Bitcoin - Can it reclaim $89.000?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in a crucial zone after the recent decline, positioned between a bullish 4-hour FVG around the lower $85,000 region and a 4-hour bearish FVG just below resistance. This BTC technical analysis focuses on whether Bitcoin can reclaim the lost trendline and the associated FVG, or whether the market instead opts for a deeper correction.
Bullish 4H FVG
The bullish 4-hour FVG around approximately $85,500 is holding for now as an important support level. From this zone, BTC recently initiated a modest bounce, indicating that buying interest is still present. As long as price continues to close above this FVG, there remains technical room for a larger recovery move toward the higher resistance zones.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario centers on a rejection within the 4-hour bearish FVG that aligns with the previously broken ascending trendline. If BTC only revisits this area as a retest and is subsequently sold off, it would confirm that former support has turned into resistance. In that case, lower prices become likely again, with potential targets below the recent lows and deeper into the $80,000 range.
Bullish Scenario
The bullish scenario requires a convincing reclaim of both the trendline and the 4-hour bearish FVG above it. If BTC manages to close above this cluster and then successfully retest it as new support, market sentiment would shift back in favor of the bulls. In that case, BTC would likely revisit the recent highs near the major resistance zone. This BTC technical analysis therefore emphasizes that the reaction around the converging trendline and FVG will be decisive for the next larger move.
Conclusion
BTC is currently at an important crossroads between a still-holding bullish 4-hour FVG around $85,500 and a critical 4-hour bearish FVG at the broken trendline. A rejection at the upper levels increases the probability of further downside, while a clear reclaim of both the trendline and the FVG would open the door for a retest of the highs.
SMT
GBPJPY | Long IdeaLooking for GBPJPY to make a move up this week to continue it's brutal uptrend.
GBPJPY bounced from Monday low this morning and making a nice move up.
Retest could still be possible if you haven't entered yet.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
EURJPY | Long IdeaEURJPY testing my zone once again.
the zone lines up with the Previous Monthly High and has been testing a few times last week.
Kind of surprised that EURJPY is here once again that quick.
Looking for price to hold this level and find it's way back up.
If price closes under on the 2-4h chart I don't really see another zone I would be interested in in buying so I'll let it do it's thing and see if any price action later this week looks interesting to me.
AUDCAD | Short ideaLooking for AUDCAD to continue it's downtrend for the week.
Next Pio where I am interested in for looking into short positions is the Asia high.
Looking for a test and a nice close under this level.
If I see this I am planning on placing stop well above the wick that candle would have and a target somewhere above the PDL.
I have placed a random stop loss for now just so you could see what I would be looking for RR wise.
If I don't see any rejection I don't enter and will look for setups on other pairs.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
BTCUSD | Waiting for breakoutBTCUSD has been ranging for quit a while now.
Bitcoin failed to close above the upper purple line, and price dropped further down throughout the week and dropped even more in the weekend.
Bitcoin held to previous Sunday swing low and already showed a bounce today.
Waiting for Bitcoin the break either purple line. I am fine with either one :').
What are your thought on bitcoin?
Let me know in the comments!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
Bitcoin - Can the ascending triangle be broken?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined structure after weeks of volatile movement. Despite several failed attempts to break higher, the market continues to compress just beneath a major resistance zone. This type of tightening price action often signals a larger move approaching, as liquidity begins to build on both sides of the range. The chart highlights two key elements that will likely determine BTC’s next direction: the ascending triangle formation and the liquidity level resting below current price. Understanding how price reacts to these areas will be essential for anticipating the next significant impulse.
Ascending Triangle
BTC is forming an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by rising lows meeting a relatively horizontal zone of resistance. This resistance band, highlighted on the chart, has repeatedly capped upward attempts. Each time BTC pushes into the zone, it is met with selling pressure, but the higher lows reveal that buyers are steadily gaining ground. This pattern typically suggests accumulation and a potential bullish breakout once enough pressure builds.
If BTC can break above the upper boundary of this triangle with strength and volume, the move would likely target higher liquidity pools above recent highs. Such a breakout often leads to an impulsive leg upward, as trapped short positions are forced to cover and momentum buyers join in. For now, the ascending trendline remains a key structural support that defines the bullish side of this pattern.
Liquidity Level
Below the current range lies a clear liquidity zone, created by a cluster of equal lows and untested downside levels. This area is marked on the chart and represents where stop-loss orders and resting liquidity are likely positioned. Markets often revisit such zones before making a decisive breakout, particularly in triangle structures where liquidity builds on both sides.
A sweep of this liquidity, combined with a tap into the ascending trendline, would be a textbook setup for buyers to step back in. If BTC dips into this zone and rebounds strongly, it would further strengthen the market structure and increase the likelihood that the eventual breakout takes place to the upside. However, if this liquidity level fails and price breaks below the trendline, the bullish structure would be invalidated, opening the door for a deeper move down.
Final Thoughts
BTC is approaching a decision point, with price tightening inside an ascending triangle while liquidity pools gather below. As long as the ascending trendline continues to act as support, the market maintains a bullish bias, and a breakout above the resistance zone becomes increasingly likely. Still, a liquidity sweep to the downside before any major rally remains a strong possibility. Traders should pay close attention to how BTC reacts if it dips into the liquidity zone, as this response will reveal whether buyers are prepared to defend the structure. A clean breakout above the resistance band would confirm the next bullish leg, while a breakdown below the ascending trendline would signal weakness and shift the outlook.
XAUUSD ExpansionMarket Outlook: Bullish / Long
Analysis: Gold has confirmed a classic Market Maker Buy Model (MMBM) on the H1/H4 timeframe. We have successfully completed the Sellside Curve, swept the lows at 4180, and confirmed a Smart Money Reversal via a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS).
The Setup: Price is currently in the "Buy Side Curve" expansion phase. I am monitoring the retest of the Bullish Order Block & Rejection Block (-RB/+OB) zone between 4280 - 4300.
Confluence: The entry zone aligns with the 50% OTE and fills the recent Balanced Price Range (BPR).
Validation: The market has reclaimed the Original Consolidation zone (4211 - 4245), turning it from resistance into support.
Targets:
TP1: 4350 (Internal Range Liquidity)
TP2: 4375 (1D HTF Buyside Liquidity / Key Level 4H)
Invalidation: A 4H candle close below the 4270 Order Block invalidates the immediate bullish continuation.
EURUSD EURUSD had a bounce up early morning and got rejected by Friday highs a little later.
EURUSD finding some resistance in the upper green zone.
Looking at how EURUSD reacts and will try to anticipate a move!
Let me know what you think!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
GOLD | Short ideaGold tapped into the previous monthly high and since then been trending down.
Now it is at a key level where I expect Gold to reject and make a move down.
A reaction has been there already, it is very volatile so tread carefully.
Let me know what your analysis is!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
EURCAD | Move DownLooking for EURCAD to continue the downtrend.
EURCAD is at a key level at the moment testing PDH.
If it breaks this level I expect EURCAD to move further up trying to find liquidity to fuel the next leg down.
Let me know what your analysis is on EURCAD!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
USDCHF | Long IdeaUSDCHF tapped into Previous Weekly Low and showed a reaction.
I am bullish on this so these are the POI's I look for to make entry.
If price closes under this level, I will be looking for lower POI's to find a new entry points.
Let me know what you think.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
EURUSD | Into The Next WeekLooking for a bullish continuation into the next week for both EURUSD and GBPUSD. Both looking strong.
I have 2 best case possibilities shown on the chart.
we either see a direct move to the upside, will be looking for bullish setups for the rest of the week.
Or we see a small drop first into the lower time frame support, and again a move up.
Let me know what your outlook is on EURUSD!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
Bitcoin - $95.000 before a correction?Bitcoin finds itself at an important turning point once again after a sharp decline followed by a strong recovery. In this update, we will cover the reaction to the previous 4H bearish FVG, the newly formed 4H FVG inversion acting as support, the next resistance level around 95,000 dollars, and the recent liquidity sweep.
4H Bearish FVG Inversion
Two days ago, BTC made a strong downward move that reversed a large part of the earlier rally and collected deep liquidity beneath local lows. During this drop, a clear 4H bearish FVG was formed, acting as a supply zone. Yesterday, however, BTC reclaimed this entire FVG with conviction: the price broke through it and closed multiple candles above the zone. This shift flips the area from supply into demand, meaning the former bearish FVG has now transformed into a 4H FVG inversion. The green box on the chart now represents the primary support zone, ideally holding during any pullback.
4H Bearish FVG Around $95,000
Above the current price lies the next 4H bearish FVG around roughly 95,000 dollars, aligning with a previous consolidation and distribution phase. This region acts as strong resistance and is the next logical magnet for the ongoing recovery move. As long as the FVG inversion beneath price holds, it is reasonable to expect BTC to gradually move toward the 95k area. A clear reaction is likely once this zone is reached—ranging from a brief rejection and sideways consolidation to a potentially larger reversal if sellers become aggressive again.
Liquidity Sweep
Recently, BTC briefly pushed above a local high and pulled back immediately afterward, creating a clear liquidity sweep on the chart. This move wiped out the stops of late shorts as well as breakout longs but did not yet lead to immediate continuation to the upside. After such a sweep, the question becomes whether the market can gather enough buyers to fuel the next impulse toward the higher FVG, or whether price will first drop back toward the inversion support to gather liquidity there. The reaction at current levels will therefore provide important insight into short-term direction.
Conclusion
Because of today’s liquidity sweep, a direct correction from the current price is very possible, especially if short-term traders take profit after the strong bounce. However, the base scenario remains that BTC could still make one more push upward toward the 4H bearish FVG around 95,000 dollars, where a more significant reaction is expected. Such a move would fit perfectly within a structure where resistance is tested first, followed by a pullback to retest the new inversion support—confirming whether the recent reversal has real strength behind it.
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EURUSD Short Term Sell OpportunityQuick Summary
Price may offer a sell setup around 1.16462 after a strong bullish push that left a liquidity void behind. A retracement to fill that void is likely, and the presence of SMT with GBPUSD strengthens the bearish correction scenario before any continuation upward.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD has climbed aggressively, gaining more than 55 pips in a short span of time. While this strong bullish move confirms market strength, it also left a clear liquidity void. Such voids are typically revisited, as the market often seeks to rebalance inefficiencies before continuing its main direction.
The level at 1.16462 stands out as an attractive zone for a short term sell. This area aligns with the point where price may exhaust its immediate bullish impulse and begin correcting downward to mitigate the inefficiency created during the rapid move up.
Adding to this, there is an SMT divergence forming between EURUSD and GBPUSD. While GBPUSD pushed higher, EURUSD did not fully follow with equal strength. This imbalance between the two correlated pairs often signals a potential reversal or corrective move
Bitcoin - Can the bulls break resistance?Bitcoin continues to stagnate after a strong sell-off. Market structure remains weak, and trading volume is declining as price keeps moving sideways within a tight range. Traders are uncertain about the next move, and both bulls and bears currently lack conviction. Overall sentiment is cool, with most attention focused on nearby resistance zones. Many eyes are on how BTC reacts to the current consolidation area.
4H Bearish FVG
Just above the current price lies a clear bearish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone now acts as strong resistance. When BTC retests this area, a rejection is the most likely scenario. Only a breakout with strong volume would give bulls something to lean on. As long as this FVG holds, further downside remains the path of least resistance.
1H Timeframe
The 1-hour timeframe shows ongoing consolidation and repeated struggles with the local 1H bearish FVG. Every attempt to break through this area is immediately rejected. As a result, the probability of BTC breaking to the downside increases, which would allow the market to collect the liquidity resting below. Bears are expected to keep defending this zone until the market breaks through with conviction. Consolidation may continue as long as the support level holds, but the underlying downside risk remains significant.
Conclusion
BTC remains technically pressured as long as there is no convincing breakout above the 4H FVG. The current range is vulnerable to a downward break, especially with weak volume and persistent resistance structures. Traders would be wise to wait for clearer signals or a new trend on higher timeframes before committing to a direction.
EURUSD - Waiting on the direction!Introduction
EURUSD is currently trading in a very technical zone where price is positioned between two significant daily fair value gaps. These opposing imbalances—one bearish and one bullish—are acting as major directional barriers. As long as price remains contained between them, the pair is effectively trapped in a compression phase, awaiting a decisive breakout. The next clear move will likely arise when either the upper or lower FVG gives way, allowing the market to target the liquidity zones that lie beyond these imbalances.
Daily Bearish FVG
Above current price sits the daily bearish fair value gap, which is acting as a strong resistance area. If EURUSD manages to break through this upper FVG with conviction, it would indicate that buyers have reclaimed control. A clean break above this zone would open the path toward the liquidity area located at the top of the chart. This region is where a large cluster of stop orders and resting buy-side liquidity is likely positioned. A move into this area would be a natural target as price seeks to rebalance inefficiencies and tap into the liquidity pool above previous highs.
Daily Bullish FVG
Below the current range lies the daily bullish fair value gap, functioning as a major support zone. If EURUSD breaks below this lower FVG, it would signal a shift in momentum back to the downside. Such a move would send price toward the liquidity zone at the bottom, where sell-side liquidity rests beneath prior lows. This would align with typical market behavior in a bearish continuation—first taking out inefficiencies, then reaching into the liquidity pools that form below structural lows.
Conclusion
EURUSD is currently confined between two major daily FVG levels, creating a tightly compressed structure where the next breakout will dictate direction. Until price decisively breaks either the bearish FVG above or the bullish FVG below, the pair remains in a waiting phase. The eventual breach of one of these imbalances will determine whether EURUSD hunts liquidity at the top or at the bottom, making this a critical moment for directional clarity in the market.
Bitcoin - Approaching the Make or Break ZoneBitcoin continues to bleed lower after multiple liquidity sweeps, and the decline is beginning to compress into a more controlled down move. The chart shows a clear shift in sentiment after the all time high sweep, then another daily sweep that helped close both the daily and 4H imbalance. Since losing the mid range zone and treating it as resistance, the market has been trending toward the next major area of interest.
Consolidation Structure
The structure is currently defined by a clean series of lower highs combined with sharp impulsive down legs. These moves are driven by liquidity grabs followed by displacement, which fits the narrative of a market hunting demand. The previously supportive gray zone has now flipped into resistance, confirming that the current trend remains heavy until a deeper demand zone is reached.
Key Support Zone and Expectations
The most important area beneath price sits around the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range, which is the closest meaningful support left on the higher time frame. This zone has been untested since the last major accumulation phase, and as long as price reaches it with a clean move, the reaction can form the base for a bullish leg. If this zone fails to hold, the next meaningful support sits deeper, and the downside extension could accelerate before any recovery starts.
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin reaches the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range and prints a clear rejection with displacement back upward, the market can set the foundation for a strong bullish bounce. Ideally, we see a final liquidity sweep beneath that range, followed by a sharp market structure shift on the lower time frames. That would open the door for a sustained recovery toward the mid range inefficiencies left behind during the selloff.
Bearish Scenario
If the key zone does not hold, the current support gives way and the market moves into a much deeper discount. That would shift the bias toward continuation lower, targeting untouched liquidity pools further down. In this scenario, any attempt to bounce would likely be corrective rather than the start of a true reversal.
Conclusion
I expect Bitcoin to deliver a meaningful bullish bounce once the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand zone is tapped, as long as the level holds cleanly. If it fails, the decline continues into a deeper support, but the higher time frame idea remains that the next strong reaction will come from that region. Until then, patience is key while the market completes the move into higher time frame demand.
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Bitcoin - Relief rally is imminent!Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong downward pressure over the past several days, yet it is beginning to display early signs of stabilization within key higher-timeframe fair value gap zones. Even though the current market structure remains bearish, several technical elements are aligning that suggest the potential for a relief rally. With multiple patterns and liquidity levels converging, the market may be preparing for a temporary upside correction before determining its next major direction.
Weekly FVG
On the weekly timeframe, BTC recently tapped into the weekly fair value gap and filled roughly fifty percent of this imbalance. This partial fill often indicates that the market is collecting liquidity before initiating a larger move. As a result, this weekly FVG acts as a strong demand zone where buyers tend to become active again, offering an area where price often stabilizes, even if only temporarily. The reaction here suggests that BTC may be forming a short-term base.
Daily FVG
On the daily timeframe, another fair value gap is present, and it aligns almost perfectly with the weekly zone. Above current price action lies a clear descending trendline, which is likely to act as resistance on any upward push. The combination of the daily FVG and the downward trendline creates a technically significant decision point. If BTC reaches this area, it may face renewed selling pressure, making this zone crucial for determining whether the market can extend higher or whether the downtrend will reassert itself.
4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, BTC has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that is typically considered bullish. Initially, price broke downward out of the wedge, which seemed like a continuation of weakness. However, BTC quickly moved back into the structure, signaling a fake-out. This type of movement often occurs when liquidity is collected beneath the pattern before a reversal begins. The return into the wedge strengthens the case for a short-term upward correction, suggesting that buyers may be gaining traction.
Relief Rally
The first zone to watch lies just above the current price level, where a 4-hour bearish FVG overlaps with the descending trendline. This confluence is likely to act as immediate resistance, making an initial rejection from this level highly plausible. After a potential rejection, price may revisit the bullish 4-hour FVG below, where buyers are expected to step in again. From this supportive zone, BTC could attempt to break through the descending trendline and continue higher toward the upper 4-hour bearish FVG around the 98,000-dollar region. This serves as a logical target for a relief rally, should momentum continue to build.
Conclusion
BTC is currently positioned within an important higher-timeframe demand zone, strengthened by the overlap of both the weekly and daily FVGs. Although the broader market structure remains bearish, the fake-out within the falling wedge on the 4-hour chart signals that a relief rally may be developing. The immediate resistance above price will provide the first major test. If Bitcoin finds renewed momentum from the bullish 4-hour FVG and successfully breaks the descending trendline, an upward move toward 98,000 dollars becomes increasingly realistic. For now, BTC appears to be setting the stage for a corrective bounce, with key levels offering clear guidance on how this scenario could unfold.
EURUSD - Outlook for next week!Introduction
EURUSD has been steadily climbing, maintaining a firm uptrend that continues to show strength in market structure. The series of higher highs and higher lows suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, with the market consistently respecting key demand zones on its way upward. As the pair progresses, important technical levels such as fair value gaps and liquidity pools will act as guidance for where price may gravitate next. The chart reflects this upward trajectory and offers a clear roadmap for potential continuation.
Bullish 4H FVG
One of the most significant areas currently in focus is the bullish 4-hour fair value gap. I expect this gap to be reached and to hold as a supportive zone if price pulls back into it. This region represents an area where the market previously moved with strong displacement, leaving inefficiencies behind. If price returns to rebalance this gap and reacts positively, it would provide a strong indication that buyers are still in control. A successful hold of the 4H FVG would reinforce the broader bullish narrative and serve as a foundation for further continuation to the upside.
Liquidity Sweep
With the prevailing trend pointing upward, EURUSD is likely to continue seeking liquidity positioned above current price levels. As momentum carries the market higher, a liquidity sweep becomes increasingly probable. This would involve price reaching into the cluster of resting liquidity above previous highs, tapping into stop orders and filling imbalances before potentially testing the bearish 4-hour fair value gap above. Such a move aligns with typical market behavior, where price targets areas of inefficiency and pockets of liquidity before deciding on its next direction.
Final Thoughts
In conclusion, EURUSD remains firmly positioned within an uptrend, and the draw on liquidity continues to point upward. The liquidity residing above the market, particularly around and just above the bearish 4-hour FVG, presents a natural target for price to explore. As long as the bullish structure remains intact and the 4H FVG holds as anticipated, the path of least resistance is still to the upside. Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these key zones, as they will provide important clues for the next significant movement in the pair.
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