XAUUSD – Rejection From PDH | Price Respecting Demand ZoneGold swept Previous Day High (4258), grabbed buy-side liquidity, and sharply rejected.
Price has now returned to the demand zone around PD Low (4192–4201) where buyers previously stepped in.
Key Observations:
Daily Wick 50% acted as intraday resistance
Strong reaction from weekly liquidity zone above
Bullish recovery forming from demand
Break above 4234 may open path back toward PDH & Weekly High
Bias:
As long as price holds above PD Low, intraday bullish continuation is favored.
A breakdown below the yellow zone shifts bias toward deeper sell-side liquidity.
Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 4234 / 4258 / 4264
Support: 4201 / 4192
Price is rebuilding structure — waiting for confirmation before the next impulse.
Tradesetup
BTC/USD – Band Rejection + Gap Squeeze Play (Textbook Execution)Caught a clean 30m bullish band rejection on BTC/USD, aligned with a textbook gap-up squeeze setup. Price gapped above the lower Bollinger Band after a clear downtrend, forming a strong engulfing candle. Entry triggered on break of the rejection candle high at 89,276.
Trade Highlights:
- Entry: 89,276 (2 lots)
- Target 1: Midline (9 EMA) hit at 89,372 (+0.11%)
- Target 2: Upper Band hit at 89,672 (+0.44%)
- Stop: 89,044 (below rejection low)
- Result: Full 1:1 RR achieved on both lots
Setup Confluence:
- Lower band rejection with hammer
- Gap-up ≥ 1% with strong close
- X/Y band stretch> 1.6 confirms squeeze
- No opposite rejection before midline
Takeaway: A+ setup with high-probability structure and mechanical execution. Kill fast, ride smart.
Long Comcast CMCSATrading Fam,
Not getting many long signals from my indicator these days. When I do, I pay attention. In this case, I've received two long signals on the same stock. Though, I am currently only short (and in the profit on both: TSLA and PLTR), I've decided to enter here long on Comcast. My indicator rarely fails me when it signals on these high MC/high vol. stocks. So, I will listen.
On the technical side, I am seeing a nice trendline, which, if my indicator is correct, we will break to the upside on soon. Should at least fill that recent gap down and hit the 50 SMA fairly quickly. It may be worth taking some profit at that point and raising stops to break even. I expect we'll hit our heads on that 50 SMA and draw back for a day or two at least while we wrestle around with it for a little. And then, should we break to the upside, we'll move quick. My final target may even be set too low at this point. I am trading cautiously. But we could tag the underside of that 200 SMA in red before buying subsides to some degree. I'll probably leave a little on the table for this scenario while trailing my stops up as I grab profit.
Conservative target is around $30 with a SL at around $25.50 for a 2:1 rrr. Setting a final target of that 200 SMA would increase your rrr to 5:1 with a potential profit of 23%.
✌️Stew
ETH - Short Update - Next Three MovesAs an update on my ETH Short plan, the following lists the sequence of the next expected movements.
1. SHORT
Entry - 2,895
Stop Loss - 3,000
Target - 1,300
2. LONG
Entry - Wick Bottom expected to be 1,229 - 1,250
Stop Loss - 1,150
Target - 1,750
3. SHORT
Entry - 1,800 to 1,830 (top of retrace)
Stop Loss - 2,000
Target - 250
Happy Trading.
DD
BTC - Next MoveFor those following my Bitcoin Crash prediction from the top, here is a smaller broken down trade that’s the first wave down in this crash.
Entry - 86,500
Stop Loss - 89,600
Take Profit - 36,000
Will report back when the next move is ready, which will likely be a long.
Happy trading.
-DD
Bitcoin - Ultimate Swing Short As a compilation and summary of my previous ideas explaining in depth this signal - the why, when, how - here are the specific details for this swing short position.
Entry - 109,000 to 109,200
Stop Loss - 113,600
Target 1 - 97,600
Target 2 - 81,000
Target 3 - 63,400
Target 4 - 34,800
(Here is where I’ll potentially be signalling for a hedge long on Bitcoin from 34,700 to 80,000 - trading the retracement wave)
Target 5 - 20,000
Target 6 - 8,000
Ultimate wick bottom expected to be 7,200 to 7,800 range.
Good luck to all and any questions at all, please comment below.
I’ve linked any related ideas to this post here which you can view below.
- DD
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Wed (Oct 22)Key catalysts and schedule (ET): The federal shutdown continues, pausing most government statistics. There is no 8:30am tier-1 macro release expected. The energy markets will receive the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report at 10:30am. Of particular note, the Fed’s Michael Barr is scheduled to speak during the U.S. day, a potential market-moving event. Earnings reports from AT&T, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific, and Vertiv before the open, and IBM after the close, could also sway the index mood.
Key zones — resistance: The 6,765–6,795 zone, serving as the weekly/daily supply and prior high-high band, remains a crucial area of focus. It is the first ceiling to consider. The 6,820–6,830 zone becomes an intraday magnet if we manage to hold above 6,795. The 6,840 stretch target is a significant level that requires time above 6,795 first. The 6,852–6,855 zone is a potential squeeze extension, but only if momentum persists beyond 6,840.
Key zones — support: 6,725–6,735 is the prior NY session high / POH pocket and first decision area on any overnight strength that fades; 6,701–6,705 is the 1h equilibrium and flip line for intraday bias; 6,685–6,690 is the intraday pullback shelf and first buyable dip if 6,701 briefly slips and reclaims; 6,655–6,665 is the 1h demand pocket that keeps the rebound credible; 6,604 is the deeper extension stack that only comes into play on risk-off.
Overnight → NY forecast: baseline expectation is a range build under the 6,765–6,795 ceiling with stop-runs into the band and fades back toward 6,735 and 6,705; acceptance and sustained holding above 6,795 turns the tape constructive toward 6,820–6,830, with a paced push to 6,840 and only a momentum extension opening 6,852–6,855; loss of 6,701 during Asia/London that does not quickly reclaim tilts the path toward 6,690 and 6,665 before buyers try again; if 6,665 gives way decisively, risk opens to 6,604 where a larger bounce attempt is favored.
Setups (Level-KZ Protocol, 15m→5m→1m)
Short fade at the 6,765–6,795 band on the first clean test: enter on a 15m close back inside the band and a 5m re-close with a lower-high; place SL above 6,805–6,810; target 6,735 for TP1, 6,705 for TP2, 6,690 for TP3; if TP1 prints, close 70% and set the 30% runner to BE.
Long continuation only after real acceptance above 6,795: wait for a 15m full-body close above, then buy the 5m pullback that holds 6,795–6,800; SL 6,785; target 6,820–6,830 for TP1, 6,840 for TP2, 6,852–6,855 for TP3.
Quick-reclaim bounce at 6,701–6,705: if we sweep 6,701 and instantly reclaim on 1m/5m, buy the reclaim with SL 6,695; target 6,735 for TP1, 6,771–6,780 for TP2, 6,795 test for TP3.
Deeper flush-and-reverse at 6,655–6,665: buy only on confirmation (15m wick-rejection + 5m higher-low); SL 6,649; target 6,690 for TP1, 6,705 for TP2, 6,735 for TP3.
Bear continuation only if 6,701 is lost and holds below: sell the underside retest of 6,701–6,705; SL 6,712; target 6,690 for TP1, 6,665 for TP2, 6,604 extension for TP3 if momentum expands.
Bias and invalidation: The market currently exhibits a ' two-sided bias ', meaning it is neither bullish nor bearish, while we are trapped between 6,705 and 6,795. The tape turns constructive for extensions only after holding above 6,795 for multiple 15m closes. The intraday bias flips lower if we slip and cannot reclaim 6,701 on 15m closes. Invalidate any long if 6,665 breaks and holds; invalidate any short if we base above 6,830 and the first pullback defends 6,820.
Kill-zones and execution plan: Asia (20:00–00:00 ET) is optional and sized down; look for the 6,701 sweep/reclaim; London (02:00–05:00 ET) favors range probes into 6,735 or 6,705; NY AM (09:30–11:00 ET) is primary — fade the first touch of 6,795 if we gap under it, or buy the 6,795 pullback if we gap and hold above; manage lunch as maintenance only (12:00–13:00 ET); NY PM (13:30–16:00 ET) allows a final push toward 6,840 only if 6,820–6,830 converts to a floor.
Risk and management rules (applied to all plays): use a hard stop anchored to the relevant 15m wick ±0.25–0.50; take no partials before TP1; at TP1 close 70% and move the runner to BE; allow no more than two attempts per level per session; time-stop any trade that hasn’t hit TP1 or SL within 45–60 minutes.
BTC - Don’t Rule Out this PossibilityPer my “Ultimate Swing Short Setup” analysis, the bulk of this plan and idea is due to Bitcoin situating itself underneath this major trendline.
Although I’m predicting corrective wave structures to take us here - I’m also of the opinion that it’s entirely possible we see a flash crash / wick straight to 7,400 to 10,000 zone.
How would this be possible?
For over 3 years bitcoin has been moving in a slow upwards consolidation. This price movement attracts and accumulates long position stop loss orders / sell orders. Orders that only fill when price crosses down the level.
Technically and mechanically speaking, it’s entirely possible we stop straight to sub 10,000 in a fast movement.
No bear market required - just a straight up flash crash ending in a wick to 8,000.
See my related linked ideas below.
Be careful and good luck.
- Dick Dandy
BTC - Prepare for Wick to 35,000Here I display the long stop loss orders contained in order blocks below price.
These leveraged sell orders only fulfill when price crosses over the level, leaving a chain reaction or sell orders in the chart already - ready to trigger off one into the next.
This mechanic within crypto is what created wicks. I’m showing you here that they can be predicted and traded.
Prepare for this to happen anytime now.
- DD
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis Week-Ahead (Oct 20th - 24th)Market Structure Overview
Price has shown a robust rebound from last week's discount levels, now trading back near the 6,720 area following a swift flush and subsequent V-shaped recovery.
Currently, we remain capped under the supply zone between 6,765 and 6,795, which represents the previous swing-high levels. As long as we trade below this resistance, our primary strategy will be to sell into strength and buy on dips within the established range, rather than pursuing breakouts.
On the hourly chart, key equilibrium is noted around the 6,701 to 6,705 range; this serves as the pivotal point around which price action is currently oscillating.
Setups (Level-KZ style)
Reclaim-and-go long (Tier-1 / Tier-2):
Asia/London: hold above 6,701–6,705 after a shallow dip → in NY AM, take the first 5m re-close + 1m HL toward 6,725–6,735.
Scale/target: TP1 6,725–6,735, runners toward 6,765–6,780 if strength persists. Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,701.
Flush-and-reclaim long (Tier-3 bounce):
• Quick sweep into 6,655–6,665 (or even 6,685–6,690) during London → immediate reclaim → first HL entry.
• Targets: back to 6,701 then 6,725–6,735. Invalidation: 15m close back inside/under the swept zone.
Pop-and-fail short (fade):
• Squeeze into 6,725–6,735 that fails to accept (15m rejection back inside) → take the first 5m LH.
• Targets: 6,701 then 6,685–6,690. Invalidation: 15m body acceptance above 6,735.
Stop-run reversal short:
• Spike into 6,765–6,795 (look for wick/absorption) → 15m rejection → 5m LH entry.
• Targets: 6,735 then 6,701. Invalidation: sustained 15m/30m acceptance above 6,795.
Management:
Anchor hard SL to the relevant 15m wick of the trigger ± a small buffer; require TP1 ≥ 2R to the next major level.
At TP1, trim most and put the runner to BE; max 2 attempts per level per session.
Overnight to Tomorrow NY Forecast
Base Case: Anticipate a range build between 6,685 and 6,735 overnight as the market absorbs the recent rebound. During the NY AM session (09:30–11:00 ET), initial attempts may test the 6,725–6,735 resistance before pulling back towards 6,701, potentially moving within the 6,685–6,690 range. Should buyers maintain support at 6,701 on a 15-minute chart, watch for a late-morning rebound back to the 6,725–6,735 zone, with a potential squeeze toward 6,755–6,780 if we see acceptance above 6,735.
The bias shifts to a bullish trend only with clear acceptance above 6,795, which would indicate multiple strong closes in that area, potentially targeting 6,820 and beyond. On the other hand, a decisive move below 6,655 would trigger a downward extension toward 6,604, 6,564, and 6,520.
Execution windows (ET)
• London: 02:00–05:00 — look for the sweep/reclaim plays.
• NY AM (primary): 09:30–11:00 — best momentum/rotation.
• NY PM: 13:30–16:00 — continuation or mean-revert back into the day’s pivot.
What changes the plan
Acceptance above 6,735 early: favor continuation to 6,765–6,780 rather than fading.
Hard failure at 6,701 with sellers defending on 15m: expect a deeper test into 6,685 → 6,655–6,665.
Elevated macro headlines/data at 08:30/10:00 ET windows can temporarily override levels; let the impulse print, then trade the retest.
BTC Short Update - Prepare for Wicks to these LevelsAn update on my ultimate swing short trade:
There’s a good possibility this swing will be the speed of a scalp trade, at least the first drop to 35,000
Prepare for wicks to the following lows:
Wick 1 - 34,700-35,000 bottom
Retrace Up to 77,500, reject at 77,500
Wick 2 - 7,250 to 9,000 range
Happy trading and thanks for following my ideas.
- DD
SPX Bullish Trend / Elliot analysisOur analysis of this index suggests that we are currently in the development of a Wave 4 (W4) within the last bullish substructure of the macro fifth wave, where, in the long term, we could potentially see the end of the trend between the 7100 and 7600 levels.
At the moment, the price appears to be moving within the final substructure, which seems about to begin a Wave 4 (W4) correction.
💡 This is just my opinion — always remember to do your own analysis!
BTC - Short Using Order Block AnalysisThese order blocks are filled with long position stop loss orders / leveraged sell orders that fill only when price passes.
Short Details:
Entry - 112,800 to 113,000
Stop Loss - 116,100
Target 1 - 105,160
Target 2 - 96,670
Target 3 - 84,315
Target 4 - 63,405
Hope you are enjoying my trade ideas and good luck to all.
- DD
BTC MARKET UPDATE
🔥 **$117K-$115K Zone:** Critical hold – Strong demand area! Expect bounce-back to $127K+.It's essential for BTC to defend this level to maintain bullish momentum
⚠️ DYOR | NFA
This pullback came after a strong rally driven by institutional ETF inflows, dovish Fed signals, and seasonal "Uptober" momentum, but it's now consolidating near key support levels. The market sentiment is mixed: bullish on longer-term fundamentals but cautious short-term due to overbought conditions and profit-taking.






















