a clear bullish shift after breaking out of multiple downward structures and reclaiming higher support levels. The chart highlights several key phases: a prolonged decline inside two consecutive Downward Channels, followed by confirmed breakouts, each signaling weakening bearish momentum. After the second downward channel breakout, EURUSD established a stable bullish structure, forming an ascending move supported by the Triangle Support Line. Price has been consistently creating higher lows along this line, indicating strong buyer presence.
Currently, EURUSD retraced back toward the Triangle Support Line after being rejected from the major Resistance Area around 1.16500. This zone has acted as a key supply region multiple times, and it also aligns with the Triangle Resistance Line, making it a significant confluence area. As long as price remains above the ascending support, the bullish structure stays intact. The overall market behavior shows healthy correction patterns followed by breakouts, suggesting that buyers remain in control, with momentum gradually building toward the upper resistance once again.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect price to rebound from the current correction zone and attempt another move toward the 1.16500 Resistance, which is the next major decision point. A successful breakout above 1.16500, followed by consolidation, would signal a bullish expansion and could open the path toward higher targets in the coming sessions.
However, if EURUSD breaks below the Triangle Support Line, the current bullish structure would weaken, and price may return to lower support areas before buyers attempt another recovery. For now, structure remains bullish, and pullback-based long entries continue to offer the best opportunity while price respects the rising support trendline.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Buyers Step In — Market Aiming for $4,140 RetestHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD maintains a bullish structure after bouncing from the key $4,050–$4,060 support zone, where price also retested the ascending trendline. After breaking out of the descending channel, Gold formed a new accumulation zone and moved higher, approaching the strong $4,140 resistance level. The price is now trading between the ascending support and the local supply zone near $4,140, forming a tightening structure. A breakout above this level could open the way for further upside, while a rejection may trigger a correction back toward $4,060. As long as XAUUSD holds above $4,060 and the ascending trendline, a renewed move toward $4,140 remains likely, with potential for a breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: Bounce from Support Zone Targets $4,280 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain a bullish market structure after successfully recovering from the Support Zone near $4,090–$4,100, where buyers stepped in to defend a key demand area. Following a fake breakout to the downside in late October, price regained momentum and established a new Upward Channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows — a strong sign of renewed buying pressure.
Currently, gold has already completed two major breakout phases, first reclaiming the support range and then extending toward the mid-channel zone. The current consolidation suggests a temporary pause before another impulsive leg upward. Price is now trading between the $4,190 support and the $4,350 resistance area, where previous reactions indicate strong liquidity. This resistance has acted as a cap for prior rallies, making it a crucial target zone for bulls. As long as the metal holds above the channel’s lower boundary, the short-term trend remains bullish. A minor pullback toward the support area could serve as a healthy correction before another rally unfolds. However, a confirmed break below $4,190 could temporarily weaken the bullish momentum and lead to a deeper retracement.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect XAUUSD to maintain its bullish trajectory while respecting the ascending channel structure. Buyers may look for potential long setups near the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, targeting the $4,320–$4,350 resistance area (TP1). A breakout and close above $4,350 would open the path toward $4,400+ levels, confirming further continuation of the bullish cycle.
Conversely, a strong bearish break below the channel and support zone could signal a short-term correction toward $4,100 before buyers attempt to regain control. For now, sentiment remains optimistic, and gold continues to look poised for another bullish leg higher within its well-defined upward channel.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD Long: Rebound From Demand Line Targets $104K ResistanceHello traders! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to trade within a well-defined structure, showing a gradual transition from a bearish phase toward potential accumulation. After an extended decline inside the Descending Channel, the market found strong support around the $100,600–$101,000 Demand Zone, where a fake breakout occurred — signaling liquidity grabs and renewed buyer interest. This zone has acted as a major reaction area multiple times, marking it as a key demand region. Following the rebound from this level, BTCUSD formed a Pivot Point near $101,200, initiating a mild bullish recovery along the Demand Line, which now serves as dynamic support. However, price remains capped below the $104,000 Supply Zone, an area that aligns with both the upper boundary of the current Range and the previous Fibonacci Arc retracement, where sellers previously re-entered the market.
Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating between $101,200 support and $104,000 resistance, reflecting indecision before a potential breakout. If buyers manage to defend the Demand Line and reclaim $103,000, a move toward $104,000 and possibly higher could follow, completing the short-term recovery phase. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below $101,000 would invalidate the bullish scenario, likely driving price back toward the $100,000–$99,600 zone for another liquidity test.
I expect the current structure suggests Bitcoin is in a neutral-to-bullish phase, with attention focused on how price reacts around the Demand Line and Range boundaries. A strong rebound from current levels could trigger the next leg toward $104,000 resistance. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD Retests Resistance — Pullback Toward $4,060 SupportHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). After a prolonged bullish movement within a well-defined ascending channel, price reached a significant Resistance Level near $4,200, where sellers stepped in to regain control. This resistance coincides with the upper boundary of a descending resistance line, confirming its importance as a reaction area. Following this rejection, Gold experienced a sharp correction, forming a Range structure near the top before breaking below it — marking a shift in short-term sentiment. The breakout from this range confirmed the beginning of a downward phase, where price continued to move inside a new descending pattern. Currently, XAUUSD is testing the resistance line once again after a breakout retest from below. This area aligns with a former pivot zone where several reversals occurred in the past. The overall structure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are preparing to defend this key zone. As long as price remains below the $4,160–$4,200 resistance, a corrective pullback toward the $4,060 Support Level (TP1) looks likely. This area also aligns with the ascending support line, which may act as the next major decision point. A clean break below $4,060 could extend the decline toward the $3,950–$3,970 zone, while a confirmed breakout above $4,200 would invalidate the short scenario and potentially trigger another bullish continuation phase. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
NZDJPY - The Wall of Sellers Awaits!⚔️NZDJPY is once again approaching a massive resistance zone highlighted in red, an area that has rejected price multiple times in the past, acting as a strong supply wall.
📉As the pair nears this level , I’ll be looking for potential short setups, expecting a bearish rejection that could drive price back toward the lower support zone around the previous lows.
This range has defined the market for months, and until a clear breakout occurs, playing the range remains the optimal strategy, sell high, buy low.
Will the bears defend this zone one more time? 👀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTCUSD Long: Breakout From Descending Channel Targets $108KHello traders! Bitcoin is showing a potential continuation of bullish momentum after breaking out of the descending channel, where sellers had previously maintained control over the market structure. During the prolonged downtrend, the price consistently made lower highs and lower lows, until forming a strong Pivot Point near the $100,500–$101,000 Demand Zone — an area that has historically triggered solid bullish reactions.
Currently, after a fake breakout below this demand zone, the price quickly recovered, signaling liquidity sweeps and seller exhaustion. Since then, BTCUSD has rebounded strongly, confirming a structural shift from bearish to bullish control. The pair has now broken above the channel resistance, establishing a short-term bullish bias supported by steady higher lows. At the moment, Bitcoin is approaching the $107,500–$108,000 Supply Zone, which coincides with previous market consolidation and marks a potential reaction area where sellers might temporarily slow down the move. A clean breakout and close above $108,000 would open the door for a further rally toward the $111,000 Supply 2 Zone, reinforcing the medium-term bullish structure.
I expect the $104,500–$105,000 area to act as immediate support and a key retest level, allowing buyers to maintain momentum and target $108,000. Holding above this zone maintains the bullish scenario, while a confirmed break below it could trigger a pullback to the previous demand level before a new rally develops. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Retests Buyer Zone — Bullish Momentum Aiming for 1.1600Hello traders! I’d like to share my view on EURUSD. After an extended bearish trend inside a descending channel, the pair finally found strong buying interest around the 1.15300–1.15400 Buyer Zone, where price reacted multiple times in the past. This area aligns with both the horizontal Support Level and the ascending Support Line, which together form a solid base for potential bullish continuation. Recently, EURUSD broke above the descending resistance line, confirming a possible short-term trend reversal. The price is now retesting the breakout area, showing signs of accumulation above support. As long as price remains above 1.15300, the bullish structure stays valid. The immediate upside target (TP1) is seen around the 1.16000–1.16100 zone, which coincides with the previous consolidation and minor resistance area. A breakout and confirmed close above this zone could open the way toward the 1.16600 Resistance Level. However, a clear bearish rejection pattern near 1.16000–1.16100 might lead to another corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before further continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: Buyers Defend $4,040 — Targeting $4,140 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD has recently confirmed a bullish structure after bouncing strongly from the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, an area that coincides with the ascending Trend Line visible on the chart.
This level has repeatedly acted as a Buyer Zone, where multiple fake breakouts occurred — signaling liquidity sweeps and failure of sellers to maintain downward momentum. Each test of this support has been followed by a sharp bullish reaction, confirming strong demand and accumulation activity in this zone.
Currently, Gold is showing a controlled recovery phase, moving above the $4,040 Support and gradually approaching the $4,120–$4,160 Resistance Zone, which also aligns with the Trend Line extension and previous consolidation area. This zone represents the next critical reaction level for price. A confirmed breakout above it could open the way toward further continuation, while a rejection may lead to a corrective pullback back toward the $4,040 support. The recent price behavior — including several fake breakouts followed by strong recoveries — suggests that large buyers remain active, defending the bullish structure. As long as price holds above $4,040, the overall sentiment stays constructive and favors a gradual continuation toward the upper resistance levels.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as XAUUSD remains above the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid.The next upside objective is located around $4,140–$4,160, where sellers may reappear based on past reactions. I expect the market to potentially form a small pullback before resuming its move higher. A sustained breakout and close above $4,160 would confirm a continuation toward $4,200 and possibly higher in the medium term.
However, if Gold breaks below $4,000, this bullish setup becomes invalid, and the price may return toward deeper support levels near $3,960–$3,940 before any new buying interest develops.For now, the structure supports buying pullbacks while the price stays above key support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.






















