S%P DROP AND GIVE ME 50....50K PLEASE LOLBias is BEARISH!
Hear me out tho lol!
First, we never predict; we estimate and wait! Price will tell us where it wants to go. Based on my estimate, we have big news this week that does not look very positive and could negatively affect American businesses and stocks, potentially leading to central sell pressure in the market. That, paired with no significant pullback on the D/HTF's, makes me estimate we should have nice sell ops.
4H Golden zone is around 6,809-50% and 6,801-.618%! (Great buy bounce area)
after that we have some IPP'S (important price points)
6,840 If passed and closed above we can see move to even HH's!
or
If we see a rejection to 6,801 price area we can see a dump taking out session IPP's and pushing to lower FVGs! (what I want lol)
so we are going to let the market play, while we wait....and GET PAID!!
GDluckThisWeek!
Sp500analysis
Market on Fire: S&P 500 & Nasdaq Rally Towards New HighsWe have a beautiful P-Shape volume profile formed at the top and we broke and closed above it.
The P-shape volume profile is bullish profile that is formed when large volumes are transacted at the highs meaning participants a willing to pay premium price . You can see the POC so close to the top of the VAH
I checked the CVD of the volume on a footprint chart and i see the volume has -ve Delta , which means alot of aggressive sellers transacted there trying to push the price down. Now that they are being squeezed slowly and start closing out their positions, it should fuel the uptrend. i entered the trade soon as we broke and closed above the value area.
Food for thought.. Who was willing to pay the high price to buy from the aggressive sellers?
DEFINITIONS
POC- point of control
VAH- Value area high
CVD- Cumulative Volume Delta
Target is the ExoFade area..Lets see how this trade goes
SP500 Bearish Outlook With Tight SLBearish Technical Reading
• The index is currently trading near 6,728 after a strong recovery rally.
• Nearest hypothetical major resistance: 7,125 (weekly supply + marked zone).
• Nearest key support: 6,150 – 6,170 (structural pivot, last defended level).
• Breakdown from this zone could trigger a deeper correction.
________________________________________
Bearish Trade Setup (Tighter Levels)
• Entry: Short around 6,700 – 6,750 (current resistance zone).
• Stop Loss: 7,150 (above weekly resistance to avoid fakeouts).
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 6,150 – 6,170 (structural demand, first bearish magnet).
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,820 – 4,850 (major demand, previous accumulation zone).
________________________________________
Logic Behind Levels
• Stop Loss 7,150 is placed above the marked resistance — if price breaks and holds above, bearish thesis weakens.
• TP1 at 6,150 matches the exact key support drawn on your chart — logical place to secure partials.
• TP2 at 4,820 aligns with historical strong demand and would only be targeted if shutdown-driven fear prolongs and selling accelerates.
________________________________________
S&P500: More Upside Likely Before PullbackThe North American Mass Index kicked off the new week with some momentum, extending its climb within the ongoing magenta wave (3). For now, we anticipate this upward trend could continue before reaching a new high. Afterward, we expect a pullback as part of the subsequent wave (4), likely bringing the index into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In our view, this price range offers attractive opportunities for long positions, as wave (5) is expected to follow—potentially pushing the index significantly higher and completing the larger blue wave (III). To protect newly established long positions, a stop can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the Target Zone.
The AI Bubble's Final Act: Why $SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the TopThe AI Bubble's Final Act: Why SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the Top
Unemployment + Rate Cuts = Recession (12 for 12 Since 1970)
The Death Cross Pattern
There's a simple rule that's worked for 55 years: When the Fed cuts rates while unemployment is rising from cycle lows, recession follows within 12 months - every single time.
Think of it like a doctor taking your temperature while giving you painkillers. The medicine might make you feel better temporarily, but if the fever is rising, something serious is wrong underneath.
Current Status:
✅ Fed just cut rates ECONOMICS:USINTR (September 2025)
✅ Unemployment ECONOMICS:USUR rising from 3.4% cycle low
✅ TVC:SPX at all-time high ($6,700)
Historical Result: 12/12 times = recession + 35% average equity crash
The Precedent: Crisis Follows a Script
2000 Dot-Com Bubble:
Setup: TVC:SPX at ATH (1,550), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.9%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting
Crisis: Technology "revolution" story breaks down
Result: -49% crash over 2.5 years
Recovery: 7 years to new highs
2008 Financial Crisis:
Setup: CBOE:SPX at ATH (1,576), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 4.4%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting
Crisis: Housing/credit bubble bursts
Result: -57% crash over 1.5 years
Recovery: 5 years to new highs
2025 AI Bubble:
Setup: SPREADEX:SPX at ATH (6,700), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.4%→4.2%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting ✅
Crisis: AI productivity story meets employment reality
Projection: -35 to -45% crash over 18 months
Recovery: 3-5 years (faster due to tech infrastructure remaining)
The AI Employment Paradox
The Productivity Mirage
Wall Street celebrates AI boosting productivity, but here's the paradox:
productivity gains = job losses = reduced consumer spending = recession.
Think of it like a factory owner celebrating a new machine that replaces 100 workers. Great for margins, terrible for the local economy when those 100 families stop spending.
Jobs ECONOMICS:USNFP at Risk by Sector:
Customer Service: 2M jobs (chatbots replacing agents)
Software Development: 500K jobs (AI-assisted coding reducing teams)
Transportation: 3M jobs (autonomous vehicles accelerating)
Administrative: 4M jobs (AI handling routine tasks)
Content Creation: 1M jobs (AI writing, design, video)
Total Impact: 10+ million jobs facing displacement over next 2-3 years
Why This Time is Different?
Unlike previous automation waves that created new job categories, AI is targeting cognitive work directly. A factory worker could become a service worker, but what does a displaced knowledge worker become?
Valuation Extremes: 1929 Levels with 2025 Leverage
Current Valuation Metrics:
Shiller CAPE: 38+ (higher than 1929's 33)
Buffett Indicator: 195% (market cap/GDP, historical average 85%)
Price/Sales: 3.3x (vs 1.4x historical average)
Forward P/E: 23x (on optimistic AI earnings assumptions)
Valuations today exceed 1929 by most measures - but with far more leverage embedded in the system. If 1929 was a valuation bubble, 2025 is that bubble layered with derivatives, corporate debt, and passive flows.
The Leverage Layer:
Margin Debt: $1.023 trillion (record high)( as of July 2025, ycharts )
Corporate Debt/GDP: 85% (vs 45% in 2000)
Derivatives Exposure: $700 trillion notional ( as of June 2025, BIS semiannual data )
ETF/Passive Flows: $1.5 trillion annually (forced selling on reversals)
When liquidity stress hits, derivatives amplify shocks - notional exposure dwarfs underlying assets.
Think of today's market like a house of cards built on a trampoline. Even small bounces can bring the whole structure down.
Technical Breakdown: The Charts Don't Lie
Major Warning Signals:
Market breadth has deteriorated from 90% in Q4 2024 to ~60% today,
Defensives led earlier in the year,
TVC:VIX Volatility’s floor has shifted higher
Credit risk appetite (HYG/TLT) is stretched.
Together, these signal fragility beneath the index surface.
The Three-Stage Technical Collapse:
Stage 1 - The Warning (Now-Q4 2025):
Current Level: $6,700
Initial Support: $6,200 (previous resistance)
Character: Failed rallies, rotating leadership, "healthy correction" narrative
Target: 5,800-6,000 (-10 to -13%)
Stage 2 - The Cascade (Q4 2025-Q2 2026):
Breaking Point: Below 5,800 triggers algorithmic selling
Character: "Buy the dip" stops working, margin calls begin
Target: 4,800-5,200 (-25 to -30%)
Stage 3 - Capitulation (Q2-Q4 2026):
Final Flush: Panic selling, ETF redemptions
Character: "Markets will never recover" sentiment peaks
Target: 3,700-4,200 (-35 to -45%)
The Catalyst: When Reality Meets Hype
Q4 2025 Earnings Season - The Reckoning
Companies will face impossible questions:
"You spent $50B on AI - where's the revenue growth?"
"Productivity is up 20%, why are you laying off workers?"
"If AI is so transformative, why are margins declining?"
The Employment Data Domino Effect:
October/Nov NFP: First print above 250K unemployment claims
November Consumer Spending: Down 2%+ as job fears spread
December Holiday Sales: Weakest since 2008
January Layoff Announcements: Tech companies start "right-sizing"
Think of it like the moment in 2000 when investors finally asked: "How exactly does Pets.com make money?" or 2007 when they wondered: "What's actually in these mortgage bonds?"
Sector-by-Sector Breakdown
Technology (-50 to -70%)
AI hype stocks get destroyed first
Software companies face declining growth + competition
Semiconductor cycle turns negative
Biggest Losers: NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL
Consumer Discretionary (-40 to -55%)
Unemployment hits spending immediately
High-end retailers crushed first
Auto sales collapse with higher rates
Biggest Losers: TSLA, AMZN, NKE
Financials (-30 to -45%)
Credit losses surge as economy weakens
Interest margin compression
Commercial real estate exposure
Biggest Losers: Regional banks, non-bank lenders
Relative Outperformers (-15 to -25%)
Utilities, Healthcare, Consumer Staples
Companies with genuine AI cost savings
High-dividend yielders in low-rate environment
Key Dates and Catalysts
October 2025:
Jobs report (first warning?)
Q3 earnings disappointments
Fed meeting (dovish pivot?)
November 2025:
Election aftermath volatility
Black Friday sales data
Thanksgiving week low-volume crashes
December 2025:
Year-end tax selling
Institutional rebalancing
Holiday retail reality check
Q1 2026:
Layoff announcements surge
Earnings guidance slashed
Credit events begin
The Recovery Setup
Why This Crash Creates Opportunity:
Valuation Reset: P/E ratios back to historical norms
Weak Hands Flushed: Margin traders eliminated
Government Response: Fiscal + monetary stimulus
AI Infrastructure Remains: Real productivity gains continue post-bubble
Recovery Timeline:
Bottom: Q4 2026 around 3,700-4,200
Initial Rally: 30-50% bounce over 6 months
New Bull Market: Begins 2027 with stronger foundation
New Highs: 2029-2030 timeframe
Risk Management Rules
This Analysis Fails If:
Fed pivots to massive QE before crisis
Fiscal stimulus exceeds $2 trillion quickly
AI productivity gains offset job losses faster than projected
Geopolitical crisis overrides economic fundamentals
Probability Assessment:
60%: Correction to 4,800-5,500 range (25-30% decline)
25%: Major crash to 3,700-4,200 range (40-45% decline)
15%: Continued melt-up through 2026 (soft landing achieved)
Conclusion: The End of the Everything Era
At SPX 6,700 with unemployment rising and the Fed cutting rates, we're witnessing the final act of the 15-year "everything bubble."
The AI revolution is real, but like the Internet in 2000, revolutionary technology doesn't prevent financial gravity.
The bubble is ending exactly like the previous ones - with everyone believing "this time is different" right until it isn't.
Smart money is already rotating defensive. The question isn't whether a correction is coming - it's whether you'll be positioned for it.
S&P 500: Rally Stalls, but Further Upside LikelyMidweek, the S&P 500 struggled to find the momentum needed to extend its climb within the magenta wave (3). However, our primary outlook still calls for this wave to reach a somewhat higher high. Afterward, wave (4) of the same color is expected to take over, guiding the index into the magenta Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In wave (5), another upward phase is anticipated, which should ultimately complete the broader uptrend of the blue wave (III) at an even higher price level.
S&P 500: Bullish! Buy It!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 25 - 29th:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 ended the week with strong bullish momentum, closing above the previous 3 days. The structure is bullish on the HTFs, and there is not good reason to look for sells.
Buy the bullish price action.
No sells until there is a definitive bearish break of market structure!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 Eyes Breakout as Powell Signals Rate CutThe S&P 500 is once again approaching record territory, with momentum accelerating after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a potential rate cut at Jackson Hole. Markets welcomed the dovish shift, boosting risk appetite and driving stocks higher.
Beyond Powell’s comments, several other factors are fueling the rally. Softer inflation readings have reinforced the case for easier policy, while labor market data shows a cooling trend without triggering recession fears. This “goldilocks” scenario continues to support equities.
Strong corporate earnings have also underpinned the move, particularly from the tech and consumer sectors, where margins remain resilient despite macro uncertainty. Capital inflows into equity ETFs highlight renewed investor confidence, while declining bond yields are making stocks relatively more attractive.
On the technical side, the S&P 500 is pushing toward the 6,500 level, its all-time high. A clean break above this barrier would confirm fresh upside momentum, potentially triggering further buying from trend-following funds.
While risks remain from geopolitics and trade tensions, the current mix of easing Fed expectations, solid earnings, and supportive technicals suggests the index could extend higher. A breakout above 6,500 may set the stage for another leg in the bull market.
8/20/25 SPX Trade Plan📊 Quantum's Trade Plan 📊
TVC:VIX - TVC:DXY - #10Y = Caution📈
⚪️ 6400 Pivot
🟢 If 6400 fails then short - 6390--6388--6375--6364
🔴If 6400 hold then long - 6409--6426--6440--6445
🔵 -Dex with sell walls at 6400 & 6450
🟠 Vanna neutral - 6405-6410 vanna flip
⚫️ Volume + Flow must support thesis
US500 – Has the Correction Started?1. What Happened Yesterday
Yesterday, US500 dropped around 1%, signaling that a meaningful correction could be starting. Unlike Nasdaq, which already broke under two key support levels, here the price is still above the trendline that began back at the end of May, when the index broke through the important 5800 resistance.
The rise since April has been huge and not fundamentally justified, making the index vulnerable to a reversal towards more sustainable levels.
________________________________________
2. Key Question
Has the correction really started, or will we first see another spike before the drop?
________________________________________
3. Why More Downside is Likely
• Trendline vulnerability: A break under 6380 could trigger acceleration to the downside.
• First bear target: 6100, the old ATH.
• Bigger picture: A move under 6000 remains likely, with 5800 as a longer-term destination.
• Risk/reward setup: Any spike higher should be seen as a selling opportunity. Around 6500 would be ideal to short.
________________________________________
4. Trading Plan
• Sell spikes, especially near 6500).
• Watch 6380 – break here could open the way towards 6100.
• Medium/long term bias: Bearish, with more room down than up.
________________________________________
5. Final Note 🚀
The market must confirm, but the strategy is clear: don’t chase the bounce, sell the strength and ride the correction.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Summer RALLY-2025: What’s Driving #SP500 and #NQ100 Higher?Dear readers, earlier on June 25, 2025, in our article “Unexpected Surges and Drops in the Indices” we noted the U.S. economy’s readiness for bullish sentiment.
On August 12, 2025 #SP500 climbed above 6,400, and #NQ100 hit a new high above 23,800 as U.S. inflation came in softer than expected, prompting the market to believe in an imminent Fed rate cut — money became “cheaper,” making stocks more attractive. Tech giants and all things AI — chips and cloud — are in high demand and lead the gains. Many companies have reported earnings above forecasts, and buybacks are underway, supporting prices. A weaker dollar is also boosting the revenues of multinational corporations. As a result, investors are buying more aggressively, pushing indices to new records.
5 Reasons Why #S&P500 and #NQ100 Could Hold Their Ground Until the End of 2025:
Dovish Fed. Rate cuts → cheaper money → higher valuations.
AI and data center boom. Growing demand for chips, cloud, and software lifts the tech sector.
Profits + buybacks. Companies beat forecasts and repurchase shares → EPS growth and price support.
Low yields and weaker dollar. Stocks look more attractive than bonds; exporters earn more easily.
Domestic investment in the U.S. Localized production and infrastructure fuel demand for tech and industry.
The foundation of #SP500 and #NQ100 growth is profit. The earnings season added confidence: market participants liked the “breadth” of earnings beats and the resilience of margins among major issuers — the third pillar of the current rally. According to FreshForex, soft inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut create a window of opportunity for long positions in #SP500 and #NQ100.
S&P 500 Ascending Triangle Breakout SetupThe S&P 500 index is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern, with strong support along the rising trendline. Price action suggests bullish momentum building towards a potential breakout above the resistance zone, targeting higher levels if confirmed
1. Previous Trend:
Strong bullish rally before the current consolidation phase, indicating momentum is on the buyers’ side.
2. Pattern Formation:
Horizontal resistance around 6,418–6,420 (marked by the grey line).
Rising support trendline connecting higher lows, showing buying pressure is increasing.
3. Volume (Not Shown Here):
If volume is decreasing inside the triangle and expected to spike on breakout, it supports a bullish case.
4. Breakout Expectation:
A confirmed close above 6,420 with strong volume could trigger a rally towards the next target zone of 6,470–6,500.
The arrow drawn on your chart aligns with this possible breakout scenario.
5. Invalidation Zone:
If price breaks below the rising trendline (~6,360), the bullish pattern would be invalidated, potentially pushing price back to 6,300–6,280.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Look For Valid Buy Setups!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 11 - 15h:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to close the week strong on a busy week of tariff updates and good earnings.
There is no reason to consider selling.
Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys. Look for IRL to ERL, and repeat.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500: Bearish For The Short Term! Sell It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 4-8th:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The S&P ended the week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year.
No reason to consider selling. Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys.
FOMC and NFP loom. Be careful to avoid new entries during news times.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 (ES1): Post FOMC, Buyers Pushing Back To The Highs!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for July 31 - Aug 1st.
S&P 500 (ES1!)
In the Weekly Forecast for the S&P 500, we highlighted:
- price is bullish, and expected to go higher. It did move to ATH before pulling back.
- the sell side liquidity under the ascending lows would draw price.... which it did.
- the Area of Fair Value below the lows, with the Demand Zone as the potential level where a
a high probability long could setup.... which was spot on!
Did you benefit from the forecast? Let me hear from you if you did, in the comment section.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 Intraday & Swing Entries H1 entry is close to getting activated for intraday.
If you want a swing trade then wait for H4 entry (you might be waiting a while obviously)
Reason for entries - We have broken out of Balance since July 25th and currently in a trend phase until we establish a new value area, or return to the one we broke out from.
So since Trend and Momentum is UP, then we should find Low Volume Areas to enter in the direction of the trend for a classic pullback entry trade.
S&P 500 (ES1): Buyers In Control Amid Tariff Deals & EarningsWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The S&P ended the week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year.
No reason to consider selling. Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys.
FOMC and NFP loom. Be careful to avoid new entries during news times.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPY (SP-500) - Rising WedgeYesterday we had a breakdown of the rising wedge on SPY. I draw out some important levels to look out for coming days/weeks. The trendline since april has also been broken. ICEUS:DXY is breaking out to which is increasing the risks for a "Risk off" scenario in tech stocks and crypto.
Nothing here should be interpreted as financial advise. Always do your own research and decisions.
S&P 500 (SPX) 1M next week?The S&P 500 is pulling back from a key resistance after completing a bearish AB=CD pattern on the monthly chart. Price action suggests a potential correction toward the 4662–4700 zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a key area for bullish reaccumulation. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence, hinting at a cooling rally.
Fundamentally, the index remains supported by strong earnings in tech and AI sectors, but risks persist from elevated interest rates, sticky inflation, and potential Fed policy shifts. A pullback into the 4662–4700 zone may offer a medium-term setup for continuation toward 5198 and potentially 5338. A breakdown below 4662 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus to lower Fibonacci levels.
**** Market Trading Strategy Idea SP500 ***Key Chart & Economic Insights:
- Current Market Position
- The S&P 500 is around $6000, showing positive momentum (+1.03%).
- Upward trend visible, indicating strong buying interest.
- Economic tailwinds support continued growth.
- Projected Price Movements
- 6800 USD: Key resistance level where selling pressure could emerge.
- Market pullback: A correction after 6800 may create a buyback opportunity.
- Recovery phase: Expected rebound toward 7000-7500 USD, another selling position.
- Economic Context: U.S. Manufacturing Boom & GDP Growth
- The United States is ramping up domestic production, boosting industrial output and reshoring manufacturing.
- This shift is fueling GDP growth, strengthening economic fundamentals and potentially sustaining bullish market momentum.
- Strong consumer spending & investment could drive stocks higher, aligning with the planned trade strategy.
Risk Management & Optimization:
- Entry & Exit Precision: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price action validates expected moves.
- Economic Indicators: Watch manufacturing & GDP data for trend validation.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions.






















