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BTC Isn’t Breaking Out — It’s Hunting LiquidityBTC/USD – 1H Quick Read Bitcoin remains trapped inside a defined range between support and resistance. Price is holding near the range mid, showing balance, not momentum. Repeated wicks at both extremes confirm liquidity sweeps, not trend acceptance. Buyers defend support aggressively, but upside attempts still lack follow-through. Key Points Range market = rotation, not trend Breakouts are faded, pullbacks are absorbed Liquidity is prioritized over direction Outlook Expect continued chop and false moves until BTC clearly accepts above resistance or loses support. Bottom Line No breakout yet. Trade the range wait for confirmation for direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
XAUUSD BUY SETUPGOLD — Trade Setup 📈 Bias: Bullish 🎯 Entry: 4315 / 4325 🛑 Stop Loss: 4305 🎯 Target: 4355 📊 Technical Reasoning: Gold is maintaining bullish momentum after holding above a key support zone. The entry area is positioned where buyers are expected to defend price and continue the move higher. The stop loss is placed beyond the invalidation level to manage downside risk, while the target is aligned with a higher liquidity objective and continuation structure. 📌 Execution Plan: * Buy from the marked entry zone * Apply disciplined risk management * Monitor price behavior as it approaches the target ❌ Invalidation: A clear break and close below 4305 would invalidate this bullish setup. 💬 Do you expect continuation toward 4355, or consolidation before the next leg up? ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LEO_TRADES98
2
ETH Is Free — But Not Trending YetETH/USD – 1H Price has broken the descending trendline, signaling selling pressure is weakening. However, this is a technical rebound, not a confirmed uptrend. Key Levels Support: 2,760–2,800 (strong buyer reaction) Current zone: 2,940–2,960 (decision area) Resistance: 3,150–3,160 (major supply) Outlook Base case: range / shallow pullback, then a retest toward 3,050–3,160. Bullish continuation only if price closes and holds above 3,160. Bottom Line Momentum has improved, but the real move comes after resistance breaks. Patience beats prediction here.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
EUR/USD Is Sitting on the Edge — Bounce or Breakdown?EUR/USD – 1H Price is holding at a well-defined support zone (~1.1700) after sustained selling pressure. Momentum is weak, but selling is no longer aggressive → early stabilization. Key Levels Support: 1.1685–1.1705 Resistance: 1.1755–1.1765 Upside target (if bounce holds): 1.1800–1.1810 Scenario Base case: support holds → corrective bounce toward resistance. Failure scenario: clean break below support opens continuation lower. Bottom Line This is a decision zone, not a chase. The move only becomes clear after price reacts at support.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Awaiting confirmation to exit trendlineXAUUSD (H1) – Awaiting confirmation to exit trendline Buy 4304, Sell 4346 | Gold compresses range before US data Strategy Summary Gold is compressing within a sideways range and gradually narrowing (typical "range compression before breakout"). The larger frame still leans towards long-term Buy, but in the short term, I prioritize trading according to trendline + support/resistance zones, with a profit target of about 10 points. The key point today is to wait for confirmation to exit the trendline to avoid entering orders amidst noise. Important technical levels on the chart Support / Buy test trendline: 4304 (trendline test area) Short-term resistance: 4328 "Strong Liquidity" zone above: around 4346 (likely to react) Distant target if breakout: 4374 Scenario 1 – BUY according to trendline (priority) ✅ Entry Buy: around 4304 SL: 4295 TP (reference): 4314 → 4324 → 4328 (can partially close after 10 points) Logic: 4304 is the "Buy test trendline" area – if the price tests and holds, the probability of bouncing back to test the resistance area 4328 is high. Scenario 2 – SELL at strong liquidity zone (scalp) ✅ Sell: around 4346 (Strong Liquidity zone) For SELL orders, the most reasonable TP is ~4338 (exact target ~10 points). SL should be placed above the area to avoid being swept when the price stretches (you can consider placing it one step above 4346). Logic: 4346 is close to a large liquidity/resistance zone – price hitting this area often reacts, suitable for scalping by rhythm. "Confirmation" conditions to avoid noise Strong increase confirmation: price breaks and holds above the resistance area (preferably clear H1 candle close) → then the target expands to 4374. If the trendline is lost & breaks 4295: stop BUY, avoid stubbornness during news phases. Today's fundamental context (direct impact on XAUUSD) DXY rises as the market is cautious ahead of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index → may exert short-term pressure on gold. However, November CPI decline increases expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon → medium-term is a supportive factor for gold. CME FedWatch: probability of holding rates steady in January ~73.3%, probability of a 25bps cut ~26.6% → the market remains very sensitive to data, easy to "sweep both ends". Which scenario are you leaning towards: pullback to 4304 to buy, or up to 4346 to sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
GBP/USD Is Range-Bound — Macro Pressure Favors RotationMarket Structure (H1) GBP/USD is currently trading inside a well-defined moving range, capped by a firm resistance zone near 1.3450 and supported by demand around 1.3315. Price action within this box is overlapping and corrective, confirming a non-trending environment. The sharp rejection from resistance followed by weak follow-through on rebounds shows that buyers lack conviction, while sellers have not yet forced a decisive breakdown. The latest impulsive move into the range was quickly absorbed, and price is now rotating back toward the mid-to-lower portion of the structure. As long as the pair remains below resistance, upside attempts are mean-reverting, not trend-defining. Liquidity & Price Behavior This range is acting as a liquidity container. Repeated tests of both extremes suggest ongoing stop-hunting rather than accumulation for a breakout. The projected path toward the lower boundary aligns with how price typically behaves in balanced conditions — rotating until liquidity is fully cleared. Macro & Policy Context From a macro perspective, conditions currently weigh on GBP: The U.S. dollar remains supported by relatively higher yields and a still-restrictive Federal Reserve stance. Markets continue to price rate cuts cautiously, keeping USD demand elevated during periods of uncertainty. In contrast, the UK outlook remains softer, with slower growth expectations limiting GBP upside. This macro divergence explains why GBP/USD struggles to accept above resistance and why rallies are being sold into rather than extended. Conclusion GBP/USD is not setting up for a breakout it is rotating within a macro-constrained range. Failure at resistance favors continuation toward the support zone. Only a clean acceptance above 1.3450 would shift the structure bullish. Until then, patience remains key. The edge lies in reacting to range extremes, not anticipating trend continuation.
Short
by Gold_Dominator
Bitcoin Isn’t Bouncing It’s Reloading for the Next DropBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – H1 MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Current Market Structure Bitcoin is maintaining a clear short-term bearish structure on the H1 timeframe. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain in control. The recent bounce is corrective and lacks follow-through, signaling weakness rather than trend reversal. Key structural points: - Breakdown below previous consolidation blocks - Failure to reclaim prior value areas - Bearish momentum remains dominant 2. Moving Averages & Trend Confirmation - EMA 34 (blue) is acting as dynamic resistance - EMA 89 (red) defines the broader bearish trend Price remains below both EMAs, and every attempt to move higher is rejected a classic trend-following sell environment. This alignment confirms that: - Rallies are selling opportunities - Trend continuation is favored over mean reversion 3. Consolidation & Liquidity Behavior Bitcoin is currently compressing sideways just below resistance, forming a short consolidation range. This behavior indicates: - Liquidity is being built - Buyers are failing to regain control - Market is preparing for the next impulsive move In bearish conditions, this type of consolidation typically resolves to the downside. 4. Scenarios Ahead Primary Scenario – Bearish Continuation (High Probability): - Price continues to range briefly below EMA resistance - Liquidity builds within the gray consolidation zone - Breakdown triggers the next leg lower Downside objectives: - First support: ~85,800 - Expansion zone: 85,000 – 84,500 (liquidity draw) Invalidation Scenario: - Only valid if price breaks and holds above EMA 89 - Structure must shift to higher highs on H1 Until then, upside moves remain corrective. 5. Trading Bias & Conclusion Bias: Sell rallies Market State: Bearish trend + corrective consolidation Strategy: Follow structure, wait for breakdown confirmation Bitcoin is not reversing it is pausing before continuation. As long as price stays below key moving averages and resistance zones, the path of least resistance remains downward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
3
Bitcoin Is Not Trending — It’s Testing Conviction.BTC/USD – 1H Technical Analysis Market Structure - Bitcoin is clearly trading inside a well-defined horizontal range, bounded by a firm support zone below and a heavy resistance zone above. There is no trend dominance at the moment price is rotating, not expanding. This is a range-controlled market, not a breakout or breakdown phase. Key Zones - Resistance Zone: ~89,800 – 90,300 - Mid-Range Value: ~87,700 – 88,200 - Support Zone: ~85,100 – 85,500 Price has repeatedly: - Rejected from resistance with strong wicks - Found aggressive buying interest at support - Returned back to value without follow-through That behavior confirms liquidity cycling, not directional intent. Price Action Read The latest move is a support bounce, not a trend reversal. - The impulsive drop into support was immediately absorbed - Buyers stepped in, pushing price back into the range - However, upside momentum weakens as price approaches mid-range This suggests the market is resetting positioning, not committing yet. Scenarios Ahead Primary Scenario (Range Continuation): - Short-term pullback into mid-range - Another rotation toward resistance - Final liquidity sweep before a real breakout attempt Breakout Scenario (Confirmation Required): - Clean acceptance above resistance - Holding above the range high - Only then does upside expansion become valid Until that acceptance happens, all upside moves are still range trades. Bottom Line Bitcoin is not bullish or bearish right now. It is forcing traders to choose patience or punishment. The real move begins after the range breaks not inside it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Bitcoin Is Sitting on a Decision ZoneMARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin has completed a sharp sell-off into a strong support zone and is now stabilizing, showing early signs of absorption rather than continuation lower. Momentum has paused, not flipped. Key Levels: – Strong Support Zone: 85,100 – 85,600 – Range Top / Reclaim Level: ~88,000 – Major Resistance: 91,500 – 92,000 Price Action: – Selling pressure weakened immediately upon reaching support, followed by compression — typical range-building behavior after an impulsive drop. – Structure suggests sideways consolidation before the market chooses direction. Next Move: – Expect continued rotation inside the 85,100 – 88,000 range. – A clean reclaim above 88,000 opens the path toward 91,500 – 92,000. – Failure to hold 85,100 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bitcoin is not breaking down it’s being absorbed. Until price exits the range with acceptance, time is the key variable, not direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
BABA: when China allows growth againAlibaba remains one of the most undervalued mega-cap tech companies globally. After years of regulatory pressure and weak macro conditions in China, the company is entering a stabilization phase. Regulatory risks have eased, and Chinese authorities are signaling support for the technology sector and domestic consumption. Alibaba continues to generate strong cash flow, operates a massive ecosystem across e-commerce, cloud, and logistics, and actively executes share buybacks, reducing float. At current levels, the market is pricing in excessive pessimism, creating asymmetric upside if macro conditions improve. From a technical perspective, price is trading inside a rising channel. After a strong impulse, the market moved into a corrective phase, forming a swing zone. Price remains above key EMA levels, confirming a valid medium-term uptrend. The current area represents a buyer interest zone aligned with structural support and Fibonacci levels. Declining volume during the pullback supports the idea of a healthy correction rather than trend reversal. Trading plan: as long as price holds above the current support zone and confirmation appears, long positions become attractive. The first target is a return to previous highs, followed by Fibonacci extensions. Medium-term targets align with the upper boundary of the channel. A breakdown below the swing zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper correction. The best opportunities often appear when fear fades but confidence hasn’t returned yet.
NYSE:BABALong
by InvestWorld_777
XAUUSD H4 Medium Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity ZonesXAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the focus for the coming week on buying pullbacks in line with the prevailing trend PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity zones Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203 Technical context: this area represents a previously confirmed support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity Price expectation: a corrective decline into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential recovery towards the upper balance area Position management: If price shows a constructive reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains appropriate. If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with longer-term liquidity Technical context: this area acts as the final support of the medium-term bullish structure and may suit longer-term positioning Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by a recovery, reaffirming the integrity of the rising channel KEY TECHNICAL POINTS On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point decline after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at elevated levels The 4175 region and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying Upper resistance and the FVG–liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than initiating new long positions MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT Markets are increasingly focused on the potential for a shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction. The rising probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair, alongside comments favouring significantly lower interest rates, has reinforced expectations of a more accommodative policy stance. While this backdrop remains supportive for gold in the medium term, short-term technical corrections should still be respected following recent strength. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel. Any sell positions should be treated strictly as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals. The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure. Remain attentive to volatility surrounding policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity-driven moves are likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
Ethereum Holds Its Bullish Channel as Markets Stabilize🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (4H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
32
BTC Is Setting Up Something Big…BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - BTC is continuing to trade inside a clean sideways channel between the Support Zone (88,700 – 89,500) and the Resistance Zone (92,500 – 93,500). - After rejecting the support zone, price has started forming a series of higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum building inside the range. - The current price action shows a corrective leg forming, which aligns with the projection drawn on the chart: slowly climbing toward the resistance zone. 2. Liquidity Zones Resistance Liquidity (92,500 – 93,500): - This zone has absorbed liquidity multiple times, showing clear sell pressure and unfilled orders from previous sessions. Support Liquidity (88,700 – 89,500): - Several long wicks show strong absorption — buyers consistently defend this region. BTC is currently traveling from liquidity-to-liquidity, moving upward to target the liquidity cluster above. 3. Today’s Market Scenario Main Scenario – Bullish Drift Toward Resistance Price structure suggests that BTC is entering a mid-range accumulation → expansion phase. The higher low sequence indicates that buyers are slowly gaining control. BTC is likely to: - Continue forming minor corrections on the way up. - Push into the upper resistance zone. - Potentially sweep the highs inside this zone before any major reaction. This aligns with the red projection drawn on your chart. 4. Market Psychology Inside ranges like this, the market often: - Builds liquidity on both sides. - Creates clean, predictable swing highs/lows. - Encourages traders to overreact at small moves. Smart money typically uses these conditions to accumulate at support and offload at resistance. BTC is following this exact textbook behavior. 5. Intraday Strategy Trade Idea (Buy Bias inside the Range) Entry (BUY): 89,800 – 90,000 Stop Loss: 89,200 Take Profit: 92,800 – 93,400 (Resistance Zone) Alternative Scenario If BTC rejects sharply from resistance → sell only after a confirmed break of market structure, with targets back toward mid-range. Stay patient — BTC is moving in a controlled climb, and the liquidity above is the magnet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 09, 2025FX:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 09, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues to consolidate near the mid-range after reacting from discount levels early in the week. Price is rotating upward inside the 4180–4210 structure while heading toward premium liquidity pockets. Despite slight USD strength, gold remains supported by dovish Fed expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and persistent central bank accumulation. The U.S. Dollar Index remains capped below major resistance, helping gold hold its bullish tone. Treasury yields have stabilized, creating a favorable environment for non yielding assets ahead of the December 9–10 FOMC meeting, where volatility is expected. Smart money continues its rhythm: accumulate at discount → distribute at premium, keeping the broader trend bullish. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Lower interest rates strengthen gold’s macro bullish case. 💵 USD softening after weak labor momentum → Supports continued upside rotation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China + Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven demand. 🏦 China extends its gold-buying streak to 13 months → Reinforces structural demand narrative. 📊 Bond market volatility cooling → Keeps dips shallow and encourages trend continuation. Gold’s strength remains driven by macro uncertainty + institutional hedging + global de-dollarization. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Markets pricing ~88% probability of a 25bp cut in December.” “Fed officials hint easing will be gradual through 2026.” Commentary highlights renewed discussions around U.S. debt-driven gold revaluation risks. BRICS gold-backed settlement talks gaining real traction. ETF inflows hit their strongest levels in 18 months. US–China tariff tensions continue boosting safe-haven flows. Global miners report supply strain and rising exploration costs. Narrative remains unified: smart money stays net-long, macro stays supportive, dips remain opportunities. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 JOLTS Job Data (Today — 3:00 PM UK) Weak data → boosts rate-cut expectations → bullish for gold Strong data → temporary spikes into sell zones → liquidity grabs likely 🔸 Geopolitical Rotations 🌍 Escalation → spikes toward premium zones 🌤️ Calm → controlled dips into discount levels Trend holds bullish unless deep structure breaks below the buy zone. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to rotate efficiently between Smart Money Sell Zones → Discount Buy Zones, perfectly respecting institutional footprints. Price is currently positioned inside the mid-range, moving between scalp opportunities and major zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4149 – 4163 Primary institutional demand zone deep discount liquidity. Expect: ✔ Strong first-tap reaction ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation for continuation Break below 4149 → opens drawdown toward 4125 → 4100 liquidity. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4235 – 4251 Major premium sell zone — high-probability reversal region. Expect: ✔ Manipulation above prior highs ✔ Liquidity grabs ✔ Swing short setups Break & hold above 4251 targets: ➡ 4268 → 4284 → 4308 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4149–4163 demand zone holds, with smart money continuing to accumulate every dip. With JOLTS and FOMC approaching, expect controlled volatility before the real move unfolds. Stay focused on the key zones and let structure guide your execution. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown added value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FX:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 08, 2025FOREXCOM:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 08, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold is holding firm above the mid-range after reacting cleanly from discount levels last week. Price is slowly rotating upward, respecting the 4200–4230 structure while approaching premium liquidity pockets. Despite short-term USD fluctuations, the macro trend remains bullish, supported by dovish rate expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and aggressive central-bank accumulation. The U.S. Dollar Index stays soft, unable to break key resistance, keeping gold supported. Treasury yields remain elevated but are no longer rising a positive environment for non-yielding assets like gold. With the December 9–10 FOMC meeting ahead, markets are positioning for volatility but remain structurally bullish. Smart money continues to accumulate dips and distribute premium, maintaining a clean bullish rotation. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Lower yield competition boosts gold demand. 💵 USD softening after CPI & ISM weakness → Supports upside continuation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China + Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven flows. 🏦 China adds 11 tonnes of gold in December (13th month of accumulation) → Reinforces structural demand. 📊 Bond market volatility cooling → Allows gold to stabilise and grind higher. Gold’s strength continues to be driven by macro uncertainty + dedollarization + institutional accumulation. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Market pricing ~88% probability of 25bp cut in December.” “Fed officials reiterate: easing will be gradual but necessary.” Highlights renewed talk about US gold revaluation scenarios due to debt levels. Notes increasing chatter about BRICS gold-backed settlement trials gaining traction. Reports strong ETF inflows, highest in 18 months. Notes ongoing US–China tariff tensions boosting safe-haven bids. Confirms silver outperforming gold YTD, but gold remains the institutional favourite. Highlights supply shortages and increased miner exploration efforts globally. These sources show a unified narrative: institutions remain buyers, and macro conditions favour further upside. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday) Weak data → Boosts rate-cut expectations → Bullish for gold Strong data → Temporary push into sell zones → Liquidity grabs likely 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Rotation 🌍 Tensions increase → Spikes toward premium zones 🌤️ Calm environment → Controlled dips into discount levels Trend remains bullish unless the 4122 structure breaks. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect its bullish structure, rotating efficiently between Smart Money Sell ➝ Discount Buy Zones. Price is currently sitting between scalp sell and major SM sell zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4138 – 4122 Primary institutional demand with deep discount liquidity. Expect: ✔ Strong reaction on first tap ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation if trend continues Break below 4122 opens drawdown toward 4085 → 4050. 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4203 – 4189 Short-term discount region inside the mid-range. Ideal for: ✔ Intraday continuation longs ✔ Retracement buy setups ✔ Liquidity grab reactions Lose 4189 → Price rotates back to SM Buy Orders (4138–4122). 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4222 – 4209 Short-term distribution block. Expect: ✔ Quick reaction shorts ✔ Intraday pullbacks ✔ Stop runs before premium sweep Failure to hold below 4209 → Expansion toward 4238+. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4238 – 4248 Major premium sell zone — high probability reversal area. Contains heavy institutional distribution. Expect: ✔ Manipulation wicks above prior highs ✔ Liquidity grabs ✔ Swing short setups Break & hold above 4248 opens pathway toward: ➡ 4264 → 4284 → 4310 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as 4138–4122 holds, with smart money maintaining clear accumulation at discount and distribution at premium. With FOMC approaching, expect engineered volatility before the real move unfolds. As long as macro conditions stay dovish and demand stays strong, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Stay patient, trust the zones, and execute only where smart money operates. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
BITCOIN — THE MARKET IS APPROACHING ITS REAL DECISION POINTTraders, We dumped. Now Bitcoin is grinding through a controlled recovery. The important question is not simply if we move higher. The real question is where the market will reveal its true intention. The chart is giving us a very clean map and the next major decision point is already forming. 1. The structure so far Bitcoin sold off aggressively, found real buyers, and reclaimed the breakdown wick. That reclaim shows that the low was bought by spot demand rather than mechanical short covering. Price is now pushing into a zone where the next expansion will be decided. The recovery itself is not the interesting part. The levels above and below are. 2. The major checkpoint above: 104k to 105k This zone is extremely important. Two strong pieces of confluence meet here: The 0.886 of the A to B retracement The 1.618 extension of the impulse move you marked with the arrows This creates a clean Potential Reversal Zone. What this means: If the market rejects 104k to 105k structurally, the next major destination becomes the lower imbalance cluster around 64k. That would be a true higher timeframe unwind because the entire path down is filled with thin volume and inefficient price action. If Bitcoin breaks above 105k with flow support, then the next magnets open up immediately. 3. Targets above If price accepts above the 104k to 105k PRZ: First target area Around 116k to 118k where we have a liquidity pocket and HTF inefficiencies. Second target area 123k to 125k where a swing failure pattern is very likely. This is a weak high with resting liquidity and a natural magnet for price during bullish expansions. At target two I expect the first serious reaction because of the liquidity sitting above the weak high. 4. Order flow confirms accumulation not distribution Looking at the CVD grids: Spot CVD is trending lower while price holds steady. This is a sign of absorption because someone is taking the other side of the selling. Stablecoin margined CVD continues lower but without price following. Coin margined CVD is sweeping lows with no breakdown in price. This creates a hidden bullish divergence across the board. Open interest also supports this view: Stablecoin margined OI remains high which means traders did not exit during the dump. Coin margined OI is slowly building which often appears before directional expansion. This is not the profile of a market preparing for distribution. It is the profile of a market preparing for a move. 5. CME chart: AVWAP support from the last major swing On CME, the AVWAP anchored from the previous major swing low to swing high is still holding as support. CME often leads during inflection zones. As long as this AVWAP holds, the market is positioned in a continuation PRZ rather than a breakdown PRZ. If CME loses this AVWAP, the cascade scenario strengthens. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact. 6. What happens if we break down instead if Bitcoin fails to reclaim structure and breaks back down, the following levels become active: 83k to 84k This is the shallow retrace zone and the first structural catch. 81k to 82k This area contains the 1.113 extension and a previously unfilled FVG. 79k to 80k This is the 1.272 level and a strong imbalance pocket. 72k to 73k This contains the 1.414 extension and the next clean liquidity cluster. 64k This is the 1.618 extension and the final major downside target. It aligns with the strong HTF imbalance that has never been fully tested. A rejection from 104k to 105k can eventually lead price through these levels in sequence because the entire zone from 90k down to 70k contains thin volume. There is not much structural support built on the way up. 7. Real time confirmation tools Watch these signals when we approach the 104k to 105k decision zone: Spot CVD rising means continuation likelihood increases Funding staying negative means shorts are still stuck OI rising with price means momentum is building CVD stalling or rolling over at 104k to 105k means rejection risk is high CME AVWAP reclaim or failure will guide direction If buyers hold flow above 105k, the path to 117k and then 124k is clean. If buyers fail and we reject 105k with aggressive selling, the path down becomes active. Final view Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important technical levels on the chart. We dumped on real flow. We recovered on spot demand. Now the market is converging toward the 104k to 105k PRZ where a true decision will be made. Break above and the next magnets are 117k and 124k with a likely swing failure at the second target. Reject and the lower zones activate with 64k as the eventual HTF destination. This is the map. The levels are clear. TLDR BTC is recovering with spot support 104k to 105k is the major PRZ Break above: targets at 116k to 118k and 123k to 125k Reject here: downside levels at 83k, 82k, 80k, 73k and 64k Order flow is showing hidden bullish divergence CME AVWAP is holding which keeps the bullish narrative alive The market leaves its footprints long before it shows its direction. Read the sands, follow the flow and stay prepared. - ThetaNomad ---------------------------------------------- If you enjoy this style of analysis feel free to leave a like or comment. It lets me know you find value in these deeper structural and flow based breakdowns. ----------------------------------------------
Long
by ThetaNomad
2
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?(December 05, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?(December 05, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues its upward rotation after reacting perfectly from Smart Money Buy Orders earlier this week. Price is now pushing toward major liquidity pockets and approaching premium sell zones, keeping bulls firmly in command despite mild USD stabilization. The U.S. Dollar Index remains soft following post-election volatility, hovering near structural lows. Combined with elevated geopolitical tensions and aggressive central-bank accumulation, gold continues to operate inside a macro-bullish environment. With key U.S. data releases (ADP, ISM Services, PCE) and the December 9–10 FOMC meeting ahead, markets remain cautious but structurally bullish. Gold is respecting the premium discount rotation cleanly, offering multiple low-risk, high-probability setups for disciplined traders. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 88% probability of a December rate cut → lower yield competition boosts gold 💵 USD stabilizing but not strengthening → downside limited 🌍 Geopolitical tensions elevated → strong safe-haven premium 🏦 Central banks remain net buyers (634t YTD) → consistent long-term accumulation 📊 Core PCE at 2.9% → keeps Fed leaning dovish Gold’s strength remains driven by a powerful combination of macro uncertainty + structural demand + smart-money order flow. 📰 Insights from Key Sources Spot gold rose 1% to $4,199.19/oz on Nov 28, signaling renewed buying interest and aggressive dip-accumulation. Bank of America projects gold could reach $5,000/oz by 2026, backed by tight supply, low inventories, and persistent monetary support. Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 average gold forecast to $4,450/oz (up from $4,000), citing ETF inflows and sustained central-bank demand. Australian miners are ramping up exploration to capitalize on the rally. South Africa has opened its first underground gold mine in 15 years (Qala Shallows), aiming to stockpile ore amid record prices. Structural supply constraints remain a bullish driver, supporting higher long-term price projections. These insights reinforce the institutional bias: long-term accumulation remains strong, and the upside narrative is supported by both fundamentals and supply-demand dynamics. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 Core PCE Data — Recently Released A major Federal Reserve–driven volatility catalyst. Latest Core PCE: 2.9% YoY Latest Monthly Change: 0.2% MoM If Core PCE comes in softer than expectations: ✔️ Strengthens the December rate-cut narrative ✔️ Supports a continuation toward premium sell zones (4245 → 4264 → 4284) ✔️ Confirms easing inflation pressure and boosts non-yielding assets like gold If Core PCE comes in hotter than forecast: ✔️ Sparks temporary USD strength ✔️ Expect a liquidity sweep into discount zones (4203 → 4189 → 4167) ✔️ Real direction usually follows after the stop-hunt, not the initial candle 🔸 Geopolitical Landscape Geopolitical tensions continue to amplify intraday volatility: 🌍 Escalation → safe-haven spike into premium zones 🌤️ Calm → controlled pullbacks into buy zones Trend remains bullish, but momentum varies depending on global risk sentiment. Geopolitics generally strengthens the prevailing smart-money trend rather than reversing it. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect its rising structure, reacting cleanly from discount zones and rotating toward institutional premium blocks. Price currently sits just below major sell-side liquidity. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4147 – 4167 Primary institutional demand zone with ~$22 million in resting buy-side liquidity. Expect: ✔️ Strong reaction on first tap ✔️ Accumulation & mitigation ✔️ Higher-low formations inside bullish channel Break below 4147 opens liquidity toward 4108 → 4075. 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4203 – 4189 Short-term discount zone for: ✔️ Intraday long scalps ✔️ Retracement continuation setups ✔️ Mid-range liquidity grabs A break of 4189 brings price back into the deeper Smart Money Buy Zone. 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4245 – 4254 Short-term distribution zone ideal for: ✔️ Quick reaction shorts ✔️ Intraday pullbacks ✔️ Stop runs before testing the major premium zone Rejection sends price back toward 4200–4210 liquidity. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4264 – 4284 High-probability institutional distribution zone with $33 million in sell-side orders. Expect: ✔️ Manipulation wicks into premium ✔️ Liquidity grabs above local highs ✔️ Swing reversal setups near range extreme A decisive break & hold above 4284 opens continuation toward 4310 → 4325. 📌 Conclusion gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4147–4167 Smart Money Buy Zone is protected, with price continuing its clean rotation between institutional discount and premium levels. With unemployment data set to inject volatility, expect engineered liquidity sweeps before the true direction unfolds. The broader narrative of dovish policy, geopolitical risk, and heavy central-bank accumulation keeps the upside intact. Stay patient, trust the zones, and let smart-money footprints guide every decision. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAUUSD H1 BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP Bias: Short-term Bullish as long as support holds Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: (Use your chart’s demand level — price is currently reacting from a bullish zone) Resistance Zone: (Your chart’s previous swing high / supply) Buying Idea If Gold stays above the support zone and shows bullish confirmation (H1 bullish candle / rejection wick), you can look for buy setups. Possible Targets: TP1: Nearest H1 resistance TP2: Previous swing high TP3: Fresh supply zone on the H1 chart Selling Idea If Gold breaks below the support zone with strong bearish momentum, a short-term drop is possible. Possible Targets: TP1: Nearest minor support TP2: Previous H1 low TP3: Strong demand zone below
TVC:GOLDLong
by DAVID_JONES778
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones. Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow) 1️⃣ Key Support: 4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction. Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains. 2️⃣ Near Resistance: 4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line. 3️⃣ Main Target Zone: 4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market. Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out. 🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF Main Scenario – BUY with Trend BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests. TP Targets: TP1: 4,212 TP2: 4,236 TP3: 4,254 SL: below 4,182. Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones. Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction Only for scalp traders: SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238 TP: 4,212 SL: 4,243 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187. Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp. Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
BTC’s Bounce Looks Weak — Sell Pressure May Hit Harder .....📌 Quick Market Breakdown (BTC – 4H) Bitcoin is showing a textbook corrective bounce after a sharp breakdown from its rising structure. The current reaction is weak and aligns perfectly with a short-term bearish continuation setup. Key Points From the Chart - BTC broke both trendline support and the rising wedge, creating strong downside momentum. - Price is now pulling back into the previous demand ⇒ now supply zone (the green zone you marked). - The bounce is losing steam exactly at the SHORT ENTRY zone, signaling a high-probability reversal point. - Market structure has officially shifted from bullish → bearish short-term. 🎯 Main Scenario (High Probability) The pullback rejects and BTC heads lower. Short entry zone: 86,800 – 87,500 Target 1: 84,000 zone (first liquidity pocket) Target 2: 82,000 zone (deep demand zone) This fits perfectly with the break-retest-drop pattern. ⚠️ Alternate Scenario (Low Probability) If BTC closes a 4H candle ABOVE 88,600, the short-term bearish idea is invalidated. In that case, BTC may retest 89,500 – 90,000, but this is less likely given current momentum. 📌 Final Conclusion BTC is currently in a bearish correction phase, and the bounce you're seeing now is likely nothing more than a pullback into resistance. The chart strongly favors continuation to the downside, with sellers ready to step in aggressively from the short-entry zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal