EURCHF Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9312 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -0.9299
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Technicalindicators
XRP makes big moves -LONG-DAILY-VIEW-Hello all 🌍😀🙋♂️🙋♀️
Thank you so much for coming today 🌞
Let's dive right in 🏄♂️🏄🌊⏬👇🐼
I am and have been extremely bullish on XRP
🐮🙋♀️🙋♂️WHY?☮️💡🤯
FUNDAMENTALLY:
💠Deflationary in nature🍃 the more XRP that is burned (every transaction, results in a very small fraction of burned token) the more it pushes price of XRP up naturally -supply and demand-
💠XRP is ranked top 5 fastest transaction times of all cryptocurrencies (3-5 seconds)
💠The SEC tried to sue XRP's creator Ripple in 2020 for selling XRP to institutional investors, the lawsuit ended in a 'permanent' injunction against XRP selling to institutions. This could be considered good and bad
💠August 2025 SEC dropped the case and both parties dismissed their appeals
💠 The lawsuit of 2020 didn't stop XRP from outperforming, XRP is currently top 5 cryptocurrencies market cap rating, sitting at 💲130 Billion total (not circulating)
Let's dive in, to the next look 🔍🤸🤸♂️💭⏬🐼
TECHNICALLY:
NOVEMBER 3rd 2023 , XRP price went from .48 cents to 2.9 on DECEMBER 3rd
a 490 percent 💲price increase in just 1 month 🤯 That's a bullish and QUICK🏃♀️🏃♂️💨 jump ⏬⏬🔽👇
⭐👀📍
We have currently made a break from a bearish🐻 descending triangle📐 and it is a strong break at that 💥
If we can continue to gain support 💪 and turn these resistances into fuel ⛽ without getting rejected, XRP price could see some of our bullish 🐂🎯 targets, listed above 📈📉
Let's see!
⌚⌛👀🐶📌😀
Thank you for stopping by and always remember 👇👇
🫡🐴🐲🐸🤖👻👽🙍♂️🙍♀️🫡
🛑🛑🛑This is not financial advice🛑🛑🛑 Above are approximate targets based on fibs and major trend lines etc. I always recommend looking at multiple charts when making a big investment. Always have a stop loss ✋🛑💲 set🆗
Any thoughts 💭💡, questions 🙋♀️🙋♂️❓, good 👍, bad👎, happy 😄 or sad 😥, in the comments always welcome.
Jazerbay 🌠
Developing A Trading Philosophy: Experimenting With IndicatorsIn our last video we were talking about the concept of the causes and effect on price action. What causes price to move in a certain direction vs. what the effects of the price action.
We came to the conclusion, that indicators are not causes of price action, but they are a different way of looking at the price. Therefore, price action dictates what happens to the indicator.
On the other hand things like market structure elements, supply and demand areas, order block, order flows, imbalances (Fair Value Gaps), etc.. are examples of price action causes.
In this video we are showing our experiment on using a playbook that depends totally on indicators which are, as we said, price action effects, not causes.
The experiment was positive. The annual return was crazy. Crazy when we think of it in terms of investment. This video shows a total annual return of more than 54%. I am not sure what business brings such net returns.
Still we need to look at some of the hidden teachings within this experiment. This such as the necessity of a static stop loss vs. a stop loss based change of story.
Another concept that came out of this experiment which is the difference in returns with higher timeframes over lower timeframes. The weekly time frame brought in around 40% of the total 54%, while daily was responsible for only 14% of those returns.
Next week we will be moving this experiment to a Demo Account. Last week the experiment was made using the "Replay" feature in TradingView with the period between 1st of Jan 2025 and end of 2025. Additionally, we will be experimenting on "Replay" adding market structure and SMC elements to the play book and see the effect on the total performance.
Those experiments are vey useful to me to arrive at developing my trading philosophy and my general trading strategy. It will definitely play a big role in facilitating the development of an exact playbook. I hope that as much as what I am doing is beneficial to me, it is also beneficial to the trading community.
The Investor
EURUSD Is Not Weak — It’s Reacting at Support After a Trendline Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing direction, but understanding how EURUSD is behaving after breaking below a descending resistance line and reacting into a well-defined support zone.
From the left side of the chart, price has been trading under a descending resistance trendline, repeatedly forming lower highs, which clearly capped upside attempts. Each rally into this trendline was sold, confirming that sellers were in control of short-term momentum. This structure remained intact until price finally lost altitude and accelerated lower.
The critical move occurred when EURUSD broke down from the mid-range and pushed directly into the 1.1740–1.1750 support zone. This zone is not arbitrary — it aligns with multiple prior reaction lows and has already shown the ability to absorb selling pressure. The sharp sell-off into this area suggests a liquidity-driven move rather than a slow distribution.
Structurally, the market is now at an inflection point. The down-move into support completed a short-term bearish leg, but follow-through has stalled, indicating that sellers are no longer as aggressive at these levels. This opens the door for a corrective rebound, not a trend reversal yet.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly:
A brief stabilization or marginal sweep below support is possible to finish the downside move.
From there, a technical rebound toward the descending resistance line around 1.1765–1.1780 becomes the natural magnet.
As long as price remains below the descending trendline, any upside should be treated as corrective, not the start of a new bullish trend.
Only a clean reclaim and acceptance above the descending resistance would signal that bearish pressure has fully reset and that the market is ready to challenge the higher 1.1800 resistance zone again. Until then, EURUSD remains in a rebalance phase following a controlled breakdown, where patience and level-based execution matter most.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
ETH Compresses Between Supply and Demand On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is trading inside a clearly defined range, capped by a strong resistance zone around 3,040–3,080 and supported by a demand zone near 2,880–2,920. Price is currently rotating around the mid-range near 2,970, showing hesitation rather than directional conviction. This positioning signals balance between buyers and sellers, not trend expansion.
From a structure perspective, the market has failed multiple times to sustain acceptance above the resistance zone. Each push into supply has been followed by sharp rejections, indicating that sell-side liquidity remains active at higher levels. The recent rebound is corrective in nature and has not yet invalidated the broader ranging structure.
On the downside, the support zone has held repeatedly, but reactions from this area are becoming increasingly overlapping and less impulsive. This behavior typically reflects absorption rather than aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this support, downside risk is contained, but the lack of strong follow-through limits bullish continuation.
In the near-term outlook, ETH is likely to continue range oscillation unless a clear catalyst drives expansion. A rejection from the 2,980–3,000 area would favor a move back toward the lower boundary of the range, while a clean breakout and acceptance above 3,080 would be required to confirm a structural shift toward higher prices.
From a macro context, crypto remains sensitive to broader risk conditions, including USD stability and liquidity expectations. Without a decisive risk-on impulse or volume expansion, moves into resistance should be treated with caution.
In summary, Ethereum remains range-bound and compressed. Until price decisively breaks and holds outside the 2,880–3,080 range, the market favors patience, reaction-based trading, and respect for key zones rather than directional bias.
Liquidity Builds Before the Real MoveOn the 1H timeframe, Bitcoin remains locked inside a clearly defined sideways range, bounded by a support zone around 86,700–87,000 and a resistance zone near 90,300–90,600. Price is currently trading around 88,500, which places it firmly in the middle of the range — a location that typically favors indecision rather than directional conviction.
From a market structure standpoint, Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to establish acceptance above the resistance zone. Each impulsive push into the 90K area has been met with swift rejection, signaling that sell-side liquidity remains active at the highs. These reactions confirm that the resistance is not yet weakened and continues to cap upside attempts.
On the lower boundary, the support zone has been respected multiple times, producing consistent rebounds. However, these reactions have become increasingly corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests absorption and balance, not aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this zone, downside continuation remains limited, but the lack of strong follow-through keeps the market range-bound.
The current price action shows compression and volatility contraction, a classic behavior ahead of expansion. Liquidity is being built on both sides of the range. A sustained break and acceptance above 90,600 would be required to confirm a bullish continuation scenario, while a clean loss of 86,700 support would expose lower liquidity pools and shift the bias decisively bearish.
From a broader macro perspective, Bitcoin remains sensitive to overall risk sentiment and liquidity conditions. With no clear macro catalyst or volume expansion visible at this stage, the market continues to favor range rotation rather than trend development.
In summary, Bitcoin is not trending it is consolidating. Until price decisively exits the 86,700–90,600 range, traders should prioritize reaction at key levels, patience, and disciplined risk management, rather than anticipating a breakout prematurely.
Gold Pauses After the Breakdown — Correction Before the Next....On the 1H timeframe, Gold experienced a sharp impulsive sell-off after losing the prior key support near 4,445, confirming a clear break in short-term market structure. This move was decisive, with strong bearish candles and minimal overlap, indicating aggressive participation from sellers rather than a routine pullback.
Following the sell-off, price transitioned into a bearish corrective phase, forming a descending channel. This structure reflects controlled retracement behavior: sellers remain dominant, while buyers are only able to produce shallow, overlapping rebounds. The inability to reclaim the broken 4,445 level reinforces this area as a new resistance, not support.
Within the channel, price action shows lower highs and lower lows, signaling that downside pressure has not fully exhausted. The projected zigzag path highlights continued corrective swings inside the channel, suggesting that volatility compression is still in progress before a larger directional move emerges.
The upside projection toward 4,445–4,460 represents a mean-reversion and liquidity-retest scenario, not trend confirmation. For any bullish continuation to be technically valid, Gold would need to break and hold above the descending channel, followed by acceptance above the prior breakdown level. Without that, upside moves remain corrective in nature.
From a macro perspective, Gold remains sensitive to real yields and USD strength. The recent downside aligns with periods of firmer yields and reduced safe-haven urgency. Until macro conditions shift meaningfully, technical rallies are likely to face supply at prior structure levels.
In summary, Gold is currently in a post-breakdown consolidation phase, correcting within a bearish channel. The market remains structurally vulnerable until key resistance is reclaimed. Traders should focus on reaction at the channel boundaries and the 4,445 level, as these zones will determine whether the next leg is continuation or deeper retracement.
ejected Again — Sellers Still in ControlOANDA:EURUSD is trading in a bearish continuation structure on H1. Price has been rejected repeatedly from the descending resistance trendline and remains capped below the EMA cluster, confirming sustained selling pressure. The recent breakdown signals continuation rather than a temporary pullback.
Momentum favors the downside as long as price stays below the former reaction area, with sellers defending rallies.
Resistance: 1.1765 – 1.1780
Support: 1.1705 – 1.1710
Range focus: 1.1730 – 1.1780
➡️ Primary: sell rallies below resistance → continuation toward 1.1710 → 1.1700 support.
⚠️ Risk: strong reclaim above 1.1780 weakens the bearish setup and forces reassessment.
Still Ranging — The Breakout Isn’t Here YetCOINBASE:ETHUSD continues to trade in a range-reaccumulation structure on H2. Price is holding above the 2,880–2,920 support zone, while upside attempts remain capped below the 3,060–3,100 resistance area. This behavior reflects rotation and liquidity rebalancing rather than a decisive trend move.
The EMA cluster is flattening, reinforcing the idea of consolidation. As long as support holds, the structure favors a gradual build-up for another upside attempt.
Resistance: 3,060 – 3,100
Support: 2,880 – 2,920
Range focus: 2,900 – 3,100
➡️ Primary: support holds → higher lows → rotation back toward 3,060–3,100 resistance.
⚠️ Risk: clean break below 2,880 opens a deeper pullback into the lower demand zone.
EUR/USD Is Compressing — The Breakout Direction EUR/USD – 1H MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Context
EUR/USD is currently trading inside a clear range structure, bounded by a defined support zone below and a major resistance zone above. The market is transitioning from a corrective phase into a potential re-accumulation leg.
1. Price Structure
Price recently reacted strongly from the support zone, confirming this area as active demand.
The pullback held above EMA 89, while price is attempting to reclaim EMA 34, suggesting selling pressure is weakening.
The overall structure remains higher low–based, meaning the bullish structure is still valid unless support fails.
2. Moving Average Context
EMA 34 (short-term): Acting as dynamic resistance; a clean reclaim would signal momentum shift.
EMA 89 (mid-term): Continues to act as dynamic support, confirming that the market is not bearish.
Compression between price and EMAs indicates energy building for the next expansion.
3. Key Zones
Support Zone: Strong buyer reaction area; loss of this zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
Resistance Zone: Previous supply area where sellers previously stepped in; this is the main upside objective.
4. Scenarios & Outlook
Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Preferred)
Price holds above the support zone.
Gradual push higher with higher lows.
Upside targets:
First: reclaim mid-range liquidity
Final: test of the resistance zone
Alternative Scenario – Range Extension
Price consolidates between EMA 34 and support.
Sideways movement before expansion.
Invalidation Scenario
Strong H1 close below the support zone.
This would open the door for deeper downside and trend reassessment.
5. Trading Bias
Bias: Mild bullish
Strategy: Buy pullbacks near support, avoid chasing price mid-range
Risk Note: Confirmation is required near resistance — do not anticipate breakouts blindly
Summary
EUR/USD is stabilizing after a pullback, showing signs of renewed demand. As long as price remains above the support zone, the market favors a push toward the resistance area. Discipline and patience remain key in this range-based environment.
EUR/USD Is Not Trending — This Is a Controlled Liquidity RangeMarket Analysis (EUR/USD – H1)
EUR/USD is currently trading inside a well-defined sideways range, with price repeatedly rotating between support around 1.1760–1.1770 and resistance near 1.1804, while the upper extension at 1.1819 remains untouched. The structure is clear: lower highs capped by resistance and consistent demand absorption at support, signaling balance rather than directional conviction.
From a technical perspective , the repeated rejections at 1.1804 confirm the presence of resting sell liquidity, while buyers continue to defend the support zone aggressively, preventing a breakdown. Volume remains relatively stable without expansion, reinforcing that this is range rotation driven by liquidity sweeps, not trend continuation.
Macro-wise, EUR/USD remains sensitive to USD yield stability and expectations around Fed policy normalization. With no fresh catalyst shifting rate differentials, price action reflects indecision and positioning cleanup, not a new macro leg. Until either USD strength accelerates or Euro demand improves via data surprise, this range is likely to persist.
Key takeaway:
As long as price holds above 1.1760, downside remains limited. However, a clean breakout above 1.1804–1.1819 with volume is required to unlock bullish continuation. Until then, EUR/USD remains a mean-reversion environment, favoring patience over prediction.
What the Market Is Actually Doing Right NowBitcoin continues to trade inside a clearly defined horizontal range, and the latest 1H price action reinforces that this market is still in distribution–accumulation rotation rather than trend continuation.
Price is currently reacting just below the $90,000–$90,500 resistance zone, an area that has repeatedly capped upside attempts over the past sessions. Every impulsive move into this zone has been met with immediate rejection, indicating that sell-side liquidity remains heavy and that larger players are using this level to offload positions rather than chase breakout momentum. Importantly, these rejections are occurring without follow-through volume, confirming the absence of strong bullish commitment.
On the downside , Bitcoin continues to respect the $86,500–$86,000 support zone , with a deeper strong support area around $85,200–$85,500 . Each rotation lower into these zones has attracted responsive buying, but notably buyers are not pushing price to new highs, only back toward range highs. This behavior confirms a mean-reversion environment , where price oscillates between liquidity pools instead of forming a directional trend.
Structurally, Bitcoin is printing lower highs within the range, while lows remain defended. This creates internal compression and signals that the market is waiting for a catalyst. Until either side of the range breaks decisively, both bullish and bearish narratives remain incomplete. A clean hourly and daily close above $90,500 would invalidate the range and open the path toward higher continuation targets. Conversely, a break and acceptance below $85,200 would expose downside expansion toward lower demand zones.
From a macro perspective, this consolidation aligns with the broader market context. Risk assets are currently lacking fresh drivers as Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations remain uncertain , and liquidity conditions are stable but not accelerating. Without a strong shift in macro liquidity or a surge in institutional inflows, Bitcoin is behaving exactly as expected rotating, absorbing orders, and building a larger move.
In summary, Bitcoin remains neutral and range-bound , not weak, but not ready for sustained upside yet. Traders should respect the range, remain patient, and avoid chasing moves in the middle. The real opportunity will come only after a confirmed breakout , not before.
Bitcoin Rejects the Ceiling — Liquidity Is Pulling Price BTCUSD (1H) — Market Outlook
Bitcoin is currently rejected from a major resistance zone near 90,000, confirming that sellers remain active at premium prices.
Key Market Structure
The recent impulsive move up failed to hold above resistance, signaling a lack of breakout strength.
Price is still trading inside a broader range, not a confirmed trend.
This rejection suggests bullish momentum is weakening short term.
Probable Scenario
The higher-probability path is a pullback toward the support zone around 86,500–87,000.
This move would allow the market to rebalance liquidity and test real demand.
Only strong buyer reaction at support would justify renewed upside attempts.
Invalidation
A clean H1 close above the resistance zone with follow-through would invalidate the pullback scenario.
Macro Context
Strong USD and elevated bond yields continue to cap risk assets.
With no immediate bullish macro catalyst, Bitcoin rallies into resistance are likely to be sold.
Bottom Line:
Bitcoin remains range-bound. Until resistance is clearly broken and accepted, expect downside probing before any sustainable upside continuation.
EURUSD Is Pulling Back Not ReversingEURUSD – 1H |
Structure: Higher highs & higher lows remain intact → trend still bullish.
Current Move: Healthy pullback after rejection near 1.1804 (profit-taking, not breakdown).
Key Support: 1.1760 – 1.1770 → expected demand reaction zone.
Scenario:
Hold above support → continuation toward 1.1804 → 1.1820.
Clean break below support → deeper correction, bias pauses.
Macro Bias:
USD still capped by expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025.
EUR supported as USD momentum weakens → pullbacks favored for continuation.
➡️ Bias: Buy-the-dip while above 1.1760.
Bitcoin Trapped in the Holiday Range — Breakout Comes BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – 1H MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Context
Bitcoin is currently trading in a well-defined range, trapped between a strong support zone around 85,000 USD and a major resistance zone near 90,000 USD. The current structure reflects consolidation and accumulation, not distribution.
1. Price Structure
Price continues to form higher lows near the support area, indicating that buyers are still actively defending this zone.
Each approach toward 89,500 – 90,000 is met with strong selling pressure, confirming this area as a valid resistance zone.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are flattening and overlapping, a typical sign of a sideways market.
➡️ No confirmed breakout = no new trend yet.
2. Market Behavior
The price is moving in a controlled zigzag pattern inside the range, which is characteristic of:
Liquidity accumulation
Market makers controlling both sides of the range
Sharp intraday spikes without follow-through suggest liquidity sweeps, not trend continuation.
3. Key Scenarios (Outlook)
Scenario 1 – Range Continuation (High Probability)
Price continues oscillating between 85,000 – 90,000.
Best approach:
Buy near support
Sell near resistance
Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range
Scenario 2 – Bullish Breakout (Confirmation Required)
Trigger conditions:
Strong H1/H4 candle close above 90,000
Clear increase in volume
If confirmed:
Range is broken
Next upside targets: 92,000 – 95,000
Scenario 3 – Bearish Breakdown (Lower Probability)
Only valid if price breaks below 85,000 with strong momentum.
In that case:
Deeper correction may follow
Next key demand zone: 82,000 – 83,000
4. Summary
Market state: Sideways / Accumulation
Primary trend: Pausing, not reversing
Optimal strategy: Trade the range or wait for confirmation
Risk note: Avoid entries in the middle of the range poor risk-to-reward
👉 The market rewards patience and discipline, not impatience.
The Calm Before the Break: EUR/USDEUR/USD on the 1H chart is trading in a well-defined range environment, with price currently around 1.1775 and repeatedly rotating between a support band near 1.1760–1.1765 and a resistance band near 1.1800–1.1810. The structure is not trending cleanly; instead, it is showing mean-reversion behavior—buyers step in aggressively on dips into support, while sellers defend the upper supply zone, producing the repeated “up-down” swings visible on the chart. Technically, this is reinforced by the moving averages compressing around price: the EMA 34 (~1.1775) and EMA 89 (~1.1773) are almost flat and overlapping, a classic signature of consolidation rather than directional expansion.
From a macro perspective, this type of tight range is typical when the market is waiting for clarity on rate expectations and yield differentials. EUR/USD tends to move higher when U.S. yields soften or the USD weakens, and it tends to stall or pull back when U.S. yields reprice upward or risk sentiment deteriorates. As long as traders are uncertain about the next policy steps from the Fed vs. ECB, price often remains trapped inside these liquidity bands, with both sides fading extremes rather than committing to trend continuation. The practical takeaway is simple: 1.1760–1.1765 is the “line in the sand” for bulls, while 1.1800–1.1810 is the ceiling that must break for upside expansion. A clean hold and rebound off support keeps the range rotation intact and opens the path back toward the top of the box; a decisive break and acceptance below support would invalidate the bullish rotation and shift focus to lower demand zones.
Breakout Ahead or Another Trap Inside the $85K–$90K Range?Bitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined consolidation range between $85,000 and $90,000, and the latest price action confirms that this zone remains highly respected by both buyers and sellers. On the 1H timeframe, price was aggressively pushed into the upper boundary near $89,500–$90,000, but the immediate rejection shows that sell-side liquidity and profit-taking are still concentrated at this resistance zone. This behavior is typical of a mature range market, where impulsive moves toward the extremes are often faded unless strong follow-through volume appears.
From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin has failed to establish a clean series of higher highs above resistance. Instead, the market continues to print range highs with weak continuation, while the EMA 34 and EMA 89 remain relatively flat, reinforcing the sideways environment. The lack of trend expansion indicates that momentum is being absorbed rather than extended. As long as price remains below the $90,000 supply zone, upside attempts should be treated as range tests, not trend breakouts.
On the downside, the $86,000–$85,500 support zone remains the key level to monitor. This area has repeatedly attracted buyers and represents the lower liquidity pool of the range. The projected move on the chart suggests that, after rejection from resistance, price may rotate lower toward this support zone to rebalance liquidity. A reaction from this area would likely result in another mean-reversion move back toward mid-range or resistance, keeping the market rotational rather than directional.
From a macro standpoint, Bitcoin is currently lacking a strong catalyst to break out decisively. U.S. macro data remains mixed, with Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations still uncertain, keeping risk assets in a cautious state. Liquidity conditions are stable but not expanding aggressively, which aligns with Bitcoin’s current consolidation rather than trend acceleration. Without a clear shift in monetary policy expectations or ETF inflow momentum, the market is more likely to continue respecting this range.
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains neutral and range-bound, not bearish but also not yet bullish. Traders should remain disciplined, focusing on selling near resistance and buying near support until a confirmed breakout occurs. A daily close above $90,000 with strong volume would invalidate the range and open the door toward higher targets. Until then, patience is key, the market is building structure, not direction.
EUR/USD Is Resting — The Break Comes After the TrapEUR/USD – 1H |
Structure: Price is in a sideway consolidation after a bullish leg → trend is still up, not reversed.
Range:
Resistance: ~1.1805–1.1810
Support: ~1.1760–1.1770 (EMA + demand)
Behavior: Rejections at the top suggest liquidity sweep risk before continuation.
Scenarios:
Preferred: Dip toward support → bounce → breakout toward 1.1820+.
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 1.1755 → range expansion lower.
Bias: Bullish continuation after consolidation. Patience before the move.
EURUSD Is Trapped — One More Sweep Before the Real Move?EUR/USD – 1H Market Analysis
EUR/USD is currently trading inside a well-defined range, capped by a resistance zone around 1.1800–1.1820 and supported by a key demand zone near 1.1760–1.1745. Multiple rejections from resistance and repeated reactions at support confirm that the market is rotational, not trending.
Structurally, price is forming lower highs within the range, while buyers continue to defend support aggressively. This signals distribution and liquidity balancing, not a bullish breakout. Each push higher is sold, and each drop into support attracts short-term bids — classic range behavior.
High-Probability Scenarios Ahead:
Primary scenario: Price rotates lower to sweep liquidity below 1.1760, potentially extending toward 1.1745, before stabilizing.
Bullish invalidation: A clean 1H close and acceptance above 1.1820 would shift the structure bullish.
Bearish continuation: Failure to hold 1.1745 opens downside toward deeper demand levels.
Conclusion:
This is not a market to chase. EUR/USD is compressing inside a box, and the edge lies in patience and precision, not prediction. Wait for liquidity to be taken that’s where the real move begins.
Bitcoin Isn’t Breaking Out — This Range Is Most Trader Get TrapBTC/USD – 1H Market Analysis
Bitcoin is still trading inside a well-defined range, not a trending market. Price continues to oscillate between the support zone around 86,000–86,500 and the resistance zone near 89,800–90,500, confirming that the market is in consolidation rather than expansion. Despite recent impulsive candles, structure remains intact and controlled.
From a technical perspective, EMA 34 and EMA 89 are compressing and overlapping, signaling equilibrium. This behavior typically appears before a larger move, but until price decisively exits the range, directional bias remains neutral-to-range-based. Every push into resistance has been met with selling pressure, while dips into support continue to attract buyers — classic range rotation.
Key Scenarios Ahead:
Primary scenario: Price pulls back toward the mid-range or support zone, absorbs liquidity, and attempts another rotation higher.
Bullish continuation: A clean hourly close above 90,500 with follow-through volume opens the path toward 91,800–92,500.
I nvalidation: Loss of 86,000 would shift structure bearish and negate the current range thesis.
Bottom line:
This is not a breakout market yet it’s a patience market. Traders who chase candles will get chopped; traders who respect structure will be positioned when volatility finally expands.
EUR/USD Trapped in a Tight Range — Breakout or Another False EUR/USD is currently trading in a clear consolidation structure, bounded by a well-defined resistance and support zone. Price action shows repeated reactions at both boundaries, confirming that the market is rotational rather than trending at this stage.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H timeframe, the resistance zone around 1.1800–1.1820 continues to cap upside attempts. Multiple rejections from this area indicate strong sell-side liquidity and a lack of bullish acceptance above resistance. Conversely, the support zone near 1.1755–1.1765 has held firmly, with buyers consistently stepping in to defend this level.
The internal structure between these zones is characterized by lower momentum swings and overlapping candles, which is typical of a range environment. Until price decisively breaks and closes outside this box, directional bias remains neutral. A clean breakout above 1.1820 would open the door toward the next upside objective around 1.1880–1.1900, while a loss of 1.1755 support would likely trigger a downside move toward 1.1700, where previous demand is located.
Market Behavior & Liquidity
Recent moves into both support and resistance appear to be liquidity-driven probes, not trend initiations. This suggests larger participants are accumulating or distributing positions while keeping price contained. Traders should be cautious of false breakouts, especially during low-volume sessions.
Macro Context
From a macro perspective, EUR/USD remains heavily influenced by USD-side expectations. Markets are closely monitoring:
Federal Reserve rate path expectations, with easing priced further into 2025–2026
Eurozone growth concerns, which continue to limit sustained EUR strength
Thin year-end liquidity, increasing the probability of range-bound and deceptive moves
At present, there is no strong macro catalyst to justify a sustained trend breakout, reinforcing the technical range thesis.
Conclusion
EUR/USD remains range-bound between 1.1755 and 1.1820. Until a decisive breakout and acceptance occurs, the higher-probability approach is to respect the range rather than chase directional moves. Patience is key the market is signaling balance, not conviction.
Most Traders Think This Is a Breakout — It’s Actually a LiquiditBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – 1H MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
1. Current Market Context – Sideways Is Not Weakness
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clearly defined sideways (range-bound) structure.
This type of market often confuses traders because:
- Price moves frequently
- No clean trend is visible
- Fake breakouts appear on lower timeframes
However, sideways movement is not randomness it is order accumulation and distribution.
2. Key Price Zones on the Chart
🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Range)
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area
Sellers consistently defend this level
Breakout attempts fail without structure confirmation
🟢 Support Zone (Lower Range)
Price repeatedly finds buyers in this area
Long wicks and strong reactions confirm demand
Smart money absorbs sell pressure here
3. Sideway Zone = Liquidity Zone
The highlighted sideway zone is where:
- Retail traders overtrade
- Emotions dominate
- Stop-losses are clustered on both sides
Professionals use this phase to:
- Accumulate positions quietly
- Create false breakouts
- Prepare for a high-momentum expansion later
This is why most losses occur inside ranges.
4. Price Behavior Inside the Range
Notice the repeated pattern:
- Push up → rejection
- Drop down → strong reaction
- Higher volatility near range edges
- Compression near the middle
This behavior confirms:
- No trend confirmation yet
- Market is waiting for liquidity completion
5. Breakout Logic – Not Guessing, Only Confirmation
A valid breakout requires:
- A clean close outside the range
- Structure continuation, not a single candle
- Acceptance above resistance or below support
Until then:
- Every move inside the range is noise
- Every early entry is risk exposure
6. Professional Trading Mindset
In a sideways market:
- Patience is a strategy
- Waiting is a position
- Capital preservation > prediction
Conclusion – Read the Market, Don’t Fight It
This chart is a textbook example of range accumulation.
Until price proves otherwise:
Respect the range
Trade only confirmed reactions
Ignore emotional breakouts
The market always shows its intention only disciplined traders are calm enough to see it.
Bitcoin Rejected at Resistance — Is This a Santa Rally Trap?Bitcoin has just delivered a textbook rejection from the upper resistance zone around 90,300–90,500, confirming that this level remains a major supply area rather than a breakout point. The impulsive move into resistance was strong, but the immediate bearish reaction signals that buyers are failing to sustain acceptance above this range.
Technical Structure
From a market structure perspective, BTC is still trading inside a well-defined sideways consolidation range.
Resistance: 90,300–90,500
Range Midpoint / Balance Area: ~87,800–88,000
Primary Support Zone: 86,300–86,600
Secondary Support: ~85,100 (range low)
The recent push higher looks like a liquidity sweep above range highs, followed by rejection — a classic range expansion failure. This behavior often precedes a mean reversion move back toward the lower boundary of the range, especially when no strong follow-through volume appears above resistance.
As long as price remains below 90,300, bullish continuation is technically invalidated. Short-term price action now favors lower highs and corrective pullbacks, with downside targets resting first at 86,500, then potentially 85,100 if selling pressure accelerates.
Momentum & Price Behavior
The structure on the right side of the chart shows weakened upside momentum, characterized by:
- Shallow bullish pushes
- Increasing overlap between candles
- Failure to hold above prior highs
This suggests distribution rather than accumulation. Any bounce from current levels is likely to be corrective, unless BTC can reclaim and hold above 90,500 with strong volume, which would flip the bias back to bullish.
Macro & Fundamental Context
From a macro standpoint, Bitcoin is being influenced by:
Year-end positioning and reduced holiday liquidity, which increases volatility and false breakouts
Stabilizing U.S. Treasury yields, reducing speculative risk appetite
Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts later in 2025–2026, which is supportive long term, but not yet a short-term catalyst
Importantly, no fresh macro trigger is currently strong enough to justify a clean breakout above resistance. In thin holiday conditions, liquidity-driven moves often fade — exactly what we are seeing here.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains range-bound, and the latest move into resistance has failed convincingly. As long as price stays below 90,300, the higher-probability scenario is a pullback toward 86,500 → 85,100, where buyers previously defended structure.
Until a clean breakout and acceptance above resistance occurs, traders should treat upside spikes as liquidity grabs, not trend continuation. In this environment, patience and range discipline are far more valuable than chasing breakouts.






















