TAOUSDT.P - November 3, 2025TAOUSDT.P is displaying a corrective rebound within a broader downtrend, with price approaching the $470.53 buy limit zone. The setup suggests a potential continuation higher from this demand area, targeting $492.79 for partial profit and $499.37 as the final objective. The stop loss is positioned below the $456.66 support, defining a clear invalidation level. A sustained move above $470.53 would confirm bullish momentum and favor a continuation toward the upper targets, while a breakdown below $456.66 would negate the setup and open room for further decline.
Risk Assessment: Moderate risk — the trade depends on a successful defense of the buy limit, but the recent bullish push adds credibility to a short-term recovery.
Signals
GBPNZD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2.296.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2.289 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BTCUSDT.P - November 3, 2025BTCUSDT.P is forming a potential lower-high structure within a broader corrective phase, suggesting renewed bearish momentum. The setup plans a sell short limit order at $116,380, targeting a move down toward the profit level at $100,904, with a stop level positioned at $131,811 for risk management. The structure favors a downside continuation as long as price remains below the $116,380 resistance zone. A break above the stop region would invalidate the bearish bias and shift momentum back to buyers.
Risk Assessment: Medium risk — while the market structure supports a bearish setup, the wide range and volatility around the $110,000–$120,000 zone introduce potential fluctuations before confirmation.
ASTERUSDT.P - November 3, 2025ASTERUSDT.P is currently retracing after a sharp upward impulse, consolidating around the $1.00 area with a projected move toward the $0.9108 area. The chart outlines a buy limit order at $0.9108, anticipating a bullish reversal targeting $1.0746 for partial profit and $1.2291 as the final take-profit level. The stop-loss is placed at $0.7513, maintaining a strong risk-to-reward ratio. Confirmation of bullish continuation will depend on holding above the $0.9108 support level and a clean rejection from that zone.
Risk Assessment: Medium risk — while the setup is aligned with the broader bullish structure, the trade depends on precise entry execution near support, making timing crucial for optimal results
BITCOIN 's worst Uptober in 11 years. Will selling continue?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed October on a -3.89% loss, marking only the second red October since 2018 (-3.83%) and the worst since 2014 (-12.95%). This comes against the popularized 'Uptober' moniker, which relates to BTC's historically strong gains for this month.
So what's next? Things may get even worse if BTC repeats the Jan - Feb 2025 fractal and breaks below its current Higher Lows trend-line. As you can see, since the August 14 2025 High, the market has been on a similar pattern as December 2024 - February 2025.
Right now we are on the rejection made on the Lower Highs 2 trend-line (blue circle) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. With the first Lower Highs 2 rejection being similar among the two fractals (around -17%), we can expect an equally symmetrical sell-off if the Higher Lows break.
On February 24 2025, that break-out completed a -32% fall from its All Time High (ATH) just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If the Higher Lows break-out does happen on the current sequence as well, we may see another -32% decline, which this time is exactly on the 2.0 Fib ext. This time we have the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) to be mindful of, where we can expect contact to be made around $87000.
Do you think BTC can dip this low? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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EURUSD Weakens Ahead of Key US DataHey everyone, let’s take a closer look at EURUSD together today.
At the start of the new week, the pair is moving quietly below 1.1550 during the European session. Even though the US dollar has softened slightly and risk sentiment has improved, buyers remain cautious. The market is still waiting for clearer signals from the upcoming ISM Manufacturing PMI data and the latest comments from the Federal Reserve, which could shape the next major move.
On the technical side, EURUSD has been trading inside a rising wedge, a structure that often signals fading bullish strength. The recent drop beneath the lower trendline suggests sellers are beginning to regain momentum. As long as the price holds below that broken area, a further downside correction seems likely.
My view is that EURUSD could continue sliding toward the 1.450 to 1.1400 zone unless buyers step back in with strong momentum.
What do you think—will the euro recover, or is this the beginning of a deeper move lower?
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market Outlook. Rally’s End or Reset?OANDA:XAUUSD explosive October rally — crowned by a historic monthly candle that shattered resistance and ignited euphoria — has now entered its reckoning phase. What looked like unstoppable momentum is now revealing signs of exhaustion. The sharp, volume-fueled drop toward $4,000 isn’t just a “healthy correction” — it’s the first real test of whether this bull can withstand gravity. And right now, the charts are whispering: "it may go down south".
The 4H chart reveals a classic “impulse leg” followed by an aggressive A-B-C correction — and we’re still in the “C” leg. But here’s the twist: if price breaks below $3,850 with conviction, the entire bullish structure collapses. That would open the door to a much deeper pullback — potentially down to $3,700 or even $3,600, targeting prior support zones and retesting the long-term upward channel’s lower boundary.
The monthly chart confirms the big picture: gold is in a powerful uptrend, but also in overbought territory after a vertical spike. The October candle closed above its open — a sign of strength, yes — but also a potential exhaustion signal since it formed a pinbar pattern. When markets rise too fast, they often fall harder.
In essence, gold is no longer climbing — it’s consolidating under pressure. The bull hasn’t died, but it’s breathing heavily. For us, this means one thing: sell the rips, buy the dips only if structure holds. The path of least resistance may now be downward. We should wait for confirmations.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTC - CHANCES ON COLLAPSE ARE RAISINGMorning folks,
So, BTC has failed to start upside action as with our 4H H&S as with 30-min H&S that we mentioned last time as a tool for long entry. The last one actually has not been formed at all. So, no entry signal followed.
Now, based on 4H picture, nominally we still could believe that H&S will survive and BTC still will reverse up. We do not argue, but... this might happen only by some external driver. It will be some wild card scenario, but we can't make a bet on it. Technical picture looks weak, and suggests price return back to 105K lows.
To return back to bullish view we need to get upside jump and confirmation of validity of this H&S pattern. In this case bullish scenario will be possible.
Now we prefer to stay aside from any bullish trades.
Lingrid | EURUSD Key Support Zone Hold Brief Bull MoveThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD is approaching the key psychological level near 1.1500, signaling a short-term bullish move may occur within the broader downtrend. Price action shows a potential A-B-C recovery structure forming above the support zone, supported by early buying pressure from lower levels. If momentum continues, the pair could retest the 1.1610–1.1710 resistance range before facing renewed selling interest. Overall, buyers might attempt a corrective rebound toward the upper boundary of the descending channel.
⚠️ Risks:
NFP data could cap the rebound and resume downside momentum.
Upcoming Unemployment Rate and PCE may increase volatility..
A breakdown below 1.1500 would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
DXY Analysis — Bulls at 100: Continuation or Correction?In my latest DXY analyses, I mentioned that the index could reverse and push higher, with the 100 figure acting as a key zone to watch for bulls.
Indeed, on Friday the index climbed right into this area and is now showing signs of minor consolidation.
The key question now:
👉 Will the DXY manage to continue above this critical level, or is it time for a pause?
In my view, a correction is looming for the index. Even if we see a short-term spike above 100, I expect it to be unsustainable.
For the near future, DXY could remain in a range-trading environment, with 100 as resistance and 97.50 as support.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Support Break Bear Trend ContinuationBINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading inside a broad descending formation after rejecting from the upper resistance band near 116K. Price action has been forming lower highs while respecting the downward trendline and consolidating between 110K. As long as this zone holds, a short-term recovery toward 110K may occur before renewed selling pressure returns. Overall momentum remains bearish, with a potential drop toward the 102K–95K support area.
⚠️ Risks:
Unexpected strength in U.S. economic data could increase volatility and delay downside continuation.
ETF inflows resuming could strengthen spot demand.
Failure of price to stay below 110K would invalidate the bearish outlook.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD Daily Outlook — Bearish Retracement Toward Sell-Side Liqu
On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD still holds a bullish target, but before the next major upward leg, I believe the market needs a retracement phase.
Looking at the daily timeframe, the structure currently supports a bearish bias. Price has been respecting bearish PD Arrays while failing to sustain bullish PD Arrays, suggesting that bearish order flow remains dominant for now.
In my view, we can expect the market to move downward toward the sell-side liquidity before any potential bullish continuation begins.
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XAU/USD: Bullish Structure Under Threat as Correction DeepensXAU/USD has entered a corrective phase following its explosive October rally, which printed a historic monthly candle and pushed gold into overbought territory. What once appeared as unstoppable bullish momentum is now showing clear signs of exhaustion, with price rapidly falling back toward the $4,000 psychological support.
On the 4H chart, price is in the final leg of an aggressive A-B-C correction, and a break below $3,850 would be critical — potentially collapsing the bullish structure and opening downside targets at $3,700 and $3,600, aligning with prior support zones and the lower boundary of the long-term upward channel.
While the monthly chart confirms the broader uptrend, the vertical spike followed by a pinbar-style candle hints at a possible exhaustion top. The rally may have overextended, and current consolidation under pressure suggests a shift in sentiment.
At this stage, gold is not trending higher — it’s fighting to hold structure. The bias shifts to "sell the rips", with dip buying only valid if the technical foundation remains intact. The path of least resistance now leans downward, and confirmation is key before taking directional positions.
Gold Congestion: Clear Levels, Unclear DirectionAfter forming a local low at 3887 last week — a level perfectly aligned with the October ATH area — OANDA:XAUUSD started to recover from the recent 5k pips decline, retesting the 4050 resistance zone, which previously acted as strong support.
Since mid-last week, price action has entered a consolidation phase. Despite high intraday volatility, the structure is beginning to compress into a clear congestion pattern.
This range, roughly 1k pips wide, provides traders with well-defined reference points:
- Support: 3950–3960 zone – a break below this area would likely reopen the path toward the recent 3887 low.
- Resistance: 4040–4050 zone – a confirmed breakout above could trigger a continuation toward 4150.
At this stage, I am slightly bullish, given the sharp rejections from 3920 last week and the emerging ascending triangle structure, which often precedes upward continuation.
Still, confirmation is required — the market must decide whether this congestion is accumulation or distribution.
Busy trading week coming up!!The trading week of November 3–7 is considered a pivotal period for international financial markets. A series of high-level economic data including manufacturing and services PMIs, ADP non-farm payrolls, trade balances, and interest rate decisions from major central banks will create a mixed picture of the global economic cycle. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials and geopolitical developments can reinforce or distort monetary policy expectations later in the year.
🔹 Monday – Global PMI:
PMI figures from China, Europe, the UK, and the US kick off the week, reflecting the overall health of global manufacturing. Weak data could boost expectations for monetary easing, while stronger results may reinforce inflation-control policies. Additionally, the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting could impact oil prices and inflation trends.
🔹 Tuesday – Monetary Policy & Trade:
Focus turns to the RBA (Australia) rate decision and Canada’s trade balance. The market expects the RBA to keep rates unchanged at 3.6%, but a “hawkish” tone could trigger volatility in AUD. Speeches from Fed and BoC officials will also provide further clues on the 2025 rate-cut cycle.
🔹 Wednesday – Services & Employment:
The US Services PMI and ADP employment report will take center stage. These data points often provide early hints for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Crude oil inventories from API and EIA will continue to influence oil prices and inflation expectations.
🔹 Thursday – European Data & BoE Decision:
The Bank of England may cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% amid recession concerns. Germany’s retail sales and industrial production figures will offer insights into the region’s economic health.
🔹 Friday – China & the Fed:
China’s trade balance and a series of speeches from five FOMC members will dominate attention. Any comments related to inflation or December rate decisions could cause sharp moves in USD and gold.
Three Key Risks to Watch:
1️⃣ Data Divergence: PMI or ADP figures may diverge significantly from official data, sparking volatility in market expectations.
2️⃣ Policy Surprises: Unexpected moves or tone shifts from the RBA or BoE could trigger market shocks.
3️⃣ Geopolitics & Liquidity: Escalating tensions in Russia–Ukraine or the Middle East, along with oil price swings, could drive safe-haven flows into gold and USD.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is hovering around the $4,000/oz mark, after recovering slightly from the 0.382 Fibonacci support zone at $3,972/oz. The recent decline remains within a short-term correction channel, but selling pressure has slowed as the RSI exited the oversold zone and showed signs of forming a technical bottom.
The EMA21 (around $4,055/oz) is currently acting as an important resistance. If the price breaks above this level decisively, the short-term correction structure could be completed, opening a new uptrend towards the $4,128–$4,200/oz area (Fibo 0.236 and the most recent old peak). Conversely, if gold fails to surpass the EMA21, the correction could continue towards $3,846 or $3,720/oz – the next two support zones corresponding to the Fibo 0.5 and 0.618 levels, respectively.
Note: RSI momentum is still weak, so further confirmation with trading volume and reversal candlestick signals is needed before opening a long position.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4091 - 4089⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4095
→Take Profit 1 4083
↨
→Take Profit 2 4077
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3954 - 3956⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3950
→Take Profit 1 3962
↨
→Take Profit 2 3968
USDJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅USDJPY Price formed a double-top near the premium zone, showing exhaustion and signs of distribution. Expect a bearish reaction toward the demand level where liquidity rests.
—————————
Entry: 154.000
Stop Loss: 154.420
Take Profit: 153.320
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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AUD-CAD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDCAD is reacting from a horizontal demand area, showing signs of accumulation before a potential bullish move. Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, favoring buyers.
-------------------
Stop Loss: 0.9145
Take Profit: 0.9195
Entry Level: 0.9169
Time Frame: 5H
-------------------
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 03 - Nov 07]This week, global OANDA:XAUUSD prices recorded their second consecutive weekly decline. Spot gold started the week at $4,104/oz, dropped to $3,886/oz at one point, and then recovered to around $4,000/oz.
In the coming week, gold prices may move sideways with no clear trend, requiring more time for accumulation.
If the price trades above the 4,045 resistance level, it may recover to 4,150, and a break above this level could push it toward 4,250.
However, if the price falls below 3,900, there is a risk of a sell-off, potentially dragging it down to around 3,750.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,750 – 3,900 USD
Resistance: 4,045 – 4,150 – 4,250 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4151 - 4149⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4155
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3899 - 3901⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3895
USD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDJPY a double-top structure has formed near a key supply zone, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Smart money may look to reverse liquidity buildup at this level toward lower targets.
-------------------
Stop Loss: 154.459
Take Profit: 153.560
Entry Level: 154.102
Time Frame: 2H
-------------------
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.153.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.143 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.572.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.575 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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