Bearish breakout setup?USD/CHF is reacting off the support level, which is a pullnacksupport and a breakout of this level could lead the price to fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8065
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8131
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8003
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF
USDCHF Forming Bullish WaveUSDCHF is currently positioned in a consolidating range after a recent rebound, as buyers appear to test the breakout zone around 0.8030-0.8200. The technical structure suggests that if price can hold above the upper boundary of the recent consolidation, we could see a bullish push toward 0.8350 and possibly extend to 0.8400. Until then, watch for signs of exhaustion or a break below 0.8030, which could invalidate the bullish case and open a retest of lower support near 0.7900.
On the fundamental front, the U.S. dollar remains relatively firm thanks to resilient labor market data and the Federal Reserve indicating that it may keep interest rates elevated for longer if inflation remains sticky. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, which traditionally strengthens during global uncertainty, is under pressure as the Swiss National Bank contemplates policy moves in the face of sluggish domestic growth and deflationary risks. The divergence in monetary paths—firm U.S. rates vs. cautious Swiss policy—supports a bullish edge for USDCHF.
That said, risk remains skewed to the downside if global risk sentiment shifts or the franc’s safe-haven status becomes dominant again. Upcoming Swiss inflation or SNB commentary could trigger surprise moves. For now, the setup favors continuation, but confirmation is key: a clean breakout above 0.8200 with follow-through would underpin the bullish scenario, while a failure to hold above support would elevate the risk of a deeper pullback toward the 0.7900 zone.
USDCHF Perhaps the best buy opportunity in the market!The USDCHF pair is staging a strong bullish reversal following last week's 1W candle closing above the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). The reason is that every time in the past 3 years (since November 07 2022) the price broke and closed a week above that level, the pair rallied towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This time is doing so also at the back of a huge 1W RSI Bullish Divergence of Higher Lows against the prices Lower Lows since April 2025.
We estimate that contact with the 1W MA200 can be achieved around $0.8800 and that is our long-term Target for USDCHF.
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USDCHF Just Revealed Its Hand — Don’t Miss This Move!One more interesting pair to look at USDCHF.
PMH and internal liquidity have been taken yesterday. Today USDCHF just did MS on 1h time frame , potentially this is good short opportunity till discount before further move upwards
can open short position with SL at 0.81244
with tp at 0.80245 or 0.7985
SHORT 📉
SL: 0.81244
TP: 0.80245 or 0.7985
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci level?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8125
1st Support: 0.8045
1st Resistance: 0.8170
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF trend reversal, bullish breakout support at 0.8080The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8080 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8080 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8130 – initial resistance
0.8150 – psychological and structural level
0.8170 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8080 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8070 – minor support
0.8055 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.8080. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰
Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it!
📊 The Master Plan (Analysis)
Bias: Bullish ✅
Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation.
Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting.
🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics)
This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision.
🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders):
We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels:
Layer 1: 0.79000
Layer 2: 0.79200
Layer 3: 0.79400
Layer 4: 0.79600
Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management):
A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800.
Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭
🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan):
Our primary target is 0.80400.
Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤
Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets!
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
$EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs.
$EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues.
$GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc.
Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault
This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛
The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling.
Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
USDCHF INVERTED H&S 📉 Technical Overview: Reversal Pattern and Key Level Break
The price action suggests the formation of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. This pattern typically signals the end of a downtrend and the start of an uptrend.
Support/Neckline: The lower horizontal shaded area around the 0.7840 - 0.7900 zone represents a strong support level, which acted as the base for the Left Shoulder (L-Shoulder), Head, and Right Shoulder (R-Shoulder).
Head and Shoulders Confirmation: The pattern appears to be complete with the formation of the three distinct lows. The breakout above the descending dashed neckline confirms the bullish bias generated by the pattern.
Key Resistance Level: The upper horizontal shaded area around 0.8040 - 0.8100 represents a significant resistance zone. Price action has repeatedly stalled and consolidated around this area since July. The recent price movement has broken above this key resistance.
🚀 Projection
The current market dynamic suggests a bullish continuation, following the key level breakout and the H&S pattern completion:
Immediate Action (Possible Pullback): The chart highlights a scenario where the price may execute a "Possible Bounce back on Key Level." This means the price could retest the recently broken resistance area (0.8040 - 0.8100), which would now act as new support. This retest would be a classic bullish confirmation signal.
Longer-Term Projection (Target): Assuming the key level holds as support after a retest, the price is projected to continue its move higher. The target is based on measuring the height of the Head and Shoulders pattern and projecting it upwards from the breakout point. A conservative initial target based on the visual upward projection on the chart appears to be the 0.8250 - 0.8300 area, which aligns with previous price highs from around May/June 2025.
In summary, the technical structure is bullish, projecting further upside after a potential retest of the broken 0.8040 - 0.8100 resistance-turned-support zone.
Bullish continuation setup?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8066
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.80145
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8169
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF H4 | Potential Bullilsh ContinuationUSD/CHF has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.8064, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 0.8024, which is a pullbakc support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.8172, which is a swing high resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot that aligns witht he 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8125
1st Support: 0.8014
1st Resistance: 0.8219
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Forming Bullish BreakoutUSDCHF is showing a strong bullish breakout from a key resistance zone around the 0.8030–0.8050 level, now acting as support. The pair has been gaining upside momentum following a clean break above this structure, indicating a potential continuation toward the 0.8150–0.8200 region. On the 4-hour timeframe, the bullish impulse leg suggests that buyers are firmly in control, and a short-term retest of the breakout area could provide an ideal opportunity for continuation trades in line with the prevailing trend.
From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. dollar is holding firm after the latest FOMC statement, where the Federal Reserve maintained its cautious stance while signaling flexibility toward rate cuts in 2026 if inflation continues easing. The Swiss franc, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has weakened slightly due to improved global risk sentiment and softer-than-expected inflation data from Switzerland. The widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Switzerland continues to support upward pressure on USDCHF.
Technically, as long as the pair sustains above the 0.8030–0.8050 support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. Traders are closely watching for bullish confirmation candles on a retest to reinforce upside potential. A clear continuation could open the path toward 0.8200 and beyond in the coming sessions, aligning with current dollar strength and market momentum across major USD pairs.
USDCHF breakout triggered a Bullish reversal? The USDCHF switched to a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8040 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8040 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8090 – initial resistance
0.8100 – psychological and structural level
0.8134 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8040 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8030 – minor support
0.8000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.8040. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.807.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.797 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Bearish reversal off Fibonacci cofluence?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8159
1st Support: 0.7850
1st Resistance: 0.380
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.798.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD-CHF Supply Level Above! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF Price is approaching a horizontal supply area but hasn’t confirmed a retest yet. Smart money may seek liquidity sweep above before reacting lower toward the target zone. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Break-out or rejection? How to trade each case.The USDCHF pair is about to hit the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Triangle pattern it's been trading in since the August 01 High.
If rejected, as long as the price is closing 1D candles below it, we expect a new Bearish Leg to start and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.79100, like the previous one did.
If however it closes a 1D candle above the Triangle, there are strong probabilities for a new long-term Channel Up pattern to prevail. In that case, we expect the rally that has already started to complete a +3.15% move (similar to the previous Bullish Leg) and target 0.81200.
The fact that the price is so close to this break-out level (the top of the Triangle) favors the use of a tight SL strategy for the short in case of a reversal to long.
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Potential bullish bounce off?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7981
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7928
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance.
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USDCHF Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.7972
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.7958
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.7980
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish momentum building?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback suport and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.7982
1st Support: 0.7932
1st Resistance: 0.8065
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















