CRM - Salesforce - Earnings Beat, Shares Down? $286 Retest?We're currently watching the last stages down into this Ascending Wedge as we approach a very key and important load-up zone at the $227s. Looking for consolidation, bounce out wedge back north to retest those $287s.
CRM reported an earnings beat, guidance lower for Q3 than Street expects, but ultimately has been beatened down by the Rise of AI and it's incrouchment on Software Business Models with the Likes of a Customizable CRM. Their challenge will be continuing to leverage their Einstein AI which has brought a revolutionary approach to the CRM space in itself.
Salesforce
Salesforce | CRM | Long at $242.42Salesforce NYSE:CRM : firing their workforce... migrating toward an AI-driven Agentforce platform, instating a $20 billion increase to its share buyback program (now totaling $50 billion), and strong growth in regions like the UK, France, Canada, and Asia Pacific (particularly among small and medium businesses). The CEO recently declared significant productivity gains (e.g., 30% in engineering) through digital labor and expressed optimism about supporting U.S. government efficiency with Agentforce.
What's good for business isn't necessarily good for the common people. Welcome to AI, folks!
It looks like NYSE:CRM is moving toward a future of full AI. Even if revenue dips due to a slowing economy, I except earnings to soar higher and higher by dropping the humans from the payroll...
Thus, at $242.42, NYSE:CRM is in a personal buy zone as it bounces within my historical simple moving average band. Near-term, I think the price may dip into the low $200's if the US economy continues to show signs of weakening. But AI is only going to boost returns... fortunately for investors, but unfortunately for the workforce...
Targets into 2028:
$306.00 (+26.2%)
$350.00 (+44.3%)
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you ahven`t bought CRM before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 300usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $7.52.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Vibe coding a risk to Salesforce moatSalesforce (CRM) is facing structural disruption. Not cyclical. Structural. The threat isn’t from Microsoft or Oracle. It’s from culture. From code.
Vibe coding, fast, open-source, AI-native development, is gaining speed. It’s cheaper, faster and skips bloated architecture. It’s not about replacing CRM software. It’s about rethinking workflows.
Salesforce is vulnerable at the bottom. SMEs don’t want complex SaaS stacks. They want modular tools, cheap, fast, scalable. This is where vibe code thrives. No legacy clients. No enterprise red tape.
As SMEs shift, the threat creeps upstream. Large corporates follow. Once adoption takes hold, momentum builds.
This is the Innovator's Dilemma. The incumbent is too invested to pivot. Too big to self-disrupt. So the change is ignored until it’s too late.
Yes, Salesforce has scale and capital. But it's built to sell software, not to be software. Culture eats strategy. Code eats incumbents.
Technicals are cracking. CRM is trading below its 200-day moving average. RSI is drifting lower. No panic, just quiet decay. Valuation isn't reassuring either, CRM trades at roughly 23–26× forward earnings, a discount to its historical average. That signals caution, not comfort.
Disrupt or be disrupted.
The risk isn’t earnings. It’s irrelevance.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
$ADBE is an IA sleeping giantHi there, I bring you Adobe today.
Between 2020 and 2024, Adobe delivered sustained growth, moving from $12.87 B in 2020 to $21.51 B in 2024, an impressive 67% cumulative increase. Operating income grew from $4.24 B to $6.74 B over the same period. Net income peaked at $5.26 B in 2020, dropped in 2021–2022, and recovered to $5.56 B in 2024 , with a 14.1% rebound in 2023 and a modest 2.4% gain in 2024, today sits at 6.87B.
Also shows great margins. NASDAQ:ADBE operates with industry-leading profitability. Gross margin in 2024 was 89% , reflecting low COGS for subscription-based products. Operating margin was 36% , down slightly from its 2021 peak due to higher R&D and sales investments. Net margin stood at 26% in 2024.
Return metrics are also strong. ROE exceeded 37% in 2024 (boosted by large buybacks reducing equity) and ROA was 17%. This is far ahead of peers like Salesforce (ROE 10%, ROA 6.4% ) and even in line with Microsoft numbers.
Adobe consistently generates robust FCF, moving from $6.88 B in 2021 to $7.87 B in 2024. The dip in 2023 (–6.1%) was due to higher tax payments, but 2024 saw a 13.4% rebound. FCF margins have hovered around 37–40%, providing ample capital for reinvestment and buybacks.
Long-term debt rose from ~$10.7 B in 2020 to $15.2 B in 2024 , while equity declined due to repurchases, pushing the debt-to-equity ratio from 0.84 in 2021 to 1.14 in late 2024. Leverage is still manageable given Adobe’s EBITDA and cash flows.
Adobe does not pay dividends, instead returning capital via buybacks. Over the last decade, it repurchased $39.7 B worth of stock, including $3.4 B in the most recent quarter. In March 2024, it authorized a new $25 B buyback program through 2028. (Bullish Bullish Bull)
Versus Salesforce, Adobe has smaller revenue but much higher margins and ROE. Microsoft surpasses Adobe in scale but not in gross margins (Adobe 89% vs Microsoft 70%). Adobe’s valuation (around 19x forward EPS ) is below its historical average, giving it a slight relative discount despite strong fundamentals.
Post Q2 2025, Adobe raised its FY guidance to 23.60 B revenue and $20.70 adjusted EPS , above prior consensus. Last quarter: $5.87 B revenue (+11% YoY) and $5.06 EPS (vs $4.97 expected) . Growth is expected to be driven by AI-powered Creative Cloud and Document Cloud, with analysts forecasting 10% annual revenue growth and sustained high margins.
Cheers!
Pablin
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CRM before this rally:
nor sold this top:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Salesforce: Further ProgressDue to continued downward pressure, Salesforce has made further progress in realizing our primary scenario. During the ongoing green wave , we still expect the stock to sell off below the support at $274. However, if the price imminently climbs above the resistance at $312, we will have to reconsider the structure of the ongoing decline and reckon with a magenta five-wave downward move. We currently assign this alternative scenario a 36% probability.
Salesforce: Wave b Top Established!On December 4, CRM peaked briefly, hitting a new record high at $378.16. Since then, the price has been unable to revisit this level, initiating a first downward impulse. Therefore, we now consider the prominent wave b top as established and are preparing for a significant sell-off, with extension targets below the $274 support. Thus, the still ongoing correction should continue.
COSTCO 850 AFTER EARNIGS ?? 5 STRONG REASONS WHY !!!
thanks to
WWW.CAFECITYSTUDIO.COM
NY RUNS GLOBAL INC .
Robust Financials:Costco has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance. Its revenue growth, profitability, and debt management are impressive.
The company’s ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) score for its industry is good, indicating responsible business practices .
Customer Loyalty and Resilience:Costco’s loyal customer base contributes to its stability. Even during economic downturns, consumers tend to remain loyal to the brand.
This loyalty makes Costco stock relatively recession-resistant, which is a valuable asset for long-term investors.
Analyst Sentiment:Over the past few months, analysts have revised their average price target for Costco upwards significantly. This suggests positive sentiment and confidence in the company’s future prospects.
There is high visibility into Costco’s activities for the coming years, supporting predictable sales.
Inflationary Pressures:The recent inflationary pressures have positively impacted Costco stock. As the Federal Reserve adjusts its monetary policy, companies like Costco may benefit from higher prices and increased consumer spending.
Valuation Considerations:While Costco’s fundamentals are strong, it’s essential to consider valuation. The company operates with relatively high earnings multiples.
Investors should weigh the potential upside against the current valuation when projecting the stock price.
10% December slide for Salesforce (CRM)
Despite raised guidance, we see a 10% correction ahead for Salesforce. This doesn't mean it won't experience a next leg up. Near-term short opportunity! Wave 5 ending and overbought. The stock's rapid ascent may have led to overvaluation, making it susceptible to a pullback as investors take profits.
We see a 10% reversal to the $320 price range this December.
Keep your charts clean and easy to understand.
Your strategy should look for easy-to-identify repeating patterns.
Be alert.
Trade green.
Salesforce - $CRM - Set to FLYSalesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why:
1️⃣ H5 Indicator is GREEN
2️⃣ Hasn't reach bull flag measured move yet
3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern Breakout with a retest. Now NYSE:CRM will move higher!
4️⃣ Wr% consolidation box is thriving
5⃣ All Time High Free Range 🐔
6⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability. Intrinsic Value (Fair Value): $419 - 21% higher
🎯 $383 (Aug 2025)
📏 $502 (Before 2028)
Are you sold on this H5 Setup?
NFA
Salesforce (CRM): Decision Point ApproachingNYSE:CRM has risen higher than anticipated, but we are still holding on to our bearish scenario. Initially, we expected another leg down following the wick that we identified as wave ((a)), but the stock surprised us by pushing to a higher high, surpassing the levels of wave 1 and wave B at $348.86.
This move invalidated our first bearish scenario, activating our secondary outlook of a flat correction where wave ((b)) exceeds wave 1, which aligns with the current structure.
From here, our outlook is straightforward: if our bearish scenario holds, NYSE:CRM should drop below the wave ((a)) level, which is yet to be determined. However, if the stock rises above $360 and sustains trading at that level, the bearish outlook will be invalidated, requiring a complete re-charting of $CRM.
A decision point is approaching, and we will monitor the stock closely for further developments.
SALESFORCE $CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024SALESFORCE NYSE:CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $338.75 - $400.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $331.00 - $338.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $250.00 - $250.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
1H: Bearish
NYSE:CRM releases earnings today, Tuesday Dec 3rd, after market close. Price ranges up to previous earnings on Aug 28th. This range finally breaks out and creates a bullish trend that has held strong leading up to today's earnings. High timeframes show bullish trend (my trend determining indicator), along with current chart trend bands (my channel/bands directional bands). ATM Straddles suggest the expected move to be around 7.25%, or $24.00 in either direction. This is on pace with it's average and historical earnings moves (previous 8 - 12 quarters).
My estimated moves:
Downside: ~$300
Upside: ~$360
(30-45 DTE)
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, crm, NYSE:CRM , salesforce, salesforce earnings, earningsplay, salesforcetrend, salesforcetrade, crmtrend, crm earnings, crmtrade, crmstrongbullishtrend, salesforcestrongbullishtrend, options, optionstrading, atmoptions, atmstraddles, atmstrangles, willcrmbeatexpectedmove, expectedearningsmoves,
Docusign - An Opportunity for New Entrants▫️Docusign - NASDAQ:DOCU - for new entrants
▫️ Bottom to bottom cycles are 26 - 31 weeks
▫️ I am hoping for a pull back into that window between 26 - 31 weeks to add an allocation.
▫️ This would coincide with the 50 weekly moving average and some good historic price support.
▫️ A bid at the range $70 - $76 would be ideal but as low as $66 would be better.
▫️ The DSS Bressert also seems to indicate a pull back us due.
Company has a nice balance sheet and high deferred revenue, meaning purchasers have paid up front for future services demonstrating they have faith in the company and what it provides. Docusign is integrated with some of the largest companies in the tech industry and likely to grow with these companies. The company piggy backs off all the growth in these firms and has had delayed price action relative to the tech greats it is aligned with.
Sorry for these rougher charts but better to get them out than not at all.
One to watch
SALESFORCE $CRM - 5/17 - THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/ TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 5/17
5⃣ NYSE:CRM - SALESFORCE
Video Analysis:
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LIKING l FOLLOWING l SHARING
Hit the🔔as well to be notified when each video drops
NFA #tradingstrategy #HIGHFIVESETUP
NYSE:CRM
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!NYSE:CRM
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!
Salesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why:
1️⃣ #HIGHFIVESETUP: Our proven trading strategy signals bullish trends.
2️⃣ Bull Flag Breakout: Already breaking out, heading toward the next key point.
3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern: NYSE:CRM is on the verge of a significant breakout.
4️⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Price Target: $383 (Aug 2025)
Second Price Target: $500 (2028)
What do you think of this trade setup? Are you adding it to your watchlist?
NFA
#trading #QQQ #SPY
SALESFORCE Long term B U Y* alerts 4 year long inverted HNS the stock looks promising in the near future. Above 319 stock jumps till 505. Once you invest you need to wait for 3-4 months for the stock to react dont get bored as this is on monthly pattern.
CMP - $293
Above - 319 stock can jump till 505
Stop loss - 210
Targets - 505 --- 600
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance.
Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term.
If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position.
Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals
Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment.
Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM
Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Salesforce (CRM): Potential bearish flag formingOne of our members asked for an analysis on Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), and we've taken a closer look at it. Initially, it's a bit challenging to see the full picture, but if our Elliott Wave count is accurate, we marked the end of wave (2) at $115.29 after establishing wave B, which was exactly between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci levels.
It appears that wave 1 was put in with a new high slightly above wave B, taking out the resting liquidity (likely due to profit-taking and closing of long positions). Following this, there was a 33% drop, and here's where it gets tricky. Normally, we would expect this decline to continue, suggesting that the current rise is merely a relief pump. However, wave ((a)) perfectly touched the HVN POC, which indicates a slight chance that this could be the bottom. That said, we still believe that a continuation down to the 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci level is more likely.
Zooming in on the blue-circled area, we notice a textbook bear flag pattern developing. While we don't typically trade based on chart patterns, it is difficult to ignore this one given its clear structure. It becomes even more significant if there is a wick above the upper trend line of the flag, which could trigger another sell-off by taking out the liquidation levels. Such a wick would also fully close the gap and enter our targeted area where we anticipate a possible reversal.
To be clear, we are not trading this bear flag pattern or the targeted area just yet. Instead, we are using this setup as a means to validate whether our bearish outlook is correct or not. We’ll continue to monitor the development closely and provide updates as we gain more clarity.
Salesforce Slumps 45% in Pre-market Trading After Earnings PostSalesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares plunged more than 44% in pre-market trading on Wednesday after the company reported its first quarterly revenue miss in 18 years and issued weak annual guidance. The cloud software maker's current Remaining Performance Obligation (cRPO) metric, which combines deferred revenue and order backlog, indicates slowing momentum. Salesforce CEO Brian Millham told analysts on the earnings call that the company saw budget scrutiny and longer deal cycles than usual during the quarter.
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares trended steadily higher for 12 months following the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day MA in March last year to form a bullish golden cross pattern. However, since topping out in March this year, the price has fallen below the 50-day MA, with the indicator also acting as a line of resistance during a recent countertrend rally earlier this month.
Amid uncertainty over the macroeconomic environment, enterprise customers continue to spend cautiously on software. Salesforce's AI-focused data cloud business contributed to 25% of the deals valued above $1 million in the first quarter, unchanged from the prior quarter. It did not disclose more financial details about the business, which was nearing $400 million in annual recurring revenue in its last fiscal year.
Some brokerages warned that Salesforce's forecast also meant software demand had slowed further in April. The selling environment got worse from the end of March and more pronounced in April, which could explain why off-cycle names, like Workday or Salesforce, suffered more than ServiceNow or Microsoft. Salesforce could turn to large deals to accelerate growth and would consider them if they were "accretive" and had "the right metrics."
Activist investors pressured Salesforce last year to prioritize profitability, after years of growing its business through big deals, including the $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack in 2021. RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria said that investors wouldn't react well to most large deals at this point, given growth is slowing down, a big acquisition would be viewed as buying growth.
At least ten brokerages lowered their price targets on the stock following the results. D.A. Davidson's PT of $230 was the lowest among 49 analysts covering the stock.
Salesforce's Earnings Call: 4 Key TakeawaysSalesforce's recent earnings call revealed insights into its current challenges and future opportunities. Despite reporting lower-than-expected revenue and conservative guidance, the company remains optimistic. Here are four key takeaways:
1. Measured Buying Behavior : Salesforce observed cautious spending among customers, influenced by economic uncertainties, leading to elongated deal cycles and increased budget scrutiny.
2. Confidence in Fiscal 2025 Guidance: Despite weaker guidance for the next quarter, Salesforce maintains confidence in its full-year fiscal outlook, driven by strategic AI investments.
3. Data as AI Foundation: Salesforce's extensive data assets position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-powered tools, enhancing its competitive edge.
4. Opportunistic M&A Strategy: Salesforce remains open to acquisitions that align with its strategic framework, focusing on shareholder value and long-term growth.
Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14 AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:CRM
Analyzing Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14
Salesforce, a global leader in cloud-based software, has recently seen its stock price soar to an impressive $298.14. This significant increase is not a random occurrence but the result of a combination of factors that have played out in favor of the company.
Strong Earnings Reports: Salesforce has consistently reported strong earnings, demonstrating robust financial performance. These positive reports have instilled confidence in investors, leading to increased demand for the stock.
Innovative Product Portfolio: Salesforce’s diverse and innovative product portfolio has been a key driver of its success. The company’s offerings, ranging from sales and service automation to marketing and analytics, have kept it at the forefront of the industry.
Market Leadership: Salesforce’s position as a market leader in the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) space has contributed to its strong stock performance.
The company’s dominance in this sector has made it a preferred choice for investors looking for stable returns.
Strategic Acquisitions: Salesforce’s strategic acquisitions have also played a role in boosting its stock price. These acquisitions have not only expanded the company’s product offerings but also opened up new markets, contributing to revenue growth.