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XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES BUY SCALPING 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA 1. Fundamental Analysis This weekend, the market is almost "holding its breath" waiting for the PCE report – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, seen as the final piece before the year-end meeting. Surveys show weakening consumer confidence, increasing recession risks. But shopping season sales and Black Friday indicate purchasing power is still quite strong. Therefore, PCE will decide: If inflation continues to cool, the market strengthens the expectation ~87% that the Fed will cut 25bps, supporting stocks and in the medium term also providing a positive foundation for gold. Before the data release, gold tends to move sideways, compressing the range, with money staying out waiting for more signals. Today Lana only sees this as a weekend scalping session, not opening additional long positions. 2. Technical Analysis H1 Frame: Gold is moving in an upward price channel, with higher lows. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 area. Above is the 4219 resistance zone and further is the POC cluster 4241–4244, but with the current sideways state, the price has not shown a clear breakout intention. On Thursday and Friday morning, the fluctuation range was quite noisy, with candles crisscrossing around the middle of the channel – indicating an accumulation state, waiting for a breakout. Therefore, Lana does not chase Buy/Sell in the middle of the zone, but only chooses a clear liquidity area near the upward trendline for scalping. 3. Price Areas to Watch Buy scalping area: 4185 – 4180 (coincides with upward trendline + support) Secondary support: 4165 – 4156 Near resistance: 4219 Far resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244 4. Trading Scenario ⭐️ Only Scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping Buy: 4185 – 4180 SL: 4178 TP: minimum +15–20 points from entry (you can actively close around near resistance zones). Today Lana does not open additional long-term positions, only focusing on this one entry. Next week, if a larger wave forms more clearly after the PCE data and the Fed's decision, I will update everyone. 💛 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
5
XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12 XAUUSD – LANA WATCH SELL 4190–4194 AND BUY 4100–4102 ON 04/12 1. Fundamental Analysis The current context revolves around concerns of a global economic growth slowdown. In a recession cycle, yields in the US and Europe tend to drop faster than in Japan due to more "room" to cut interest rates. This leads to: Narrowing yield spreads, USD/JPY carry trade transactions being reversed. Increased risk aversion, with capital flows tending to return to JPY and defensive assets like gold. If the risk-off wave is strong, USD/JPY may not decline gradually but could experience quite rapid drops. In such an environment, currency market volatility can easily lead to strong fluctuations in gold, creating trading opportunities in more attractive liquidity zones instead of chasing prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, gold is compressed between: Descending trendline above: connecting from the peak area 4,245–4,260, selling pressure remains present whenever the price touches this trendline. Ascending trendline below: extending from the bottom of last month, acting as support for the medium-term trend. Some key areas on the chart: Timing zone 4190–4194: close to the descending trendline, coinciding with the previous Volume cluster, is the area Lana prioritizes for short-term Sell watch. Buy POC – VAL Volume Profile zone below: a price area where the market previously traded heavily, buying force may return when the price adjusts deeply. Buy Liquidity zone 4100–4102 lies right above the large ascending trendline: this is a beautiful liquidity area to seek Buy opportunities in line with the longer trend if the market shakes off strongly. In summary, Lana leans towards the scenario: The price may rebound to test 4190–4194 then weaken. If it drops deeply to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this will be the area to consider buying back up. 3. Price Areas to Watch Resistance / Sell watch zone: 4190 – 4194 Invalidation zone for Sell setup (wide SL): 4219 – 4231 Support / Buy watch zone: 4100 – 4102 SL levels for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk tolerance) 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Short-term Sell scenario Sell entry: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4219 – 4231 TP: 4181 – 4155 ⭐️ Deep Buy scenario following the trend Buy entry: 4100 – 4102 SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
8
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: buy according to Wolfe Wave, watch for ..XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: buy according to Wolfe Wave, watch for sell in the expansion area Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens significantly, breaking the downtrend line and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on H1. The price is currently fluctuating around the POC – VAH cluster of the distribution area, making it easy for a price reaction to occur before the NFP is released. During this period, I prioritize buying according to the main trend, but still prepare a short-term sell scenario in the overly high price area if the market "blows" too much before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – PRIORITY BUY AT POC/VAH Buy: 4.209 – 4.212 SL: 4.205 TP: 4.233 – 4.260 – 4.299 Reason: The price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the downtrend line. The Wolfe Wave pattern targets a higher price area, suitable for the continuation of the upward trend scenario. The 4.209–4.212 area is a region with good liquidity, allowing for a short SL but still attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL REACTION IN HIGH PRICE AREA Sell (only enter when there is a clear reversal signal): 4.323 – 4.325 SL: 4.333 Reference TP: 4.299 – 4.260 – 4.233 Reason: The 4.323–4.325 area is the upper expansion area, coinciding with the resistance of the Wolfe Wave and the old supply area. If before NFP the price is "pushed" to this area but H1 candles show long upper shadows, weakening volume, I see this as an opportunity to sell against the wave back to the POC/support areas below. This is a counter-trend order, the volume should be small, enter-exit decisively. 1️⃣ Fundamental view before NFP The USD is trying to recover from the late October bottom but is held back by expectations that the Fed will soon turn dovish. Recent data shows the US economy is cooling down, the labor market is slowing, increasing the likelihood of the Fed cutting 25bps in the upcoming FOMC meeting. The Government Accountability Office opens an investigation with the "Fed critic," while Mr. Hassett states that the Fed may cut rates – all reinforcing the "peak rate has passed" narrative. Job cuts according to the Challenger report decreased sharply compared to the previous month, but overall the picture still shows growth is slowing, suitable for a medium-term gold-supportive environment. In summary: fundamental news still leans towards supporting gold, NFP only determines the speed and depth of the adjustment, not "breaking the trend" unless the discrepancy is too extreme. 2️⃣ Technical analysis from the chart H1 shows gold has broken the downtrend line, returning to trade above the POC area of the previous decline. Wolfe Wave appears with a target higher than the current price area, reinforcing the buy wave view. The price is clinging around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4.209–4.212, it is likely to head towards 4.26x–4.29x. If strongly rejected at 4.32x before or after NFP, this is a favorable area to watch for a sell reaction. 3️⃣ Plan & risk management Prioritize BUY scenario 4.209–4.212, SL 4.205, TP 4.233–4.260–4.299. Only activate SELL scenario 4.323–4.325 if: If NFP causes too wide price fluctuations, prioritize waiting for the price to stabilize around POC before setting up again. If this perspective helps you shape your plan before NFP, follow the TradingView account and leave a comment
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the...XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the channel top – buying at the trendline & Fibonacci On H1, gold is sliding in a clear downtrend channel after peaking around 4.22x–4.23x. In this context, I do not enter trades in the middle of the channel but only trade at two extreme zones: Sell at the resistance/channel top. Buy at the trendline + Fibonacci below. 🎯 Today's trading plan 1️⃣ SELL Scenario – Watch for shorting at the resistance zone 4.203 Sell: 4.203 SL: 4.225 (aggressive) 4.249 (safer for swing) TP: 4.183 – 4.161 – 4.143 Zone 4.203 is: Resistance of the H1 downtrend channel. Near the supply zone where price was previously sold off strongly. If the price retests 4.203 during the day, I prioritize selling according to the downtrend channel, with the first target near the bottom at 4.183, further at 4.161–4.143 – corresponding to the demand zone in the middle of the channel. 2️⃣ BUY Scenario – Buy at the channel bottom: trendline + Fibonacci Buy: 4.142 SL: 4.119 (aggressive) 4.098 (safer) TP: 4.170 – 4.198 – 4.205 Zone 4.142 is a confluence of the long-term uptrend line + Fibonacci + old support zone. If gold is sold off to this area and a good price reaction appears (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see this as an opportunity to buy against the corrective phase, expecting the price to return to the middle of the channel and resistance 4.20x. 1️⃣ Basic Context USD is trying to recover from the lowest bottom since late October, creating short-term corrective pressure on gold. However, the USD's upward momentum is limited by expectations that the Fed will soon shift to a dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling down, with growth slowing. The labor market shows signs of weakening in November. This increases the probability of the Fed cutting 25bps at next week's FOMC, keeping the medium-term picture for gold positive, even though it is currently undergoing technical correction. In summary: short-term has room to decline in the H1 channel, but medium-term gold is still supported by rate cut expectations. 2️⃣ Technical & Market Sentiment View The H1 downtrend channel represents a distribution/correction phase after the previous strong rally. Every time the price touches the upper edge of the channel, selling pressure appears, indicating that shorts are still taking advantage of high areas to enter. Conversely, the lower edge of the channel + long-term trendline around 4.14x is where medium-term buying power is likely to appear – those waiting for a discount to re-enter the larger trend. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prioritize selling at resistance, buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: wait for the deeper 4.14x zone to accumulate gradually, instead of FOMO at the 4.20x zone. 3️⃣ Execution Plan Do not enter trades in the middle of the channel, only act at: 4.203 for the SELL scenario. 4.142 for the BUY scenario. Each trade limits risk to 1–2% of the account, choose one of the two SL levels (aggressive/safer) depending on the trading timeframe. If the price decisively breaks the downtrend channel (H1 candle closes above 4.249 or below 4.098), I stop all current scenarios and reassess the structure. If you find this perspective useful, follow the TradingView account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity ....XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity zone Today gold is sideways on H1, price is fluctuating around the balance zone, not choosing a clear direction. In this state, I do not chase the price in the middle of the range but only trade at both ends of the liquidity zone, where there is high volume and clear traces of cash flow. 🎯 BUY Scenario – Watch for “Liquidity Buy” below the range bottom Buy: 4.191 – 4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 The 4.191–4.194 area on the chart is the liquidity buy zone: Coincides with the nearest bottom of the strong shakeout. Near the bottom of the thick volume cluster, indicating absorption of previous sell pressure. If the price sweeps to this area, I prioritize buying back up to the upper boundary of the range, gradually closing from 4.212 to 4.26x. This order follows the idea: capturing the buying flow defending around the bottom of the accumulation zone. 🔁 SELL Scenario – Watch for Sell POC at the upper boundary 4.237–4.240 Sell: 4.237 – 4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 The 4.237–4.240 area is the Sell POC / supply zone: Where thick volume concentrates at the top. Confluence with the current range top and previous price touches that were sold down. When the price retraces to this area, I prioritize selling down to the middle and bottom of the range, keeping a tight SL above 4.245 to avoid a real breakout. 1️⃣ Larger Context – Market shocked but not easily collapsed 2013 – Abenomics: BOJ eased extremely, market fluctuated violently but no systemic crisis occurred. 2022–2023: Fed raised rates very quickly, risky assets adjusted but eventually recovered structure. Lesson: modern financial markets have good "elasticity" to policy shocks. For gold, this means: current adjustments are not signs of trend collapse, but just a process of redistributing positions. Our task is to read price and liquidity zones, not overreact to each short-term news cycle. 2️⃣ Technical View from H1 Price is moving sideways between two boundaries ~4.19x and ~4.24x. Volume Profile shows a large volume cluster in the middle, while both ends of the range are thin liquidity areas – very suitable for stop sweeps and reversals. Further below, the Buy Zone POC around 4.16x remains the last support area of the current trend; if the price breaks this area and closes below 4.155, the short-term uptrend structure is truly threatened. In the context of no clear breakout up or down, I choose a mean-reversion strategy: Buy at the bottom of the liquidity zone, Sell at the top of the supply zone, until the market breaks the sideways structure. 3️⃣ Today's Trading Plan Only act in two areas: Buy 4.191–4.194, SL 4.187, TP 4.212–4.235–4.260–4.290. Sell 4.237–4.240, SL 4.245, TP 4.220–4.202–4.180–4.155. Do not enter orders in the middle of the range, avoid being "bitten at both ends". For each scenario, keep risk at 1–2% of the account, do not widen SL. If the price breaks strongly out of one of the boundary areas and holds steady, I stop the range trading strategy and wait for a new structure. If you find this analysis useful, you can follow the account on TradingView and leave comments on today's scenario – prioritize BUY at the range bottom or SELL above the POC area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES FOR BUY WAVE 5, SKIPS SELL ORDERS ON 03/12XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES FOR BUY WAVE 5, SKIPS SELL ORDERS ON 03/12 1. Quick Summary Main View: H2 – H4 Data: TPO, Footprint, Elliott wave, futures/options Idea: Today Lana prioritizes BUY with wave 5, skips Sell orders. Lana's focus area: buy timing 4190–4194, SL 4185, TP according to wave 5 peak around 4315. 2. Futures & Market Profile Data 1. US Session TPO – “Thin” Pattern Last night's TPO formed a Thin Profile, often appearing after strong shakeouts in an uptrend. VA was accepted at a low area but the Market didn't spend much time here, the upper auction areas are still incomplete → high probability of price returning to test these levels. 2. Footprint – Trap Sell with Strong Delta On the H1 candle, Footprint recorded a Trap Sell with Delta ~ -1113 contracts. The Sell side tried to push the price down but was completely absorbed, the candle bottom became an area with a large number of trapped Sell orders. Lana sees this as a sign: Smart money is accumulating, shaking off weak Buy positions, and collecting more FOMO Sell bottoms. 3. Elliott Wave & Key Price Areas The raw chart according to Elliott wave is still following the scenario Lana shared earlier this week: Monday: confirmed the up wave scenario. Tuesday: wave 4 correction, short Sell opportunity. Wednesday (today): waiting for wave 5 to rise, Lana prioritizes Buying. Buy timing area 4190–4194 coincides with the nearest swing bottom and accumulation area – strong liquidity. Ideal TP: Minimum: current wave 5 peak. If the wave expands nicely: around 4315, or higher are the Liquidity clusters 4250–4260 and 4365–4370 as on the H4/H2 chart. 4. Trading Scenario ⭐️ Priority Scenario – ONLY BUY Buy: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4185 TP: Near the current wave 5 peak Far: around 4315 (everyone can split profits according to their personal plan) During the day, Lana does not encourage selling against the trend. This is Lana's personal perspective based on TPO, Footprint, and Elliott wave. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView for the earliest updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POCXAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POC Gold has just touched a new peak around 4,264 – the highest level in six weeks – and is entering a technical correction phase. The sell-side liquidity has been tested, but the medium-term uptrend remains, so I choose to trade both ways: Short sell when the price rebounds to the supply zone. Buy back at the POC zone – where buying flow is likely to return. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL AT POC ZONE 4,236–4,238 Sell: 4,236 – 4,238 SL: 4,244 TP: 4,220 – 4,202 – 4,180 – 4,145 On H1, the 4,236–4,238 zone is the POC + peak volume distribution zone, coinciding with the upper edge of the sideways price cluster after a steep rise. If the price bounces back to retest this zone, I prioritize scalping sell according to the current correction rhythm, targeting: Returning to 4,220 – 4,202: short-term support zone. Deeper to 4,180 – 4,145: near the bottom of the previous demand zone, also where it converges with the large uptrend line. This is a counter-trend medium-term order, so I keep the volume small and the SL must be firm at 4,244. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY AT BUY ZONE POC 4,156–4,158 Buy: 4,156 – 4,158 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,175 – 4,190 – 4,225 – 4,250 The 4,156–4,158 zone is the Buy Zone POC on the chart: Confluence with the uptrend line from the bottom. Price zone where the market previously accumulated strongly before exploding to 4.26x. If gold corrects deeply here and creates a good price reaction (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see it as a DCA opportunity following the medium-term uptrend, aiming to recover to the 4.19x – 4.225 zone, further to 4.25x. 1. Basic Context Gold and silver are both benefiting from expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, a weakening USD, and signs of a slowdown in the US economy. Gold increased by +6% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of gains, and has risen over 60% this year – on track to become the strongest year in 46 years. Economic-political instability continues to drive money towards safe assets, with silver further supported by industrial demand, indirectly reinforcing positive sentiment for the precious metals group. On December 2, the market focuses on: 08:00: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks. 22:00: Fed Governor Bowman testifies before the House Financial Services Committee. These two events could trigger strong intraday volatility, especially if the Fed's tone differs from the "easing" expectations. 2. Technical & Market Sentiment View After a steep rise to 4.26x, gold is gradually sliding along the H1 down channel, indicating a short-term sell-off phase to take profits. Sell POC 4,236–4,238 is the zone where sellers are trying to suppress, each time the price returns close, supply force appears. Below, Buy Zone POC 4,156–4,158 is the zone where buyers previously absorbed most of the sell orders and then pushed the price up; it is highly likely this will be where they protect the medium-term uptrend. Current sentiment: Short-term: the sell side dominates due to the profit-taking effect after creating a new peak. Medium-term: money flow still prioritizes holding gold, so I am not in a hurry to reverse the bias unless the 4,145 zone is completely broken. 3. Action Plan Short sell if the price rebounds to 4,236–4,238, SL 4,244, TP 4,220–4,202–4,180–4,145. Wait to buy back at 4,156–4,158 if there is a good reaction, SL 4,150, TP 4,175–4,190–4,225–4,250. Keep the risk of each scenario within 1–2% of the account, absolutely do not widen the SL when the market goes against. During the hours when Powell/Bowman speaks, prioritize reducing volume or staying out, avoiding being swept by spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA'S VIEW ON ADJUSTMENT PHASE 02/12 ...XAUUSD – LANA'S VIEW ON ADJUSTMENT PHASE 02/12 1. Quick Update Today, Lana views gold in the context of a short-term adjustment, mainly wave 4 according to Elliott, after a fairly strong previous increase. The goal is to take advantage of the technical decline to: Short sell to a lower price range Then buy back at a beautiful support area according to the main trend 2. Technical Analysis The Liquidity zone 4250–4260 on the weekly frame is a very strong liquidity area according to Market Profile. Lana sees this as an area prone to a “fake break”: price pushes up to take liquidity and then adjusts down. Based on Session data, Lana prioritizes the scenario: Price is rejected around the above area Forming a decline to the 418x area to complete wave 4 adjustment. After wave 4 is completed, the medium-term uptrend can still continue. 3. Price Areas to Watch Strong Liquidity / resistance area: 4250 – 4260 Short sell watch area: 4236 – 4241 Buy back area according to trend: 4180 – 4175 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell according to adjustment phase Sell: 4236 – 4241 SL: above 4245 Target: 418x (can gradually close around 4180) ⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy according to trend after adjustment Buy: 4180 – 4175 SL: 4170 TP: minimum 20 points (everyone can choose the nearest resistance area to gradually close) Lana's priority: Do not rush to Buy right at the Liquidity area 4250–4260 Be patient and wait for the price to reach the 4236–4241 area to Sell, then 4180–4175 to Buy according to the trend. This is Lana's personal view on the adjustment phase on 02/12, everyone should consider carefully and manage risks before entering a trade. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at ...XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at Fibo Extension Zone Gold enters the week in a very special context: +6.0% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase. This streak follows a +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by about 60.7%, on track to become the strongest year in nearly half a century. With a market making such history, I am not looking for a peak. I continue to prioritize buying with the trend, only selling briefly when the price hits the high Fibo extension zone. 🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP FOLLOWING THE UPWARD TREND Buy: 4,194 – 4,195 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL/volume distribution bottom area after a steep increase, coinciding with the short-term support zone in the current structure. If the price neatly adjusts back here and shows a good reaction candle, I prioritize accumulating more BUY positions following the trend. Profit targets are: 4,210 – 4,235: near resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibo of the increase. 4,270 – 4,295: 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone – where profit-taking pressure and short-term reversal potential may appear stronger. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL SHORT-TERM AT 2.618 EXTENSION ZONE Sell: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,295 TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 This is a scenario against the main trend, only for small volume short-term orders. If the price is pushed to the 4,285–4,287 zone (near the 2.618 Fibo peak) but cannot maintain the upward momentum, leaving a long upper shadow or a clear reversal candle pattern, I will consider SELLing back to the 4.26x–4.24x zone and deeper to 4,210. 1. Technical Perspective from the Chart The trend on H1/H4 is still clearly upward, with a series of higher lows, and the price clinging along the upward channel. The most recent increase has extended above the 1.618 Fibo mark, currently heading towards the 2.618 zone around 4.28x–4.29x. Below, the VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper is the sell-side liquidity zone around 4.16x – where many buyer stops are concentrated, only suitable for a deeper intraday adjustment scenario. With this structure, any pullback to the immediate support zone I see as an opportunity to join the upward wave, not a reversal signal. 2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After a strong multi-month increase, the market is in a "chasing gold" state – FOMO is quite evident. This is why I no longer buy near the resistance zone, but wait for the price to return to the market-accepted zone (VAL/POC) for a good R:R entry point. The SELL scenario is only a backup plan when the price is pushed to the high Fibo extension zone and fails, triggering massive profit-taking from previous buy positions. My plan: Prioritize BUY 4,194–4,195, SL 4,185, TP 4,210–4,235–4,270–4,295. Only SELL short at 4,285–4,287 if there is a clear reversal signal, SL 4,295, TP 4,262–4,240–4,210. In each scenario, the risk is limited to 1–2% of the account, no widening of SL, and ready to stay out if the price breaks the established structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES BUYING ACCORDING TO SWING WAVES AT...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES BUYING ACCORDING TO SWING WAVES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis The Fed has just announced it will end the QT (quantitative tightening) program from December 1st, accompanied by a target federal interest rate of 3.75–4%. When the Fed stops QT, the pace of balance sheet reduction slows down, meaning the pressure to withdraw liquidity from the market decreases, which is usually a positive factor for risky assets and gold. Mechanism: QE: balance sheet expands, injecting liquidity into the market. QT: balance sheet contracts, withdrawing liquidity. The temporary halt of QT leads the market to expect the Fed is being softer with monetary policy, thereby supporting the medium-term upward trend of gold. In this context, Lana perceives that gold at the beginning of the week still has room to rise, but there will be fluctuations around important liquidity zones. Technical Analysis On the H4 chart, the price structure is following an upward Elliott wave, with clear waves (1)–(2)–(3)–(4)–(5). The current upward wave has not yet shown a major reversal signal. The Swing zone 4190–4195 below is the nearest important bottom, acting as the main short-term support. This is also where Lana prioritizes watching for swing wave buying. Above, two notable Liquidity zones: 4250–4260: near liquidity zone, potential for fake break/adjustment. 4365–4370: further liquidity zone, coinciding with the old peak, likely a strong profit-taking area if the price continues to expand the upward wave. Lana's preferred scenario: gold may slightly adjust to the swing zone 4190–4195, then continue to expand the wave to test the upper liquidity zones in turn. However, right at the Liquidity zone, the market is very prone to stop sweeps, fake breaks, so Lana does not encourage chasing Buy at these zones. Price Zones to Watch Main Support (Swing & Buy Zone): 4190 – 4195 Resistance / Liquidity Zones: 4250 – 4260 4365 – 4370 Trading Scenario Buy 4190 – 4195 SL: 4185 TP: 4250 – 4260 – 4365 – 4370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Fibo H4 supports the upward trend, prioritize buying...XAUUSD – Fibo H4 supports the upward trend, prioritize buying at POC for next week Gold closed Friday's session around 4,215 after a strong rise since the CME error report. On the H4 chart, the upward structure is clearly forming and relatively stable, with the price just breaking out of a multi-day accumulation zone and entering Fibonacci extension levels. Given the current context, I continue to prioritize medium-term buying when the price adjusts to POC, rather than chasing at new highs. 🎯 Main trading plan – BUY THE DIP ACCORDING TO FIBONACCI & POC Buy entry: around 4,187 SL: 4,175 TP reference: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 The above profit-taking targets are referenced from the H4 Fibonacci extension cluster, with the area around 1.618 – 2.618 being levels where strong market profit-taking is likely to occur. For each position, I only accept risk within the 1–2% account range, prioritizing long-term market survival over trying to catch the top and bottom of a wave. Key level: 4,160 is currently a strong support and the "lifeline" of the H4 upward trend. If the price breaks down and closes the H4 candle below 4,160, the current upward structure is considered broken, I will temporarily halt the BUY scenario and will rebuild the plan, possibly considering a deep correction SELL scenario in the next article. 1. Basic context The recent strong recovery momentum of gold temporarily slowed down after an unsuccessful attempt to rise above the 4,160 area. However, the recent upward momentum occurred in the context of the USD weakening again, despite US bond yields trying to recover across the curve. On a larger timeframe, gold is heading for the fourth consecutive monthly increase, following the breakout in October when prices made the market look towards the 4,400 area. Prolonged geopolitical concerns along with expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates provide enough reasons for buyers to maintain a medium-term position, despite short-term fluctuations. Overall, the fundamental foundation still supports the upward trend, unless there is a major change in interest rate expectations or systemic risk. 2. H4 Technical Analysis – Fibonacci Perspective The previous accumulation area around 4,160–4,185 has been broken up by a series of consecutive bullish candles, confirming the higher high – higher low structure on H4. The volume POC has shifted up around the 4,187 area, indicating this is a dense trading area before the breakout – suitable for waiting for a price retest and then continuing to buy. Fibonacci extension levels from the most recent upward wave show important resistance clusters above around: 1.618: area 4.24x – first profit-taking target, likely to experience fluctuations. 2.618: area 4.35x–4.36x – expansion level for a very strong continuation trend scenario. With this structure, any adjustment around 4,187 but holding 4,160 is considered an opportunity to increase the medium-term BUY position, not a reversal signal. 3. Market sentiment & action plan After a strong rise, the market is in a FOMO mindset chasing prices at high levels. This is usually a stage where unexpected adjustments are likely to occur to "shake off" late positions. I do not participate in that chasing game. Instead, I wait for the price to return to the POC area 4,187, where a large volume has accumulated, to trade with a better R:R and tighter SL. If the buyers are truly strong, they will protect the 4,160–4,187 area; if not, observing from the sidelines after the structure is broken is safer than holding onto a viewpoint. Plan for next week: Prioritize buying around 4,187, SL 4,175, TP according to Fibo cluster 4,225–4,240–4,290–4,300. If the price breaks strongly below 4,160 and closes the H4 candle below, stop the entire BUY scenario, wait for a new structure, and then consider a correction SELL scenario. Do not chase buying when the price is close to high Fibo extension levels, unless there is a specific intraday setup with a very clear SL. If you find this perspective useful for next week's gold trading plan, please follow the TradingView account and leave a comment about the price area you are waiting to enter orders. I always read feedback to optimize sharing in future analyses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MEDIUM-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS ATH REGION 4360 XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MEDIUM-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS ATH REGION 4360 1. Fundamental Analysis In the geopolitical context, President Putin continues to reiterate the conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The possibility of a peace agreement remains open, but the tough statements indicate that the conflict risk cannot end soon. This keeps gold as a medium-term safe-haven asset. On the other hand, in the US, Mr. Trump continues to emphasize the view that the stock market will continue to reach new highs and even mentions the possibility of abolishing most income taxes, replacing them with revenue from tariffs. These statements foster a "risk appetite" sentiment on stocks and the USD, creating a certain tug-of-war with gold in the short term. In summary, Lana sees gold in the next 1–2 weeks still leaning towards a medium-term uptrend, but it is easy to see fluctuations as the market continuously re-evaluates geopolitical risks and policy expectations from the US. 2. Technical Analysis The D1 frame is showing the Elliott wave 5 structure in the medium-term uptrend phase. Wave (4) has completed at an important support area, accompanied by a market structure shift (MSS) signal reversing upwards, paving the way for wave (5). Using Fibonacci extension, the theoretical target for wave (5) can reach the 2.618 region around 4360, which is also a strong psychological resistance and near the ATH area – a region very prone to large profit-taking by buyers. Along the way, the 4246 mark is an important resistance area: If the price decisively breaks and closes the D1 candle above 4246, the uptrend will be more strongly confirmed, indicating that buyers are willing to push the price to new highs. The downtrend line has been breached, then the price returned to test and bounced up, showing that buying power is regaining the advantage. The price retracing around the trendline & the 4133–4139 area will be an opportunity for Lana to find a buying point in line with wave 5 with a better R:R ratio. 3. Price Areas to Watch Important resistance / medium-term profit-taking area: 4240 – 4246: intermediate resistance, needs to be broken to strengthen the uptrend. 4360: Fibonacci 2.618 region & potential ATH area of wave 5. Support / potential buying area: 4133 – 4139: price area near the trendline, where Lana prioritizes watching for buying if a correction appears. 4124: technical stop-loss mark, below this area the short-term wave structure may weaken. 4. Trading Scenario Buy 4133 – 4139 SL: 4124 TP: 4240 – 4280 – 4350 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest gold analyses. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – LANA AWAITS CONTINUED BUYING IN THE UPWARD PRICE ...XAUUSD – LANA AWAITS CONTINUED BUYING IN THE UPWARD PRICE CHANNEL 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold is maintaining its upward momentum as investors continue to monitor the Russia-Ukraine tensions and the conflicting peace signals. President Putin's statements suggest that peace proposals could be the foundation for an agreement, but Russia is still ready to continue fighting if conditions are not suitable. This scenario creates a mixed risk state, reducing the short-term demand for safe havens while retaining geopolitical uncertainty that could pressure the USD in the medium term. In this context, Lana prioritizes the scenario where gold continues in an upward trend, taking advantage of technical corrections to large liquidity areas to find opportunities to buy with the trend, rather than FOMO at high prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is moving in a clear upward price channel, currently near the channel's average line. The main trend remains upward, with no signals of structural break. After a strong bullish candle, the market left a Strong Liquidity area just below, also creating a Gap below the channel – this is the area where Lana expects the price to return for a test before continuing upward. The Buy zone coincides with the strong liquidity area around 4,166–4,167 (near the lower boundary of the price channel), suitable for a strategy of waiting for a correction and then buying continuation. Using Fibonacci extension, key levels: 1.618: around the current price area – a temporary pause and accumulation zone. 2.618: area 4,210 – where Lana marks as Sell scalping for a short correction. 3.618: around 4,235 – 4,237 – a stronger Sell zone, likely to see significant profit-taking. Level 4,155 is a critical boundary: if the price breaks down and holds below this area, Lana will stop prioritizing the long-term buying scenario, as the upward channel structure risks being broken. 3. Price Levels to Watch Support / Buy zone & strong liquidity: 4,166 – 4,167 (near the middle line descending to the lower boundary of the channel) The area around 4,155 is the boundary for the medium-term upward trend. Resistance / Fibo extension & Sell zone: 4,210 – 4,213: Sell scalping area according to Fibonacci 2.618. 4,235 – 4,237: Strong Sell zone according to Fibonacci 3.618, near the upper boundary of the price channel. 4. Trading Scenarios Buy 4166 – 4167 SL: 4160 TP: 4182 – 4195 – 4210 – 4250 Sell 4210 – 4213 SL: 4218 TP: 4200 – 4185 – 4160 – 4145 Sell 4235 – 4237 SL: 4243 TP: 4212 – 4200 – 4185 – 4160 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest articles. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – H2: Discount zone has formed, just waiting for the ...XAUUSD – H2: Discount zone has formed, just waiting for the price to pull back to continue buying up On the H2 frame, gold just had a strong break up to the 4.180+ zone after a period of narrow range compression. At the end of the week, coinciding with Thanksgiving, I only prioritize waiting for an adjustment to the discount zone to buy up, absolutely not chasing the price at the peak. 🎯 MAIN SCENARIO – BUY THE DIP AT FIBO & POC ZONE 4.163–4.160 Buy entry: 4.163 – 4.160 SL: 4.155 TP: 4.178 – 4.195 – 4.220 ⭐️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – BUY DEEP AT VAL ZONE + STRONG SUPPORT 4.139–4.136 Buy entry: 4.139 – 4.136 SL: 4.130 TP: 4.150 – 4.172 – 4.190 – 4.220 The total risk for each scenario I always keep within the range of 1–2% of the account. Basic context End of the week + Thanksgiving ⇒ thin liquidity, easy to shake at the end of the session. Messages from Trump & credit data show the economic picture and the December interest rate path are not really clear. This keeps gold still having a defensive role, but not enough basis to expect a straight upward move – so I prioritize trading according to technicals and specific price zones. Technical analysis H2 Market sentiment & trading plan After the break, the buyers are holding momentum, but the price moving sideways at the high zone shows the market is partially taking profits, waiting for liquidity. Thin liquidity easily creates sweeps to the support zone before turning around, that's the move I want to take advantage of. Plan: Prioritize Buy at 4.163–4.160, only consider the 4.139–4.136 scenario if the price is deeply sold off. All orders have a hard SL (4.155 and 4.130), do not widen the stop. Take partial profits, move SL in a favorable direction as the price approaches TP levels. If you find the analysis useful, follow TradingView and leave a comment about the price zone waiting for entry – I always read feedback to optimize future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND UNCLEAR, WAIT FOR PRICE TO REACH ...XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND UNCLEAR, WAIT FOR PRICE TO REACH LIQUIDITY ZONE 1. Fundamental Analysis In today's session, gold is maintaining a slight correction after hitting the highest price level in nearly two weeks. Market risk sentiment is somewhat more positive, with funds temporarily moving away from safe-haven assets, weakening demand for gold and prompting short-term profit-taking. However, dovish expectations from the Fed continue to keep the USD weak, which is a foundational factor that could support gold in the medium term. Lana views the current phase primarily as a technical correction, prioritizing waiting for the price to reach important liquidity zones before taking action. 2. Technical Analysis The H1 chart shows that after a strong upward move, the price is pausing and a confirmation down move is appearing from the resistance zone above. An upward trendline still supports the structure, indicating the larger trend has not been broken, but the upward momentum is slowing and the market is shifting to a state of hesitation. Below, the FVG demand zones around 4113–4111 and deeper at 4085–4088 act as liquidity zones where Lana expects buyers might return. Above, the 4194–4196 zone is a significant resistance, coinciding with the supply and liquidity zone above, suitable for a corrective Sell scenario if the price retests. 3. Price Zones to Watch Upper Liquidity / Strong Resistance Zone: 4194 – 4196 Lower Liquidity / Support & FVG Zone: 4113 – 4111: first demand zone, near the upward trendline. 4085 – 4088: lower FVG zone, stronger support if a deeper correction occurs. 4. Trading Scenarios Sell 4194 – 4196 SL: 4200 TP: 4175 – 4160 – 4122 – 4105 Buy 4113 – 4111 SL: 4105 TP: 4133 – 4155 – 4170 – 4190 Buy 4085 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4095 – 4110 – 4133 – 4150 – 4185 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest gold analyses. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Gold scenario awaiting trend confirmation at the 4...XAUUSD – Gold scenario awaiting trend confirmation at the 4,160–4,170 zone Currently, gold has not shown a clear enough medium-term trend. The price is fluctuating around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting the market, I wait for price reactions at key zones before making a decision. Today's main axis is the 4,160–4,170 zone – where the market will choose to continue the upward trend or start a deeper correction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL AT RESISTANCE 4,162–4,165 (PREFERRED IF NO CLEAR BREAKOUT) Sell: 4,162 – 4,165 SL: 4,173 TP: 4,140 – 4,122 – 4,110 – 4,100 The 4,162–4,165 zone on H1 is resistance coinciding with fibo + supply zone near the old peak, also close to the short-term uptrend line. If the price hits this zone and shows signs of weakening (upper shadow, reversal candle, unsupported volume), I prefer to sell short down to the 4,140 zone, deeper possibly to the liquidity cluster around 4,110–4,100 as shown on the chart. The risk for this scenario is limited to 1–2% of the account, absolutely no holding the order if the price closes above 4,173. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY WHEN PRICE BREAKS THE PEAK, CONFIRMING CONTINUATION OF THE UPWARD TREND Buy: 4,171 – 4,173 (after clearly breaking the old peak) SL: 4,163 TP: 4,188 – 4,200 – 4,215 In case the price decisively breaks the 4,170 zone and holds above it, this is a signal confirming the buyers continue to control. At that time, I switch bias to buy according to the breakout, targeting the higher resistance zone around 4,200–4,215, further expansion possible if the upward momentum is maintained. Note: only Buy when the breakout is real – large body candle, closing above the 4,170 zone, not a stop sweep then sharply pulling back down. 1. Basic context The DXY index is slipping below the 99.50 mark, currently around 99.45, indicating continued downward pressure as the market increases expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. General monetary easing expectations support gold, as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. However, initial US jobless claims have fallen to the lowest level since April, indicating the labor market is still quite strong. This may cause investors to struggle between expectations of rate cuts and the actual strength of the US economy, creating "jerky" fluctuations around news release times. In summary, the fundamentals are slightly leaning towards supporting gold, but not enough to completely ignore technical adjustments. 2. Technical analysis & price structure On the H1 frame, after the recent strong increase, gold is creating an accumulation zone just below the 4,160–4,170 resistance. The 4,162–4,165 zone is a confluence area: horizontal resistance + old supply zone + price zone where strong selling pressure previously appeared. The 4,140 zone is the "confirmation of adjustment decrease" threshold – if breached and the price closes below here, the market is likely to want to return to the large liquidity cluster around 4,110–4,100, where many Buy stop losses are waiting. Therefore, the current structure allows for two-way trading, but each scenario requires clear confirmation from price behavior at the 4,160–4,170 zone before entering an order. 3. Market sentiment & action plan Both buyers and sellers are looking at the same price zone – 4,160–4,170. This makes this area likely to become a thick liquidity zone, where stops from both sides can be "swept" before the market chooses the real direction. If the price drops sharply from this zone, it is likely a sell-off phase of late Buy orders near the peak. Conversely, if buyers are strong enough to keep the price above 4,170, many Sell orders will be trapped, creating momentum for a short squeeze to higher resistance zones. My plan: Do not enter orders in the middle of the zone, only wait: Sell at 4,162–4,165 if clear reversal signals appear. Buy at 4,171–4,173 after the price breaks the peak and holds above this zone. Always set a hard SL, do not widen the stop when the order goes against. If the price strongly breaks both scenario zones without giving clear signals, I accept to stay out, wait for a new structure, do not try to "guess the direction". I always read feedback to optimize sharing in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Not Fully Played...XAUUSD – Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Not Fully Played Out, Continue to Prioritize Buying at POC I maintain the view: the current main trend is to buy according to the inverted head and shoulders structure, the upward wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for the price to adjust to the POC area to re-enter the trend, not to chase buying at high levels. 🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC Buy: 4.133 – 4.130 SL: 4.123 TP: 4.155 – 4.178 – 4.200 – 4.250 – extend if the trend remains strong For me, the total risk for each order does not exceed 1–2% of the account. A good order with poor capital management is still a wrong order. 1. Basic Context Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near the highest levels in about two weeks. The USD weakens as the market increases bets on the scenario of the Fed cutting interest rates soon, following data showing that inflation continues to cool down. Lower yields and USD mean the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, supporting the trend of money flow returning to safe-haven assets like gold. In this context, I do not prioritize looking for large sell orders. Every adjustment is mainly seen as an opportunity to accumulate buying positions. 2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment On the H1 frame, gold has formed and activated an inverted head and shoulders pattern, confirming the upward reversal phase. The price is returning to test the POC area around 4.133–4.130, coinciding with the previous accumulation area – where the market once absorbed a large number of sell orders. This is the area I prioritize waiting to buy. Below is a deeper FVG area that acts as a secondary support; I do not wait for the price to go too deep to avoid missing the main rhythm of the pattern. Regarding price behavior, recent adjustments have been quickly absorbed, with continuous wick candles appearing, showing that buyers still hold the initiative. I wait for a neat pullback to the POC, with a strong enough buying reaction to trigger the entry scenario. 3. Action Plan Only start disbursing when the price reaches the 4.133–4.130 area, absolutely no FOMO chasing buys. Take partial profits at levels 4.155 – 4.178 – 4.200 – 4.250, leaving the rest open if gold continues to expand the upward wave. If the price breaks through 4.123 and closes below this area, I decisively cut losses, stand aside to re-evaluate the structure – do not hold onto a view when the market has changed. If this analysis is useful to you, please follow the TradingView channel and leave a comment with your perspective. I always read feedback to adjust and improve the way I share in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR ADJUSTMENT TO BUY WITH THE UPWARD...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR ADJUSTMENT TO BUY WITH THE UPWARD TREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are maintaining an upward momentum and have just reached the highest level in nearly two weeks as expectations for the FOMC to soon cut interest rates continue to be reinforced. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are benefiting gold from both a real yield perspective and as a safe-haven demand. In this context, Lana prioritizes the scenario of gold making a slight adjustment and then continuing to follow the upward wave, rather than chasing sales when prices have reached high levels. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, the price structure has shifted to an upward trend with a series of consecutive BOS, confirming that buyers are in control. The FVG demand zones below around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support buffers, coinciding with important bottoms after BOS. The price zone above around 4180–4200 is the FVG supply area, as well as the resistance/premium zone where the market may react with a downward adjustment. When combined with Fibonacci, the zones 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 are near the 50–61.8% cluster of the most recent upward move, suitable for a strategy of waiting for adjustment to Buy with the trend. 3. Price Zones to Watch Support / discount zone (demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / premium zone (supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Priority Scenario – Buy with the trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐️ Supplementary Scenario – Buy deeper at the lower FVG zone Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐️ Short-term Reversal Scenario – Sell at the premium zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest gold analyses. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold follows the head-and-shoulders...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold follows the head-and-shoulders pattern, watch for a pullback to POC to enter trades Gold is completing the final upward move of the head-and-shoulders pattern on the H1 timeframe. The price has now reached the Fibonacci zone (combining both retracement and extension), coinciding with the resistance cluster – POC of the Volume Profile, so a tug-of-war reaction is understandable. My plan is to take advantage of this pullback: prioritize short-term buying according to the current wave, then wait to sell at the strong resistance above. Macroeconomic context Russia continues to launch missiles into Kyiv right after the US – Ukraine reached a “19-point plan,” causing the prospect of peace talks to fall into a deadlock again. However, secret negotiations between the US, Russia, and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi are still ongoing, with key terms yet to be finalized. The situation of “war not stopping – negotiations not finished” keeps global risk sentiment tense, thereby continuing to be a catalyst for the demand to hold gold in the medium and long term. However, in the short term, prices can still fluctuate strongly around important technical zones before choosing a clearer direction. Technical analysis H1 – Head-and-shoulders pattern, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The head-and-shoulders pattern has formed quite clearly, the price is currently in the completed upward move of the right shoulder, approaching the upper resistance zone. The current price zone of gold is: Touching the Fibonacci retracement of the previous downward move. Simultaneously coinciding with the Fibonacci extension of the short-term upward wave → reactions and fluctuations are likely to appear. Below the price, the 4090–4093 zone is a small support/POC zone during the day, where the Volume Profile thickens, suitable for short-term buying according to the current upward trend. Above, the 4185–4187 cluster is strong resistance: Confluence of potential right shoulder peak + old supply zone + Fibonacci extension level. This is the zone I prioritize watching for a SELL when the pattern completes. Notable support/FVG zones: 4122–4116 (near support), 4169–4210 (FVG/medium-term resistance). Reference trading scenarios 1. Buy according to the current upward wave (short-term) Buy: 4091–4093 SL: 4085 TP: 4120 → 4145 → 4170 → 4190 → 4220 Logic: Buy at the confluence support zone + small POC, take advantage of the price push to complete the right shoulder/pattern. When the trade reaches about +1R, move SL to breakeven to protect the account. 2. Sell at head-and-shoulders pattern resistance (medium-term priority) Sell: 4185–4187 SL: 4193 TP: 4170 → 4155 → 4130 → 4110 Logic: This is a strong resistance zone, coinciding with the peak of the supply zone and Fibonacci extension. Only activate the SELL order when H1/M15 gives a clear rejection signal (pin bar, bearish engulfing, weakening volume) around 4185–4187. Additional price zones to note Support – FVG: 4122–4116 Resistance – FVG: 4169–4210 Can be used as a short scalp zone, but the main scenario should still be prioritized: Buy below 409x when not yet reaching major resistance. Sell around 418x when the head-and-shoulders pattern shows signs of completion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – TUESDAY PRIORITIZE BUYING ON BREAKOUT, WATCH FOR ...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY PRIORITIZE BUYING ON BREAKOUT, WATCH FOR REACTION AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 After several days of being compressed in a triangle pattern, gold has broken the downtrend line on H1, reclaimed liquidity around the FVG area, and continues to hold above the breakout zone. This indicates that the money flow is prioritizing a short-term upward scenario, targeting the upper Fibonacci extension areas. Today the market awaits a series of important data: CPI, PPI, sales figures… – these numbers can cause strong volatility, especially when gold is in an "overcrowded trade" state. If US consumer data is positive, the price may experience a deep correction after sweeping liquidity. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT perspective) On H1, the price has: Broken the downtrend line of the accumulation triangle. Retested the FVG area + liquidity repurchase around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back. The 4.133–4.135 area is now a resistance that has been breached and is turning into support – suitable for a buy on dip strategy. Technical target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current upward move is around 4.16xx, Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + large liquidity zone is above the 4.23xx–4.24xx area, coinciding with the old peak – where a strong reaction from sellers is likely to occur. Overall, as long as the price remains above the 4.10–4.11 area, the short-term upward structure is maintained. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario – prioritize following the trend Buy on breakout – current price area Entry: 4.130–4.133 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230 Buy when price retests deeper Entry: 4.100–4.103 SL: 4.095 (you may consider a tighter SL instead of 3.995 to optimize R:R) TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 💢 SELL Scenario – only a short-term reaction at resistance Sell: 4.167–4.169 SL: 4.175 TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990 This Sell order is only for scalping against the trend, prioritize quick profit-taking when reaching nearby TP areas. ⚠️ Important Notes Today there are CPI, PPI, sales figures, and other US data – spreads may widen, prices can swing both ways. Gold is a crowded trade, so after hot upward moves, a deep sell-off is likely to shake off weak positions. Reasonable strategy: Prioritize buying with the trend at identified support areas. Reduce volume before news time, do not hold through the release of important data. Sell should only be considered as a short, quick trade. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – with LanaM2 In summary, the breakout from the triangle on H1 supports the scenario of gold continuing to rise towards the Fibo 1.618–2.618 area, as long as the price stays above the 4.10–4.11 area 💛 Today, focus on finding a good buying point instead of chasing the price, and be especially cautious when CPI, PPI data is released. If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to update the gold perspective with me every day on TradingView ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Scenario LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Scenario Wait for gold to retest the upper trendline before choosing a direction Quick Overview On the H1 chart, gold is still oscillating within a triangle pattern with a descending upper trendline and a gradually rising lower trendline. In my opinion, the price still needs an upward move to retest the upper trendline – coinciding with the FVG + POC Volume Profile area – before deciding to create a new trend (either breaking upwards or continuing to decline). Regarding the USD, many Fed officials have started signaling a potential rate cut, but remain very cautious. UBS and Barclays both lean towards the scenario of the Fed cutting rates in December if upcoming data continues to be weak. This makes it difficult for the USD to break out too strongly, creating room for gold to technically rebound to resistance areas. Technical Analysis H1 Current structure: price is moving sideways accumulating, with lower highs following the descending trendline, and lows supported by the lower trendline. Area 4079–4081: FVG + POC Volume Profile. Coinciding with the upper trendline → a very strong resistance convergence area, suitable for a sell scenario based on reaction. Nearest support area: around 4040–4035; if this area breaks, the likelihood of the price returning to test 4010–4000 is quite high. A clear bullish reversal signal is only evident if the Dow structure increases again, at least when the price breaks above and holds above 4061 and then surpasses the descending trendline. Reference Trading Scenario Sell at FVG + POC + trendline (priority) Entry: 4079–4081 SL: 4086 TP: 4060 → 4045 → 4010 Logic: The price is expected to be pushed up to fill the FVG and touch the POC/trendline before sellers return. This area converges many technical factors, so the win rate is better compared to selling in the middle of the sideways range. Buy when the bullish structure is confirmed Condition: price breaks above 4061 and closes the H1 candle holding above this area, while also escaping the descending trendline. Reference Entry: 4061–4068 (retest the breakout area) SL: 4050 TP: 4095 → 4130 → 4150 At that point, the triangle pattern is broken upwards, the Dow increase returns, prioritizing buying according to the new trend instead of trying to sell the top. Trading Notes Areas for short scalping: 4060, 4040, 4010, 4130 – always wait for clear candle reactions on M5–M15 before entering orders. Each order should only risk 0.5–1% of the account; when the order reaches about 1R, move SL to breakeven to protect capital. If you have a different scenario for XAUUSD H1 today, leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel to update the daily gold plan on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks upward trend, short...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks upward trend, short-term decline prevails Gold has dropped more than $20 in a short time, down over 1% on the day and is approaching the area below 4,030. The previous upward structure has officially been broken, 4040 can no longer hold, today's focus continues to be on selling according to the trend until the support area 4000–398x shows a clear reaction. Macro Analysis Gold prices fall simultaneously with weakening expectations of a December rate cut: JPMorgan no longer forecasts the Fed will cut rates in December, unlike the previous scenario of a 25 bps cut. Some other organizations still believe that rising unemployment and weak economic data may force the Fed to cut rates by 25 bps in the next meeting. The market is pricing the possibility of a December rate cut at nearly "50–50", creating significant uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, although in the long term it still benefits if the rate cut cycle occurs. Technical Analysis H1 – Declining structure, price channel, and support area After breaking 4040, the price creates a series of Lower High – Lower Low, confirming the Dow declining structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the upper boundary of the channel coincides with the short-term resistance area 4050–4060. Area 4000: important psychological bottom. If decisively broken, the medium-term structure may shift to a deeper correction phase. Buy zone 3987–3989: Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extension area (1.618/2.272) of the current decline. Optimal area to watch for a rebound if there is a clear reversal signal. Main resistance of the day: 4052–4054: retest area of old support + upper boundary of the falling channel → suitable for a sell rebound scenario. Today's Trading Scenario (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL according to the downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price rebounds to resistance area + upper boundary of the falling channel, suitable to continue selling according to the trend. Priority when M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support area 398x (catching the rebound) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: Area 398x is a strong support confluence; only activate when there is a clear price reaction (long lower wick, reversal pattern on M15–H1). This is a counter-trend order, so reduce volume and take partial profits. Note risks and invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term declining structure weakens, need to pause all sell orders and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails, risk of further decline to lower areas; at this point, only prioritize selling. Always keep risk per order at 0.5–1% of the account, reaching about +1R should move SL to breakeven. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell according to the trend or waiting to catch the bottom at 398x? Leave a comment and follow LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation signals in the European session Overall, gold is in a corrective phase after the previous upward move. On H1, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed, but the support area around 4,030 and the Fibonacci cluster below are still potential zones for a reversal buying force. Today's European session will be crucial to confirm: whether to continue a deep decline or bounce back according to the head and shoulders pattern forming on H4. Macro – Fundamental Brief The October Fed meeting minutes show a strong internal division: One group opposes rate cuts, wanting to maintain the current level. The other group supports cuts, even proposing further reductions in the December meeting. This lack of consensus reflects a high degree of monetary policy uncertainty, keeping defensive capital flows interested in gold. In the long term, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens – the peak gold price is not a sign of prosperity, but a warning signal. Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity) The price is fluctuating below the short-term descending trendline, confirming the bearish phase is still in effect. The 4,082–4,090 zone is an “important liquidity zone” – where the price has reacted multiple times, currently acting as near resistance. The 4,029–4,031 cluster is crucial support: Coincides with technical support area + Fibonacci retracement level. Start of a large FVG running down to the 3,985 zone (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support). Above, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance (strong resistance on the chart); if the price surpasses and holds above this area, the Dow bearish structure will weaken significantly. Trading Scenario Reference BUY Scenario – buy at support / Fibonacci zone Logic: Price holds above support – Fibonacci, bottom-fishing capital appears. Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031 SL: 4,022 TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120 Only prioritize when the price reacts well at 4,029–4,031 (wick or clear reversal candle appears on M15–H1). If H1 closes below 4,022, this BUY scenario should be canceled. SELL Scenario – follow the current bearish structure (prioritize when trendline is not broken) Logic: Price retraces to retest resistance + descending trendline and is rejected. Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985 Only enter when the price hits the 4,098–4,100 zone and a clear rejection signal appears (pin bar/bearish engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline, stop all sell orders and reassess the structure. Notable Price Zones for Scalping 4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129 These zones can be used for short-term scalping based on price reactions, but reduce volume and close quickly. Important Note If the price is confirmed to close stably above the descending trendline and holds above the 4,090–4,100 zone, the priority will gradually shift to BUY setups, as a head and shoulders pattern (bullish reversal) is forming on H4. Conversely, if the 4,029–4,022 support is decisively broken, gold is likely to continue falling towards the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985. Which scenario are you leaning towards for gold today – retrace up to sell further or hold the bottom to bounce back? Leave a comment below the post and follow the LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX