$SOL Weekly Analysis – Big Decision AheadFor Solana I’m expecting a correction into the 160–167 range. Either the fifth wave isn’t finished yet, or buyers have already spent most of their strength on the third wave and the correction phase has started, or we might still see an impulse up into the 190–199 range. On the chart, I’ve marked two possible scenarios for how the price could move.
I’ve also highlighted the key levels:
Bullish scenario : from 168, the price moves toward 220 (resistance level), and from there we could see a local correction back to 160–165.
Bearish scenario : the price is already in a correction phase and heading toward 140–145.
RSI points toward the bearish scenario, but if buyers show strength things can change.
Disclaimer: The author’s opinion may not align with yours.
BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P
Solanaanalysis
Solana's Bullish Breakout: Eyes on $228.1FenzoFx—Solana broke the structure on July 21, and then pulled back below this level, providing discount entries. We expect the uptrend to resume and target the resistance at $228.1.
A dip toward $170.0 followed by a better price for bullish entry at $161.2 could be ideal and low risk. Monitoring these levels for candlestick patterns, break of structure in 5 minutes, and fair value gaps to confirm if there would be a bounce and continuation of the uptrend from any of these two levels.
Solana - is showing reversal signalsTechnical structure and patterns
On the daily chart, SOL has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic reversal pattern. A breakout above the neckline with increasing volume could lead to a move to $247.71. However, weak demand could jeopardize this scenario, triggering a fall even to $138.05.
The asset has grown by 18% in a week, reaching $181, but there are liquidation clusters and strong resistance at $184–185. A breakout of this range could accelerate growth, with a possible surge to $256.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance:
The key zone is $180–184, a breakout of which would open the way to growth.
Support:
Important zones are $153–143, where cumulative activity was previously observed.
Network background and volume dynamics
The number of tokens on exchanges has decreased by almost 10%, which indicates a decrease in selling pressure. A "golden cross" is also forming between the 100- and 200-day EMAs - a bullish signal with target levels above $176.
Earlier, SOL rebounded from the support zone around $160 and is moving towards a breakout of $175. The further trajectory - growth or consolidation - will depend on how the price behaves at the border around $175.
SOL Buy/Long Setup (8H)It seems that before the main bullish move, the price intends to sweep the lower liquidity pool because the momentum of the upward wave is weak.
At the bottom, we have a fresh and strong order block marked in green, which is our entry zone for the position.
If the price drops and reaches this area, a buy/long position can be taken.
The target can be above the previous swing.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Solana Short SetupHi everyone.
As I see a CHoCH in 1H TF, so I think this entry level has a good potential to set two sell order.
One with a tight SL that I suggest don't enter more than 0.5% of your capital for this, and the second one with a larger SL level.
I'll update the TP levels later...
Please consider the risk management.
Let's see the market reaction..
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
SolanaSol usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio =3 👈👌
My target= 303 $
Technical analysis
Let's take a look at the chart. The price is between two ascending diagonal lines. At times it has approached the upper line but has not touched it and has turned back. But the lower line has become a good support and can give us a signal that the price will not go lower than this. This support has worked well even in severe declines.
Solana Long SetupHi everyone.
I think this areas has some potential to set orders.
If we stop at the first order then I'll update the second order TPs.
please consider the risk management and don't use more than 0.5% of your capital for each...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Solana - The bullish background remains strongCurrent Technical Signals
SOL is trading around $180-$181, holding above the key 20-day EMA, which is around $178.25. A break below this level could open the way to support around $171.78, while holding above this level creates potential for a rise towards $186.40-$190.47.
A golden cross is forming between the 100- and 200-day EMAs on the daily chart - a classic bullish signal, strengthening the chances of a rise to $200.
Your network volume and balances on exchanges are showing a decline, which indicates a decrease in supply - easing pressure on the price and supporting bullish sentiment.
Support and Resistance
Support:
$178.25 (20‑EMA)
$171.78 — lower limit in weak market
The Currency analytics
Resistance:
$180–$190 zone — critical for further gains
Upper resistance at ~$200 — critical for rally continuation
Structural and Valuation Signals
A test of the daily bullish divergence on SOL indicates potential for further gains after correction.
SOL recently broke out of its ascending channel, indicating a possible reversal and the beginning of a new move higher.
Finance Feeds
Solana - Current Technical LandscapeCurrent Technical Landscape
Key Support Zone - 20-day EMA (~$178.25): SOL is trading around $180, and a break below this level could lead to a decline towards $171.78. On the other hand, a bounce back would open the way to the $186.40 and $190.47 areas.
Short-Term Weakness and Cooling Activity: Despite growing by over 40% in July, there is now a decline in on-chain activity:
Active Addresses Down 16%
DeFi TVL Down 8%
This could increase bearish pressure in the short term.
Resistance on the 4-hour chart: According to Seeking Alpha, SOL faces strong resistance at the 20-EMA (~$164.78) and below the 50/100-EMA zones (between $170.73 and $174.14), while the downtrend remains dominant.
Structure overview and signals
TipRanks indicators:
General recommendation: Sell
RSI (~43.05): Neutral
MACD: Buy
Stochastic RSI, Williams %R, CCI: Buy
MA 20/50/200: mostly Sell, except MA100 (was Buy)
TipRanks
Support and resistance by Pivot (TipRanks):
Pivot: $166.49
Support: $163.12, $158.24, $154.87
Resistance: $171.38, $174.74, $179.6
Solana Surges, Yet Still Lags Behind LTCFenzoFx—Solana targeted the primary descending trendline after it broke the structure by closing above $164.5. While LTC, which is a cryptocurrency like Solana with a price range between $100.0 and $200.0, reached its previous monthly highs, Solana still lags behind.
Currently, SOL is testing the average volume weight at approximately $173.0, in conjunction with the primary descending trendline.
Forecast : With the primary support at $161.2, we expect SOL/USD to resume its uptick momentum. In this scenario, the price should target the order block with peak resistance at $182.6.
Solana (SOL): Bullish Continuation after Neckline BreakoutWhat I see:
Chart Patterns (Head and Shoulders): The chart illustrates a classic "Head and Shoulders" pattern. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are formed, and the neckline (the blue dashed line) has been broken, which suggests that the price could rise towards the target zone above the broken neckline.
Target Price: Based on the pattern and technical analysis, the potential target for the price could be around $219.84, as indicated by the box in the upper right corner. This target aligns with the upward trend continuation from the broken neckline.
Support Zones: There are several key support levels below the current price, including the lower zone marked in blue around $95.50 and the potential demand area in the middle blue zone (around $136.34). These could act as areas for price to rebound from if there's a pullback.
Trend Line and Movement: The dotted blue trend line suggests an ascending trend, showing higher lows, and the price is likely to continue upward after the recent breakout above the neckline.
Given the broken neckline and the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, the bullish scenario appears more likely. A price target of around $219.84 seems feasible if the upward momentum continues. However, if the price fails to hold above the neckline or reverses, the support zones could provide areas for potential price bounces, with the $136.34 region as a significant level to watch for possible buying opportunities. Therefore, the most probable outcome aligns with the bullish scenario (towards $219.84).
Solana Lags While LTC SurgesFenzoFx—Solan trades sideways, slightly above the previous day's high. Sol's price did not rise while other cryptocurrencies, such as LTC, had a significant surge in price this week. Therefore, we expect the price to rise, and we will be bullish on this cryptocurrency.
The immediate resistance is at $167.5. From a technical perspective, we expect a bullish move toward the previous day's high at $171.7 if this level breaks. If this scenario unfolds, we can market this level as a break of structure.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if Solana falls below the previous day's low. If this scenario unfolds, the current bearish momentum will likely target $155.7.
Bullish but not bullish enough yet for a tradeMy overall bias for Solana is bullish. Currently I only own the underlying asset, but I have been waiting for the right set up to arrive to open a leveraged long position.
The way I am looking at the market right now:
Monthly chart:
In the last crypto cycle, Solana reached ATH in Nov 2021 and started to enter the macro bear trend. The price dropped sharply from $260 to $75 in the matter of three months. The price temporarily bounced up to $125 approx. (Red horizontal line in the chart) but it was a dead cat bounce. It failed to move above it and it was the beginning of the official bear market.
When you look at the price action of the last 18 months in a monthly chart, the price has been mostly moving between $125 and $205. However, the price wicked down to $96 in April this year. Since then the price is forming higher high higher low despite messy price action.
Both RSI and MACD are in the bull territory but they are slowly rolling to the downside. Stochastic on the other hand reached oversold territory and is now moving to the upside.
As long as RSI and MACD stay in the bull zone, the current price move is a corrective one.
Currently the price is sitting in the middle of the range bound of the last 18th months.
Weekly chart:
Price is trapped in the range bound and also is the ascending parallel channel.
EMA21 and 55 are bunched up together and running horizontally.
RSI is trapped in the 40-60 range and sliding across.
MACD is tilting to the upside but failed to enter the bull zone.
Stochastic is showing bearish negative divergence.
Base on all the indicators and price action in the weekly chart tell me the price is in a slow decline, but it is more like a tight sideway consolidation.
Daily chart:
EMA21> EMA 55> EMA200 - bullish but not perfect
EMA 200 is dead horizontal and a today's daily candle is sitting on EMA200.
MACD is entering the bear zone. MACD line is about to enter the bear zone. But the stochastic reached oversold territory and now is moving to the upside.
Conclusion:
My number one rule of trading is I stay away from trading when EMA200 is dead flat and the price is oscillating around it. I have lost money numerous times by trying to guess which way the price will move. No point of front running when EMA200 is flat. The price will break out eventually but I need to wait for a clear direction to emerge.
As I wrote in my previous articles. I think the current price move is a corrective one. The price will eventually move to the upside but I have no idea when. What I am focusing on now is to watch where the price will retrace to before it takes off in the daily chart. It may not take off, so I just want to wait and see.
There are a few fair value gap in the Fib 0.618 and 0.786 zone (blue rectangular box) and it is also where the ascending trendline intersects. So it is possible for the price to move further down to that area.
SOL Institutional Capital Fuels Bull Run SpeculationSolana's Ascent: A Perfect Storm of Adoption and Institutional Capital Fuels Bull Run Speculation
A powerful and rare confluence of tangible real-world adoption, significant institutional investment, and bullish technical indicators is generating a palpable buzz around Solana (SOL). The high-performance blockchain, often touted as a leading "Ethereum killer," is experiencing a resurgence that has captured the market's attention. After a period of sideways consolidation, SOL has decisively broken through key psychological and technical price levels, igniting speculation that this may be the start of a sustained and powerful bull run.
The narrative driving this optimism is not based on fleeting hype but on two concrete, fundamental pillars. The first is the global shipment of Solana Mobile's second-generation smartphone, the "Seeker," a device engineered to onboard millions into the Web3 ecosystem by seamlessly integrating crypto into the user's daily life. The second is a powerful vote of confidence from the traditional finance world, where a growing number of publicly traded companies are aggressively accumulating SOL for their corporate treasuries, treating it as a strategic reserve asset. As these foundational tailwinds gather force, technical charts are beginning to align, suggesting that the path of least resistance for Solana's price may soon be sharply upward.
The Seeker Phone: Solana's Trojan Horse for Mass Adoption
Perhaps the most visible and innovative catalyst is the global rollout of the Seeker smartphone. Following up on its first-generation "Saga" device, Solana Mobile has initiated the shipment of tens of thousands of pre-ordered Seeker phones to a global audience. The market's reception has been nothing short of explosive, with pre-orders soaring past 150,000 units—a dramatic increase from the 20,000 total sales of its predecessor. This overwhelming demand underscores a pent-up desire for a mobile-native Web3 experience.
But the Seeker is far more than just a piece of hardware; it represents a strategic masterstroke to solve the persistent problem of user experience in the crypto space. For years, interacting with decentralized applications (dApps) on mobile has been a clunky, insecure, and fragmented process, creating a high barrier to entry for the average consumer. The Seeker directly addresses these pain points. It features a built-in crypto wallet and a hardware-isolated "Seed Vault," which secures a user's private keys in a protected environment within the phone, drastically enhancing security and simplifying transactions.
This mobile-first approach creates a powerful economic flywheel. Priced accessibly, the phone is projected to generate substantial revenue for Solana Mobile. However, its true value lies in its ability to foster a vibrant, self-sustaining ecosystem. Each device includes a "Genesis NFT," a digital key that unlocks exclusive airdrops, rewards, and early access to new applications. This model, which proved incredibly successful with the Saga phone and the famous BONK memecoin airdrop, gamifies participation and incentivizes users to actively explore and engage with the Solana network. It transforms the phone from a passive communication tool into an active portal for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFT marketplaces, and Web3 gaming.
Furthermore, the Seeker boasts its own decentralized dApp store, presenting a direct challenge to the incumbent duopoly of Apple and Google. By offering developers a platform with lower fees and fewer restrictions, Solana is cultivating an environment where innovation can flourish. This attracts builders to the ecosystem, leading to a richer and more diverse array of applications, which in turn attracts more users. The Seeker phone, therefore, is not just a product—it's a Trojan Horse designed to embed the Solana network into the fabric of daily life, driving network utility, transaction volume, and ultimately, sustained demand for the SOL token.
The Institutional Stampede: Big Money Places Its Bet on Solana
While the Seeker phone provides a compelling grassroots adoption narrative, it is the concurrent wave of institutional investment that adds a powerful layer of validation and financial firepower. A growing cohort of publicly traded companies is now strategically adding SOL to their corporate treasuries, signaling deep-seated, long-term confidence in the network's technology and economic potential. This trend moves Solana beyond the realm of speculative trading and into the domain of strategic corporate finance.
Leading this charge is DeFi Development Corp (DFDV), a firm that has made headlines with its aggressive accumulation strategy. The company recently purchased an additional 110,466 SOL, bringing its total holdings to a staggering 1.29 million SOL. This move is part of a publicly stated ambition to hold one SOL per outstanding company share by 2028, a strategy explicitly modeled after MicroStrategy's high-conviction Bitcoin treasury plan. By securing a multi-billion dollar line of credit for these purchases, DeFi Dev Corp is making a clear and unequivocal bet on Solana's future.
This institutional embrace extends beyond a single entity. Upexi Inc., a consumer brand holding company, has significantly increased its SOL holdings and secured a $500 million credit line for further acquisitions. Bit Mining, a prominent player in the digital asset mining space, has not only purchased millions of dollars worth of SOL but has also launched its first Solana validator, contributing directly to the network's security and decentralization. Perhaps most surprisingly, Artelo Biosciences, a Nasdaq-listed pharmaceutical company, has pivoted to include SOL in its treasury, becoming the first public pharma firm to adopt a digital asset as a reserve.
These companies are drawn to Solana for its unique combination of high throughput, low transaction costs, and yield-bearing potential. The network's ability to process thousands of transactions per second at a fraction of a penny makes it a viable platform for enterprise-grade applications. Furthermore, the ability to stake SOL and earn a consistent annual yield of 7-8% presents a compelling alternative to holding depreciating fiat currencies or low-yield government bonds. This makes SOL an attractive treasury asset that can both appreciate in value and generate a recurring revenue stream. This institutional inflow provides robust price support and has an outsized market impact, as it effectively removes large quantities of SOL from the circulating supply, creating a potential supply shock as demand continues to grow.
Coiling for a Breakout: A Technical Perspective
This potent mix of fundamental catalysts is vividly reflected in Solana's price chart, which shows the asset coiling for a potentially explosive move. After establishing a solid foundation of support, SOL has demonstrated significant strength by breaking through the crucial $160 and $162 levels. The price is now trading firmly above its 100-hourly simple moving average, a key indicator that traders use to gauge short-term trend momentum. A price holding above this moving average is generally considered a sign of bullish health.
Currently, a key bullish trend line has formed on the hourly chart, with immediate and strong support located at the $165 mark. This level now acts as the first line of defense for the bulls; as long as the price remains above it, the upward trajectory is considered intact. However, the path higher is not without obstacles. The first major test awaits at the $172 resistance zone. A decisive and high-volume break above this level would signal that buyers are in firm control and could trigger a cascade of further buying.
Should the bulls conquer $172, the next significant hurdle lies near the $180-$182 range. Overcoming this area would open the door to a more sustained rally, with analysts eyeing subsequent targets at $192 and the psychologically important $200 level. While these technical levels present challenges, the underlying momentum indicators are encouraging. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing bullish acceleration, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding strong above the 50 midpoint, indicating that buying pressure is outweighing selling pressure.
Of course, no market moves in a straight line. A failure to break the $172 resistance could lead to a temporary pullback. If the $165 support level were to fail, the next support zones would be found near $160 and $155. A break below these levels could signal a short-term bearish reversal and would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis. However, given the powerful fundamental drivers at play, many analysts believe that any such dips would likely be viewed as buying opportunities.
The Verdict: Is This the Definitive Catalyst?
Solana currently finds itself in an exceptionally strong position. It is one of the few blockchain projects that can boast a clear, tangible strategy for mass adoption through its mobile initiatives. The Seeker phone is a game-changer, providing a seamless on-ramp to Web3 that could onboard a new generation of users.
This powerful fundamental narrative is being amplified and validated by a wave of institutional capital. The strategic accumulation of SOL by public companies lends the asset a new level of legitimacy and provides a powerful source of demand that is unlikely to waver based on short-term market fluctuations.
When these two forces are combined with a bullish technical structure, the result is a perfect storm of positive catalysts. While the broader crypto market will always be subject to macroeconomic factors and regulatory shifts, Solana has carved out a uniquely compelling growth story. The immediate challenge is for the bulls to maintain their momentum and decisively break through the upcoming resistance zones. If they succeed, this confluence of events may very well be remembered as the definitive catalyst that propelled Solana into its next major bull run, solidifying its position not just as a competitor, but as a leader in the new digital economy.
SOL 15m Ready to Rumble? Possible Double Setup!Two decent setups on Solana’s 15m, one bounce play off key support, the other a breakout rip targeting quant resistance.
Setup #1 — Mean Reversion Long:
• Entry: 161 to 162
• Stop: 158.78 (sits on quant S1 = 158.67)
• Target: 166.62
• R/R: 2.4x
This setup rides the bounce from support that matches pivot S1. Confirm with candle wick + volume punch.
Setup #2 — Breakout Continuation:
• Entry: Above 166.62
• Stop: 164 (tight) or 154.86 (sits above quant S2 = 153.41)
• Target 1: 171.38 (just under quant R1 = 172.46)
• Target 2: 180.99 (quant R2 if price rips)
• R/R: 1.6x to 3.4x
Break needs volume. R1 is the battlefield. If we nuke through, R2’s next.
Quant Levels to monitor:
• Support:
S1 = 158.67
S2 = 153.41
• Resistance:
R1 = 172.46
R2 = 180.99
R3 = 186.25
Daily ATR ~11 pts — volatility is favorable
Structure and confluence are clean. Execution depends on price confirmation.
Still bullish My overall bias for Solana is bullish.
It has been a difficult asset to trade, however, I can still see bullish momentum is building up in higher time frames:
Weekly:
1) MACD line (faster line) has finally entered the bull zone since it dropped to $95 on April 25.
2) RSI line (orange one) has entered the bull zone.
3) EMA 5 > EMA21> EMA 55
Daily:
1) EMA 21> EMA55> EMA200
2) MACD lines are still in the bull zone.
3) Stochastic has reached the oversold territory and crossed to the upside.
4) The price is still forming higher high higher low above the ascending trendline.
5) The price has retraced to Fib 0.618 and now it is bouncing up.
6) The daily candle on 2n August closed at Fib 0.618 and yesterday's candle closed above both EMA55 and 200.
As I mentioned in my previous articles, when EMA55 crosses above EMA200, the price often retraces significantly before it starts to move to the upside. So I was prepared for the price to drop to Fib 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 or 0.786. At the moment, Fib 0.618 seems to be working as the lines of support.
The current price action looks good for the bull, however, $185-200 zone has been a very tough area to break. Therefore, I am prepared for a few scenarios:
Scenario 1: The price will move to Fib 0236 zone at $188 area. It fails to break above and drops to retest either the ascending trendline or wicks down to Fib 0.786/$143 area.
Scenario 2: The price will move to Fib 0.236 zone, consolidates in the area and moves up.
Scenario 3: It fails to move above Fib 0.236 level, drops below the ascending trendline and Fib 0.786. If it happens, I need to re assess my bullish bias.
Solana definition of movementSOL is in a squeeze phase: the price is holding above $163, but meets resistance around $183-186. Indicators show neutral, slightly weak momentum. A break above $186 with increasing volumes will open up potential at $190+; a break below $178 will lead to a deeper correction to $171-170. Until then, it is worth watching the 20-d EMA hold and reactions to it.
My View for SOLANA next moveMy View for SOLANA next move.
Technically, SOL has been trading within a channel for a while now, with the formation of HHs and HLs.
If fundamentals play out positively long to mid-term, we are likely to see SOLNA fall to $150 zone before another upward leg forms. This leg may rally to as high as $220.
Trade with care.
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Very Bullish!!
Solana chart looks very bullish. The price is currently dropping but I think it is a very healthy correction.
Weekly chart:
1) all momentum indicators just entered the bull zone.
2) The chart is forming higher highs.
Daily:
1) EMA55 finally crossed EMA200. The last time they crossed was October 2023 (see red vertical line in the chart) and it was the beginning of the macro bull trend.
2) Momentum indicators have reached overbought territory and crossed to the downside, however, given weekly momentum indicators have just entered the bull zone, this move is likely to be corrective action.
3) When EMA55 and EMA200 cross, the price often retraces initially to EMAs (21, 55 or 200). Once it completes the pull back, I anticipate the price to move to the previous ATH and beyond.
This is the time when high leverage trading volume increases.
Be careful not get wicked out. Focus on monthly/weekly/daily charts and ignore the noise in the lower timeframes.
Still bullish in the higher time frames Solana has been struggling to break and stay above $170-200 zone this cycle.
It has been a very difficult asset to trade, however, I can see more bullish setups than bearish setups in higher timeframe charts.
Monthly:
1) July monthly candle closed above Fib 0.618 and formed higher high higher low.
2) RSI and MACD are still in the bull zone.
3) Stochastic are in the bear zone, but they are pointing to the upside.
Weekly:
1) EMA21 is still above EMA55.
2) The current weekly candle is forming bearing engulfing candle, however, there are two more days before it closes. It is still above EMA 21.
3) RSI orange line (RSI based moving average) is moving upwards and entering the bull zone.
4) MACD is about to enter the bull zone.
5) Stochastic hasn't reached overbought territory yet.
6) The set up of these three momentum indicators is very similar to the set up in Oct 23 before Solana started a massive bull trend. (see red vertical line)
Daily:
1) EMA21>EMA55>EMA200
2) As I said in the previous articles, EMA 55 and 200 don't cross easily. But when they do, the price often pulls back significantly before it starts to move in the direction of the trend.
3) Daily candle broke below EMA21, however, the price is reacting strongly to EMA55.
4) The price is still higher high higher low.
I will wait and see if the price is going to bounce off from $143 -157 region. (see blue rectangular block).
SOLANA could have a major retracement Solana completed a major ABC correction into a supply zone on the higher time frame (HTF), taking out the previous quarter’s highs.
On the daily chart, the RSI is overbought and signals the potential for a significant retracement.
Price action on the 4-hour chart shows a series of lower highs, indicating a bearish trend. If Solana fails to break above the previous high and trigger a market structure shift, the downtrend is likely to continue, leading to a deeper retracement on the higher time frames.