XRP/USD – Bearish Shift After Momentum Exhaustion🧠 Summary:
XRP/USD has shown clear signs of exhaustion after sweeping the previous high. Following a breakout from a daily bull flag, price struggled to hold momentum near the key level of 3.4194, forming an ascending channel that eventually broke down. Liquidity zones below current price are now in focus.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Daily Bull Flag → Broke out with strength
⚠️ Rejection near Previous High (3.4194) → No follow-through
🔼 Ascending Channel → Formed post-impulse, now broken
📉 Momentum Shift → Structure flipped bearish
💧 Liquidity Zones (LQZ) below price acting as magnets
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Last High: 3.4194 (Rejection Point)
🔹 Broken LQZ: 3.2868
🔹 Current Support: 3.1689 (LQZ - being tested)
🔹 Target 1: 2.9849 (4HR Liquidity Zone)
🔹 Target 2: 2.7667 (Daily Liquidity Zone)
🧩 Confluences:
Liquidity sweep of prior high
Momentum loss near key resistance
Break of ascending structure
Retesting broken zones with room below
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
This trade is playing out just as we described in the post before this on XRP. We discussed watching how price would react to this area before making any type of "Late Entries". XRP is still a huge and vital part of the Crypto Eco System so long term i am holding my Long position. The areas on the chart are still great areas to buy in at "Dollar Cost Average". This will be one of those positions that though it may be bearish on the lower time frame you need to zoom out and always keep an eye on the weekly and daily chart before making any drastic moves.
S-XRP
XRP Breakdown – Trend Break & Liquidity Zone Retest In ProgressXRP just gave us a clean breakdown below a well-formed ascending structure, violating both its dynamic trendline and horizontal support.
Let’s break down the setup:
🔹 Trend Context: Price was holding cleanly above the MA and respecting a dotted trendline, bouncing off prior breakout zones multiple times. This uptrend was sustained for days, with momentum supported by both MACD histogram expansion and Stoch RSI resets.
🔹 Structure Shift: After a minor consolidation, price rejected from the upper range and aggressively broke below support. The last long was closed during this transition — confirming the momentum was fading.
🔹 Liquidity Zones: The prior resistance-turned-support zone failed, with price wicking below and potentially sweeping stop orders before stabilizing.
🔹 Momentum Flip: MACD histogram has flipped red, and Stoch RSI is deeply oversold. This signals possible short-term exhaustion, but trend structure is clearly damaged.
Traders now face two scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish case → Breakdown holds, and price trends lower into deeper liquidity (~3.00 or even 2.71).
2️⃣ Bullish case → Price reclaims structure with strength, invalidating the breakdown and trapping early shorts.
Key levels are in play. Wait for confirmation — especially on the retest.
#XRP #Breakdown #CryptoAnalysis #MACDStrategy #SupportResistance #LiquidityZones #TrendBreak #TechnicalAnalysis #AlgoTrading #QuantStrategy
People don't like the truth! Let's be honest, people don't like honesty. They prefer ideas that affirm their own beliefs.
When I read articles and posts from newer traders, it's often from a place of "all in" diamond hands and the notion that things go up forever.
I've been a trader for over 25 years now, and the game isn't about making a quick buck, it's about making money over and over again. This got me thinking, the issue is when you deal with a small account you require leverage, small timeframes and of course the "shit" or bust mindset. If you lose a thousand dollars, $10,000 even $100,000 - what does it matter? That's no different than a game of poker in Vegas.
The idea of being 80% in drawdown, is alien to me. The idea of one trade and one win is also a crazy notion.
Instead of playing with the future, there is an easier way to work. This isn't about slow and boring, it's about psychology and discipline. 10% returns on a million-dollar account isn't all that difficult. Instead of aiming for 300x returns on an alt coin (due to the account size being tiny) You can make less of a percentage gain with a larger account size.
In terms of psychology - the word " HOPE " is used, way too often, it's used when you hope a stock or the price of Bitcoin goes up, it's used when you hope the position comes back in your favour, it's used when you want your 10,000 bucks to double.
This isn't trading, it's gambling.
The truth is, it's not the winners that make you a good trader. It's the way you deal with the losses.
Once you learn proper risk management, a downtrend in a market move is a 1-2% loss coupled with a new opportunity to reverse the bias.
As a disciplined trader, the game is played differently.
Let's assume you don't have $100k spare - prop firms are a great option, OPM = other people's money.
Remove the risk and increase the leverage, all whilst trading with discipline.
The market goes through many phases, cycles and crashes.
You don't always need something as catastrophic to take place, but if you are all in on a position. You need to understand that losses can be severe and long-lasting.
When everyone sees an oasis in the desert, it's often a mirage.
You only have to look at the Japanese lesson in 1989, when the Nikkei was unstoppable-until it wasn't. For that short space in time, everyone was a day trader, housewives to taxi drivers.
Everyone's a genius in a Bull market.
Then comes the crash. The recovery time on that crash?
34-years!!!
I have covered several aspects of psychology here on TradingView;
When it comes to trading, if you are able to keep playing. It's a worthwhile game. If you are gambling, it's a game whereby the house often wins.
Right now, stocks are worth more than their earnings. Gold is up near all-time highs, crypto, indices the same.
All I am saying is if you are all in. Be careful!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
NZDUSD - Elliott Wave: High-Probability Reversal Zone Ahead!NZDUSD – Elliott Wave Roadmap
3Day Chart
Every move has been unfolding with precision — true to Elliott Wave Theory.
We're in the final leg of a massive A-B-C correction:
- Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are complete.
- Wave C is now in play, targeting the highs of Wave A.
We’ve just seen a clean 5-wave advance (wave 1 leading diagonal).
Now expecting a classic ABC correction for wave 2, into our reversal zone (38.2–61.8% Fib).
🔍 Once price enters this zone, we’ll drop to lower timeframes and:
- Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break)
- Set entries with stops below corrective lows
- Targets: 0.63 (500 pips) and 0.65 (700 pips)
📌 Why is the buy zone so big?
It’s a higher timeframe zone. Once price enters, we zoom into lower timeframes for precise entries. The zone simply tells us when to focus, not where to blindly buy.
This is the Wave 3 generation point — and that’s where the real move begins.
Plan your trade. Watch for the setup. Execute with confidence.
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
NZDUSD 12H Chart - Looking for this ABC correction for wave 2
XRP- Caught The Move. Then Got Chopped. How Backtesting Fixed ItXRP printed a strong trend — and the strategy caught it early. But partway through the move, price stalled in a tight range and the position was exited early.
That’s where backtesting and tuning come in.
In the first test, the strategy used default settings with Signal MA = 220. It entered cleanly, but exited mid-chop.
After adjusting the Signal MA to over 800, the strategy started holding through the noise and stayed in the move — with higher PNL and a slightly increased drawdown. Ended on 900.
This is the power of understanding how your system behaves in different conditions.
By adjusting signal sensitivity, you can reduce premature exits without chasing every move. The goal isn’t perfection — it’s better retention of valid trends without overfitting.
This example shows how simple tweaks, backed by clear test results, can make a measurable difference.
—
#XRPUSD #Backtesting #MACDStrategy #LiquidityTracker #CryptoTrading #TradingView #QuantTradingPro #StrategyOptimization #TradingSystems
XRP | Great TP Zone is HERE for HODLERSXRP has seen a 62% increase since breaking out above the moving averages in the daily timeframe.
The previous time XRP broke out above the moving averages in the daily, the price increased around 440%:
However, with XRP being the ultimate pumper and dumper, I'll take my chances at 62%! Because this bull run has been anything but ordinary and it's best to avoid being too greedy. The price of XRP falls extremely quick, just as quick as it rises.. ( Maybe not overnight but you know, it has happened before ).
If you're one of few who bought around $1, or heck even later at $2, this is a solid increase and it should not be taken for granted. XRP has gone LONG periods without increases and often stayed behind making new ATH's when other cycles have come and gone (twice), as other alts make new ATH's. Over the years, I've made extensive posts on XRP; documented its use case, followed the SEC case closely and yet, XRP still remains one of the strangest and most unpredictable alts I have ever tried to analyze. Long term followers will remember that a I was bullish in 2018/2019 and then slowly became uninterested up until the point of negative towards XRP for probably the past 3-4 years.
This is not only because of the lagging price compared to other older alts that soared like ETH and even Litecoin. Sure we did not see the growth and the taco stand ( who remembers ) just kept dumping on the market... But the entire "scandal" of the actors marketing/pimping, the dumping behind the scenes by executives to fund Ripple in early days, the lawsuit etc. was just such a colossal mess that I even wonder how XRP is still alive and kicking today.
All I'm saying is that this is truly a spectacular moment - it's hard to even imagine cripple crossed $3 after years and years of waiting on XRP when other alts x1000% and beyond. Point being - Don't miss it! Trading only works when you take profits.
________________________
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Breakout or Bull Trap? XRP at Critical Weekly LevelWeekly Chart Insight: XRP Closing Above Previous High
XRP has just closed above its previous weekly high—a significant development that could signal a shift in market sentiment. Historically, when price closes above such a critical level on the weekly timeframe, it often leads to continuation, unless a sharp rejection quickly follows.
At this stage, the focus shifts to the 4-hour timeframe for confirmation. An impulsive move above the current consolidation zone could indicate that this breakout is legitimate, potentially leading to another bullish weekly candle.
However, caution is warranted. If the next two daily candles close weakly or fail to maintain structure above the breakout level, it could hint at a fakeout or liquidity grab before a deeper correction.
My Current Bias:
I remain neutral-to-bullish, contingent on:
An impulsive continuation on the 4HR
Strong daily closes above the key range
Price not falling back and closing below the weekly breakout level
If price begins to consolidate and hold this level, that would reinforce the bullish case. But if we see immediate selling pressure and a re-entrance below the breakout, I’ll reconsider the bias based on developing structure.
Ripple Update: Is XRP Ready for Another 500% Growth?Hey friends, it’s Skeptic 🩵 . In this video, I’m giving an update on Ripple’s conditions , reviewing past triggers, and what to do with your long positions in futures if you’re still holding. For spot, what’s the move? I dove into XRP/BTC analysis and, at the end, broke down BTC.D , which just had a major event you need to pay close attention to. Don’t forget money management, and stay clear of FOMO. Drop your thoughts on XRP in the comments so we can chat about it!
18$ XRP Mapped Out Projection – HOLD🚀 Just sharing some insights to help you explore what XRP might be capable of.
The chart you see here is a projection inspired by the path of XRP’s first major bull run. Surprisingly, I was able to map out around 95% of the key support and resistance levels using the Fibonacci extension tool.
📚 A little history lesson — while history doesn’t repeat itself exactly, it often rhymes in patterns.
Let’s see if XRP has another surprise in store for us this cycle. 🔄✨
#XRP #Crypto #FibLevels #Bullrun #ChartAnalysis
LTC/USD LITECOIN Adam & Eve Pattern On WeeklyThe Adam and Eve pattern is quite effective and usually signals a trend change to bullish. Once this pattern breaks the neckline I think its straight to $200 before any sort of pullback.
Haven't done a chart in a while cause its been the same old stuff, sideways. We are starting to ignite now. Silver is running which means something is breaking in the background financial system. I see the biggest blow off top you've ever seen coming, its the only way out of this, print print print until it doesn't work anymore.
Also I was reading that Bitcoin is removing its cap for spam in each block in October? This could spell disaster for fees and congestion. Litecoin will skyrocket during that time I believe because the fees will be so high it will price out the little guy trying to send a grand or two. I see an influx of people coming to Litecoin. Good luck , none of this is financial advice just my opinion
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
XRP Update · What To Expect Short-Term (Now!)XRP just hit a new all-time high and this is truly awesome if you hold this pair, if you were bullish before the breakout, if you bought LONG, etc. It is also good if you are an analyst looking for clues that will tell you what will happen to the Cryptocurrency market in the near future.
Remember that XRP moved early to start this cycle and it moved strongly. Right now, it is moving early and strongly again in comparison to many other pairs. This tells us that the rest of the market will follow.
I saw very strong bullish action across many pairs but I also saw many pairs staying behind; below their April's high. Now, what happens next?
XRPUSDT made a stop after moving beyond its 16-January 2025 high. This is pretty normal behavior. After a strong rise, there is always a stop, retrace or correction. We do not expect a correction to develop now because the consolidation period was very long, strong and prolonged. So we don't have to worry about that one.
A retrace is possible but having one would be small and short-lived. Finally, a pause is the most likely scenario. A pause can range between 3-9 days. That is, that amount of time before additional growth.
The final possibility is the market moving straight up. Since we have a 126% rise since the 7-April low, we don't give much credit to this scenario. The top choice is a small pause before additional growth. The important part is "additional growth." This is what will happen. This is what comes next. XRP will continue growing. Boost if you agree.
Namaste.
Is Your Altcoin on the Chopping Block?-Update: Originally posted on July 8, 2025… but swiftly vanished into the void by a moderator (rookie mistake—I neglected the sacred posting rules). Turns out, publishing has rules… that I did not interpret accurately?
To my loyal circle of 5 followers: if this feels like déjà vu, my sincerest apologies for the rerun. But with the winds shifting and the drums beating for alts season, I figured it was worth a resurrection.
Let the thrills—and the calls—begin. 🎭📈
Whenever you see “-Update:” that’s the latest as of today — 07/18/25.
Is Your Altcoin on the Chopping Block? 🪓
Brace yourself—this might sting.
Odds are, your favorite altcoin is walking a tightrope. And while I’m not here to spread doom, I am here to give you a wake-up call. Don’t shoot the messenger.
TradingView recently dropped a chart that cuts through the noise: Total3ESBTC.
It’s a ratio of the Total Crypto Market Cap (minus BTC, ETH, and stablecoins) to Bitcoin.
Translation?
👉 A clear, undistorted look at how the altcoin market is actually doing—without ETH clouding the view or stablecoins muddying the waters.
Think of it like night-vision goggles for spotting altcoin strength—or weakness—in the shadows of BTC dominance.
Perfect tool to sniff out market rotation—that sweet spot where Bitcoin hands the baton to alts or rips it back.
So why should you care?
Because the writing's on the wall... and most altcoins might not survive what's coming.
Let’s break it down:
ZOOMED OUT – MONTHLY VIEW 🔭
Before every major altcoin run, there’s always a major low.
You’ll notice three big ones:
🔴 March 2017 (Pink Line)
🟣 Dec 2017 (Purple Line)
🟢 Jan 2021 (Green Line)
Yes, some individual alts have pumped. A few even went full parabolic.
But if altcoins as a whole were ready to fly? They would've taken off already.
-Update: Yes, they finally did it this week… but hold that excitement—there’s more to the story.
Instead, the altcoin ratio broke a critical support (White Line) back in May... and even closed below it. That’s not bullish—it’s a red flag flapping in the wind.
– Update: We just sliced through that white line, but for most alt’s to stay strong, we need a monthly close above it.
Strangely enough (or coincidental, if you believe in coincidences) ...
🗓️ All the major altcoin market highs happened in MAY.
Not once. Not twice. Every. Single. Time.
🔴 May 2017
🟣 May 2018
🟢 May 2021
Call it coincidence. Call it cycle magic.
Maybe it’s a message from the crypto gods—and they don’t whisper for no reason.
So if we just had another May, and the ratio is still sliding with no reversal in sight… ask yourself:
Was that the high?
Or are we still heading toward the low that resets the board?
Here’s the hard pill 💊
If altcoins are ever going to go up again, odds are they’ll need to hit one of these historical lows first.
That’s not a prediction. It’s just how the markets have moved before major alt run.
📉 That means more pain ahead.
We’re talking potential drops of:
🔻 -32% to revisit Dec '17 levels
🔻 -51% to retest Jan '21 lows
🔻 -85% if we go full wipeout to March '17
Harsh? Yeah.
But better you hear it now than wonder “what happened?” when the floor caves in.
The worst part?
Most won’t believe this until it’s already too late.
-Update: Those lows haven’t been tested yet—might be wise to hold off on loading your bags to the brim. Patience pays.
Now here’s the uncomfortable twist:
There’s a legit case to be made that we may never see another “real” alt season again.
Why?
🪙 Liquidity is being siphoned by stablecoins
📈 Speculation is migrating to AI stocks
⚠️ Risk appetite is narrowing
Altcoins used to be the Wild West. Now? They’re the illiquid backyard of a global casino.
BUT… Let’s put on our degen-tinted glasses for a second.
Suppose the Fed hits the panic button:
🛩️ Rates cut
💸 QE returns
🚁 Helicopter money rains from the sky (not that they’d ever do that… right?)
– Update: Crypto Week is announced and broadcasted to the herd.
What happens then?
That’s when this chart—this ugly, broken, bleeding chart—might finally spring back to life.
– Update: Clearing those lows would’ve made this week feel a lot more convincing. But if you’re looking for signs of life—ETH/BTC chart might just be lighting the way. 🚀
Stay Sharp! 🐋R hUNTING!
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUTAINMENT PUPOSES ONLY.
XRP Support Holds After Being Tested 12 Times...Everything below $2 is quickly bought. No crash is good news. Not having bearish action and bearish follow up on sellers pressure is bullish. XRP is bullish and has been consolidating for months. The longer XRP trades above $2, the stronger will be the bullish wave that follows. We are getting very close.
Good evening (morning) my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a nice day.
The same level has been tested over and over and over since December 2024 and it continues to hold. XRP managed to wick below $2 more than twelve times, this support continues to hold. When prices move lower, buyers quickly show up.
Look at this, before 7-April XRP was moving below $2 very often. After 7-April, only twice. Big difference. This reveals a bullish bias. When the market was bearish, this support was tested more often than not. As soon as XRP turned bullish, it was tested only once recently and once after the 7-April bottom.
This little dynamic here shows that the bulls have the upper-hand and this is all we need to know. Knowing that the bulls have the advantage, when the market breaks it is going to break up. A bullish continuation. It is confirmed and it is only a matter of time.
How long? Only the market knows but it is not far away. The longer it takes, the stronger the bullish wave that follows. Strong growth is likely to develop within days.
Namaste.
XRP's situation+ Target PredictionThe XRP is in a Bullish phase by a Falling Wedge Pattern.
A falling wedge indicates the potential for price to reach to $3.
Note if the PRZ ZONE is broken downwards with the strength of Bearish candles , this analysis of ours will be failed.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚