SOL/USDT โ Will Solana Start a Major Reversal from Here?Solana (SOL/USDT) is now sitting at a critical turning point, as the market tests a major historical demand zone between 152โ142 USDT. After completing a clear 5-wave impulsive decline, sellers appear to be losing momentum, while buyers are starting to react around this key area.
This yellow zone has previously acted as a strong demand base, triggering powerful rallies in the past. Now, itโs once again becoming the battlefield between bulls and bears โ and the outcome could define Solanaโs direction for the coming months.
---
Pattern & Structure
1. 5-Wave Decline (Elliott Wave Structure):
The chart shows a clean 5-wave downward pattern, often marking the end of a corrective phase. If valid, the next move could be an ABC corrective rally, signaling the start of a broader bullish reversal.
2. Critical Demand Zone (152โ142):
This area serves as a strong institutional accumulation zone, where smart money often steps in. A confirmed rebound from here could ignite the next leg higher.
3. Layered Resistance Levels:
Key resistance levels are lined up at
171 โ 199 โ 209 โ 233 โ 247 โ 263.
Each breakout acts as a step confirming a stronger bullish trend.
4. Fibonacci Confluence:
The 38โ61% retracement levels align with 199โ263, strengthening the case for this region as a natural recovery target zone in the next upward phase.
---
Bullish Scenario โ โThe Reversal Zone Awakensโ
If price holds above 152 and forms a strong bullish reversal candle (engulfing / hammer on the 2D chart), we could see:
Target 1: 171 โ first confirmation of trend reversal.
Target 2: 199โ209 โ mid-level recovery zone.
Target 3: 233โ247 โ full corrective phase.
Extended Target: 263 โ upper resistance and profit-taking zone.
This scenario represents the potential end of a multi-month bearish phase and the beginning of a fresh bullish cycle.
A 2D close above 171 would strongly confirm the reversal structure.
Additional confirmation: bullish divergence on RSI, increasing buy volume, or formation of higher lows on the 2D timeframe.
---
Bearish Scenario โ โBreaking the Floorโ
If the price closes below 142, the current demand zone will flip into resistance, signaling continuation of the downtrend toward:
First target: around 116 (minor demand).
Main target: 95 (previous historical low).
A breakdown below 142 would suggest that wave (5) may not yet be complete, indicating one final capitulation wave before a potential long-term bottom forms.
---
Strategy & Outlook
Conservative traders: Wait for a confirmed 2D close above 171 before entering any bullish setups.
Aggressive traders: Consider gradual accumulation near 152โ142 with tight SL below 142.
Risk management: Maintain a minimum R:R of 1:2, and avoid averaging down blindly without confirmation.
Multi-timeframe confirmation: Watch daily and 3D candles for stronger conviction signals.
---
Market Psychology
This current phase represents a โcapitulation zoneโ โ where retail confidence fades while smart money starts positioning quietly.
Historically, major trend reversals are born from such exhaustion zones. If SOL can defend this support area, it could be the beginning of a powerful new uptrend toward 200+ and beyond.
---
Conclusion
Zone 152โ142 = critical buyer defense line.
Reaction in this zone will determine the next macro trend for Q4 2025 โ Q1 2026.
Breakdown โ downside target 95.
Reversal โ upside potential up to 263.
---
#Solana #SOLUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportResistance #ElliottWave #CryptoReversal #SwingTrade #PriceAction #AltcoinSeason #SolanaAnalysis
