US30 | Liquidity, Structure & MA Confluence Support Bulls🚨 US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) CFD | Bullish Breakout Setup 📈
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW
Asset: US30 Index CFD (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Trade Type: Day/Swing Trade Opportunity
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Confirmed by Moving Average Pullback & Price Action
Timeframe: H4/Daily Chart Analysis
🎯 TRADE PLAN BREAKDOWN
📍 ENTRY ZONE
Flexible Entry: ANY current price level accepted ✅
Strategy: Moving Average pullback confirmation with momentum continuation
Ideal Entry: Wait for minor retracement to key support levels for better R:R ratio
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
Suggested SL: @ 42,800 🔒
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is MY personal risk management level. NOT a recommendation! Adjust SL based on YOUR risk tolerance, account size, and trading plan. Trade at your own risk!
💰 TAKE PROFIT (TP) TARGET
Primary Target: @ 50,000 🎯
Resistance Factors:
🔴 Strong psychological resistance zone
📈 Overbought RSI conditions expected
⚡ Potential bull trap area - watch for reversal signals
🔗 Correlation with related markets may trigger profit-taking
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is MY target based on technical analysis. Scale out profits at YOUR discretion! Consider partial profit-taking at key levels (48,500 / 49,000 / 49,500). Protect your capital first!
🔗 CORRELATED ASSETS TO WATCH
📌 Direct Correlations:
SPX500 (S&P 500) - Major US equity index correlation ✅
NAS100 (Nasdaq 100) - Tech-heavy index showing similar momentum
US500 CFD - Broad market sentiment indicator
💵 USD-Related Pairs:
DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; watch for USD weakness = US30 strength 📉💹
EUR/USD - Risk-on sentiment boosts equities when EUR/USD rises
USD/JPY - Yen weakness typically supports US equity rallies
GBP/USD - Cable strength indicates risk appetite
🏆 Key Market Drivers:
VIX (Volatility Index) - Low VIX = bullish for US30 🟢
Gold (XAU/USD) - Inverse safe-haven correlation
10Y US Treasury Yields - Rising yields may pressure equities; monitor closely ⚠️
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS
🔥 Recent Economic Data (Impact on US30):
Federal Reserve Policy 🏦
Current stance: Monitor FOMC statements for rate cut signals
Lower rates = bullish for equities ✅
Any hawkish surprise = bearish risk ⚠️
US Jobs Data (NFP/Unemployment) 📊
Strong labor market = corporate earnings support = US30 bullish
Weak data = recession fears = potential reversal
Inflation Reports (CPI/PPI) 💹
Cooling inflation supports Fed rate cuts = equity rally continuation
Hot inflation = Fed stays tight = headwinds for US30
Corporate Earnings Season 🏢
Watch major Dow components: Apple, Microsoft, Boeing, Goldman Sachs
Strong earnings = momentum fuel 🚀
📅 UPCOMING NEWS EVENTS TO WATCH:
⏰ FOMC Minutes Release - Fed policy direction
⏰ US Retail Sales - Consumer spending strength
⏰ GDP Growth Data - Economic health indicator
⏰ Geopolitical Risks - Trade policies, global tensions affect sentiment
🌍 Global Market Sentiment:
Risk-On Environment: Positive for US30 📈
Safe-Haven Flows: Watch Gold/JPY for early warning signs 🚨
China Economic Data: Impacts global growth outlook
⚡ KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
✅ Bullish Signals:
Price above major moving averages (50/200 EMA)
Higher highs & higher lows structure intact
Volume confirmation on breakout candles
RSI showing bullish momentum (not yet overbought)
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Approaching major psychological resistance @ 50,000
Potential exhaustion at extended levels
Correlation breakdown if USD strengthens aggressively
Geopolitical shocks or unexpected Fed hawkishness
💡 TRADING WISDOM
🎓 Risk Management is KING:
Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade
Position size according to YOUR stop loss distance
Markets reward patience and discipline 🧠
🔄 Profit Protection:
Move SL to breakeven once +100 pips in profit
Scale out 50% at intermediate resistance levels
Let runners ride with trailing stops
🚀 FINAL THOUGHTS
This US30 setup combines technical confluence + fundamental tailwinds for a high-probability bullish scenario. However, markets are NEVER guaranteed! 🎲
👉 YOUR MONEY = YOUR RULES
👉 MY ANALYSIS = EDUCATIONAL PERSPECTIVE
👉 TRADE RESPONSIBLY = PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL
📣 ENGAGEMENT REMINDER:
💬 Drop a comment with YOUR analysis!
👍 Smash that LIKE button if this helps!
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📊 Share your trades - let's grow together! 🤝
🔥 Good luck, traders! May the pips be with you! 🔥
#US30 #DowJones #TradingView #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ForexTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #CFDTrading #PriceAction #RiskManagement 📊💹🚀
Us30analysis
US30 Outlook: Corrective Pullback Below 49590, Bulls Eye New ATHUS30 | Market Overview
The index is currently undergoing a bearish correction while trading below the pivot line (49590), although the broader trend remains bullish.
TECHNICAL VIEW
📉 Corrective / Bearish Scenario
While price trades below 49590, a pullback is favored toward:
49390 - 49200
A break below 49200 would support bearish continuation toward 48840
📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary Trend)
The broader structure remains bullish
A 1H or 4H candle close above 49590 would confirm bullish continuation
Upside targets: 49960
Potential new ATH above 50100
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 49590
Resistance: 49960 – 50100
Support: 49250 – 48850
Bullish continuation setup?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 48,827.16
1st Support: 47,713.62
1st Resistance: 50,079.89
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
DowJones US30📊 $DowJones ( CAPITALCOM:US30 ) Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)
The overall trend for the Dow Jones remains bullish, as the price continues to form a structure of higher highs and higher lows 📈. The index is trading well above the upward-sloping EMA 200 (black line), which serves as the primary trend confirmation. While the price recently experienced a minor correction (Wave 5), it found immediate support at the EMA 50 (red line), which is currently trending upwards and acting as dynamic support. The momentum is characterized by strong bullish candle bodies during the impulsive phases, indicating high demand. As long as the price sustains its position above the 48,800.0 USD structural support, the path of least resistance remains to the upside 🚀.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Major Upside Target: 50,150.0 USD (Psychological Resistance) 🚩
Intermediate Target: 49,400.0 USD (Recent Peak) 🎯
Immediate Support: 48,800.0 USD (Grey Box / Flip Zone) 💡
Dynamic Support: 48,256.0 USD (EMA 50 Area) ⚡
Structural Support: 47,820.0 USD & 47,323.6 USD (Grey Box / EMA 200) 🛡️
Primary Demand Origin: 46,870.0 USD & 45,420.0 USD (Major Grey Boxes) 🏗️
Market Bias Below 48000As outlined in my previous analysis, the market pushed higher and reached the 49450 area.
At this stage, my view remains unchanged: price still needs to trade below 48000.
Until acceptance below this level is seen, the prevailing market bias remains short.
External events and global narratives are irrelevant to this assessment.
The market is neutral, mechanical, and indifferent — it simply does what it needs to do.
Further updates will be provided once conditions are met.
US30 H4 | Falling Towards 50% Fib SupportThe price could fall towards our buy entry level at 48,450.28, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 47,860.43, a multi-swing low support
Our take profit is set at 49,396.96, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
US30: Momentum Loss After Recent HighOn the 4H chart, US30 failed to extend after printing a marginal high, with price quickly rotating back and losing upside momentum. The lack of follow-through suggests the recent rally is being reassessed, opening the door for a broader corrective phase before any fresh continuation develops.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
DOW/US - PATIENTLY WAITING FOR THE RIGHT PRICETeam, as discussed last week in our community
I was expecting the DOW/US30 to reach low 48155, however it has drop low at 49089
We are going LONG at 48122 STOP LOSS at 48035
Target 1 at 48250-24285
Target 2 at 48350-48415
PLEASE NOTE if the downside drop at 47800 - I will double the volume on LONG..
LETS GO






















