STX/USDT – Bearish Trend Under Pressure: Breakout or Rejection?STX/USDT on the 3D timeframe remains in a medium–to–long-term bearish structure. Price continues to move consistently below the primary descending trendline, which has capped every bullish attempt since the previous peak. Although a rebound has occurred from the recent low, the current move is still classified as a pullback within a downtrend, not a confirmed trend reversal.
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Pattern & Price Structure
1. Descending Trendline (Primary Bearish Structure)
The descending trendline is formed by a clean series of lower highs.
Every rally has been rejected at the trendline, confirming that seller control remains dominant.
As long as price fails to break and close decisively above the trendline, the overall bias remains bearish.
2. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price continues to print lower highs and lower lows, maintaining the bearish market structure.
The latest rebound appears to be a dead cat bounce / relief rally after an extended decline.
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Key Levels
Resistance Zones
0.4550 USDT → key resistance & recent reaction zone (aligned with the trendline).
0.6100 USDT → major resistance, valid only if a confirmed trendline breakout occurs.
0.8750 – 0.9850 USDT → strong supply zone and previous distribution area.
Support Zones
0.3790 USDT → current minor support.
0.2900 USDT → intermediate support.
0.1995 USDT → major low / critical support (cycle low).
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Bullish Scenario
A bullish scenario is technically valid ONLY if the following conditions are met:
1. Price breaks and closes strongly above the descending trendline.
2. A Daily/3D close above 0.4550 USDT with increasing volume.
3. Successful retest of the trendline as new support.
📈 Bullish Targets (Step-by-Step):
0.6100 USDT
0.8750 USDT
0.9850 USDT
Without a confirmed trendline breakout, any upside move should be considered a temporary pullback.
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Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario remains the dominant bias as long as:
Price gets rejected at the 0.4550 USDT / trendline area.
Bearish rejection candles or continuation patterns appear.
📉 Bearish Targets:
0.3790 USDT (initial support)
0.2900 USDT
0.1995 USDT (major low & potential breakdown zone)
A breakdown below 0.1995 could trigger a new bearish expansion phase.
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Conclusion
Primary trend: BEARISH
Market structure has not yet confirmed a valid reversal.
The current rebound remains a counter-trend move.
Bullish confirmation only occurs after a trendline breakout + key resistance reclaim.
Strong risk management is essential due to high volatility near cycle lows.
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