Gold Outlook (23 July): Bullish Structure Retesting Key ZonesGold (XAUUSD) – 23 July Analysis
Structure, patience, and precision define today's opportunity
The market remains in a clear uptrend , and the current M15 structure is undergoing a healthy pullback phase following yesterday’s strong bullish breakout. This retracement brings the price into key zones where continuation setups may form — if confirmed.
📊 Market Structure Overview
• Bullish Breakout: On July 22, price made a strong impulsive move upward from the demand base at 3384–3390 , confirming bullish strength and shifting short-term structure to the upside.
• Current Pullback: After printing a local high around 3439 , the market is retracing toward lower support zones. The pullback is expected and may offer long entries if price respects key areas and confirms.
🔑 Key Reversal Zones to Watch
1. Order Block (OB) Zone
Range: 3417 – 3412
– This zone is the origin of the last bullish impulse.
– Price is nearing this key zone.
– If M1 confirms with internal structure shift + BoS , we may have a valid long setup.
– Target: Previous high at 3438–3440
2. Deeper Demand Zone
Range: 3390 – 3384
– This is the base of the prior impulsive leg.
– If price breaks below the OB with momentum, this deeper zone may act as stronger support.
– Potential swing entry zone with better R:R
📌 Trade Scenarios for Today
🔹 Scenario 1: Rejection from OB Zone (Likely Intraday Setup)
– Wait for M1 to confirm via micro ChoCh + BoS inside 3417–3412 zone.
– If confirmed, plan for long entry with SL below zone.
– Target: 3438–3440
🔹 Scenario 2: Break Below OB → Retest at Deeper Demand Zone
– If OB zone fails, wait for price to drop into 3390–3384.
– Look for M1 confirmation before executing any long position.
– This setup may offer a higher-quality entry with improved R:R.
📈 Trade Plan:
– Wait for confirmation before entry (e.g., M1 structure shift + BoS)
– SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips
– Risk-Reward: Always 1:3 minimum
– No confirmation = No trade
🎯 Summary
• Primary Bias: Bullish — monitoring OB zone (3417–3412) for long setup
• Alternative Setup: Buy from 3390–3384 demand if deeper retracement unfolds
• Discipline: Let the market validate your plan. Never force a trade.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
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Gold (XAUUSD) – 22 July Outlook | Reversal Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) – 22 July Outlook | Three Key Reversal Zones to Watch
Yesterday, Gold gave a strong breakout above the key resistance level at 3377 , shifting the M15 structure bullish and confirming upside strength.
Today, the market is likely entering a retracement phase on both the H4 and M15 timeframes — a healthy pullback after a breakout, which may lead to the next leg of the uptrend.
So where should we focus for long opportunities?
We are observing three key zones as potential bases for the continuation move:
📍 Zone 1 – 3377.6–3373.5 (Breaker Block):
This is the immediate structure zone — previous resistance which may now flip into support.
→ If price respects this area, we can anticipate a classic S&R Flip setup.
📍 Zone 2 – 3367.5–3363 (Demand Block):
If the first level doesn’t hold, this zone becomes critical. It lies just under the breakout base and could act as the next level of defense by bulls.
📍 Zone 3 – 3358.5–3350.5 (H4 Order Block):
This is the most significant support zone for the day. It aligns with a higher-timeframe order block, making it a high-probability POI for a deeper pullback and reversal.
But remember, we do not predict blindly .
Plan of Action:
– Observe price behavior at each zone
– Wait for confirmation via M1 internal structure shifts + BoS
– Trade only when all conditions align
– SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips
Risk-Reward: Always 1:3
Summary:
✅ Structure is now bullish on M15 and H4
✅ We’re in a pullback phase — ideal for continuation trades
✅ Three clear POIs mapped — now we wait for the market to speak
Patience. Precision. Discipline.
Let the trade come to you — not the other way around.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold (XAUUSD) – 17 July Analysis | Demand Zone in Play🟢 Gold (XAUUSD) – 17 July Analysis | Demand Zone in Play
Gold continues to follow the bullish structure we’ve been tracking in our recent posts. Yesterday's news-driven price action pushed the market to a new swing high near 3377.600 , confirming strength in higher timeframes. Now, price is currently in a retracement/pullback phase , pulling back toward a key intraday demand zone at 3326–3320 — offering potential opportunity for the next leg upward.
🔍 Where Are We Now?
The market is currently pulling back toward a key M15 demand zone: 3326–3320 . This level also aligns with a higher timeframe order block on the H4, making it a critical confluence area for structure-based traders.
This 3326–3320 zone is crucial because:
→ It’s a fresh M15 demand zone inside a higher timeframe bullish structure
→ It aligns with the H4 OB that previously acted as a launchpad
→ The overall trend remains bullish unless this zone is decisively broken
If the zone holds and we get LTF confirmation (such as M1 internal structure shift + micro-BoS), it may present a high-probability long setup.
⚙️ Structure Summary:
✅ H4: Bullish continuation structure with recent higher high
✅ M15: Pullback within bullish order flow
✅ M1 (for entry): Awaiting ChoCH + BoS as entry trigger inside POI
📌 Trade Setup Plan (upon confirmation):
→ Entry: From 3326–3320 demand zone
→ Stop Loss: 40 pips below entry
→ Take Profit: 120 pips (targeting new HH based on H4 projection)
→ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3
🧠 Key Trading Insight:
We never predict — we prepare .
We don’t chase price — we position with confirmation .
Discipline means waiting for price to invite us in , not entering just because a level looks attractive.
📈 Summary & Expectations:
➡️ Price is retracing into a structurally significant demand zone
➡️ Market bias remains bullish unless this zone fails
➡️ If the zone holds with valid M1 confirmation, we’ll consider a long setup targeting a new high
➡️ No confirmation = no trade. Patience > prediction.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
This analysis is part of our ongoing structure-based approach to trading Gold. All entries are derived from pure price action, multi-timeframe structure alignment, and trader discipline — as taught in our book:
“The Chart Is the Mirror: Mastering Gold with Structure, Stillness, and Price Action”
Gold – Bullish Structure Confirmed | July 16 Outlook🟢 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 16 Analysis | Uptrend Resumed After H4 OB Test
As outlined in our previous post — Gold – H4 Structure at Key Decision Point | July 14 Outlook , price has now tested the H4 order block near 3320, which we marked as a high-probability reversal zone.
Following this, the market has shown clear signs of strength — with both internal structure shift and a Break of Structure (BoS) on M15, confirming that the uptrend has resumed.
🔍 Structure Alignment:
✅ H4: Bullish continuation after OB test
✅ M15: ChoCH + BoS → confirms trend alignment with H4
📌 Key Intraday Levels to Watch:
🟩 3335–3333 (M15 Order Block & Breaker Level):
→ A short-term OB just before our main POI
→ If price respects this zone with LTF confirmation (M1 Micro-ChoCH + BoS), we may plan an early long entry
🟩 3327.7–3329.4 (Main M15 POI Zone):
→ High-probability continuation zone
→ On retest + LTF confirmation → plan for long setup
📈 Trade Plan:
→ Watch 3335–3333 OB first
→ If respected with M1 confirmation, early entry is valid
→ If that zone fails, wait for price to revisit 3327–3329 POI
→ Same confirmation rules apply
In both cases, target new HH, in line with current trend momentum
📖 When price respects structure and confirms behavior, don’t second-guess — follow the process.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold – M15 Downtrend in Play | July 15 Analysis🔻 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 15 Analysis | Bearish Bias Until Proven Otherwise
The market has entered a pullback phase on H4, and we’re expecting a potential retest of the 3320 Order Block before any continuation of the broader uptrend resumes.
🔍 M15 Market Structure:
✅ ChoCH followed by BoS confirms a downtrend on M15
🎯 Current short-term objective: Retest of H4 OB (3320)
📍 Price Action Context:
Price is now revisiting the same M15 POI where yesterday’s short setup originated.
Last session, this POI was respected, but instead of creating a new Lower Low, price is trading inside the same zone again.
This signals indecision — so we let price reveal its intent
🧭 Trade Planning Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation:
→ If the POI is respected again with clear M1 confirmation ( Micro-ChoCH + BoS ), we will plan for a short setup toward 3320
Scenario 2 – POI Breaks:
→ If price breaks above this POI zone, the next key level to observe is the 3355–3359 supply zone
→ We’ll reassess from there based on new confirmation
📌 Bias for Today:
🔻 Bearish bias remains intact as long as M15 structure does not shift back to bullish.
All setups must align with structure — we are short-biased only until the market proves otherwise
📖 Structure before emotion. Let the market invite you — not the other way around.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold – M15 Bias Within POI Zone | July 14 Analysis🟡 Gold – M15 Bias Within POI Zone | July 14 Analysis
As discussed in our previous H4 analysis, Gold opened the week with a gap above the spinning top candle, effectively skipping seller pressure and breaking above the H4 swing high ( 3366 ).
This Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed the H4 bullish continuation , and now price may be preparing for a pullback toward the 3320 Order Block (OB) before resuming its upward trend.
🔍 M15 Intraday Bias:
📍 Price is currently trading inside the 3355 M15 POI zone — a potential continuation zone
🔄 On Lower Timeframes ( M1 ), a micro ChoCH has already occurred — an early signal of possible bullish interest
However, we're still waiting for a micro BoS to validate the reversal and confirm that the POI is being respected
Until that confirmation is in place, we continue to observe market behavior and remain patient
🧭 High-Probability Scenario:
If the current zone fails to hold or doesn’t provide clean M1 confirmation , we will shift focus to the 3320 OB , which remains the most reliable zone for a long setup in line with the H4 trend
A pullback to this level, combined with confirmation, would provide a strong case for continuation trades
🎯 Observational Trade Plan:
✅ Plan 1 (Aggressive Option):
→ If M1 micro BoS occurs from 3355 zone , a short-term long setup may be considered based on internal structure
✅ Plan 2 (Conservative Option):
→ If price pulls back to 3320 OB and M1 confirms , the setup aligns with higher timeframe trend continuation
🛑 Avoid counter-trading — structure remains bullish, and there's no confirmation for shorts at this point
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Let the market do the work. Structure is already pointing up — all we need is confirmation and timing.
No need to rush. Wait, observe, and only execute when the market invites you in with clarity.
📖 Structure leads, emotion misleads. Follow the flow — trade the mirror, not the noise.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold – July 11 | H4 & M15 Aligned, Higher Highs in Sight🟡 Gold – Higher Highs in Sight | July 11 Analysis
As outlined in our July 10 analysis
( Gold – H4 OB Held, BoS Confirmed ),
price retested the 3313–3310.5 POI and continued upward in alignment with the broader bullish structure.
Gold is now trading around 3330–3335 , and both H4 and M15 remain in clear uptrends — forming a consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows .
This post is intended purely for educational and structural observation —
not as trading advice or encouragement to enter trades.
Please use your own strategy, confirmation methods, and risk assessment before taking any action.
🔄 Structure Alignment
✅ H4: Bullish continuation
✅ M15: Trend aligned, forming HH–HL structure
🟢 Bias: Long-only setups (based on structure)
🔍 Key Supply & POI Zones
📌 3345–3346:
→ Strong supply zone
→ If price breaks above, we expect a new higher high
📍 If retracement occurs before breaking 3346:
→ Watch 3319.5–3321.5 (M15 POI)
→ Valid only if respected with M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS)
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Observation)
🛑 No shorts — structure does not support counter-trading
🕒 Monitor: For price to revisit the 3319.5–3321.5 zone
✅ If respected + M1 confirms → structure favors long
🎯 Target: Move above 3346 , continuing the bullish sequence
🧠 Final Thoughts
Price structure remains in strong alignment — but the key is confirmation, not prediction.
Wait, observe, and only act within your own defined process.
📖 Trade the structure, not the emotion.
When the trend aligns, hesitation costs more than waiting.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold – July 10 | H4 OB Held, BoS Confirmed, Watching 3310🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 10 Analysis | H4 Pullback Over, M15 Aligned for Bullish Continuation
The H4 order block around 3280 (3288–3275) was tested, and the market responded strongly — just as anticipated .
Following that, M15 structure gave a clear ChoCh + BoS , signaling that the H4 pullback is now complete .
The market has likely resumed its bullish continuation trend.
🔁 Current Market Structure
✅ H4 Trend: Resumed upward after OB reaction
✅ M15 Trend: Now aligned with H4 (ChoCh + BoS confirmed)
Bias: Bullish
→ We are only looking for long setups , in sync with both timeframes
📍 Key Levels to Watch
1️⃣ 3322–3326 → M15 OB zone
→ Currently acting as rejection zone
→ Already reacted — price is pulling back
2️⃣ 3313–3310.5 → Next potential M15 POI
→ If respected with M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS), long setups become valid
🎯 Target: 3345
→ Based on structure projection and intraday range
📌 If 3313–3310.5 fails:
→ Watch next zone at 3296–3298 for fresh demand/support
🧭 Execution Plan
• Wait for price to enter 3313–3310.5 zone
• Look for M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS)
• If confirmed:
→ Enter long
→ Target = +120 pips (as per fixed RR model)
→ SL based on M1 structure
• If zone breaks:
→ Reassess near 3296–3298
🧠 Final Thoughts
The H4 pullback is over — structure confirms bullish continuation
M15 is aligned — we now prepare , not predict
Wait for the chart to call you in — not your bias.
📖 We don’t predict reversal — we confirm structure.
We don’t chase price — we prepare for it.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 9 | M15 Bearish Pullback After H4 OB Tap🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 9 Analysis | H4 OB Tapped, M15 Still Bearish
The market has just tapped into the H4 order block near 3280 (3288–3275) — a level we’ve been tracking closely.
However, price action shows that the H4 pullback is still active and not yet complete.
Yesterday, Gold respected the H4 supply zone (3342–3345) exactly as anticipated.
Since then, price broke below the M15 low at 3296 , confirming that bearish momentum remains valid on the lower timeframe.
🔍 Structure Breakdown
• H4: Pullback ongoing
• H4 OB: 3288–3275 (just tapped)
• M15: Broke below 3296 → Bearish trend continuation confirmed
• Current M15 State: In pullback phase
⚠️ Key Consideration:
While we are looking at bearish opportunities, keep in mind that the H4 OB (3288–3275) is a significant demand zone.
If the market begins to reclaim structure and breaks the Lower High(H4 supply zone), this could signal resumption of the H4 uptrend .
Until that happens, we remain cautiously short — but prepared to adapt.
📌 What We’re Watching
Despite the H4 OB tap, M15 remains bearish until proven otherwise.
So the focus stays on short opportunities — no longs unless structure shifts.
📍 Key M15 POI for Rejection:
→ 3322–3326 (Order Block)
→ If price pulls into this zone and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS)
→ We’ll plan short setups aligned with current trend
If this zone fails, or structure flips bullish, we’ll wait patiently for a potential revisit of the H4 supply zone (3342–3345) — which remains a valid short area for high-probability setups.
🧠 Summary:
✅ H4 OB (3288–3275) tapped
❌ No bullish reversal yet — M15 still bearish
🔍 Watching 3322–3326 for possible short
📉 Bias: Bearish until structure shifts
But be flexible — if LH breaks, the game changes.
📖 Respect the structure.
The chart doesn’t reverse because you want it to —
It reverses when the market is done moving the other way.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 8 Analysis | Decision Day at H4 Supply Zone
Gold is currently trading inside a key H4 supply zone (3342–3345) , and today’s session could act as a pivotal turning point for the ongoing structure.
We are now in a region where the H4 may either complete its pullback and resume the uptrend — or allow price to drop deeper toward 3280 before any bullish continuation.
Market Structure Overview
• H4 Trend: Still in a pullback
• M15 Trend: Gave a Change of Character (ChoCh) in the previous session
• Break of Structure (BoS): Not yet confirmed on M15
This puts us in a state of unconfirmed reversal . Without a clean BoS, this could still be a liquidity grab .
Key Levels & Current Setup
📍 H4 Supply Zone: 3342–3345
→ This is where price is currently reacting
→ Sellers may step in here if the broader pullback continues
📍 M15 Structure Status:
→ ChoCh already occurred
→ Price is in a retracement phase
→ BoS is needed to confirm a shift and signal the end of H4 pullback
What Today’s Session Will Decide
🔸 If M15 breaks structure upward (BoS):
→ H4 pullback may be complete
→ Bias turns bullish
→ We’ll plan long setups from M15 POIs with M1 confirmation
🔸 If M15 fails to break and reverses:
→ This could be a liquidity grab
→ Sellers may push price lower
→ Next downside target: 3280 H4 order block , still valid
⚠️ Reminder: Be Prepared for Both Scenarios
• No M15 BoS = No bias
• Wait for structure, not emotion
• Do not force long trades without confirmation
• 3280 remains a high-probability target if rejection confirms
Final Thoughts
This is a structure-led market — we don’t predict, we prepare.
Today’s price action may bring directional clarity.
Structure over speculation.
Let price show intent.
Then act with process, not impulse.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 7 | Watching 3326 POI for Short Setup🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 7 Bias | Short Setup Developing at 3326 POI
The Gold market remains in a pullback phase on the H4 timeframe , and price may still revisit the 3280 H4 order block before resuming its broader uptrend.
On the M15 timeframe, structure has now shifted clearly.
After an initial Change of Character (ChoCh) , we’ve seen a confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) , placing M15 officially in a downtrend .
✅ Why This Matters:
With both ChoCh and BoS complete, we no longer treat this move as a potential liquidity grab — it now reflects a valid structural reversal in the short term.
But instead of reacting impulsively, we study this shift as a live example of structure-based price action — and how entry zones form after confirmation.
🔍 M15 Order Block in Focus:
• 3323.500 – 3327.800 → Valid M15 POI for short setups
→ This is where we expect price might retrace before resuming its move
→ We’ll observe this zone for M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS) before taking any action
🎯 Target Zone:
• 3280 – H4 Demand
→ A clean structure-based target aligned with higher timeframe pullback
→ Our model requires minimum 1:3 RR , anchored to price structure
🔁 Key Takeaways:
• H4: Pullback phase remains intact
• M15: Downtrend confirmed (ChoCh + BoS complete)
• Execution plan: Observe 3326 POI; respond only if structure confirms again on M1
• No anticipation. No prediction. Just process.
📖 This is structure-based learning in real time.
We don’t chase setups — we observe shifts.
Let structure teach you. Let price confirm it.
The chart is the mirror.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 4: Structure Shift & Short BiasYesterday’s price action (July 3) delivered a crucial structure break that changes our short-term trading outlook.
We were expecting a bullish continuation with a clean break above the 3365 M15 swing high .
Price reached as high as 3364, but failed to break the high — showing early signs of exhaustion.
Then came the PMI news release, triggering a sharp drop that broke the M15 Higher Low and shifted structure.
🔻 Structure Has Shifted
As of today, July 4, the intraday market structure has flipped from bullish to bearish.
✅ M15 trend: Now in a confirmed downtrend
✅ H4 trend: Entering a pullback phase
❌ Previous bullish continuation setup is invalidated
We now adjust our approach to align with the new structure — not the old expectation.
📉 Updated Bias: Short
With M15 and H4 now aligned in pullback, our active bias is bearish.
This means:
• We are not planning any long trades until structure shifts back
• Focus shifts to short setups only, executed with discipline
🔍 Intraday Short Setup Plan – July 4
We are watching for price to retrace into valid M15 POI zones before resuming the downtrend.
🔸 First zone to watch:
• 3348–3352 → M15 POI with strong probability for rejection
🔹 Execution Rule:
→ If price enters this zone
→ And we see M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS)
→ We will plan a short entry, with structure-based SL and minimum 1:3 RR
🎯 Downside Levels Ahead:
If bearish momentum continues, the next potential reversal/support zone is:
📍 3280–3285
→ This will be a key area to observe for signs of exhaustion or base formation
→ Until then, trend remains valid to the downside
🧭 Final Thoughts:
This shift from bullish to bearish bias is a textbook example of why we follow structure — not predictions .
The market gave a clean BoS at 3358, but failed to follow through.
Instead of forcing the long, we’ve now flipped bias in line with the chart’s reflection.
📖 Let the chart guide your thinking.
Structure reveals the direction.
Confirmation controls the execution.
The chart is the mirror.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is the Mirror: Mastering Gold with Structure, Stillness, and Price Action