XAUUSD — H4 Weekly Outlook (25–29 Aug 2025)Hello traders,
After Powell’s dovish comments Friday, gold closed the week on a bullish note. But on H4, price remains trapped inside a wide structural range. The coming week will revolve around whether buyers can clear overhead supply or if the market rotates back into demand.
🔹 Macro Context
Powell’s tone supported gold, weakening USD sentiment.
This week is quiet until Thursday’s Unemployment Claims, which may provide the key catalyst.
Market bias: mildly bullish, but capped by strong supply.
🔹 H4 Structural Zones
Demand Zones (downside targets):
3345 – 3320 → Main H4 Demand (OB top + liquidity sweep bottom).
3300 – 3280 → Secondary structural demand, liquidity pocket.
3260 – 3240 → Major HTF demand, structural defense.
Supply Zones (upside targets):
3380 – 3395 → Local supply, intrarange resistance.
3420 – 3450 → Major structural supply cluster (OB + wick highs + liquidity).
3470 – 3500 → Key HTF Supply + FVG (origin of April sell-off).
3520 – 3540 → Extended HTF supply, target only if 3500 breaks.
🔹 EMA Confluence
EMA5 / EMA21 → bullish cross, supporting upside momentum.
EMA50 → overlaps with 3345–3320 demand.
EMA100 → mid-range around 3368.
EMA200 → aligns with 3260–3240, ultimate bullish defense.
🔹 Scenarios
Bullish 🟢
Defending 3345–3320 demand keeps momentum for a push into 3380–3395, then 3420–3450 supply.
Break above 3450 activates 3470–3500 HTF supply/FVG.
Sustained breakout over 3500 targets 3520–3540.
Bearish 🔴
Rejection from 3420–3450 supply brings rotation back toward 3345–3320 demand.
Break below 3320 exposes 3300–3280, and deeper weakness can reach 3260–3240 HTF demand.
🔹 Conclusion
Gold is range-bound on H4, between 3320 demand and 3450 supply.
Above 3450 → bullish path toward 3470–3500 and possibly 3520–3540.
Below 3320 → bearish path into 3300 and 3240.
💬 Gold is boxed between 3320 demand and 3450 supply — do you expect a breakout higher or another rejection? Share your bias in the comments 👇 If this outlook gave you clarity, leave a 🚀🚀🚀and make sure to follow for daily sniper updates.
— GoldFxMinds | Trade Nation Disclaimer
Tradenation
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — 25 Aug 2025Hey team — wishing you a sharp start to the week! ✨ Here’s XAUUSD Daily Outlook based on the current range and supply/demand zones.
🔸 Market Context
Powell’s speech on Friday gave gold the momentum push, but the market is still trading inside a wide Daily range.
Monday brings no high-impact news, meaning price is likely to respect technical supply and demand zones until Tuesday’s catalysts arrive.
🔸 Structure & Bias (D1)
Current price: ~3372
Trend: HTF bullish, Daily still ranging between 3320 demand and 3439 supply cap.
EMA Flow: Price trades above EMA21/EMA50 → bullish tilt, but capped by multiple overhead supply zones.
Liquidity:
Buy-side rests above 3380–3410 → 3439 → 3470–3485 → 3500.
Sell-side sits under 3320–3340 demand zone.
Bias: Bullish as long as 3320–3340 demand zone holds.
🔸 Key Supply & Demand Zones
Lower Demand Zone: 3320 – 3340 (active support, line in the sand for bulls).
Upper Supply Zone 1: 3380 – 3410 (first resistance band).
Major Supply Zone 2: 3430 – 3439 (weekly wick high, range top).
Supply Zone 3: 3470 – 3485 (Daily supply, OB + liquidity pocket).
Supply Zone 4: 3495 – 3500 (critical ceiling before extensions).
Deep Demand Zone: 3250 – 3230 (only active if 3320 breaks decisively).
🔸 Scenarios
Bullish 🟢
If buyers defend 3320–3340 demand, gold can step up into each supply zone:
3380–3410 → first target
3430–3439 → range cap test
Break above 3439 → continuation to 3470–3485
Final supply before extensions: 3495–3500
Only above 3500 do extensions open:
3520–3530 (1.272 Fibo ext)
3635–3650 (1.618 Fibo ext)
Bearish 🔴
Rejection in any supply zone (3380–3410 / 3439 / 3470–3485 / 3500) → pullback into 3320–3340 demand.
Break below 3320 demand → activates the deeper 3250–3230 HTF demand zone.
🔸 Action Plan
3320–3340 demand = key support zone.
As long as this zone holds, bias is bullish toward step-by-step supply tests.
Watch reactions in each supply zone: rejection = range play, break = continuation.
Above 3500 → bullish extensions activate into 3520–3530 and higher.
✨ Gold remains in range, 3320–3439, with multiple supply zones stacked above. Powell lit the fire, but breakout confirmation hasn’t happened yet. If this gave you clarity, drop a like, share your bias below, and follow GoldFxMinds for more updates. 💛
Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (25–29 August 2025)Hey team — happy new week! Let’s lock in the XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (Aug 25–29) so we start focused and calm. ✨
🔸 Macro & News Context
This week is loaded with USD catalysts that will shape gold’s direction:
Tuesday (26 Aug): Core Durable Goods Orders, CB Consumer Confidence
Thursday (28 Aug): Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index
Friday (29 Aug): Core PCE Price Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) + FOMC Member Waller speaks
⚡️ Wednesday has no major data → expect technical price action mid–week before Thursday–Friday volatility.
🔸 Weekly Structure & Bias
Trend: Bullish on HTF; price remains above EMA21/EMA50.
Location: Consolidating in premium territory (3300–3350).
Liquidity:
Buy-side above 3350–3439 wick supply.
Sell-side below 3260–3280 (PML).
Order Flow: Buyers continue defending mid-range, sellers pressuring highs. Equilibrium until news triggers breakout.
🔸 Key Structural Zones
Premium Supply (Resistance): 3350 – 3439 (weekly wick supply).
Decision Zone: 3300 – 3320 (mid-range control + EMA confluence).
Weekly Demand: 3260 – 3205 (OB + liquidity cluster).
Deeper HTF Demand: 2965 – 2590 (not in play unless strong breakdown).
🔸 Target Zones Above 3439
If weekly closes above 3439, price enters clean air. Using fibo extensions from swing 2965 → 3439:
1.272 extension: 3520–3530 (first major upside target).
1.618 extension: 3635–3650 (secondary bullish projection).
These are the next realistic institutional levels where gold could face supply pressure.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Case 🟢
Break and close above 3350–3439 → extension toward 3520–3530.
If macro data weakens USD (soft GDP / lower PCE), momentum accelerates.
Bearish Case 🔴
Rejection from 3350–3439 zone + strong US data → pullback into 3300.
Break below 3300 reactivates demand at 3260–3205.
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
This week is range-to-breakout:
Above 3439 → upside opens toward 3520–3530.
Below 3300 → downside pullback into 3260 demand.
News flow (Thu–Fri) will decide the weekly candle close.
Patience until the macro catalysts hit — the cleanest sniper entries will come after confirmation.
If this was helpful, drop a like, share your bias in the comments, and follow GoldFxMinds for the daily plan next. Let’s trade the facts, not the noise. 💛
Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan 18.08.2025Good day traders! ✨
Gold is trading cautiously as markets weigh the U.S. dollar’s resilience. With last week’s strong retail sales still echoing, attention shifts to upcoming U.S. housing data and manufacturing prints that could reaffirm the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin safe-haven demand, leaving gold caught in a tactical battle between USD strength and risk-off flows.
🔸 HTF Bias (H1 Overview)
On H1, gold is consolidating after rejecting 3355, with EMA flow showing dynamic resistance above and RSI cooling from near overbought territory. Structure suggests sellers are defending premium while buyers protect the mid-discount shelves. Bias leans neutral-to-bearish unless price can reclaim above 3360 with conviction.
📌 Intraday Key Levels
🔺 Premium Side (Above Price – Resistance)
3360 → Major OB cap + imbalance lid
3355 → Nearest clean reaction level
3348 → Refined OB edge
3340 → Minor supply lid
3335 → M15 OB core
3330 → Internal premium trap
🔻 Discount Side (Below Price – Support)
3325 → Minor demand retest
3314 → Key liquidity pivot (H1)
3305 → Local OB defense
3295 → Small gap fill level
3287 → M30 demand edge
3278 → Liquidity shelf
3272 → Broken invalidated buy zone (to track)
3265 → H1 demand cluster
3258 → Deep intraday floor
🎯 Battle Plan
🔹 Sell Zone (Premium)
3355–3360 → Refined OB + imbalance cap.
Targeting 3335 then 3314 if rejection confirms.
🔹 Buy Zone (Discount)
3287–3295 → M30 demand edge + gap fill alignment.
Targeting 3314, stretch to 3340 if momentum builds.
⚔️ Decision Zone
3330–3335 (M15 OB + internal trap) → This is the tactical decision area. A clean rejection here could reopen premium shorts, while a reclaim with BOS may flip bias and expose 3348 → 3355.
✅ Action Plan
Watch 3355–3360 for premium rejection and sell confirmation.
Monitor 3287–3295 for refined buy setups with OB/FVG alignment.
Track 3330–3335 closely: this will likely dictate whether gold expands higher into premium or rotates back to discount.
✨ Stay sharp, trade with discipline, and remember: sniper patience always pays.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — do you see gold holding premium resistance or diving into deeper discount?
👍 🚀🚀🚀Like this analysis if it helps your plan, and hit follow to never miss the next update!
📌 Analysis made on Trade Nation feed – official GoldFxMinds partner.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – 18 August👋 Hello traders,
We start the new day with gold sitting near 3335, right under heavy resistance. Markets remain sensitive to this week’s Retail Sales, FOMC minutes, and PMI releases, which could inject volatility into dollar flows and gold’s momentum.
📊 Macro & News Context
The market is waiting on US CPI and FOMC minutes this week – both can set the tone for USD strength/weakness.
Geopolitical tensions (BRICS currency talks + Middle East headlines) keep safe-haven flows alive, giving gold extra volatility.
Dollar index is holding firm, but yields are softening, which adds fuel to gold’s upside pullbacks.
📈 Daily Bias & Trend
Trend: Still bullish on HTF, but daily is showing signs of exhaustion near supply zones.
EMA Flow: EMA 5 & 21 locked bullish above 3310; EMA 50 around 3280 is the deeper support.
RSI: Cooling off from overbought, but still above midline – showing room for retracement before another push.
🔑 Daily Key Zones
Resistance
3350–3370 → Immediate daily supply, strong reaction area above price.
3420–3450 → Extension resistance zone (OB + FVG confluence).
3480–3500 → Extreme long-term resistance cap.
Support
3300–3280 → First daily demand, aligned with EMA21 support.
3275–3240 → Stronger demand, deeper structure level.
3200–3150 → Refined zone:
Top (3200–3150) = OB-based support.
Bottom wick (3150–3120) = Liquidity pool / magnet, not an entry zone.
🎯 Outlook & Action Plan
If gold rejects 3350–3370, we could see a retracement first into 3300–3280, then deeper towards 3275–3240 if macro flows align.
A clean break above 3370 opens the door to 3420–3450. Watch for liquidity sweeps and OB reactions before committing.
Below 3240, gold risks tapping the 3200–3150 liquidity pool, which may attract buyers again for a long-term swing.
✨ This Daily map gives us a full range: immediate reactions near 3350–3370, supports at 3300 & 3275, and a long-term magnet around 3150.
💡 What’s your outlook? Do you expect gold to revisit deeper supports before extending higher, or push directly into fresh highs?
👉 If you find this helpful, boost this idea🚀🚀🚀 & hit follow to stay updated with every sniper-level outlook. Let’s grow this community together ❤️📝🌍
Stay sharp,
GoldFxMinds
📌 Disclosure: Outlook based on Trade Nation charts. Educational purpose only — not financial advice.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – August 18–22, 2025👋 Hello traders, we’re heading into a new week with gold sitting right at a decisive point. Let’s break down the weekly structure step by step.
🌍 Macro & Calendar
This week brings Retail Sales, FOMC minutes, and PMI prints, alongside Fed speakers.
Geopolitical tensions continue to fuel gold’s safe-haven flow, keeping volatility alive.
📈 Weekly Bias
Gold remains in a bullish weekly structure, with price currently at 3335, pressing into heavy resistance.
EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) → stacked bullish, confirming long-term trend.
RSI → stretched in premium, hinting at potential exhaustion if resistance holds.
🧭 Key Weekly Structural Zones
Resistance / Supply
3350–3439 → Full wick-to-body Weekly Supply OB, institutional resistance zone.
3335 → Immediate overlap resistance, decision point for rejection or inducement.
Support / Demand
3275–3240 → Weekly Demand OB with EMA21 confluence, strong accumulation base.
3200–3120 → Liquidity magnet & potential deep support. Historical wick cluster that could trigger liquidity sweep before new demand builds.
🔢 Fibonacci Context
Swing 3200 → 3400 projection:
1.272 → 3445
1.618 → 3520
→ Extensions valid only if 3439 breaks and holds.
✅ Weekly Outlook Conclusion
Gold stands at a make-or-break level:
Rejection from 3335 → retracement into 3275–3240, with deeper liquidity risk into 3200–3120.
Break and hold above 3350 → bullish continuation to 3439, opening doors toward 3445–3520 Fibonacci extensions.
✨ If you found this analysis helpful, drop a comment and let me know your bias for the week! Don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper plans and refined market updates.
⚠️ Disclosure: This outlook is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Analysis is made on Trade Nation TradingView feed.
— GoldFxMinds
H4 XAUUSD OutlookHello traders,
Gold continues to trade within a tight but decisive H4 structure, where every reaction is refining the path for the next impulsive move. This week’s chart is showing us well-defined supply and demand areas, each backed by clear order block structure, liquidity positioning, and confluences that align with both macro sentiment and intraday price action.
📊 Macro Context
USD Strength: The dollar remains pressured after recent US data hinted at slowing inflation momentum, keeping gold supported above key demand zones.
Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing Middle East tensions and mixed market sentiment keep safe-haven demand alive.
Upcoming Catalyst: US CPI later in the week could trigger a breakout from the current compression phase.
🎯 H4 Bias
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation while holding above 3345–3365 demand.
Secondary Bias: Bearish retracement possible only if we break below 3345 with conviction.
📍 Key H4 Structural Zones
🔴 Supply Zones
3418 – 3439 → Primary H4 Supply OB
Base: Last strong sell-off zone inside the HTF 3350–3439 supply.
Confluences: OB + liquidity grab + unfilled FVG.
3468 – 3490 → Intermediate H4 Supply OB
Base: Consolidation before the April drop, inducement above 3460.
Confluences: OB + partial FVG + RSI overbought H1/H4.
3500 – 3520 → Extended H4 Supply OB
Base: HTF OB overlap with unfilled imbalance.
Confluences: OB + D1 RSI overbought + Fibo extension 1.618.
🟢 Demand Zones
3345 – 3365 → Primary H4 Demand OB
Base: Multiple rejections + strong bounce origin.
Confluences: OB + EMA200 support + liquidity sweep.
3305 – 3325 → Intermediate H4 Demand OB
Base: Last bullish impulse before breaking 3345.
Confluences: OB + FVG fill + RSI oversold region.
3250 – 3275 → Extended H4 Demand OB
Base: Weekly/Daily OB alignment.
Confluences: OB + deep liquidity pocket + major swing low zone.
📌 Outlook Summary
Holding above 3345–3365 keeps the bullish scenario valid, targeting first 3418–3439, then 3468–3490.
A clean break below 3345 could open a deeper pullback towards 3305–3325.
Supply at 3500–3520 remains a major HTF target if both 3439 and 3490 get cleared.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation inside these high-probability zones, and remember — liquidity hunts often come before the real move.
💬 Let me know how you see Gold playing out from here — drop your thoughts,🚀🚀🚀 and follow for more structured updates!
— GoldFxMinds
Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation feed and is for educational purposes only.
Daily XAUUSD OutlookGood day traders 🌟
Gold opens today’s session still holding strong near the upper boundaries of its daily range, trading just beneath the dominant weekly supply zone. Buyers have kept control above the 3290 handle, while sellers continue to defend the ceiling around 3439. With a busy US data week ahead, the daily chart sets the stage for either a decisive breakout or a calculated pullback into fresh demand.
📌 Bias: Bullish — daily structure remains firmly intact above 3290, dynamic EMA flow is aligned for upside, and momentum is in buyers’ favor. Still, given we’re in premium pricing, waiting for confirmation is essential before entering fresh positions.
Macro Context
Markets are poised for volatility with US CPI, PPI, and retail sales lined up. Softer inflation data could give bulls the push to clear the 3439 ceiling, while stronger numbers may invite a retracement toward lower daily demand zones.
📊 Key Daily Zones
Immediate Resistance / Supply: 3395 – 3439 (HTF supply overlap + liquidity resting above).
Mid-Level Demand: 3330 – 3310 (recent bullish OB, intraday reload zone).
Major Daily Demand: 3290 – 3260 (untested breakout base).
📊 Key Zones
Above Current Price
Immediate Resistance / Supply: 3395 – 3439 (major HTF supply).
3460 – 3475 → H4/D1 imbalance + inducement zone.
3480 – 3490 → 1.618 Fibonacci extension from last weekly swing.
3510 – 3525 → minor HTF supply / wick rejection zone.
Below Current Price
Mid-Level Demand: 3330 – 3310 (recent bullish OB).
Major Daily Demand: 3290 – 3260 (untested breakout base).
3220 – 3200 → daily demand + liquidity sweep zone.
3155 – 3140 → daily OB + HTF BOS retest.
3100 – 3085 → HTF demand + liquidity shelf.
3040 – 3020 → deep daily demand + Fibo 0.786 retracement of May rally.
🚀 Bullish Scenario
A break and daily close above 3439 clears the path toward 3460 – 3475, with extension targets at 3480 – 3490 and 3510 – 3525.
Pullbacks into 3330 – 3310 or 3290 – 3260 with bullish confirmation may offer high-RR entries back toward the highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Rejection from 3439 could push price back toward 3330 – 3310 or 3290 – 3260.
A daily close below 3260 opens deeper targets at 3220 – 3200, 3155 – 3140, and potentially 3100 – 3085.
🔍 Confluence & Indicators
Dynamic EMA Flow: Bullish, price above all major EMAs.
RSI: Neutral-to-bullish, no divergence on D1.
FVGs: Unfilled gap above 3439 acts as liquidity magnet.
Fibonacci: Price near 1.272 extension, with 1.618 above at 3480–3490.
📌 Outlook Summary
Gold is coiled near the top of its range in a bullish structure. The best setups will come from either a confirmed breakout above 3439 toward higher HTF targets or a disciplined buy from demand after a healthy retracement.
💬 Your move — will gold finally push through the highs, or is a deeper pullback coming first? Share your thoughts below and let’s track the market together.
If you find these outlooks useful, hit like and follow for precision updates.
— GoldFxMinds
Disclosure: This analysis uses Trade Nation’s price feed and is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook,August 11-15, 2025Hello traders ,
We step into a new week with gold holding its ground in the premium zone, standing just beneath the towering high of 3439. The weekly chart tells a story of persistent bullish momentum — each pullback over the past months has been shallow, showing that institutional buyers remain firmly in control.
The macro calendar is packed with potential catalysts. US CPI and PPI will be the main drivers, shaping inflation expectations and influencing the USD. Stronger readings may spark a controlled retracement, while softer data could be the trigger for gold to finally break through the ceiling at 3439. Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment later in the week could serve as the final push to decide direction.
📊 Weekly Structure & Key Zones
Major HTF Supply: 3350 – 3439 (full wick-to-body range of the last strong sell-side push; the only true weekly supply left).
First HTF Demand: 3290 – 3260 (breakout origin, untested bullish OB).
Deep HTF Demand: 2920 – 2880 (historical liquidity pocket, unlikely without major sentiment change).
📌 Bias: Bullish — structure, EMA flow, and momentum remain in buyers’ favor, but execution requires patience as we are already in premium pricing.
🚀 Bullish Breakout Path
If we see a decisive weekly close above 3439, gold steps into clear skies. The next reference points are:
3460 – 3475 → imbalance + inducement zone on H4/D1.
3480 – 3490 → 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the last weekly swing.
Beyond this, fresh mapping will be required on daily structure.
📉 Bearish Retracement Path
A rejection from 3439, especially if reinforced by strong USD data, could pull price back into 3290 – 3260 for a potential reload. Only a weekly close below 3260 would shift the bias toward the deeper 3100–3050 area.
🔍 Confluence & Indicators
Dynamic EMA Flow: Fully bullish, EMAs stacked in buy order.
RSI: Holding in bullish territory, no weekly divergence.
FVGs: Small unfilled gaps above 3439 act as liquidity targets.
Fibonacci: Price currently reacts near 1.272 extension; 1.618 remains above.
📌 Outlook Summary
The bulls still have the upper hand, but this is a premium zone where patience matters. The best plays will come from either a disciplined pullback into demand or a confirmed breakout toward 3480–3490.
💬 Your turn — what’s your call? Are we about to see new highs, or will gold take a breath first? Share your thoughts below.
If you enjoy these outlooks, don’t forget to like and follow for precision updates.
— GoldFxMinds
Disclosure: This analysis uses Trade Nation’s price feed and is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – August 4, 2025🧠 Macro & Context
Gold is surging back toward premium structure after sweeping 3287. With no major news today, flow is dictated by structure, liquidity, and the residual strength from July’s closing push. Bulls have reclaimed internal control, but are now pressing into major resistance zones. This is the perfect battleground for sniper entries.
🔥 Bias: Bullish short-term, but hitting premium exhaustion
The current candle is testing prior supply and imbalance. Unless we break 3375–3380 cleanly, price remains vulnerable to rejection from premium. Above that, clean air until external zones. Any pullbacks into discount (under 3310) remain buyable — if the structure holds.
🎯 Daily Sniper Zones
🔷 3360–3375 – Decision Supply
📍 Where we are now
This is the current premium pressure zone. Built from a bearish OB + unmitigated imbalance from late July. First contact is live. If price rejects this level, sellers may regain control short-term. But if buyers break and hold above 3375 → bullish expansion is open. This is our Decision Zone.
🔷 3387–3405 – External Supply Block
📍 Premium target for breakout move
Clean HTF OB + imbalance resting above liquidity. If 3375 gives way, this is the next sniper target. Expect strong reaction — either reversal or inducement wick. Ideal for shorts if price shows exhaustion and BOS on LTF.
🔷 3430–3439 – Final Supply Cap (Weekly)
📍 Extreme supply wick
This is the highest defined zone on the Daily/Weekly chart before unknown territory. Full wick zone, untouched since early May. Reactions from here tend to be sharp. A strong rejection could initiate a new sell cycle.
🔷 3310–3325 – Mid-Demand Support
📍 Pullback buy zone
If price rejects 3375 and pulls back, this is the first area to monitor for higher low formation. Built from bullish OB, Fibonacci 50%, and alignment with internal structure. RSI supports buyers here if retested cleanly.
🔷 3285–3300 – Key Reversal Demand
📍 The origin of the current rally
Strong institutional footprint. Last BOS + OB confluence area. Any retest here is valid for sniper buys as long as no bearish HTF shift appears.
🔷 3240–3260 – Final Daily Demand Base
📍 Only valid if structure breaks down
If we lose 3285, this is the last demand zone holding Daily structure. Deep discount + HTF mitigation block. A visit here would require bearish breakdown first.
🧠 Game Plan Summary
⚠️ Right now, we are in a decision zone (3360–3375). Do not rush. Wait for confirmation.
✅ If we break 3375, next bullish target = 3405, then 3439.
🔻 If we reject 3375, watch for controlled retracement into 3325 or 3300 for buys.
⛔️ Do not sell blindly into current price — we are at equilibrium.
💬 If this sniper breakdown sharpened your vision, show some love ❤️
Comment, follow, and hit that like to stay locked in with GoldFxMinds.
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XAUUSD H4 Outlook – August 4, 2025Structure is bullish — but supply is layered. Precision now matters more than bias.
—
Gold is trading at 3362, sitting right inside the heart of a key structural zone. After a strong breakout from 3285–3260, price reclaimed imbalance, broke internal structure, and powered higher into premium. The trend is bullish — but we’ve just stepped into stacked supply.
Let’s break down every zone that matters now, from top to bottom:
🟥 3360–3375 – Valid H4 Supply Zone
This is the first active supply block — the origin of the last bearish leg. It holds a clean OB + imbalance and is currently being tested for mitigation.
We're inside it right now. This zone is critical:
→ If price breaks and holds above it, continuation is likely
→ If we reject here, it confirms sellers are defending their level
🟥 3385–3398 – Internal Supply Trap
A secondary supply zone built from previous order flow.
If bulls push through 3375 without rejection, this is the next area to watch for weakness.
This zone often creates fake breakouts, especially when momentum slows. RSI is already showing signs of exhaustion approaching this level.
🟥 3420–3440 – HTF Supply Trap
This is the top — the last unmitigated supply on the weekly.
It's not in play yet, but if bulls break above 3398 decisively, this is where the bigger trap could form.
Any long into this zone must be backed by strong structure and continuation candles — otherwise, it’s a liquidation magnet.
🟫 3322–3310 – Flip Reentry Zone
If we reject from current supply, this is the first high-probability reentry for bulls.
It’s where the last CHoCH confirmed, and it aligns with EMA confluence and minor imbalance.
Buy setups from here must be confirmed on M15/M30 — no blind longs.
🟦 3285–3260 – Breaker Demand Base
The true origin of the bullish move.
This zone caused the structural flip — clean OB, FVG stack, and liquidity sweep.
If price returns here, it becomes a must-hold for bullish continuation. One of the best sniper zones for longs.
🟦 3222–3205 – Final Demand Layer
Deep structure zone holding imbalance + previous HL base.
Only comes into play if 3260 fails. A break below this would shift bias to neutral or bearish on H4.
🎯 Bias Summary
✔️ H4 bias = bullish
✔️ Price is inside 3360–3375 supply
✔️ EMA 5/21/50 aligned, but RSI is elevated
⚠️ This is not a breakout — it’s a test zone
🔁 Execution Plan
📍 Rejection from 3360–3375 → sell scalp toward 3322
📍 Clean break of 3375 → watch for next short at 3385–3398
📍 Failure of 3398 → HTF draw toward 3430–3439
📍 Pullback toward 3322–3310 → potential long zone
📍 Clean drop to 3285 → high-RR buy area
📍 Break below 3260 → only valid demand left is 3222
—
This is not the time to chase. It’s the time to stalk.
You’re in premium. Supply is active. Let structure decide — you just execute with clarity.
—
Which zone are you watching for your next move?
Comment your bias below 👇🏼 Smash the ❤️ if this brought clarity, and follow GoldFxMinds to trade with precision every day.
Disclosure: Chart based on Trade Nation feed (TradingView).
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350
“From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.”
🔸 Sunday Plan Recap
Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240).
The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held.
Above price, major zones included:
3314 – mid-structure
3330–3345 – supply zone
3368–3380 – final retracement targets
🔸 What Changed?
✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed.
✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg.
🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345).
🔸 Current H4 Structure
🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement
📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone
📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum
💡 RSI = approaching overbought
⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314
🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1)
🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355
Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs:
Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing)
If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265
High RR short only if structure confirms
🔵 Breakout Bullish Case
If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active
Next upside target: 3368 → 3380
🧭 Final Thoughts
We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan.
The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming?
Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts.
💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply?
📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together.
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📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
XAUUSD SNIPER OUTLOOK – JULY 28, 2025🔥 Macro & Sentiment
The dollar remains dominant — DXY holding above 105 keeps gold under pressure. No fundamental support for bullish continuation unless major macro shifts. Risk flows are defensive, not aggressive. FOMC and US GDP data remain key drivers for direction this week.
BIAS:
• Short-term bearish under 3350
• Market still in distribution mode — every bounce gets sold
• Real buy interest only deep below 3315
🔻 INTRADAY SUPPLY ZONES (Short Only With Rejection)
1. 3382–3370 (H1/M30 Premium Supply)
🔹 H1 order block, FVG alignment, EMA21/50/100 convergence
🔹 Liquidity inducement above → then rejection
📍 Short only if rejection shows via engulf / upper wick.
2. 3355–3340 (Decision Zone / Micro Supply)
🔹 EMA100/200 alignment, former support flipped resistance
🔹 M30 FVG fully filled, structure flip from mid-July
📍 Short bias below. Long only if reclaimed with H1 close above 3355.
🔵 NEUTRAL / PIVOT ZONE
3. 3338–3326 (Decision Band – M30/M15)
🔹 Consolidation area post-BOS, internal liquidity sweeps
🔹 EMA21 base on M15, no clear dominance
📍 Wait for clean reaction. Bullish engulf = scalp long to 3355. Failure = slide to demand.
🟢 DEMAND ZONES (Buy Only On Strong Reversal Confirmation)
4. 3314–3302 (M30/M15 Deep Demand)
🔹 H1 OB + hidden FVG + fib 38.2%
🔹 First real demand zone where buyers may engage
📍 Long only if strong M15 confirmation: engulf + RSI cross + EMA5/21 angle change.
5. 3289–3272 (True Reversal Demand – H1/M30)
🔹 Full NY reversal origin (July 18), major FVG left unfilled
🔹 Institutional volume + liquidity grab zone
📍 Buy only on full flush + fast snapback with BOS on M15/H1.
🧭 BIAS & EXECUTION BY TIMEFRAME
H4 Bias:
Bearish while below 3350. No valid supply above until 3370+. Avoid longs unless price sweeps 3314 or 3272 and confirms.
H1 Bias:
Sell clean rejection at 3355 or 3370–3382. Only flip long above 3355 with full-bodied close.
M30 Bias:
Watch decision zone 3338–3326 for direction. No-man’s land in between — don’t force trades.
M15 Bias:
Scalp long from 3314 or 3272 only on full confluence (OB + RSI + EMA realignment). Short only confirmed rejections above.
📊 FULL INTRADAY KEY LEVELS (Top → Bottom)
Level Context
3405 Fib ext. 127% (HTF sweep target only)
3385 OB
3375–3350 Valid Premium Supply (H1 shelf)
3350–3340 Micro Supply / Flip Zone
3338–3326 Decision Zone – watch reaction
3314–3302 Deep Demand (H1/M30 confluence)
3289–3272 Extreme Demand Base
3260 Fib 61.8% + HTF support
3250 Minor volume node
3240 Final structural floor
✅ EXECUTION NOTES
⛔ Avoid entering inside 3340–3326 → fakeout zone
✅ Play only clean sniper triggers with structure
⚠️ Wait for macro — FOMC / GDP releases may fake both sides
💡 Patience wins. Pick your zone, wait for setup, strike.
Which zone are you watching to strike? Drop your bias below.
📍 Like, comment & follow GoldFxMinds for the most precise sniper maps on TradingView.
Disclosure: This plan is based on the Trade Nation chart feed. I am part of their Influencer Program.
DOW Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DOW prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.36.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Full Structure & Macro | July 21, 2025Hello, GoldMinds! 💙
After a volatile week, gold remains caught in a wide H4 range, ping-ponging between structural supply and demand. Let’s break down the current picture so you can navigate the next big moves with confidence.
🌍 Macro & Bias
Macro context:
Last week’s US CPI print triggered a temporary rally, but gold failed to hold above resistance and quickly reversed as the dollar strengthened. Next week brings Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, global PMI numbers, and jobless claims—all catalysts for new volatility.
Bias:
Neutral on H4:
Gold is consolidating inside a broad sideways range.
The market is waiting for a catalyst to break above 3375 or below 3310 before showing a real trend.
🔸 Structural Key Supply Zones (Above Price)
1️⃣ 3357–3375 | Main H4 Supply
Why it matters:
Aggressive NY and CPI rallies have been sold off here; price rejected every attempt to close above 3375. OB, liquidity cluster, inducement—this is the first real ceiling above price.
Trade logic:
Watch for M15/H1 reversal or exhaustion. No clean break = supply remains active.
2️⃣ 3384–3400 | Macro Supply
Why it matters:
All failed breakouts from early summer were stopped in this block. Liquidity pool and macro OB; every test led to sharp pullbacks.
Trade logic:
Avoid FOMO—only short with confirmation of rejection.
3️⃣ 3410–3425 | Extreme Supply
Why it matters:
The final upper ceiling for now. Any spike here is likely to see big profit-taking and volatility.
🔹 Structural Key Demand Zones (Below Price)
1️⃣ 3330–3310 | Main H4 Demand
Why it matters:
All major dips last week bounced here—bulls are active in this OB. It’s the base of the current “micro-range,” with clear LTF inducement and high volume.
Trade logic:
Look for bullish reversal (M15/H1) before trusting any long from here.
2️⃣ 3295–3275 | Swing Demand / Discount Zone
Why it matters:
The main structure support for July. Strong OB, historic liquidity sweeps—each deep flush has brought responsive buyers.
Trade logic:
Watch for reaction, but don’t knife-catch without a clear structure break.
3️⃣ 3250–3225 | Extreme Demand / HTF Liquidity Pool
Why it matters:
The “final line” for bulls. This zone has absorbed all major liquidations and created swing reversals since early spring.
📊 H4 Structure Logic
Current play:
Gold is stuck in a structural cage between 3375 and 3310.
Until price closes outside these edges, every spike is likely a liquidity hunt.
Pro move:
Only react to confirmation in these zones—don’t force trades in the mid-range!
🧠 Game Plan
Set alerts at each supply & demand zone.
Wait for confirmation: M15/H1 CHoCH, BOS, wicks, or volume.
Let the news come to you: Powell & PMI will likely force a test of an edge; be patient.
💬 What’s your bias for the week? Drop it below and tag a friend!
🚀🚀🚀 and Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level gold planning and deep-dive SMC education.
Posted using the Trade Nation broker feed as part of their influencer program for using their TradingView charts in educational content.
— GoldFxMinds 💙
AXP American Express Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AXP before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AXP American Express Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2027-1-15,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NFLX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1260usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $71.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JPM befor the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 290usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $20.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again.
But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base.
2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential.
3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout.
4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter.
5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF Bearish Rejection Setup – Short Opportunity1. Market Context & Structure
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish market structure on the 1-hour chart. After a sharp decline from the 0.8360+ level, the price has attempted to recover but remains in a corrective phase. This recovery appears to be forming lower highs and is approaching a key resistance zone. The overall structure shows a series of sharp drops followed by weaker upward retracements, a classic sign of sellers still being in control. The current rise toward the 0.8300–0.8310 level is likely a corrective move, not a reversal, and could act as an ideal zone for a fresh bearish entry.
2. Key Technical Zones
Three key price zones define this setup. The first is the resistance zone between 0.8300 and 0.8310, marked with a red box. This area has previously acted as a strong supply zone where price faced heavy selling pressure, and it is likely to be respected again. The second important area is the intermediate support between 0.8210 and 0.8225, which could serve as a partial target for profit booking or re-entry on bounce. Finally, the major demand zone lies around 0.8160 to 0.8175, a level where price previously paused before resuming upward correction. These zones collectively provide logical stop loss and target levels for managing the trade with discipline.
3. Trading Plan (Sell Setup)
The trade idea here is to initiate a short position as the price enters the 0.8300–0.8310 resistance zone. This level aligns with the previous high and the edge of a well-defined supply area. A stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance zone—around 0.8330—to avoid getting stopped out by minor spikes or false breakouts. For targets, the first take-profit can be at 0.8225, near the intermediate support zone. If bearish momentum continues, the next logical target is at 0.8175, which aligns with previous price rejections. This plan offers a clean setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher, depending on the exact entry and target levels.
4. Confluences Supporting the Trade
Several technical factors strengthen the case for a short position at the identified level. First, the price is moving within a downtrend, confirmed by the lower highs and lower lows. The approach toward the resistance zone appears to be a corrective wave, not a breakout. Second, the chart shows a potential M-pattern formation, where the second peak aligns closely with the previous one, indicating a likely double-top scenario. Moreover, price previously reversed sharply from this resistance zone, and similar rejection candles could appear again. This confluence of trend, price action patterns, and zone-based analysis strongly supports the bearish outlook.
5. Expected Move
Based on the current structure, once price reaches the resistance at 0.8300–0.8310, a rejection is expected. This could lead to a pullback first to the 0.8225 support area. If this level is broken with momentum, a continued decline toward the 0.8175–0.8160 zone is highly probable. This move aligns with the overall bearish trend and would complete the projected wave structure shown in the chart. Traders should watch for signs of reversal (bearish engulfing, rejection wicks) at resistance to confirm entry.
6. Trade Management
Proper trade management is key to success with this setup. Once the position is live, it's recommended to book partial profits around the 0.8225 level to secure gains. The stop loss can then be moved to breakeven or entry price to make the trade risk-free. If price bounces from this level, re-entry opportunities can be evaluated with tighter stop-losses. If the move continues beyond 0.8225, the position should be held toward the 0.8175 target with trailing stop-loss adjustments. Also, traders should be cautious around high-impact USD or CHF news events, which can cause volatility and invalidate technical levels.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD update 7.05.2025Short-term growth to the resistance zone (~1.1400-1.1420),
Then, there was a reversal and impulsive fall—a break of support, further decline to levels below 1.1200, possibly to a Value Area Low.
Conclusion:
This is a bearish scenario, with a trap for longists at the resistance area and an emphasis on liquidity capture under support levels.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Price Compression: Ready to Roar or Retreat?The 15-Min chart of XAUUSD is showcasing a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines—a series of lower highs forming the descending resistance (red zone) and higher lows creating the ascending support (green zone).
This price compression is typically seen before a major breakout, as the market consolidates and traders await a decisive move
Key Highlights:
🔻 Resistance Zone (Red):
Price repeatedly rejects the downward-sloping resistance line.
Each lower high is marked with red arrows, confirming seller dominance at those levels.
Also aligned near the 200 EMA (red line), which adds dynamic resistance.
🟢 Support Zone (Green):
Buyers have consistently stepped in at rising lows, forming a steady uptrend base.
This support is acting as a launchpad, compressing the price within the triangle.
Positioned near the 50 EMA (blue line), reinforcing this support region.
📈 EMAs (Trend Context):
50 EMA below 200 EMA indicates the broader trend remains bearish.
However, price consolidating near both EMAs suggests a potential trend shift if resistance breaks.
Breakout Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish Breakout Potential:
A confirmed candle close above the resistance zone with volume may ignite a rally.
Immediate upside target levels: $3,360, $3,390, and potentially $3,420+.
Would indicate short-term trend reversal and fresh bullish momentum.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Risk:
A break below the ascending support line could trigger aggressive sell-offs.
Downside target levels: $3,290, $3,260, and deeper toward $3,210.
Would validate continuation of the prior downtrend.
📊 Trading Strategy Suggestions:
Breakout traders may wait for a confirmed candle close outside the triangle (with volume).
Range traders can look for bounce trades near support and rejections at resistance until breakout occurs.
Use tight stop-losses due to narrowing range and likely sharp post-breakout volatility.
Consider risk-reward ratio minimum 1:2 when targeting breakouts.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly compensation for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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