XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Before the Next Decision | Lana ✨
Gold is showing signs of stabilisation after a strong sell-off, and today’s price action may favour Scenario 3: a corrective rebound. This is not a full trend reversal yet, but a likely recovery phase into key imbalance zones, where the market will decide whether to continue lower or rebuild structure for a broader rebound.
📈 Market Structure & Context
The recent move down was impulsive, clearing multiple supports and creating a clear bearish displacement.
Price is now reacting from a lower base, suggesting selling pressure is slowing and a technical retracement can develop.
In this environment, the focus is on how price reacts at FVG/supply zones above, not on chasing moves in the middle of the range.
🔍 Key Zones to Watch Today
Buy Liquidity / Base Support: 4640 – 4645
This is the current stabilisation area and the most important zone to defend for any rebound scenario.
FVG Support Zone: 4953 – 4958
First major upside target for a corrective rebound. This zone may act as a magnet for price, but also as a reaction area.
Sell FVG (Upper Supply): ~5250 – 5320
If the rebound extends, this becomes the next resistance zone where selling pressure may return.
Strong Resistance: ~5452
A higher objective only possible if price shows clear acceptance and trend rebuilding above key levels.
Structural Pivot: ~5104
A key mid-level. Acceptance above it would strengthen the rebound thesis.
🎯 Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Plan
If price holds above 4640–4645 and continues to build higher lows, the market may attempt a push back into imbalance:
First recovery path: 4640–4645 → 4953–4958
If price accepts above the mid-structure: → 5104
Extension (only with strong acceptance): → 5250–5320
Higher target (less likely today): → 5452
This is a structure-first environment: the rebound is valid as long as price defends the base and prints cleaner bullish follow-through.
🧠 Lana’s View
Today’s setup leans toward a retracement-driven rebound, where price rebalances into key zones after a sharp drop. The best approach is to stay patient, track reactions at 4953–4958 and 5250–5320, and let structure confirm whether this rebound is only corrective or the start of a broader recovery.
✨ Stay calm, respect the zones, and let price confirm the next move.
Tradinggoldview
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetXAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity Reset Before the Next Expansion | Lana ✨
February has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal.
Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher.
📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context
Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe.
The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally.
Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow.
This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative.
🔍 Key Zones to Monitor
Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350
This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base.
Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500
A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades.
Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared:
The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure.
Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply):
~4,850 – 4,900
~5,200 – 5,350
These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase.
🎯 Market Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case):
Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization:
Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas.
Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability):
A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal.
🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief)
The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact.
This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction.
🧠 Lana’s View
Gold is not in a hurry.
After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion.
Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility.
✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish OutlookXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish Outlook
Structure broken | Selling pressure remains dominant
Quick summary
Gold has shifted into a clear bearish phase after failing to hold key support levels. The strong sell-off has broken the prior bullish structure, and recent rebounds show signs of weakness rather than accumulation.
At this stage, the market is no longer in a buy-the-dip environment. The priority is selling rallies, not catching bottoms.
Market structure
The previous uptrend has been decisively invalidated by a sharp downside impulse.
Price is now trading below former support, which has flipped into resistance.
Recent recovery attempts lack follow-through and are corrective in nature.
This keeps the broader intraday-to-short-term bias bearish.
Key technical zones
Primary sell zone: 5100 – 5110
Former support turned resistance. This area favours sell reactions if price retests.
Secondary sell / liquidity zone: 4860 – 4900
A corrective bounce into this zone is likely to attract sellers again.
Near-term support: 4690 – 4700
A weak support area that may give way if selling pressure resumes.
Deeper downside targets:
4400 – 4450, then 4120 if the bearish momentum expands.
Trading plan (Liam style: sell the structure)
Primary scenario – SELL rallies
As long as price remains below 5100, any rebound should be treated as corrective. Sell reactions are preferred at resistance and liquidity zones, targeting further downside continuation.
Secondary scenario – Breakdown continuation
Failure to hold 4690 – 4700 would confirm continuation lower, opening the path toward deeper value zones.
Invalidation
Only a strong reclaim and acceptance back above 5100 – 5150 would force a reassessment of the bearish bias.
Key notes
Volatility remains elevated after the breakdown.
Avoid premature longs against structure.
Let price come into resistance, then execute.
Trend and structure first, opinions second.
Focus for now:
Selling rallies while structure remains bearish.
No bottom fishing.
— Liam
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend
Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally.
In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritise sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels.
Market Structure & Price Behaviour
The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1.
Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside.
Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities.
Key Psychological & Technical Zones
1) Trend-Following SELL Zone
Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051
This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation.
2) Near-Term Balance Level
The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation.
3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus)
Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455
This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active long entry during the current session.
Intraday Trading Bias
Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend
Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones
Risk note: Avoid counter-trend long positions while the bearish structure remains intact
In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms.
Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones.
Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis.
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XAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical Outlook – Consolidation & Range-Building Phase
After the recent sharp sell-off, gold is now transitioning into a consolidation phase on the H2 timeframe. The strong bearish impulse has slowed, and current price action suggests the market is shifting from directional movement into range-building and accumulation, rather than continuing lower immediately.
This type of behaviour is typical after aggressive volatility, as the market reassesses value and balances supply and demand.
Market Structure & Current Behaviour
Structurally, price has broken below the prior bullish leg and is now trading within a defined value range:
Selling pressure has eased following the downside expansion.
Price is rotating around the VAL and lower value areas, indicating acceptance rather than rejection.
Momentum is no longer impulsive, pointing to sideways development rather than trend continuation.
As long as price remains inside this value range, range trading conditions dominate.
Key Value & Liquidity Zones
Upper Resistance / Supply
Sell Liquidity: 5,330
Sell Zone POC: 5,045
These zones act as overhead supply where upside attempts may be capped during consolidation.
Lower Support / Demand
VAL zone
Buy scalping POC: 4,673
This lower area represents short-term demand, where downside moves are more likely to stall during the accumulation phase.
Intraday Expectation
For today’s session:
Primary expectation: Sideways consolidation within the established range
Price is likely to rotate between value extremes rather than trend strongly
Breakouts require clear acceptance above resistance or below support to shift bias
Until such acceptance occurs, patience and range awareness are more effective than directional conviction.
Key Takeaway
After strong volatility, markets often pause to rebuild structure. For now, gold appears to be absorbing orders and forming balance, making consolidation the higher-probability scenario.
Refer to the chart for highlighted value zones and projected range behaviour.
✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early market structure updates and intraday outlooks.
XAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term OutlookXAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term Outlook: Volatility Reset Before the Next Structural Move | Lana ✨
Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off from the highs, marking a clear shift from expansion into a volatility reset phase. While the broader bullish trend has not been fully invalidated, price action now suggests the market is entering a medium-term rebalancing process, where liquidity and structure will play a decisive role.
At this stage, the focus moves away from short-term noise and toward key daily levels that will define the next swing direction.
📈 Higher-Timeframe Structure (D1)
The strong vertical rally has been followed by a deep corrective candle, indicating distribution and profit-taking at premium levels.
Price has broken below short-term momentum support but is still trading above major higher-timeframe trend structure.
This behavior is typical after an extended rally, where the market needs time to absorb supply and reset positioning before choosing the next medium-term direction.
The current structure favors range development or a corrective swing, rather than immediate continuation to new highs.
🔍 Key Daily Zones to Watch
Major Resistance Zone: ~5400 – 5450
This area represents strong overhead supply. Any recovery into this zone is likely to face selling pressure and should be treated as a reaction zone, not a breakout zone.
Strong Liquidity Level: ~5100
A key magnet for price. Acceptance above or rejection below this level will heavily influence medium-term bias.
Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: ~4680 – 4700
This is a critical downside target where stops and unfilled liquidity are resting.
High-Liquidity Buy Zone: ~4290
A major higher-timeframe demand area. If price reaches this zone, it would complete a deep correction within the broader bullish cycle and open the door for medium-term accumulation.
🎯 Medium-Term Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Corrective Recovery, Then Sell Pressure (Primary):
Price may attempt a rebound toward 5100 or even the 5400–5450 resistance zone. As long as price remains below this resistance, rallies are more likely to be corrective, offering opportunities to reassess shorts or reduce long exposure.
Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Correction:
Failure to reclaim 5100 increases the probability of a continued move lower toward 4680–4700, where sell-side liquidity is resting.
Scenario 3 – Deep Reset and Structural Buy:
If downside momentum accelerates, a move toward the 4290 high-liquidity zone would represent a full medium-term reset. This area is where stronger buyers may re-enter and where the next swing-long narrative could begin to form.
🌍 Market Context (Medium-Term View)
Such sharp daily moves often occur during periods of macro repricing and sentiment shifts, forcing the market to rebalance expectations. In these environments, gold tends to oscillate between liquidity zones, rather than trend cleanly in one direction.
This makes patience and level-based execution more important than prediction.
🧠 Lana’s Perspective
The market is no longer in a “buy-every-dip” phase.
This is a transition environment, where gold needs to finish its liquidity work before the next sustained move develops.
Lana stays neutral-to-cautious in the medium term, focusing on reactions at daily liquidity zones, not emotional bias.
✨ Let the structure reset, let liquidity clear, and wait for the market to show its hand.
XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook
Sideways to bearish correction | Liquidity clearing phase
Gold has shifted from expansion into a sideways-to-bearish corrective phase on M15. After the prior impulsive leg, current price action no longer supports immediate continuation. Instead, the market is rotating and compressing, signaling a liquidity-seeking environment, likely to the downside.
This is not a trend-following setup. The focus here is liquidity behavior and reaction zones, not anticipation.
Market Structure
Price is trading within a descending corrective channel, reflecting short-term bearish pressure.
Momentum has slowed significantly, with compressed candles and weak follow-through.
Price is consolidating below prior highs, a structure that often precedes a stop sweep rather than a breakout.
The structure favors further downside exploration before any meaningful stabilization.
Key Technical Zones
Upper supply / strong volume zone: 5460 – 5480
This area previously attracted heavy volume and remains a rejection zone on any bounce.
Sell FVG: 5324 – 5330
As long as price remains below this zone, rallies are corrective and favor sell-side reactions.
Current consolidation range: 5150 – 5220
This range represents indecision and liquidity build-up, not accumulation.
Primary downside liquidity target: 4900 – 4906
This zone aligns with higher-timeframe structure and represents a natural area for sell-side liquidity to be cleared.
Intraday Scenarios
Primary scenario – Liquidity sweep lower
As long as price is capped below 5324–5330, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break of the current range opens the door toward 4900–4906 to complete the liquidity objective.
Secondary scenario – Corrective bounce
Short-term rebounds may occur from the range, but unless price reclaims and holds above the sell FVG, these moves remain corrective only.
Stabilization scenario
If price reaches 4900–4906, monitor closely for absorption and structural change. Only a clear shift here would suggest the correction is complete.
Liam’s Take
This is liquidity cleanup, not trend failure.
Compression phases punish early entries and reward patience.
Let price do the work.
Wait for liquidity to be taken, then reassess structure.
— Liam
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Short-Term Sell Pressure as Liquidity Gets Cleared | Lana ✨
Gold is showing signs of short-term weakness after an aggressive upside expansion. Price action suggests the market may continue to move lower in the near term, not as a trend reversal, but as a liquidity-driven correction within a broader bullish structure.
At this stage, the focus shifts from continuation to how price behaves while liquidity is being taken below structure.
📈 Market Structure & Price Behavior
The recent vertical rally has left the market overextended, making a corrective phase technically healthy.
Price has broken below short-term support and is now trading under a descending corrective trendline, signaling short-term bearish pressure.
This type of structure often develops when the market needs to clean buy-side positions before rebuilding for the next leg.
While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the intraday bias has shifted to corrective / bearish until liquidity objectives are met.
🔍 Key Liquidity Zones on the Chart
Short-term sell zone: the descending trendline near current price
As long as price reacts below this trendline, rallies are more likely to be sold.
Scalping buy liquidity: around 5050–5070
This area may generate temporary bounces, but reactions here should be treated as short-term only.
Key bullish order block: 4825 – 4830
A critical zone where stronger buyer participation may appear if the sell-off extends.
Major swing liquidity zone: 4613 – 4625
This is a high-confidence liquidity pocket where the market could complete a deeper correction and reset the broader bullish structure.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Primary scenario – Continuation of the pullback:
As long as price remains below the descending trendline, gold may continue to move lower to sweep liquidity below recent lows. This favors sell-on-rallies rather than buying strength.
Secondary scenario – Temporary reaction:
Short-term bounces may occur around the 5050–5070 area, but without structural reclaim, these moves are more likely corrective than trend-changing.
Structural defense scenario:
If price reaches the 4825–4830 or 4613–4625 zones, watch closely for signs of stabilization and absorption, which would signal that the liquidity objective has been completed.
🧠 Lana’s View
This move lower is best seen as liquidity cleanup, not panic selling.
Lana stays patient during corrective phases, avoiding early longs and waiting for price to reach clear liquidity zones before reassessing bullish continuation.
✨ Let the market take what it needs, then look for structure to rebuild.
XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After a Sharp Volatility Move
Gold has just experienced a significant volatility event, with price selling off aggressively from the highs before rebounding sharply. The market is now trading around a newly formed value area, a typical behaviour when price transitions from expansion into a rebalancing phase. In this environment, value and POC levels tend to guide price more effectively than individual candles.
Macro Context (Brief)
Market sentiment remains sensitive to macro risks, including commodity volatility, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy expectations. Gold ETF holdings have shown no meaningful change recently, suggesting no clear signs of institutional liquidation. The current volatility therefore appears more consistent with a positioning adjustment rather than a broader trend reversal.
Technical Analysis from the Chart (30M)
Following the sharp sell-off, price is now forming a well-defined trading range, with value areas acting as key reference points:
1) Upper Supply / Reaction Zones
POC – SELL: 5,531–5,526
The previous high-value zone, where selling pressure may re-emerge if price retraces higher.
Sell VAH: 5,365–5,369
The value area high, typically a reaction zone if distribution pressure remains present.
2) Current Balance Area
The 5,180–5,200 region is currently acting as a balancing zone after the volatility. Acceptance and consolidation above this area would increase the probability of a move back towards the VAH.
3) Lower Demand / Support Zones
POC Buy (scalping): 5,187
A short-term support area for technical reactions.
Buy VAL – Support: 5,058–5,064
The most important lower support zone. If a deeper liquidity sweep occurs, this area is likely to attract attention for potential absorption and short-term reversal.
Price Scenarios (Structure-Based)
Scenario A (Preferred if value holds):
Price holds above 5,180–5,200 → recovery towards 5,365–5,369 (VAH).
Scenario B (Rejection from above):
Price retraces into the VAH zone but faces clear rejection → rotation back towards the 5,187 / 5,180 area.
Scenario C (Deeper liquidation):
Loss of 5,180 → liquidity sweep into 5,058–5,064 (VAL) before attempting to rebuild.
Key Takeaway
In a rebalancing phase, value acceptance matters more than directional prediction. Focus on how price behaves around 5,180–5,200, the reaction at 5,365–5,369, and whether deeper support at 5,058–5,064 attracts meaningful buying interest.
Refer to the chart for detailed POC, VAH and VAL levels.
Follow the TradingView channel to receive early structure insights and join the discussion.
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATHXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28)
New ATH, strong safe-haven flow | Follow trend, buy FVG pullbacks only
Quick summary
Gold continues to print new all-time highs as global capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty tied to recent US policy decisions. Additional support comes from concerns around Fed independence and expectations of lower US rates, keeping real yields capped.
Despite the bullish backdrop, price is now extended above equilibrium. The edge is not in chasing strength, but in waiting for pullbacks into imbalance and liquidity zones.
➡️ Bias stays bullish, execution stays patient.
Macro context (why gold stays bid, but volatile)
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps structural demand for gold intact.
Rate-cut expectations and doubts around Fed autonomy weaken the USD’s long-term appeal.
USD is attempting a technical bounce, but this has not shifted gold’s underlying bid.
➡️ Conclusion: macro supports higher prices, but short-term moves will likely rotate to rebalance inefficiencies.
Technical view (H2 – based on the chart)
Price is trending cleanly higher after multiple bullish BOS, riding an ascending structure and expanding into premium.
Key levels from the chart:
✅ Major extension / sell-side target: 5280 – 5320 (2.618 fib expansion)
✅ FVG / continuation buy zone: 5155 – 5170
✅ Structure support: 5000 – 5050
✅ Trend invalidation (deeper): below 4950
Current price action suggests a likely path of push → pullback → continuation, rather than straight-line expansion.
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation)
A. BUY the FVG pullback (cleanest setup)
✅ Buy zone: 5155 – 5170
Condition: price taps FVG and shows bullish reaction (reclaim / HL / displacement on M15–H1)
SL (guide): below 5125 or below reaction low
TP1: recent high
TP2: 5280
TP3: 5320+ if momentum expands
Logic: This FVG aligns with prior buy-side liquidity and structure — a high-probability continuation zone.
B. BUY deeper structure support (only if volatility spikes)
✅ Buy zone: 5000 – 5050
Condition: liquidity sweep + strong rejection
TP: 5170 → 5280
Logic: This is value within trend. No interest in longs above premium if this level breaks.
2️⃣ SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction only)
SELL at extension (scalp / tactical only)
✅ Sell zone: 5280 – 5320
Condition: clear rejection / failure to hold highs on lower TF
TP: 5200 → 5170
Logic: Extension zones are for profit-taking and short-term mean rotation, not trend reversal calls.
Key notes
New ATHs invite FOMO — don’t be that liquidity.
Best trades come after pullbacks, not during impulse candles.
Reduce size around Fed headlines.
What’s your plan:
buying the 5155–5170 FVG pullback, or waiting for a stretch into 5280–5320 to fade the reaction?
— Liam
XAUUSD – M45 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨
Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its bullish run with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action
Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure.
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control.
The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions.
At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback.
🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45
Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310
This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction.
Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220
A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure.
Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050
Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends.
As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution:
If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing.
Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred):
A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel.
Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep:
If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops.
🌍 Market Context (Brief)
Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical.
🧠 Lana’s View
The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy.
At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum.
✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27)
Trend-following environment | Liquidity first, patience pays
Quick summary
Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely.
Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks.
➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs.
1) Macro context (why spikes are likely)
If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict:
risk sentiment can swing quickly,
headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces.
✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline.
2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart)
Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels.
Key levels (from the chart):
✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000
✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047
✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142
✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6
✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8
Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior.
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation)
A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R)
✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047)
Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15)
SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low)
TP1: 5,085 – 5,100
TP2: 5,142
TP3: 5,192.6
Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above.
A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits)
✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000
Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up)
SL: below 4,980
TP: 5,047 → 5,142
Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes.
B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only)
B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp)
✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection:
Sell: 5,190 – 5,200
SL: above the sweep high
TP: 5,142 → 5,085
Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel.
B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location)
✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8)
Only with clear weakness on M15–H1
TP: 5,192 → 5,142
Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction.
4) Key notes
Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules.
Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines.
Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity.
Question:
Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction?
— Liam
XAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally XAUUSD – H1 Gold remains structurally bullish near all-time highs| Lana ✨
Gold is extending its bullish momentum for a second consecutive session and continues to trade near all-time highs. Price action remains constructive, with the market holding above key structure while deciding between continuation or a deeper pullback into value.
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
The short-term and medium-term structure remains bullish, with price respecting the ascending channel.
The recent push above previous highs confirms strong demand, but current price action also shows signs of consolidation near ATH.
This behavior is typical after an impulsive rally, where the market pauses to build acceptance or rebalance liquidity before the next directional move.
As long as price holds above the rising structure, the bullish thesis remains valid.
🔍 Key Technical Zones to Watch
ATH Reaction Zone: 5080 – 5110
This is a sensitive area where price may consolidate, fake out, or briefly reject before choosing direction.
Primary Pullback / Buy Zone: 5000 – 5020
A key structural level aligned with prior resistance-turned-support and the midline of the bullish channel.
Secondary Support (Deeper Pullback): 4920 – 4950
A stronger value area if volatility increases or liquidity is swept below the channel.
Upside Expansion Zone: 5180 – 5200+
If price accepts above ATH, this becomes the next upside objective within the channel.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (H1 Structure-Based)
Scenario 1 – Continuation Above ATH:
If price consolidates above 5080–5110 and shows acceptance, gold may extend toward 5180–5200. This scenario favors patience and confirmation rather than chasing immediate breakouts.
Scenario 2 – Pullback Into Structure (Preferred):
A pullback toward 5000–5020 would allow the market to rebalance liquidity and offer a higher-quality continuation setup. Holding this zone keeps the bullish structure intact.
Scenario 3 – Deeper Correction:
If price loses the primary support, the 4920–4950 zone becomes the next key area to watch for buyer response and trend defense.
🌍 Macro Context (Brief)
Gold continues to benefit from heightened geopolitical risks and ongoing trade uncertainty, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset.
At the same time, market attention is shifting toward the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday, which may introduce volatility and short-term repricing.
This backdrop supports gold structurally, while also increasing the likelihood of sharp intraday swings around key levels.
🧠 Lana’s View
Gold remains bullish, but near ATH levels, discipline matters more than conviction.
Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, letting price confirm, and avoiding emotional trades during headline-driven volatility.
✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near the highs, and let the market come to your levels.
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk PlanXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk Plan
Late-stage rally into macro risk | Sell premium, buy liquidity only
Quick summary
Gold continues to push higher, driven by escalating geopolitical and macro risk:
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran tensions remain elevated
🏦 FOMC: ~99% Fed holds rates, with a high chance of hawkish guidance from Powell
🇺🇸 US government shutdown risk later this week
This is a classic environment for headline spikes and liquidity grabs.
Price is now trading at premium levels, so the edge shifts to reaction trading, not chasing strength.
Macro context (supportive, but dangerous to chase)
Geopolitical stress keeps safe-haven demand alive.
A hawkish Fed message can trigger sharp USD/yield reactions, even if rates are unchanged.
Government shutdown headlines often produce fast whipsaws, not clean trends.
➡️ Conclusion: volatility will increase, but direction will be decided at liquidity levels — not by the news itself.
Technical view (H2 – based on the chart)
Gold is in a strong bullish structure, but price has entered a late-stage expansion after multiple impulsive legs.
Key levels from the chart:
✅ Major SELL zone (premium / exhaustion): 5155 – 5234
✅ Current impulsive high area: ~5060
✅ Buy-side liquidity (already built): 4700 – 4800
✅ Sell-side liquidity / value zone: 4550 – 4600
The structure suggests a high probability path:
push higher to clear buy-side liquidity → rotate lower into sell-side liquidity.
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – distribution at premium)
A. SELL at premium extension (primary idea)
✅ Sell zone: 5155 – 5234
Condition: rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1
SL: above the high
TP1: 5000
TP2: 4800
TP3: 4600 (sell-side liquidity)
Logic: This zone represents late buyers and FOMO entries. Ideal area for distribution and mean rotation, especially during macro headlines.
B. SELL failed continuation
✅ If price spikes above 5060 but fails to hold (fake breakout):
Sell on lower-TF breakdown
TP: 4800 → 4600
Logic: Headline-driven spikes often fail after liquidity is taken.
2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only)
BUY only at sell-side liquidity
✅ Buy zone: 4550 – 4600
Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction
TP: 4800 → 5000+
Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain R:R advantage. No interest in buying above value.
Key notes for the week
Expect false breaks around FOMC.
Reduce size during Powell’s speech.
Avoid mid-range entries between 4800–5000.
Patience pays more than prediction.
What’s your bias this week:
selling the 5155–5234 premium zone, or waiting for a deeper pullback into 4600 liquidity before reassessing?
— Liam
XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATHXAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATH, Now Watch the Pullback Structure | Lana ✨
Gold has printed fresh all-time highs and is now trading near the $5,100 psychological area. After six consecutive bullish sessions, the trend is still strong — but at these levels, the market often needs a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion.
📌 Quick Summary
Trend: Bullish (strong momentum, new ATH)
Timeframe: H1
Focus: Don’t chase highs → wait for pullback into structure
Key idea: Pullback → hold support → continuation toward upper supply
📈 Market Structure & Price Action
Price is moving inside a bullish expansion leg, and the current area is a typical “extended” zone where volatility can increase.
A pullback toward the first clean structural support is healthy and often needed after a steep rally.
As long as price holds above key supports, the bias remains continuation, not reversal.
🔍 Key Zones From the Chart
1) Upper Supply / Profit-taking Area
5100–5130 (approx.)
This is the area where price is likely to face selling pressure / profit-taking, especially after a vertical rally.
2) Primary Support (Pullback Buy Zone)
5000–5020
This is the most important “structure retest” area on the chart — a logical zone for price to rebalance before continuation.
3) Deeper Value Zone (If Pullback Extends)
4750–4800 (Fibo value cluster on chart)
If the market pulls deeper, this becomes the more attractive value zone to watch for stronger reactions.
4) Major Demand Zone (Extreme Support)
4590–4630 (lower purple demand area)
This is a deeper base zone if the market shifts into a larger correction.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (Structure-Based)
✅ Scenario A (Primary): Buy the Pullback Into Structure
Buy Entry: 5005 – 5015
SL: 4995 – 5000 (8–10 points below entry)
TP Targets (scale out):
TP1: 5065 – 5075 (retest of recent high)
TP2: 5100 (psychological milestone)
TP3: 5125 – 5135 (upper supply / extension zone)
TP4: 5150+ (if breakout accepts)
Idea: Let price come back to support, confirm, then ride the trend — no chasing.
✅ Scenario B (Alternative): Deeper Pullback Into Value
If price fails to hold 5000–5020 and dips deeper:
Buy Entry: 4760 – 4790
SL: 4750 – 4755
TP Targets:
TP1: 4900
TP2: 5000
TP3: 5100
TP4: 5125 – 5135
🌍 Macro Context (Short & Relevant)
Gold’s upside momentum is being supported by:
Safe-haven flows amid ongoing geopolitical and trade uncertainty
Expectations of further Fed easing
Continued central bank buying
Strong inflows into ETFs
This backdrop helps explain why pullbacks are more likely to be profit-taking and positioning, not a structural trend change.
✨ Lana’s View
Gold is bullish — but the best trades usually come from patience, not excitement.
At ATH levels, Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, scaling out into targets, and letting the market do the work.
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan
Late-stage expansion | Look for distribution and sell reactions
Quick summary
Gold has rallied aggressively and is now trading in late-stage bullish expansion, sitting near premium pricing after multiple impulsive legs.
On the macro side, political commentary from Europe highlights a structural shift in global power:
Europe’s influence is weakening as US–Russia discussions bypass Brussels.
BRICS and SCO now represent over half of the world’s population.
Calls for renewed EU–Russia energy cooperation underline long-term uncertainty in Europe’s geopolitical positioning.
This backdrop keeps gold structurally supported, but at current levels, risk shifts toward distribution rather than clean continuation.
Macro context (supportive, but asymmetric risk)
The global balance of power continues to shift from West to East, reinforcing long-term demand for hard assets.
However, much of the near-term geopolitical premium is already priced in after the recent vertical move.
Result: upside continuation is possible, but risk/reward now favors reaction sells over fresh buys.
➡️ Conclusion: don’t fight the macro trend, but don’t chase price either.
Technical view (H3 – based on the chart)
Gold remains in a broader uptrend, but price action shows signs of deceleration and potential distribution near the highs.
Key levels from the chart:
✅ Premium sell zone: 5000 – 5050 (upper range / distribution area)
✅ Sell reaction zone: 4920 – 4950 (local highs / rejection area)
✅ Bullish retracement support: 4700 – 4750 (fib + structure)
✅ Major liquidity / deep support: 4350 – 4450
Price is trading far above equilibrium, increasing the probability of rotation back into value or sell-side liquidity.
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – late-stage reaction)
A. SELL at premium / distribution zone
✅ Sell: 5000 – 5050
Condition: clear rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1
SL: above the high
TP1: 4920
TP2: 4750
TP3: 4450 (if distribution expands)
Logic: Late-stage rallies often form rounded tops or distribution patterns before rotating lower. This zone favors risk-defined shorts, not breakout buys.
B. SELL lower high / reaction
✅ Sell: 4920 – 4950
Condition: failure to hold highs + bearish shift on lower TF
TP: 4750 → 4450
Logic: This area acts as a reaction zone inside the distribution range — ideal for tactical sells.
2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only)
BUY only at deep retracement
✅ Buy zone: 4350 – 4450
Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction
TP: 4700 → 4920
Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain a clear R:R edge. No interest in buying above value.
Key notes
Late-stage trends punish impatience.
Avoid mid-range entries.
Expect false breakouts near the highs.
Confirmation > conviction.
What’s your bias here:
selling distribution near the highs, or waiting patiently for a deeper pullback into 4700–4450 value?
— Liam
XAUUSD – H1: Strong Trend, Sensitive Zone AheadXAUUSD – H1 Technical Outlook: Extension Risk Near Highs as Geopolitical Tension Builds | Lana ✨
Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure, with price pushing higher along an ascending trendline. However, as the market approaches upper resistance zones, price action suggests the rally may be entering a more sensitive phase, where extension risk and volatility increase.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action
The short-term trend remains bullish, with price respecting the rising trendline.
Recent price action shows strong impulsive buying, followed by shallow pullbacks — a sign of aggressive demand.
However, price is now trading near the upper boundary of the trend channel, where upside continuation often becomes less efficient and more reactive.
The current structure favors continuation, but risk increases as price stretches further from value.
🔍 Key Technical Zones on H1
Immediate resistance / reaction zone: 4987 – 5000
This area represents a short-term ceiling where price may hesitate or form a temporary consolidation.
Sell zone (extension area): 5053 – 5070
A premium zone where upside becomes increasingly extended and profit-taking or corrective reactions are more likely.
Key support & value zones below:
4663 – 4629 (prior acceptance + structural support)
4595 – 4570 (deeper value area aligned with Fibonacci retracement)
These lower zones remain important reference points if price transitions from extension into correction.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
If price consolidates above 4987 and accepts higher, the market may extend into the 5053–5070 zone. Any move into this area should be monitored closely for exhaustion signals rather than late breakout chasing.
Alternative scenario (pullback into structure):
Failure to hold above 4987–5000 could trigger a corrective move back toward 4663–4629, where buyers may look to re-engage at better value.
Lana prefers waiting for reactions at key zones, not chasing price when it is already extended.
🌍 Geopolitical Context (Why Volatility Matters Now)
Recent reports indicate that the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group has entered the Indian Ocean, with expectations of moving toward the Arabian Sea in the coming days. The increased U.S. military presence in the Middle East, amid concerns of potential escalation involving Iran, adds a layer of geopolitical uncertainty.
Historically, such developments tend to:
Increase short-term volatility in gold
Support gold as a hedge, while also triggering sharp profit-taking swings
This backdrop reinforces the importance of risk management and patience, especially when price is trading near premium zones.
🧠 Lana’s Perspective
Gold remains bullish, but not every bullish phase is a good place to buy.
As price trades higher into premium and extension zones, Lana focuses on structure, value, and reaction, not emotional momentum.
✨ Respect the trend, manage extension risk, and let price come to your levels.
XAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook| LanaXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Trendline Continuation After a Healthy Pullback | Lana✨
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent push higher looks like an impulsive expansion, and the current retracement is best read as a controlled pullback to rebuild liquidity, not a bearish reversal.
As long as price respects the rising structure, Lana’s bias stays bullish (buy the dip).
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
The broader trend is still bullish, with momentum staying inside an ascending channel.
Price has already shown a clear “run” into buyside liquidity during the mid-range consolidation, followed by a continuation leg.
The current pullback is occurring from the highs and is pulling back into structure — a classic setup for re-accumulation before continuation.
🔍 Key Technical Zones (from the chart)
Primary pullback support: the ~4800 structural line
This is the cleanest “line in the sand” for the bullish thesis on the chart.
Re-entry / reaction zone: the purple demand block near the recent highs (retest zone)
This is where price may rebalance before attempting the next breakout.
Higher-timeframe support levels below:
4580.180
4508.503
4409.421
4333.528
These are deeper supports if the market ever shifts into a larger correction.
🎯 Trading Plan (H2 Structure-Based)
✅ Primary Scenario: Buy the Retest Zone (higher probability continuation)
Buy Entry: 4882 – 4888 (retest into the purple demand zone)
SL: 4872 – 4878 (8–10 points below entry)
TP Targets (scaled exits):
TP1: 4955 (current swing area / first rebound objective)
TP2: 5000 (psychological milestone + channel pressure point)
TP3: 5035 – 5050 (continuation extension inside the channel)
TP4: 5075 – 5100 (upper channel projection / breakout follow-through)
✅ Alternative Scenario: Deeper Pullback Into Structure (value buy)
If price loses the retest zone and continues lower:
Buy Entry: 4802 – 4810 (structural support line)
SL: 4792 – 4800 (8–10 points below entry)
TP Targets:
TP1: 4880 – 4890
TP2: 4955
TP3: 5000
TP4: 5035 – 5050
🌍 Macro Context (Brief)
Headlines around Trump mentioning a potential China visit in April and China’s response emphasizing stable relations can shift risk sentiment short-term.
If markets interpret it as easing tensions, gold may see profit-taking pullbacks. If uncertainty remains, gold can stay supported as a hedge. Either way, expect headline-driven volatility, which makes structured pullback entries more favorable than chasing highs.
✨ Lana’s Approach
Lana is not chasing the top. The focus is on buying pullbacks into structure, letting price confirm, and scaling out into targets as the trend continues.
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Pullback Builds Value Before the Next Expansion | Lana ✨
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent rally was clearly impulsive, and the current move looks like a technical pullback to rebalance liquidity, not a trend reversal.
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
XAUUSD remains bullish, with the higher-high / higher-low structure still intact. Price is also respecting the ascending trendline, which has acted as key dynamic support throughout this uptrend.
The current sequence aligns well with a classic bullish cycle:
Impulse → Pullback → Continuation.
As long as structural support holds, Lana’s primary bias remains: BUY with the trend, not sell against it.
🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas
Buy POC (Value Zone): 4764 – 4770
This area aligns with a high-volume node (POC/VAH) and the rising trendline, making it a strong value zone for dip-buying opportunities.
Near-term resistance: 4843
A key level that needs to be re-accepted to confirm the next continuation leg.
Psychological reaction zone: 4900
Likely to produce hesitation, profit-taking, or short-term volatility.
Upper expansion targets:
5000 and potentially the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where higher-timeframe liquidity may be resting.
🎯 Trading Plan (H2 Structure-Based)
✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback
Buy entry:
👉 4766 – 4770
Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, clear rebound / rejection of lower prices).
Stop Loss:
👉 4756 – 4758
(Placed ~8–10 points below entry, under the POC zone and below the ascending trendline)
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits)
TP1: 4843
First resistance — scale partial profits and reduce risk.
TP2: 4900
Psychological level — expect possible reactions.
TP3: 5000
Major psychological objective and expansion milestone.
TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080
Potential 2.618 Fibonacci extension / higher-timeframe liquidity zone.
Lana’s approach is to scale out into targets, then protect the position by managing risk (e.g., moving SL to breakeven once price confirms continuation).
🌍 Macro Context (Brief)
Gold remains supported by its role as a safe-haven and strategic reserve asset amid ongoing geopolitical and financial uncertainty. Recent headlines highlighting the rise in the value of large gold reserves reinforce that institutional demand for gold as a long-term hedge remains active, which supports the medium-term bullish bias.
🧠 Lana’s View
This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a bearish reversal.
Lana focuses on buying value, not chasing highs.
Stay patient, trade the structure, and let price come into your zone.
✨ Respect the trend, stay disciplined, and let the market come to your levels.
XAUUSD – Trend-Following PlanXAUUSD – Trend-Following Plan: Prefer Buying the Dip (H1)
Gold is still holding a bullish short-term structure with higher highs and higher lows. The recent push up shows buyers are in control, so my main focus is NOT chasing price, but waiting for a clean pullback into key support to join the trend with controlled risk.
🎯 MAIN SCENARIO – BUY THE DIP (Priority)
Buy Zone: 4687 – 4690
Stop Loss: Below 4655
Take Profits:
TP1: 4735 – 4745
TP2: 4780
TP3: 4804 – 4808
Why this zone?
4687–4690 is the key area highlighted on the chart as a major level. After price pushed above it, this zone can act as new support (previous resistance becomes support). If price retests and holds with clear rejection (wicks, bullish engulfing, strong bounce), this is the higher-probability buy location in line with the trend.
🔁 SECONDARY SCENARIO – DEEP BUY AT LIQUIDITY / IMBALANCE
Buy Zone: 4620 – 4600 (Liquidity Imbalance area)
Stop Loss: Below 4575
Take Profits:
TP1: 4687
TP2: 4735
TP3: 4780+
Why this zone?
The chart shows a clear liquidity imbalance below price that has not been fully filled. If the market performs a deeper sweep (stop-hunt / flush), this zone becomes a strong candidate for a trend continuation buy with better R:R.
📊 TECHNICAL VIEW (What the chart is telling us)
Price is still trading within a bullish structure and respecting the rising trendline.
The latest impulse up suggests active demand, not just a weak drift.
The most logical approach is to let price come to you:
buy support, not breakout candles.
The upside magnet remains the 4804–4808 area, which is also the next major reaction zone.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT (Keep it simple)
Gold remains supported in the broader environment where risk sentiment can shift quickly.
Unless USD strength returns aggressively, pullbacks are more likely to be bought than to start a full bearish reversal.
That’s why the plan stays trend-following: wait for dips and execute with discipline.
🧠 EXECUTION RULES (Discipline > Opinions)
No FOMO buys at extended highs.
Only take the trade inside the planned zones and only with confirmation.
Risk per trade stays controlled (1–2% max).
If the idea is wrong, cut it fast and reassess—no “hope trading.”
📌 SUMMARY
Bias: Bullish (H1)
Strategy: Buy the dip at 4687–4690, or deeper at 4620–4600
Targets: 4735–4745 → 4780 → 4804–4808
If you want, I can also rewrite this in a shorter TradingView-post style (more punchy, fewer words) while keeping the same levels and rules.
XAUUSD (H4) – TRENDLINE BREAK CONFIRMEDXAUUSD (H4) – TRENDLINE BREAK CONFIRMED, NOW IT’S ALL ABOUT BUYING THE DIP.
Macro context
Safe-haven flows are still supporting precious metals as geopolitical uncertainty rises. Headlines around the US–Venezuela situation and political pushback can keep price action reactive, meaning sharp spikes and liquidity sweeps are very possible before the market commits to the next leg.
Technical view (H4)
The bullish structure remains intact: higher highs + higher lows.
Price has broken the trendline/resistance and is holding above the “buy resistance” area around 4550 → a positive sign for continuation.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension above is a major liquidity magnet, but also a zone where short-term profit-taking can trigger a pullback.
Key levels
Pivot support: 4550–4545
Deeper support: 4475–4455 (balance area inside the rising channel)
Target resistance: 4760–4770 (Fibo 1.618 / “sell Fibonacci” zone)
Trading scenarios
Scenario 1: Trend-following BUY (preferred)
Entry: Buy pullback 4552–4560
SL: 4540
TP1: 4635–4660
TP2: 4720–4740
TP3: 4760–4770
Plan: wait for a clean reaction at the new support after the breakout, then ride the trend.
Scenario 2: Safer BUY after a deeper liquidity sweep
If price dumps hard on thin liquidity/news:
Entry: Buy 4475–4455
SL: 4435
TP: 4550 → 4635 → 4760
Scenario 3: Reaction SELL (short-term only)
Only if there’s a clear rejection at the highs:
Sell zone: 4760–4770
SL: 4785
TP: 4685 → 4635 → 4550
Conclusion
H4 bias stays bullish after the trendline break. The best approach is no chasing — wait for a dip into 4550 to buy with structure. SELL is only a tactical reaction if price rejects hard at the 1.618 extension.
👉 Follow LiamTradingFX to get my XAUUSD plans early every day.
XAUUSD – Intraday Pullback XAUUSD – Intraday Pullback & Continuation Setup | Lana ✨
Gold is entering a technical correction phase after testing the ATH zone, while the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. Today’s move looks more like a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity, not a trend reversal.
📉 Current Price Behaviour
Price has reacted from the ATH supply zone, forming a short-term lower high.
The market is currently testing the rising trendline, which is a key dynamic support in this bullish cycle.
As long as price holds above structural support, the broader bias stays bullish.
This correction is technically healthy after a strong impulsive leg.
🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch
Sell test / rejection zone: ATH area
Short-term sellers are active here, causing the current pullback.
Buy zone 1: 4495 – 4498
A former value level and trendline confluence zone, suitable for reaction buys.
Buy zone 2: 4442 – 4446
Stronger support and deeper liquidity area if the pullback extends.
These zones are where buyers are expected to step back in.
📈 Trading Scenarios
Primary scenario:
Wait for price to complete the pullback into 4495–4498, then look for bullish confirmation to rejoin the trend.
Alternative scenario:
If sell pressure increases, the 4442–4446 zone becomes the key level to watch for stronger buy reactions.
A clean hold above the trendline keeps the upside structure valid, with ATH retest as the next objective.
🌍 Fundamental Context
According to CME FedWatch, the market is pricing in a 95% probability that the Fed keeps interest rates unchanged in January.
The probability of a January rate cut remains very low at 5%.
Expectations for March also lean toward no change, with rate cuts still uncertain.
This reinforces a stable macro backdrop for gold, where pullbacks are more likely to be driven by profit-taking and positioning, rather than a shift in monetary policy.
🧠 Notes
This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a bearish reversal.
Focus on buying value, not chasing highs.
Let price confirm at key zones before entering.
✨ Stay patient, respect the structure, and let the market come to your levels.
XAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook | Lana XAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook | Lana ✨
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, and price action is confirming that the market is still respecting the ascending trend channel on the H2 timeframe.
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows clearly intact.
Price has successfully flipped the 4445–4450 zone from resistance into support, confirming strong buyer commitment.
The impulsive leg toward the current highs suggests we are still in a continuation phase, not a distribution phase.
🔍 Key Technical Zones & Liquidity
Buy resistance flip: 4445–4450
This zone has already shown clean reactions and acts as a structural base for further upside.
POC Buy zone: 4595–4600
This is a high-volume node where price is likely to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion.
Sellside liquidity sits just below current price, making a shallow pullback into value very possible before continuation.
🎯 Bullish Scenarios
Primary plan: Look for BUY setups on pullbacks into 4595–4600 (POC) with bullish confirmation.
Continuation target: If price accepts above current highs, the next upside objective sits around 4747, where higher-timeframe liquidity is resting.
A clean hold above the trendline keeps the bullish thesis valid.
🧠 Notes
Avoid chasing price at highs; wait for pullbacks into value and liquidity zones.
Trade in alignment with trend + structure, not short-term noise.
Patience is key while the market builds liquidity before the next expansion.
✨ Stay disciplined, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.






















