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Gold Market Update, Smart Money Levels & Macro Insight (29 Oct)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS – What’s Moving the Market Today? Trade with DECRYPTERS | Let Levels Guide Your Moves 🚀 Market Pulse
Gold remains steady near $4,015, consolidating as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY ~99.25) limits upside momentum amid renewed optimism over trade talks.
The Federal Reserve’s 25bps rate cut, combined with Powell’s cautious tone on future pauses, lifted yields temporarily, pressuring short-term gold sentiment. Meanwhile, central banks continue strong accumulation, adding roughly 710 tonnes per quarter, led by China (11th consecutive month of buying).
These consistent inflows act as a price floor, keeping gold resilient even during intraday volatility. 🌍 Geopolitics & Safe-Haven Demand
Rising geopolitical risks and tariff concerns have revived gold’s safe-haven appeal.
During uncertainty, gold’s negative correlation to risk assets strengthens, when fear rises, gold shines.
Investors maintain exposure through ETFs and physical holdings, expecting volatility to persist ahead of key macro data. 📊 What to Watch Next * Nov 1: U.S. Jobs Report (~150K expected)
→ A weaker print may revive rate-cut expectations. * Nov 13: U.S. CPI Report
→ If core inflation holds near 3.0%, the Fed may pause rate cuts. * Any flare-up in Middle East tensions or trade issues could trigger sharp rallies from key support zones. 💹 Technical Framework (Smart Money Map)
📈 Current Price: ~$4,015/oz (+0.06%)
📊 Volatility Range: $3,980 – $4,050 * 🟥 Smart Money Sell Area: $4,072 – $4,088
→ Heavy institutional orders, short-term reversal zone. * 🟧 Scalp Sell Area: $4,048.5 – $4,058
→ Ideal intraday reaction zone. * 🟨 Scalp Buy Area: $3,955 – $3,964
→ Expect quick liquidity sweeps and bounces. * 🟩 Smart Money Buy Orders: $3,921 – $3,937
→ Deep liquidity zone, institutional accumulation likely. 🧠 Conclusion – Mild Bullish Bias Within Consolidation
Gold is holding steady between central bank demand and Fed caution.
Bias remains mildly bullish within consolidation — supported by institutional inflows and geopolitical uncertainty. 📌 Above $4,000 → opens room to $4,200.
📌 Below $3,950 → exposes $3,921–$3,937 buy zone. Stay patient. Let levels confirm direction — trade reaction, not prediction.
FX:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Short-Term Uptrend, Target $4,108🔍 Market Context Gold continues to uphold a short-term bullish structure after forming a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) around the 3,926 USD area. Buyers are in control as prices consistently create higher lows and react positively at the Order Block + Support Trendline zone. As long as prices remain above the 3,940–3,926 USD range, the bullish structure is preserved. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block Bullish: 3,926 USD → main support zone, confluence with rising trendline. • Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3,942 – 3,972 USD → potential liquidity absorption zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,032 USD → short-term barrier, needs to break to confirm continued upward momentum. • Liquidity Zone: 4,108 USD → extended target if the above resistance is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize catching the retracement from the support zone • Entry: 3,942 – 3,926 USD • Stop Loss: 3,910 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,972  – TP2: 4,032  – TP3: 4,064  – TP4: 4,108 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Prioritize entries at the confluence of OB + FVG to follow Smart Money flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Short-term at resistance zone • Entry: 4,032 – 4,048 USD • Stop Loss: 4,060 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,010  – TP2: 3,972  – TP3: 3,942 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – Only activate if a clear price rejection signal appears at resistance. 💬 Summary The current structure remains bullish short-term with the 3,926 USD area as the key invalidation zone . As long as prices stay above the trendline, the immediate target is the 4,108 USD liquidity zone. Optimal strategy: Buy on dip – Sell on reaction. 💡 Today's Tagline: “Smart Money buys fear, sells greed — follow the footprints, not the noise.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 31/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
A Lesson in Patience and structure - ORB waited till 2pm todayFellow traders, Today tested patience more than precision. The morning was a maze — choppy price action, overlapping candles, and zero conviction. The ORB range between 9:30–9:45 never gave clean confirmation. Buyers held the low, sellers pressed the top, but neither could gain control. Every candle said, “not yet.” Then came midday compression. From 11 AM to 1:30 PM, QQQ coiled tightly under the EMAs and VWAP. That silence wasn’t random — it was the market loading energy. The moment VWAP was lost for good, the floodgates opened. Finally, around 2 PM, the breakdown came: a clean retest rejection of the ORB box and an accelerated drop through 629. The move I had been watching all day finally unfolded — only this time, discipline said don’t chase. And that’s the point of today’s session. Not every move is yours to catch. Sometimes your biggest win is not forcing a trade that forms too late or breaks your system’s timing window. Patience is part of the strategy. The setup played out exactly as it should — I just didn’t have to be in it to learn from it. Stay disciplined. Stay sharp. — Trades with B ⚡
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by TradeswithB
echnical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025 Market Structure The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend. Key Levels Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940 → Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest. Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020 → Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum. Target Level: 4,142 → As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation. Price Action After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level. Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push. Momentum Outlook If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target). However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum. 📈 Trading Bias Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142). Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:PH6X2025 EURONEXT:PH8Z2025 EURONEXT:ZT8F2026 EURONEXT:ER8Z2025 EURONEXT:UY8F2026 EURONEXT:VC8F2026 EURONEXT:ZF8F2026 EURONEXT:ZU8F2026 EURONEXT:VJ8F2026 EURONEXT:AH7X2025
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
StevenTrading – XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias StrategyStevenTrading – XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias Strategy | Anticipating Wave 5 and Trendline Retest at $3935 Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed analysis on Gold (XAUUSD). Gold is currently consolidating above the $3,950 level, awaiting fresh momentum from the upcoming FOMC interest rate decision. Structurally, the metal appears to be following the Elliott Wave 5-leg formation at this stage. The mid-term bias remains bullish, with a focus on entering around the trendline retest zone. 📰 1. MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The Gold market remains largely driven by anticipation: Current Status: Gold is trading sideways above $3,950 as traders await clearer guidance on the Fed’s path towards potential rate cuts. Psychological Barrier: A decisive break above the $4,000 psychological threshold is required to confirm a sustainable bullish continuation. This outcome will depend entirely on the tone and decision from the FOMC meeting. 📊 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – ELLIOTT WAVE SCENARIO Based on the H1 timeframe (see chart reference image_fa2a75.png): Wave Structure: Gold appears to be consolidating after completing Waves 3 and 4. The next move could see the formation of Wave 5, potentially completing the current cycle or confirming a new uptrend. Ideal Buy Zone (High-Probability Area): The $3,935–3,937 range represents a key confluence area. It aligns with the trendline retest zone and provides solid structural support for initiating long positions. Short-Term Sell Zone: The nearest resistance lies at $4,058–4,060, where short-term scalping or hedge positions could be considered. 🎯 3. TRADING PLAN (ACTION STRATEGY) The primary focus remains on the Buy Continuation setup, aligned with the medium-term bullish correction. 🟢 Primary BUY Scenario Entry Zone: $3,935 – $3,937 Stop Loss: $3,929 (tight SL recommended) Take Profit: TP1: $3,955 | TP2: $3,978 | TP3: $3,995 | TP4: $4,022 | TP5: $4,055 🔴 SELL Scalping / Hedge Scenario Entry Zone: $4,058 – $4,060 Stop Loss: $4,066 Take Profit: TP1: $4,045 | TP2: $4,022 | TP3: $4,005 | TP4: $3,968 🧠 4. SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven’s Note) Gold stands at a critical juncture ahead of the FOMC announcement. The buy-side scenario remains dominant, but maintaining discipline and risk control is essential.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMCLiamTrading - XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC - Prioritise Buying the Retracement at $3914 Hello trading community, Following a significant sell-off, Gold is showing signs of a slight uplift, forming an upward structure. We continue to prioritise buying the recovery, viewing this as an intermediate correction within the larger downtrend. High volatility is imminent as the FOMC decision approaches. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL FLOW The market is displaying clear hesitation before the FED announcement: Technical Recovery 🟢: Gold reversed its decline during Asian trading, recovering slightly from a three-week low as traders anticipate the FOMC interest rate decision. Headwinds 🔴: Despite the recovery, optimism over US-China trade and a slight lift in the USD are acting as a barrier, limiting further buying momentum. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & ACTION PLAN Based on the current market structure, the strategy involves trading high-probability liquidity zones: 🟢 Primary BUY Recovery Scenario (BUY Primary) We are looking for price to test the crucial Buy zone Liquidity to initiate the recovery wave. Entry Zone (BUY): $3914 Stop Loss (SL): $3906 (Tight SL required) Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3933 | TP2: $3956 🔴 SELL Continuation Scenario (SELL Retest/Scalping) Using the broken trend area for short-term selling opportunities: Entry Zone (SELL): $4048 Stop Loss (SL): $4056 Take Profit (TP): TP1: $4035 | TP2: $4022 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Gold is in a decision zone. This is the time to apply a disciplined strategy: only enter at identified liquidity areas, and Always adhere to your Stop Loss (SL). Capital management is the number one priority before the FOMC event. Wishing all traders a successful and disciplined trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 15-Minute Chart AnalysisCurrent Price: 4006.53 Trend: Short-term bearish 🔍 Chart Breakdown The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating a continuation of the bearish momentum. There is a key resistance zone around 4035–4060, highlighted in the shaded area. This zone aligns with previous structure and upper trendline resistance. The market is currently making a minor pullback toward this resistance area after touching the lower boundary of the descending channel. 📉 Expected Move The purple projection suggests a pullback to the resistance zone, followed by a strong rejection downward. The target level is set around 3920.72, which corresponds to a previous swing low and a possible completion of the bearish wave. ⚙️ Trading Outlook Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Take Profit Confirmation Sell 4035–4060 4075 3920 Rejection candle or bearish engulfing at resistance 📊 Summary Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, and the best opportunity is to wait for price to test resistance (4035–4060) before considering short positions targeting 3920. A breakout above 4075 would invalidate this bearish setup and could signal a potential trend reversal. LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:SN1! LME:LH1! LME:SC1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:ZS1! LME:PB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:ST1! LME:AN1! LME:AW1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Steven Trading - XAUUSD: Sticking to the Descending ChannelSteven Trading - XAUUSD: Sticking to the Descending Channel, Clear SELL/BUY Opportunities Ahead of the FED 🎯 Hello everyone, Steven Trading is back with a detailed Gold (XAU/USD) strategy for the start of the week! Currently, Gold is trading steadily within a clearly established descending channel on smaller time frames. Our task is to stick to the channel to look for Sell signals at resistance zones and Buy signals reacting at key support zones. 1. 📊 IN-DEPTH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Steven's TA) Based on M30/H1 analysis (refer to images): Main Trend: Gold is in a descending channel, closely following sell signals. Lower Highs and Lower Lows are continuously forming. Important SELL Zone: The 38.2% Fibo level at $3973 is acting as a critical resistance. This is a technical confluence area to closely monitor for trend-following Sell orders. Ideal BUY Zone: A strong and potential support area to catch reaction waves is around $3890 - 3900. This area is at the bottom of the descending channel, expected to create a bounce reaction. 2. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & CAPITAL FLOW (Context) The market is in a tug-of-war ahead of the crucial Fed meeting: Short-term Support 🟢: Gold prices have paused in a two-day downtrend as safe-haven demand returns ahead of the Fed meeting. The US dollar (USD) hit a weekly low due to dovish Fed expectations, reducing concerns over US-China trade, which supports Gold prices. Long-term Support: The Bank of Korea (BOK) has planned to purchase gold – the first addition since 2013, providing long-term psychological support. Focus: All attention is on the Fed meeting, determining the medium-term trend of USD and XAU/USD. Gold is seeking to reclaim the 21-day SMA at $4061. 3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) We prioritize trading within the channel range: 🔴 SELL Scenario (Sticking to the Channel) Entry Zone: $3973 - 3975 (Important 38.2% Fibo Zone) Stop Loss (SL): $3979 (Set tight SL) Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3930 | TP3: $3910 | TP4: $3888 🟢 Reactive BUY Scenario (Channel Bottom) Entry Zone: $3895 - 3897 Stop Loss (SL): $3890 Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3922 | TP2: $3944 | TP3: $3975 | TP4: $3998 4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note) Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the predetermined small risk. Psychology: XAU/USD is testing the important 38.2% Fibo support level as the Fed meeting approaches. Volatility will be high, be patient for the right price zone. Risk Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account. Do you agree with this strategy? Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss upcoming insights from Steven!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
EURCHF Reversal zone and swing-trading potentialEURCHF is holding near strong support around 0.9215–0.9240, forming a repeating cyclical bottom pattern. The CCI indicator shows another oversold signal, confirming potential for an upward reversal. First upside target: 0.9445, then 0.9620 and 0.9850 if momentum continues. A breakout of the descending trendline on the daily chart would confirm mid-term bullish sentiment. The Swiss franc remains a safe-haven currency, but with easing inflation and neutral expectations from SNB, euro pressure is softening. Improving Eurozone data adds moderate support to EUR, suggesting possible correction higher. Long setups can be considered from 0.9240–0.9260 with targets 0.9445 / 0.9620 / 0.9850. Support 0.9210. Best suited for swing-trading strategies over several weeks.
Long
by InvestWorld_777
1
XAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance ZoneXAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance Zone 🎯 Welcome back, everyone, Steven Trading here with the new week's Gold analysis! The market is clearly showing selling pressure after a strong rejection from the peak. Technical analysis on the H4 frame confirms the downtrend remains dominant. We will focus on seeking SELL opportunities when the price recovers to the strong supply zone. 1. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4 Technical Analysis) Main Trend (Bearish Structure): The Bearish structure on H4 has been clearly established. Volume Signal: The Volume Profile indicates accumulation by the Sellers at high price zones, reinforcing the search for SELL opportunities. Ideal SELL Zone (High-Prob Zone): Gold tends to retest the important Resistance zone around $4235 - 4237. This is an extremely important technical convergence point: FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price imbalance zone acts as a magnet. Fibonacci 0.382: Provides high-quality SELL signals. 2. 📰 Macro Context (Context) The Gold market is being influenced by two streams of information: Short-Term Downward Pressure 📉: Optimism about US-China trade and the market's focus on the upcoming FOMC meeting have strengthened the USD, creating downward pressure on Gold. The psychological mark of $4200 is key. Long-Term Support 📈: Global Central Banks are still buying Gold in record volumes, creating a solid price foundation, preventing prices from falling too deeply in the long term. 3. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan (Action Plan) The current range is quite narrow. We prioritize trading according to the downtrend. 🔴 Main SELL Scenario (Trend-following priority) We wait for the price to recover to the supply zone to execute a Sell order. Entry Zone: $4235 - 4237 Stop Loss (SL): $4243 (Set a tight SL to manage risk) Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4212 TP2: $4200 TP3: $4177 TP4: $4145 🟢 Counter BUY Scenario (Higher risk - Defensive) This scenario is triggered if the price drops deeply into the strong Liquidity zone. Entry Zone: $3955 - 3958 Stop Loss: $3950 Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3975 TP2: $3998 TP3: $4025 TP4: $4060 4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note) Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the small predetermined risk. Capital Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account per order. Psychology: No FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or trying to "revenge" the market. Waiting is a trading skill. Do you agree with this Gold strategy? Please Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next analyses!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
2
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Preparing for an Upward Wave?🔍 Market Context After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above . However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has shown clear signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal upward trendline, indicating that buying momentum is returning. The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term recovery wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone. Buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline. 💎 Key Technical Structure Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying previously appeared. Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → short-term trend remains bullish. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”. Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum. Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking area or reversal consideration point. Current structure: → Short-term: bullish corrective move. → Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if holding above 4,040 USD. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD Entry: 4,060 – 4,070 SL: 4,035 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,185 TP3: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Price hits the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing trendline structure + liquidity zone support, often where large buyers re-enter the market. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,185 TP2: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to break the 4,149 resistance zone with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD. 3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD Entry: 4,240 – 4,245 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,185 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal. ➡️ Short-term technical sell – leveraging the supply zone reaction, not holding the position long. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritize trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend. If H2 closes below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalidated, wait for a new structure. Do not FOMO buy in the mid-range (4,090–4,130). Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when price surpasses 4,149. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a gradually ascending accumulation phase after a strong decline. As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, gold is likely to rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD . If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market could trigger a stronger rally towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation. Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher. 🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.” ⏰ Timeframe: 2H 📅 Update: 27/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD 1D: Short Setup – Retracement to FVG Before DropKey Observations: Market Structure Shift (MSS): A recent large bearish candle (the red candle around October 20th) appears to have broken below a significant short-term low, which is often termed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) in institutional trading concepts. This indicates a potential change from bullish to bearish momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG): An unfilled price area (marked by the gray shaded box) has been identified as a FVG. This zone often acts as a magnet where price is expected to return to "fill" the inefficiency before continuing its main direction. Liquidity/Return Levels (CRT-L and CRT-H):The Current Range Top CRT-L marks the top of the price inefficiency or the potential area where price could reverse after filling the FVG. The Current Range Low CRT-H marks the level where price has recently closed.Projected Move: The analysis suggests a short-term relief rally or retracement (dotted line) to move higher into the FVG area 4160$ to 4210$. Once the price moves into or near the FVG and potentially the CRT-L, the expectation is a strong bearish rejection (large green arrow) that would push the price back down, possibly towards or below the recent low CRT-H. Conclusion:The dominant short-term bias is bearish, but a temporary bullish retracement is anticipated to fill the Fair Value Gap before the bearish continuation.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context After a prolonged decline from the ATH GOLD 4,381 USD peak, gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD area, where selling pressure was fully absorbed by strong buying forces from the demand zone below. The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the emergence of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum. This indicates a high probability that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the upper FVG resistance zone, or even extend back to the ATH area if buying pressure continues. 💎 Key Technical Structure Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom area, increased volume, confirming sell order absorption. Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → recovery initiation zone; if price retests this area and holds firm → confirmation signal for the upward phase. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave. • FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence with medium-term resistance. OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if price breaks through → confirms a new upward trend. Current market structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone). → Medium-term: waiting for a break of 4,234 to shift to a complete bullish structure. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,081 USD Entry: 4,081 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,196 TP2: 4,234 TP3: 4,370 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 area, showing a confirmation signal for an increase (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15. ➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to OB + ChoCH confluence + strong demand zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD Entry: 4,196 – 4,200 SL: 4,180 TP: 4,234 → 4,370 ✅ Condition: Price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing below 4,180. ➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the flow as price confirms a break of short-term resistance. 📉 Alternate Scenario – SELL Reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 4,234 – 4,240 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,196 → 4,100 ✅ Condition: If price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment may occur. ➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if no continuation confirmation at FVG2. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritize BUY following the main recovery trend, only SELL with clear reaction. Avoid FOMO buying in the middle range (4,130–4,180). If price closes H1 below 4,060 → invalidates recovery trend, pause all buy orders. 💬 Conclusion Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal . Two key areas to watch: 4,081 USD (OB Zone): first bounce support area. 4,234 USD (FVG Zone): area confirming new upward structure. If price holds OB and breaks through FVG, high chance gold will resume upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) area. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. Sell reaction 4,234 USD only with clear reversal signal. 🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 23/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview: Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200. This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in. The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 Target: 4,384 Stop-Loss: Below 4,160 Rationale: The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand. Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest. Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward. 🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative): If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated. In that case, exp TFEX:KKP1! TFEX:DELTA1! TFEX:JPY1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:GF101! TFEX:SVF1! TFEX:GO1! ect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100. ⚙️ Summary Table: Parameter Value Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200 Target 4,384 Stop-Loss Below 4,160 Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3 📊 Conclusion: Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction. TFEX:KEX1! TFEX:ICT1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal Setup from Buy Zone within DescendingLME:CA1! LME:NI1! LME:MC1! LME:SN1! LME:LH1! LME:SC1! LME:CO1! LME:ZS1! LME:HC1! LME:MA1! LME:MZ1! LME:EA1! Market Structure Overview The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE). A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area. Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone. 📉 Short-Term Trend The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel. However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone. 🟢 Bullish Scenario If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line. A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting: Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart). 🔴 Bearish Scenario If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup. Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower. 📊 Trade Plan Example Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385 Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4 ⚙️ Summary Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel. A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
GOLD|When the market loses balance, dominance leaves a footprint🔍 Market Context After establishing a short-term peak in the 4,385 – 4,372 USD range, gold has entered a phase of strong technical correction , with consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure. The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption force, indicating the possibility that buyers might return at discounted price levels. 💎 Technical Analysis Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish . FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → an unfilled price balance area during the decline, potentially a place for price to retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support area where new buying liquidity appears. Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return. Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the final defense zone for the main upward trend. Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance area, likely to react if the price retraces. The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, lacking sufficient signals to reverse the trend. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD Entry: 4,222 – 4,203 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372 ✅ Condition: Strong rejection candles (rejection / engulfing bullish) appear at the support zone or small reversal BoS. ➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD Entry: 4,260 – 4,285 SL: 4,300 TP: 4,222 → 4,203 ✅ Condition: Strong bearish candles or rejection signals appear at the FVG zone. ➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance area. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone. If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone. Maintain moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity is still noisy. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline . The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues. If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD range. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed. Sell technically at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if clear rejection appears. 🔥 “When the market loses balance, the strongest side will leave a trace – and this time the trace lies around the 4,220 USD zone.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
The 3 KEYS to Trading SUCCESSToday we will discuss about the 3 Keys I believe are required for succeeding in trading. When you enter into the trading field, you quickly understand that it’s not just about charts and setups — it’s about mastering yourself mentally. There are 3 keys that separate those who last from those who don’t in Trading: ( 1 ) Psychology ( 2 ) Risk Management ( 3 ) Consistency Every single one is equally important, but how you balance them determines your long-term outcome when trading. 1 ) Psychology — Master Your Mind Before You Master the Market Trading, the mental game disguised as a financial one displaying 1s and 0s winners and losers. The market, the charts, the currency, they do not care who you are, what you think, or how badly you want to win. It simply exposes your strengths and weaknesses in the world of psychology . Most traders lose, this is not because they lack knowledge, but because they cannot control their emotions, feelings — fear of losing, fear of missing out, greed after a win, hesitation after a loss, anxiety, frustration, impatience. Every emotional outburst leads to poor decision-making: closing early, revenge trading, over-leveraging, or ignoring your plan, right after you told yourself you were going to lock in and turn $100 into $1000000. To master psychology: ( 1 ) Detach from the outcomes/end-result. Focus on executing well, not whether a trade wins or loses. Follow your plan. ( 2 ) Think of probability. Every setup, every trade must have an edge — not a guarantee. ( 3 ) Accept losses as part of the process. Losses are tuition fees in this business. Every loss is a win, because there is a lesson to be learned. ( 4 ) Stay grounded. Journaling, mindfulness, and post-trade reflection go a long way. Keep track of trades and review them during down time. When your mindset stabilizes, when your thoughts are calm, your trading skills become consistent. The charts don’t change — you do. In terms of training your mindset, see my previous post below which explains the difference between a Trader and Gambler. This is an excellent article for those who want to BECOME a trader. 2. Risk Management — Protect Before You Profit If psychology keeps your calm, risk management keeps you alive. This is the part most traders skip — until they learn the hard way and blow their own capital, or 10 fundeds in a row. Your number one job as a trader is not to make money. It’s to protect capital so you can focus on staying in the game long enough for your strategy and edge to play out well. Practical risk rules: ( 1 ) Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade. (If you do, you increase the emotions of greed) ( 2 ) Always know your max loss before entering — no guessing, if you do not? Your loss, your fault. ( 3 ) Use stop-losses logically, not emotionally. Set them at resistances or supports. Key levels. ( 4 ) Avoid over-leveraging. Leverage magnifies both wins and mistakes. Higher the leverage, higher the risk. ( 5 ) Don’t chase. Missed trades are better than blown accounts. Record them down and log emotions. Good risk management doesn’t make you rich overnight — but poor risk management will make you broke instantly . You don’t need huge wins to grow; you just need small, controlled losses and consistent execution throughout your trading journey. 3. Consistency — Discipline Over Drama Consistency is the glue that holds everything together, risk management to Psychology. It’s easy to stick to your plan for a week; but it is hard to do it for months without deviation and drifts. But that’s exactly what separates traders who make it from those who burn out. Consistency means: ( 1 ) Showing up daily, sticking to a fixed plan of study, back testing, assessing. ( 2 ) Following your trading plan with discipline. ( 3 ) Reviewing your trades honestly — both wins and losses. (Are YOU doing THIS?) ( 4 ) Avoiding impulsive changes just because of one bad day. Take a break if the loss affects you badly. Progress in trading is slow and often invisible. You might not notice improvements week to week but look back after six months of focused consistency — and you’ll realize how far you have come. Remember, slow and steady wins the race. This is a game of Tortoise v Rabbit. Push fast and hard and you will make mistakes – be slow and steady and you will win the race. Stepping back to view the bigger picture Trading success isn’t luck — it’s the result of compound discipline, calculated trades and timing. ( 1 ) Psychology gives you control. ( 2 ) Risk management gives you longevity. ( 3 ) Consistency gives you results. When you align all three, everything starts to click. You don’t need to master the market — just master your mindset, your risk, and your routine . The profits follow naturally. Thank you all so much for Reading. I hope this post becomes beneficial to you!
by King_BennyBag
82
– Bullish Reversal Expected from Buy Zone Toward 1.1729 TargetEUR/USD Technical Analysis (15-Minute Timeframe) Current Price: 1.1644 Market Structure: The price is moving inside a descending channel, defined by two parallel trade lines (upper resistance and lower support). A BUY ZONE is marked between 1.1635 – 1.1645, which aligns with a previous demand area. The market is currently testing the lower boundary of this channel, suggesting potential buying interest. 🔍 Market Outlook The recent downtrend appears to be a corrective phase following a previous bullish impulse. The BUY ZONE represents a strong demand area, where buyers may step in. A breakout above the upper trade line would likely confirm bullish momentum and a potential trend reversal. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea Buy Entry Zone: 1.1635 – 1.1645 Confirmation: Bullish breakout and candle close above the descending trendline Target: 1.1729 (as indicated on the chart) Stop Loss: Below 1.1610 (below previous low and demand zone) ⚠️ Trading Notes Wait for a clear breakout candle above the upper trade line to confirm buyer strength. A close below 1.1630 would invalidate the short-term bullish setup. Watch momentum and volume to confirm the breakout’s validity — weak momentum may lead to a false breakout. FX:GBPUSD FX:USDJPY OANDA:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:USDCAD OANDA:USDCHF OANDA:NZDUSD OANDA:EURGBP OANDA:GBPJPY OANDA:EURNZD
Long
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Buyers Reclaim Structure, Targeting Liquidity Zone🔍 Market Context After a strong Liquidity Sweep yesterday, gold has rebounded and formed consecutive Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming buyers are back in control. The price has now filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4,191 – 4,202) and is heading towards the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD — where many sell orders and stop-losses from previous short positions are concentrated. The current structure indicates strong upward momentum , however, the possibility of a pullback from this high liquidity area is noteworthy. 💎 Technical Analysis Liquidity Sweep: Completed, clearing liquidity below 4,070. FVG (Fair Value Gap): 4,191 – 4,202 → filled, confirming price balance. Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,237 – 4,240 → potential resistance area, likely strong reaction. OB Zone | Buy: 4,143 – 4,145 → nearby support, expected first reaction on price pullback. OB Deep | Buy: 4,110 – 4,115 → deep demand zone, confluence with Premium Zone 4,156 – 4,118. Overall Structure: The main trend remains bullish , with strong upward momentum but requires technical pullback for re-accumulation. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at liquidity zone When the price approaches the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD , observe candle reactions (rejection, bearish engulfing). If confirmation signals appear, open short-term sell orders . Target: OB Buy Zone 4,145 → 4,110 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,245 USD. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup, high probability when the market encounters resistance confluence with Fibonacci zone 0.786–1.0. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Buy with trend from OB If the price pulls back to the OB Zone 4,143 – 4,145 USD and shows clear reaction (strong rejection or minor structure break), → consider opening buy orders with the main trend . Target: return to 4,200 → 4,235 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,130 USD. If the price drops further, the OB Deep Buy 4,110 – 4,115 USD will be the final “liquidity draw” zone for a new upward bounce. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at 4,200+ as it is near the liquidity resistance zone. Prioritize short-term selling at 4,237 if clear signals are present. When price pulls back to OB, wait for reaction before buying, do not bottom-fish early. 💬 Conclusion After completing the liquidity sweep, gold has confirmed a return to bullish structure with multiple consecutive BoS. Currently, the price is nearing the liquidity zone 4,237 USD – a short-term pullback is highly likely. The 4,145 – 4,110 USD area will be where buyers await reaction to accumulate orders and continue the medium-term uptrend. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short sell at 4,237 USD if reversal signals appear. Wait to buy at OB zone 4,145 – 4,110 USD when clear reaction occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD | m15 frame gold drops sharply by 50 points ? 🔍 Market Context Gold prices have just set a historical peak (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD region, following a steep upward trend over multiple sessions. Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of upward structure (BoS) – a sign indicating that bullish momentum is weakening . Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , which is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price area that needs to be filled. Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction. Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deep demand zone with large liquidity confluence, likely to become the main "accumulation point." Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish . 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD region without breaking through, → consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase. Target: the first OB Buy Zone 4,050 USD . Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak). ➡️ This scenario is suitable for short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation. 2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection . Upon confirmation, open a trend-following buy order . Target: the 4,125 → 4,145 USD region or the old peak of 4,180 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD. If the first OB zone doesn't hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD area will be an ideal zone for long-term "accumulation." ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled. Prioritize trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge). Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital. 💬 Conclusion After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase . The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend. If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD region. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short-term sell when prices react at FVG. Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed upward signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Dip”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Dip”; prioritize trading around key zones 🟡 Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session—a time usually lacking volume, causing a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The major trend remains upward, but short-term risks of a deep pullback appear before the European–American markets engage. The accompanying image shows: Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 rising channel → quickly fell to the middle of the channel. Thick Volume Profile cluster near 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below is VAL ~4,025. Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; gray boxes are buy zones 4,075 and 4,056. Key Levels Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160. Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL). Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025. Trading Scenarios SELL retest (reaction, higher risk) Entry: 4,143 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050 Idea: only trigger when there is a clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1). BUY around POC Entry: 4,075 SL: 4,067 TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155 BUY scalping (shallow pullback) Entry: 4,056 SL: 4,049–4,050 TP: 4,075 → 4,089 Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this area breaks, prioritize waiting for a failed retest to consider selling along the continued decline. Practical Notes The range is very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks likely. After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position. Sell orders are only reactive trades at 4.14x; prioritize buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the dominant trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support Zone: The $3970 - $3974 price range is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further up the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 zone) are significant barriers. Sellers may become active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any breakdown below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 zone. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information flows, creating instability and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasized the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labor market fluctuations. This implies that the FED may continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark raises concerns about a potential asset "bubble" and a looming crisis. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe-haven asset, attracting capital flows when market risks increase. The contradiction between the FED's policy and market risk aversion sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can develop two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 zone. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance zone $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend for Gold remains upward, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to buy at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital tightly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading