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NZDJPY intraday dips continue to attract buyers.NZDJPY - 24h expiry Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 88.88 has been pivotal. 20 4hour EMA is at 89.62. The RSI is trending higher. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. We look to Buy at 89.62 (stop at 89.22) Our profit targets will be 90.82 and 91.02 Resistance: 90.07 / 90.50 / 91.00 Support: 89.60 / 89.06 / 88.88 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
EURAUD to find buyers at current market price?EURAUD - 24h expiry The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the intraday chart. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.7650 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.7800. We look to Buy at 1.7600 (stop at 1.7525) Our profit targets will be 1.7750 and 1.7800 Resistance: 1.7650 / 1.7700 / 1.7750 Support: 1.7600 / 1.7550 / 1.7525 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups for Tue (Dec 2nd)The market structure remains optimistic on the higher timeframes, bolstered by a significant rebound from the 6,520 levels. Currently, prices are fluctuating in the upper range of this move, consolidating between the intraday support and the previous weekly high. Although momentum indicators are stretched, they have yet to indicate a reversal, suggesting a potential continuation toward resistance levels R1 and possibly R2, provided that buyers can uphold the nearest support zones. Conversely, a failure to maintain support at S1 and S2 could pave the way for a deeper corrective phase targeting S3. The levels are remain the same from yesterday analysis. A++ SETUP 1 - LONG FROM S2 RELOAD BAND (6,790-6,805) look for an overnight or early NY flush into 6,800 ± 10 points, followed by a strong rejection: wick below S2 on 15m, close back inside the band, plus a higher low on 5m. Entry zone: 6,800-6,795 (inside S2 once rejection shows). Hard stop: 6,780 (below the lower edge of S2 and recent wick structure). TP1: 6,845-6,855 (back through S1 into the middle of the current range). TP2: 6,870-6,885 (R1 test). A++ SETUP 2 - SHORT LIQUIDITY SWEEP INTO R1 (6,870-6,885) during London or NY AM, price spikes through 6,870 into the 6,870-6,885 band, takes out prior highs, but then prints a rejection: 15m candle with an upper wick and close back below about 6,875, plus a lower high on 5m. Entry zone: 6,875-6,880 after the rejection is confirmed, not on the first blind touch. Hard stop: 6,895 (above the top of R1; acceptance above there suggests a push toward R2). TP1: 6,835-6,840 (back into S1). TP2: 6,800-6,795 (retest of S2). Key Events and Data to Watch on Tuesday Tomorrow's U.S. session will be pivotal, focusing on key indicators of manufacturing and construction. The final S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET, followed closely by the ISM Manufacturing Index at 10:00 a.m. ET—both crucial for assessing factory activity and the momentum of economic growth. Concurrently, the Commerce Department will unveil October Construction Spending figures, a vital metric for understanding demand in infrastructure and housing sectors. Additionally, domestic vehicle sales data will be published, providing further insight into consumer strength. Moreover, the OECD's latest Economic Outlook will present updated global growth projections, which could significantly influence market risk appetite. As markets remain attuned to indicators of decelerating economic activity, any surprises in these reports could lead to notable shifts between support levels (S2) and resistance levels (R1/R2), potentially reinforcing expectations for a rate cut from the Fed in December.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, PA Forecast, Setups Fri (Nov 21)Analyzing Today’s Sharp Market Decline The significant selloff observed today was not an arbitrary event. The day began with a robust rally following another impressive earnings report in the AI-chip sector, which propelled futures sharply upward and triggered a short squeeze in the Nasdaq. However, the release of a stronger-than-anticipated jobs report shifted the market's sentiment. While hiring showed signs of rebounding, the unemployment rate also ticked higher, undermining the prevailing narrative that the Federal Reserve would soon lower interest rates. This development served as a stark reminder of the ongoing restrictive monetary policy, coupled with slowing economic growth and exorbitant valuations in the tech sector. Major investment funds capitalized on the morning’s strength in AI and large-cap stocks as an opportunity to reduce their risk exposure. Additionally, systematic trend-followers faced compulsion to sell once the S&P 500 fell below critical support levels. The environment for high-beta assets, including cryptocurrencies, is already in a “reset” phase, which left little incentive for dip-buying at lower price points. As the E-mini S&P 500 futures broke through the previous day’s support levels, the situation escalated into a full liquidation. This perfect storm involved trapped long positions from the morning breakout, stop-loss orders falling into execution beneath yesterday’s lows, and mechanical selling, culminating in the largest intraday reversal since the spring. Market Outlook The current market sentiment is skewed bearish as the ES remains entrenched below the critical 6,660 to 6,700 range. The price is hovering near a significant demand zone established around the lows of the previous trading day and today’s New York session. While we can expect some upward bounces, these movements appear to be temporary rallies within an ongoing downtrend, rather than indicators of a potential new upward leg. Market Analysis: Is This the Beginning of a Downtrend or a Temporary Shakeout? In the recent developments within the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) on the daily timeframe, we’ve observed the formation of a distinct lower high following the recent all-time peak. This shift has seen prices breach the last identified higher-low area, establishing a new narrative. The sequence has transitioned from a higher high to a lower high, culminating in a movement into prior demand zones marked by increased volume, all while momentum appears to be rolling over. On the four-hour chart, the prevailing trend reflects a series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent selloff has further entrenched this trajectory into the discount zone, now signaling proximity to the next Fibonacci retracement target below. While momentum indicators have already dipped from overbought conditions, they have not yet reached deeply oversold thresholds, indicating potential for another leg downward following any short-term corrective bounce. From a broader perspective, the long-term trend remains positive; however, a short- to medium-term corrective phase appears to be in play. Today’s market dynamics suggest we may be in the midst of this corrective leg rather than witnessing the final downturn. As prices have recently entered a significant demand zone, a bounce lasting one to three sessions—or a period of sideways consolidation—seems likely before any potential further decline. In summary, while current conditions favor a move towards lower prices in the days ahead, the market likely anticipates a "lower after a bounce" scenario rather than an immediate and steep decline. Key resistance zones Resistance is written as bands, not single ticks. R1: 6,589–6,600 This band sits around the current Asia-session high and the underside of today’s New York low. It is the first lid above price. If rallies stall here, the tape stays heavy and favors another test of the lows. R2: 6,634–6,658 This is the main breakdown zone from today, centered around the New York afternoon high and the upper edge of the late-session range. As long as ES trades below this shelf, the short-term downtrend remains intact and every bounce is suspect. R3: 6,760.5–6,791.25 This band covers the New York morning low-to-high range and the origin of the big sell leg. If price ever retests this area and fails, it is a prime region for larger swing shorts. Only sustained trade and closes above this pocket would suggest the current corrective leg is ending. --- Key support zones S1: 6,575–6,552 This is the immediate floor combining the Asia-session low, New York afternoon low, and prior-day value low. It is where we are effectively trading now. Expect reactive bounces and stop-runs here, as both sides are active. S2: 6,525–6,509 This is the next downside magnet if S1 breaks cleanly. It aligns with a fib extension and 4-hour demand. A decisive move into this region would represent the next step down in the correction. S3: 6,430–6,418 Deeper extension and prior higher-timeframe demand. If the correction matures into a more serious pullback over several sessions, this pocket becomes a reasonable medium-term downside destination. A++ Setup 1 – Short from R2 supply (continuation short) Direction: Short Entry zone: 6,638–6,648 SL (hard stop): 6,678 TP1: 6,588 TP2: 6,552 TP3: 6,515 Invalidation (structure): If we get a 15m full-body close above 6,675, treat the short idea as invalid and stand aside; market is likely shifting into a squeeze toward 6,700+ instead of extending the down leg. --- A++ Setup 2 – Quick-reclaim long from S1 demand (counter-trend bounce) Direction: Long Entry logic: need a flush then reclaim Entry zone (after reclaim): 6,562–6,568 SL (hard stop): 6,538 TP1: 6,610 TP2: 6,638 TP3: 6,660 Invalidation (structure): If price breaks below 6,552 and 15m closes stay below 6,545 without a fast reclaim, the bounce idea is invalid; then you wait for the deeper S2 zone instead of forcing longs here. Good Luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups for Wed (Nov 19th)Market Analysis: A Shift in Momentum for ES In today's market, the daily chart for the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) reveals a notable shift in momentum, characterized by a sequence of price action that signals a potential downtrend. Previously, we observed a high, followed by a lower high, and today's movement has decisively broken through the last remaining support at the higher-low shelf. This change comes after a rejection from the recent lower-high zone, situated just below the 6,900 mark, followed by a retreat through the crucial 6,700 threshold. What initially appeared to be a bullish uptick is now consolidating into a corrective downswing. Today's significant drop marks the continuation of this emerging downward trajectory. Prices breached intraday support around 6,675 to 6,700, slid past the prior higher-low region near 6,635, and ultimately settled atop the initial daily demand zone. Notably, the selling volume during this decline expanded compared to previous sessions, underscoring that this movement reflects genuine market participation rather than mere fluctuations. While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, reflected in the weekly trend, the daily and four-hour charts currently indicate a pronounced short-term downtrend. Key indicators include the formation of a lower high, the breach of the previous higher-low, and a liquidity run to the downside toward the extension cluster. As we move forward, this developing bearish scenario suggests potential for further declines in the coming sessions, though we are positioned within local demand territory, indicating that bounces and two-directional trading are likely in the near term. Key Resistance Zones Resistance 1: 6,637 This level represents today’s late-session swing high on the 30-minute chart, denoted as the S-session high (S.H 6,637). It serves as the initial resistance point above the current market price. Resistance 2: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50 A cluster of highs, with NYAM.H marked at 6,679.75, LO.H at 6,685.75, and NYPM.H at 6,687.50, forms a critical intraday supply pocket. This region represents the primary A++ short zone should the price experience a bounce. Resistance 3: 6,700 – 6,720 Above the NY session high band, the 4-hour chart highlights a previously broken support shelf and local supply just below 6,720. Any movement back into this area would likely be corrective within the ongoing downswing unless the E-mini S&P can close and hold a daily candle above this range. Higher-Timeframe Cap: Any price action remaining below the recent daily lower-high zone—situated near the last significant LH before the drop—maintains a bearish bias for the larger swing. A definitive daily close above this lower-high would be necessary to negate the current short-term downtrend. --- Key Support Zones Support 1: 6,627.50 and 6,614.75 The AS.L level is printed at 6,627.50, with the NL.L around 6,614.75 on the 30-minute chart. Together, these levels form the initial local support shelf just beneath the current price. Support 2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25 Marked by NYPM.L at 6,606.50 and NYAM.L at 6,603.25, this band serves as the next area of resting liquidity from today’s trading sessions. A clean break and sustained move below this range could pave the way for the Fibonacci targets below. Support 3 (Major Fibonacci Cluster): 6,541.50 – 6,509.00 On the 1-hour chart, the 1.272 Fibonacci level is found at 6,541.50, while the 4-hour chart places it at 6,509.00. The daily chart marks the 1.272 at 6,521.25, creating a significant demand box from approximately 6,541 down to 6,509, with 6,521 serving as a mid-pivot. This is the pivotal "bounce or break" zone. Support 4 (Deeper Extension Pocket): 6,501.75 – 6,458.00 The 1-hour chart identifies the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 6,501.75 and the 2.0 extension at 6,458.00. The 4-hour chart aligns the 1.618 at 6,429.25 and the 2.0 at 6,341.50, with the daily chart placing the 1.618 at 6,418.00 and the 2.0 around 6,304.00. The initial focus for tomorrow is the 6,502–6,458 region. Should the 6,541–6,509 band fail, this area becomes a strong magnet where a more pronounced short-covering bounce is likely. The definitive structural line on the downside is the cumulative daily 1.618–2.0 cluster, ranging from approximately 6,418 down to 6,304. A decline to this range could signify a major correction leg rather than a mere shallow pullback. A++ SETUP 1 — REJECTION SHORT FROM NY HIGH BAND Trigger: 15m: candle wicks into 6,680–6,688 and closes back below about 6,675. 5m/1m: a failed attempt to push higher (lower high) after that rejection. Entry: Aggressive: enter short 6,678–6,682 after the 15m rejection close and 1m fails to make new highs. Conservative: limit sell in 6,680–6,685 on a controlled retest from below. Stop (hard invalidation): Around 6,698.00 above the band and intraday highs (about 16–20 points of risk if filled 6,678–6,682). Targets: TP1: 6,637.00 (session swing high). From 6,680 entry with 6,698 stop ≈ 2.3R. TP2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25 (NYPM.L / NYAM.L shelf), ≈ 4R from 6,680 entry. TP3: 6,541.50 – 6,521.25 (top of fib demand cluster), campaign-style extension. A++ SETUP 2 — EXHAUSTION LONG FROM FIB CLUSTER DEMAND Trigger: 15m: price trades below 6,530, tags 6,521–6,509, then closes back above about 6,530 (wick through, body back up). 5m/1m: a higher low forms above roughly 6,520 after that reclaim; sellers fail to push back below the cluster. Entry: Aggressive: 6,525–6,535 on the first higher low on 1m/5m after the 15m reclaim of 6,530. Conservative: limit buy near 6,525 on a controlled retest into the top of the cluster after the first reaction. Stop (hard invalidation): Around 6,497.00 under the bottom of the cluster and recent swing low (≈ 30–38 points of risk if entered 6,525–6,535). Targets: TP1: 6,595–6,600 (broken structure and local VWAP zone). From 6,530 entry with 6,497 stop ≈ 2R. TP2: 6,637.00 (S-session high and first major resistance). TP3: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50 (NYAM.H / LO.H / NYPM.H band), where a bounce can turn into a full squeeze. Upcoming Economic Indicators For tomorrow's trading session (Wednesday, U.S. time), traders should keep an eye on several key economic releases: - At 8:30 AM ET, the U.S. will release Housing Starts and Building Permits for October, along with import/export price indices. These figures are vital for gauging growth, especially after a series of subdued permits and erratic starts. - At 10:30 AM ET, the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, alongside crude inventory data, is expected to influence energy markets and broader risk sentiment. - Later in the afternoon, markets will be attentive to FOMC minutes and remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, both of which could impact rate-cut expectations based on the overall tone relative to recent communications. Good luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MyAlgoIndex
GBPAUD has formed a double top.GBPAUD - 24h expiry Posted a Double Top formation. We look for a temporary move higher. The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment. The overnight rally has been sold into and there is scope for further bearish pressure going into this morning. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. We look to Sell at 2.0305 (stop at 2.0381) Our profit targets will be 2.0085 and 2.0045 Resistance: 2.0260 / 2.0343 / 2.0400 Support: 2.0150 / 2.0100 / 2.0030 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 18th)ES experienced a notable decline, concluding the day with a sharp downturn but managed a late-session rebound off a significant demand zone. At this juncture, it appears to be a robust corrective phase within an overarching uptrend, with a reasonable probability of a bounce or a range-bound trading day ahead, barring any unexpected developments from data releases or commentary from Federal Reserve speakers. Looking ahead to tomorrow, November 18, 2025, the economic calendar is unusually packed for a Tuesday, as various U.S. data are set to be released following delays caused by a government shutdown. Key indicators to watch that could influence ES during the New York session include the import and export price indexes for October at 8:30 AM ET, industrial production and capacity utilization figures also for October at 9:15 AM ET, and the NAHB housing market index for November at 10:00 AM ET. Additionally, several Federal Reserve officials, including Barr, Waller, Williams, and Kashkari, are scheduled to speak throughout the day. The market is particularly attuned to their insights regarding the likelihood of another rate cut, especially in light of the recently released October FOMC minutes and this week’s jobs report. Given the abundance of potential market-moving information, I would consider the period from 9:15 to 10:15 AM ET as a critical window for "headline risk" tomorrow. The recent market decline can largely be attributed to macroeconomic factors: The S&P 500 cash index ended the day down approximately 0.9%, with the Dow falling around 1.2% and the Nasdaq declining by about 0.8%. This pullback has moved the indices further away from their all-time highs established last month. The selling pressure was particularly acute among mega-cap technology stocks and the AI sector. Major players such as Nvidia, Apple, Palantir, and AMD faced heavy trading as investors began to question whether the recent surge in tech stocks, driven by AI enthusiasm, had outpaced underlying fundamentals ahead of Nvidia’s earnings release on Wednesday. Market sentiment was further dampened by a noteworthy prediction from Stifel's chief strategist, who suggested a potential 5% drop in the S&P 500, targeting a level around 6,350 in the coming months. This outlook was based on concerns regarding high valuations and uncertainties surrounding the Fed’s future policy as delayed economic data begins to materialize. Interestingly, the yield on 10-year Treasuries dipped slightly towards ~4.13% , indicating that today’s selloff was more of a de-risking/profit-taking maneuver specific to equities rather than a reflection of widespread risk aversion typically signaled by bond market movements. From a technical perspective on the ES futures: Intraday trading patterns reflected a continuation of last week’s trend of lower highs and lower lows. Prices faltered near the 6,800–6,805 mark during the overnight session before entering a clear downtrend through the morning. The volume accelerated during the late-morning selloff, ultimately reaching a low around the 6,658–6,660 band, which coincides with established daily demand zones. Following this drop, we observed a pronounced shift in behavior: significant buying volume surged at the lows, leading to a rejected price at that demand zone and a controlled short-covering rally back above 6,690, approaching the 6,700–6,705 range as the day closed. The Nasdaq exhibited a similar trajectory, with a heavy selloff subsequently followed by a recovery. Structurally, today’s activity reflects: A strong continuation of downside movement, stemming from last week’s lower-high structure and macro-driven de-risking, culminating in a liquidity flush into a previously identified demand pocket followed by short-covering toward the close. From a broader perspective, is this the beginning of a genuine downtrend? On the daily chart, ES remains within a larger uptrend originating from the summer lows. A higher peak above 6,900 was established in late October, with the current pullback representing a decline of approximately 3–4% from that peak. Today's trading reached the 6,650–6,670 support region, which previously served as a vital higher low space, before closing back above it. Daily momentum indicators have rolled over but are beginning to flatten, indicating they are not yet deeply oversold. In contrast, the shorter-term 4-hour and 1-hour views present a more bearish outlook: a sequence of lower highs has formed, and the retest of prior higher low levels appears to be underway. Short-term moving averages have shifted downward, and 4-hour momentum remains negative, albeit with initial signs of a slight positive divergence compared to new price lows. In summary: I interpret this phase as a significant corrective downswing within a larger uptrend rather than the onset of a new bear market. The potential for a more substantial correction exists, particularly if Nvidia’s earnings disappoint or if the run of delayed economic data proves weak. However, the day's trading indicates more of a necessary adjustment rather than the onset of a catastrophic decline, aligning with institutional views that this pullback signifies a "healthy reset" following a robust advance, rather than an indication of a market bubble bursting. Should ES close below the 6,650 mark on a daily basis and subsequently begin to print lower highs under that level, I would increase my assessment of the risk of a transition into a more enduring downtrend, with targets around the 6,350–6,400 range over the coming weeks, echoing Stifel's projections. For the time being, however, buyers continue to defend this crucial daily support zone. Key zones to monitor for tomorrow, in the futures market: I identify the following support zones: 6,658–6,650: This region marks today’s New York PM low and aligns with the prior day’s low. It serves as the first critical intraday support level. As long as ES maintains closes above this area on 1-hour and 4-hour charts, I consider the movement to be a corrective phase rather than a broader downtrend.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis for Week Ahead (Nov 17th - 21st)Market Analysis: ES1 - Navigating Recent Price Action and Upcoming Economic Catalysts Current Price Context: The E-mini S&P 500 (ES1) is currently trading in the range of 6,755 to 6,785, following a sharp pullback from the 6,880 to 6,900 peak and a notable rebound off the 6,650 levels. While both the weekly and daily structures exhibit an overarching uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows, we are presently experiencing a mid-pullback phase, with prices resting below a newly established supply zone spanning 6,850 to 6,900. Importantly, we remain above the key demand shelf situated around 6,650 to 6,670. Big Picture Overview: Weekly and Daily Trends - Weekly Analysis: Over recent months, ES has ascended from approximately 6,000 to the 6,900 level. The past few weeks have seen a new high printed, followed by a red candle signaling a pullback towards mid-range levels. Despite this corrective move, we maintain a buffer above the preceding weekly low near the 6,500 to 6,550 range, affirming the uptrend. The current price action appears more as a corrective pause rather than a definitive peak. - Daily Perspective: After reaching a new high just shy of the 6,900 mark, the market retreated into the mid-6,600s before bouncing back. Recent daily candles indicate a phase of consolidation within the 6,730 to 6,780 range, characterized by wicks on both ends and diminishing body sizes, alongside reduced volume compared to earlier volatility. Oscillator indicators are retreating from overbought conditions but appear to be stabilizing, suggesting a digestion phase rather than a full-scale momentum breakdown. Shorter Timeframe Analysis (4-Hour and 1-Hour): - On the 4-hour chart, a completed downward impulse from around 6,880 to the low 6,650s has been observed, with the price touching the 1.272 Fibonacci extension at approximately 6,653. Additional Fibonacci levels below include 6,597 (1.618) and 6,536 (2.0). The price action around the 1.272 extension has prompted a robust response, featuring significant green candles and increased volume, establishing a base between 6,700 and 6,800. - On the 1-hour chart, the market exhibits a minor uptrend (from lower lows to higher highs) that has encountered resistance around 6,780. Currently, price action is consolidating near a pivot level of 6,750, leading to the establishment of a balance range between 6,720 and 6,780 as we head into Monday. Summary: The broader context remains bullish on higher timeframes, with a corrective phase taking root on the medium timeframe, while the short-term landscape indicates balance. This scenario represents a classic "trend pullback parked on key support," with next week's developments likely steering us either back toward the highs or engendering a deeper test of 6,600 or 6,550, contingent on forthcoming economic data and Fed commentary. Macro and Event Landscape: A Busy Week Ahead The recent U.S. government shutdown has resulted in a considerable backlog of economic data releases. Market participants will be closely monitoring delayed payroll data, along with other significant indicators such as industrial production and housing metrics that are being released simultaneously. This aggregation of data is anticipated to introduce intraday volatility, particularly during the 8:30 to 10:00 AM ET windows. Key Economic Indicators to Watch: - Core Data Releases: In the week of November 17–21, critical releases include: - Empire State manufacturing index - Import and export price indices - Industrial production and capacity utilization figures for October - Housing starts and building permits scheduled for mid-week - Additional delayed labor data later in the week as agencies address the backlog. - FOMC Minutes and Fed Commentary: The release of the FOMC minutes from the late October meeting will communicate the Fed's confidence in the recent improvements in inflation and its openness to potential rate cuts in December. A lineup of Fed speakers is set to take the stage, likely influencing market sentiment and causing price reactions based on their comments. - Corporate Earnings: Noteworthy earnings reports from Nvidia and major retailers, including Walmart, are on the calendar. Nvidia's performance will be scrutinized as a barometer for the AI segment, while insights from retail giants will provide a glimpse into consumer health as the holiday season approaches. Strong results coupled with optimistic guidance tend to buoy ES, while any disappointments could weigh on index futures, especially given the concentrated leadership from a handful of major tech stocks. Market Sentiment and Positioning: Rate-cut expectations for December have decreased to about 40%, leaving investors cautious but not overly alarmed. This environment allows for potential relief rallies if data and Fed sentiments tilt favorably, while a series of negative reports may trigger a notable risk-off sentiment. Conclusion: The upcoming week is poised to be event-driven, lacking a singular "mega" release like CPI but rather presenting a series of medium-to-large catalysts (Fed minutes, late payrolls, industrial production, housing statistics, Nvidia, and Walmart). Traders should be prepared for choppy conditions and liquidity fluctuations around the release times, with clearer directional moves anticipated between these events. KEY ZONES – RESISTANCE Resistance 1: 6,780–6,800 Immediate intraday cap formed by the last 1h high and the 4h supply block from Friday. This is the ceiling that has repeatedly turned price in the last session. A 1h or 4h close above 6,800 would confirm that buyers are back in control and likely aim for 6,850+ fairly quickly. Resistance 2: 6,840–6,880 This is the core of the recent 4h supply and sits just below the prior daily high. It’s where the last strong sell program launched. If price trades into this pocket on light volume and stalls, that favours a lower-high top and another rotation back toward 6,720–6,700. If the tape pushes through decisively, shorts will be forced to cover. Resistance 3: 6,900–6,930 Recent swing high / weak high area on daily. It’s the obvious target for any early-week squeeze. If this zone gets cleaned out and holds on the retest, the uptrend resumes and we can start talking about higher fib extensions and a run toward the 7,000 handle. A sharp rejection here, especially around Fed minutes or Nvidia earnings, would fit a double-top pattern and could kick off a deeper pullback leg. Resistance 4: 7,050–7,200 This band lines up with the daily fib projection cluster (around 7,180–7,325) from the prior leg and the upper edge of the larger weekly supply. It’s not expected to be reached immediately, but if data and earnings line up bullishly, this is the swing target area for longs initiated off the 6,650–6,700 support. KEY ZONES – SUPPORT Support 1: 6,720–6,740 This is Friday’s late-day base and Sunday evening pivot zone, sitting right around current price. It lines up with the 1h equilibrium where price has been rotating. As long as ES holds above 6,720 on closing basis, buyers are defending the immediate balance and can make another push toward 6,780–6,800. Support 2: 6,650–6,670 This is the recent swing low on 4h and sits just above the 1.272 extension (~6,653). It’s the first real higher-timeframe demand pocket of this pullback. A clean tag and strong bounce here would look like a classic trend-pullback low forming. A sustained break under 6,650 would suggest the market isn’t done repricing and opens the door to the deeper fibs. Support 3: 6,595–6,610 This cluster includes the 1.618 extension (~6,597) and prior breakout structure from earlier in the trend. It’s the “deeper but still healthy” retrace area; if ES flushes into this band on bad data then snaps back, it can still preserve the weekly uptrend. Failing here would start to threaten the bullish structure and invite a test toward the prior weekly low. Support 4: 6,530–6,560 The 2.0 extension (~6,535) plus the weekly prior low / PML region. This is a major higher-timeframe floor. If ES ever gets here this week, the tape is likely under stress, but it also becomes the zone where large buyers usually test the waters for a bigger swing entry. A weekly close below ~6,530 would be the first real warning that the uptrend is morphing into something more corrective or even distributive. Support 5 (deeper swing): 6,300–6,350 Older weekly demand and prior quarterly low / PQL area. Not a base case for this week, but important to note as the “catastrophic” downside magnet if something truly breaks (data shock, earnings disaster, geopolitical flare-up). SETUPS – WEEK AHEAD IDEA PACK 1. Trend-pullback continuation long from support Location: 6,650–6,670 primary, 6,595–6,610 secondary. Trigger idea: Look for an overnight or early-week sweep into 6,650–6,670 that quickly rejects (long lower wick on 1h / 4h, strong reclaim back above 6,680). Ideally, this happens outside the heaviest data windows so it’s more order-flow driven than headline noise. If that fails and price drives into 6,595–6,610 instead, repeat the same logic there: washout, strong reaction, then a reclaim of 6,620–6,630 as confirmation that buyers stepped in. Upside path from this setup: First target is the 6,780–6,800 cap. If that gives way, next magnet is 6,840–6,880, then a possible extension run at the 6,900–6,930 recent high area. Later in the week, if macro tailwinds show up, this move can stretch toward 7,000 and, in an optimistic case, into the 7,100+ fib cluster. Risk management conceptually: From a swing perspective, the “line in the sand” for this idea is under 6,595. A clean daily close below that level would invalidate the shallow-pullback idea and suggest we are heading toward 6,530–6,560 or lower. 2. Short-term fade from the 6,840–6,880 / 6,900 pocket Location: 6,840–6,880 first, 6,900–6,930 as extension. Trigger idea: If ES trades up into 6,840–6,880 ahead of Fed minutes or the Nvidia/Walmart prints and shows tired price action (long upper wicks on 15m/1h, loss of intraday momentum, failure to hold above 6,860), that area is attractive for a tactical short aiming back toward the 6,780–6,750 pivot. A more aggressive fade is possible into 6,900–6,930 if the first test breaches 6,880 but immediately stalls at the prior high. Downside path from this setup: First magnet is the 6,780–6,800 band, then the balance base at 6,720–6,740. If that gives way on a macro shock, sellers can push for a retest of 6,650–6,670. Risk management conceptually: For shorts initiated at 6,840–6,880, a protective stop makes sense above 6,910–6,920. Fades taken into a full sweep of 6,900–6,930 should respect a hard stop above ~6,950; above that, risk of a proper breakout toward 7,000+ increases sharply. 3. Range-trade scalps inside 6,720–6,780 While ES is stuck inside this intraday box, there is room for mean-reversion trades: buying dips into 6,720–6,730 and selling pushes into 6,770–6,780 with tight intraday stops. This is a lower-quality idea compared to the bigger levels, but it’s relevant if Monday and early Tuesday stay choppy while everyone waits for the meat of the calendar mid-week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
Gold continuation patternHere's exactly my idea, confirm it before you enter a trade! daily and 3H timeframe gaps. recommended to hit that gap only before it retraces back to 3600-3700 or above zone again. Wait for that entry buy zone again. Or if you want to short this idea. look on 3H swept. Chart is on daily. we might see 4180-4200, that's my short zone! If you're having a good thoughts comment yours. this is a free community. Been dealing this moves. It's my base fibonacci level 1.61 above/retrace! before the price continues higher. Follow for more. Watch only my zones entry buy/sell , Long/short! choose wisely. To invest in my idea direct/private me here! with 70-30 split profit!
TVC:GOLD
by D1GITALTRADES
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups for Wed (Nov 12)Price closed near the prior week’s highs after a clear four-hour impulsive leg from last Friday’s low. Momentum appears constructive while the 15-minute swing structure holds higher lows above the New York value shelf. Setups: Play A — Acceptance Long: Wait for a 15m full-body close ≥6,900 and a 5m pullback that holds ≥6,892–6,895. Enter on a 1m HL reclaim. Hard SL = 15m trigger-wick low minus 0.25–0.50. TP1 6,915. TP2 6,935. TP3 6,955–6,975. Viability gate: TP1 must be ≥2.0R versus the 15m stop. Play B — Rejection Fade: If 6,900–6,915 rejects with a 15m close back inside ≤6,889, enter on a 5m re-close lower and a 1m LH. Hard SL = 6,905–6,912 (above rejection wick). TP1 6,872. TP2 6,852. TP3 6,839→6,810 if momentum accelerates. Bias & Invalidation: Bias is mildly bullish while 6,865–6,872 holds on 15m closes. Bias flips neutral-to-bearish on decisive 15m body-through below 6,839. Kill-Zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00 for entries. Manage through Lunch. NY PM 13:30–16:00 for follow-through or fades into exhaustion. News & Events (tomorrow): No CPI risk on the docket. Watch the U.S. 10-Year Note auction around 13:00 ET and headline risk from the OPEC and IEA monthly oil reports in the morning; both can sway rates and index tone.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for (Nov 11th)S (Dec) Plan for Tue, Nov 11 — Level-KZ Protocol (15/5/1). Bias is constructive while trading above the 6,838–6,845 range; the first test into 6,880–6,900 serves as a decision point. Thinner liquidity is expected around the U.S. holiday, so execute trades only within NY kill zones. Setups (trade the level → next level; 15m→5m→1m sequence) Long — Bounce at 6,838–6,845: sweep/quick-reclaim → 5m re-close → 1m HL entry. Hard SL below 6,830 wick. TP1 6,872–6,880, TP2 6,900, TP3 6,930. Viability gate: TP1 ≥ 2.0R. Long — Acceptance above 6,900: full 15m body close >6,900 → hold the retest → 1m HL. SL below trigger wick. TP1 6,930, TP2 6,955–6,970, runner eyes weak-high cleanup. Short — Rejection fade 6,900–6,930: wick through → 15m close back below 6,895 → 5m LH. SL above session high. TP1 6,872, TP2 6,845, TP3 6,805; lose 6,805 and momentum can slide toward 6,770 then 6,733. News & session conditions (ET) U.S. Veterans Day — equities open; U.S. bond market closed; U.S. macro slate is light. Overnight focus: NZ inflation expectations (evening ET), U.K. Labour Market (pre-London), Germany ZEW (pre-NY). Expect patchy liquidity around the holiday; be strict with the 2R viability gate and trade only inside NY AM/PM kill-zones.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
4
ES (SPX, SPY) Key Levels, Analysis and Setups for Fri (Oct 7th)EVENTS (ET, unaffected by shutdown): 3:00am NY Fed Williams speech; 7:00am Fed Vice Chair Jefferson speech; 10:00am Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (prelim); 2:00pm Fed G.19 Consumer Credit. Employment Situation report is postponed due to the shutdown (treat as no 8:30am print). SETUPS (Level-KZ Protocol 15m→5m→1m) ES LONG (A++) — 6,767 reclaim → 6,784 → 6,821 Entry: 6,768–6,772 after a 5m close and hold above 6,767 with 1m HL confirmation. Hard SL: 6,755. TP1: 6,784. TP2: 6,821. TP3: 6,845 if momentum persists. ES SHORT (A++) — 6,784–6,790 pop-and-fail → 6,749 → 6,733 Entry: 6,782–6,789 on a 15m rejection close back inside the band followed by a 5m re-close down. Hard SL: 6,796. TP1: 6,767. TP2: 6,749. TP3: 6,733. ES LONG (A+ Bounce) — 6,742–6,749 sweep & instant reclaim → 6,767 → 6,784 Entry: 6,750–6,753 after a swift reclaim and 1m HL. Hard SL: 6,740. TP1: 6,767. TP2: 6,784. TP3: 6,821. ES SHORT (A+ Continuation) — 6,733 breakdown & retest → 6,700 → 6,659 Entry: 6,732–6,728 on 15m acceptance below 6,733 and a 5m LH retest. Hard SL: 6,744. TP1: 6,700. TP2: 6,659. TP3: 6,597. KILL-ZONES & MANAGEMENT Asia 20:00–00:00 optional and lighter size, London 02:00–05:00 optional, NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary for entries, Lunch 12:00–13:00 manage only, NY PM 13:30–16:00 allows second push or reversal plays. Daily guardrails: stop at −2R net or lock in ≥+3R net.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 4th)Bias & context Range-to-slightly-bearish intraday while price remains capped under 6,900–6,906. A clean 15m body close above that “gate” shifts bias to the upside toward 6,940→6,985. Lose 6,852–6,860 on a 15m body-through and the path opens to 6,805→6,756. The key levels remain unchanged. Setups (15m→5m→1m) Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906: tag and 15m close back below → use the first 5m re-close lower and enter short on the 1m pullback; TP1 = 6,860, TP2 = 6,805, TP3 = 6,756; hard SL = 15m wick high +0.50. Acceptance Continuation through 6,906: 15m full-body close above → buy the 5m pullback that holds; TP1 = 6,940–6,955, TP2 = 6,968–6,985; invalidation = a 15m close back inside ≤6,900. Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860: sweep and instant reclaim → long back toward 6,900 “gate”; if the reclaim fails, stand aside and wait for the body-through short. Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756: only on a fast flush; first-touch responsive long back to 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a decisive 15m body-through below 6,748. Kill-zones (ET) NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary execution window; NY PM 13:30–16:00 continuation / reversal window. Calendar & shutdown check JOLTS (Sep) is scheduled for Tue, Nov 4 at 10:00 ET, but BLS warns releases may be delayed during the shutdown. Treat this as tentative. ADP National Employment Report (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 08:15 ET and is unaffected (private release). ISM Services PMI (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 10:00 ET and is unaffected (private release). Census/Commerce releases on Tue (Trade Balance, Factory Orders) are on the calendar, but federal data dissemination is paused under the shutdown; expect postponements. Major earnings Tue, Nov 4 (pre-market) include SHOP, UBER, PFE, SPOT, ETN, RACE, APO, MAR, TRI, ZTS, MPC, MPLX. Management: Instruction notes: only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1 close 70% and park 30% at BE; runner aims the next level. No trailing before TP2. Max 2 attempts per level per session.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
ES (SPX, SPY) Week Ahead Analysis, Nov 3rd - Nov 7thMarket Context The price is currently positioned just below a key near-term resistance level at 6,900–6,906, following a sharp reversal on Friday from around 6,845. The daily and 4-hour structures indicate an incomplete "weak-high" area above, but the 1-hour momentum has just shifted upward from oversold conditions. As we move into the Asia/London sessions, I anticipate a balance formation within the upper half of the previous session unless we see a decisive 15-minute close above 6,906. Short — Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906 Trigger: 15m rejection close back below the band → 5m re-close down with a lower high → 1m first pullback fail. SL: Above the 15m wick high +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,880 → 6,860 (≥2.0R gate). TP2: 6,805. Notes: If a retest holds below 6,900, add on a fresh 1m LH. Short — Rejection Fade at 6,940–6,955 Trigger: Same 15m→5m→1m sequence as above. SL: Above the band’s 15m wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,880–6,860; stretch TP3: 6,805. Long — Acceptance Continuation above 6,906 Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,906 → 5m pullback holds and re-closes up → 1m HL entry. SL: 5m pullback low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,940–6,955; TP2: 6,968–6,985; stretch TP3: 7,020–7,052. Notes: If 6,906 holds as support on retest, consider scaling on a clean 1m HL. Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860 Trigger: Sweep/flush below the band and instant reclaim (1–3m), confirmed by a 5m re-close up → 1m HL entry. SL: Below the sweep low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,940–6,955. Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,793–6,805 Trigger: Same reclaim logic; prefer fast tag → quick pop. SL: Below the 5m reclaim low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,860; TP2: 6,900; optional TP3: 6,940. Long — Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756 (stretch 6,713–6,725) Trigger: Fast liquidation into the band + momentum divergence → 5m reversal close → 1m HL entry. SL: Below the exhaustion low −0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,793–6,805; TP2: 6,860; trail only after TP2. Short — Continuation Below 6,852 Trigger: 15m body-through below 6,852 that holds on retest → 5m LH → 1m pullback entry. SL: Above the 15m break wick +0.25–0.50. TP1: 6,805; TP2: 6,756; stretch TP3: 6,725. KILL-ZONES & EXECUTION NOTES Primary execution windows: NY AM 09:30–11:00 and NY PM 13:30–16:00. London 02:00–05:00 optional, reduced size. Asia optional, smallest size. Stops & viability: Anchor hard SLs to the relevant 15m wick; only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R. Max two attempts per level per session. At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. WEEK AHEAD GAME PLAN If Monday holds above 6,860 and forms a higher low, the outlook is modestly bullish, aiming for a move toward 6,940–6,955 early to mid-week. A decisive daily close above 6,955 would suggest a rally into the 6,968–6,985 range, with the potential to extend further to 7,020–7,052 later in the week. Conversely, if the price falls back below 6,852, the scenario shifts to a mean-reversion week, targeting 6,805 and then 6,756, with 6,713 as a potential stretch target.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Fri (Oct 31st)Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; manage 12:00–13:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00. Event (Fri): 9:45 ET Chicago PMI (unaffected by shutdown). Upside continuation (LONG): 6,910 flips to support with a 15m close above → 5m pullback holds → 1m HL entry. SL: 15m trigger-wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1 6,928; TP2 6,945–6,955; TP3 6,980–7,000. Quick-reclaim bounce at 6,889–6,888: sweep and instant reclaim → ride to 6,898 → 6,904–6,910. Pop-and-fail shorts (SHORT): Reject 6,904–6,910 then 15m closes back under 6,904 → 5m LH entry. SL: 15m wick. TP1 6,898; TP2 6,889; TP3 6,879. Clean breakdown of 6,889 with a 15m close ≤6,887 → 5m LH entry. TP1 6,879; TP2 6,865; TP3 6,845. Management & risk Viability gate: only take a trade if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1: close 70%, set the 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2→TP3. Max two attempts per level per session.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Thur (Oct 30th)Bias: Neutral → mild-bullish while 6,922 holds; momentum unlocks only on acceptance above the 6,966–6,972 pocket. Setups — Rejection Fade (short): Tag 6,966–6,972 and print a 15m rejection close back inside, then a 5m re-close lower with a lower high, then take the 1m first-pullback fail. Stop = 15m wick high +0.25–0.50. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,922. Runner aims 6,885. Setups — Acceptance Continuation (long): 15m full-body close above 6,972, 5m pullback holds and re-closes, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,966 wick. TP1 = 7,000. TP2 = 7,017. Stretch into low 7,040s if momentum persists. Setups— Quick-Reclaim Bounce (long): Flush into 6,922–6,926 that instantly reclaims on 15m, 5m re-close confirms, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,916. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,966–6,972. Setups — Breakdown Continuation (short): 15m body through 6,922 that holds below on a 5m retest. Stop = 6,929–6,932. TP1 = 6,900. TP2 = 6,885. Stretch 6,858 if pressure accelerates. Management: only take a setup if TP1 is at least 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1, close 70% and set the 30% runner to break-even; runner targets the next opposing major level. No trailing before TP2. Maximum two attempts per level per session. Invalidation: Bull idea is invalid below 6,916 (loss of the AS shelf). Bear idea is invalid once there is 15m acceptance and hold above 6,972 with 5m higher-low structure. Notes: Expect headline sensitivity. If we rip into 6,966–6,972 without a 15m close above, favor the fade. If we grind above and hold, ride acceptance toward 7,000 then 7,017.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Wed (Oct 29)As we look at the current market conditions, the price is hovering just below the 6939-6946 resistance level. We should anticipate a test of this ceiling soon. A solid acceptance above 6946 on the 15-minute chart would likely trigger a movement towards the 6965-6975 range, which we can expect to see during the afternoon session in NY. In terms of our range path, if we see rejection in the 6939-6946 zone, we will need to monitor for rotations between 6939, 6928, and 6916. A clean break beyond any of these levels will help establish our direction moving forward. On the downside, a decisive 15-minute close below the 6916-6912 area could lead us back to the 6900-6896 levels. If that support fails, we could see a drop to 6892-6888, and then down to 6883-6880. Persistent acceptance below our S5 level would promote a further decline towards 6868-6864 and potentially trigger the gap references. Lastly, I want to highlight that we should expect a compression-to-expansion behavior in the market. Thus, the first acceptance beyond R1 or below S0 will likely dictate the market's direction for the day. Level-KZ Protocol (15/5/1). Execute inside London 02:00–05:00 (opt), NY AM 09:30–11:00, NY PM 13:30–16:00. Working levels: R2 6965–6975; R1 6939–6946; MP 6928–6924; S0 6916–6912; S2 6900–6896; S3 6892–6888; S4 6883–6880; S5 6878–6874. SETUP 1 — Acceptance-Continuation LONG (through R1) Trigger: 15m close ≥ 6946, then 5m pullback holds above 6940 and re-closes; 1m HL entry. Entry: 6942–6946 on the reclaim/HL. SL: Hard SL below the 15m pullback wick (typically 6937–6939) ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6965–6975 (R2). TP2: Leave runner only if momentum persists beyond R2 during NY PM. Invalidation: 15m close back under 6939 with a 5m LH. SETUP 2 — Rejection-Fade SHORT (at R1) Trigger: Sweep into 6939–6946 that fails → 15m close back inside; 5m LH + 1m first pullback failure. Entry: 6937–6943 on the fail. SL: 6948–6950. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6916–6912 (S0). Stretch: 6900–6896 (S2) if acceptance forms below S0. Invalidation: 15m acceptance ≥ 6946. SETUP 3 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (MP) Trigger: Fast flush into 6928–6924 that instantly reclaims on 1m and prints a 5m re-close. Entry: 6926–6929 on the reclaim. SL: 6923.25–6923.75. TP1: 6939–6946 (R1). TP2: 6965–6975 (R2) only after 15m acceptance through R1. Invalidation: 15m close back below 6924. SETUP 4 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (S0 flip) Trigger: Sweep/flush into 6916–6912, immediate reclaim → 5m re-close. Entry: 6917–6920 on strength back above 6916. SL: 6911.50–6912.00. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6939–6946 (R1). Invalidation: 15m body-through below 6912. SETUP 5 — Back-Inside Failure SHORT (under S2) Trigger: 15m body close < 6896, then 5m retest of 6900–6896 holds from below. Entry: 6898–6900 on the fail. SL: 6903.00–6903.50. TP1: 6892–6888 (S3). TP2: 6883–6880 (S4). Stretch: 6878–6874 (S5) — expect bounce attempts. Invalidation: 15m reclaim ≥ 6900 with 5m re-close.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
4