Brent Crude - a BEARISH outlook for the black metal to $51.87The most unexplained and naughty market on the market. Brent Crude.
Brent Crude has completed an M-top (double-top) formation and broken decisively below the 20- and 200-day moving averages, confirming a shift to a bearish market structure.
The failure to reclaim the moving averages, combined with lower highs and accelerating downside momentum, opens the path toward the $51.87 downside target.
Fundamental Drivers (5 reasons)
Global Demand Softening 📉
Slower economic growth across Europe and China is reducing industrial and transportation fuel demand.
Strong US Dollar 💵
A firm dollar makes oil more expensive for non-USD buyers, pressuring global demand and prices.
High Inventories 🛢️
Elevated crude stockpiles signal oversupply and reduce urgency for buyers to bid prices higher.
OPEC+ Compliance Risk ⚠️
Market skepticism around full production discipline increases downside risk if supply leaks persist.
Shortbrent
Brent Crude and its BEARISH outlook - Still no cheaper petrol!Brent Crude Analysis – Bearish Outlook 🛢️📉
Technically, Brent Crude has formed an inverse cup and handle pattern while staying below both the 20-day and 200-day moving averages — confirming continued downside momentum. The previous uptrend has broken, and price action remains trapped under a persistent downtrend line, pointing to a potential move toward $54.68.
Fundamental reasons for downside:
🛢️ Rising global supply: Increased production from OPEC+ and U.S. shale is weighing on prices.
🌍 Weak demand outlook: Slower global growth and reduced industrial activity are cutting fuel demand.
💵 Strong USD: A firmer dollar makes oil more expensive for other countries, reducing buying pressure.
⚙️ Geopolitical uncertainty: Shifts in Middle East output expectations are adding bearish sentiment.
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