XAU/USD โ Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expandโฐ Timeframe: 30m
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Update: 11/12/2025
๐ Market Context
Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area.
Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone โ Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction.
The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation.
๐ Technical Structure
Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply โ demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone.
Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure โ an area where buying flows may return when the price retests.
Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle.
Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase.
๐ฏ Market Outlook
High probability scenario for the day:
1๏ธโฃ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099โ4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity.
2๏ธโฃ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165โ4,180 USD.
3๏ธโฃ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase.
๐ง Analystโs View
Current price behavior reflects a โpause phaseโ in the larger upward structure.
When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept โ where the true momentum of the trend is reignited.
As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Note
This is a technical analysis, not investment advice.
The market can change rapidly during US sessions โ wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
Signals
Lingrid | TAOUSDT Support Zone Dip Buy OpportunityBINANCE:TAOUSDT is rebounding from the support level after a compression pattern near the lower boundary of the structure. Price is forming a contracting range with higher lows suggesting early accumulation within the broader ascending structure. A confirmed breakout above 380 could open the path toward 440. A bullish continuation remains favored while 330 holds as structural support.
โ ๏ธ Risks:
A breakdown below 330 could invalidate the bullish bias.
Weak market momentum or Bitcoin correction could limit upside extension.
Rejection near 400 might trigger another retest of the support base.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
DOGEUSDT.P - November 12, 2025DOGEUSDT.P is showing signs of potential directional breakout setup after consolidating near the $0.1710โ$0.1720 zone. The pair is currently trading within a narrow range, bounded by $0.1736 resistance above and $0.1708 support below. A decisive breakout from this range could determine the next short-term trend direction.
A bullish breakout above $0.1736 may signal renewed upside momentum, targeting the $0.1765 partial profit zone and the $0.1836 profit level (long). Conversely, a bearish breakdown below $0.1708 could trigger a continuation toward the $0.1667 support and the $0.1613 profit level (short).
Risk Assessment: Moderate โ The setup favors a breakout strategy, but volatility could increase as price approaches key trigger levels. Traders may consider waiting for confirmation before entering either direction. A false breakout or rejection at the $0.1736 or $0.1708 boundaries would weaken directional bias and maintain the current consolidation range.
XRPUSDT.P - November 12, 2025XRPUSDT.P is showing potential for a short-term bullish reversal after stabilizing near the $2.3779 support zone. The pair is attempting to break above a descending trendline, which has contained price action throughout the recent downtrend. A confirmed breakout and sustained move above the $2.4399 resistance level could signal renewed buying interest. If momentum builds, price action may target the $2.5758 profit level, representing the next key upside objective.
The stop level is positioned around $2.3148โ$2.3200, marking the invalidation area for this bullish setup and protecting against a deeper correction.
Risk Assessment: Moderate to High โ While early signs of a trend reversal are forming, XRPUSDT.P remains within a broader bearish structure. Failure to hold above the $2.38 zone or rejection from the trendline could trigger a renewed selloff toward $2.32 or lower. Confirmation above $2.44 is essential for a stronger bullish case.
BTCUSDT.P - November 12, 2025BTCUSDT.P is showing potential for a short-term bullish reversal after rebounding from the $102,400 support zone. The pair broke above the minor descending trendline resistance, suggesting that buying momentum may be building. If sustained, price action could target the $105,464 partial profit zone and the $106,844 extension level. A stop level is positioned around $101,376โ$101,200, marking the invalidation area for this bullish setup.
Risk Assessment: Moderate to High โ While the breakout above local resistance supports a potential short-term recovery, the pair remains within a broader corrective structure. A rejection below $103,000 would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to a retest of $102,400 or lower.
Solana Battle at 150!Hello, is everyone watching Solana (SOLUSDT) fight?
Currently, SOLUSDT is still under downward pressure after breaking the old support zone (new resistance) and the price continues to be rejected at the main trendline resistance.
The 150-160 zone is acting as an important reaction zone, a short technical recovery may appear before continuing to decrease when it cannot hold this zone.
On the other hand, the market shows signs of altcoin cash flow weakening slightly when BTC is regaining its capitalization advantage.
In addition, the liquidity of the crypto market at the beginning of the week has not clearly recovered, making SOL's recovery difficult to sustain.
In my personal opinion, when breaking through the current support zone, the possibility of going down to the 130-140 zone is quite high.
What do you think, is this zone worth observing for short-term shorts? Or should we wait for a clearer signal in the small frame?
Share your views in the comments below!
After Multiple 4150 Rejections, Gold Eyes Support at 40501. What Happened Yesterday
After an intraday correction, Gold once again tested the 4150 resistance zone, then pulled back toward 4100, only to rebound and touch 4150 again later in the session. Each attempt to break higher was rejected, sending the price back toward interim support.
2. Market Context
Multiple failed breaks above 4150 suggest that the market is not yet ready to extend the rally from Monday. The current price action points to a likely continuation of the correction, as the market digests the strong bullish move from earlier in the week.
3. Technical Outlook
The 4045โ4060 zone stands out as a key confluence support, aligning with previous resistance and short-term rising trend line. A dip into this area would be a healthy pullback within the broader uptrend and could attract renewed buying interest from bulls.
4. Trading Plan
My preferred approach is to buy dips into 4045โ4060, with invalidation below 4030. This setup offers an attractive risk-reward profile, targeting a retest of 4150 on the next bullish leg.
As long as the support zone holds, the bullish structure remains intact and upside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario.
5. Conclusion
Gold is consolidating after its sharp rally, and short-term correction is part of the process. I remain bullish above 4040-4050 zone, expecting buyers to step back in near support and potentially push for another test of 4150 soon. ๐
Gold Continues to Maintain Upward StructureHello, Traders! It's Leo again. Are you following XAUUSD today?
Yesterday, gold moved in line with the expected structure when it held steady above the EMA20/50 around $4,050 and responded well at the main trendline support.
On the other hand, weak US economic data such as the consumer confidence index and the announcement of a surge in layoffs have put pressure on growth and increased the value of gold as a safe haven asset.
This continues to reinforce the medium-term uptrend that is still in place, although a short-term technical correction may appear in today's session.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around $4,100, after breaking the old trendline and moving into a slight accumulation state.
In my personal opinion, next time gold holds above the $4,050 - $4,060 zone, there is a high possibility of a technical recovery back to the $4,150 zone, before the market moves towards the strong resistance zone of $4,320.
In terms of price structure, the current model is still showing a support test recovery wave - rebounding, in line with the main trend maintained since October.
๐ What do you think, comment below. Wish you a successful transaction!
Bitcoin Rebounds โ channel breakout signals!Have a good day, Traders! It's Leo. Let's look at the current BTCUSDT chart
Valid Support Zone: 98,000 โ 102,000 โ Price has formed a clear double-bottom structure here.
Breakout confirmation: Price has broken above the descending channel and both EMA20/50.
Next resistance / target: 115,000 โ previous supply area aligning with major liquidity.
โ Short-term structure favors a bullish continuation as long as support holds.
Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin remains supported by improving risk sentiment as U.S. yields retreat and Fed officials hint at a potential policy pause.
Scenario: A successful retest of the breakout zone could trigger momentum toward the 115K resistance. Holding above 102K keeps the bullish structure intact.
Bulls seem to be regaining control โ will this momentum extend toward 115K? Whatโs your outlook for BTC this week?
EURAUD: Institutional Buying Pressure & Bullish November SetupThe pair has broken out of the descending channel and is now forming a new ascending structure.
Price reacted strongly from the 1.7550โ1.7600 demand zone, which aligns with a key structural support and an oversold RSI area.
The current consolidation phase is unfolding below a daily inefficiency (gap) around 1.7800โ1.7920, which represents the first bullish target.
If the bullish structure holds, we could see a three-wave move towards 1.7920, with a potential mid-term pullback to 1.7700 before the next impulsive leg.
๐น 2. COT Report
Euro (EUR)
Non-commercials: 252k long vs 138k short โ net long
Commercials: strongly net short
Weekly change: +2.6k shorts / -789 longs โ slightly reduced bullish momentum
โก๏ธ EUR remains fundamentally strong, though speculative momentum has slightly cooled.
Australian Dollar (AUD)
Non-commercials: 42k long vs 101k short โ deeply net short
Shorts increased by +10k this week, indicating renewed institutional bearish pressure.
โก๏ธ AUD remains weak with a clear bearish bias.
๐ Overall COT bias: favors EUR strength and AUD weakness, supporting a bullish view on EURAUD.
๐น 3. Seasonality
EUR typically strengthens in November, especially during the last 10 days of the month (+0.003 / +0.004 average).
AUD historically shows November weakness across 10Y, 5Y, and 2Y averages.
โก๏ธ Seasonal patterns support the bullish case for EURAUD, aligning with COT positioning.
๐น 4. Retail Sentiment
70% short vs 30% long
โก๏ธ Retail traders are heavily short, providing a contrarian bullish signal.
๐ Conclusion
The medium-term bias remains bullish on EURAUD, with potential upside extension toward 1.7920, and possibly 1.8050 if macro momentum persists.
The key support to defend lies at 1.7600 / 1.7550.
A daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario and reopen the path toward 1.7400.
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD formed a clear double-top at the premium area and broke below the neckline, confirming bearish intent. A retest of structure offers short opportunities toward discount liquidity.
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Stop Loss: 4,149$
Take Profit: 4,097$
Entry: 4,126$
Time Frame: 1H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BROADCOM 6-year Channel Up in need of a correction.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a 6-year Channel Up since the start of the COVID crash with the price is currently on its top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Our point of interest currently is the 1W RSI Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs since September against the price's Higher Highs. This kind of Bearish Divergence that high inside such a long-term pattern is an indication of a potential trend reversal.
The last correction (January - March 2025) pulled back all the way to the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the one before (January - October 2022) to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The former was more aggressive (-44.72% against -38.65%) and faster. Both reached the bottom of the Channel Up.
As a result, even a -38.65% correction from the current levels would come very close to the bottom of the pattern by Q3 2026, approaching also the 1W MA200, which fulfils most prior pull-back conditions of the Channel Up.
Given this data, our long-term Target on Broadcom from now on is $240. The most optimal buy signal for our next long-term buy will be when the 1W RSI hits its 6-year Support Zone, which happened both on the March 2025 and October 2022 bottoms.
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NZD-CAD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDCAD is reacting within a premium zone after filling imbalance and tapping into a horizontal supply area. The move shows potential redistribution for a leg higher.
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Stop Loss: 0.7955
Take Profit: 0.7905
Entry: 0.7925
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
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EURJPY shows price delivery into a premium area, mitigating a clear supply level while forming bearish order flow. Short-term target sits below the recent internal range low. Time Frame 3H.
โโโโโโโโโ
Entry: 178.640
Stop Loss: 178.900
Take Profit: 178.150
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SHORT๐ฅ
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EUR-AUD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EURAUD is trading inside a premium range, rejecting from a horizontal supply area with strong bearish reaction and clean imbalance left belowโsuggesting a potential continuation lower. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
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USD-CHF Bullish Rebound! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF is showing reaction off a key demand reaccumulation block after a strong displacement move, hinting at potential short-term retracement toward the inefficiency above. Time Frame 4H.
Buy!
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XAU/USD โ Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrendโฐ Timeframe: 30m
๐
Update: 11/11/2025
๐ Market Context
After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130โ4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooldown following a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS).
The current price is situated between a short-term resistance (Resistance Zone) and a technical support (Order Block) โ clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion.
๐ Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price breaks through, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD.
Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382โ0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying flow when the price adjusts.
OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci level โ where buyers may defend the main trend.
Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reaffirmed.
๐ฏ Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1๏ธโฃ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area.
2๏ธโฃ When buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD.
3๏ธโฃ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting the state to a deeper rebalancing.
๐ง Analystโs View
This is a natural โcooldownโ phase after a strong rally โ the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move.
As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish.
Observing reactions at the OB will help determine whether the upward momentum continues to dominate during the US session.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Note
The market is adjusting within a larger trend โ avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Toward 104,000 TargetThis chart shows a potential bearish setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD). After reaching resistance near 106,950, the price is expected to pull back towards the 105,200 support zone and possibly drop further to the 104,000 target level, highlighted by the large downward arrow.
S&P500 New Bullish Leg confirmed targeting 7150.The S&P500 index (SPX) offered us, as we mentioned on our last analysis, an excellent buy opportunity last Friday as it hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and bounced.
Having broken and closed yesterday above its 4H MA50 (red trend-line), it has technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 6-month Channel Up. Based on all previous ones, it should target the 2.5 Fibonacci extension at 7150, which remains our long-term Target for the end of the year.
Notice also how similar the 1D RSI patterns are of October and August. Steady rise is expected for November getting into December.
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EURUSD could target 1.0300 if this level breaks.The EURUSD pair has been trading within an 11-year Channel Down and has found itself on a 2-month pull-back currently ever since the September 17 2025 market High.
Technically that was a Lower High for this long-term pattern and was formed while the 1W RSI has been on Lower Highs, against the price's Higher Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence.
This is the same kind of divergence that was present during the Channel's last two Lower Highs in January 2021 and February 2018. Both tops initiated Bearish Legs that got confirmed when the price broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
On both occasions, the price hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Down, declining by at least -15.25%.
As a result, if the 1W MA50 breaks again, being the market's last Support, we expect EURUSD to target at least 1.0300.
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