S&P 500: Bullish! Buy It!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 25 - 29th:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 ended the week with strong bullish momentum, closing above the previous 3 days. The structure is bullish on the HTFs, and there is not good reason to look for sells.
Buy the bullish price action.
No sells until there is a definitive bearish break of market structure!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Sp500analysis
S&P 500 Eyes Breakout as Powell Signals Rate CutThe S&P 500 is once again approaching record territory, with momentum accelerating after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a potential rate cut at Jackson Hole. Markets welcomed the dovish shift, boosting risk appetite and driving stocks higher.
Beyond Powell’s comments, several other factors are fueling the rally. Softer inflation readings have reinforced the case for easier policy, while labor market data shows a cooling trend without triggering recession fears. This “goldilocks” scenario continues to support equities.
Strong corporate earnings have also underpinned the move, particularly from the tech and consumer sectors, where margins remain resilient despite macro uncertainty. Capital inflows into equity ETFs highlight renewed investor confidence, while declining bond yields are making stocks relatively more attractive.
On the technical side, the S&P 500 is pushing toward the 6,500 level, its all-time high. A clean break above this barrier would confirm fresh upside momentum, potentially triggering further buying from trend-following funds.
While risks remain from geopolitics and trade tensions, the current mix of easing Fed expectations, solid earnings, and supportive technicals suggests the index could extend higher. A breakout above 6,500 may set the stage for another leg in the bull market.
8/20/25 SPX Trade Plan📊 Quantum's Trade Plan 📊
TVC:VIX - TVC:DXY - #10Y = Caution📈
⚪️ 6400 Pivot
🟢 If 6400 fails then short - 6390--6388--6375--6364
🔴If 6400 hold then long - 6409--6426--6440--6445
🔵 -Dex with sell walls at 6400 & 6450
🟠 Vanna neutral - 6405-6410 vanna flip
⚫️ Volume + Flow must support thesis
US500 – Has the Correction Started?1. What Happened Yesterday
Yesterday, US500 dropped around 1%, signaling that a meaningful correction could be starting. Unlike Nasdaq, which already broke under two key support levels, here the price is still above the trendline that began back at the end of May, when the index broke through the important 5800 resistance.
The rise since April has been huge and not fundamentally justified, making the index vulnerable to a reversal towards more sustainable levels.
________________________________________
2. Key Question
Has the correction really started, or will we first see another spike before the drop?
________________________________________
3. Why More Downside is Likely
• Trendline vulnerability: A break under 6380 could trigger acceleration to the downside.
• First bear target: 6100, the old ATH.
• Bigger picture: A move under 6000 remains likely, with 5800 as a longer-term destination.
• Risk/reward setup: Any spike higher should be seen as a selling opportunity. Around 6500 would be ideal to short.
________________________________________
4. Trading Plan
• Sell spikes, especially near 6500).
• Watch 6380 – break here could open the way towards 6100.
• Medium/long term bias: Bearish, with more room down than up.
________________________________________
5. Final Note 🚀
The market must confirm, but the strategy is clear: don’t chase the bounce, sell the strength and ride the correction.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Summer RALLY-2025: What’s Driving #SP500 and #NQ100 Higher?Dear readers, earlier on June 25, 2025, in our article “Unexpected Surges and Drops in the Indices” we noted the U.S. economy’s readiness for bullish sentiment.
On August 12, 2025 #SP500 climbed above 6,400, and #NQ100 hit a new high above 23,800 as U.S. inflation came in softer than expected, prompting the market to believe in an imminent Fed rate cut — money became “cheaper,” making stocks more attractive. Tech giants and all things AI — chips and cloud — are in high demand and lead the gains. Many companies have reported earnings above forecasts, and buybacks are underway, supporting prices. A weaker dollar is also boosting the revenues of multinational corporations. As a result, investors are buying more aggressively, pushing indices to new records.
5 Reasons Why #S&P500 and #NQ100 Could Hold Their Ground Until the End of 2025:
Dovish Fed. Rate cuts → cheaper money → higher valuations.
AI and data center boom. Growing demand for chips, cloud, and software lifts the tech sector.
Profits + buybacks. Companies beat forecasts and repurchase shares → EPS growth and price support.
Low yields and weaker dollar. Stocks look more attractive than bonds; exporters earn more easily.
Domestic investment in the U.S. Localized production and infrastructure fuel demand for tech and industry.
The foundation of #SP500 and #NQ100 growth is profit. The earnings season added confidence: market participants liked the “breadth” of earnings beats and the resilience of margins among major issuers — the third pillar of the current rally. According to FreshForex, soft inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut create a window of opportunity for long positions in #SP500 and #NQ100.
S&P 500 Ascending Triangle Breakout SetupThe S&P 500 index is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern, with strong support along the rising trendline. Price action suggests bullish momentum building towards a potential breakout above the resistance zone, targeting higher levels if confirmed
1. Previous Trend:
Strong bullish rally before the current consolidation phase, indicating momentum is on the buyers’ side.
2. Pattern Formation:
Horizontal resistance around 6,418–6,420 (marked by the grey line).
Rising support trendline connecting higher lows, showing buying pressure is increasing.
3. Volume (Not Shown Here):
If volume is decreasing inside the triangle and expected to spike on breakout, it supports a bullish case.
4. Breakout Expectation:
A confirmed close above 6,420 with strong volume could trigger a rally towards the next target zone of 6,470–6,500.
The arrow drawn on your chart aligns with this possible breakout scenario.
5. Invalidation Zone:
If price breaks below the rising trendline (~6,360), the bullish pattern would be invalidated, potentially pushing price back to 6,300–6,280.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Look For Valid Buy Setups!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 11 - 15h:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to close the week strong on a busy week of tariff updates and good earnings.
There is no reason to consider selling.
Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys. Look for IRL to ERL, and repeat.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500: Bearish For The Short Term! Sell It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for the week of Aug 4-8th:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The S&P ended the week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year.
No reason to consider selling. Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys.
FOMC and NFP loom. Be careful to avoid new entries during news times.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 (ES1): Post FOMC, Buyers Pushing Back To The Highs!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for July 31 - Aug 1st.
S&P 500 (ES1!)
In the Weekly Forecast for the S&P 500, we highlighted:
- price is bullish, and expected to go higher. It did move to ATH before pulling back.
- the sell side liquidity under the ascending lows would draw price.... which it did.
- the Area of Fair Value below the lows, with the Demand Zone as the potential level where a
a high probability long could setup.... which was spot on!
Did you benefit from the forecast? Let me hear from you if you did, in the comment section.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 Intraday & Swing Entries H1 entry is close to getting activated for intraday.
If you want a swing trade then wait for H4 entry (you might be waiting a while obviously)
Reason for entries - We have broken out of Balance since July 25th and currently in a trend phase until we establish a new value area, or return to the one we broke out from.
So since Trend and Momentum is UP, then we should find Low Volume Areas to enter in the direction of the trend for a classic pullback entry trade.
S&P 500 (ES1): Buyers In Control Amid Tariff Deals & EarningsWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P 500 rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The S&P ended the week with its fifth straight record close, its longest such streak in over a year.
No reason to consider selling. Wait for pullbacks to FVGs for high probability buys.
FOMC and NFP loom. Be careful to avoid new entries during news times.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPY (SP-500) - Rising WedgeYesterday we had a breakdown of the rising wedge on SPY. I draw out some important levels to look out for coming days/weeks. The trendline since april has also been broken. ICEUS:DXY is breaking out to which is increasing the risks for a "Risk off" scenario in tech stocks and crypto.
Nothing here should be interpreted as financial advise. Always do your own research and decisions.
S&P 500 (SPX) 1M next week?The S&P 500 is pulling back from a key resistance after completing a bearish AB=CD pattern on the monthly chart. Price action suggests a potential correction toward the 4662–4700 zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a key area for bullish reaccumulation. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence, hinting at a cooling rally.
Fundamentally, the index remains supported by strong earnings in tech and AI sectors, but risks persist from elevated interest rates, sticky inflation, and potential Fed policy shifts. A pullback into the 4662–4700 zone may offer a medium-term setup for continuation toward 5198 and potentially 5338. A breakdown below 4662 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus to lower Fibonacci levels.
**** Market Trading Strategy Idea SP500 ***Key Chart & Economic Insights:
- Current Market Position
- The S&P 500 is around $6000, showing positive momentum (+1.03%).
- Upward trend visible, indicating strong buying interest.
- Economic tailwinds support continued growth.
- Projected Price Movements
- 6800 USD: Key resistance level where selling pressure could emerge.
- Market pullback: A correction after 6800 may create a buyback opportunity.
- Recovery phase: Expected rebound toward 7000-7500 USD, another selling position.
- Economic Context: U.S. Manufacturing Boom & GDP Growth
- The United States is ramping up domestic production, boosting industrial output and reshoring manufacturing.
- This shift is fueling GDP growth, strengthening economic fundamentals and potentially sustaining bullish market momentum.
- Strong consumer spending & investment could drive stocks higher, aligning with the planned trade strategy.
Risk Management & Optimization:
- Entry & Exit Precision: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price action validates expected moves.
- Economic Indicators: Watch manufacturing & GDP data for trend validation.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions.
SP500 BEARISH TRADE IDEA Key Observations:
Imbalance Zone Identified (Supply-Demand Gap):
The pink zone is marked as an imbalance — an area where price moved too quickly upward, leaving little trading volume in between.
These imbalances often act like magnets, drawing price back to "fill" them.
Recent Price Action:
Price recently formed a peak and has since started pulling back.
The latest candlesticks show bearish momentum (a series of red Heikin Ashi candles with increasing size).
Projected Price Movement:
A blue arrow projects a further decline into the imbalance zone, suggesting price may retest this level for liquidity or to complete a retracement.
Target Area:
The imbalance zone lies approximately between 5,680 and 5,736, with a midpoint around 5,710.
This is a logical target for a pullback before potentially resuming upward.
📉 Bearish Bias Justification:
Market Structure: A new lower high is forming, possibly signaling a short-term reversal or correction.
Heikin Ashi Candles: Smooth and elongated bearish candles indicate strength in the down move.
Volume Imbalance Theory: Price may need to fill this inefficiency before finding new direction.
✅ Possible Trading Implications:
Short Setup: Traders might look for short positions with targets inside the imbalance zone.
Buy Opportunity: Once the imbalance is filled, if bullish price action confirms, it could become a strong buy zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
Look for confirmation (e.g., candlestick reversal or support forming) in the imbalance area before assuming reversal.
News/events (such as the economic calendar icons below) might impact price direction sharply.
S&P 500 | Blue Box as Margin of SafetyWhen the index returns to the blue box, it reaches a zone forged by genuine buying interest and technical alignment. In a disciplined, data‑driven approach, this area serves as our first line of defense.
Why It Matters
• Past reactions show price pauses and reversals here, revealing real demand.
• It coincides with key footprint volume clusters where buyers have stepped in.
Entry Criteria
Higher‑Time‑Frame Stability
Confirm price holds within or above the blue box before considering a position.
Lower‑Time‑Frame Confirmation
Wait for clear breakouts or higher‑lows on short‑term charts backed by rising footprint volume.
Strict Risk Control
If price breaks through without retest or volume support, stand aside and seek a clearer setup.
By treating the blue box as our margin of safety and relying on actual volume footprint data, we trade with prudence and let the market’s real signals guide our decisions.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
SPY Breakout Watch: Triangle Pressure Builds Above 590SPY has surged in a strong V-shaped recovery from the March low of ~480 to testing major resistance around 595–600. The daily chart shows sustained higher highs and higher lows, but price now stalls at a key supply zone with multiple doji candles—signaling indecision. A rising trendline provides strong support near 570.
Zooming into the 60-minute chart, SPY forms an ascending triangle with flat resistance at 590 and rising support from 584. Volume contraction suggests accumulation, priming a potential breakout. A 60-min close above 590 targets 596, with a stop under 588.
On the 15-minute timeframe, bull-flags form frequently after morning gaps, with breakouts typically launching 4–5 points higher. VWAP and the 20-MA converge near 588.5, making it an ideal pullback entry zone.
Strategy for May 19–23:
Long on a clean breakout above 590 (target: 594–596)
Stop under 587.5–588
Caution if daily closes below 570
Expect early-week upside tests of 590–594, followed by a potential breakout toward 595–600. If a high-volume rejection occurs near that zone, a quick scalp-short may be in play.
US500 bearish 12 May - 16 May 2025S&P 500 Bearish Outlook: Targeting $5,100 Amid Rising Uncertainty
As of May 12, 2025, the S&P 500 (US500) stands at 5,661, reflecting a robust recovery from its April lows. However, I anticipate a bearish shift, projecting a decline towards the $5,100 level in the near term. Several converging factors underpin this outlook:
1. Anticipated Weakness in Core CPI Data
The upcoming release of the April Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) on May 13 is poised to be a pivotal event. While the year-over-year Core CPI is forecasted at 2.8%, matching the previous month's figure, the month-over-month increase is expected to rise to 0.3%, up from 0.1% in March. This acceleration suggests persistent inflationary pressures, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain or even tighten monetary policy, thereby exerting downward pressure on equities.
2. Deteriorating Market Sentiment and Forecasts
A notable shift in market sentiment is evident, with key indicators turning bearish. A prominent S&P 500 model has signaled its first bearish outlook since February 2022, reflecting growing investor apprehension. Additionally, leading financial institutions have revised their S&P 500 targets downward:
Goldman Sachs: Reduced from 6,500 to 5,700
RBC Capital Markets: Lowered from 6,600 to 5,500
Oppenheimer: Cut from 7,100 to 5,950
Yardeni Research: Adjusted from 7,000 to 6,000
These revisions underscore the mounting concerns over economic headwinds and market volatility.
3. Sectoral Divergence: Opportunities Amidst the Downturn
While the broader market faces challenges, certain sectors may exhibit resilience or even bullish tendencies:
Healthcare: Continues to serve as a defensive sector, with companies demonstrating solid quarterly results and reaffirming full-year guidance despite tariff impacts.
Energy Infrastructure: Firms like Enbridge and TC Energy benefit from long-term structural tailwinds, including rising energy demand and global energy security priorities.
Financials and Technology: Sectors represented by ETFs such as XLK and XLF are highlighted for their strong fundamentals and growth prospects.
Conversely, consumer discretionary sectors are showing signs of strain, with negative revenue surprises and companies like Harley-Davidson withdrawing their 2025 outlooks amid tariff uncertainties.
4. Implications of the US-UK Trade Deal
Recent developments in the US-UK trade agreement further contribute to market uncertainty. While the deal includes exemptions for certain British goods, such as aerospace components and a quota of 100,000 UK-made cars annually, it also maintains a baseline 10% tariff on foreign goods. This policy introduces complexity and potential cost pressures for multinational companies operating across borders.
Moreover, the agreement has faced criticism for being one-sided, with concerns that it may not adequately protect domestic industries or address broader trade imbalances. Such apprehensions can dampen investor confidence and contribute to market volatility.
The convergence of persistent inflation, cautious monetary policy, revised market forecasts, and the complexities introduced by recent trade agreements suggest a bearish trajectory for the S&P 500, with a potential decline towards $5,100. Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring sector-specific developments and macroeconomic indicators to navigate the evolving market landscape.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasPrevious forecast result:
As you can see in the 4CastMachine forecast on 12/03/2025, the price, after rejecting the sell zone, began its sharp decline and touched all TPs.
Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 6149.57, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 4804.01 breaks.
If the resistance at 6149.57 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid. CSEMA:S&P
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 4807.10 on 04/07/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 5698.65, 5791.00, 5896.50 and maximum to Major Resistance (6149.57) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 55.
Take Profits:
5509.32
5363.90
5261.00
5122.47
4944.41
4804.01
__________________________________________________________________
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
#ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Market Bullish Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (5440) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 5730
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we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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