eBay - At this high, the air is thinThis overshoot of the U-MLH is a nice opportunity to stalk ebay for a Short-Trade.
1. wait for a close inside the fork
2. expect a test/retest at the U-MLH
3. on a break of a pivot, I enter short.
Profit Target 1 is the Centerline.
Further downside is possible, but has to be shown below the CL.
Happy new week folks §8-)
Setup
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
50 4hour EMA is at 86.59.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
We look to Sell at 86.48 (stop at 86.88)
Our profit targets will be 85.28 and 85.08
Resistance: 86.65 / 87.00 / 87.50
Support: 86.00 / 85.55 / 85.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere.
The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia.
In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection.
Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies.
The air is thin, very thin up there.
And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped.
A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short.
Until then, just relax and watch the show.
EURAUD to see a turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.7950.
We look to Buy at 1.7850 (stop at 1.7815)
Our profit targets will be 1.7925 and 1.7950
Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7925 / 1.7950
Support: 1.7875 / 1.7850 / 1.7825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GC - Gold Re-Testing The L-MLH - Short AheadFirst we crack the L-MLH.
Then we got a test and now the re-test.
On a close outside the fork it's a present to short wit stops above somewhere the wicks high.
Profit at the orange Centerline (PTG1) and at the Red Centerline. All in all a wonderful trade with a decent risk/reward.
And if the train leaves without us, NO FOMO please §8-)
Crude Oil Short After Finding A Recurring BehaviorAfter I cleared the CL chart, I immediately saw a behavior that we can use for a setup right now.
You see that the highs got cracked, and then immediately price turns to the south. And since we are in a downtrend on Crude, we have a legit Short-Trade at hand.
With the modified Shiff-Fork you see how nice CL is reacting at the U-MLH, where it get's rejected. This level also coincides with the crack level.
I personally would love a pullback up to the crack-zone before shorting it. Maybe the trading Gods give us a gift on this Wednesday.
Talking about Wednesday: today we get the Crude Oil EIA numbers, which will probably move the markets.
However you plan is if you trade it, don't have FOMO. There are many more trades to come in your trading career.
Have a happy hump day §8-)
GBPNZD to continue in the upward move?GBPNZD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 2.3000 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 2.3075.
We look to Buy at 2.2950 (stop at 2.2900)
Our profit targets will be 2.3100 and 2.3125
Resistance: 2.3000 / 2.3050 / 2.3075
Support: 2.2975 / 2.2950 / 2.2925
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
BIO/USDT Analysis. Short Setup
This asset has shown a trend break. Above the current price, there are volume zones that have already received positioning. If one of them is tested and we see a reaction, we consider short entries. Target potential — ~$0.17.
Sell Zones:
$0.23–$0.26
$0.295–$0.32
*This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
Nasdaq - Intraday Setup & Potential TradePrice was not abel to trade out of the white forks U-MLH and got constantly rejected.
It cracked the little support and fell down, but missed the white Centerline, creating a HAGOPIAN.
Then price traded outside of the white fork, following a textbook test/retest at the white U-MLH and found support.
The yellow fork points upwards, showing us the most probable path of price.
Going long near the white U-MLH gives us several potential targets:
1. the orange Centerline
2 the yellow Centerline
3. the HAGOPIAN target line.
4. the orange U-MLH
Stops would be below the last red bars low, because this, as of the time of writing, is the best structural level to hide behind.
I'm off to the mountains, have a happy trading day!
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5800.
We look to Sell at 0.5880 (stop at 0.5910)
Our profit targets will be 0.5805 and 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5880 / 0.5900 / 0.5910
Support: 0.5850 / 0.5825 / 0.5800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
MSCI -Trading Within A Rolling ChopI love it how the Forks catch the most important angle for the underlyings.
Within the fork we can clearly see, that the L-MLH and the Centerline catch the High & Low of the rolling Chop, which is tilted to the upside.
Until the L-MLH is broken, there is no Short in sight, and we just can buy the Low and sell the High, with stops below structure or below the L-MLH.
Sometimes trading is simple - but it's seldom easy §8-)
WMT - Walmart turns southI attached the A-Handle of the fork to the GAP from November 2025, because a GAP is also a Pivot.
As we see, price reacts not bad at the Centerline.
Price failed to make a new high.
Then it broke the Centerline and retested it.
No we are trading in the midst of the old accummulation zone where Buyers hung out.
A nice bounce would be a good short opportunity.
Breaking the support zone also, but with lower Risk/Reward ratio.
Observing WMT for a potential short.
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support.
Entry: $62.90 – $63.20
Stop-Loss: $61.95
Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00
RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅
Why this works:
Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white).
Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks.
HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot).
Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white).
Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1.
Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure)
🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile!
⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly.
💬 Thoughts on this setup?
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge.
On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale.
Technically, the setup remains strong:
– Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200)
– EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact
– Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation
– RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion
Targets remain aligned with the structure:
– tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag
– tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern
Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure.
LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
+12% potential trade in KRN KRN is showing strong signs of institutional participation with sustained money inflows and a clear Point of Control (POC) shift. After weeks of volume dry-up near the base, we now see a sharp expansion in relative volume (RVol > 6x), confirming demand absorption.
The stock is also respecting my 50 SMA baseline strategy, consolidating above the moving average and building higher lows. The supply zone around ₹933 is being tested, and a clean breakout with heavy volume can open the path toward the ₹1,010+ zone.
Why Long
Institutional money inflow visible in OBV/volume structure
PPV showing accumulation and higher control zone
Extended period of volume contraction → classic re-accumulation setup
Price reclaiming and holding above 50SMA baseline
Breakout from supply with strong relative volume (RVol 600%+)
FORM/USDT Analysis. Two Interesting Trade Opportunities
This asset has broken its overall uptrend, and in the long term the potential remains directed towards $3–$2.7. However, during the current decline, we observe a strong divergence with cumulative delta: the price is falling while delta is rising, which indicates a possible strong limit buy.
Locally, we consider a long entry on a test of the $3.55–$3.5 zone if a reaction occurs. After that, if the price reaches the $3.85–$4 zone, we will consider a short position.
This publication is not financial advice.
NZDUSD to see a temporary move higher<NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.5800 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5860.
We look to Sell at 0.5850 (stop at 0.5880)
Our profit targets will be 0.5775 and 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5860 / 0.5875
Support: 0.5800 / 0.5775 / 0.5760
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SKL/USDT Analysis. Interesting Long Opportunity
We have previously provided analysis on this token, along with an update in the comments (the post is pinned).
At the moment, the price has entered an important buy zone, where a market buyer has appeared, and a graphical trend break has occurred.
We consider joining long positions on a retest of the local zone at $0.0315–$0.03. The initial target is $0.04.
This publication is not financial advice.
GOLD 4H - all eyes on 3350, death cross at workThe technical picture on gold strengthens the bearish case: on the 4H chart, a death cross (MA50 crossing MA200 downward) has formed, signaling short-term pressure from sellers. The key sell zone is 3350, where the 0.618 Fibonacci, descending trendline, and volume cluster converge. From here, a downward move is expected with first targets at 3311, then 3285, and extended potential towards 3270 (127.2–161.8 Fibo). Volume confirms declining buyer interest near local highs, while RSI shows reversal divergence, adding weight to the bearish scenario.
Fundamentally , gold is under pressure as the market factors in the possibility of more aggressive Fed actions if inflation risks persist. At the same time, safe-haven demand is weakening due to DXY stabilization. Geopolitics is not providing immediate triggers for gold hedging, which also cools investor interest.
Tactical plan: if 3350 acts as resistance, it opens an attractive short opportunity toward the mentioned targets. However, if price breaks and consolidates above 3350, the scenario must be reassessed as stop-hunting will begin.
Ironically, gold - the eternal store of value - acts like a teenager again: offended at 3350 and ready for a tantrum downwards.
GBPAUD intraday dips continue to attract buyers.GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Price action is forming a bullish flag which has a bias to break to the upside.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 2.0862.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 2.0871 (stop at 2.0811)
Our profit targets will be 2.1051 and 2.1091
Resistance: 2.1006 / 2.1050 / 2.1100
Support: 2.0880 / 2.0820 / 2.0783
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
MSTR Ponzi is paying for my yearly steak & lobster subscriptionWe can see that from the white Centerline, MSTR has only been heading south. In contrast, Bitcoin has held up quite a bit better so far.
If you go back through my posts, you’ll see that I’ve been warning for a long time that MSTR is basically feeding itself. That simply can’t end well!
Either way – we gratefully take our profit and wait until we reach the lower centerline. Because we know there’s about an 80% chance that the price will fall back into temporary equilibrium, the Centerline
And if you’re not too greedy, well then you take 70%–80% of the profits now and let the rest run.
Anyone who was able to learn something from this trade or even make profits is welcome to boost and comment. §8-)
YT video will be available tomorrow.
...and on we go.