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Bitcoin Is Sitting on a Decision ZoneMARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin has completed a sharp sell-off into a strong support zone and is now stabilizing, showing early signs of absorption rather than continuation lower. Momentum has paused, not flipped. Key Levels: – Strong Support Zone: 85,100 – 85,600 – Range Top / Reclaim Level: ~88,000 – Major Resistance: 91,500 – 92,000 Price Action: – Selling pressure weakened immediately upon reaching support, followed by compression — typical range-building behavior after an impulsive drop. – Structure suggests sideways consolidation before the market chooses direction. Next Move: – Expect continued rotation inside the 85,100 – 88,000 range. – A clean reclaim above 88,000 opens the path toward 91,500 – 92,000. – Failure to hold 85,100 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bitcoin is not breaking down it’s being absorbed. Until price exits the range with acceptance, time is the key variable, not direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
XAUUSD H4 Medium Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity ZonesXAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the focus for the coming week on buying pullbacks in line with the prevailing trend PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity zones Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203 Technical context: this area represents a previously confirmed support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity Price expectation: a corrective decline into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential recovery towards the upper balance area Position management: If price shows a constructive reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains appropriate. If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with longer-term liquidity Technical context: this area acts as the final support of the medium-term bullish structure and may suit longer-term positioning Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by a recovery, reaffirming the integrity of the rising channel KEY TECHNICAL POINTS On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point decline after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at elevated levels The 4175 region and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying Upper resistance and the FVG–liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than initiating new long positions MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT Markets are increasingly focused on the potential for a shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction. The rising probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair, alongside comments favouring significantly lower interest rates, has reinforced expectations of a more accommodative policy stance. While this backdrop remains supportive for gold in the medium term, short-term technical corrections should still be respected following recent strength. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel. Any sell positions should be treated strictly as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals. The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure. Remain attentive to volatility surrounding policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity-driven moves are likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
Ethereum Holds Its Bullish Channel as Markets Stabilize🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (4H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
32
BTC Is Setting Up Something Big…BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - BTC is continuing to trade inside a clean sideways channel between the Support Zone (88,700 – 89,500) and the Resistance Zone (92,500 – 93,500). - After rejecting the support zone, price has started forming a series of higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum building inside the range. - The current price action shows a corrective leg forming, which aligns with the projection drawn on the chart: slowly climbing toward the resistance zone. 2. Liquidity Zones Resistance Liquidity (92,500 – 93,500): - This zone has absorbed liquidity multiple times, showing clear sell pressure and unfilled orders from previous sessions. Support Liquidity (88,700 – 89,500): - Several long wicks show strong absorption — buyers consistently defend this region. BTC is currently traveling from liquidity-to-liquidity, moving upward to target the liquidity cluster above. 3. Today’s Market Scenario Main Scenario – Bullish Drift Toward Resistance Price structure suggests that BTC is entering a mid-range accumulation → expansion phase. The higher low sequence indicates that buyers are slowly gaining control. BTC is likely to: - Continue forming minor corrections on the way up. - Push into the upper resistance zone. - Potentially sweep the highs inside this zone before any major reaction. This aligns with the red projection drawn on your chart. 4. Market Psychology Inside ranges like this, the market often: - Builds liquidity on both sides. - Creates clean, predictable swing highs/lows. - Encourages traders to overreact at small moves. Smart money typically uses these conditions to accumulate at support and offload at resistance. BTC is following this exact textbook behavior. 5. Intraday Strategy Trade Idea (Buy Bias inside the Range) Entry (BUY): 89,800 – 90,000 Stop Loss: 89,200 Take Profit: 92,800 – 93,400 (Resistance Zone) Alternative Scenario If BTC rejects sharply from resistance → sell only after a confirmed break of market structure, with targets back toward mid-range. Stay patient — BTC is moving in a controlled climb, and the liquidity above is the magnet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 09, 2025FX:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 09, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues to consolidate near the mid-range after reacting from discount levels early in the week. Price is rotating upward inside the 4180–4210 structure while heading toward premium liquidity pockets. Despite slight USD strength, gold remains supported by dovish Fed expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and persistent central bank accumulation. The U.S. Dollar Index remains capped below major resistance, helping gold hold its bullish tone. Treasury yields have stabilized, creating a favorable environment for non yielding assets ahead of the December 9–10 FOMC meeting, where volatility is expected. Smart money continues its rhythm: accumulate at discount → distribute at premium, keeping the broader trend bullish. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Lower interest rates strengthen gold’s macro bullish case. 💵 USD softening after weak labor momentum → Supports continued upside rotation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China + Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven demand. 🏦 China extends its gold-buying streak to 13 months → Reinforces structural demand narrative. 📊 Bond market volatility cooling → Keeps dips shallow and encourages trend continuation. Gold’s strength remains driven by macro uncertainty + institutional hedging + global de-dollarization. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Markets pricing ~88% probability of a 25bp cut in December.” “Fed officials hint easing will be gradual through 2026.” Commentary highlights renewed discussions around U.S. debt-driven gold revaluation risks. BRICS gold-backed settlement talks gaining real traction. ETF inflows hit their strongest levels in 18 months. US–China tariff tensions continue boosting safe-haven flows. Global miners report supply strain and rising exploration costs. Narrative remains unified: smart money stays net-long, macro stays supportive, dips remain opportunities. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 JOLTS Job Data (Today — 3:00 PM UK) Weak data → boosts rate-cut expectations → bullish for gold Strong data → temporary spikes into sell zones → liquidity grabs likely 🔸 Geopolitical Rotations 🌍 Escalation → spikes toward premium zones 🌤️ Calm → controlled dips into discount levels Trend holds bullish unless deep structure breaks below the buy zone. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to rotate efficiently between Smart Money Sell Zones → Discount Buy Zones, perfectly respecting institutional footprints. Price is currently positioned inside the mid-range, moving between scalp opportunities and major zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4149 – 4163 Primary institutional demand zone deep discount liquidity. Expect: ✔ Strong first-tap reaction ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation for continuation Break below 4149 → opens drawdown toward 4125 → 4100 liquidity. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4235 – 4251 Major premium sell zone — high-probability reversal region. Expect: ✔ Manipulation above prior highs ✔ Liquidity grabs ✔ Swing short setups Break & hold above 4251 targets: ➡ 4268 → 4284 → 4308 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4149–4163 demand zone holds, with smart money continuing to accumulate every dip. With JOLTS and FOMC approaching, expect controlled volatility before the real move unfolds. Stay focused on the key zones and let structure guide your execution. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown added value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FX:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 08, 2025FOREXCOM:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 08, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold is holding firm above the mid-range after reacting cleanly from discount levels last week. Price is slowly rotating upward, respecting the 4200–4230 structure while approaching premium liquidity pockets. Despite short-term USD fluctuations, the macro trend remains bullish, supported by dovish rate expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and aggressive central-bank accumulation. The U.S. Dollar Index stays soft, unable to break key resistance, keeping gold supported. Treasury yields remain elevated but are no longer rising a positive environment for non-yielding assets like gold. With the December 9–10 FOMC meeting ahead, markets are positioning for volatility but remain structurally bullish. Smart money continues to accumulate dips and distribute premium, maintaining a clean bullish rotation. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Lower yield competition boosts gold demand. 💵 USD softening after CPI & ISM weakness → Supports upside continuation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China + Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven flows. 🏦 China adds 11 tonnes of gold in December (13th month of accumulation) → Reinforces structural demand. 📊 Bond market volatility cooling → Allows gold to stabilise and grind higher. Gold’s strength continues to be driven by macro uncertainty + dedollarization + institutional accumulation. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Market pricing ~88% probability of 25bp cut in December.” “Fed officials reiterate: easing will be gradual but necessary.” Highlights renewed talk about US gold revaluation scenarios due to debt levels. Notes increasing chatter about BRICS gold-backed settlement trials gaining traction. Reports strong ETF inflows, highest in 18 months. Notes ongoing US–China tariff tensions boosting safe-haven bids. Confirms silver outperforming gold YTD, but gold remains the institutional favourite. Highlights supply shortages and increased miner exploration efforts globally. These sources show a unified narrative: institutions remain buyers, and macro conditions favour further upside. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday) Weak data → Boosts rate-cut expectations → Bullish for gold Strong data → Temporary push into sell zones → Liquidity grabs likely 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Rotation 🌍 Tensions increase → Spikes toward premium zones 🌤️ Calm environment → Controlled dips into discount levels Trend remains bullish unless the 4122 structure breaks. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect its bullish structure, rotating efficiently between Smart Money Sell ➝ Discount Buy Zones. Price is currently sitting between scalp sell and major SM sell zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4138 – 4122 Primary institutional demand with deep discount liquidity. Expect: ✔ Strong reaction on first tap ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation if trend continues Break below 4122 opens drawdown toward 4085 → 4050. 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4203 – 4189 Short-term discount region inside the mid-range. Ideal for: ✔ Intraday continuation longs ✔ Retracement buy setups ✔ Liquidity grab reactions Lose 4189 → Price rotates back to SM Buy Orders (4138–4122). 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4222 – 4209 Short-term distribution block. Expect: ✔ Quick reaction shorts ✔ Intraday pullbacks ✔ Stop runs before premium sweep Failure to hold below 4209 → Expansion toward 4238+. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4238 – 4248 Major premium sell zone — high probability reversal area. Contains heavy institutional distribution. Expect: ✔ Manipulation wicks above prior highs ✔ Liquidity grabs ✔ Swing short setups Break & hold above 4248 opens pathway toward: ➡ 4264 → 4284 → 4310 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as 4138–4122 holds, with smart money maintaining clear accumulation at discount and distribution at premium. With FOMC approaching, expect engineered volatility before the real move unfolds. As long as macro conditions stay dovish and demand stays strong, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Stay patient, trust the zones, and execute only where smart money operates. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
BITCOIN — THE MARKET IS APPROACHING ITS REAL DECISION POINTTraders, We dumped. Now Bitcoin is grinding through a controlled recovery. The important question is not simply if we move higher. The real question is where the market will reveal its true intention. The chart is giving us a very clean map and the next major decision point is already forming. 1. The structure so far Bitcoin sold off aggressively, found real buyers, and reclaimed the breakdown wick. That reclaim shows that the low was bought by spot demand rather than mechanical short covering. Price is now pushing into a zone where the next expansion will be decided. The recovery itself is not the interesting part. The levels above and below are. 2. The major checkpoint above: 104k to 105k This zone is extremely important. Two strong pieces of confluence meet here: The 0.886 of the A to B retracement The 1.618 extension of the impulse move you marked with the arrows This creates a clean Potential Reversal Zone. What this means: If the market rejects 104k to 105k structurally, the next major destination becomes the lower imbalance cluster around 64k. That would be a true higher timeframe unwind because the entire path down is filled with thin volume and inefficient price action. If Bitcoin breaks above 105k with flow support, then the next magnets open up immediately. 3. Targets above If price accepts above the 104k to 105k PRZ: First target area Around 116k to 118k where we have a liquidity pocket and HTF inefficiencies. Second target area 123k to 125k where a swing failure pattern is very likely. This is a weak high with resting liquidity and a natural magnet for price during bullish expansions. At target two I expect the first serious reaction because of the liquidity sitting above the weak high. 4. Order flow confirms accumulation not distribution Looking at the CVD grids: Spot CVD is trending lower while price holds steady. This is a sign of absorption because someone is taking the other side of the selling. Stablecoin margined CVD continues lower but without price following. Coin margined CVD is sweeping lows with no breakdown in price. This creates a hidden bullish divergence across the board. Open interest also supports this view: Stablecoin margined OI remains high which means traders did not exit during the dump. Coin margined OI is slowly building which often appears before directional expansion. This is not the profile of a market preparing for distribution. It is the profile of a market preparing for a move. 5. CME chart: AVWAP support from the last major swing On CME, the AVWAP anchored from the previous major swing low to swing high is still holding as support. CME often leads during inflection zones. As long as this AVWAP holds, the market is positioned in a continuation PRZ rather than a breakdown PRZ. If CME loses this AVWAP, the cascade scenario strengthens. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact. 6. What happens if we break down instead if Bitcoin fails to reclaim structure and breaks back down, the following levels become active: 83k to 84k This is the shallow retrace zone and the first structural catch. 81k to 82k This area contains the 1.113 extension and a previously unfilled FVG. 79k to 80k This is the 1.272 level and a strong imbalance pocket. 72k to 73k This contains the 1.414 extension and the next clean liquidity cluster. 64k This is the 1.618 extension and the final major downside target. It aligns with the strong HTF imbalance that has never been fully tested. A rejection from 104k to 105k can eventually lead price through these levels in sequence because the entire zone from 90k down to 70k contains thin volume. There is not much structural support built on the way up. 7. Real time confirmation tools Watch these signals when we approach the 104k to 105k decision zone: Spot CVD rising means continuation likelihood increases Funding staying negative means shorts are still stuck OI rising with price means momentum is building CVD stalling or rolling over at 104k to 105k means rejection risk is high CME AVWAP reclaim or failure will guide direction If buyers hold flow above 105k, the path to 117k and then 124k is clean. If buyers fail and we reject 105k with aggressive selling, the path down becomes active. Final view Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important technical levels on the chart. We dumped on real flow. We recovered on spot demand. Now the market is converging toward the 104k to 105k PRZ where a true decision will be made. Break above and the next magnets are 117k and 124k with a likely swing failure at the second target. Reject and the lower zones activate with 64k as the eventual HTF destination. This is the map. The levels are clear. TLDR BTC is recovering with spot support 104k to 105k is the major PRZ Break above: targets at 116k to 118k and 123k to 125k Reject here: downside levels at 83k, 82k, 80k, 73k and 64k Order flow is showing hidden bullish divergence CME AVWAP is holding which keeps the bullish narrative alive The market leaves its footprints long before it shows its direction. Read the sands, follow the flow and stay prepared. - ThetaNomad ---------------------------------------------- If you enjoy this style of analysis feel free to leave a like or comment. It lets me know you find value in these deeper structural and flow based breakdowns. ----------------------------------------------
Long
by ThetaNomad
2
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?(December 05, 2025)OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?(December 05, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues its upward rotation after reacting perfectly from Smart Money Buy Orders earlier this week. Price is now pushing toward major liquidity pockets and approaching premium sell zones, keeping bulls firmly in command despite mild USD stabilization. The U.S. Dollar Index remains soft following post-election volatility, hovering near structural lows. Combined with elevated geopolitical tensions and aggressive central-bank accumulation, gold continues to operate inside a macro-bullish environment. With key U.S. data releases (ADP, ISM Services, PCE) and the December 9–10 FOMC meeting ahead, markets remain cautious but structurally bullish. Gold is respecting the premium discount rotation cleanly, offering multiple low-risk, high-probability setups for disciplined traders. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 88% probability of a December rate cut → lower yield competition boosts gold 💵 USD stabilizing but not strengthening → downside limited 🌍 Geopolitical tensions elevated → strong safe-haven premium 🏦 Central banks remain net buyers (634t YTD) → consistent long-term accumulation 📊 Core PCE at 2.9% → keeps Fed leaning dovish Gold’s strength remains driven by a powerful combination of macro uncertainty + structural demand + smart-money order flow. 📰 Insights from Key Sources Spot gold rose 1% to $4,199.19/oz on Nov 28, signaling renewed buying interest and aggressive dip-accumulation. Bank of America projects gold could reach $5,000/oz by 2026, backed by tight supply, low inventories, and persistent monetary support. Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 average gold forecast to $4,450/oz (up from $4,000), citing ETF inflows and sustained central-bank demand. Australian miners are ramping up exploration to capitalize on the rally. South Africa has opened its first underground gold mine in 15 years (Qala Shallows), aiming to stockpile ore amid record prices. Structural supply constraints remain a bullish driver, supporting higher long-term price projections. These insights reinforce the institutional bias: long-term accumulation remains strong, and the upside narrative is supported by both fundamentals and supply-demand dynamics. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 Core PCE Data — Recently Released A major Federal Reserve–driven volatility catalyst. Latest Core PCE: 2.9% YoY Latest Monthly Change: 0.2% MoM If Core PCE comes in softer than expectations: ✔️ Strengthens the December rate-cut narrative ✔️ Supports a continuation toward premium sell zones (4245 → 4264 → 4284) ✔️ Confirms easing inflation pressure and boosts non-yielding assets like gold If Core PCE comes in hotter than forecast: ✔️ Sparks temporary USD strength ✔️ Expect a liquidity sweep into discount zones (4203 → 4189 → 4167) ✔️ Real direction usually follows after the stop-hunt, not the initial candle 🔸 Geopolitical Landscape Geopolitical tensions continue to amplify intraday volatility: 🌍 Escalation → safe-haven spike into premium zones 🌤️ Calm → controlled pullbacks into buy zones Trend remains bullish, but momentum varies depending on global risk sentiment. Geopolitics generally strengthens the prevailing smart-money trend rather than reversing it. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect its rising structure, reacting cleanly from discount zones and rotating toward institutional premium blocks. Price currently sits just below major sell-side liquidity. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4147 – 4167 Primary institutional demand zone with ~$22 million in resting buy-side liquidity. Expect: ✔️ Strong reaction on first tap ✔️ Accumulation & mitigation ✔️ Higher-low formations inside bullish channel Break below 4147 opens liquidity toward 4108 → 4075. 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4203 – 4189 Short-term discount zone for: ✔️ Intraday long scalps ✔️ Retracement continuation setups ✔️ Mid-range liquidity grabs A break of 4189 brings price back into the deeper Smart Money Buy Zone. 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4245 – 4254 Short-term distribution zone ideal for: ✔️ Quick reaction shorts ✔️ Intraday pullbacks ✔️ Stop runs before testing the major premium zone Rejection sends price back toward 4200–4210 liquidity. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4264 – 4284 High-probability institutional distribution zone with $33 million in sell-side orders. Expect: ✔️ Manipulation wicks into premium ✔️ Liquidity grabs above local highs ✔️ Swing reversal setups near range extreme A decisive break & hold above 4284 opens continuation toward 4310 → 4325. 📌 Conclusion gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4147–4167 Smart Money Buy Zone is protected, with price continuing its clean rotation between institutional discount and premium levels. With unemployment data set to inject volatility, expect engineered liquidity sweeps before the true direction unfolds. The broader narrative of dovish policy, geopolitical risk, and heavy central-bank accumulation keeps the upside intact. Stay patient, trust the zones, and let smart-money footprints guide every decision. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAUUSD H1 BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP Bias: Short-term Bullish as long as support holds Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: (Use your chart’s demand level — price is currently reacting from a bullish zone) Resistance Zone: (Your chart’s previous swing high / supply) Buying Idea If Gold stays above the support zone and shows bullish confirmation (H1 bullish candle / rejection wick), you can look for buy setups. Possible Targets: TP1: Nearest H1 resistance TP2: Previous swing high TP3: Fresh supply zone on the H1 chart Selling Idea If Gold breaks below the support zone with strong bearish momentum, a short-term drop is possible. Possible Targets: TP1: Nearest minor support TP2: Previous H1 low TP3: Strong demand zone below
TVC:GOLDLong
by DAVID_JONES778
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones. Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow) 1️⃣ Key Support: 4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction. Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains. 2️⃣ Near Resistance: 4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line. 3️⃣ Main Target Zone: 4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market. Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out. 🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF Main Scenario – BUY with Trend BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests. TP Targets: TP1: 4,212 TP2: 4,236 TP3: 4,254 SL: below 4,182. Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones. Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction Only for scalp traders: SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238 TP: 4,212 SL: 4,243 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187. Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp. Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
BTC’s Bounce Looks Weak — Sell Pressure May Hit Harder .....📌 Quick Market Breakdown (BTC – 4H) Bitcoin is showing a textbook corrective bounce after a sharp breakdown from its rising structure. The current reaction is weak and aligns perfectly with a short-term bearish continuation setup. Key Points From the Chart - BTC broke both trendline support and the rising wedge, creating strong downside momentum. - Price is now pulling back into the previous demand ⇒ now supply zone (the green zone you marked). - The bounce is losing steam exactly at the SHORT ENTRY zone, signaling a high-probability reversal point. - Market structure has officially shifted from bullish → bearish short-term. 🎯 Main Scenario (High Probability) The pullback rejects and BTC heads lower. Short entry zone: 86,800 – 87,500 Target 1: 84,000 zone (first liquidity pocket) Target 2: 82,000 zone (deep demand zone) This fits perfectly with the break-retest-drop pattern. ⚠️ Alternate Scenario (Low Probability) If BTC closes a 4H candle ABOVE 88,600, the short-term bearish idea is invalidated. In that case, BTC may retest 89,500 – 90,000, but this is less likely given current momentum. 📌 Final Conclusion BTC is currently in a bearish correction phase, and the bounce you're seeing now is likely nothing more than a pullback into resistance. The chart strongly favors continuation to the downside, with sellers ready to step in aggressively from the short-entry zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
6
NFLX — Bullish Structure Above 32.65 with Target at 154.29Summary: Netflix (NFLX) maintains a broader bullish structure as long as price holds above the major key support at 32.65. Current retracement remains healthy within the Fibonacci levels, and buyers are still defending the mid-range supports. Analysis: Price is currently consolidating between the 0.5 Fib (85.28) and the 0.75 Fib (119.79) after a strong impulsive rally from the 32.65 base. The inability of bears to break below 32.65 confirms this zone as a long-term structural support. As long as price stays above this level, deeper bearish continuation remains unlikely. A reclaim above 119.79 (0.75 Fib) would reopen the path toward 140.49 (0.9 Fib) and ultimately the major target at 154.29 (1.0 extension). On the downside, a corrective pullback toward 71.48 (0.4 Fib) remains possible but does not invalidate the bullish macro trend unless 32.65 is broken.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by adham2022
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 28, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 28, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple trust the levels, follow the plan. *📰 Market Overview* Gold continues to hold strong inside the rising channel after reacting beautifully from the Smart Money Buy Orders (4086–4099) the exact zone that ignited the latest impulsive push. Despite a firmer USD rotation earlier in the week, buyers have returned aggressively as volatility compresses near equilibrium. The Dollar Index remains anchored near the 100.20 region, limiting aggressive upside continuation but still allowing steady bullish rotation fueled by geopolitical uncertainty and consistent central-bank demand. With high-impact macro data delayed due to the recent U.S. government shutdown, markets are positioning cautiously ahead of the December FOMC, keeping gold in a structured premium discount cycle. *🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move* 📈 DXY steady near 100.20 → caps bullish momentum temporarily 🏦 Fed divided on rate cuts → softer expectations for December 🌍 Geopolitical tensions remain elevated → Middle East & Ukraine risk premium 🏛 Central banks continue accumulating → long-term bullish foundation 📊 ETF inflows cool → controlled month-end profit-taking The push-and-pull between a cautious Federal Reserve and persistent global uncertainty keeps gold rotating cleanly between your smart-money levels. *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week Manufacturing expected near 49 Services around 51 Weak PMI → boosts cut expectations → gold bullish Strong PMI → DXY lift → gold retests demand zones 🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims First major releases after the data backlog. Strong GDP = delays cuts → pullback into buy zones Weak data = safe-haven flows → bullish continuation 🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16 Market sees a pause, but weak labor prints could revive hopes for a 25bp cut. Hawkish tone → tests 4146 EQ → 4099 → 4086 Dovish tone → pushes 4165 → 4219 → 4244 🔸 Geopolitical Premium Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike Calm + strong USD = controlled retracements *🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* Gold continues to respect the rising channel, tapping premium zones for sells and discount zones for accumulation. The latest impulsive move from 4086–4099 has lifted price into the next liquidity zone around 4146–4165, matching your structural breakout. *🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4144 – 4148* This is today’s directional pivot. ✔️ Hold Above EQ Momentum strengthens toward: ➡️ 4165 → 4184 → 4219 ✔️ Drop Below EQ Weakens flow toward: ➡️ 4099 → 4086 Deep sweep possible if macro data disappoints. *🟩 📌SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4086 – 4099* Your primary institutional demand zone. Perfect for: ✔️ Intraday dip-buys ✔️ First-tap reactions ✔️ Discount rotations inside the channel A clean break below opens liquidity toward 3955–3964. *🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4147 – 4137* Your micro-discount reaction area. Expect: ✔️ Fast scalps ✔️ Partial liquidation ✔️ High-volatility wicks Deep sweeps toward here usually appear only during macro-driven flushes. *🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4184 – 4196* Consistent intraday rejection zone. Ideal for: ✔️ Low-risk scalping shorts ✔️ Liquidity grabs ✔️ Wick-heavy reactions A clean break above 4196 opens path into major distribution. *🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4219 – 4244* Your main institutional distribution block. Expect: ✔️ Manipulation wicks ✔️ Stop-hunt behavior ✔️ Swing-level reversals A break & hold above 4244 = continuation into 4279–4293. *📌 Conclusion* Gold continues to rotate smoothly between premium and discount zones, with 4144–4148 EQ acting as the decisive intraday pivot. A sustained hold above this level favors continuation into 4184–4196 and the 4219–4244 distribution block, while rejection brings price back toward 4099–4086 for fresh accumulation. With delayed macro data and elevated geopolitical tensions shaping sentiment, expect controlled, level-to-level movement driven by smart-money flow. Stay disciplined and trade only where liquidity is building. Stay patient. Execute only where smart money is active. Let the levels do the work. *🙌 Support the Analysis* If this helps your trading, show some support with likes & comments it motivates deeper daily breakdowns. Share your charts, levels, and predictions. Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 26, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 26, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we break complex smart-money charts into clean buy & sell zones. Keep it simple let the levels guide your decisions. *📰 Market Overview* Gold continues to push higher inside the rising channel after reacting cleanly from the Smart Money Buy Orders (4088–4109). A stronger USD earlier in the week capped upside, but buyers have stepped back in aggressively as volatility tightens. The Dollar Index remains steady near the key 100.20 zone, limiting impulsive bullish continuation—but geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand continue to provide a strong foundation underneath gold. As we head deeper into the week, markets are bracing for delayed high-impact macro releases while positioning ahead of December’s FOMC event. *🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move* 📈 DXY stable near 100.20 → caps aggressive upside moves 🏦 Fed officials remain split → December rate-cut expectations soften 🌍 Geopolitical risks remain elevated → Middle East & Ukraine tensions 🏛 Central banks continue buying → strong long-term support 📊 ETF inflows slow → partial profit-taking into month-end The tug-of-war between a cautious Fed and strong global risk demand keeps gold in a premium–discount rotation cycle. *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week Manufacturing expected ~49 Services expected ~51 Weak PMI → boosts rate-cut probability → gold bullish Strong PMI → DXY bounce → gold dips toward demand zones 🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims First major release following the data delays. Strong GDP = postpones rate cuts → gold bearish Weak data = safe-haven rotation → gold bullish 🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16 Markets lean toward a pause, but soft labor data could increase odds of a 25bps cut. Hawkish tone → tests 4109 → 4088 Dovish tone → pushes gold toward 4184 → 4219 → 4244 🔸 Geopolitical Premium Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike Calm + strong USD = controlled pullbacks *🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* Gold continues respecting the rising channel, tapping premium zones for sells and discount zones for fresh accumulation. The recent impulsive move from 4088–4109 has driven price into the next liquidity pocket around 4165+, aligning with your chart’s breakout structure. *🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4135 – 4140* This is today’s intraday pivot. ✔️ Hold Above EQ Momentum strengthens toward: ➡️ 4165 → 4184 → 4196 ✔️ Stay Below EQ Price weakens toward: ➡️ 4109 → 4088 Potential deeper sweep if macro data disappoints. *🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4088 – 4109* Your primary smart-money demand zone. Ideal for: ✔️ Intraday dip buys ✔️ First-reaction entries ✔️ Premium → discount rebalance setups Break below this zone = fast drop toward 4040–4020 liquidity. *🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4184 – 4196* Clean intraday rejection zone. Sellers consistently defend this level. ✔️ Best for low-risk scalping shorts ✔️ High-probability liquidity grab ✔️ Wick-heavy reactions expected A clean close above 4196 opens the door to bigger institutional zones. *🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4219 – 4244* This is your primary large-volume distribution zone. Expect: ✔️ Manipulation wicks ✔️ Strong algo-driven sells ✔️ Swing-level reversal setups Break and hold above 4244 = continuation into 4280+. *🚨 📌 EXTREME POI (Institutional Orders): 4184 – 4200* Your mid-range liquidity pocket. If tapped: Expect reaction → pullback → re-test unless news breaks strongly in favor of risk-off flows. *🔻 📌* DEEP SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS (Macro Flush): 3965 – 3985 High liquidity pool—activated only during major macro-driven corrections. Expect: ✔️ Long wicks ✔️ Violent V-shaped reactions ✔️ High-RR swing long setups Reclaiming 4,000 from this zone confirms strong bullish intention. *🕑 ASTROLOGY BUY-THE-DIP TIME: 10:50 – 13:50* Your key energy window based on astro-timing. Dips during this window especially near 4109–4088 often align with algorithmic reversal periods. *📌 Conclusion* Gold continues to trade level-to-level, with 4135–4140 acting as the key intraday pivot for direction. Holding above this area keeps momentum pointed toward 4184–4196 and potentially 4219, while a break below exposes 4109–4088 for fresh accumulation. With delayed macro data and a divided Fed shaping sentiment, expect controlled swings between premium and discount zones. Stay patient and execute only where smart money is active. Stay disciplined. Let the levels do the work. *🙌 Support the Analysis* If you find this helpful, please support with your likes & comments it motivates deeper daily analysis. Share your charts, thoughts & predictions. Let’s grow together. *Best Regards,* *M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS*
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area. Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support. Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move. Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached. Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area. Key levels Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply 4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone 4,280–4,330: large FVG above Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone 4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040 4,000: psychological and structural support 3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice) 1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050 SL: 4,056 TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005 Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040. 2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone Entry: 4,170–4,173 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100 This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom. 3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms: Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100 Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout SL: 4,092 TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave. Macro – Fed context Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated: This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed. The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions. This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction. Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The current H4 structure is a triangle model with: A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx. An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support. Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend. Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile. 4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave. 4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely. 4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken. 4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep. When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction. Risk management and invalidation H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held. H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend. Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1💛 XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1, AWAITING A NEW BREAKOUT THIS WEEK 🎯 🌤 Overview of the New Week Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 Gold, after a very strong rise from the 3,500 region to above 4,400, is entering a "resting" phase on the D1 frame: the price continuously tests the upward trendline but has not yet broken it to confirm a downtrend. The market is clearly waiting for a real breakout before forming a new medium-term wave. Next week, we have CPI and PPI – important inflation data that could act as a catalyst to push gold out of the current accumulation zone. 💹 Technical Analysis (Daily Triangle) On the D1 frame, when connecting the descending peaks and ascending bottoms, gold is in a narrowing triangle pattern. The upward trendline below is still maintained, indicating that the medium-term trend has not reversed. Below are important zones: ≈ 3,890: if the price closes below this area, it could confirm medium-term weakening. Fibonacci & psychological resistance zone 3,800–3,900: strong support, confluence with old price structure. POC Volume Profile around 3,650: if a deep decline scenario occurs, this will be the next price attraction zone. Above, the old peak zone around 4,300–4,400 remains a large liquidity zone, a natural target if gold breaks the upper edge of the triangle. In summary: the more compressed the triangle, the stronger the breakout – the direction will depend heavily on CPI/PPI data & Fed expectations. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Medium-Term) 💖 Scenario 1 – Maintain Uptrend (priority when the trendline is not broken) Observe the reaction at the D1 upward trendline (area around 4,000). If the price continuously bounces from the trendline and stays above the 3,890 area, you can: Prioritize buying according to the trend at support retests on H4–H1. Medium-term targets: 4,150 → 4,250 → 4,300–4,400 if the triangle breaks upwards. 💢 Scenario 2 – Triangle Breaks, Shifts to Medium-Term Decline If D1 closes below 3,890: Consider this a signal confirming medium-term weakening. Prioritize selling at newly formed resistance zones. Step-by-step targets: 3,800 → 3,700 (POC) → 3,500 (strong previous support). In both scenarios, specific entry points should be refined on smaller frames (H4, H1) based on price action/OB/FVG. ⚠️ Note News & Risk Management Next week's CPI & PPI could be the "final blow," pushing gold out of the triangle – volatility can be wide and fast, spreads may widen. Last week's NFP news hardly created big waves for gold after the US government shutdown, indicating the market is holding strength waiting for more important data. 🌷 Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold on D1 is in the final stage of the accumulation triangle – this is a time where patient observation is as important as a beautiful entry point 💛 Next week, I will continue to update daily details on smaller frames so everyone can have more specific entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th Good morning everyone, Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th. The ABC correction phase of gold is nearly complete, and the market is preparing to enter a new wave phase amidst a flurry of USD data today. Fundamental Analysis Today's focus remains on the US labor data: NFP (or revisions), Unemployment Rate, and Initial Jobless Claims. If the data shows a cooling labor market, expectations for the Fed to soon pivot to a rate-cutting cycle will rise, weakening real yields, putting pressure on the USD, and supporting gold prices. Conversely, "too good" data will strengthen the dollar, allowing for a short-term repricing move, potentially dragging gold down to lower liquidity zones before recovering. US session liquidity may be thin before the news release, making it prone to spikes due to algorithms and large flows simultaneously adjusting positions. Overall, the macro backdrop still favors "buying the dip" for gold, but you must accept strong volatility around news time. Technical Analysis On the chart, gold has completed an ABC corrective wave within a descending channel, part of a larger uptrend. The current descending channel only serves as a corrective leg after the previous upward wave; prices are trading above the "mean" area of the bullish structure, indicating the larger market structure remains bullish. Below is the liquidity zone / demand zone 4013–4015, coinciding with the previous low and the lower channel boundary – if there's another stop-hunt to this area, it is still considered an opportunity to join the upward move, as long as 4008 is not breached. Above, the 4086–4100 cluster is the decision zone: breaking and holding above here will confirm exiting the corrective channel, triggering an impulsive leg towards resistances 4132–4146 and further to 4187. In summary, the main bias remains bullish, prioritizing buy strategies at support zones or after breakout confirmation. Key Price Levels Resistance: 4086 – 4100 – 4110 – 4132 – 4146 Support: 4040 – 4030 – 4015 Trading Scenarios Buy Scenario 1 – Continuation Breakout Entry: 4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4100 – 4120 – 4140 Prioritize when price breaks up and retests 4086–4100 as a new support zone, confirming exit from the descending channel. Buy Scenario 2 – Deep Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4015–4013 SL: 4008 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4070 Watch for strong price reactions at the demand zone, with pin bars or engulfing candles signaling order flow returning to buyers. Sell Scenario – Sell Reaction at Strong Resistance Entry: 4144–4146 SL: 4151 TP: 4132 – 4120 – 4100 Short-term sell strategy, leveraging the high supply zone if price rises straight up without sufficient accumulation. The medium-term upside target if the bullish wave develops as expected remains the 4187 area. What do you think of this scenario? Remember to follow Brian for daily gold insights and comment your views below to join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD Analysis (Nov 19, 2025) - Key Levels for BreakoutOANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 19, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex charts into clean buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Let levels drive your decisions. *📰 Market Overview* Gold dipped after failing to hold above $4,100, sliding toward the mid-range as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbs toward 99.55. Expectations for a December rate cut weaken (now ~47%), adding pressure on metals. *Key fundamentals driving today’s volatility:* 📈 DXY rebound → reduces short-term gold momentum 🏦 Fed hawkish tone after October’s cut; policymakers want “pause & observe” 📉 Shutdown-related data blackout = mixed signals + unpredictable volatility 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China tariffs, Mideast, Ukraine-Russia) continue to anchor safe-haven flows 🏛 Central banks still buying: Q3 +220t, Poland +67t YTD *📊 ETF flows:* ETF flows hit a record +222t in Q3, but November is seeing mild outflows even as AUM holds near $472B. It’s like investors took a big bite earlier, but are now nibbling less while still keeping most of their gold on the table. *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 FOMC Meeting – Dec 10 Odds remain mixed with a slight hawkish tilt; any surprise tough tone could pressure gold short-term. 🔸 Data Blackout Continues With CPI/NFP still imputed, November data may drop in clusters, triggering sudden volatility spikes. 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Premium Escalation brings instant safe-haven demand, while de-escalation boosts DXY and pushes gold lower. 🟩 *GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after dropping to 3998 dollars, price found strong demand and has now climbed back up to around 4050 dollars. *Whats NEXT ON GOLD ?* 👀👀 🎯 EQUILIBRIUM: 4122.95 Hold above = bullish momentum toward 4148 Stay below = re-test 4054 & possibly sweep 4039 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4039 – 4054 Strong intraday support + previous demand footprint. 🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4106 – 4113 Expected rejection zone first reaction area. 🚨 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4165 – 4148 CONCLUSION:- Gold remains in a tight battle between demand at 4039–4054 and rejection zones near 4106–4113, with EQ at 4122.95 acting as the true directional trigger. Holding below EQ favors a pullback toward 4054/4039, while a clean break above opens momentum toward 4148–4165. Overall, range-bound with a slight downside bias until EQ is reclaimed. *Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion & chart with me !* *Best Regards , M.MOIZ KHATTAK | FOUNDER OF TRADEWITHDECRYPTERS*
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS