MET (Meteora) - TGE 15m FA/TA, Levels & RiskBias: short-term neutral>bullish if 0.581 holds; mid-term neutral.
Market read:
BTC ≈ $110.6k, ETH ≈ $3.88k, SOL ≈ $193.1. Risk tone modestly positive.
DXY ≈ 99.0; USD/JPY ≈ 152.6; SPY ≈ 671.8; UST 10Y ≈ 4.00%. Liquidity backdrop acceptable.
MET status (T+~13h)
Price ≈ 0.58 with intraday reclaim attempts. Day-one range ~0.516–0.687. Fib from H→L: 0.552 (0.236 up from L), 0.577–0.581 cluster, 0.601, 0.621, 0.646. Your 5–15m charts show RSI>70, MACD crossing up, TRIX rising, DEMA≈0.581 acting as pivot. Expect supply near 0.581/0.597 and heavy inventory 0.55–0.58.
Levels:
Support: 0.566 → 0.559 → 0.545 → 0.515.
Resistance: 0.581 pivot → 0.597–0.601 → 0.621 → 0.646.
Setups and risk (1m/5m/15m/30m)
• Break-retest long: Confirm a 5–15m close ≥0.581, then entry on retest 0.573–0.581. SL 0.566. TP1 0.597–0.601, TP2 0.621, TP3 0.646.
• Fail-reclaim short: If rejection at 0.581 with RSI>75 and waning volume, short perps only; SL 0.586; TP 0.565 then 0.559.
• 30m bias flip: Two consecutive closes ≥0.581 with rising volume/OBV shift bias to constructive; below 0.566 momentum stalls back to 0.559–0.545.
• Execution: post-only limits on Jupiter/Meteora, slippage ≤0.5%. Risk ≤1R per attempt.
FA + flow:
Day-one unlock and broad venue access create two-sided flow; watch Solana beta and CEX listings for impulse. MET’s microcap relative to SOL/JUP/ME/GRASS implies higher variance; treat 0.581 as line-in-the-sand for continuation.
Plan:
If you are flat: only engage on 0.581 hold. If long from lower: trim 25–50% into 0.597–0.601, trail to 0.569, run remainder for 0.621/0.646. If 0.566 breaks on volume, step aside and reassess near 0.559/0.545.
Outlook:
bullish above 0.581 and strengthening into 0.601; neutral-to-bearish on failures back under 0.566.
For educational purposes; not financial advice.
