Tradingstrategies
Dogecoin A potential explosive move is comingWe are currently observing the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle, suggesting the market is coiling up for a significant move.
A bullish breakout to the upside would likely target the upper resistance zone 0.2454 and 0.25593.
In the event of a bearish breakdown, we could see a decline towards the lower support at 0.18940 and 0.14262.
Let’s keep a close eye on this pattern for a confirmed direction.
please note :
this is not financial advice — it reflects only my personal opinion.
PLEASE always do your own research before trading .. Good luck with your trades.
The world gold price increase shows signs of slowing downThe global gold price rally has shown signs of slowing as short-term futures traders booked profits after gold hit an all-time high and silver hit a 14-year high on Wednesday.
“We are seeing some profit-taking, but gold remains in an uptrend. Expectations of interest rate cuts and concerns about the independence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to boost safe-haven demand,” said Brian Lan, director of GoldSilver Central.
While gold has yet to hit that target, analysts said they are taking profits on concerns about upcoming news risks. The bank also noted that market volatility related to global trade issues has cooled, and long positions are showing signs of “condensing” again, which could limit the upside in the short term.
SUI bottom formedSui occuration making leading diagonal. If bottom is formed we can hunt pull back at 0.5 of 0.6 fibonacci level. Also Sui close candlestick above 200 Daily ema.
If Sui retest and find support on this level we can see bigger move elliot wave 3.
Targets 4.1 and above ATH. I think its good way to DCA and wait for confirmation.
#PHA - Price Analysis#PHA - Price Analysis
🔴 Still Bearish Beneath $0.1080–$0.1100 Resistance
🔸Structure: Bullish wedge forming 📈
🔸Daily Trend: Uptrend remains intact, continuing to support price 📈
Key Scenario:
If price continues to consolidate above $0.0980, I anticipate a potential strong move upward.
⚠️ Uncertainty:
It remains uncertain whether price will break down or not; but a breakdown is likely if we lose the $0.0970 level on a daily close.
Key levels and detailed setups are highlighted on my chart.
Better to wait for Bull volume coming in!
XAUUSD Liquidity Addiction: Why Your Brain Wants to Get Swept
💫There’s a cruel irony in trading: the cleaner a level looks, the more dangerous it usually is. ATHs, equal highs, perfect lows, and round numbers shine like neon signs saying “enter here.” And your brain, wired for safety and clarity, feels drawn to them like a moth to light. The problem? In SMC, those are not safe zones. They’re bait.
1. The Brain Craves Clarity
The human mind hates uncertainty. When a chart looks messy, hesitation dominates. But on the show of perfect symmetry, you relax because you see something clear. That relaxation is a dopamine hit, and you get addicted to it. But in the markets, the very thing that calms you down is what sets you up.
2. Trap in Action
You’ve seen it before. Price builds a flawless high, traders lean in heavy with sells, certain it can’t go higher — and then Gold rips into new ATHs. The sweep takes them out in minutes. What hurts most isn’t the loss itself, it’s the betrayal. You were so sure and felt safe. And that’s the point: the moment of peak confidence is the moment of maximum exposure.
3. Psychological Addiction
This cycle is repetitive for your brain, giving it a fake feeling of safety. Every “almost win,” every daily plan that looked perfect, every friend who caught that one clean breakout — it all trains you to crave the next hit of certainty. You’re not hooked on trading itself but on the illusion of control. The market doesn’t have to be smarter than you. It just has to let your brain do the 'work', then they take a piece of your account with your SL being hit.
📋 Takeaways
1. Spot the bait, don’t buy/sell it → If it looks too perfect, don’t ask “what am I benefiting?” but ask “WHO’s benefiting from this?”
2. Don’t trade the sweep itself → Wait for the reaction & confirmation after liquidity is taken.
3. Flip the perspective → Ask where the trap is being set, not where the bait is shining.
4. Patience is a position → Sweeps only work because traders can’t sit still.
🔑Liquidity does not hunt you. It waits for you to walk in. The moment you stop chasing certainty and start chasing context — structure, reactions, and intent — the game changes.
The 'traps' and 'baits' are in plain sight, so they cannot fool you so often.
If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
GOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOKGold is currently trading in the 3560 – 3565 range, marking a new all-time high in its history. The market remains in a high-volatility phase, and the next few H4 candles will be crucial in defining short-term direction.
🔹 Key Pivot Level: 3555
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3555, this would signal continued bullish momentum. In this case, upside targets may extend towards:
3585 – Initial bullish target
3605 – Next resistance area
3620 – Major resistance zone / potential new ATH extension
This scenario suggests the uptrend remains intact, with buyers controlling the market.
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🔻 Bearish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes below 3555, it may indicate a potential pullback or correction. Bearish levels to watch are:
3530 – First support
3515 – Next bearish target
3485 – Major support area and potential correction base
This would suggest a short-term reversal or healthy retracement after the recent rally.
📊 Summary:
Gold is at a critical decision point. A confirmed H4 close above or below 3555 will likely define the next directional move. Until confirmation, the market remains neutral with both scenarios valid.
💡 Always manage risk carefully and wait for candle confirmations before considering any positions.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,417.84 (resistance) and $3,403.41 (support). We’re trading around $3,410–$3,411 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,417.84 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,419.55 → $3,420.54 → $3,422.10.
Management: Take partials at $3,419.55, move SL to breakeven once $3,418 holds on a retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,403.41.
Targets: $3,401.29 → $3,398.36 (trail if sellers stay in control).
Management: Scale partials at $3,401.29, protect the rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,416–$3,417 on a clear rejection → aim $3,410–$3,412, SL above rejection high / $3,420.
Longs: $3,403–$3,404 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,401.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through the level.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle (trap).
Multiple wick with no momentum.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,417.84 → bullish bias to $3,420.54 and $3,422.10.
Below $3,403.41 → bearish bias to $3,401.29 and $3,398.36.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep risk tight.
GOLD (XAUUSD) INTRADAY OUTLOOKCurrent Price: $3,377.
Range: Resistance at $3,378.86, Support at $3,370.24
Price is moving inside a tight box, rejecting both ends. Higher timeframe candles are showing wicks both sides → clear indecision.
🔼 Bullish Plan
Trigger: A 30min body close above $3,378.86 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,381.50 → $3,383.00. If momentum holds, extension toward $3,390+.
Management: Partial profits at first target, move stop loss to breakeven once $3,380 is held.
🔽 Bearish Plan
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,370.24.
Targets: $3,367.42 → $3,365.00. Further drop possible into $3,362.80 if selling pressure builds.
Management: Scale partials at first target, protect rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk)
Shorts: Near $3,378 on strong rejection → target mid-range $3,372–$3,374. SL above rejection high.
Longs: Near $3,370 on rejection wick → target mid-range $3,374. SL under lows.
⚠️ Small size only, chop can reverse fast.
✅ What Confirms Breakout
Strong 30min candle close outside $3,370–$3,378.
Follow through volume in same direction.
❌ What Invalidates
Breakout candle closes back inside range.
Multiple fakeout wicks without follow through.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,378 → Upside targets $3,386+.
Below $3,370 → Downside targets $3,362 and lower.
Inside range = scalpers’ market.
How MVRV Reveals Bitcoin’s Tops and Bottoms (Explained Simply)Welcome to Skeptic Night Bytes, Part 4
Ever wondered how to know if the market is at a top or bottom? 🤔 In this video, I break down the MVRV indicator with real examples
Don’t miss the teaser for the next episode where we unlock the power of the Z-score!
Trading Imbalances: How to Use Fair Value GapsDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐋🐋🐋 (Novice+)
This article is designed for traders who want to understand Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in a simple, practical way — without drowning in complex Smart Money Concepts terminology.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
If you’ve studied Smart Money Concepts (SMC), you’ve likely come across Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). For many, the concept feels overcomplicated. In reality, an FVG is just an imbalance in price — a spot where the market moved so fast that it didn’t fully trade both sides.
🔑When price leaves a gap behind, it often comes back later to “rebalance.” This gives traders powerful zones for entries, exits, and target setting.
🔵 WHAT IS A FAIR VALUE GAP?
A Fair Value Gap is formed over three candles :
Candle 1: The first move (anchor).
Candle 2: The big impulsive candle (the imbalance).
Candle 3: The follow-up candle.
The gap exists when the high of Candle 1 is below the low of Candle 3 (in a bullish case). This leaves an “untraded zone” inside Candle 2.
Think of it as a skipped step. Price rushed through so quickly, there wasn’t enough time to trade at fair value.
🔵 WHY DOES PRICE RETURN TO FVGs?
Markets seek balance. When an imbalance forms, algorithms and institutional flows often revisit the gap to collect liquidity and rebalance orders.
This doesn’t mean every FVG gets filled instantly — some remain open for days or even weeks. But many serve as magnets for price.
🔑Key point: An FVG is not a magic level. It’s a clue about where inefficiency sits.
🔵 HOW TO TRADE FVGS SIMPLY
1️⃣ Mark the Zone
Identify the three-candle imbalance. Highlight the gap inside Candle 2.
2️⃣ Wait for Return
Don’t chase the impulsive candle. Instead, wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone.
3️⃣ Trade the Reaction
Bullish FVG → wait for price to dip into the zone and show bullish reaction
Bearish FVG → wait for price to retest zone and reject downward
Stops are usually placed beyond the gap, targets set toward the next liquidity pool or swing level.
🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO
A strong bullish candle leaves an imbalance.
Price continues higher, but a day later revisits the gap.
At bullish rejection candles form with increasing volume.
Entry taken, stop below gap, target at next swing high.
🔵 TIPS FOR ADVANCED TRADERS
Higher timeframe FVGs are stronger and attract price longer.
Not every gap fills — filter with trend direction.
Combine with OBs (Order Blocks) or liquidity zones for more precision.
Ignore small random gaps in low-volume markets.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Fair Value Gaps don’t need to be mysterious. They’re simply imbalances in the auction process. By waiting for price to return and react, traders can build structured entries with defined risk.
🔑Instead of overcomplicating SMC concepts, think of FVGs as footprints of urgency — and opportunities for balance.
Do you already trade FVGs, or is this your first time hearing about them? Share your setups below!
8/20/25 SPX Trade Plan📊 Quantum's Trade Plan 📊
TVC:VIX - TVC:DXY - #10Y = Caution📈
⚪️ 6400 Pivot
🟢 If 6400 fails then short - 6390--6388--6375--6364
🔴If 6400 hold then long - 6409--6426--6440--6445
🔵 -Dex with sell walls at 6400 & 6450
🟠 Vanna neutral - 6405-6410 vanna flip
⚫️ Volume + Flow must support thesis
Gold XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Range, Breakout Levels DefinedPrice is holding between $3,341.46 (resistance) and $3,324.69 (support). We’re chopping in the middle near $3,337–$3,338, with indecision candles showing wicks on both sides on higher timeframe. This is a tight box, so scalps are possible, but reversals can be sharp.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,341.46 (not just a wick).
Targets: First into $3,344.50, then $3,346.46. If momentum holds, trail stops for extended upside toward $3,350+.
Management: Take partials at first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,341 is defended.
🔽 Bearish Plan (cleaner if the floor breaks)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,324.69.
Targets: First into $3,320.50, then $3,315.11. Extend lower if sellers dominate.
Management: Scale partials at first target, protect rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk)
Shorts: Near $3,341 on strong rejection → target mid-range $3,332–$3,334, SL above rejection high.
Longs: Near $3,324–$3,326 on rejection wick → target mid-range, SL under lows.
⚠️ Use smaller size; chop can whip back fast.
✅ What Confirms a Break
Strong 30min body close above/below the marked levels.
❌ What Invalidates
Breakout candle closes back inside range next bar → likely trap.
Multiple wick pierces without follow through.
📌 Bottom Line
Waiting for a 30-min close outside $3,324.69–$3,341.46.
Upside bias above $3,341.46 → targets $3,346.46 and higher.
Downside bias below $3,324.69 → targets $3,315.11.
BTCUSD long setup: Targeting the next bull move.Hello IGT FOLLOWERS
Here is my BTCUSD overview, Bitcoin is showing bullish momentum after holding strong support near $112,000. A breakout above the $115000 resistance suggests buyers are regaining control. RSI is turning upward, and volume is increasing on green candles signaling demand. As long as price holds above $113,000, bulls may push toward the $117,500 target.
Key points :
Entry point : 113500
1st Target : 115000
2nd Target : 117500
Follow me for more latest updates and signals
Crude Oil: Equilibrium, Key Levels & Trade ScenariosNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1!
Market Recap
In our prior crude oil commentary, we identified a bullish flag formation with key support anchored at the Q3 micro composite Value Area Low. Following a measured pullback, prices decisively reclaimed the Q3 micro composite Value Area High, subsequently advancing toward the $70 level. However, this upward momentum proved unsustainable, with prices unable to maintain higher ground. We have since retraced to the yearly open, where the market is now consolidating.
Current Market Structure
Crude oil is presently exhibiting a balanced profile. Notably, the composite Volume Points of Control (VPOC) for both the yearly and quarterly profiles are overlapping — a technical signal indicative of equilibrium in positioning.
Market Performance Assessment
Price action in recent sessions has been heavily influenced by shifts in the global demand outlook, which in turn remain sensitive to macroeconomic expectations, geopolitical events, and OPEC+ V8 members’ gradual unwinding of voluntary production cuts. Despite the prevailing headwinds — including tariff disputes, Russian sanctions, and broader trade tensions — crude oil has demonstrated resilience, consistently trading above the $65 threshold.
Forward Outlook
Attention will turn to today’s EIA release at 9:30 a.m. CT, which may serve as the primary catalyst for near-term directional bias.
Key Technical Levels
• Q3 mCVAH: 67.28
• Neutral Zone: 66.45 – 66.30
• Yearly Open: 66.34
• Intermediate Support: 65.80
• CVPOC / mCVPOC: 65.54
• Q3 mCVAL: 64.95
• Support Zone: 65.00 – 64.80
Trading Scenarios
• Scenario 1 — Yearly Open Rejection
Monitor the Yearly Open (66.34) as an initial resistance level. A rejection here could prompt a tactical pullback toward the Line in the Sand (LIS), offering long entry opportunities with a target above the yearly open.
• Scenario 2 — DOE-Driven Flush & Recovery
Should the DOE data trigger a downside push, watch for a swing failure at recent lows. A close back above prior levels would present a potential long setup, with conviction increasing on sustained price action above 65.80.
From Fakeout to Takeoff: How the V-Pattern REALLY WorksEver seen a support level break, only for the price to rocket back up in a V-shape? That’s the V-Pattern in action! In this post, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab breaks down the step-by-step mechanics of this powerful setup. From the fakeout that traps short sellers to the surge of buy orders from liquidations, you’ll learn exactly how buyers flip the script and create explosive reversals. Perfect for traders looking to spot high-probability setups. Join me to decode the markets—check out the steps and level up your trading game!
Quantum's Missed IWM Short 8/1/25Well had a moment where I backed out of a A+++ setup. IWM had a ton of -gex pull down to 206. Would have been a massive short to end the week. I canceled my order instantly for no reason at all and missed it. Overall had a great day but this is what separates the elite from the average trader. Will work on this next week.
Quantum's TSLA & NVDA Trades 8/1/25Simply breaking down what I look at going into the trading day. Premarket watchlist was short but nailed TSLA short for 150% and could have made double that on TSLA and NVDA longs. Due to hitting my daily goals I had to walk away to avoid overtrading but what an amazing day.
BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?
🔍 Technical Analysis (July 29, 2025)
Chart Observations:
1. BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS events are identified, confirming key directional shifts in market structure. The last BOS near the support zone signals bearish intent.
2. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A clean bearish FVG is left behind after a sharp drop on the 25th, indicating institutional imbalance and potential retracement area. Price rejected from that FVG later.
3. Equal Low & Sellside Liquidity:
The highlighted equal lows around July 25-26 mark areas of resting liquidity—prime targets for smart money manipulation.
4. New FVG Formed (July 28):
Another bearish FVG appears just before the projected breakdown, strengthening the case for a bearish continuation.
5. Support Zone Target – $115K:
A clean support zone (marked between 114,500–115,500) sits directly below the current market price. This is the likely liquidity target after sweeping equal lows.
6. Volume Profile (VRVP):
Low-volume nodes between the current price and support suggest minimal resistance to a sharp downward move.
⸻
🎯 Conclusion:
The structure, FVGs, and liquidity pools all point toward a liquidity raid below the equal lows, aiming for the support target near $115K. Traders should watch for a decisive break below the current range, especially if the FVG acts as resistance again.
How I Analyze Any Coin in 60 Seconds: 4-Step Masterclass!Heyy traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🩵 I’m breaking down my lightning-fast method to analyze any coin in just 60 seconds . This 4-step process is how I spot long/short triggers like a pro. Buckle up, let’s dive in:
✔️ Step 1: Identify HWC/MWC/LWC (10 seconds)
Nature’s got a cool vibe—bet a lot of you hit the outdoors on weekends. When I see an apple tree from afar, it’s majestic, but up close, I spot branches and worm-eaten fruit. From a distance, I miss the details; up close, I lose the tree’s grandeur. Markets work the same. You need different timeframes to grasp the market structure. With practice in Dow Theory, trends, and tools, spotting HWC (Higher Wave Cycle), MWC (Mid Wave Cycle), and LWC (Lower Wave Cycle) becomes second nature. For me, this takes 10 seconds.
Want a full HWC/MWC/LWC guide? Check my free article I wrote a while back—it’s a hands-on tutorial ( link Cycle Mastery ).
📊 Step 2: Draw Support/Resistance Lines (20–30 seconds)
I start with higher timeframes: Monthly, then Weekly, then Daily. Once I’ve drawn lines up to Daily, I don’t always redraw for lower timeframes—often, I just adjust them.
Pro tip : Give more weight to the right side of the (recent data) since it’s fresher and more valuable. I change line colors for 4-hour lines, so I know they’re less critical than Daily. I don’t draw lines below 4-hour, but if you’re a scalper, tweak this to your strategy. This step takes me 20–30 seconds, the longest part.
📉 Step 3: Analyze Candles, Volume, Oscillators, and Indicators (10–15 seconds)
Here, I check everything I can: candles, volume, oscillators, and indicators . The goal? Stack confirmations for my triggers. Think RSI hitting overbought, volume spikes, larger candle sizes, or momentum surges—you get the vibe. This step’s length depends on your tool mastery. For me, it’s quick because I know what to look for.
🔔 Step 4: Check Coin Dominance (5–10 seconds)
This is the most critical yet simplest step. We need to track where liquidity’s flowing . For example, if SOL/BTC is bearish, I skip buying Solana—liquidity’s exiting. BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) is also key. The relationships dominance creates are complex and don’t fit in one analysis, but if you want a full dominance tutorial, drop it in the comments!
🔼 Key Takeaway: Using these 4 steps—HWC/MWC/LWC, support/resistance, candles/indicators, and dominance—I analyze any coin in 60 seconds. Your speed depends on experience and knowledge. If you’re new, this might take 60 minutes per coin, but don’t sweat it— practice makes you lightning-fast . Thanks for vibing with this educational idea! <3 I’ll catch you in the next one—good luck, fam!
💬 Let’s Talk!
Want a dominance tutorial or more tips? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this guide lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped (Educational Breakdown)
⸻
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
• Range Structure: BTCUSD is currently trading within a well-defined consolidation range between the Resistance Zone ($119,850–$120,591) and the Support Zone ($116,937).
• Volume Profile (VRVP): Volume is noticeably thick near the mid-range, suggesting accumulation/distribution behavior. Price is struggling to break above the value area high near $120K.
• Resistance Rejection: After testing the upper supply zone, price failed to sustain bullish momentum and is showing signs of exhaustion – a possible sign of institutional selling.
• Target Zone: If price rejects this resistance again, a strong move toward the target level of $117,260 is expected. This aligns with:
• Mid-range liquidity sweep
• Low-volume node (LVN) below current price
• Fair Value Gap fill near $117,200–$116,900
⸻
🧩 Key Concepts Highlighted:
• Support & Resistance Mapping
• Volume Profile Readings
• Institutional Order Flow Bias
• Target Projection using Smart Money Concepts
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⚠ Educational Insight:
This setup is a perfect example of how to combine Volume Profile + Price Action to identify liquidity traps and smart entries. Always wait for confirmation near key zones — not every level breaks!
⸻
✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
• Watch for bearish engulfing/rejection wick at resistance
• Short entry below $119,000 with SL above $120,600
• Target: $117,260 / Final TP: $116,937 zone