S/USDT The Big Test at the Trendline โ Rebound or Rejection?๐ Overview
The price action of S/USDT remains under pressure from a long-term downtrend, marked by the descending trendline (yellow) that has consistently capped every rally attempt since early this year.
After bouncing from the 0.2219 major low, price has shown a solid rebound and is now testing the critical confluence resistance zone at 0.2984 โ 0.31.
This area is a make-or-break level: will buyers manage a breakout to end the sellerโs dominance, or will the trendline reject price once again?
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๐งฉ Structure & Pattern
1. Descending Trendline
โ A clear series of lower highs confirms seller dominance.
โ Each rally attempt has been rejected at this line.
2. Key Supports
โ 0.2219 โ the major swing low and critical downside level.
โ Minor support zone: 0.260 โ 0.244.
3. Layered Resistances
โ 0.2984 (current test) โ the first breakout checkpoint.
โ 0.3531 โ 0.3946 โ next upside targets if breakout holds.
โ 0.6088 โ 0.8650 โ major resistance levels, potential rally zone in the mid-term.
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๐ Bullish Scenario (If Breakout Holds)
Confirmation: Daily close above 0.2984โ0.31 with strong volume.
Entry Idea: Buy on retest of the breakout zone.
Upside Targets:
TP1 โ 0.3531
TP2 โ 0.3946
TP3 โ 0.6088
Stop Loss: Below 0.28 (or below the retest low).
Narrative: A breakout from the descending trendline could signal the first step of a trend reversal, opening the path for further bullish momentum.
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๐ Bearish Scenario (If Rejection Happens)
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle (engulfing / pinbar) around 0.298โ0.31.
Entry Idea: Short/sell after confirmation of rejection.
Downside Targets:
TP1 โ 0.260โ0.244
TP2 โ 0.2219 (major low)
Stop Loss: Above 0.31โ0.33.
Narrative: As long as price remains below the trendline, the broader bearish structure is intact. Rejection here may trigger continuation towards the lows.
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๐ Conclusion
The 0.298โ0.31 zone is a major battleground between bulls and bears.
A confirmed breakout could shift momentum towards 0.3531โ0.3946.
A rejection, however, keeps downside risk alive with targets back to 0.2219.
Best strategy: Wait for daily close + volume confirmation before committing to major positions.
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๐ Key Levels to Watch
Support: 0.2884 โ 0.260โ0.244 โ 0.2219
Resistance: 0.2984 โ 0.3531 โ 0.3946 โ 0.6088 โ 0.8650
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Soniclabs
bullish debut of trading for S Sonic former FTMthere is very little history so far and it has only traded on MEXC so far therefore this analysis is likely to be low-precision
but it looks like S by sonic is on a short term parabolic growth, somewhere around its launch ATH value may be the random point of retest (low accuracy as more exchanges list it...) but otherwise can continue its journey with 1$+ values. Let's watch
Opening a fun long here


