US30 H4 | Bearish drop offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 46,338.64, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 46,676.09, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 45,762.38, which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Us30analysis
US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The 𝐃𝐨𝐰 is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. I’m initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500–44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000–42,2500 (T2), where I’ll reassess.
This isn’t a “crash” call—just a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from “rates down” to “why they’re down.”
Technicals:
• Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; we’re now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks).
• Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. I’m leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box.
Structure map:
• Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area.
• Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k.
• Targets: T1 45,000–44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000–43,000.
• Risk: 0.5–1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs.
Fundamentals:
1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish.
The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress. 
2) Growth data is mixed—manufacturing still weak.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)—below the 50 expansion line—signaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dow’s cyclical mix. 
3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated.
Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays high—conditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability. 
4) Valuations are rich versus history.
FactSet’s mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress. 
5) Sentiment & seasonality aren’t tailwinds.
September/early Q4 are seasonally tricky—historically the weakest stretch for US equities—just as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth. 
6) Policy & trade headline risk.
Tariff timelines and “reciprocal” duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex. 
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,123.56
1st Support: 45,765.51
1st Resistance: 46,704.98
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Can You Escape the US30 High Voltage Trap in Time?💎 US30/DJ30 High Voltage Bullish Heist Plan 💎
💰 Asset: US30 / DJ30 Index CFD
🚀 Plan: Bullish — Thief OG Layered Buy Attack 🏴☠️
📍 Entry: Any price level — we’re layering in with the Bull Grid Strategy like a true market bandit.
🎯 Layered Buy Limits:
44,900 💵
44,700 💵
44,400 🔥
(💡 You can add more layers — the more vault doors you crack, the more loot you grab!)
🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 44,000 🛑 — adjust to your own risk appetite & strategy, ladies & gentlemen of the Thief OG Crew.
💎 Target: 46,300 🎯 — ⚡ high-voltage electric trap ahead! Escape with the stolen money at 46,200 before the market guards catch you.
🏴☠️ The Heist Blueprint 🏴☠️
We’re hitting US30 with multi-layer entries, scooping up the dip zones like professional vault breakers. The bull gang is in control — momentum, sentiment, and greed all lining up for a payday.
Rules of Engagement:
Use multiple buy limit layers — stack ‘em like gold bars.
Stick to longs only — don’t rob against the tide.
Place alerts at each limit level — no sleeping during the heist.
Use trailing SL to secure stolen profits while the robbery’s still in progress.
📊 Why Bullish?
US30 showing strong momentum fueled by market optimism, earnings strength, and liquidity flooding in. Macro vibes = bullish; sentiment = greedy. Bears? Scattered and broke.
⚠️ Risk & News Alert:
Avoid entry during high-volatility news drops — even thieves hate unpredictable explosions.
Manage positions like a pro — protect the stash.
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See you at the vault door, Thief OGs. 🏴☠️💰🚀
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 24 2025price pushed down hard yesterday but still made a HL on the 1h also created a 1h FVG so i will want to see a test of that, if it respects it i will look for internal 1m bearish structure to look for sells but if it trades through it i will look for buys to PDH
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"Trade setup on US30 for a weekly sell"We have a market with a bullish accumulation that has been attracting buyers with an upward sentiment. What I’m looking for is a downward manipulation to shake buyers out of this accumulation, as you can see in this flag. It’s an accumulation that is breaking through highs, and banks usually look to break liquidity zones in order to generate their sales. In addition, the price needs to find stability since it has been rising too much. I see this sell opportunity as possible with this trading pattern I look for: problem, reaction, and solution.
DOW/US30 - TIME FOR A KILLTeam, we have not been trading DOW/US30 since last week's successful short
WHY, we wait for the rate decision to come out
NOW, investors' hope is invalid, no momentum for a rate cut
LETs short the beast at 46135-46160
STOP LOSS AT 46250- OR 46280
EASY TARGET AT 46117-46070 - take partial 50-70% and bring stop loss to BE
2ND TARGET at 45972-45955
LETS GO
U30 Trade Set Up Sep 17 2025www.tradingview.com
price is trading in between PDH/PDL but just inverted a 1h FVG so will want to see if price can continue making internal bullish structure on the 5m-15m to target PDH or continue its 1h bearish structure and target PDL. But will have to be careful due to FOMC news coming out at 2pm
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 12 2025www.tradingview.com
Price has made a ATH so i will need more context but for now we got a big bullish 4h FVG and a bearish 4h FVG. If price respects and fails to close above the bearish FVG i will look for sells to the 50% of the Bullish FVG but if price continues to make HH/HL and can trade through the 50% of the bearish FVG i will look for buys






















