XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders in play Lana focuses on pullback buys above key liquidity 💛
Quick overview
Timeframe: H1
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed on the chart
Bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above neckline
Strategy: Buy pullbacks into liquidity zones, avoid chasing highs
Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders
On H1, gold has completed a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left shoulder: Formed after the first sharp sell-off
Head: Deeper liquidity sweep, followed by strong rejection
Right shoulder: Higher low, showing weakening selling pressure
Neckline: Around the 4030–4040 resistance zone (now being tested)
The recent breakout and strong follow-through suggest buyers have regained control. As long as price holds above the neckline, the structure favors continuation to the upside.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone – Pullback entry
Buy: 4363 – 4367
This area aligns with prior structure support and sits inside a healthy pullback zone. If price revisits and shows acceptance, it offers a good risk-to-reward buy.
Liquidity risk zone – Deeper pullback
Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349
If volatility increases and price sweeps deeper liquidity, this zone becomes the secondary area to watch for bullish absorption.
Upside targets & resistance
High liquidity area: 4512 – 4517
ATH zone: Above the previous all-time high
These zones are expected to attract profit-taking or short-term reactions, so Lana avoids chasing price near these levels.
Fundamental context (market drivers)
Geopolitics: Rising tension after comments about potential military intervention in Colombia adds background support for gold as a safe haven.
Goldman Sachs: Views Venezuela-related developments as having limited impact on oil, keeping broader commodity sentiment stable.
ISM Manufacturing PMI (US): Any sign of slowing manufacturing can pressure USD and indirectly support gold.
Overall, fundamentals remain supportive for gold, reinforcing the bullish technical structure.
Trading plan (Lana’s approach)
Prefer buying pullbacks into 4363–4367 while structure holds.
Be patient if price dips into 4333–4349 and wait for confirmation before entering.
If price falls back below the neckline and fails to reclaim it, Lana steps aside and reassesses.
This is Lana’s personal market view and not financial advice. Please manage your own risk before trading. 💛
Tradingforex
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading by LiquidityXAUUSD (H1) – Trading by Liquidity
Price breaks the channel but buying power is weakening, wait for a pullback to the trendline to enter a trade
Summary of today's strategy
Gold has broken the price channel, but the key point is that buying power is weakening after the breakout. As the market is about to enter the holiday season – with thin liquidity, I prioritize trading in the "right zone" (liquidity), not FOMO. Plan: watch for a Buy when the price pulls back to the trendline/old channel, and Sell reactively at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478.
1) Key Levels today (according to the chart)
✅ BUY Zone (liquidity pullback)
Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382
SL: 4373
Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358
SL: 4353
These are the "beautiful" price zones to wait for a pullback – true to the spirit of trading by liquidity: wait for the price to return to the reactive zone, do not chase buying at the top.
✅ SELL Zone (Fibonacci liquidity)
Sell zone: 4474 – 4478
SL: 4482
This zone is "premium + liquidity" so if the price touches it and cannot hold, the likelihood of a profit-taking/reversal is very high.
2) Main Scenario: Wait for a pullback to the channel/trendline to Buy
After a breakout, the market often tends to retest the old trendline/channel to check real buying power.
Since buying power is weakening, the likelihood of fluctuations to sweep liquidity is high → must be patient to wait for the zone 4379–4382 or deeper 4361–4358.
Expected target (scalp/short swing): capture a pullback of 8–15 points depending on volatility, take partial profits when the price bounces according to the plan.
3) Secondary Scenario: Sell reactively at the zone 4474–4478
If the price continues to pull up to the fib zone, I prioritize reactive Sell instead of chasing buy.
Only sell when there are signs of "weakness" (long wick/shadow, not closing strongly above the zone).
4) News Context: Weak liquidity → easy "sweep"
The market is approaching the holiday season, liquidity is weakening, making it easy for spikes/stop-hunts to occur.
Political-economic stories related to policy/tax refunds are causing businesses to prepare strategies, but during this period, prices often react strongly to short-term cash flows rather than sustainable trends.
Conclusion: Today prioritize "right zone – right discipline", limit entering trades mid-way.
5) Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade 1–2%.
Do not enter trades when spreads widen/unusual candle spikes.
Which scenario are you leaning towards today: pullback to 4379/4361 to Buy, or pull up to 4474–4478 to Sell reactively?
Cybersecurity Risks in the Global Trading SystemThreats, Vulnerabilities, and Strategic Defenses
In today’s highly interconnected world, the global trading system relies heavily on digital infrastructure. From stock exchanges and commodity markets to forex platforms and cross-border payment systems, technology is the backbone of modern trade. While digitization has improved speed, efficiency, and accessibility, it has also exposed global markets to significant cybersecurity risks. Cyber threats now pose one of the most critical non-financial risks to the stability, trust, and integrity of global trading systems.
Understanding the Global Trading System’s Digital Dependency
The global trading system includes stock exchanges, clearing corporations, depositories, brokerage firms, banks, commodity exchanges, logistics networks, and regulatory systems. These entities are interconnected through real-time data feeds, cloud services, APIs, and payment networks such as SWIFT. Even a minor cyber incident in one node can trigger a cascading effect across global markets.
High-frequency trading (HFT), algorithmic trading, and automated settlement systems depend on uninterrupted data flow and low latency. This dependency makes the system extremely sensitive to cyber disruptions, where milliseconds of delay or data manipulation can result in massive financial losses.
Major Cybersecurity Risks in Global Trading Systems
1. Data Breaches and Information Theft
One of the most common cybersecurity risks is data breaches. Trading platforms store sensitive information such as client identities, bank details, trade positions, proprietary algorithms, and market strategies. A successful breach can lead to insider trading, front-running, identity theft, and financial fraud.
State-sponsored hackers and cybercriminal groups often target financial institutions to steal market-sensitive data, which can be exploited for unfair trading advantages or sold on the dark web.
2. Market Manipulation Through Cyber Attacks
Cyber attackers can manipulate markets by altering data feeds, hacking trading algorithms, or spreading false information. For example, compromising a price feed can trigger automated buy or sell orders, leading to artificial volatility or flash crashes.
In algorithm-driven markets, even small distortions in data can cause massive ripple effects. Attackers may exploit vulnerabilities to manipulate liquidity, inflate volumes, or disrupt price discovery mechanisms.
3. Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Attacks
DDoS attacks flood trading platforms or exchanges with traffic, making systems unavailable to legitimate users. During critical market hours, such attacks can halt trading, delay order execution, or prevent access to risk management systems.
DDoS attacks are often used strategically during geopolitical tensions, economic announcements, or high-volatility events to destabilize markets or undermine confidence in financial institutions.
4. Ransomware Attacks on Financial Infrastructure
Ransomware attacks have become increasingly sophisticated. Hackers encrypt critical trading and settlement systems and demand ransom payments to restore access. If clearing and settlement systems are compromised, it can delay trade confirmations, margin calculations, and fund transfers.
Such attacks not only cause financial losses but also damage reputations and erode investor trust in the reliability of global trading systems.
Systemic Risk and Cascading Failures
Cybersecurity risks in global trading systems are not isolated threats—they represent systemic risk. A successful cyberattack on a major exchange, clearing house, or payment network can disrupt multiple markets simultaneously.
For example:
A compromised clearing corporation can delay settlements across thousands of trades.
A hacked forex trading platform can affect currency stability.
A cyberattack on a major bank can freeze liquidity across regions.
These cascading failures can amplify market panic, trigger margin calls, and even lead to broader financial instability.
Geopolitical and State-Sponsored Cyber Threats
Cybersecurity has become a tool of geopolitical conflict. Nation-states increasingly use cyber warfare to target financial infrastructure of rival economies. Global trading systems are prime targets because disrupting financial markets can weaken economic stability without direct military confrontation.
State-sponsored cyberattacks may aim to:
Undermine confidence in a country’s financial markets
Steal economic intelligence
Disrupt trade during sanctions or conflicts
Manipulate commodity or currency markets
This elevates cybersecurity from an IT issue to a matter of national and global economic security.
Third-Party and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Global trading systems rely on third-party vendors for cloud services, data analytics, trading software, and connectivity. A vulnerability in any third-party provider can expose multiple institutions simultaneously.
Supply chain attacks—where hackers infiltrate a trusted vendor to access clients—are particularly dangerous. Since vendors often have privileged system access, attackers can bypass traditional security controls and remain undetected for long periods.
Human Error and Insider Threats
Despite advanced security technologies, human error remains a major risk factor. Weak passwords, phishing emails, poor access controls, and lack of cybersecurity awareness can open doors to attackers.
Insider threats—whether malicious or accidental—are equally dangerous. Disgruntled employees or compromised insiders can leak sensitive data, sabotage systems, or provide access credentials to attackers.
Regulatory and Compliance Challenges
Global trading systems operate across multiple jurisdictions, each with different cybersecurity regulations and standards. Inconsistent regulatory frameworks create gaps that attackers can exploit.
Additionally, rapid technological innovation often outpaces regulation. New trading technologies such as decentralized finance (DeFi), blockchain-based trading, and AI-driven systems introduce fresh cybersecurity risks that regulators may not fully address yet.
Impact on Market Confidence and Trust
Trust is the foundation of global trading. Cyber incidents erode investor confidence, reduce participation, and increase risk premiums. Repeated cybersecurity failures can push investors away from affected markets and lead to long-term reputational damage for exchanges and financial institutions.
In extreme cases, loss of trust can cause liquidity shortages, capital flight, and prolonged market instability.
Strengthening Cybersecurity in Global Trading Systems
To mitigate cybersecurity risks, a multi-layered and proactive approach is essential:
Advanced Threat Detection: Use AI and machine learning to identify abnormal trading behavior and cyber intrusions in real time.
Zero-Trust Architecture: Assume no system or user is automatically trusted; verify every access request.
Regular Stress Testing: Conduct cyber stress tests and simulations to assess resilience against large-scale attacks.
Encryption and Data Protection: Secure data at rest and in transit using strong cryptographic standards.
Employee Training: Build cybersecurity awareness to reduce phishing and social engineering risks.
Global Coordination: Regulators, exchanges, and financial institutions must share threat intelligence and coordinate responses to cyber incidents.
Conclusion
Cybersecurity risks in the global trading system represent one of the most significant challenges to modern financial markets. As trading becomes faster, more automated, and more interconnected, the potential impact of cyber threats grows exponentially. These risks go beyond financial losses, threatening market integrity, systemic stability, and global economic trust.
Addressing cybersecurity is no longer optional—it is a strategic imperative. Only through continuous investment in technology, strong governance, international cooperation, and a culture of cyber resilience can the global trading system remain secure, stable, and trustworthy in an increasingly digital world.
XAUUSD – LANA MONITORS SUPPORT 4190–4199 BEFORE FED RATE CUT XAUUSD – LANA MONITORS SUPPORT 4190–4199 BEFORE FED RATE CUT
Fundamental Analysis
In the past year, Silver has increased by ~82%, Gold by ~58% – indicating that capital flow still favors the precious metals group.
The market is pricing in ~97% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25bps tomorrow, which is a supportive factor for gold in the medium term as yields decrease and the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
However, before the announcement, prices often fluctuate around short-term support – resistance zones, so Lana prioritizes trading based on technical price zones on M30.
Technical Analysis (M30 – support/resistance)
For gold to decline further, the nearest bottom around 4199 needs to be clearly broken.
Currently, the price is reacting around 4190, which is an important support zone: As long as this zone is not broken, gold still has the potential to rebound within the range.
Above is the resistance zone 4235–4238, coinciding with the previous FVG/resistance zone on the chart – suitable for watching to Sell if the price retraces.
Below, the 4164–4167 zone is the next support, also where Lana marks Buy scalping when the price sharply declines.
In summary: As long as the support is not completely broken, Lana still prioritizes Buying at the support zone.
The Sell scenario is only activated when the price retraces to a higher resistance zone.
Price Zones to Watch
Important Support: 4199 – 4190 (nearest bottom & short-term support)
4164 – 4167 (next Buy zone)
Resistance / Sell Watch Zone: 4235 – 4238
Trading Scenarios
⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance
Sell: 4235 – 4238
SL: 4243
TP: 4222 – 4205 – 4190
⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy at Support
Buy: 4164 – 4167
SL: 4159
TP: 4182 – 4202 – 4225
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView for the earliest gold updates
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA
1. Fundamental Analysis
This weekend, the market is almost "holding its breath" waiting for the PCE report – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, seen as the final piece before the year-end meeting.
Surveys show weakening consumer confidence, increasing recession risks. But shopping season sales and Black Friday indicate purchasing power is still quite strong.
Therefore, PCE will decide: If inflation continues to cool, the market strengthens the expectation ~87% that the Fed will cut 25bps, supporting stocks and in the medium term also providing a positive foundation for gold.
Before the data release, gold tends to move sideways, compressing the range, with money staying out waiting for more signals.
Today Lana only sees this as a weekend scalping session, not opening additional long positions.
2. Technical Analysis
H1 Frame: Gold is moving in an upward price channel, with higher lows. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 area.
Above is the 4219 resistance zone and further is the POC cluster 4241–4244, but with the current sideways state, the price has not shown a clear breakout intention.
On Thursday and Friday morning, the fluctuation range was quite noisy, with candles crisscrossing around the middle of the channel – indicating an accumulation state, waiting for a breakout.
Therefore, Lana does not chase Buy/Sell in the middle of the zone, but only chooses a clear liquidity area near the upward trendline for scalping.
3. Price Areas to Watch
Buy scalping area: 4185 – 4180 (coincides with upward trendline + support)
Secondary support: 4165 – 4156
Near resistance: 4219
Far resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244
4. Trading Scenario
⭐️ Only Scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping
Buy: 4185 – 4180
SL: 4178
TP: minimum +15–20 points from entry (you can actively close around near resistance zones).
Today Lana does not open additional long-term positions, only focusing on this one entry. Next week, if a larger wave forms more clearly after the PCE data and the Fed's decision, I will update everyone. 💛
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates
XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12 XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12
1. Fundamental Analysis
The current context revolves around concerns of a global economic growth slowdown. In a recession cycle, yields in the US and Europe tend to drop faster than in Japan due to more "room" to cut interest rates.
This leads to:
Narrowing yield spreads, USD/JPY carry trade transactions being reversed.
Increased risk aversion, with capital flows tending to return to JPY and defensive assets like gold.
If the risk-off wave is strong, USD/JPY may not decline gradually but could experience quite rapid drops. In such an environment, currency market volatility can easily lead to strong fluctuations in gold, creating trading opportunities in more attractive liquidity zones instead of chasing prices.
2. Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, gold is compressed between:
Descending trendline above: connecting from the peak area 4,245–4,260, selling pressure remains present whenever the price touches this trendline.
Ascending trendline below: extending from the bottom of last month, acting as support for the medium-term trend.
Some key areas on the chart:
Timing zone 4190–4194: close to the descending trendline, coinciding with the previous Volume cluster, is the area Lana prioritizes for short-term Sell watch.
Buy POC – VAL Volume Profile zone below: a price area where the market previously traded heavily, buying force may return when the price adjusts deeply.
Buy Liquidity zone 4100–4102 lies right above the large ascending trendline: this is a beautiful liquidity area to seek Buy opportunities in line with the longer trend if the market shakes off strongly.
In summary, Lana leans towards the scenario:
The price may rebound to test 4190–4194 then weaken.
If it drops deeply to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this will be the area to consider buying back up.
3. Price Areas to Watch
Resistance / Sell watch zone: 4190 – 4194
Invalidation zone for Sell setup (wide SL): 4219 – 4231
Support / Buy watch zone: 4100 – 4102
SL levels for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk tolerance)
4. Trading Scenarios
⭐️ Short-term Sell scenario
Sell entry: 4190 – 4194
SL: 4219 – 4231
TP: 4181 – 4155
⭐️ Deep Buy scenario following the trend
Buy entry: 4100 – 4102
SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR ADJUSTMENT TO BUY WITH THE UPWARD...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR ADJUSTMENT TO BUY WITH THE UPWARD TREND
1. Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are maintaining an upward momentum and have just reached the highest level in nearly two weeks as expectations for the FOMC to soon cut interest rates continue to be reinforced.
Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are benefiting gold from both a real yield perspective and as a safe-haven demand.
In this context, Lana prioritizes the scenario of gold making a slight adjustment and then continuing to follow the upward wave, rather than chasing sales when prices have reached high levels.
2. Technical Analysis
On the H1 frame, the price structure has shifted to an upward trend with a series of consecutive BOS, confirming that buyers are in control.
The FVG demand zones below around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support buffers, coinciding with important bottoms after BOS.
The price zone above around 4180–4200 is the FVG supply area, as well as the resistance/premium zone where the market may react with a downward adjustment.
When combined with Fibonacci, the zones 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 are near the 50–61.8% cluster of the most recent upward move, suitable for a strategy of waiting for adjustment to Buy with the trend.
3. Price Zones to Watch
Support / discount zone (demand & FVG):
4103 – 4105
4086 – 4088
Resistance / premium zone (supply & FVG):
4165 – 4194 – 4202
4. Trading Scenarios
⭐️ Priority Scenario – Buy with the trend
Buy entry: 4103 – 4105
SL: 3998
TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190
⭐️ Supplementary Scenario – Buy deeper at the lower FVG zone
Buy entry: 4086 – 4088
SL: 4080
TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190
⭐️ Short-term Reversal Scenario – Sell at the premium zone
Sell entry: 4194
SL: 4202
TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest gold analyses. 💛
XAUUSD–FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN💛 XAUUSD – FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN, WAITING TO BREAK RANGE 4132–3998 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
Today is the last Friday of the week, the market is waiting for PMI and preparing to enter a phase with a lot of important data in December.
Meanwhile, BTC has been rising faster than XAU in recent weeks, indicating that speculative money is leaning towards crypto, while gold is temporarily moving sideways accumulating.
The US Department of Labor will release the November employment report on December 16, which is 6 days after the December Fed meeting. In other words, the Fed is in a "blackout" state regarding labor data for nearly another month – this forces the market to price in advance, making gold's volatility range wide but lacking a clear trend.
💹 2. Technical Analysis – Range & Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the H3/H4 frame, gold is fluctuating within the large range of 4132 – 3998.
The price wave is gradually narrowing towards the end of the triangle, represented by:
Lower highs,
Higher lows,
→ When one of the two boundaries is broken, a new trend is likely to explode in the direction of the breakout.
The inverse Head – Shoulders – Head pattern has not been broken:
Left shoulder – Head – Right shoulder are all above the rising trendline.
For the final wave of the pattern to follow the rhythm, the price needs to confirm surpassing 4109:
When closing a candle above 4109, the short-term uptrend is confirmed,
At that point, gold can aim for higher liquidity areas such as 4132 → 4145 → 4200.
Conversely, if gold breaks 3998, this will be both:
breaking the range bottom,
and negating the Head and Shoulders pattern,
→ opening the possibility of a deeper decline to the 3960–3920 area.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💖 BUY Scenario – following the pattern & range bottom support
1️⃣ Buy at support 3998–4000
Entry: 3998–4000
SL: below 3990 (depending on risk management)
TP: 4025 → 4040 → 4078
2️⃣ Buy when confirmed above 4109
Condition: Price closes a candle above 4109, confirming the Head and Shoulders pattern is maintained.
Entry: around 4100–4105
SL: 4090
TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200
💢 SELL Scenario – trading the upper boundary of the range
Sell: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4110 → 4095 → 4070 → 4045
Selling should only be considered as scalping against resistance within the range, not the main trend if the Head and Shoulders pattern is still valid.
⚠️ 4. Notes & Risk Management
Range 4132–3998 is still controlling the market:
Above 4109 → prioritize Buy according to the short-term uptrend.
Below 3998 → consider shifting bias to Sell following the breakout.
PMI, Fed expectations, and upcoming employment data may trigger unexpected volatility, therefore:
🌷Gold is at the intersection of technical patterns and macro stories 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at 3998 and 4109, as these are the two key points that determine whether we enter a new upward wave or a deeper decline.
💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to follow gold with me every day ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation signals in the European session
Overall, gold is in a corrective phase after the previous upward move. On H1, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed, but the support area around 4,030 and the Fibonacci cluster below are still potential zones for a reversal buying force. Today's European session will be crucial to confirm: whether to continue a deep decline or bounce back according to the head and shoulders pattern forming on H4.
Macro – Fundamental Brief
The October Fed meeting minutes show a strong internal division:
One group opposes rate cuts, wanting to maintain the current level.
The other group supports cuts, even proposing further reductions in the December meeting.
This lack of consensus reflects a high degree of monetary policy uncertainty, keeping defensive capital flows interested in gold. In the long term, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens – the peak gold price is not a sign of prosperity, but a warning signal.
Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity)
The price is fluctuating below the short-term descending trendline, confirming the bearish phase is still in effect.
The 4,082–4,090 zone is an “important liquidity zone” – where the price has reacted multiple times, currently acting as near resistance.
The 4,029–4,031 cluster is crucial support:
Coincides with technical support area + Fibonacci retracement level.
Start of a large FVG running down to the 3,985 zone (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support).
Above, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance (strong resistance on the chart); if the price surpasses and holds above this area, the Dow bearish structure will weaken significantly.
Trading Scenario Reference
BUY Scenario – buy at support / Fibonacci zone
Logic: Price holds above support – Fibonacci, bottom-fishing capital appears.
Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031
SL: 4,022
TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120
Only prioritize when the price reacts well at 4,029–4,031 (wick or clear reversal candle appears on M15–H1). If H1 closes below 4,022, this BUY scenario should be canceled.
SELL Scenario – follow the current bearish structure (prioritize when trendline is not broken)
Logic: Price retraces to retest resistance + descending trendline and is rejected.
Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100
SL: 4,105
TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985
Only enter when the price hits the 4,098–4,100 zone and a clear rejection signal appears (pin bar/bearish engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline, stop all sell orders and reassess the structure.
Notable Price Zones for Scalping
4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129
These zones can be used for short-term scalping based on price reactions, but reduce volume and close quickly.
Important Note
If the price is confirmed to close stably above the descending trendline and holds above the 4,090–4,100 zone, the priority will gradually shift to BUY setups, as a head and shoulders pattern (bullish reversal) is forming on H4.
Conversely, if the 4,029–4,022 support is decisively broken, gold is likely to continue falling towards the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985.
Which scenario are you leaning towards for gold today – retrace up to sell further or hold the bottom to bounce back? Leave a comment below the post and follow the LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
XAUUSD – Clean 1H Demand + 4H Support Reaction
Bias
Bullish short-term after price tapped a strong 1H demand zone that aligns perfectly with 4H support.
Why I Took This Setup
Price returned to a fresh 1H demand zone
Same level is a 4H support, giving stronger confluence
Liquidity was taken below the zone before the rejection
Strong bullish reaction + momentum shift on lower timeframes
Trade Plan
Entry: Inside the refined 1H demand zone
SL: Below the zone
TP: Next major swing high
Reasoning
Market grabbed liquidity, tapped a clean zone, and showed immediate strength. Structure is now pushing upward with clear bullish intention.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯
Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + large liquidity converge. This is a zone with potential for a technical rebound, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so all BUY orders need clear confirmation.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could propel gold towards $4,900/oz by the end of 2026.
This keeps the long-term trend for gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake out” positions before big money returns.
📊 Technical Analysis
Current trend:
H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and the nearest descending trendline.
Main support zones:
4005–3990: intersection of long-term ascending trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → critical support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force.
3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent bottom.
Key resistance zones:
4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → prime zone to watch for SELL retracement.
Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting as “steps” for scalping orders.
Volume Profile:
Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before leaving.
🎯 Suggested Trading Scenarios
SELL – following the downtrend (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4105
TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012
Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline.
Only activate when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100.
BUY – catching the rebound at strong support
Entry: 3975–3977
SL: 3970
TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080
Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity.
Only BUY with strong rejection or clear reversal pattern (M15–H1).
⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping
4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939
These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritizing the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long.
🧠 Risks & Invalidation
H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure.
H1 closes below 3970 → unfavorable structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones.
Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone?
👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS ...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS AT THE TRENDLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market lacks the volume to decide the next direction.
Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD region, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks.
💹 Market Context
According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset continues to rise:
U.S. bond yields are decreasing
USD is weakening
The U.S. economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation
In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tons of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue the strong accumulation trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x region, where there is low liquidity and significant support.
📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form.
📌 The 4068 level is a key point — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy is only activated when it returns to 4034.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong)
Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044
TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945
🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x
Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957
TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030
🔸 BUY to maintain trend (if price rebounds at 4068)
Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal
⚠️ Important Note
Volume is low, the market can easily sweep stops, so enter trades with small volume.
The larger trend is still supported by central bank flows, but in the short term, Gold can fluctuate strongly around the trendline.
Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key areas rather than predicting the direction in advance.
🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry
Gold is experiencing a sharp decline as the global market faces liquidity pressure. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that money is being pulled out of risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere.
In the long term, gold typically recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails.
On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritizing SELL orders retracing to resistance.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity)
The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price touches the trendline, it is strongly rejected.
Main Resistance:
4098–4100: resistance zone + confluence with trendline.
4120–4130: stronger zone if price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382).
Target Support:
4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before.
4040 – 4025: large liquidity zone – confluence with the bottom of FVG H1.
3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if selling pressure expands.
Liquidity Zone:
Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicating selling pressure still prevails.
The lower FVG zone (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled this week.
📉 Trading Scenario (prioritize SELL retrace)
Scenario – SELL retrace to trendline + resistance (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4106
TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025
💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order.
When to BUY?
Only BUY if:
H1 closes a candle above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change.
If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend.
⚠️ Important Note
The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may continue to face pressure in the short term.
Which price zone are you watching for today's session?
Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
XAUUSD – WEEKLY SESSION SCENARIO UPDATE 💛 XAUUSD – WEEKLY SESSION SCENARIO UPDATE 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week remain mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 is intact, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the mid-term resistance zone, not strong enough to break through – but also without clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Price is moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the nearby resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted downwards.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is a crucial support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, reflected in the wicks and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on adjustment rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines alongside US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behavior is common during phases like:
2008 Financial Crisis
Early 2020 pandemic panic
Investors are forced to sell profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – even as a safe haven – to decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and heavily reliant on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the Uptrend: watch for a sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick Context: News about the U.S. government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but the buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market might retest the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 Structure: The uptrend after the breakout is running along a short-term rising trendline; the old triangle top becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this level opens the path to higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – an area prone to rejection/short-term reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upward.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for a buy-back scenario following the trend.
Invalidation Level: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 uptrend structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritize if a clear rejection/long lower wick candle appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell Scalp at Extended Resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick trade; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on Break & Hold of 4215
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retest holds 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading for the latest updates.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; waiting for a correction to 4090/4041 – breaking 4145 confirms further rise
Quick Context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Prices are moving within an upward channel, touching the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, without forming a lower low. To confirm the continuation of the upward momentum, 4145 needs to be broken; otherwise, prioritize the technical correction scenario to liquidity zones.
Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Maintaining the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid.
Liquidity & FVG:
Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing a direction.
Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if a deep correction occurs.
Main Resistance: 4130–4135 (retest channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears).
Main Support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive level for buyers.
Trading Scenarios (optimized for mobile reading)
Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority)
Entry: 4084–4086
SL: 4078
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle at 4090 or an M15 reversal signal before executing.
Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R)
Entry: 4041–4043
SL: 4036
TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120
Suggestion: Prioritize when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick.
Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060
Note: Only quick scalps; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145.
Bonus – Sell scalp 4200
Condition: Clear rejection appears on smaller frames.
SL: above the nearest new peak.
Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145.
Risk Management & Invalidation
Short-term bullish bias remains valid when price holds above 4085–4090.
H2 closes above 4145 → prioritize buying on breakout, limit all sell orders.
H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020.
Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average down against the trend.
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION 🎯
🌤Overview
Good morning traders 💬
Gold is experiencing a slight correction after hitting resistance at the VAH area on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend.
The price observation area for today's correction is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH area at 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers.
Although there is a possibility of short-term correction, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritize waiting to Buy at the support area, rather than entering against the trend.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term uptrend structure, with no reversal signals yet.
🟣 The 4075–4078 area coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short orders.
🔹 VAH around 4020 is a strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price corrects deeply.
💫 The 4200–4203 area remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 Buy scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4075–4078 | SL: 4070
TP: 4095 – 4105
💖 Buy zone (main priority)
Entry: 4018–4021 | SL: 4011
TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095
💢 Sell zone (short reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4210
TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140
💢 Sell scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4122–4124 | SL: 4130
TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040
⚠️ Important Note
The 4048 area is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here.
Prioritize Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction.
🌷Be patient and wait for the price to correct to the support area to buy according to Smart Money flow.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario...LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario: Successful Breakout, Awaiting Retest at 4056 & Deep Buy at 3998–4000
The price has just broken out of the accumulation box and accelerated as per the weekend scenario. Bullish bias for the day, with a near-term target of 4080 → 4110; the 4110–4112 zone is a suitable psychological resistance for scalping. Prioritize buying at the 4056 retest or deep buying at 3998–4000 after a liquidity sweep and rebound.
The U.S. Senate takes further procedural steps to end the shutdown. Systemic risk expectations cool down → pressure on USD decreases, supporting gold in the short term.
The process has a few steps left, volatility around news hours can be sharp → adhere to technicals, manage risks tightly.
Technical Analysis (H1/H2) – Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci
Structure & Trendline: Breakout upwards, trend-following capital dominates. Short-term uptrend as long as price holds above 4056 (retest point of breakout zone).
Support/Resistance (S/R):
Support: 4056 (retest), 4025–4038 (FVG filling liquidity), 3998–4000 (Buy Zone Liquidity).
Resistance: 4110–4112 (psychological + short-term supply cluster), 4160–4165 (Fibo extension).
Fibonacci Extension:
1.618 coincides with 4110–4112 → likely reaction/scalping.
2.272 targets ~4160 → extended target/final profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenario
Continuation Buy (priority)
Entry: 4056–4060 (retest breakout zone)
SL: 4048
TP: 4080 → 4110 → 4160
Management: Move SL to breakeven at +1R; partial take at 4080/4110.
Deep Liquidity Buy (cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4000
SL: 3992
TP: 4020 → 4045 → 4080 → 4110
Note: Enter only with clear rejection candle (long lower wick, M1–M15 reversal) or after FVG fill and rebound.
Scalp Sell at Psychological Resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4110–4112
SL: 4118
TP: 4100 → 4080 → 4065
Note: Cancel trade if H1 closes strongly above 4112 or if bullish momentum is too strong (breakout with volume).
Invalidation Conditions & Notes
Short-term bullish bias invalidated if H1 closes below 4048 → may test deeper 4025–4038 or 3998–4000.
Avoid entering trades close to news hours about the U.S. government reopening process.
Risk per trade: 0.5–1%, adhere to discipline of moving SL at +1R.
If you find this useful, comment on the price levels you're watching and hit Follow on LiamTrading for daily updates.
EUR/USD Perspective for the 2nd week of NovEU Weekly Outlook
This week, EU isn’t moving exactly in sync with GU, which is unusual — so we’ll treat it as its own setup and focus purely on what the chart is showing us right now.
- Scenario (A):
I’ll be waiting for a deeper retracement to capitalise on the bullish move and see if a rally can form from the 5hr demand zone below.
- Scenario (B):
Alternatively, if price continues climbing, I’ll be looking for buy setups up towards the 5hr supply zone. From there, I’ll wait to see how price reacts — ideally slowing down before reaching supply, especially with an Asia high sitting just above.
P.S. We’ll see what price does once the market opens Monday morning, but either POI marked could provide a solid setup this week. Stay patient and adaptable! 💪
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritize buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the adjustment from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price range of 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coinciding with a wide FVG + Fib 0.382 is a “liquidity pool” where strong reactions are likely.
Macro Summary
Hedge funds against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian blocs support the long-term trend.
The expectation of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 helps reduce pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper drop to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the latest upward wave:
Price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key Resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal area.
Important Support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading buffer level), 3928 (lower range boundary – breakout point).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend remains if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy on trend when breaking the upper range
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the bottom of the box (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a clear rejection candle/tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to the bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the liquidity area 4200
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when a clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 paves the way to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) may disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to target 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reactions at 4200. If breaking 3928, switch scenario to bearish towards 3850 → 3710.
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold just wrapped up the week with a candle closing at the 4001 zone, after a slight increase and then holding steady within the upward channel on the H4 frame.
The current sideways movement is causing many traders difficulty in finding short-term entry points.
However, the 4090 zone still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term target before the market adjusts for a deeper decline.
From my perspective, gold might rise another step to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – a crucial Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely.
💹 2. Technical Analysis
📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low higher than the previous.
🟣 The 4090–4102 zone is an untested liquidity area, located at the channel peak – a high chance of a downward reaction.
🔹 Potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area.
💫 Main Scenario: Price may rise to test the upper liquidity zone, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum.
🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Prioritize short-term Sell if price reacts strongly at the 4090–4100 zone.
Long-term Buy only if price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 zone.
Avoid emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before a major move.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is on the right path of accumulation before forming a big wave 💛
Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical zones 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the upcoming week.
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.






















