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XAUUSD – Market Outlook | Lana XAUUSD – Market Outlook | Lana ✨ Gold is maintaining a constructive structure as the US Dollar weakens, while market participants remain cautious ahead of delayed key US data. This macro backdrop continues to provide underlying support for precious metals, especially as risk sentiment stays mixed. From a technical perspective, price is trading inside a rising channel, respecting higher lows and holding above key Fibonacci retracement levels. The recent rebound from the 4,750–4,780 area confirms strong buyer interest, keeping the medium-term bullish structure intact. 🔍 Key zones to watch: 4,980–5,030: Current balance zone where price is consolidating. Acceptance above this area may open the way toward higher liquidity. 5,200–5,220: Near-term resistance aligned with the upper trendline. A reaction here is likely before any continuation. 5,500–5,510: Major higher-timeframe resistance and liquidity target if momentum accelerates. 4,750–4,780: Critical downside support. As long as this zone holds, pullbacks remain corrective rather than bearish. 📈 Market structure insight The current move appears to be a controlled pullback within an uptrend, suggesting the market is building liquidity rather than reversing. A brief dip toward support could provide healthier structure before the next expansion leg. 🧠 Lana’s view Bias remains cautiously bullish while price holds above key support. Patience is essential—let the market complete its consolidation and show acceptance at resistance before committing aggressively. ✨ Trade the structure, respect the zones, and let price lead the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – Brian | Liquidity Hold XAUUSD – Brian | Liquidity Hold & Continuation Structure (M15) Gold continues to trade within a constructive short-term structure after a clear CHoCH earlier in the session. Price has been holding firmly above the intraday demand zones, showing that buyers are absorbing pullbacks rather than allowing deeper retracements. From a market structure perspective, the series of higher lows remains intact. The recent consolidation just below the sell-side liquidity zone (5042 – 5064) suggests controlled price behaviour, not distribution. This typically reflects a pause before continuation rather than exhaustion. Key technical zones to focus on: Sell-side liquidity / resistance: 5042 – 5064 Intraday support: 4985 – 5005 Deeper demand / strong low: 4800 – 4850 As long as price holds above the intraday support, upside liquidity remains the primary magnet. A clean acceptance above the sell-side zone would open the path for expansion higher. However, rejection from that area may trigger a healthy pullback into demand before the next directional move. Market context today Despite ongoing macro uncertainty, gold continues to attract bids on dips, reflecting a defensive positioning bias and sustained demand. Short-term volatility is being absorbed efficiently, which supports the case for structured continuation rather than impulsive reversals. In this phase, liquidity and structure matter more than indicators. Let price show its intent at key zones. 📌 Follow the TradingView channel to stay ahead of market structure shifts, liquidity behaviour, and real-time gold insights.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1: Structure Holds — Liquidity Pullback Before Next Leg Market Context (Macro) Gold remains sensitive to Fed expectations, USD flows, and yields. With rate-cut uncertainty still unresolved, dips continue to attract defensive flows rather than aggressive selling. This keeps gold bid on pullbacks, especially at technical discount zones. 📊 Technical Structure – H1 Bullish structure remains intact after a clear CHoCH → BOS sequence. Price is consolidating above the last BOS, suggesting pause, not reversal. A pullback into FVG / demand would be technically healthy before expansion. 🎯 Key Trading Zones 🔵 BUY Zone (Reaction Area): 4,820 – 4,800 • FVG overlap • Prior BOS base • Fibonacci discount support ➡️ Look for H1 rejection or bullish reaction (no blind entries). 🎯 Upside Targets (Liquidity Objectives) TP1: 4,985 TP2: 5,064 TP3: 5,325 (Major liquidity / swing target) ❌ Invalidation H1 close below 4,760 → bullish structure weakened, reassess bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Brian | M15 Liquidity Reaction XAUUSD – Brian | M15 Liquidity Reaction & Short-Term Structure Gold is currently trading within a short-term recovery leg after sweeping downside liquidity earlier in the week. The rebound from the lows shows clear liquidity absorption, but price is now approaching a critical sell-side reaction zone, where sellers previously defended aggressively. On the M15 structure, price has formed a sequence of higher lows, indicating short-term strength. However, this move is still unfolding inside a broader corrective phase, not a confirmed trend reversal. The upper zone around 5034 – 5067 remains a key SELL liquidity area, aligned with prior distribution and intraday resistance. From a fundamental perspective, recent news around the US commitment to partial UN payments helped stabilise risk sentiment, but did not create strong directional conviction. This supports the view of range-based trading rather than impulsive continuation. Key zones to watch: Sell zone: 5034 – 5067 (liquidity & resistance) Intraday reaction zone: current consolidation area Demand support: previous liquidity sweep lows below ➡️ Scenario: Price may attempt a final push into upper liquidity before facing rejection. Failure to hold above intraday support would open the door for a pullback back into demand. In this phase, reaction at liquidity zones matters more than prediction. Patience and structure confirmation remain key. Follow the TradingView channel to stay updated on real-time market structure and liquidity behaviour.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: Liquidity Build XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: Liquidity Build While Risk Premium Supports Gold | Lana ✨ Gold is holding firm after a clean rebound from the sell-side liquidity sweep, and the current price action suggests the market is now building structure rather than trending aggressively. 📌 Technical picture (SMC/flow-based) Price has transitioned from the sell-side sweep into a steady climb, now respecting the upper trendline. The 4,940–4,970 region is acting as a short-term balance / re-accumulation zone where price is pausing and collecting liquidity. Above current range, buyside liquidity is visible near the recent highs, with a key magnet around 5,015. A healthy pullback into 4,920–4,940 would still keep the bullish intraday structure intact and often provides a better re-entry opportunity than chasing highs. 🎯 Scenarios to watch Bullish continuation: Hold above 4,940–4,970 → reclaim highs → seek liquidity toward 5,015, then extension higher if price accepts. Corrective dip first: A brief sweep below the range toward 4,920–4,940 → bounce back into the trendline → continuation to highs. 🌍 Macro backdrop (short & relevant) ETF inflows into oil are rising sharply as US–Iran tensions increase, which typically lifts the geopolitical risk premium. When risk sentiment tightens, gold often benefits as a defensive hedge — supporting the idea that pullbacks may remain corrective, not reversal-driven. ✨ Stay patient, trade the levels, and let liquidity guide the next expansion. Follow Lana for more intraday updates and share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD H1 – Trendline Retest Could Spark the Next Bullish LegMarket Context (Macro → Flow) Gold remains highly sensitive to macro headlines as markets continue to price in policy uncertainty around the Fed path and real yields. While no major shock hit today, flows show defensive positioning returning on dips, keeping gold supported despite recent volatility. ➡️ This environment favors buy-the-reaction, not chasing breakouts. Technical Structure (H1) Price is still trading below a descending trendline, but momentum to the downside is weakening. Current move is a technical pullback into Fibonacci discount + structure support. No confirmed bearish continuation — sellers are losing follow-through. ➡️ This is a decision zone, where reaction will define the next leg. Key Trading Zones & Levels 🔹 BUY ZONE (Reaction Area): 4,880 – 4,870 (Trendline support + Fib 0.618–0.786 + prior reaction zone) 🔹 Invalidation: H1 close below 4,820 → bullish idea weakens Upside Targets (If Bullish Reaction Holds): 🎯 TP1: 5,070 🎯 TP2: 5,333 (1.618 extension / major recovery target) Execution Notes No blind entries → wait for bullish candle reaction or higher-low confirmation Expect volatility spikes; manage size accordingly Structure > headlines Summary Gold is compressing at a high-confluence support zone. If buyers defend this area, a strong recovery leg toward 5,070 → 5,333 is in play. If not, patience beats prediction. 📌 Trade reactions, not expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
2
XAUUSD (H45) – Liam ViewXAUUSD (H45) – Liam View Geopolitical risk rising | Gold reacting from demand Gold is stabilising around the 4745 demand zone, where price is reacting from the rising trendline after a corrective sell-off. The current structure suggests short-term accumulation, with buyers defending value rather than aggressive selling continuation. From a macro perspective, escalating tensions between the US and Iran—especially risks around the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil route—are increasing geopolitical uncertainty. Historically, this type of risk environment tends to support safe-haven demand, keeping downside pressure on gold limited while volatility expands. Technical structure (from the chart) Key buy zone: 4745 (trendline + demand alignment) Immediate resistance / liquidity: 5000 – 5100 (buyside liquidity) Upper imbalance (FVG): 5250 – 5300 Major supply: 5575 (higher-timeframe sell zone) Price holding above 4745 keeps the bounce scenario active, with potential rotation toward 5000–5100 to rebalance liquidity. Acceptance above this zone would open a path toward the FVG area, where sell-side reactions are expected. Failure to hold 4745 would invalidate the short-term bullish thesis and reopen downside exploration. Liam’s takeaway This is not blind risk-on buying — it’s a measured response to rising geopolitical stress and technical demand. Trade the zones. Respect the volatility. Let price confirm before committing. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – H4 Technical & Macro OutlookXAUUSD – H4 Technical & Macro Outlook: Liquidity Compression Ahead of Fed Expectations | Lana ✨ Gold is currently trading in a tight compression structure, while macro conditions are beginning to tilt in favour of precious metals. Weak US labour data and a growing probability of Fed rate cuts are putting pressure on the US Dollar, creating an important backdrop for the next move in gold. At the same time, price action on XAUUSD suggests the market is approaching a key liquidity-driven decision point. 📈 Technical Structure & Price Behaviour After failing to sustain above the upper supply zone near 5,200–5,300, gold entered a corrective decline and is now trading inside a descending wedge, bounded by falling resistance and rising support. Price is currently holding around 4,800–4,830, a short-term balance area. Repeated rejections from descending resistance indicate supply remains active. At the same time, sell-side liquidity is clearly resting below the structure, near 4,570–4,550. This behaviour suggests the market is not trending yet, but preparing for a liquidity expansion. 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Near-Term Resistance: ~5,070 – 5,130 A key reaction zone aligned with Fibonacci retracement and prior structure. Compression Pivot: ~4,800 – 4,830 Holding above this area keeps price in consolidation mode. Sell-Side Liquidity: ~4,570 – 4,550 A likely downside target if the structure breaks lower. Major Supply (Higher TF): ~5,500 Still the upper boundary for any medium-term bullish continuation. 🎯 Likely Scenarios Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep Lower (Base Case): If price fails to hold the rising support, gold may dip toward 4,570–4,550 to clear sell-side liquidity. Such a move would likely be corrective, not a trend reversal, especially given the macro backdrop. Scenario 2 – Bullish Break from Compression: If price accepts above 5,070–5,130, the descending structure would be invalidated, opening the door for a recovery toward higher resistance zones. 🌍 Macro Context: USD Weakness & Fed Expectations Recent US labour data has reinforced concerns about economic momentum: JOLTS job openings fell sharply below expectations. ADP employment growth slowed significantly. CME FedWatch now shows a rising probability of a March rate cut, up from earlier in the week. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has struggled to extend its weekly gains, trading slightly lower while remaining near recent highs. This environment is typically supportive for gold, especially during corrective phases. Upcoming NFP data will be a key catalyst and may act as the trigger for the next liquidity expansion. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is currently in a waiting phase, balancing between technical compression and shifting macro expectations. The focus should remain on how price reacts at the edges of the structure, rather than predicting direction too early. Patience is essential here. The next move is likely to be fast and liquidity-driven once the market commits. ✨ Respect the structure, follow the levels, and let the market reveal the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
3
XAUUSD H1 – Pullback Near Demand, Bulls Preparing the Next Leg?Gold is trading in a high-volatility recovery phase after the recent selloff, with price now pulling back into a clear H1 demand zone. This is a reaction-based market, where structure + fundamentals must align before continuation. 📌 Market Context (Fundamentals) Gold remains highly sensitive to macro headlines as markets reassess: Fed rate path expectations US data momentum vs. slowing growth signals Ongoing safe-haven demand on volatility spikes No clear hawkish shift so far → downside moves look corrective, not impulsive. ➡️ Bias: Wait for confirmation at demand, not chase price. 📊 H1 Structure & Technicals Prior selloff has lost momentum Price is forming a technical pullback, holding above the last reaction low Current move = rebalancing phase within a broader recovery Key demand aligns with Fibonacci discount area 🎯 Key Trading Zones (H1) 🟢 BUY Zone (Primary Demand): 4,720 – 4,700 (Strong reaction base + discount zone) ❌ Invalidation: H1 close below 4,700 → bullish recovery is invalidated 🎯 Upside Targets TP1: 5,080 (first recovery resistance) TP2: 5,345 (major H1 extension / liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Weekend OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Weekend Outlook: Volatility Reset & Range Opportunities Gold delivered a sharp volatility spike in early Asia on Feb 6, flushing down toward the 4,680 area before quickly reclaiming ground as risk sentiment stabilised and the USD softened. The earlier drop looks driven by position reduction and portfolio rebalancing (traders covering equity losses), rather than a clean trend continuation. The recovery back above 4,830 confirms that buyers are still active when price returns to value. Market Structure (H1) On the H1 chart, price has transitioned into a two-way environment: We’ve moved from an impulsive drop into a descending channel / corrective structure. The rebound is strong, but still behaves like a corrective bounce inside the larger pullback. This sets up a high-probability range/rotation into the weekend, where liquidity runs and mean-reversion moves can appear. Key Zones To Watch 1) Upper Supply / Sell Pressure 5,100 – 5,200 zone (overhead supply) This is the main area where rallies may face profit-taking and sell pressure. If price tags this zone and stalls, the market may rotate back down. 2) Mid-Range Reaction Area ~4,820 – 4,900 (current balance / pivot area) This is the “decision zone.” Holding above it supports another push higher; losing it increases the probability of a deeper pullback. 3) Lower Demand / Liquidity Floor 4,650 – 4,700 (demand + volatility base) The prior flush low area. If the market revisits this zone, watch for absorption and a potential rebound—especially if volatility spikes again. Weekend Game Plan (Brian Mindset) Primary expectation: sideways rotation with spikes (weekend-style volatility) Best approach: trade reactions at the zones, not in the middle of the range Bias handling: Above the pivot → favour pullback-buys toward resistance Into supply → be alert for rejection and rotation sells Into demand → watch for absorption before considering longs In a volatility-reset phase, levels and reactions matter more than prediction. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to catch the next structure update early and exchange ideas with Brian.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
3
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam ViewXAUUSD (H2) – Liam View USD strength caps gold rallies | Sell-side structure still in control Quick summary Gold remains under pressure on the H2 timeframe as a stronger USD continues to weigh on precious metals. The recent bounce is corrective in nature and lacks acceptance above key supply. With markets focused on the delayed US Non-Farm Payrolls (Feb 11), volatility is likely, but structure still favours selling rallies rather than chasing upside. Macro context A firm USD typically acts as a headwind for gold and silver. If the current USD rebound is not temporary, downside pressure on gold can persist. Markets are positioning ahead of US labour data, increasing the risk of liquidity sweeps around key levels. Technical view (H2 – from the chart) After a sharp sell-off, price rebounded from deep demand but stalled below prior distribution. Key zones to watch: Major supply / sell zone: 5115 – 5130, extending to 5535 (higher-timeframe supply) Current reaction area: around 5000 Key demand / liquidity base: 4550 – 4580 The structure shows lower highs forming beneath resistance, indicating sell-side control unless price can reclaim and hold above the 5115 area. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Sell the rally (primary bias) Look for sell reactions into 5000 → 5115 Weak acceptance here favours rotation back toward 4550 liquidity Scenario B – Deeper downside continuation If support near 4550 breaks cleanly, expect further downside expansion as sell-side liquidity opens. Scenario C – Bullish invalidation (low probability) Only a clean H2 acceptance above 5115 would neutralise the bearish bias and reopen upside toward higher supply. Execution notes Expect false breaks and stop runs ahead of NFP. Avoid chasing candles; wait for price to hit levels and confirm reaction. Reduce size during headline-driven sessions. Bottom line: USD strength + H2 structure keep the bias sell-side dominant. Until price proves otherwise, rallies are opportunities — not confirmation. This is Liam's personal opinion, what about yours? What do you think about the recent fluctuations in the gold market? Let Liam know in the comments below! — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
2
Market Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) — Long SetupTeam! We have a clear bullish setup on Gold. After a distribution phase, the market finally swept the sell-side liquidity and confirmed a Change of Character (Choch). • Point of Interest (POI): We are waiting for a retracement to the demand zone at $4,852 for an institutional entry. • Targets: We are looking to mitigate the imbalances (FVG) left at the previous highs. • Risk Management (Crucial): Once price hits our TP1 ($4,900), we will immediately move our Stop Loss to Breakeven (BE). Protecting our capital is priority number one; we trade with logic, not emotions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
1
XAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical Outlook – Short Bias After Exhaustion Rally Gold has completed a strong upside expansion and is now showing clear signs of trend exhaustion on the H4 timeframe. After printing a sharp impulse leg higher, price failed to sustain acceptance above the recent highs and quickly transitioned into a deep corrective move, signalling a shift in short-term market control. From a structural perspective, the market has moved from impulse → distribution → correction, favouring a short-side bias while price remains capped below key resistance. Market Structure & Fibonacci Context The recent rally stalled near the upper resistance zone, followed by an aggressive rejection. Price has retraced deeply into the Fibonacci 0.618–0.75 area, confirming that the move lower is not a minor pullback but a meaningful correction. Current price action suggests lower highs are forming, keeping selling pressure active on rebounds. As long as price fails to reclaim and accept above the prior breakdown levels, the bearish structure remains valid. Key Zones to Watch Primary SELL Zone 5,716 – 5,866 This is the major supply and sell-liquidity zone on H4. Any corrective rally into this area is likely to attract sellers, especially if price shows hesitation or rejection. Intermediate Reaction Zone Around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, where short-term rebounds may stall before continuation lower. Downside Targets / Demand The lower support zone near 4,800–4,850 remains the first key downside area to monitor. Deeper continuation would expose the 4,600–4,500 region, where broader demand may attempt to absorb selling pressure. Macro Context (Brief) Fundamentally, gold is facing headwinds from persistent uncertainty around interest rate expectations. Recent central bank commentary continues to signal caution toward near-term rate cuts, keeping real yields supported and limiting gold’s upside in the short term. This backdrop aligns with the current technical correction and distribution phase. Trading Outlook Bias: Short / sell-on-rallies Focus: Selling corrective rebounds into resistance zones Risk note: Avoid chasing price at lows; let structure and levels guide entries In this phase, patience is key. Selling strength at predefined zones offers higher probability than predicting bottoms. Refer to the chart for Fibonacci levels, structure shift, and highlighted sell zones. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early updates on market structure, liquidity shifts, and high-probability zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
26
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Bullish Structure Rebuild as Precious Metals Surge | Lana ✨ Precious metals are back in focus as silver surges sharply, adding momentum to the broader metals complex. In this context, gold is showing signs of structure rebuilding after a healthy correction, setting the stage for potential continuation. 📈 Market Structure & Technical Context After a strong impulsive drop, gold successfully defended the 4,420–4,450 strong support zone, where buyers stepped in decisively. Since then, price has been forming higher lows along an ascending trendline, signalling a shift from distribution into recovery. The current price action suggests this move is corrective-to-bullish, not just a short-lived bounce. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Strong Support: 4,420 – 4,450 This zone remains the structural base. As long as price holds above it, bullish scenarios stay valid. Mid Resistance / Reaction Zone: ~5,050 – 5,080 Price is currently consolidating here, absorbing supply after the rebound. Next Resistance: ~5,135 A clean break and acceptance above this level would confirm continuation strength. Upper Targets: ~5,300 – 5,350 Aligned with Fibonacci extensions and prior supply zones. Higher Objective: ~5,580 Only in play if bullish momentum accelerates across the metals market. 🎯 Bullish Scenarios If gold continues to respect the upper trendline and holds above the 5,000 psychological level: A brief pullback into 5,000–5,050 could offer structure for continuation. Acceptance above 5,135 opens the path toward 5,300+. Strong momentum, supported by silver’s breakout, could extend moves toward 5,580. Any pullbacks toward support are currently viewed as constructive corrections, not weakness. 🌍 Intermarket Insight Silver’s sharp rally highlights renewed demand across precious metals, often acting as a leading signal for broader sector strength. This backdrop supports the idea that gold’s recent correction was a reset, not a reversal. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is rebuilding its bullish structure step by step. The focus is not on chasing price, but on how price reacts at key levels. As long as structure and momentum remain aligned, the broader trend stays constructive. ✨ Stay patient, respect the zones, and let the market confirm the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
17
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Safe-haven bid is back, but structure is still corrective | Trade the zones, not the headlines Quick summary Gold is up for a second day as US–Iran tensions revive safe-haven demand. At the same time, expectations for Fed rate cuts keep the USD on the defensive, which typically supports non-yielding assets like gold. However, with ADP and ISM Services PMI ahead, short-term volatility can spike fast — and that’s exactly where gold tends to run liquidity before choosing direction. My approach: respect the macro tailwind, but execute based on structure. Macro context Gold usually benefits when: geopolitical risk rises (risk-off flows), rate-cut expectations increase (lower real yields), the USD weakens or struggles to sustain a bounce. That said, pre-data sessions often produce fake moves. The market will likely “test” both sides before committing. Technical view (H3 – based on the chart) Price rebounded sharply from the recent low, but the overall swing structure is still in a correction / rebalancing phase after a major impulse down. Key zones on the chart: Major supply / premium target: 5570 – 5580 This is the clear “sell reaction” zone if price expands higher. Current decision area: around 5050 – 5100 Price is pushing back into a key mid-range level — where continuation must prove acceptance. Deep demand / liquidity base: 4408, then 4329 If the market fails to hold higher supports, these are the next magnets for sell-side liquidity. This is a classic: bounce → retest → decide environment. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A: Continuation bounce If price holds above the current base and continues to reclaim levels: Upside rotation can extend toward 5200 → 5400 → 5570–5580 Expect reactions near each resistance band, especially approaching premium. Logic: safe-haven flows + softer USD can fuel continuation, but only if price accepts above the mid-range. Scenario B: Rejection and rotation lower If price fails to hold above 5050–5100 and prints rejection: Expect a pullback back into prior demand Deeper continuation opens toward 4408, then 4329 Logic: corrective rallies often redistribute before the next leg lower, especially around major data. Execution notes With ADP + ISM ahead, avoid chasing candles. Wait for price to tag the zone and show a clear reaction. Trade smaller if spreads widen. My focus: If price accepts above the mid-range, I’ll respect the bounce. If it rejects, I’ll treat the move as a corrective rally and look for rotation lower. Either way, I’m trading levels — not headlines. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
11
GOLD JUST FLIPPED STRUCTURE GOLD JUST FLIPPED STRUCTURE — IS THIS THE REAL REVERSAL OR A LIQUIDITY TRAP? Gold has just delivered a clear structural shift after weeks of heavy downside pressure — but this is not the time to chase. Market Structure (M30) Price printed a bullish CHoCH, ending the prior bearish sequence Followed by a BOS to the upside, confirming short-term bullish control Momentum is strong, but price is now approaching a key reaction zone Key Zones to Watch FVG Support: ~4,950 – 4,980 → Ideal area for pullback continuation if bullish structure holds Mid Resistance / Reaction: ~5,100 – 5,150 → Expect volatility and possible shakeout Upper Target Zone: 5,270 – 5,450 → Fibonacci 0.5 → 0.786 retracement of the prior sell-off Trading Scenarios Bullish continuation: Wait for pullback into FVG + higher low → continuation toward 5,27x → 5,45x Failure scenario: Loss of FVG + M30 close back below ~4,95x → bullish structure invalid, range or reversal risk 🧠 Trading Mind This is a reaction market, not a prediction market. After a structure flip, pullbacks pay — breakouts trap.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
10
GOLD RALLY OR TRAP?This Bounce Looks Like Distribution, Not a Reversal Gold is bouncing — but context matters. After a strong selloff, price is now retracing into a key resistance zone, not breaking structure. This is where many traders get trapped chasing a “bottom” while smart money distributes. Market Structure Clear downtrend: Lower Highs & Lower Lows remain intact Current move = retracement, not impulsive bullish continuation Price is reacting below the descending trendline Key Technical Zone FVG / Supply zone around 5,26x → high-probability reaction area This zone aligns with retracement levels and prior imbalance If–Then Scenarios If price rejects 5,26x: → Downtrend continuation toward 4,63x → 4,51x → 4,40x If price breaks and holds above 5,26x (H1 close): → Bearish bias weakens, wait for new structure before trading Trading Mindset This is distribution after a selloff, not accumulation. Don’t confuse a bounce with a trend change. 📌 Strong trends don’t reverse quietly — they test patience first.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
5
XAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical Outlook – Consolidation & Range-Building Phase After the recent sharp sell-off, gold is now transitioning into a consolidation phase on the H2 timeframe. The strong bearish impulse has slowed, and current price action suggests the market is shifting from directional movement into range-building and accumulation, rather than continuing lower immediately. This type of behaviour is typical after aggressive volatility, as the market reassesses value and balances supply and demand. Market Structure & Current Behaviour Structurally, price has broken below the prior bullish leg and is now trading within a defined value range: Selling pressure has eased following the downside expansion. Price is rotating around the VAL and lower value areas, indicating acceptance rather than rejection. Momentum is no longer impulsive, pointing to sideways development rather than trend continuation. As long as price remains inside this value range, range trading conditions dominate. Key Value & Liquidity Zones Upper Resistance / Supply Sell Liquidity: 5,330 Sell Zone POC: 5,045 These zones act as overhead supply where upside attempts may be capped during consolidation. Lower Support / Demand VAL zone Buy scalping POC: 4,673 This lower area represents short-term demand, where downside moves are more likely to stall during the accumulation phase. Intraday Expectation For today’s session: Primary expectation: Sideways consolidation within the established range Price is likely to rotate between value extremes rather than trend strongly Breakouts require clear acceptance above resistance or below support to shift bias Until such acceptance occurs, patience and range awareness are more effective than directional conviction. Key Takeaway After strong volatility, markets often pause to rebuild structure. For now, gold appears to be absorbing orders and forming balance, making consolidation the higher-probability scenario. Refer to the chart for highlighted value zones and projected range behaviour. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early market structure updates and intraday outlooks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Before the Next Decision | Lana ✨ Gold is showing signs of stabilisation after a strong sell-off, and today’s price action may favour Scenario 3: a corrective rebound. This is not a full trend reversal yet, but a likely recovery phase into key imbalance zones, where the market will decide whether to continue lower or rebuild structure for a broader rebound. 📈 Market Structure & Context The recent move down was impulsive, clearing multiple supports and creating a clear bearish displacement. Price is now reacting from a lower base, suggesting selling pressure is slowing and a technical retracement can develop. In this environment, the focus is on how price reacts at FVG/supply zones above, not on chasing moves in the middle of the range. 🔍 Key Zones to Watch Today Buy Liquidity / Base Support: 4640 – 4645 This is the current stabilisation area and the most important zone to defend for any rebound scenario. FVG Support Zone: 4953 – 4958 First major upside target for a corrective rebound. This zone may act as a magnet for price, but also as a reaction area. Sell FVG (Upper Supply): ~5250 – 5320 If the rebound extends, this becomes the next resistance zone where selling pressure may return. Strong Resistance: ~5452 A higher objective only possible if price shows clear acceptance and trend rebuilding above key levels. Structural Pivot: ~5104 A key mid-level. Acceptance above it would strengthen the rebound thesis. 🎯 Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Plan If price holds above 4640–4645 and continues to build higher lows, the market may attempt a push back into imbalance: First recovery path: 4640–4645 → 4953–4958 If price accepts above the mid-structure: → 5104 Extension (only with strong acceptance): → 5250–5320 Higher target (less likely today): → 5452 This is a structure-first environment: the rebound is valid as long as price defends the base and prints cleaner bullish follow-through. 🧠 Lana’s View Today’s setup leans toward a retracement-driven rebound, where price rebalances into key zones after a sharp drop. The best approach is to stay patient, track reactions at 4953–4958 and 5250–5320, and let structure confirm whether this rebound is only corrective or the start of a broader recovery. ✨ Stay calm, respect the zones, and let price confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
17
Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold)Structure: After a long downtrend, price executed a ChoCh (Change of Character), breaking the trendline and confirming bullish intent with a subsequent BOS (Break of Structure). • Point of Interest (POI): The entry is set at the 5M-POI, looking for price to tap into the higher time frame 4H-FVG (Fair Value Gap). • Liquidity: The analysis highlights a "Fake out" and a "Sweep", which are crucial for dodging institutional traps before the actual expansion. • Targets: A solid 1:3 Risk/Reward ratio, with three Take Profit (TP) levels scaling up to the 5,144 mark.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
1
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetXAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity Reset Before the Next Expansion | Lana ✨ February has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal. Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher. 📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe. The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally. Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow. This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative. 🔍 Key Zones to Monitor Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350 This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base. Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500 A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades. Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared: The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure. Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply): ~4,850 – 4,900 ~5,200 – 5,350 These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase. 🎯 Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case): Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact. Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization: Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas. Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability): A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal. 🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief) The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact. This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is not in a hurry. After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion. Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility. ✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
7
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally. In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritise sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels. Market Structure & Price Behaviour The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1. Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside. Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities. Key Psychological & Technical Zones 1) Trend-Following SELL Zone Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051 This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation. 2) Near-Term Balance Level The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation. 3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus) Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455 This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active long entry during the current session. Intraday Trading Bias Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones Risk note: Avoid counter-trend long positions while the bearish structure remains intact In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms. Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones. Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis. If you want: a shorter intraday note, a more neutral tone, or an alternative version in UK / Indian English, just say the word and I’ll adjust it for you 👌
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
3
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly OutlookXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly Outlook Uptrend under pressure, but not broken | Focus on retests and reactions Quick summary Gold has experienced a sharp corrective move after an extended bullish run. The recent sell-off has broken the steep short-term uptrend, but price has not confirmed a full trend reversal on H4. At this stage, the market is transitioning into a rebalancing phase. For the coming week, the edge is not in predicting direction, but in trading reactions at key structure, Fibonacci, and FVG levels. Market structure overview The prior bullish trend has lost momentum after a vertical expansion. Price has broken below the aggressive trendline, signaling trend exhaustion, not automatic reversal. Current price action suggests a corrective structure with potential for range development or trend resumption after liquidity is rebalanced. ➡️ Bias remains neutral-to-bullish, conditional on how price reacts at key levels. Key technical zones for the week Primary buy-on-retest zone: trendline retest area around 4850 – 4900 This area has already shown reaction and acts as the first decision point for buyers. Fibonacci 0.618 / key reaction zone: 5030 – 5050 A pivotal mid-range level. Acceptance above favors continuation; rejection keeps price corrective. FVG + Fibonacci confluence: 5235 – 5260 This is a major imbalance zone. If price rallies into this area, expect strong reaction and two-sided trade. Lower liquidity / value zone: 4540 area This remains the deeper downside objective if higher levels fail to hold and the correction expands. Weekly scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Trendline retest holds (bullish continuation) If price continues to hold above the trendline retest zone and builds higher lows: Look for bullish continuation toward 5030 → 5235 Break and acceptance above the FVG zone would reopen upside continuation potential. Logic: This confirms the move as a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure. Scenario B – Rejection from mid-range (extended correction) If price fails to reclaim and hold above 5030 – 5050: Expect choppy, corrective price action Risk shifts toward a deeper pullback into 4540 Logic: Failure to hold the 0.618 zone keeps the market in rebalancing mode. Scenario C – FVG test and rejection If price rallies aggressively into 5235 – 5260: This zone favors reaction and profit-taking Acceptance above is required for any sustained bullish continuation. Logic: FVG zones after strong sell-offs often act as distribution or reaction points before direction is decided. Key notes for the week Volatility remains elevated after the sell-off — expect false breaks. Avoid mid-range trades without confirmation. Let price prove acceptance or rejection at levels before committing. This is a week for patience and execution, not conviction. Weekly focus: Will gold hold the trendline retest and rebuild higher, or fail at the 5030–5050 zone and rotate deeper into value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
29