Samrtmoney — Trading Ideas on TradingView

UPST Call Setup — Momentum Heating Up!🚀💎 UPST Swing Trade Alert — Call Setup for Quick Gains! 📊 Consensus Recap ✅ Momentum: Short-term bullish (5–10 day) ⚠️ Volume: Weak → caution needed 📈 Sentiment: Mixed but leaning bullish 🎯 Trade Setup 🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG) 🎯 Strike: $72.00 💵 Entry: $2.60 🎯 Profit Target: $4.50 🛑 Stop Loss: $1.70 📅 Expiry: 2025-09-05 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Timing: Market Open

PANW Earnings Surge Incoming: 180C Call Targeting 300% # 🛡️ PANW Earnings Options Play – 8/22 AMC 📊 **Market Context** * Revenue Growth: +15.3% YoY 📈 * Gross Margin: 73.6%, Operating Margin: 9.8% * Forward EPS: \$7.20 → historically beats 8/8 quarters * Sector Tailwinds: Cybersecurity demand surging, favorable macro trends 📈 **Options Flow** * Call volume strong at \$200 strike → institutional bullish * Put/Call Skew: Slight bearish hedge → anticipating large move * IV Rank: 70% → favorable premium pricing 📉 **Technical Momentum** * Trading below 50 & 200 DMA → oversold sentiment * RSI: 32.78 → oversold, potential sharp reversal * Support: \$175 | Resistance: \$180 / \$185 --- ## 🎯 Trade Setup (Pre-Earnings Call) * **Instrument**: PANW * **Direction**: CALL (LONG) * **Strike**: \$180.00 * **Expiry**: 2025-08-22 * **Entry Price**: \$5.20 * **Profit Target**: \$15.60 (\~300% potential) * **Stop Loss**: \$2.60 (50% of premium) * **Size**: 1 contract * **Confidence**: 75% * **Entry Timing**: Pre-earnings close * **Earnings Date/Time**: 8/22 AMC * **Expected Move**: \$6.50 --- ## 🧠 Key Notes & Risk Management * **Position Sizing**: Limit 2–3% of portfolio * **Exit Scenarios**: * Target hit → exit at \$15.60 * Stop triggered → exit at \$2.60 * Time exit → close by 11 AM ET post-earnings if neither condition met * **Gamma & Volatility Risk**: High around earnings, monitor closely --- # ⚡ PANW 180C EARNINGS PLAY ⚡ 🎯 Entry: \$5.20 → Target: \$15.60 🛑 Stop: \$2.60 📅 Exp: 8/22 AMC 📈 Bias: Moderate Bullish (75%) 🐂 --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON** ```json { "instrument": "PANW", "direction": "call", "strike": 180.0, "expiry": "2025-08-22", "confidence": 75, "profit_target": 15.60, "stop_loss": 2.60, "size": 1, "entry_price": 5.20, "entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close", "earnings_date": "2025-08-22", "earnings_time": "AMC", "expected_move": 6.5, "iv_rank": 0.70, "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-18 14:05:22 UTC-04:00" } ```

KEYS Earnings Options: Long \$172.50 Call – Tech & 5G Tailwinds # ⚡🔬 KEYS Earnings Alert – \$172.50 Call (Aug 22, 2025) 🚀💎 ### **Earnings Snapshot** 📈 **Revenue Momentum:** +7.4% TTM ✅ 💵 **Forward EPS:** \$6.97, Avg Target Price \$188.18 💡 📊 **Profit Margins:** Gross 61.9%, Operating 20.5%, Net 14.5% 💎 💼 **Sector Context:** Tech & 5G growth tailwinds, strong demand for instruments & semiconductors 🌐 🏦 **Historical Beat Rate:** 100% over last 8 quarters, Avg surprise 6.4% 📊 --- ### **Technical & Market Context** * **Price:** \~\$164.42 near 20-day MA ⚖️ * **RSI:** 44.67 → neutral * **Volume:** 0.81x average 📉 * **Key Levels:** Support \$164, Resistance \$166.20 / \$186.20 * **Macro:** Low VIX (14.84) supports growth/low-volatility environment 🌈 --- ### **💥 Trade Snapshot (Hypothetical)** 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Call * 🏦 **Instrument:** KEYS * 💵 **Strike:** \$172.50 Call * 🗓️ **Expiry:** Aug 22, 2025 * 💰 **Entry Price:** \$1.50 * 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$6.00 (200–400%+) 💎 * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.75 (50% of premium) ❌ * ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close * 📈 **Confidence:** 78% ⚠️ **Key Risks:** * Missing specific options data 📊 * Neutral pre-earnings technical indicators ⚖️ * Potential IV crush post-announcement ⏳ --- ### **Trade JSON** ```json { "instrument": "KEYS", "direction": "call", "strike": 172.50, "expiry": "2025-08-22", "confidence": 78, "profit_target": 6.00, "stop_loss": 0.75, "size": 1, "entry_price": 1.50, "entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close", "earnings_date": "2025-08-19", "earnings_time": "AMC", "expected_move": 5.0, "iv_rank": 0.75, "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-19 14:27:38 UTC-04:00" } ``` 📊 **Quick Trade Recap:** 🎯 CALL \$172.50 | 💵 \$1.50 → 🎯 \$6.00 | 🛑 \$0.75 | 📅 Aug 22 | 📈 78% Confidence ⏰ Entry: Pre-Earnings Close | 📆 Earnings: Aug 19 AMC | 📊 Expected Move: 5%

Bearish Setup on RBLX: 107P Weekly Play # 🎮 RBLX Weekly Options Setup (8/18 – 8/22) 📉 **Market Context** * Current Price: **\$117.34** * Last Week Drop: **−8.83%** * Daily RSI: 40.5 → short-term weakness * Weekly RSI: 71.5 → overbought but falling * Call/Put Ratio: 1.00 → neutral sentiment * VIX: 15.49 → favorable for options (low premiums) --- ## 🎯 Trade Setup (Naked Put) * **Instrument**: RBLX * **Direction**: PUT (SHORT) * **Strike**: \$107.00 * **Expiry**: 2025-08-22 * **Entry Price**: \$0.85 (range: 0.85–0.95) * **Profit Target**: \$1.80 (\~100% gain) * **Stop Loss**: \$0.45 (50%) * **Size**: 1 contract * **Confidence**: 68% (bearish momentum tempered by mixed signals) * **Entry Timing**: Market Open Monday --- ## 📈 Breakeven @ Expiry 👉 \$106.15 (Strike – Premium) RBLX must **close < \$106.15 by 8/22** to finish ITM. Plan: exit early on volatility or momentum spike to secure gains. --- ## 🧠 Key Risks * Oversold bounces from bullish news 📰 * Low VIX → smaller premiums, potential whipsaw * Mixed market signals → use cautious sizing ⚠️ --- # ⚡ RBLX 107P WEEKLY PLAY ⚡ 🎯 In: \$0.85 → Out: \$1.80 🛑 Stop: \$0.45 📅 Exp: 8/22 📈 Bias: Bearish, but trade carefully around news & volatility --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON** ```json { "instrument": "RBLX", "direction": "put", "strike": 107.0, "expiry": "2025-08-22", "confidence": 0.68, "profit_target": 1.80, "stop_loss": 0.45, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-18 09:30:41 UTC-04:00" } ```

NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K Pump As anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high. ⸻ 🔻 Key Developments: • After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel. • This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone. • The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution. ⸻ 💡 Trading Thesis: We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to: • Attract liquidity up to $116K • Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower ⸻ 🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS) • 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F • 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected • 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range • 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets ⸻ 🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric) • Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination • Channel boundary now capped at $116K • Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K ⸻ 📌 Primary Scenario: • Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected • Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K 🧯 Invalidations: • Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure • Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management: • $116K = key distribution zone • Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation • Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K. ⸻ 💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!