Market Legend Alex Vieira Downgrades Shopify to Junk $585The legend who called Shopify Strong Buy $19 sees IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE downgrading to Junk
Shopify
SHOPIFY and Momentum Stocks MIGHT Fall 20-25% before MayMany of those who have been following me have noticed my consistency and accuracy regarding Gold and Silver. Currently, we have seen Gold break-out and this will continue; Silver is only a week or less behind with a parabolic move on its way.
The question now must be asked: with Gold and Silver inevitably gearing up for a big move to the upside, can equities, particularly momentum stocks really continue to go up? In contingency with falling US yields and a rising DXY in my opinion the answer is no and we may-be gearing up for a sell-off with some bounces to the upside along the way, in March and at-least some of April.
I do not believe this would mark the end of the bull-run, but likely provide a 7-10% correction for the broader market, and roughly a 20-25% decline for momentum stocks such as Shopify, AMD, Nvidia, and many others that have led the entire market forward. For many momentum stocks, Gann angles are getting far too steep.
Interestingly enough, many of these momentum stocks sold off on Friday at double to triple the average volume, and 2-3x the amplification relative to the broader market.
Watch carefully over the course of the next few weeks and see if this idea pans-out. Moreover, we must see how equities react to the coronavirus, as well as, if equities can actually continue to surge higher (or bounce back).
Should we be near a correction, look for a buying opportunity in late April or early May. From here I see healthy market gains throughout the Spring and Summer before a likely fall near the US election, and then potentially an end to the bull market sometime in Q1 or Q2 of 2021 which would likely be the timing of the SPX hitting near 4000.
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A nice trend forming in ShopifyThis trend is a positive sign that we may approach the all time high in a couple weeks.
SHOPIFY: Earnings Come in Historic; Stock Blasts-offShopify earnings were released today (Feb 12) around 8:30 PM EST and came in massive. EPS, revenue, growth, earnings and profit came in at historic levels and drastically beat expectations.
This is a company that is ran by one of the top CEOs with incredible vision and Shopify continues to surprise quarter after quarter - year after year - and continues to win against Amazon against this similar and specific service.
Shopify has surged on the US side pre-market and it appears it will trade around 750 (CAD) or more today with no sign of letting up.
Shopify continues to show signs of a large turnaround similar to Tesla where everyone discounted the name and now that the company has become profitable, the stock could rocket to levels over 1000 in the next 12 months or so.
This is certainly a company you want in your portfolio especially as online shopping is the 'way of the future' as retail stores become antiquated. You can play it directly with the stock or purchase ETF: XIT which plays mostly the top 10 Canadian technology companies. In this etf by BlackRock, Shopify represents a nice and juicy 30%+ by weight.
2020 Year End Target: $850-900 (Canadian Dollars).
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SHOP before Earnings2H: (bullish)
SHOP to release earnings data before open today. If you're already invested or still plan to invest, here's what you need to know.
– stock is above all MAs (bullish)
– RSI can boast a higher high and double-bottom (bullish)
– MACD is neutral to bearish
– SAR is below 'daily' 20MA (bullish)
There are no technical mistakes in the prior 3 major patterns. The main multi-year channel is 'monthly' averaged with step-line over log . Within said channel, the stock maneuvered perfectly thus far and is expected to continue to do so.
Considering the endless run-up since 2017, and the numerous bull-signals that suggest another minor jump-up, the "steam" is likely to run out soon (as MACD and RSI suggest). 8 out of 10 major indicators are bullish, 1 neutral 1 bearish. Options pricing suggest a 30-40 point move either way (37 calculated). If it jumps up, there is somewhat a chance for a sell-off back to current levels. Also keep in mind that markets are expected to correct sometime this year.
Important: Note that if the stock fails to touch or cross the upper channel trend-line, it will be forced to touch the lower (later down the road).
RSI:
SHOPIFY- land gracefully and REFUEL for more HIGH-FLYING ACTWho doesn't like the high-flying act? Sometimes, the proper rest is needed in order to soar even higher.
Shopify needs a deep pullback in order to draw in more trigger-scary investors who wait on the sideline.
Such parabolic movement is not sustainable with RSI hovers above 70 since early 2017 on the monthly timeframe.
Only one red bar in the last 14 monthly bars... It needs to cool down a bit.
For positional and long-term traders, check my pro & con list below.
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Pro-
Strong CAGR
Dominate the e-commerce platform market by capturing the 31% market share
Growing gross merchandise volume- The value of all products sold by merchants on Shopify’s platform
Growing gross payment value through Shopify payment, creating an more integrated platform
Strengthened the Shopify fulfillment network with the acquisition of fulfillment automation company
Con-
Square partners up with UPS
Overvalued according to financial metrics (EV/EBITDA, P/S, P/E)
High burn rate that prioritizes growth over profitability (Weak EPS)
Negative free cash flow despite not heavily invest in R&D
SHOPIFY: Should Hit $650 (CAD) this YearDespite some headwinds that we are facing with the US and Iran, this will be short-term noise for a healthy 5% or so pullback (not necessarily all in consecutive days), but mostly in January before we turn the tide.
In the longer-term this will have little impact to the sentiment of the market, but instead, will allow defense stocks, energy stocks (including oil) and precious metals to surge strong this year. As I have been saying for the past 6 months, look for big moves in oil/energy and precious metal stocks. It will take 1 or 2 months of elevated oil prices to see significant moves in the energy sector, but its coming. Be patient!
Despite so much cheap money in the market - I don't want to be - but I am very bullish on certain tech stocks this year. I am expecting the following for some big names such as Facebook, Google, Apple, Microsoft, AMD, Netflix, Tesla, Baba, Bidu and Amazon.
Facebook could be one of the dark-horses this year, and a 40-50% gain is not out-of-the-question.
Shopify will continue to break-out after its fallen descending triangle and eventually break-out to run to 650 or more by year-end.
Remember: don't invest based on what you want to happen; invest on what you believe will happen.
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Shopify is Really in a strong up trend200EMA and MACD indicators are indicating the strong uptrend of Shopify ...
SHOP: Time to scale outI posted about the bullish thesis in SHOP earlier (), and we had an excellent entry near 310 levels where the Fib 61.8 retracement held. We are now approaching near term upper resistance and it might be time to scale out if you have options positions on. 340-346 would be the profit taking range IMO unless you decide to roll out or convert your positions into spreads.
Shopbuy Shop from 310 , Targets are in the Chart.
Lets see what will happen with Shop in the next days, I will update here.
Good luck))
Shopify no signal no partyh&s didn't complete. It may reverse. It should pass right shoulder peak and we have an inverted h&s.
It still can morph into another figure, but I would not buy such bigger range patern.
SHOPIFY Going deepMAxive correction ahead. Earnings delisional.
This was my and also many other's best pick in 2018. Long term I still believe in the business. As Square they support small retailers instead of replace their logistics (Amazon).
p.s. This H&S is not regular. Neckline is not parallel to the abscissas. The slopes goes towards the leftS. Completion mean the price level to surpass leftS level.
Shopify coming in with some newsGood evening,
I came across this Bullish pattern for Shopify (SHOP) while doing some market research.
I put the sell zone around the orange support, where I am awaiting the confirmation. If we'll see a pullback in that zone, it could mean that the bulls came into action; if not, probably a 26 percent drop might happen
THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE, THIS IS JUST A FORECAST.
YOUR CAPITAL IS AT RISK
$SHOP H & SShopify can't break above key resistances. Perfect head n shoulders. Bearish below resistances, bullish above.
Shopify Legend Sells $407 Downgrading to JunkYou can watch Alex Vieira live selling Shopify at $407 on the web. He had a Strong Buy rating on Shopify since $19 with a price target $389 since 2016
SHOP below trend line and 10/50 SMAShopify is looking pretty bearish to me. Notice, it is trading below its big up trend line, below its 10 SMA (orange line), below its 50 SMA (blue line), and looks to be heading for the 100 SMA (purple line) as well as the next major support area (dashed line).
I am going to stay neutral for the time being, but will keep a close eye on it. If SHOP can't bounce off the 100 SMA and/or that big support area, then I will enter a short position. After the huge run-up SHOP had, a big correction would not be surprising at all.
SHOP - Daily - Inside candlestick reversalIf you follow the stock market, and the big names in it, you will know that Shopify has been on a rampage. But, SHOP has recently pulled back into a zone that I think counts as solid support. In doing this it made an inside candlestick pattern yesterday.
Inside patterns are tricky ... they can be continuation or reversals. However, this particular inside candlestick is right at good support (what I think is good support anyways), and it had good volume. This tells me that this particular inside pattern is leaning to to the reversal side for SHOP. I will keep my eyes open and look for a close above the big candle. If it does that, I may enter long and ride it up to its all-time high.
How High Is High Enough??SHOP Has just been on a tear, my goodness. I had this move marked out when it was flagging, had my buy marked at 125. Got distracted elsewhere, missed the buy, and now have just been absolutely kicking myself over this. What a run. My best estimate for a target sits around 428. May buy a put option at that point if it does in fact reach it, but I obviously don't wanna be short for very long in this name. If you have been in, congrats on the move. May wanna consider realizing some gains in the next 20 bucks or so of price action. Happy hunting and GLTA!!