Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🎀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just two months ago, Tesla perfectly broke out of the major ascending triangle pattern. In the meantime we just witnessed a major consolidation at the all time high. Quite likely that Tesla will soon confirm the breakout, launching another parabolic rally from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Teslaidea
Tesla Reversal Signal Triggered at the 200 SMA!TSLA 🚗 Bullish Pullback Playbook — Smart Layered Entry Setup!
📈 Asset:
TSLA — Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ)
Swing Trade Playbook | Trend-Continuation Setup
🧠 Market Thesis
TSLA shows a bullish pullback into the 200-Day Simple Moving Average, a level historically respected by trend-followers. The latest Heikin-Ashi Doji Reversal signals buyers regaining momentum ⚡ — suggesting the pullback is stabilizing and demand is stepping back in.
This combination of trend support + reversal confirmation forms the core of this structured swing setup.
🎯 Plan Overview
A clean bullish continuation strategy using a refined layered entry method (professionally framed as “scaled limit entries”). This maintains your signature thief-style energy, but aligned with TradingView rules and presentation standards. 😎
🟢 Entry Plan (Layered / Scaled Limit Orders)
Using a scaling approach allows better average pricing during volatility.
Proposed buy-limit layers:
Buy Limit 1 → $420.00
Buy Limit 2 → $410.00
Buy Limit 3 → $400.00
👉 Traders may increase or reduce the number of layers based on risk tolerance and personal strategy.
🔻 Stop-Loss (Risk Control)
A defensive stop-loss is placed near $380.00, below recent liquidity pockets and under the 200 SMA structure.
⚠️ This level is optional — traders should select their own SL based on personal risk management.
🎯 Take-Profit Zone
Target area sits around $470.00, where:
Major historical resistance awaits
Overbought conditions often develop
High-volume sellers tend to re-enter
This zone is treated as a profit-taking escape point, but traders can exit based on their own judgment.
📡 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Insight)
Keeping the global view helps improve trade confidence:
NASDAQ:QQQ — High correlation with mega-cap tech, TSLA often follows Nasdaq momentum.
NASDAQ:NDX — Strong tech index correlation; strength supports TSLA continuation.
SP:SPX — Broad-market risk sentiment gauge.
NASDAQ:NVDA / NASDAQ:AMD — Momentum flow in growth-tech impacts liquidity rotation into TSLA.
AMEX:XLY — Consumer Discretionary ETF (TSLA is a major component).
Key takeaway:
Strong tech-sector momentum + risk-on environment = enhanced TSLA bullish continuation probability 📊⚡
🧰 Notes for the Community
Dear Traders (Thief OG-style Family 😄) —
SL/TP levels shared here are only examples for educational purposes. You’re always free to manage your own positions using your own risk preferences. Trade smart, trade safe, trade stylish. 💼✨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
This is a thief-style trading strategy presentation strictly for fun and educational purposes. Not financial advice.
#TSLA #Tesla #SwingTrade #BullishSetup #LayeredEntries #HeikinAshi #200SMA #NASDAQ #MomentumTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #RiskManagement #TraderLifestyle #StockMarket
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Stop Overcomplicating Trading: The Consistency Blueprint No One Stop Overcomplicating Trading: The Consistency Blueprint Nobody Wants to Talk About
Two decades in the market have taught me a very real truth:
Profit isn’t about being the smartest or catching the breakout. It’s about showing up for yourself every week; especially when motivation disappears and the trades get hard.
I’ve been at this 20 years; through bull runs, ugly drawdowns, burnout, and those quiet Sunday reviews where nothing made sense. The only thing that’s kept me in the game and steadily profitable? Building ultra-simple consistency habits that actually fit my life.
Let me give it to you straight: here’s how to move the needle, no matter where you are:
Forget perfection. Track what REALLY matters.
For most, it’s not a magic strategy—often it’s reviewing trades, keeping promises to yourself, and taking care of your brain and sleep before the next setup.
Pick 2-3 metrics and make them sacred:
For me, it’s weekly trade review, a “focus” score for my setups, and legit sleep tracking. I only look at these, period.
Make review time non-negotiable:
I set aside 20 min a week, never skipped. It’s my reset button after wins and losses.
Write out quick wins & lessons—immediately after they happen.
Let the good trades teach you, but also let the ugly ones humble you and anchor your next week.
Adapt your process to real life:
Swing trading while working? Happens. Family? Kids? You can STILL win long-term—just make the review and tracking match your schedule, not some internet hustle template.
Build the feedback loop
When you slip, note it fast and tweak (don’t obsess). When you nail it, reward yourself—not with risk, but acknowledgment.
How do you know it works? Because it’s kept me in profit while teaching hundreds of traders to turn routines into actual results.
If you’re battling for consistency DM me “Tools” or drop it in the comments. I’ll send my simple routines that changed the game for me and dozens of traders.
Let’s build consistency that lasts and celebrate small wins relentlessly.
If I can help, I will.
Tesla - Here comes the third breakout!🚀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past four years, Tesla has been trading in a very clear ascending triangle pattern. But just last month, we finally saw the expected bullish triangle breakout. Considering all of the previous triangle breakouts, Tesla is setting up for another parabolic rally soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$450
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla: Will It Blast Off or Fall Fast? The $404 Level Is the KeyTesla is at a big “make or break” point. If the price stays higher than $404, it could blast up to $437 or maybe even $478. But if Tesla drops below $404, watch out! It could fall down to $380 or even as low as $351.
Think about it:
What would you do if Tesla started moving toward those numbers? Do you think it will go up or will it go down?
If you’re not sure or have a question, send me a message! Sometimes asking one good question can help you make a smarter trade. What do you want to know about Tesla right now?
Mindbloome Exchange
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bullish Tesla Mission Activated – Grab the Loot Now!💎🚨 TESLA STOCK MARKET HEIST PLAN 🚨💎
🕵️♂️ Attention All Thief OG’s, Chart Ninjas & Wall Street Pickpockets!
We’re gearing up for a full-blown Tesla loot mission — bullish, layered, and locked on target! 📈💰
🎯 Plan:
Bullish Layered Entry Strategy 🤑
We’re stacking multiple BUY LIMIT layers like a pro bank job:
💵 (330.00) | 💵 (320.00) | 💵 (310.00) | 💵 (300.00)
(You can add more layers if you want to steal bigger)
🛑 Stop Loss:
The Thief’s SL @ 280.00 💣
📌 Adjust to your own risk — every crew member knows their escape route!
Remember: A good thief never leaves fingerprints, only profits.
🏆 Target:
🚓 Police barricade at 420.00 — better vanish before the sirens!
🎯 Secure the main loot at 400.00 before making a clean getaway.
💡 Thief Strategy Tip:
Layering lets you grab more loot if price dips — like breaking into multiple vaults.
Keep your disguise on and watch the charts — Wall Street guards are always watching. 👀🖤
⚠️ Warning for the Crew:
Major news drops = cops on every corner.
Stay hidden, trail your stops, and protect the stash.
💥 Smash the ❤️ LIKE button if you’re in for this Tesla mission!
📌 Follow the crew for more Thief Trader blueprints — next heist drops soon!
Tesla: Upward Momentum PersistsTesla’s upward momentum has persisted, with the beige wave x still having some room to run. However, we expect the corrective top to form well below resistance at $532.92, which should then trigger the final selling phase within the broader correction. Ultimately, wave y is projected to approach our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, completing the large blue wave (II) in that range. Afterward, we anticipate a new wave (III) uptrend. That said, there remains a 40% probability that price may not reach the blue zone, as wave alt.(II) could have already completed at $215.01. In this scenario, TSLA would already be developing a magenta upward impulse and could break above the $532.92 level directly and sustainably.
Tesla - Technicals are pretty clear!🚨Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) respects the triangle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Ever since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq, we saw perfect cycles playing out. Since 2021, Tesla has once again been consolidating within a bullish triangle pattern. Therefore with the recent bullish break and retest, it becomes more and more likely that Tesla will break out soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$400, $250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA Breakout Play: Time to Steal Some Profits?🚨 TESLA INC (TSLA) HEIST PLAN - BULLISH SWING/Day LAYUP! 🚨
Yo, Thief OG's! 🐱👤🤑 Time to swarm the TSLA vault. The blueprint is set for a major bullish score. Our intel says the cops (bears) are losing their grip. Let's get this money! 💰💸✨
🎯 THE MASTER PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT (PENDING ORDERS)
Based on the Thief Trading Style™ technical analysis, we're plotting a bullish heist on TSLA. We wait for the breakout confirmation, then we strike with precision using our layered entry strategy.
Asset: TESLA INC (TSLA)
Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade
Bias: BULLISH ⬆️⚡
📍 ENTRY: THE HEIST INITIATES (SET YOUR ALARMS! ⏰)
Primary Entry: Breakout and close above $355.00 ⚡
THIEF'S LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY: 🎯
Don't go all in at one price! We use multiple limit orders to layer into the position after the breakout confirms the move. This is how the pros (and thieves) do it!
Layer 1: Breakout Entry @ $355.00
Layer 2: Pullback Entry @ $350.00
Layer 3: Pullback Entry @ $345.00
Layer 4: Pullback Entry @ $340.00
Layer 5: Pullback Entry @ $335.00
(You can add more layers based on your own capital and risk appetite, you savage!)
📌 IMPORTANT: SET A TRADINGVIEW ALARM at $355.00! This is your signal that the heist is a GO! Don't get caught sleeping. 🛌💤
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ESCAPE ROUTE
Thief SL for Breakout Entry: $320.00
⚠️ HEAR ME, HEAR ME! Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk! I am not your financial advisor; I'm just the guy with the blueprint. 🗺️ Place your SL ONLY AFTER the breakout happens. Protect your capital at all costs!
🎯 TARGET: CASH OUT & VANISH
Primary Target: $400.00 🚀
The police barricade is thick up there! 🚓🚧 Once the money is in the bag, don't get greedy! Escape with the stolen profits before they catch you!
Note: Dear Thief OG's, I am not recommending you use only my TP. Take profits at your own risk and based on your own analysis. Secure the bag when YOU feel comfortable! 💼🔥
💎 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS:
This is not a gamble; it's a calculated heist. Follow the plan, manage your risk, and let's eat! 🍽️
Hit the LIKE button if you're riding with us! ✅
BOOST this idea to empower the thief community! 💪❤️
Follow for more daily heist plans! 🎯
Stay sharp, stay profitable, and remember... in the market, be a thief, not a victim! 🐱💻🚀
NASDAQ:TSLA #TradingView #StockMarket #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Investing #Bullish #TESLA #ThiefTradingStyle
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🚔Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the chart of Tesla, we can see a very long term consolidation over the past four years. This, however, does not mean that the bullrun is over but rather preparing for the next bullish move. We just have to wait for the bullish ascending triangle pattern breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TESAL HEADING TO $500+ RANGE ANALYSIS HERE Afternoon Trading Fam
So here is our in-depth look at Tesla: Currently the monthly trend is bullish giving us levels of $500 and above.
Locally though we can break this $338 top expect to see $444 and $480 getting hit next
If we need to correct and we break the lows of $319 expect to see the levels of $307 then $301 being hit
Happy Trading
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris
Tesla - The all time high breakout!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will break out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years Tesla has overall been consolidating between support and resistance. But following the recent bullish break and retest, bulls are slowly taking over control. It is actually quite likely that Tesla will soon break above the previous all time highs.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
Tesla Bulls Assemble: It’s Time for a Clean Robbery🚨🔥TESLA STOCK ROBBERY BLUEPRINT: Thief Trading Heist Plan v2.0🔥🚨
(Swing & Day Traders, Scalpers — Welcome to the Ultimate Market Raid)
🌍 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Bandits!
Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! Salute from the global Thief Squad! 💰💸🕶️
Today, we’re unleashing a bold market raid on NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla Inc.), using our signature Thief Trading Strategy™ — a fusion of technical precision, smart risk, and fundamental power. This is not your average trade idea — this is a robbery plan, tailor-made for those ready to outsmart the market with elite tactics.
🎯 The Mission: Steal the Bullish Breakout Before the Bears Wake Up!
Market Status:
Tesla is showing early signs of bullish strength — short-term consolidation with a potential breakout toward the upper red zone. However, that red zone is where the “Police” (resistance + short sellers) wait to ambush — so we enter with strategy, not emotion.
🟢 Entry Zone – "Vault is Open, Thieves Assemble!"
We’re looking for a long entry anywhere inside the most recent pullback zones (use 15m / 30m candles). Place layered buy-limit orders like a DCA thief stacking charges, targeting the swing low or support wick.
🔑 Pro Tip: Be patient. Let the pullback bless your orders. We rob smarter, not harder.
🛑 Stop Loss – "Escape Route Planned"
Stop Loss = Placed under swing low (3H TF). Current suggested SL: $280.00 (adjust for risk profile).
💬 Thief Note: Your SL depends on position size, number of entries, and account leverage. Never risk your life savings on one job. 😉
🎯 Target Zone – "The Big Loot"
Main Target 🎯: $395.00
Optional Exit: Trail your SL and escape early with bags full of gains. Exit before the trap if heat rises. 🔥
👀 Scalpers – "Fast Hands Get First Cash"
Stick to the long side only. Shorting this train is standing in front of a robbery truck. Use trailing SLs and grab those quick gains.
If you're a small account thief — no worries — ride with the swing crew. We share the loot.
📊 Why the Heist Now?
TSLA's move is supported by:
🔍 Fundamental strength & positive sentiment
🌐 Macro tailwinds & sector rotation favoring EV/Tech
🧠 Intermarket & index alignment
📰 Bullish outlook from recent positioning and COT data
🧨 Consolidation base forming an explosive setup
⚠️ Caution Tape – News Alert Zone
🚨Stay Clear of Major News Releases!
Avoid opening fresh entries during high-impact news. Use trailing SLs to protect your gains. Market heat can go nuclear — be alert, not emotional.
💖 Support the Heist – Smash That BOOST Button!
If you love this Thief Strategy, hit the BOOST 💥
Help us reach more robbers, dreamers, and money makers across TradingView. Let’s build the biggest, smartest, most strategic trading crew ever.
📌 Disclaimer (We're Thieves, Not Financial Advisors)
This is not financial advice — it’s a strategic idea shared for educational purposes. Adjust based on your own risk profile. Never enter a robbery without a plan. 🧠💼
🔥 Stay locked in. Another market heist blueprint is coming soon.
Until then — keep your charts clean, your entries smart, and your exits legendary.
💸Rob the Market — The Thief Way™
🐱👤🎯📈🚀
Tesla -> The all time high breakout!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) prepares a major breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Not long ago Tesla perfectly retested the major support trendline of the ascending triangle pattern. So far we witnessed a nice rejection of about +50%, following the overall uptrend. There is actually a quite high chance that Tesla will eventually create a new all time high breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs.
Levels to watch: $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) .
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress
A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory.
The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality.
The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up
The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock.
The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities.
The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie."
Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation.
The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company.
The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege
While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it.
Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly.
One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla.
Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China.
The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales.
The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market.
The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate
The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year.
This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance.
Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition.
The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives.
A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla?
The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future.
The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed.
The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated.
The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market.
To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers.
The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.






















