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THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would look for the price to tap into the lower level where we wanted a bounce to then target the red box above. We managed to get that long into the defence level for it to give us a nice tap and bounce again giving the short and following the path into the lower defence box. It’s here that we faced the range but as you can see we failed to breach the box, hence giving us that opportunity to target that long into the active defence above again. We then mentioned we would protect and manage and see if there is another reaction or breach at that box, leading to price rejecting again following the range and completing all our targets as well as the hot spots for the week. A successful week in Camelot not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For the start of the trading week we have two key levels to keep an eye on, 4175 support and 4210 resistance. These are the levels that need to be broken either side in order to make the next move, and could be the range we play for Monday as there is no economical catalyst to bring the extra volume into the market. For that reason, we’ll stick with the plan from last week, apart from looking for price to create that higher high before attempting the lower defence level. There is strong support here on the close so if we can get an undercut low here we can bounce into that 4210 level and above that 4220 which is the level that will need to hold! As long as we can stay below, we should see price attempt the lower levels initially starting with our target level 4180 and below that 4155. As you can see on our chart, our ideal long opportunity comes from the lower level which is also our potential target and a region we would like to see a RIP! The levels are on the chart as our the red boxes which have proven to be effective for swing and intra-day trading. RED BOXES: Break above 4210 for 4220, 4230, 4235 and 4240 in extension of the move Break below 4190 for 4180, 4173, 4165, 4155 and 4147 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
38
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we gave the potential path as well as the red box defence to look for any reaction in price. We managed to support the lower red box defence giving us a nice long to start the week then resulting in the higher defence holding and giving us an extremely decent short. It was only during the later part of the week we faced some choppy and whipsawing ranging which we decided wasn’t worth committing too much into, so we returned to scalping the red boxes only for the remainder of the week. A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? It’s likely to be another week of choppy price action and potential for a range to develop even smaller than we’ve seen in previous sessions. We have the key level of support below again at 4040 while resistance above sits at key level of 4104. Economic news on Tuesday should bring volume and we would expect one of these levels to break open and the range to have accumulated enough to then move us into a clear direction. We have added the red box defence up and down, ideally wanting a test of that low, so price going up on the open could represent opportunities to attempt the short unless defence is breached. Otherwise, we’ll look to take this into that 4000-3980 levels before we look for any RIPs. RED BOXES: Break below 4060 for 4055, 4050, 4041, 4033 and 4010 in extension of the move Break above 4081 for 4095, 4103, 4120 and 4130 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
32
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we wanted to stick to a similar plan from the week prior, looking for price to attempt either the high to short it again, or, for price to attempt to break the lower box and then give us the opportunity to long again. We had to switch to intra-day trading during the week due to the ranging and as usual, the indicators worked well giving us some good trades and we near enough got what we wanted from the KOG report analysis and the red box targets published. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Potential for this range to continue during the first half of the week with the immediate resistance above at 4006-10 which will need to break in order to target the 4030 level which is what we’re looking for. For this to happen, support 3990 needs to hold us up and if we can push upside it’s that 4030 level we want to keep an eye on. Rejection there can again lead to another swoop of the lower regions but, we need to keep in mind that red box below. That is the key level of defence for the early part of the week and will need to break! The indicators are suggesting lower at the moment but we need more confirmation and we also need to see if they fill the void left over above from Friday. In our opinion, another choppy week ahead, more ranging and whipsawing while we accumulate and await that clear confirmation of direction. Until then, it’s level to level and intra-day Red box trading for us. RED BOXES: BREAK above 4004 for 4010, 4014 and 4030 in extension of the move BREAK below 3990 for 3985, 3979, 3970 and 3965 in extension of the move Many of you have asked what the “Bubbles/circles” are on the chart! These are the hot spots we have been sharing with you that work well as RIPs! We share the monthly results and daily hot spots and I’m sure our traders will agree, they are powerful! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
21
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking at two levels as potential for the long trades and target for the short trades. We ideally wanted price to push upside and complete the long target before turning and then completing the short target. During the early part of the week, we activated short and gave caution on longs only to see the aggressive decline which hit our short target and completed our bias level and red box targets for the week. All in all, a decent week in Camelot with Excalibur guiding and the EA hitting another full house of completed targets on Gold. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We're pondering on this bearish move and it’s giving us hints of a swing low so for that reason we’ve given the red box bias level at 4095 which will need to break for us to see a continuation of the move. Above there, we have immediate support at 4104 which if held can give us another bounce in the early sessions giving us a move upside into the 4140-50 regions initially. Above that level there is a level sticking out sitting at 4173 with the extension level 4192 which if targeted is the level to keep an eye on for us. A break above there and it’s likely we will attempt to swing high from a lot higher up which we will need to navigate level to level. But a RIP there would be ideal if it happens with a clean reversal. On the flip, we do want to see lower pricing on gold as we feel it’s not only needed, but it will give buyers better opportunities to get in for better positioning to carry trades upside into the higher target levels we have active. As we approach the end of the month, it's going to be another whipsaw and we would hope to complete the move, or, we'll most likely see some sideways accumulation leading into the next week. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 4095 with the ideal target 4274 Bearish below 4095 with the ideal target 4025 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 4115 for 4123, 4125 and 4140 in extension of the move Break below 4095 for 4080, 4065 and 4050 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we gave the bias level as bullish above 4003 and the red box we would be looking for to break to then confirm the move into the region we wanted. The move played well from the opening going on to complete all the red box targets together with our algo targets on gold. Although it being risky we wanted to short from the given region, but due to price breaking through without even halting, we updated traders with the higher region we were looking to target, which also worked well. On Friday, we managed to identify the pattern we wanted and activated a target of 4197 together with the break below the bias level. This for us again worked well to end the week with a wonderful short and then a TAP AND BOUNCE from the indicator level giving those who missed the short and opportunity to capture a 200pip long to end the week. A phenomenal week in Camelot, not just on Gold but the many other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? So, this week I have a bit of a concern with this bearish move. I have a sneaky suspicion that they may not have completed upside as yet, and instead, want to get traders in to thinking the retracement has started. Just a inkling for now so let’s see how the week opens and what region we attack first. Above, I have a reversal on the hourly and the 4H chart but the daily, weekly and monthly are still suggesting higher pricing. Ideally, we need another bearish day for price to leave the 4200’s and come close to the 4150 level to hold before we decide we’re going to either consolidate and accumulate here or get a deeper pull back. Below, we have 4220 which is the level that will need to break for us to go lower with the initial target below being 4165 and below that 4129. Our key level here initially is the 4295 level and above that 4310. 4310 is the line in the sand for bulls to attempt to break to go higher and complete the move back above to create another all time high. Failure, and we should get more confirmation of a deeper pull back that should attempt to target the lower 4000 mark. As usual, we’ll let the algo confirm the move, the indicators will tell us which way to stay in, and the liquidity indicator will tell us when to play caution. For now, the path is on the chart, let’s see how we open and begin the week. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 4230 Bearish below 4220 RED BOXES: Break above 4255 for 4265, 4270, 4284 and 4304 in extension of the move Break below 4237 for 4230, 4220, 4210, 4206, 4185 and 4177 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
23
THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support lower and then attempt the move higher monitoring the red box above which was active. It’s at that box we wanted to see a reaction, either a break or a RIP and as you can see, price did break upside hitting our daily and weekly targets as well as the red box targets. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For the early part of the week we have the immediate support level at the 3870-65 region which lines up with the red box and is the level that needs to be broken to go lower. If we target this level in the early session and support, price may want to attempt a new all time high again, this time into the 3901 level and above that 3910-12. It’s that level of 3910-12 that needs to be monitored as a possibility of a RIP there can cause us to get a minor correction but as above, we need to break below 3865-70 to see a change in dynamic. If we do break below that 3970 level and get a decent close, with a clear reversal, we can then look to target the lower levels 3855 and below that 3838 initially. I would like to see lower, but due to NFP this week instead of last week, we may continue to stretch upside or range up here before then getting a retracement into mean. We’re going to leave it there and as usual we will update traders best we can during the week with the box targets and the analysis. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3840 Bearish on break of 3830 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3890 for 3902, 3904, 3910, 3917, 3930 and 3933 in extension of the move Break below 3868 for 3865, 3855, 3850, 3843, 3837 and 3830 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
27
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’ve seen this play well so far this week so we’ll sit back and let them make the move before then looking for a set up to get in. We have initial support at the 3670 level and resistance above at the 3690 level which is the level that will need to break for price to then attempt a new high. Potential level here 3720-30 which is where we will want to assess the price action and potentially an opportunity to attempt the short trade for the swing may arise. Breaking above that level will invalidate the move. Downside, there is a hot spot at 3665 which is the level that will need a strong close, this level also has an extension of the move into the 3650-55 level and on the break 3630-35. Quick summary: Ideally, we support the 3670 level, push upside, attack the 3720-30 region and we’ll look for a reversal up there. IF we break below 3655, we’ll look further down around the 3620-30 region for a reversal for the scalp long. There is a big stretch on and in normal market conditions, this should have dropped all the way back down into the 3500’s at least. But, we have to play the game they present us with so let’s wait and see what happens. Also, FOMC might already be priced in, so it’s the press conference after the statement that will be of interest to the markets. Key levels to watch for the break: Red box level 3690 Red box level 3673 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
17
THE KOG REPORT - NFP THE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. For this months NFP, due to the aggressive stretch on gold upside, we’re only looking for the extreme levels to attempt the trade. Even then, we’re of the view that we will let this play out for today and next week look for a clean reversal before getting in and taking what is needed. We have the immediate level of support below 3550-40, which needs to be held in order to attempt the upside levels of 3580-5 and if that level is broken 3603-10. It’s that higher level that we feel if attempted, could present a decent opportunity to attempt the short trade, unless broken of course. Lower down, the red box bias level is sitting at 3540 which needs a clean break below to then confirm the bearish move has started and we can then either capture the retracements in attempt to target the 3480-5 level or, wait lower for price to exhaust, and once a clean reversal is formed, attempt the long trade back upside. The ideal scenario here is a break above the 3585 level an attempt on 3600, exhaustion there and then a possible short for next week. It’s been a choppy week but we’ve hit all of our bullish targets so lets observe more than we trade today. RED BOXES: Break above 3555 for 3561, 3568, 3576 and 3588 in extension of the move Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
24
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would continue with the chart we shared for Jackson Hole as it was going to plan and the move was expected to continue. We said we would be looking for the red box to be tapped and as long as it didn’t break, a move downside into the lower red box defence was likely. This move worked nearly to the pip giving traders a nice short trade. We then said, as long as we’re above the defence box, we’ll continue the range and look for more upside, which as you can see again played well between the boxes and then the break occurred, giving us the move upside. A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and apply the algo to. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? Many traders will be looking at this and thinking we’re too high and stretched here to attempt a long, which is the right plan for now. Having said that, we’re not discounting a move upside during the early session, with the first level above being the 3455-60 region. It’s this region, if rejected, that can give traders the potential opportunity to attempt the short trade initially into the 3440-35 region which is the level that needs to be watched if attacked for a break. Above, that key level 3460 is the region bulls need to push us over with volume in order for us to then look at targeting higher pricing with levels above 3468 and above that 3485-90 There isn’t a lot on the fundamental front this week apart from NFP on Friday so expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and ranging towards the middle of the week pre-event. KOG’s bias of the week: No bias for the week, we’ll release the daily bias instead and play level to level RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3450 for 3455, 3462, 3468 and 3480 in extension of the move Break below 3440 for 3436, 3430 and 3422 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
39
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: Due to there being no KOG Report last week so we won’t reference it, however, we did post the FOMC and NFP reports for the wider community to help them navigate the moves, which as you can see from the pinned ideas worked well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? After the move we observed for NFP on Friday we would like to see some retracement in the sessions ahead. Looking at the 4H chart we have a reversal in play, but we still have no break out of this range! We’re simply playing the highs and the lows while price chops and whipsaws within it, which could be causing some new traders confusion and frustration. We have a support level below 3350 and below that 3340 which will be the bias level for this week as bullish above. We then have the intra-day resistance level 3365-70 while there is an extension of the move into the 3385 level. Ideally, what we want to see here is support levels hold or a quick continuation on the open into the higher red box levels and the a potential for a RIP. That RIP however is most likely going to be a scalp unless we come down and break below that 3345-50 level. We want to see how this reacts at these higher levels and if we do get a break of the boxes, otherwise, there is a chance we see another curveball like we suggested a couple of weeks ago, and we correct this whole move back downside with the first hurdle being 3340-35 on the flip. We’re going to keep it simple here for now and usual we’ll update during the week once we have a clearer understanding of whether this wants to attempt a new all time high or not. Please note, our liquidity indicator is suggesting a little higher but a pullback is on the way. We’ll keep you updated. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384 Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310 RED BOXES: Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months. We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week. RED BOXES: Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
19
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted. We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday. Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for. Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306 Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
32
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to attempt the higher resistance level shown on the chart which was slightly higher than the red box. We wanted this level to reject price and give us the move down into the level which was shown on the chart. As you can see this move worked from the open, respecting the red box active level instead and completing all the bias level bearish targets in one swoop after the break. We then updated the KOG Report with the move we wanted in order to then long into immediate resistance to again test the short trade, which again worked while we suggested traders look for the lower red box levels to attempt the long trades. There was slight stretch again downside, but those red boxes played their part giving us the move on confirmation for the longs towards the end of the week, ending the week on a high. It was a difficult week to trade with aggressive movement across the markets, however, the levels are reacting well and although there is a stretch on price, we’re getting the movement we want. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We have key level now on the daily also aligning with the EMA50 at 3162 on the daily chart, while that 4H shows us a possible reversal on the flip. For this reason we have given the immediate red box levels of 3225-30 resistance and 3190-85 support. We have also plotted the potential range of play for the early part of the week, where we feel price may stabilise until a further move. We’re looking for two possible moves here, one in order to continue to short and then look for the longer trade lower down, or, a break of the red box and bias level into higher resistance upon which we’ll trade level to level and then look higher for a potential short again. The bias level for this week has a huge extension of the move so it will be tradeable both directions. We have applied filters to the algo which is under test so we’ll also want to see if that works in our favour. So, for now, support below can give us the move into the 3225-30 region which is the level to watch for the break, if rejected there may be an opportunity to short but that short must break below the 3185 level to continue and complete the move downside into the 3150-55 and below that 3130 levels. That’s where we feel the opportunity to long for the swing may come from but please remember, it’s changed structure until we break and hold above the 3265 level. That will be this week’s key level. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3235 with targets below 3196, 3185, 3177, 3165 and 3155 Bullish on break of 3230 with targets above 3242, 3250, 3255 and 3262 RED BOXES: Break above 3210 for 3118, 3220, 3225, 3230, 3235 and 3247 in extension of the move Break below 3195 for 3187, 3179, 3165, 3155, 3150 and 3137 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Firstly, we would suggest traders stay away from this NFP altogether, the markets are very delicate and moving to extreme levels not only on Gold but most forex pairs. For that reason we’ll keep it simple and look at the key levels together with the structure formed. We have the higher resistance level here which is the previous order region 2930-35 which looks to be a potential region price may want to attack if they want to continue this move upside, above that is the extension of the move around 2945-55. Price needs to stay below this level, If we can reject and not break above these levels, an opportunity to see the market correct may be available back down in attempt to break 2900 level. On the flip, if they push price downside, we’ll wait, the range needs to be broken, price should want to retest the flip and then continue the move, that’s when we can start using the red boxes to target those lower levels and potentially look for the swing low from the circled hotspot. As above, keep it simple, the trade comes after the event and most accounts are blown during these events due to traders using large lots on small accounts attempting to capture the volume driven candles. Unless you’re already in and protected, the swing in the opposite direction can cause huge problems to less experienced traders. RED BOXES: Break above 2930 for 2934, 2940, 2944 and 2955 in extension of the move Break below 2910 for 2903, 2895, 2890 and 2879 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted to see price dip into the lower support and give us the opportunity to long into the higher levels targeting the red box targets and the bias levels given. We manged to get this trade and started the week well! We then suggested traders play caution as the set up just wasn’t presenting itself for the short, instead, we updated our plans and published the long idea again which played out well giving us a decent end to the week. The ranging gave us conflicting signals and choppy price action towards the end of the week, so not 100% to plan, but we played it and adapted. We managed another stellar performance on Excalibur, 6 targets on Gold and another trunk full on the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot. Difficult, but consistent nevertheless. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Ideally we would like to wait for the market to open and break out of the range before picking the direction. We have lower support at 2930 and the extension level 2918-14 which needs to be watched for the break in the early part of the week, while the key level above 2950-55 with extension into the 2960 region should act as a barrier which will need to break. We’ll start by saying if the price does support that 2930-25 level on the open, then the opportunity to long into the 2943 and above that 2950 levels should be available to those looking to go long. We have marked a RIP point 2960-65 but that will only give us the flip so scalps into the lower support region are potentially all we will get. Above that we have marked our area of interest, this is ideally where we want to be monitoring the price action and looking for signs of a potential reversal, which, if given should give us a nice swing short into the lower levels which will be published on morning reviews and KOG’s bias of the day. On the flip, If we glitch and make a move downside on the open, look out for the levels of 2920-16 and below that 2910! These region need to hold us up to go higher in order to clear the liquidity from above before another attempt at lower. It’s the last week of the month, it’s going to be choppy and ranges will form. Indications of lower pricing are on the horizon, the set up just isn’t clear at the moment so play it level to level, keep an eye on the red boxes, look back at the KOG reports and see for yourself how well they play with price. Take it easy, “if it’s exciting, you’re doing it wrong”. We’ll update as through the week as we usually do with the red box targets, KOG’s bias of the day and the indicator levels. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 2920 with targets above 2945, 2949. 2952 2955 and above that 2970 Bearish below 2920 with targets below 2916, 2910, 2906, and below that 2898 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 2943 for 2947, 2950, 2955, 2962, 2966 and 2977 in extension of the move Break below 2930 for 2923, 2920, 2910, 2906 and 2899 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week. During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday. It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again. The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week. We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators. Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910 Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828 RED BOXES: Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
26
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. After another successful week on the markets, I would suggest traders take it easy on this one and let them do and take the market to where ever they want, we’ll find the better opportunities next week. To start, looking at our indicators, we still have room for lower pricing, however, there is a key level above sitting around the 2903-10 region. So, we’ll start by saying if they push this up into that level and reject, as in wick, we feel that’s where a minor correction of the move up may start from. Support here stands at the 2860 level, if held that move may complete. Note, the weekly close is important, and If it want’s to close higher, they will need to hold this above the 2880 region, so if they want to break above we may only get scalps from there. On the flip, if they take this down, we’re going to ignore the immediate levels and monitor the key levels below 2830-35 and below that on the break the level of 2810 and 2805. These lower levels are important for price to stay above and would represent opportunities to swing long. Simple one this time, levels are on the chart, less experienced traders should definitely not get involved. Red boxes: Break above 2875 for 2883, 2887, 2900 and 2903 in extension of the move Break below 2860 for 2855, 2850, 2835 and 2820 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: It wasn't quite exact, however, we managed to get the move down that we wanted for the short, stopped at our Red box support which was active, got the bounce, got a lovely long, then the short from the region we wanted....what an end to the day. We've completed our bias level targets for the day and the target of 2828 which we gave traders nearly two weeks ago and yesterday in the KOG Report. A choppy opening with gaps across the markets, but Excalibur and the indicators were not threatened at all. So, now we have the support level below 2807-10 and the resistance region 2830-5 region. We would like to see a retest of this new high so if we do pullback into the support level and hold, it's likely we will see a new all time high again in the sessions to come. Can we long? Not recommended up here unless we get back down into 2775 regions. Otherwise, keep an eye on the levels above, looks like a curveball is on its way! KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795✅, 2775✅ and below that 2755. Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820✅, 2824✅, 2828✅ and above that 2835 RED BOXES: Break of 2810 for 2815✅, 2818✅, 2828✅, 2830✅ and 2834 in extension of the move Break of 2790 for 2785✅, 2877✅, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the deeper pull back from the open and then hunt the long trades into the levels we published as our bias and red box targets. We managed to get the short early part of the week into the level we wanted 2730-35 giving us the long trade and a phenomenal pip capture. We then published the FOMC KOG REPORT and stated a similar scenario, only this time expecting price to give us an undercut low before then resuming the move into all time highs. Price didn’t capture the liquidity from below enabling traders to keep positions from below and then carry trades up completing every target level down and up for the week! A fantastic week in Camelot and for those who followed, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse, completing 28 targets during and high volatility and demanding week. Well done to the team! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’re looking for two potential moves this week to start with. Ideally, we want to see the market open, test that high around the 2810-7 region and see a rejection there. If we can get that RIP there we feel the move downside can commence firstly into the 2775 region and below that 2755-60. That’s the level for us to watch for a potential long trade back up but we’ll treat it level to level unless the 2890-95 region is broken. Our target level of 2828 is still active, however, we would again like to see a deeper pull back before attempting that long trade as we’re too high and It’s too dangerous up here. On the flip, if we break above that 2810 level and can hold above it, we’ll be looking to complete our target level and based on a clean set up, a potential swing short for the bigger capture may come from up there. Crucial level here is 2790 which has been circled on the chart, it’s likely they will use this level as a key level for this week. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795, 2775 and below that 2755. Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820, 2824, 2828 and above that 2835 RED BOXES: Break of 2810 for 2815, 2818, 2828, 2830 and 2834 in extension of the move Break of 2790 for 2785, 2877, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Ok team, a simple one for this FOMC as we're expecting a bit of a curveball which is going to make it difficult to hold trades. For that reason, we have plotted the extreme key levels on the charts, anything intra-day and immediate support and resistance has been removed as it’s simply irrelevant if we see aggressive volume. We have the level below which is also the order region 2730-40, a spike there with rejection can give this the momentum it needs to break upside and attack that 2800 level which is ideally what we want to see if they’re going to attempt it. We’ll be waiting higher however for them to complete the move and confirm a reversal, only then will we want to attempt the short trade back down using the red boxes. Below the order region is the key level 2710-03, a push down there with a confirmed rejection and reversal, we’ll decide on whether to long or not back up using the red boxes level to level. We’ve done well on the KOG Report, we’ve shorted, we’ve longed and we’ve closed nicely on the bias level targets this week. We’re suggesting our traders take it easy, instil some patience and discipline, wait for them to take the price to where they want, then hunt the trade. RED BOXES: Break above 2762 for 2775, 2782, 2790 and 2810 in extension of the move Break below 2740 for 2730, 2720, 2710 and 2698 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking price to attempt the 2715 price point and if rejected we would be looking for the short into the lower red box but sticking with the bullish bias levels. We got the move exactly into the red box support we wanted initially giving us the move upside completing not only KOGs bullish above targets but also the red box targets and the Excalibur targets. We update traders through the week with the plan and continued to remain with the long of the lows up to where we ended the week. A phenomenal week in Camelot on gold hitting 7 targets and the team completing about 12 targets on the other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? It’s going to be a frustrating week of expected ranging and choppy price action for traders due to it being the last week of the month and with FOMC pending. For that reason, we will use this KOG Report for the first half of the week and then update traders with the KOG Report FOMC before the release. For this week we’re not looking to long unless we get a deep pull back either into the order region 2750-55 or further below that the 2730-35 region. It’s actually this levels we will want to test the short trades in to from the higher red box regions. We do have a red box active now at 2827, however, due to where the price is at the moment we’re not comfortable to long up here. If we can open and stay below the 2777 level, we feel an opportunity to short is available into the first region of 2765 which needs to be monitored for the break, and level that the order region of 2750-55. That’s where we will want to test the first long trade, but, as we said above, due to FOMC we can’t expect a clean move. We have the levels above now active at 2827-30 which we feel is where they may want to take this to open up the 2800’s. If we do continue higher, that’s where we will be watching for a RIP IF we get there! KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2750 with targets above 2784, 2793 and above that 2810 pre-event Bearish on break of 2750 with target below 2735 Red boxes: Break above 2780 for 2793, 2795, 2806 and 2827 in extension of the move Break below 2770 for 2765, 2757, 2755, 2750 and 2743 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
46
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt a brief test of the high, reject and give us the move down which was successful. We then wanted to exit any short trades and find the optimal spot to long back up sticking to the bias and the bias targets as well as the red box targets and Excalibur. Combined, we got the move up from the pivot red box and managed to complete all of our bullish targets ending the week with a phenomenal pip capture tracking this precious metal at nearly every turning point up and down. A fantastic week again in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we analyse and trade as well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week again we’ll stick with the bullish bias for now. The key level resistance on open is the 2715-14 price point, if rejected we should see a continuation of the move downside into the lower support levels 2700, 2690 and below that the key level and bias level support 2680-5. It’s that lower level that needs to be monitored, as building a base there and upon a clean reversal we feel the opportunity to then long the market again back up into the 2725, 2730 and above that 2740-5 region initially is what we’ll be looking for. Our weekly red box worked well last week giving the rejection we wanted, and due to the failed break, we would like to see that level attempted again to monitor whether we close above or not. This is really important for gold as another fail can result in another major correction before attempting higher pricing. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 2680-5 with targets above 2720, 2730, 2735 and above that 2745 Bearish on break of 2780 with targets below 2670 and below that 2766 RED BOX TRADERS: Break above 2704 for 2710, 2716, 2735 and 2733 in extension of the move Break below 2695 for 2788, 2682, 2680 and 2665 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
36
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Following on from the initial KOG Report we've not done too badly managing to plot the path for the move and jump on board with it over the week. Yesterday we wanted that pullback into the 2685-90 region to continue with the bias and the bias levels which didn't hit exactly but the move continued and we've completed all of our targets for the week. Now, again we're a bit high, so if you're looking for trades the only option is to wait for the pull back, or for those on the boxes and scalping, look for a reversal from above, if not broken, support has flipped 2710! For us, a great week on the gold and the rest of the markets, we'll be taking it easy tomorrow. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700✅, 2706✅ and above that 2716✅ Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635 RED BOXES: Break above 2690 for 2700✅, 2703✅, 2706✅, 2710✅ and 2724✅ in extension of the move Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
26