ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 4th)Bias & context
Range-to-slightly-bearish intraday while price remains capped under 6,900–6,906. A clean 15m body close above that “gate” shifts bias to the upside toward 6,940→6,985. Lose 6,852–6,860 on a 15m body-through and the path opens to 6,805→6,756.
The key levels remain unchanged.
Setups (15m→5m→1m)
Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906: tag and 15m close back below → use the first 5m re-close lower and enter short on the 1m pullback; TP1 = 6,860, TP2 = 6,805, TP3 = 6,756; hard SL = 15m wick high +0.50.
Acceptance Continuation through 6,906: 15m full-body close above → buy the 5m pullback that holds; TP1 = 6,940–6,955, TP2 = 6,968–6,985; invalidation = a 15m close back inside ≤6,900.
Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860: sweep and instant reclaim → long back toward 6,900 “gate”; if the reclaim fails, stand aside and wait for the body-through short.
Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756: only on a fast flush; first-touch responsive long back to 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a decisive 15m body-through below 6,748.
Kill-zones (ET)
NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary execution window; NY PM 13:30–16:00 continuation / reversal window.
Calendar & shutdown check
JOLTS (Sep) is scheduled for Tue, Nov 4 at 10:00 ET, but BLS warns releases may be delayed during the shutdown. Treat this as tentative.
ADP National Employment Report (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 08:15 ET and is unaffected (private release).
ISM Services PMI (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 10:00 ET and is unaffected (private release).
Census/Commerce releases on Tue (Trade Balance, Factory Orders) are on the calendar, but federal data dissemination is paused under the shutdown; expect postponements.
Major earnings Tue, Nov 4 (pre-market) include SHOP, UBER, PFE, SPOT, ETN, RACE, APO, MAR, TRI, ZTS, MPC, MPLX.
Management:
Instruction notes: only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1 close 70% and park 30% at BE; runner aims the next level. No trailing before TP2. Max 2 attempts per level per session.
Tradingfutures
ES (SPX, SPY) Week Ahead Analysis, Nov 3rd - Nov 7thMarket Context
The price is currently positioned just below a key near-term resistance level at 6,900–6,906, following a sharp reversal on Friday from around 6,845. The daily and 4-hour structures indicate an incomplete "weak-high" area above, but the 1-hour momentum has just shifted upward from oversold conditions. As we move into the Asia/London sessions, I anticipate a balance formation within the upper half of the previous session unless we see a decisive 15-minute close above 6,906.
Short — Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906
Trigger: 15m rejection close back below the band → 5m re-close down with a lower high → 1m first pullback fail.
SL: Above the 15m wick high +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,880 → 6,860 (≥2.0R gate). TP2: 6,805.
Notes: If a retest holds below 6,900, add on a fresh 1m LH.
Short — Rejection Fade at 6,940–6,955
Trigger: Same 15m→5m→1m sequence as above.
SL: Above the band’s 15m wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,880–6,860; stretch TP3: 6,805.
Long — Acceptance Continuation above 6,906
Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,906 → 5m pullback holds and re-closes up → 1m HL entry.
SL: 5m pullback low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,940–6,955; TP2: 6,968–6,985; stretch TP3: 7,020–7,052.
Notes: If 6,906 holds as support on retest, consider scaling on a clean 1m HL.
Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860
Trigger: Sweep/flush below the band and instant reclaim (1–3m), confirmed by a 5m re-close up → 1m HL entry.
SL: Below the sweep low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,940–6,955.
Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,793–6,805
Trigger: Same reclaim logic; prefer fast tag → quick pop.
SL: Below the 5m reclaim low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,860; TP2: 6,900; optional TP3: 6,940.
Long — Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756 (stretch 6,713–6,725)
Trigger: Fast liquidation into the band + momentum divergence → 5m reversal close → 1m HL entry.
SL: Below the exhaustion low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,793–6,805; TP2: 6,860; trail only after TP2.
Short — Continuation Below 6,852
Trigger: 15m body-through below 6,852 that holds on retest → 5m LH → 1m pullback entry.
SL: Above the 15m break wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,805; TP2: 6,756; stretch TP3: 6,725.
KILL-ZONES & EXECUTION NOTES
Primary execution windows: NY AM 09:30–11:00 and NY PM 13:30–16:00. London 02:00–05:00 optional, reduced size. Asia optional, smallest size.
Stops & viability: Anchor hard SLs to the relevant 15m wick; only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R. Max two attempts per level per session. At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2.
WEEK AHEAD GAME PLAN
If Monday holds above 6,860 and forms a higher low, the outlook is modestly bullish, aiming for a move toward 6,940–6,955 early to mid-week. A decisive daily close above 6,955 would suggest a rally into the 6,968–6,985 range, with the potential to extend further to 7,020–7,052 later in the week.
Conversely, if the price falls back below 6,852, the scenario shifts to a mean-reversion week, targeting 6,805 and then 6,756, with 6,713 as a potential stretch target.
Us100 short on 2Sept using only 1 indicator BandofMidas CAPITALCOM:US100
1. CLEAR all drawings and indicators.
2. Back to basic ( draw some lines, fibo, chart pattern, simple support and resistance level etc )
3. Go to indicators > invite only script > BandofMidas
4. Observe the if the price fall in Midas zone and reverse.
5. Enter the trade if the price level is at critical support resistance level. Double confirmation is great enough.
6. Plan your trading plan, strategy, risk reward ratios.
7. Consider to breakeven if price doesn't move accordingly, to take profit at opposite Midas zone or follow the trend reversal line to change color.
8. ALWAYS plan your trades before you enter, BandofMidas is a great helping tool but it won't be absolutely accurate.
Good luck to all the traders here.
My today's view on SP500 futureHi Traders,
This is my view for today on ES
Strong bearish impulse started from 4080 level let me think price will retest 4060 level which is 75%… This is the micro structure.
The higher one’s had been broken at 4026. Fair Value Gap ate 3955 which is today’s target. We’re ranging, No short below 3920, no longs above 4100.
Pit, Trading Kitchen
DISCLAIMER:
Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice.
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