Is the downtrend for GRT done?Here is what I see with GRT at the moment:
The bullish:
1) The green box I have drawn is GRT'S last key zone of support. I am getting this from the touch that GRT made shortly after launch and proceeded to rally over 1000%. Ever since then we have yet to re-test this box.
2) We have daily bullish RSI and MACD divergence. Always a good sign.
3) We have been in a downtrend for a very long time and have pretty much re-entered the price zone that the coin launched at.
4) It appears we are starting to break above the ema ribbon. The spread is also relatively small. A good sign.
The bearish:
1) We have a 60% ichimoku cloud above us. I have to suspect this will offer some sort of resistance, especially since we have yet to test it during this year long downtrend.
2) The red box marks a key area of resistance for GRT. This area lines up relatively well with the ichimoku cloud, supporting the idea that we will likely see resistance in this range.
3) I suspect the 200 daily ema will enter this range around the time GRT hits it, that is, if it does. This strengthens the previous two points even moreso.
4) Volume is pathetic
My take:
This is a bit of a risky play right now as GRT is heading into some substantial resistance. I still suspect some upwards movement in the short term, but only into those resistance levels, however I suspect something like scenario 1 will play out, especially if the overall market sentiment turns around in the next couple of months which I believe is to be expected.
If we lose the green box we will likely set new all time lows for GRT. Since it has lost so much of its value already, i'm inclined to believe that this wont happen.
If I were to go long I would wait for a retest of the green box, potentially after the resistance levels reject GRT.
Remember, this is not financial advice and always do your own analysis/research before making any decisions on the market.
