NAS100 Weekly Outlook: Watch This Liquidity Sweep Before SellingNAS100 🌍
The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by a sudden reassessment of the AI investment cycle following a string of high-stakes earnings reports 🏦. While Big Tech giants like Meta and Microsoft have delivered "on-paper" beats, the underlying sentiment is shifting toward exhaustion as investors start demanding immediate monetization from massive AI capital expenditures. Interestingly, general online sentiment is showing a "buy-the-dip" mentality reaching near-extreme levels, suggesting a potential liquidity hunt before the real move lower can materialize. This retail eagerness to catch the falling knife often provides the perfect fuel for a deeper sweep of the lows 🧹.
We are seeing a Bearish Market Structure on the H4 after a significant rejection at the 26,000 psychological level 📉. While the long-term trend remains structurally bullish, the prevailing community chatter is heavily leaning toward a bounce, which tells me retail is likely positioned poorly and trapped in early long positions. The recent break of the 25,200 support zone has shifted the immediate momentum to the downside, and I am watching for the market to exploit this "crowded long" positioning before settling into a more sustainable range.
Key Zone: The confluence of the bearish Parallel Channel and the Fibonacci 50% retracement level (near 25,293) is the primary area of interest 📉.
We are currently trading just below the mid-point of the recent sell-off, and the price action is carving out a corrective flag within a descending channel. I am watching for a 'run on liquidity' to sweep the late buyers I'm seeing across various social forums who are aggressively longing this minor pullback 🧹. If we see a failure to reclaim the 50% Fibonacci level accompanied by a bearish "Break of Structure" (BoS) on the lower timeframes, it will confirm that the sellers are still firmly in control of the weekly range.
