Demand Zone in Focus: MSS Shift Signals Potential LongHello Traders,
Wishing everyone a productive week ahead! Today, price action is sitting at a clearly defined demand zone, and we’ve just seen a shift in market structure (MSS). Based on this, I’m looking to go long from the potential demand area.
However, keep in mind there’s still a strong external bearish trend. For added confirmation, consider waiting for a break of the last lower high (LH) before entering a long position.
Stay sharp and trade safe! 💪
Smcconcepts
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the breakout of the resistance zone, price retested the support area and showed a clean rejection.
• No Change of Character (ChoCH) has been confirmed, which keeps the bullish structure intact.
• Institutions are still showing accumulation and interest in higher prices.
• Projection: Possible fake out before distribution, with continuation toward the new target at 4,080.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone and OB-15M.
💡 Motivational Message for New SMC Traders
“Trading with Smart Money Concepts is about patience and structure. Don’t chase the market—read its story. Every ChoCH, BOS, and fake out is not just a candle, but a footprint left by institutions. Stay disciplined, trust the process, and let the market come to you. 🚀📈”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🌞😁
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC) 📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the previous distribution and push to 4,005, price made a reset with a clean rejection at the support zone.
• A new Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed continued institutional interest.
• Current projection: we may see a fake out and rejection before the next bullish leg.
• The market structure suggests continuation to the upside, targeting the 4,043 zone.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the ChoCH and Break of Structure (BOS), price tapped into the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) located inside the resistance zone.
• A classic fake out occurred above the level, followed by a rejection back into the support zone, giving confirmation of bullish intent.
• From there, price pushed strongly into distribution, targeting the new highs.
• First target achieved: 4,005, right at the psychological level above 4,000.
• Market structure remains bullish as long as the support zone holds.
⚡ This analysis shows perfect market manipulation → rejection → bullish continuation flow.
GOOD JOB TRADERS.. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis on XAU/USD
Context
• The market is showing clear institutional interest after the Change of Character (ChoCh) on the 15M timeframe.
• A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bullish intent.
• Price created a fake out and is now reacting with a possible rejection from the support zone, signaling continuation to the upside.
Projection
• First target: around 3,995, where we could see partial distribution.
• Second target: potential move toward 4,000 (new historical highs) if buying pressure continues.
• The trade will be monitored during the rejection phase and adjusted if further manipulation or extended accumulation occurs.
Risk Management
• Stop Loss: below the highlighted support zone.
• Risk/Reward Ratio: approximately 1:3, offering an attractive setup with solid risk-to-reward conditions.
📝 Conclusion
This setup reflects strong bullish momentum with clear structure toward new highs. The plan is to secure profits near 3,995 and, if continuation remains intact, extend to the 4,000 mark.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
Building a Trading Plan: The 2nd StepMy trading journey has been defined by a search for consistency. For years, I operated under the belief that a trading plan was a strict list of entry and exit rules. I would follow these rules, yet my results remained unpredictable. The turning point came when I began to understand what is a successful Forex trading plan is. Surely, it is not a rigid document, but a dynamic decision-making system.
The first component of this system is identifying the trading range. This foundational step seems simple, but I learned that its execution is critical. The range establishes the market's current context. It defines the battle between buyers and sellers, creating a clear framework for all subsequent analysis. Without accurately identifying this zone, every decision that follows is built on an unstable foundation. I spend a significant portion of my analysis time confirming these boundaries, knowing that everything else depends on it.
The second component, and the one that brought the entire process into focus for me, is the concept of inducement. In the methodology I am testing, inducement represents a key liquidity area. It is a level where the market is likely to see significant activity from larger participants. Learning to identify these zones clarifies both ends of the trading range. It was no longer just a box on a chart; it became a map with highlighted areas of strategic importance.
This understanding created a powerful filter. It helped me distinguish between a simple break of a level and a meaningful move targeting a specific liquidity pool. My plan specifically focuses on what is classified as a major inducement, which allows me to ignore the minor. This step directly addressed the inconsistency in my earlier trading, as it provided a logical reason for price action beyond basic support and resistance.
Perhaps the most important lesson has been the dynamic nature of a true trading plan. The market is not static, and neither can a Forex trading plan be. I recall a specific backtesting session analyzing the GBPUSD pair on the 15 Minute time frame where a clear change of character occurred. The price action broke a previously defined range. A clear rule shows the difference between a break of strucutre and change of character. Now, I just need to redefine the new trading range with the help of the inducement level. As simple as that.
This proves that a plan’s value is not in preventing change, but in providing a structured method to adapt to it. The plan I am building is a living system. It guides me not only on when to enter a trade but, just as crucially, on when to stand aside and reassess the market structure. This ongoing process of learning and adaptation is, for me, the true essence of what a Forex trading plan must be.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD
The market just showed clear manipulation. After the CHOCH at the resistance zone, we had a sharp bearish move acting as a fake out, sweeping retail stop losses near the support area.
This liquidity grab aligned with the 1H FVG, confirming institutional interest and showing that the drop was only a setup to accumulate buy positions at lower prices.
Now, after the reaction at the support, price is setting up for a distribution phase. The first target is projected at 3,881, and if bullish momentum continues, we could see an extension to 3,910, where the market may create new Higher Highs (HH).
✅ Setup Highlights
• Liquidity sweep (retail stop hunt)
• Reaction at support + 1H FVG confirmation
• Possible retest near 3,855–3,860 (SMA)
• Target 1: 3,881
• Extension: 3,910
🚀 Let’s monitor price action carefully — institutions may be preparing for new highs.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
EURUSD Daily Forecast Update Profit Take -Q3| W39 | D25 | Y25| 📅 Q3 | W39 | D25 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
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FX:EURUSD
DXY SHORTS | 9SEPT Price failed to hold above resistance — strong sign of supply in control ⚡.
Intraday structure shifting bearish below 97.400.
Minor LQC + demand point marked — a confirmed close below supports further downside.
⚡ Trade Summary:
This is a continuation play following the first trade idea. The rejection confirms bears are stepping in, aligning with higher timeframe momentum. Short positions below 97.400 remain valid, targeting 97.100.
“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650 📉”
Gold (XAUUSD) reached the all-time high resistance / PRZ zone (3645–3680) and immediately showed rejection signs, confirming this level as a high-probability reversal point.
📊 Technical Breakdown
PRZ Rejection: The move above 3650 failed to sustain, indicating a liquidity grab and false breakout structure.
Momentum Exhaustion: A parabolic advance from 3330 support into ATH left behind multiple imbalances (FVGs) that now attract price back down.
Liquidity Dynamics: The rejection suggests buy-side liquidity has been taken, and the market may now seek sell-side liquidity below recent swing lows.
Market Structure: Intraday structure shows early signs of a bearish shift, with lower highs forming under 3635–3625.
🎯 Downside Targets
3585–3578 → First corrective level (38.2% retracement).
3565 → Key midpoint of the rally.
3545–3516 → Liquidity + 61.8–78.6% retracement cluster.
3480–3460 → Previous consolidation base.
3330–3320 → Major high-timeframe support demand zone.
⚠️ Invalidation
If buyers reclaim 3660–3680 with strong daily closes, the bearish retracement scenario will be invalidated, opening the path toward new ATH extensions.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold’s rejection at 3650 ATH PRZ is a significant technical signal. Current order flow suggests a retracement phase toward 3580–3515, with potential extension to 3330–3320 key support if selling pressure persists.
Risky NZDUSD Trade RecapThis setup wasn’t the cleanest, but sometimes calculated risk pays off.
📉 Setup:
Price was in a clear downtrend, making this buy counter-trend.
Demand zone around 0.5818 offered a possible bounce.
Break of the descending trendline gave early confirmation.
✅ Entry: 0.58189
❌ SL: 0.57964
🎯 TP: 0.59420 – 0.59490 supply zone
📊 Outcome:
Despite the risk of fading the trend, price respected demand, broke structure, and ran straight into my supply target at 0.5940+ for full profits.
⚠️ Not every trade will be textbook perfect — but with proper risk management, even the risky ones can pay off.
#NZDUSD #ForexTrader #RiskManagement #RiskyTrade #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexJourney #MarketStructure
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
BTC – Liquidity Grab at $116K Before Deep Correction?Description -
📊 Using the SMC Suite (Order Blocks, Liquidity Sweeps, FVG), BTC is approaching a critical supply zone ($116K–$118K).
• If price taps this orange zone, strong sellers are likely to step in.
• This move may trap late longs and grab liquidity before reversing.
• Downside targets sit around $100K initially, with extended demand near $85K–$80K.
🔑 Key Levels:
• Resistance/Supply: $116K–$118K
• Support/Demand: $100K, $85K–$80K
• Invalidation: Daily close above $122K
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just a liquidity-based interpretation of BTC’s structure .
DXY | 1SPT directional sentiment (SMC)“DXY moving like it just clocked in for a Monday shift 🥱📉… got smacked with that Friday LQC and now stumbling down to 97.100 like it’s chasing a Black Friday discount 🛒. Daily bias still bearish, 4H looking weak, and on the 1H the bulls tryna flex but only after sweeping some liquidity 🐂➡️🚪.
If price taps back into that chef’s POI kitchen 🍳 and fails to hold, the bears finna drag this straight to the basement 📉🐻. Until then, we vibin’ in discount land waiting for confirmation signals. This POI remains the make-or-break zone 🧩 heading into the next sessions.”**
EURUSD Wave Structure Analysis on 4H Time Frame4H timeframe:
The main trend is bearish (confirmed by a BOS to the downside).
Price is currently in a pullback phase.
Expectation: after the retracement, price may continue to create a new Lower Low (LL).
15M timeframe:
The trend is bullish, reflecting the pullback on 4H.
Wait for a bearish CHoCH/BOS on 15M to confirm the end of the retracement.
Trading plan:
Wait for a bearish shift on 15M.
Enter short from Supply / OB / FVG on 15M after confirmation.
Target = previous 4H low, SL above 15M swing high.
Fueled to go north OANDA:XAUUSD Everyone who day trade based on my experience I could see that the market order flow is shifted to bullish order flow and the market hustled enough stop losses below from the traders who entered buy trades early. Use the supply zone conversion/transition to demand zones easily and take trades to North till the next liquidity pool.
EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown)
1. Market Structure Overview
The chart shows a clear downtrend phase that started after failing to break the major resistance around 1.1780 – 1.1820.
Price formed lower highs and eventually broke below a rising trendline, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control.
Recent movement shows a retracement toward a defined entry zone, suggesting a short-term pullback opportunity.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zone (1.1780 – 1.1820): This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering heavy sell-offs.
Support Zone (1.1340 – 1.1380): A key demand area where previous reversals took place.
Current Entry Zone: Between 1.1697 – 1.1750, aligning with a minor resistance zone and previous supply reaction.
3. Price Action Insights
Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified earlier near 1.1700 served as a reaction zone before a push downward.
The price is now revisiting an area near the previous imbalance, which aligns with a confluence of resistance and short-term overbought conditions.
If price action rejects the entry zone, a bearish swing toward 1.1534 is likely.
4. Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: 1.1697 – 1.1750 (retest of broken structure).
Stop Loss: Above 1.1772 to avoid stop hunts beyond resistance.
Target: First take profit at 1.1534; extended target toward 1.1400 if bearish momentum persists.
5. Risk Management & Educational Note
This setup is based on supply & demand principles plus market structure shifts.
Always confirm entries with lower-timeframe rejection patterns before executing.
Protect capital with a maximum of 1–2% risk per trade and adjust lot sizes accordingly.
📌 Summary:
EURUSD is currently testing a high-probability short zone after a structural breakdown. If rejection occurs, sellers could push price toward mid-range support at 1.1534, and potentially deeper toward the 1.1400 zone. However, if bulls manage to reclaim and close above 1.1780, this bearish view becomes invalid.
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D8 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | D8 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD
Gold h4 Based Setups Short Gold and Long analysis Market tapped above previous high (BSL + PDH Liquidity), then rejected → classic liquidity sweep
• Formed FVG + BPR zone (red box) and price consolidated below it
• You’re in a short trade targeting ~3365 (blue/green zone) where a new BPR + FVG block is formed (possible demand zone)
If price holds below 3383–3387 zone (FVG + BPR) and breaks 3375 support zone clearly
• We might see a drop toward:
• 3365 (1st TP – already marked)
• 3356–3352 (next demand & SSL area)
🟡 Bullish Rejection Possibility:
• If price reclaims 3387 with a strong candle close
• Then:
• Stops above 3388–3390 may get swept
• Upside potential = 3396–3402 (but less likely unless fundamentals support)
Golden Buying zone for Swing trade 3335-3330 zone
Second buy Golden Zone 3315-3318
Sl Below 3295 For Swing trader
Mange your Risk Alwayse use strick Stoploss
Happy Trading Best Of Luck
Week of 8/3/25: EURUSD AnalysisPrice was bearish all of last week until NFP, resulting in a shift in 4h and 1h market structure to be bullish.
Focus this week is being bullish and following 1h order flow until it reaches the extreme of the daily bearish structure to then be cautious and seeing where price wants to go from there.
Major News:
Tuesday: PMI
Thursday: Unemployment Claims






















