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$GBINTR - B.o.E Leaves Rates Unchanged (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR August/2025 source: Bank of England - The Bank of England voted by a majority of 7-2 to hold its benchmark Bank Rate at 4% today, following a 25 bps cut in August, and in line with expectations, as it navigates slow growth alongside still-elevated inflation. Policymakers noted that a gradual and cautious approach to further easing monetary restraint remains appropriate. The central bank will also slow the pace of bond sales to £70 billion from £100 billion and will move away from sales of longer gilts.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Flat at 3.8% (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY August/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The UK’s annual inflation rate held steady at 3.8% in August 2025, unchanged from July and remaining near the highs last seen in January 2024, in line with expectations. Lower airfares and easing services inflation were offset by higher motor fuel costs and rising prices for restaurants and hotels and food. Meanwhile, annual core inflation rate slowed to 3.6% from 3.8%.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Hits 18-Month High (July/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY July/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The UK’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July 2025 from 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024 and slightly above forecasts of 3.7%. The uptick was led by higher transport costs linked to school summer holidays, with additional pressure from motor fuels, restaurants and hotels, and food and non-alcoholic beverages. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.1%, defying forecasts of a 0.1% decline but slowing from June’s 0.3% gain. Core inflation inched up to 3.8% from 3.7%.
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GBGDPQQ -Great Britain GDP (Q2/2025)ECONOMICS:GBGDPQQ Q2/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The British economy grew 0.3% qoq in Q2 2025, slowing from a 0.7% expansion in Q1 but surpassing forecasts of just 0.1%, according to preliminary estimates. The moderation partly reflects activity being brought forward to February and March ahead of April’s stamp duty changes and the announcement of new US tariffs. In Q2, growth was fuelled by a 0.4% rise in services, led by computer programming and consultancy (+4.1%). Construction climbed 1.2%, while production fell 0.3% due to utilities (-6.8%) and mining (-0.3%), partly offset by a 0.3% increase in manufacturing. On the expenditure side, growth was driven mainly by a 1.2% rise in government consumption, particularly in health (vaccinations) and public administration and defence. Gross capital formation increased on the back of higher changes in valuables, inventories, and alignment adjustments, but business investment slumped 4%. Household spending rose a modest 0.1% and exports increased 1.6%, outpacing the 1.4% rise in imports.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBINTR -BoE Cuts Rates as Expected (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR August/2025 source : Bank of England - The Bank of England voted by a 5–4 majority to cut the key Bank Rate by 25bps to 4% in August, in line with expectations. This marks the fifth rate cut since August of last year and brings borrowing costs to their lowest level since March 2023. However, the decision followed an initial three-way split, the first time that two rounds of voting were required to reach a conclusive decision on interest rates.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rises to a 2024 High (June/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY June/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK rose to 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024, up from 3.4% in May and above expectations that it would remain unchanged. The main upward pressure came from transport prices, mostly motor fuel costs, airfares, rail fares and maintenance and repair of personal transport equipment. On the other hand, services inflation remained steady at 4.7%. Meanwhile, core inflation also accelerated, with the annual rate reaching 3.7%.
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by Mr_J__fx
GBIRYY - U.K Inflation (May/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY May/2025 source: Office for National Statistics -The annual inflation rate in the UK edged down to 3.4% in May 2025 from 3.5% in April, matching expectations. The largest downward contribution came from transport prices (0.7% vs 3.3%), reflecting falls in air fares (-5%) largely due to the timing of Easter and the associated school holidays, as well as falling motor fuel prices. Additionally, the correction of an error in the Vehicle Excise Duty series contributed to the drop; the error affected April’s data, but the series has been corrected from May. Further downward pressure came from cost for housing and household services (6.9% vs 7%), mostly owner occupiers' housing costs (6.7% vs 6.9%). Services inflation also slowed to 4.7% from 5.4%. On the other hand, the largest, upward contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.4% vs 3.4%), namely chocolate, confectionery and ice cream, and furniture and household goods (0.8%, the most since December 2023). Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.2%.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rate Accelerates (April/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY April/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK jumped to 3.5% in April, the highest since January 2024, from 2.6% in March and above forecasts of 3.3%. The main upward pressure came from higher electricity and gas prices after the Ofgem price cap increase, while new Vehicle Excise Duty on electric cars lifted transport costs, and food inflation also picked up. Meanwhile, core inflation accelerated to 3.8%, the highest in a year.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K CPI (March/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.6% March/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK slowed to 2.6% in March 2025 from 2.8% in February and below market and the BoE's forecasts of 2.7%. The largest downward contributions came from recreation and culture (2.4% vs 3.4%), mainly games, toys and hobbies (-4.2%) and data processing equipment (-5.1%). Transport also contributed to the slowdown (1.2% vs 1.8%), largely due to a 5.3% fall in motor fuel prices. In addition, prices rose less for restaurants and hotels (3%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 3.4%), mostly accommodation services (-0.6%); housing and utilities (1.8% vs 1.9%); and food and non-alcoholic beverages (3% vs 3.3%). In contrast, the most significant upward contribution came from clothing and footwear (1.1% vs -0.6%), with prices usually rising in March as spring fashions continue to enter the shops. Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.3%, slightly below both the previous month’s increase and expectations of 0.4%. Annual core inflation slowed to 3.4% from 3.5%.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (February/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY February/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below market expectations of 2.9%, though in line with the Bank of England's forecast. The largest downward contribution came from prices of clothing which declined for the first time since October 2021 (-0.6% vs 1.8%), led by garments for women and children's clothing. Inflation also eased in recreation and culture (3.4% vs. 3.8%), particularly in live music admission and recording media, as well as in housing and utilities (1.9% vs. 2.1%), including actual rents for housing (7.4% vs. 7.8%). In contrast, food inflation was unchanged at 3.3% and prices rose faster for transport (1.8% vs 1.7%) and restaurants and hotels (3.4% vs 3.3%). Meanwhile, services inflation held steady at 5%. The annual core inflation rate declined to 3.5% from 3.7%. Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.4%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline but falling short of the expected 0.5% increase.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBINTR - U.K Interest Rates (March/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR March/2025 source: Bank of England - The Bank of England voted 8-1 to keep the Bank Rate at 4.5% during its March meeting, as policymakers adopted a wait-and-see approach amid stubbornly high inflation and global economic uncertainties. The bank highlighted that, given the medium-term inflation outlook, a gradual and cautious approach to further withdrawal of monetary policy restraint remains appropriate. CPI inflation increased to 3.0% in January, and while global energy prices fell, inflation is expected to rise to 3¾% by Q3 2025. Also, the MPC noted that global trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical risks increased, with financial market volatility rising. source: Bank of England
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY December/2024 source: Office for National Statistics -Annual inflation rate in the UK unexpectedly edged lower to 2.5% in December 2024 from 2.6% in November, below forecasts of 2.6%. However, it matched the BoE's forecast from early November. Prices slowed for restaurants and hotels (3.4%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 4%), mainly due to a 1.9% fall in prices of hotels. Inflation also slowed for recreation and communication (3.4% vs 3.6%) and services (4.4%, the lowest since March 2022 vs 5) and steadied for food and non-alcoholic beverages (at 2%). Meanwhile, prices decreased less for transport (-0.6% vs -0.9%) as upward effects from motor fuels and second-hand cars (1%) partially offset a downward effect from air fare (-26%). Also, prices rose slightly more for housing and utilities (3.1% vs 3%). Compared to November, the CPI rose 0.3%, above 0.1% in the previous period but below forecasts of 0.4%. The annual core inflation rate also declined to 3.2% from 3.5% and the monthly rate went up to 0.3%, below forecasts of 0.5%.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBINTR -U.K Interest RatesECONOMICS:GBINTR (December/2024) source: Bank of England The Bank of England left the benchmark bank rate steady at 4.75% during its December 2024 meeting, in line with market expectations, as CPI inflation, wage growth and some indicators of inflation expectations had risen, adding to the risk of inflation persistence. The central bank reinforced that a gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint remains appropriate and that monetary policy will need to continue to remain restrictive for sufficiently long until the risks to inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target in the medium term have dissipated further. The central bank will continue to decide the appropriate degree of monetary policy restrictiveness at each meeting.
ECONOMICS:GBINTR
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY (November/2024) source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK edged up for a second month to 2.6% in November 2024 from 2.3% in October, matching forecasts. It is the highest inflation rate in eight months, with prices rising at a faster pace for recreation and culture (3.6% vs 3% in October), mostly admission fees to live music events and theaters and computer games; housing and utilities (3% vs 2.9%), particularly actual rents for housing; and food and non-alcoholic beverages (2% vs 1.9%). In addition, transport prices fell much less (-0.9% vs -1.9%) as upward effects from motor fuels and second-hand cars were partially offset by a downward effect from air fares. Meanwhile, services inflation was steady at 5%. Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.1%, less than 0.6% in October and matching forecasts. The core CPI rose 3.5% on the year from 3.3% in October but below forecasts of 3.6%. On the month, core prices stalled.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Above Forecasts (October/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.3% October/2024 source: Office for National Statistics - Annual inflation rate in the UK went up to 2.3% in October 2024, the highest in six months, compared to 1.7% in September. This exceeded both the Bank of England's target and market expectations of 2.2%. The largest upward contribution came from housing and household services (5.5% vs 3.8% in September), mainly electricity (-6.3% vs -19.5%) and gas (-7.3% vs -22.8%), reflecting the rise of the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) energy price cap in October 2024. Also, prices rose faster for restaurants and hotels (4.3% vs 4.1%) and rebounded for housing and utilities (2.9% vs -1.7%). Prices of services increased slightly more (5% vs 4.9%), matching estimates form the central bank. On the other hand, food inflation was steady at 1.9% and the largest offsetting downward contribution came from recreation and culture (3% vs 3.8%). Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.6%. Finally, annual core inflation edged up to 3.3% from 3.2%.
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 1.7% source: Office for National Statistics -Annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 1.7% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in each of the previous two months and forecasts of 1.9%. The largest downward contribution came from transport (-2.2% vs 1.3%), namely air fares and motor fuels. Fares usually reduce in price between August and September, but this year this was the fifth largest fall since monthly data began in 2001. Also, the average price of petrol fell to 136.8 pence per litre compared to 153.6 pence per litre in September 2023. In addition, prices continued to fall for housing and utilities (-1.7% vs -1.6%) and furniture and household equipment (-1% vs -1.3%) and cost rose less for recreation and culture (3.8% vs 4%) and restaurants and hotels (4.1% vs 4.3%). Meanwhile, services inflation slowed to 4.9%, the lowest since May 2022, from 5.6% in August. On the other hand, the largest offsetting upward contribution came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.9% vs 1.3%).
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by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY CPI (August/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY CPI Data (August/2024) 'UK Inflation Rate Steady at 2.2%' source: Office for National Statistics - Annual inflation rate ( ECONOMICS:GBIRYY ) in the UK steadied at 2.2% in August 2024, the same as in July, and in line with expectations. The largest upward contribution came from air fares while the biggest downward contributions came from prices for motor fuels, and restaurants and hotels. Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.3%, following a 0.2% fall in July and also matching expectations.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBP - What shall we do now?$GBP - What shall we do now? GBP - Since we hit below 1.14 - 1.10 it's really been a one way for this pair and it could continue...However, we have options! 1 Emergency rate hike 2 Intervention 3 IMF 4 Fiscal spending 5 Swap Lines Now these are the options technically speaking we filled gap around 1.09 this morning, I expected 1.06 on table during open we hit lows of 1.03... Now, if we can hold the levels of these levels and perhaps go above 1.09 then no worries. However, if we carry on with these moves then things will get very interesting and keep an eye on the Gilt & FTSE! Now it all looks very dismal when it comes towards headlines but actually there are coming amazing investment opportunities the prices we are getting and of course if you're in USA, what a great time for you to visit! For Candle stick traders - dragon fly! Keep alert of what happens next, this week we have a lot speakers out of CB's and most importantly trade your plan! Best, TJ
by Trade_Journal
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