Get started

Smcconcepts

XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥” The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market. 🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: Previous Liquidity Sweep Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August. This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure. Strong Impulsive Rally From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback. However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction. Resistance & PRZ Reaction The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level. Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback. 🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move: 1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500 This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point. Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support) If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650 📉” Gold (XAUUSD) reached the all-time high resistance / PRZ zone (3645–3680) and immediately showed rejection signs, confirming this level as a high-probability reversal point. 📊 Technical Breakdown PRZ Rejection: The move above 3650 failed to sustain, indicating a liquidity grab and false breakout structure. Momentum Exhaustion: A parabolic advance from 3330 support into ATH left behind multiple imbalances (FVGs) that now attract price back down. Liquidity Dynamics: The rejection suggests buy-side liquidity has been taken, and the market may now seek sell-side liquidity below recent swing lows. Market Structure: Intraday structure shows early signs of a bearish shift, with lower highs forming under 3635–3625. 🎯 Downside Targets 3585–3578 → First corrective level (38.2% retracement). 3565 → Key midpoint of the rally. 3545–3516 → Liquidity + 61.8–78.6% retracement cluster. 3480–3460 → Previous consolidation base. 3330–3320 → Major high-timeframe support demand zone. ⚠️ Invalidation If buyers reclaim 3660–3680 with strong daily closes, the bearish retracement scenario will be invalidated, opening the path toward new ATH extensions. 📌 Conclusion: Gold’s rejection at 3650 ATH PRZ is a significant technical signal. Current order flow suggests a retracement phase toward 3580–3515, with potential extension to 3330–3320 key support if selling pressure persists.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
Risky NZDUSD Trade RecapThis setup wasn’t the cleanest, but sometimes calculated risk pays off. 📉 Setup: Price was in a clear downtrend, making this buy counter-trend. Demand zone around 0.5818 offered a possible bounce. Break of the descending trendline gave early confirmation. ✅ Entry: 0.58189 ❌ SL: 0.57964 🎯 TP: 0.59420 – 0.59490 supply zone 📊 Outcome: Despite the risk of fading the trend, price respected demand, broke structure, and ran straight into my supply target at 0.5940+ for full profits. ⚠️ Not every trade will be textbook perfect — but with proper risk management, even the risky ones can pay off. #NZDUSD #ForexTrader #RiskManagement #RiskyTrade #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexJourney #MarketStructure
by Solidwealth
BTC – Liquidity Grab at $116K Before Deep Correction?Description - 📊 Using the SMC Suite (Order Blocks, Liquidity Sweeps, FVG), BTC is approaching a critical supply zone ($116K–$118K). • If price taps this orange zone, strong sellers are likely to step in. • This move may trap late longs and grab liquidity before reversing. • Downside targets sit around $100K initially, with extended demand near $85K–$80K. 🔑 Key Levels: • Resistance/Supply: $116K–$118K • Support/Demand: $100K, $85K–$80K • Invalidation: Daily close above $122K ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just a liquidity-based interpretation of BTC’s structure .
by TradeTechanalysis
DXY | 1SPT directional sentiment (SMC)“DXY moving like it just clocked in for a Monday shift 🥱📉… got smacked with that Friday LQC and now stumbling down to 97.100 like it’s chasing a Black Friday discount 🛒. Daily bias still bearish, 4H looking weak, and on the 1H the bulls tryna flex but only after sweeping some liquidity 🐂➡️🚪. If price taps back into that chef’s POI kitchen 🍳 and fails to hold, the bears finna drag this straight to the basement 📉🐻. Until then, we vibin’ in discount land waiting for confirmation signals. This POI remains the make-or-break zone 🧩 heading into the next sessions.”**
TVC:DXYShort
by sam_trades_smc
EURUSD Wave Structure Analysis on 4H Time Frame4H timeframe: The main trend is bearish (confirmed by a BOS to the downside). Price is currently in a pullback phase. Expectation: after the retracement, price may continue to create a new Lower Low (LL). 15M timeframe: The trend is bullish, reflecting the pullback on 4H. Wait for a bearish CHoCH/BOS on 15M to confirm the end of the retracement. Trading plan: Wait for a bearish shift on 15M. Enter short from Supply / OB / FVG on 15M after confirmation. Target = previous 4H low, SL above 15M swing high.
by quangcttn
EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) 1. Market Structure Overview The chart shows a clear downtrend phase that started after failing to break the major resistance around 1.1780 – 1.1820. Price formed lower highs and eventually broke below a rising trendline, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. Recent movement shows a retracement toward a defined entry zone, suggesting a short-term pullback opportunity. 2. Key Levels Resistance Zone (1.1780 – 1.1820): This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering heavy sell-offs. Support Zone (1.1340 – 1.1380): A key demand area where previous reversals took place. Current Entry Zone: Between 1.1697 – 1.1750, aligning with a minor resistance zone and previous supply reaction. 3. Price Action Insights Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified earlier near 1.1700 served as a reaction zone before a push downward. The price is now revisiting an area near the previous imbalance, which aligns with a confluence of resistance and short-term overbought conditions. If price action rejects the entry zone, a bearish swing toward 1.1534 is likely. 4. Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias) Entry: 1.1697 – 1.1750 (retest of broken structure). Stop Loss: Above 1.1772 to avoid stop hunts beyond resistance. Target: First take profit at 1.1534; extended target toward 1.1400 if bearish momentum persists. 5. Risk Management & Educational Note This setup is based on supply & demand principles plus market structure shifts. Always confirm entries with lower-timeframe rejection patterns before executing. Protect capital with a maximum of 1–2% risk per trade and adjust lot sizes accordingly. 📌 Summary: EURUSD is currently testing a high-probability short zone after a structural breakdown. If rejection occurs, sellers could push price toward mid-range support at 1.1534, and potentially deeper toward the 1.1400 zone. However, if bulls manage to reclaim and close above 1.1780, this bearish view becomes invalid.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D8 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D8 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Gold h4 Based Setups Short Gold and Long analysis Market tapped above previous high (BSL + PDH Liquidity), then rejected → classic liquidity sweep • Formed FVG + BPR zone (red box) and price consolidated below it • You’re in a short trade targeting ~3365 (blue/green zone) where a new BPR + FVG block is formed (possible demand zone) If price holds below 3383–3387 zone (FVG + BPR) and breaks 3375 support zone clearly • We might see a drop toward: • 3365 (1st TP – already marked) • 3356–3352 (next demand & SSL area) 🟡 Bullish Rejection Possibility: • If price reclaims 3387 with a strong candle close • Then: • Stops above 3388–3390 may get swept • Upside potential = 3396–3402 (but less likely unless fundamentals support) Golden Buying zone for Swing trade 3335-3330 zone Second buy Golden Zone 3315-3318 Sl Below 3295 For Swing trader Mange your Risk Alwayse use strick Stoploss Happy Trading Best Of Luck
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Mudasirchowdry-tycoon
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – August 4–8, 2025New Month. New Week. New Questions. Will the market reward hesitation — or bold reaction? Will POTUS pump price with policy noise, or will smart money fade the manipulation? August is historically a quieter month for hedge funds — but don’t mistake silence for safety. It's also the time when the Fed retreats to Jackson Hole, reflecting and recalibrating. Will September bring another rate cut… or another twist? Stay sharp. This isn’t a month to sleep on. "Last week's game plan played out nearly to perfection — well, almost! Let’s dive in and break down where gold could be headed next week." Gold kicks off August with a strong breakout above $3360, powered by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising global risk appetite, and persistent institutional demand. With Jackson Hole on the horizon and shifting Fed expectations, volatility is set to spike. The big question: will gold extend above premium, or retrace to rebalance? After the last rejection near 3440, price broke cleanly below its ascending channel. Now, gold appears to be forming a potential lower high around the broken trendline — a rejection here could trigger a drop toward the key $3250 support zone. 🟡 XAUUSD – August Macro Outlook 💰 Price: $3362 📅 Date: August 3, 2025 📈 Bias: Bullish but extended — high in premium 🔸 Monthly Overview 📊 Trend: Bullish continuation (CHoCH April 2023) 🧱 Supply Zone: 3350–3439 → monthly wick trap ⚠️ RSI 80+, price nearing 100% Fib extension 🔮 Breakout above 3439 → 3505 / 3610 next 🔻 Rejection → pullback to 3270 / 3180 🔸 Weekly Outlook 💥 Structure: Strong bullish, EMA stack intact 🟥 Final HTF Supply: 3350–3439 (currently testing) 🟦 Demand Below: 3270 → 3215 → 3070 🎯 Targets if breakout: 3505 → 3560 → 3610 🔸 Daily Structure ⚔️ Now testing: 3355–3375 → last valid supply 🎭 Above that → internal trap at 3398–3412 🧨 Final ceiling at 3430–3439 — breakout or reversal? 🔸 H4 / H1 Key Zones 🟥 Supply: 3360–3375 / 3385–3398 / 3430–3439 🟫 Flip Long Zone: 3322–3310 🟦 Bullish Demand: 3285–3260 → 3222–3205 ⚠️ RSI elevated, watch for reaction not breakout 🔹 Execution Plan ✅ Above 3439 → Expansion to 3505 / 3610 🔁 Pullback to 3325 / 3285 → Sniper long zones 🔻 Rejection from 3375 → Short scalp → Target 3320 📌 3439 = Key Monthly Pivot 🟢 Hold above → New expansion wave 🔴 Fail below → Retrace toward value Extended: 🔸 Scenario 1: Breakout and Expansion If bulls push through 3375 with conviction and break above 3439, gold enters a fresh leg of macro price discovery. This would activate a clean expansion path toward: 3405 (short-term extension) 3505 → 3560 → 3610 (Fibonacci projections) 3740 (full trend extension if momentum persists) This scenario requires solid bullish confirmation, especially on H4 or D1 structure. Traders should look for LTF OB re-entries or bullish flags above 3350 to join the trend safely. 🔸 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retrace If gold rejects from the 3360–3375 zone and fails to hold above it, a controlled retracement is likely. Key downside targets include: 3325 → first flip zone for re-entry 3285 → origin of the latest rally (strong buy zone) 3215–3180 → high-timeframe demand and imbalance fill Only a breakdown below 3260 would threaten the bullish structure and shift bias toward neutral or bearish. 🔸 Conclusion Gold is approaching its inflection point. The macro trend is intact, but momentum is stretched, and the market now demands clear validation. 📌 3439 remains the weekly pivot: Above → Expansion toward 3500+ Below → Retracement to reclaim value For next week, the most probable path is early consolidation inside 3360–3375, followed by a decisive reaction — either continuation toward 3405+, or a corrective drop toward 3325/3285 to reset structure. Disclaimer: For educational context only. #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #TradingAnalysis #SMC #USD #GoldOutlook
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FX_Scrubbs
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements. 🔍 1. Trend Analysis Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure) The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by: Ascending support (lower boundary) Ascending resistance (upper boundary) Market structure shows: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) ✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks. 📐 2. Market Structure Elements Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.) Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950 Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd) Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300 Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320 Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS) The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift. 🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis 🔼 Resistance Zone The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320 Multiple rejections in this area Trendline resistance also aligns here A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction 🔽 Support Zone (Immediate) 23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range 🟩 4. Demand Zones Zone 1: 22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs Zone 2: 22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event 🧠 5. Key Observations Price is at a critical inflection zone: Testing a resistance zone At the upper trendline of an ascending channel A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow) Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220 If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested Ichimoku Cloud: Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation ⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas ✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180) Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation ❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support) Short entry valid below 23,180 with: TP1: 23,050 TP2: 22,900 A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion 🔚 Conclusion Current Price: 23,298.4 Trend: Bullish, but at resistance Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AllyPipsExpert
4
GBPAUD: Calm Before the ConfirmationPrice has swept liquidity below the previous week's low and broke structure to the upside. Now it’s retracing into a Fair Value Gap that aligns beautifully with the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci zone. I'm not in yet. I’m watching for a clean bullish confirmation, like an engulfing or strong rejection candle, before entering . The 50 EMA supports the bias and helps confirm that I'm trading in the direction of the short-term momentum. If all aligns, I’ll be targeting the previous week’s high. This is a reminder that being patient often protects your capital more than being early.
Long
by J4mesWick
1
#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders, The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend. Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping. Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones. It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome. Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis. We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely. Please share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, don’t hesitate to comment below. We’re here to provide support. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
8