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Bitcoin Price Action Explained: Daily & 4H Trade TriggersIn today’s episode (EP.18), I’m breaking down Bitcoin & Ethereum price action with a full multi-timeframe strategy: Daily → structure, momentum & breakout confirmation 4H → long/short triggers with exact levels 1H & 15m → entry timing & risk management BTC.D vs ETH/BTC → why liquidity might shift to Ethereum ⚡ Main idea: Bitcoin looks ready for an 8% rally, while Ethereum has a 10% breakout potential if key levels break. But only if you know where to look and how to manage your risk. 👉 If you don’t know what “partial profit” is, check my video 5 Lessons from My First 100 Trades ( link here ). Everyday I post straightforward Bitcoin analysis with no BS. follow so you never miss the triggers. Until tomorrow – peace out ✌️
Long
by SkepticLab
1
CBDCs for FXTraders :Your 2025 Guide to Digital Currency MarketsWhat if the U.S. dollar or Chinese yuan you’re trading today becomes digital tomorrow? As of 2025, 132 countries are piloting Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) , with China’s digital yuan already in 260 million wallets. This isn’t sci-fi—it’s happening now, and it’s about to shake up forex markets. hey I’m Skeptic :) At Skeptic Lab , we don’t chase hype—we dissect it. CBDCs are the next frontier, and I’m here to show you how to trade this shift without getting burned. In this guide, you’ll learn what CBDCs are, how they’ll mess with pairs like CNY/USD , and a beginner-friendly strategy to profit from the chaos. Let’s get ahead of the curve. What Are CBDCs? A No-BS Breakdown Central Bank Digital Currencies are digital versions of fiat money, backed by central banks. Think digital yuan or digital USD—same value, but on a blockchain or centralized ledger. 132 countries , including China (260M digital yuan wallets), India (digital rupee pilots), and the EU (digital euro trials), are testing CBDCs in 2025. Why? Control, speed, and lower transaction costs. Unlike crypto, CBDCs are tied to fiat, so they’ll directly impact pairs like CNY/USD, INR/USD, or EUR/USD. Expect new volatility patterns and liquidity shifts. I’m not sold on CBDCs being a trader’s paradise yet—central banks love control, and that could mean less freedom ( I hate XRP too, but I trade it when it gives my fuking trigger... ). But the opportunity is real if you know how to play it. How CBDCs Will Shake Up Forex Markets CBDCs could make cross-border transactions faster, boosting liquidity for pairs like CNY/USD. China’s digital yuan is already used in global trade pilots. As countries roll out CBDCs, expect short-term price swings. For example, CNY/USD could spike if digital yuan adoption outpaces expectations. Central banks might tighten forex controls with CBDCs, impacting leverage or spreads. Stay sharp—regulations are coming. Focus on CNY/USD (China’s digital yuan is live), INR/USD (India’s pilot is scaling), and EUR/USD (digital euro trials are accelerating). The hype says CBDCs will streamline forex, but I’m skeptical—centralized digital money could mean more manipulation. Still, volatility is a trader’s friend if you’re prepared. Trading Strategy—Range Trading CNY/USD Why CNY/USD? “China’s digital yuan is the most advanced CBDC, with 260M wallets and growing global use. CNY/USD is volatile but often range-bound, perfect for beginners. Step-by-Step Strategy: Identify the Range: “On TradingView, use daily charts to spot CNY/USD’s Range boxes ( Consolidation phases ). Look for consolidation after CBDC news. ” Enter the Trade: “Buy after resistance breakout (breakout above consolidation box); sell after support breakout (breakout below our consolidation box). Set a stop-loss bellow the breakout candle or previous low in lower time frames(4h. ) or below previous support (4h) or above resistance and high (if you go for short).” Take Profits: “clone the consolidation box and put it above or below the previous box. take partial profit (35% at rrr of 2 then 40% at rrr of 5 then 20% at rrr of 10 and close the rest when we formed lower highs and lower lows (based on dav theory)” Risk Management: “ Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade. CBDC news can be fakout so have your other confirmations (such as RSI and PIVOT POINTS etc.) Range trading isn’t sexy, but it’s steady. CNY/USD’s CBDC-driven swings make it a solid pick for 2025—just don’t get greedy. Risks and What to Watch in 2025 CBDCs could tighten central bank control, reducing forex flexibility. Sudden policy shifts (e.g., China banning crypto trades again) could tank CNY/USD . Plus, tech glitches in CBDC rollouts might cause market freezes. Track CBDC adoption news on X—look for updates on China’s digital yuan, India’s rupee, or EU trials. Follow central bank announcements and IMF reports for clues. I’m all in on spotting trends early, but CBDCs aren’t a free lunch. Stay skeptical , trade small, and always have an exit plan. What’s your take on CBDCs in forex? Drop your thoughts bellow , and let’s debate! Boost for more Skeptic takes :) 📈 Disclaimer: This article was written for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Education
by SkepticLab
Bitcoin Is Hiding Something BIG (Target Revealed)In Episode 17 of my Bitcoin daily analysis , we just hit a +2.3% gain from the last long trigger, and now BTC is pressing against a critical resistance. If this level breaks with volume, the next +2.7% move could be right around the corner. In this video, I’ll break Bitcoin down across weekly, daily, and 4H timeframes to show you: Why this resistance is so important 🔑 How I set my next upside target step by step The role of volume, BTC dominance, and TOTAL2/TOTAL3 in confirming moves Whether altcoins (like ETH and SOL) are about to outperform Bitcoin ❌ Don’t FOMO. ✅ Stick to risk management. ✅ Trade your plan, not your emotions. If you found this analysis helpful, share it with your trading friends and let’s grow smarter together.
Long
by SkepticLab
1
BTC Daily: 26% Growth & ATH Correction—What's Next?Welcome back, guys—it's Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🚀 This is Episode 14 of our Daily Bitcoin Analysis. After a 26% growth and hitting ATH, Bitcoin is correcting—so what’s the smartest move now? Long, short, or wait? Let’s dive in. 💡 What you'll learn in this video: Daily timeframe trend analysis (higher highs & higher lows) ✅ Key support & resistance levels to watch 📊 Smart strategies for shorts and longs with proper risk management ⚡ BTC.D & altcoin flows—where the money is moving! 💰 if it helped, give it a boost :)
by SkepticLab
Indexes Pull Back – Is This the Entry You Missed? | SPX500 & HK5Most major indexes like SPX500 and HK50 have retraced about 50% of their recent gains, giving a second chance to those who missed the previous leg up. In this episode, I break down key support zones and share simple, high-probability triggers—range breakouts, engulfing candles, and fakeouts—to spot momentum shifts. 🔍 📍Remember: follow the trend, manage your risk, and no shorting here as it goes against HWC/MWC bias. ( Educational content only , not financial advice. Comment your favorite ticker for future analysis.)
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
by SkepticLab
1
THIS IS WHY BITCOIN DUMPED...Last night Bitcoin took a sharp hit – but why? In this video, we break it down with a skeptical lens . From forced selling by companies holding crypto in their treasuries to the impact of Wall Street’s institutional players, we’ll uncover the possible reasons behind the drop and what it could mean going forward. Plus, we’ll talk about risk management, diversification, and why stop-losses matter more than ever. 💡 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps
by SkepticLab
Dow Jones: Will It Finally Break All-Time Highs?While SPX 500 and Nasdaq have already smashed their all-time highs, Dow Jones is still grinding toward its breakout. In this analysis, I’ll break down the current consolidation phase, key Fibonacci levels, and precise long triggers to watch. We’ll zoom into daily and lower time frames to find actionable entries, manage risk, and avoid FOMO. Clear, skeptical, and to the point. 🔮 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by SkepticLab
3
MVRV Demystified: A Guide to Tops, Bottoms & RiskFinancial nerds love to give tools weird names to make them look like fortune-tellers. Some actually are predictive—like grandma’s dreams!🌙 I’m Skeptic from Skeptic Lab , and today we’re talking about MVRV .. First off, it can’t predict the future , but it tells you four key things:🔮 Identifying market tops and bottoms Assessing market sentiment Trading strategies Risk management What is MVRV? 🔍 Imagine you have a box of chocolates. You want to know how many you have and what they’d be worth if everyone decided to buy or sell. MVRV is a number that shows: “How the current value of everyone’s chocolates compares to the price they originally paid.” High MVRV → people are selling chocolates for much more than they paid → expensive market. Low MVRV → people are selling for less than they paid → cheap market, potential buy zone. In short: MVRV is like a green/red light for buying and selling chocolates 🍫🚦. The Formula ➗ Market Value (MV): total value of all coins at current market price. Realized Value (RV): total value based on last on-chain transaction price — a "truer" cost basis, filtering out short-term volatility. Why Z-Score? ✨ MVRV alone sometimes misleads: In bull markets , it can stay high for weeks → fake sell signals. Low MVRV can just be short-term noise. One week after MVRV was introduced, David Puell and Murad Mahmudov created the MVRV Z-Score. It standardizes MVRV against historical mean and volatility, showing if current levels are truly abnormal. Z > 7 → speculative top Z < 0 → deep undervaluation, potential bottom Applications 🎯 Spotting Tops & Bottoms: High MVRV (>3.5) = late bull top Low MVRV (<1) = bear bottom, strong buy Z-Score filters extremes Market Sentiment: High = greed, low = fear → emotional barometer Trading Moves: Long-term: buy <1, hold Medium-term: sell >3.7, buy <1 Timebound MVRV (365d, 60d) shows short vs long-term holder pressure Risk Management: Identifying potential profit zones Checks if BTC is overpriced/undervalued vs RV Works best combined with SOPR, NVT, macro factors Limitations 🌡️ Sensitive to volatility Assumes on-chain movements = sales (not always) Blind to shocks (regulations, macro events) Overvaluation can persist → mistimed sell signals Needs historical data → weak for new coins Not standalone → combine with other metrics Conclusion 📍 MVRV compares Market Value to Realized Value → shows over- or undervaluation Identifies market tops and bottoms Z-Score filters noise, highlights abnormal levels Historically effective in Bitcoin cycles Best used with other metrics for holistic analysis Boost for more Skeptic takes :) 📈 Disclaimer: This article was written for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Education
by SkepticLab
Skeptic's Night Byte: 3 Hacks to Beat a Losing StreakHey, it’s Skeptic 👋 We’ve all been there — losing streaks suck, but they don’t have to wipe you out. In under 60 seconds, I’ll show you 3 quick hacks that make a huge difference: Build friction into your trading decisions Stop letting news events wreck your win rate Use higher time frames to avoid the noise Simple moves. Massive impact. If this helped, hit that boost so I know to drop more tips like this.
Education
by SkepticLab
2
$DOGS – Is This Telegram Mini-App Token About to Wake Up?Yo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🩵 Breaking down SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS with a skeptical lens — weekly still bearish, daily stuck in consolidation, but key breakout levels could flip the script. 📊 Weekly & daily analysis 📈 4H trigger levels with volume & RSI confirmations ⚠️ Why I avoid trading inside the range 💡 Clear breakout & breakdown setups Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
by SkepticLab
How to Use AI for Crypto Trading (The Right Way)lemme answer real quick: YOU DON’T. Most traders using AI in crypto are straight up doing it wrong. Here’s the usual story: They open ChatGPT and ask, “Hey… uhm… tell me which altcoin will 100x… Bruh, I heard you know everything, bet you know the next 10x coin!” ChatGPT confidently replies, “Sure, buy this coin right now…” And the trader’s like, “Ok, thanks.” Then they jump on Binance, smash that buy button, and lose money faster than you can say ‘left trading’. Don’t be that guy. Tools like ChatGPT weren’t made for this wild crypto jungle. Crypto’s a messy, super risky market, and ChatGPT’s language models mostly have old info anyway. They can’t give you solid, grounded analysis of what’s really going on — on-chain or across exchanges. BUT, if you wanna cut through the hype and dodge the FOMO, this quick guide is for you. I’ll show you how to use AI the right way — with real on-chain and off-chain data, and special AI agents built specifically for crypto research. Wanna keep going? Cool, let’s dive in. If not, peace out and don’t waste your time. 1. Use AI That Actually Processes On-Chain and Off-Chain Data Real AI power kicks in when you talk about scale — thousands of tokens, millions of wallet moves, shifting stories everywhere. Humans can’t keep up, but AI can process it all instantly, in real time. Look for AI tools that analyze stuff like: Wallet behavior and how smart money moves. Token velocity and decentralized exchange volumes. Social sentiment from Twitter, Reddit, Discord, Telegram. Developer activity, governance updates, protocol changes. How market narratives pop up and spread. 2. Use AI Agents Made Just for Crypto Research Crypto’s not like stocks or forex. It’s faster, fragmented, and shaped by both on-chain wallet moves and off-chain communities. That’s where specialized AI agents shine. They understand stuff like: How wallets behave during airdrops. How Telegram groups hype early projects. How dev activity correlates with price moves. Instead of raw data dumps, these crypto-native AI agents spot patterns that’d take humans days to find. Like spotting when big wallet clusters start accumulating in a new ecosystem, or when a protocol suddenly blows up on social media. 3. Combine Research & Automation for Full-Spectrum Edge I’m personally pumped about this part. Imagine an AI agent tracking low-cap funds moving into Telegram channels, running sentiment analysis, then tracking smart wallets accumulating tokens (even mixing in technical analysis). Finally, it finds your risk management , sets triggers, and helps you enter trades with clear stop-loss and target levels. Quick heads-up: Because of TradingView’s house rules, I can’t drop any links here — you gotta search and find your best AI tools on your own. Remember : The only way to survive this market is to stay skeptical , watch risk management like a hawk, and keep your head cool. So if you feel FOMO creeping in or money management slipping — close your laptop, hit a coffee shop, and order a espresso. Trust me, it’s worth it. Thanks for sticking with me till the end of this lesson. Im Skeptic from Skeptic Lab & If this helped, smash that boost button and I’ll catch you in the next one! :)
Education
by SkepticLab
1
This V-Pattern on SPX500 Is Stupid CleanHey, it’s Skeptic. In this video, I’m breaking down a clean V-pattern setup on SPX500 — right in line with what I taught in yesterday’s educational post. We’re starting from the Daily time frame and walking through the logic behind my long trigger, why the previous fakeout was actually useful, and how to set your stop-loss depending on your trading style (H4 vs 15min). This isn’t just chart talk — it’s about reading the story behind the candles. If it helped you see things clearer, give it a boost and drop your thoughts below. Let’s keep learning — one trap at a time. Until next time, peace out. 📌 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticLab
EURGBP Setup So Clear It Feels IllegalHey, it’s Skeptic. Spotted a super clean breakout forming on EURGBP — and it lines up across multiple tools (RSI, 7SMA, momentum candles). In this video, I’ll walk you through the daily trend, explain why I’m only looking for longs, and show the exact 15m trigger I’m watching. No hype, no FOMO, just reason. If it helps, boost it. Appreciate you 🫡 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research, manage your risk, and stay sharp out there.
Long
by SkepticLab