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Us100short

NASDAQ After the Fireworks: Bearish Setup LoadedAfter the classic 4th of July rally, I stepped in on the short side of Nasdaq, targeting 22,000 and 21,400 zones. The market structure shows exhaustion, and with the cloud retest failing to hold new highs, I positioned accordingly. Technical: • Price stalled at prior expansion highs with tight compression near 23,000. • Daily FibCloud offered resistance confirmation. • Bearish risk-reward skew forms after extended rally and thin retraces. • Volume divergence spotted. Fundamentals: Multiple overlapping uncertainties: • Trump confirmed tariffs will take effect on August 1, threatening a 10% surcharge on BRICS-aligned nations. • Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates several trade deal announcements within 48h—but stresses quality over quantity. • Bank of America maintains its base case of 0 rate cuts in 2025, citing strong economic data and sticky inflation risks. The combination of tariff escalation, hawkish monetary expectations, and global trade friction creates a perfect backdrop for volatility and correction—especially in overextended tech indices like the Nasdaq. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
US1OO SHORT TRADE IDEA Chart Breakdown: 1. Trendline Break: A clear uptrend was in place, supported by the ascending blue trendline. The price broke below this trendline, suggesting a potential reversal or correction. After the break, price attempted to retest the trendline (a common behavior before continuation in the new direction). 2. Bearish Rejection: Price got rejected around the trendline retest zone, which aligns with a resistance area marked in red. This confluence zone suggests supply dominance, pushing the price lower. 3. Imbalance Zone (Fair Value Gap): A pink rectangular zone marks an imbalance, often called a fair value gap (FVG)—where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading volume. These zones are typically revisited to "fill the imbalance." 4. Heikin Ashi Candles: Recent candles show strong bearish momentum with little to no upper wicks, confirming a downward trend. Multiple consecutive red candles support trend continuation. 📉 Bearish Setup Analysis: Entry Zone: Around the trendline retest, near 21,000–21,100. Target Zone: Imbalance/fair value gap around 20,100–20,200. Stop-Loss Zone: Above the resistance area, around 21,150–21,200. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (visualized with the green zone risk and extended red arrow for reward). ✅ Bearish Case Justification: Trendline break and retest failure. Rejection at key resistance/supply. Imbalance acting as a price magnet. Momentum strongly favors bears (based on Heikin Ashi structure). ⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidations: If price reclaims and holds above the trendline or breaks above 21,200, the bearish setup could be invalidated. Major macro news or earnings could reverse the move rapidly. Watch for divergences or weakening bearish momentum on smaller timeframes as price approaches the target zone. 🧭 Strategy Tip: This could suit a swing short setup, especially for traders looking to capitalize on trendline break retests and imbalance fills. A tighter entry around the top of the rejection zone provides a better risk/reward.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by theprofitpioneerzw