Stabilization before a new impulse USDCHF shows signs of strengthening after a period of consolidation. The pair is gradually shifting upward, with impulses becoming more confident, indicating buyer dominance.
Corrective pullbacks remain limited, while upward segments retain stability. This dynamic suggests that the market is building a foundation for continued upward movement.
An additional factor is the demand for the dollar, which supports interest in the asset and increases the likelihood of a new impulsive wave. Thus, USDCHF is in a strengthening phase, where the next steps may define the scale of the bullish trend.
Usdchfidea
Swissie Breakout Retest: Are Buyers Preparing a Major Push?USD/CHF BULLISH SETUP | HMA Pullback + TMA Breakout Retest (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📈 Asset: USD/CHF - "The Swissie"
⏰ Timeframe: 4H & Daily (Swing) / 1H & 15M (Day Entry)
🔄 Style: Bullish Continuation | Pullback & Breakout Retest
⚡ Strategy: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Order Entry
✨ Executive Summary
A technically sound bullish opportunity is forming on USD/CHF! We are identifying a high-probability pullback to a confluence zone, confirmed by the adaptive Hull Moving Average (HMA) and awaiting a decisive breakout & retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA). This plan uses a strategic, risk-managed entry method.
📊 Technical Rationale & Confirmation
✅ Trend Filter: Price above the key Hull Moving Average (HMA) on the 4H chart confirms the primary bullish structure. The current move is treated as a healthy pullback within the uptrend.
🔺 Key Signal: We are watching for a breakout and bullish retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), which often acts as dynamic support in a trend. A successful hold here is our confirmation trigger.
🎯 Precision Entry Zone: The confluence area between 0.8000 - 0.8040 provides a high-value zone for action.
⚔️ Trade Plan: "The Thief" Layered Entry Strategy
This plan uses multiple limit orders to "steal" the best average entry price, scaling into the position.
🟢 ENTRY (Layered Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 0.8040
Layer 2: 0.8020
Layer 3: 0.8000
🔹 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite.
⛔ STOP LOSS (Risk Management):
Initial/Thief SL: 0.7970 (Below the entry zone and key structure).
📢 IMPORTANT NOTE, THIEF CREW: I provide a framework, not financial advice. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital first! 💰
🎯 TAKE PROFIT Target:
Primary Target: 0.8150 (A strong resistance and potential overbought/trap zone).
Tactical Exit: Consider partial profits on the way up. "Escape with profits" when momentum wanes.
📢 REMINDER: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU are responsible for your own exits. Take money at your own risk and comfort level.
🌍 Related Pairs & Key Correlations (Must Watch!)
Monitoring correlated pairs increases context and confidence.
FX:EURUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. If USD/CHF is bullish (USD strong), EURUSD is often bearish. Watch for USD strength confirmation here.
OANDA:EURCHF : POSITIVE Correlation. Often moves in tandem with USD/CHF. A strong Euro can also support CHF pairs. Confirm trend alignment.
FX:GBPUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. Another major USD pair. Broad USD strength (helping USD/CHF) should pressure GBPUSD lower.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): INVERSE Correlation to USD. A falling Gold price ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) typically signals USD strength, which could support this USD/CHF bullish thesis.
🔑 Key Point: For this USD/CHF bullish idea to thrive, we want to see broad USD strength (DXY ⬆️) and/or CHF weakness against other majors. Watch TVC:DXY for the clearest USD direction clue.
📌 Final Notes & Disclaimer
This is a STRATEGY GUIDE, not a signal.
The "Thief" method smooths your entry but requires discipline.
Always use proper risk management (<1-2% per trade).
Like 👍 and Follow if you find this detailed breakdown useful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more content coming!
Comment below! What's your take on this setup? Are you watching the same correlations?
🚀 Trade Safe, Thief Crew! Let's get those pips!
#Forex #USDCHF #Swissie #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #HMA #TMA #Breakout #ForexStrategy #RiskManagement
USDCHF I Retracement and Potential Long from SupportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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USDCHF Idea 23.11For chf, I see two scenarios, one is currently as close as the other, and that is a short position at the level around 0.8, where the daily level is nearby, and the vwap condition can be met even when the price reaches the poc level.the second most distant scenario and at this moment even less probable is a long position at the val level which is at the level of 0.786, whether it will be a beautiful range, we will see
USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend (76% Probability)
A fresh BUY signal has been triggered on USD/CHF following the formation of a Marubozu candlestick pattern on the current timeframe.
Our model assigns a 76% historical backtest probability to this setup, highlighting a statistically strong bullish continuation opportunity.
🔍 Technical Analysis & Price Structure
The recent Marubozu candle signals strong buyer dominance, where price closes near the high with minimal wicks — a hallmark of decisive bullish control.
This pattern suggests:
A resumption of the prevailing uptrend after a brief corrective pullback
Strong participation by buyers at current levels
Rejection of lower liquidity zones
Upside continuation potential toward key resistance levels
Combined with trend-following model confirmation, the setup carries high technical validity.
🌍 Market Context & Macro Overview
Market sentiment around USD/CHF remains constructive:
USD performance is mixed, but the pair benefits from safe-haven dynamics
Swiss Franc strength seems muted as global risk sentiment stabilizes
Interest rate differentials still broadly favor the USD
Market expectations around upcoming US economic data may add bullish pressure
Overall, macro conditions support potential upside continuation.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch
These levels will guide short-term price action:
Immediate Resistance – 0.79866
A short-term ceiling; clearing this opens the path to higher levels.
Immediate Support – 0.79388
A key zone where buyers stepped in to confirm the Marubozu formation.
Major Resistance – 0.80423
Primary bullish target if momentum sustains.
Major Support – 0.78831
Critical structure invalidation for the bullish bias.
🎯 Trade Setup Parameters (0.10 Lot Example)
Parameter Level
Entry 0.79627
Stop Loss (SL) 0.79427
Take Profit (TP) 0.80027
Risk $50
Potential Profit $100
Risk–Reward Ratio 1 : 2
The setup presents a clean, mechanical bullish continuation structure with clearly defined risk boundaries.
🛡 Risk Management Guidance
Maintain professional-grade discipline:
Keep risk per position between 1–2% of your capital
Scale in on retests or partial confirmations if volatility increases
Move to break-even or trailing stop once price clears the first resistance
Avoid entering before high-impact USD or CHF data releases
Lock profits if momentum begins to flatten near major resistance
Marubozu-driven setups often follow through quickly — managing the trade dynamically is essential.
📌 Final Thoughts
USD/CHF is presenting a well-defined bullish continuation opportunity, supported by a high-probability Marubozu signal, trend alignment, and supportive macro conditions.
A break above 0.79866 could accelerate momentum toward 0.80423, while maintaining SL discipline below 0.79427 keeps risk controlled.
This setup fits well for traders looking for a structured, statistically tested trend continuation entry.
Will USD/CHF Sustain Its Bullish Structure with Layered Entries?🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - BULLISH SWING SETUP | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 💰
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW
Pair: USD/CHF (The Swissy)
Trade Type: Swing Trade - Bullish Bias
Strategy: Thief's Multi-Layer Entry Method 🎭
🔥 THE SETUP
💎 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYER METHOD
Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering Style):
Layer 1: 0.79000 🎯
Layer 2: 0.79200 🎯
Layer 3: 0.79400 🎯
📝 Note: You can add MORE layers based on YOUR capital & risk appetite. This averaging-down approach works when trend aligns with your direction!
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Thief's Stop Loss: 0.78600 ⚠️
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY stop loss level. You MUST adjust YOUR stop loss based on:
Your own risk tolerance
Your account size
Your trading strategy
Your psychology
I'm NOT recommending you copy my SL blindly. Trade at YOUR OWN RISK! 🎲
🎯 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: 0.81000 🚀
📍 Why This Level?
Moving Average acting as STRONG resistance zone
Overbought conditions expected
Potential bull trap zone - ESCAPE with profits here!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY take profit level. You can exit earlier/later based on YOUR strategy. Make money, TAKE money at YOUR OWN RISK! 💪
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together):
EUR/CHF - Swiss Franc weakness benefits both
GBP/CHF - CHF weakness across the board
DXY (US Dollar Index) - USD strength drives USD/CHF up
📉 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite):
EUR/USD - When USD strengthens, EUR/USD typically falls
XAU/USD (Gold) - Gold often drops when USD gains
CHF/JPY - Inverse CHF movement
🎯 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS:
DXY above 106.00 = Bullish fuel for USD/CHF 🔥
Swiss National Bank dovish = CHF weakness expected
US Treasury Yields rising = USD strength catalyst
Risk-ON sentiment = CHF (safe haven) typically weakens
📊 KEY TECHNICAL FACTORS
✅ Bullish Catalysts:
Multiple support levels holding
USD showing relative strength
CHF facing headwinds from SNB policy
Layer entry allows better average price
⚠️ Watch Out For:
Strong resistance at 0.81000 zone
Potential overbought conditions near target
Risk-OFF events trigger CHF safe-haven demand
SNB surprise interventions
💡 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS
"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
This is a SWING trade - not a sprint! 🏃♂️
Layer your entries, manage your risk, and let the trade breathe.
Remember:
✅ YOUR money = YOUR rules
✅ YOUR risk = YOUR decision
✅ YOUR profit = YOUR timing
Trade smart, not hard! See you at 0.81000! 🎯💰
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TheSwissy #LayeringStrategy #RiskManagement #TradingView #ForexIdeas #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 📈💪🔥
Drop a 🚀 if you're watching this pair! Drop a 💬 with your TP level!
Is This an Early Reversal Signal on USD/CHF This Week?
(The full story: buyer strength forming above the Weekly Low)
NFA – Educational purpose only
USD/CHF has been trading inside a weekly range, and price has just reacted sharply from the Weekly Low at 0.78290 — an area where buyers often step in.
This reaction has created the first meaningful signs of a potential shift inside the broader range.
Let’s walk through the full structure.
1️⃣ Weekly Context — Range + Strong Reaction at 0.78290
The Weekly timeframe is still inside a large consolidation zone, with key boundaries:
• Weekly Low: 0.78290
• Weekly Range Resistance / LH: 0.81714
Price tapped the Weekly Low and bounced immediately — a typical behavior when buyers defend the bottom of a range.
2️⃣ Daily: First Structural Sign of Strength
Following the bounce from 0.78290, the Daily chart printed:
• A Higher Low (HL)
• A Higher High (HH)
This doesn’t confirm a full trend reversal yet,
but it does show that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are gaining control inside the weekly range.
This is often how early shifts begin.
3️⃣ 1H: Potential Origin of the Next Daily HL
The 1H chart shows the clearest short-term shift:
• A clean bullish leg
• A MSS to the upside
• A fresh FVG created during expansion
• Buyers defending demand on every dip
This type of 1H structure is exactly what often forms the next Daily HL during the early stages of a larger shift.
If buyers continue holding this zone through the week,
the Daily may confirm another wave upward.
4️⃣ Key Zones to Watch This Week
If the bullish structure continues:
• 0.81244 → next Daily target
• 0.81714 → Weekly Range Resistance
These are the natural magnet zones if buyers maintain control.
⸻
5️⃣ The Bigger Story
We are not looking at a confirmed macro reversal yet.
But we are seeing:
• Weekly = range
• Daily = HL → HH above the Weekly Low
• 1H = potential foundation of the next Daily HL
This is how early reversals typically begin inside higher-timeframe ranges.
A full reversal requires a Weekly close above 0.81714 —
but for now, internal structure is clearly shifting upward.
⸻
⭐ Educational Purpose Only
This idea is shared to provide clarity and to show my personal vision of the current structure.
If this analysis helped you or aligned with your view, I’d appreciate your support:
👍 Like
💬 Comment
⭐ Follow
🔄 Share
Your engagement motivates me to keep providing more structured and educational analysis to the community.
USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening – Will There Be a Wave 5 or a Crash to 0.75?
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bearish scenario (main): Price holds below ~0.8080 → wave 5 develops → possible decline to ~0.7700–0.7500.
Consolidation: Price may remain stuck in the ~0.7900–0.8080 range, awaiting further signal.
Alternative bullish scenario: Breakout and fixation above ~0.8080 → corrective rise to ~0.8350 or higher.
✅ Conclusion
USD/CHF on the weekly timeframe looks aggressively bearish, but not without the possibility of an unexpected rebound. The key to further direction is a reaction to the ~0.8080 and ~0.7900 levels.
If the price consolidates below 0.8080, there's a high probability of a new downward wave.
A breakout above this level could provide a chance for a correction or reversal.
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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USDCHF - SWING TRADETeam, we been doing very well on USDCHF the last 3-6 months on swing trade
but when you buy, make sure add slowly
LAST HIGH was 0.8117
Our entry at 0.7965, add more at 0.7930-15
if you want to have STOP LOSS - safe at 0.7830-50
Target 1 at 0.8000-0.8015
Target 2 at 0.8045-78
LETS GO
USD/CHF Bulls Charge Forward – Key Breakout Setup Unfolding🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - FOREX PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP
Bullish Momentum | Day Trade | Moving Average Breakout Confirmed
📊 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW
🔔 Asset: USD/CHF (The Swiss Franc Pair)
📈 Bias: BULLISH ✅
⏱️ Timeframe: Intraday (Day Trade)
🎲 Strategy: Moving Average Breakout + Layered Entry System
💡 ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
The USD/CHF has successfully confirmed a bullish breakout above key Moving Average resistance levels. Price structure indicates a strong push higher with multiple confluence zones supporting upward momentum. The setup respects recent market structure and provides a clean risk-to-reward opportunity for tactical intraday traders.
🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY - "The Thief Method" 💼
Layered Buy Limit Entry System (Multiple Order Placement):
🔹 Layer 1: Buy Limit @ 0.80000
🔹 Layer 2: Buy Limit @ 0.80250
🔹 Layer 3: Buy Limit @ 0.80500
🔹 Layer 4: Buy Limit @ 0.80750
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale into positions rather than going all-in.
🛑 STOP LOSS - "The Thief's Insurance" 🎯
Stop Loss Level: 0.79500
Reasoning: Previous market structure | Nearest Lower Low | Candle Wick consideration
This SL respects mechanical support and provides defined risk parameters.
🚨 TAKE PROFIT - "Police Barricade Zone" 💰
Target Level: 0.81900
Resistance Indicators:
Strong Historical Resistance 📍
Overbought Zone Alert ⚠️
Profit Taking Trap Zone 🎣
⚡ Recommendation: Consider taking partial profits at 0.81900 to secure gains before potential pullback.
📌 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 🌍
Correlated Pairs & Key Levels:
💵
EURCHF
- Watch for inverse correlation; if USD/CHF rallies, EUR/CHF often consolidates. Key level: 0.94500
📊
GBPCHF
- Similar dynamics; acts as confirmation. Watch resistance near 1.08200
🎲
USDJPY
- Risk sentiment indicator; strong risk-on when USD/CHF pushes higher. Level: 155.500
🔗 CHF Crosses Generally - When USD strengthens, all CHF pairs weaken; observe overall CHF weakness
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
✅ Moving Average Alignment - Price above key MA(s) = bullish continuation signal
✅ Breakout Confirmation - Clear resistance break with momentum
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable setup with defined entry zones
✅ Layering Advantage - Multiple entries reduce average cost and emotional decision-making
✅ Structure Respect - SL places at logical market structure levels
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS & NOTES
🎪 "Thief Style" Trading Strategy - This is a tactical, fun-oriented approach to forex trading. NOT financial advice.
Risk Warning:
🔴 Past performance ≠ Future results
🔴 Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss
🔴 Position sizing is YOUR responsibility
🔴 Stop losses and take profits are RECOMMENDATIONS, not guarantees
🔴 Only risk capital you can afford to lose
Your Trading Journey:
YOUR entry decisions = YOUR profits/losses
YOUR stop loss placement = YOUR risk management
YOUR take profit timing = YOUR discipline
Manage your own risk. Make your own choices. Own your results.
🌐 CORRELATION & WATCHLIST
Monitor these instruments for USD/CHF confirmation:
🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Strength confirmation
🇨🇭 SNB Policy - Swiss National Bank decisions = CHF mover
📊 Interest Rate Differentials - USD vs CHF rate spreads
🎯 Risk Sentiment - Risk-on favors USD, risk-off favors CHF
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #MovingAverage #Breakout #ThiefStyle #SwissFranc #TradingCommunity #FXTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan #ProfitPathway
USDCHF Just Revealed Its Hand — Don’t Miss This Move!One more interesting pair to look at USDCHF.
PMH and internal liquidity have been taken yesterday. Today USDCHF just did MS on 1h time frame , potentially this is good short opportunity till discount before further move upwards
can open short position with SL at 0.81244
with tp at 0.80245 or 0.7985
SHORT 📉
SL: 0.81244
TP: 0.80245 or 0.7985
Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰
Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it!
📊 The Master Plan (Analysis)
Bias: Bullish ✅
Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation.
Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting.
🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics)
This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision.
🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders):
We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels:
Layer 1: 0.79000
Layer 2: 0.79200
Layer 3: 0.79400
Layer 4: 0.79600
Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management):
A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800.
Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭
🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan):
Our primary target is 0.80400.
Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤
Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets!
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
$EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs.
$EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues.
$GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc.
Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault
This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛
The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling.
Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
USDCHF is ready to reverse to the downside! SELL NOWEURUSD has been stuck in between 2 support and resistance trendlines but has now broken a powerful support zone today. The price is now below the recent support zone which means it is very likely to head to the next major support level (the green trend line below) SELL now!
USD/CHF Very Near Support , Don`t Miss Long Setup !Here is my 4H USD/CHF chart, this will be my Second time to enter from this area of support. If u take a closer look u will see how strong and stubborn this support area and it pushes the price very high Last time it comes near it, so I will enter a buy trade once the price is near it and it gives me a bullish price action. I will be targeting from 100 to 150 pips in this trade.
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Support Area .
2- Good Rejection Last Time .
3 - Oversold.
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
Uptrend line breakout.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
Setupsfx_ | USDCHF: A Big Major Swing Sell In Making 760+ Pips The USDCHF pair has dropped significantly since our last update. We anticipate another drop before price may reverse. DXY is also dropping and may continue to decline. There’s a major swing target that will take time to complete successfully. Use risk management according to your own risk tolerance.
Thank you for your continued support!
Team Setupsfx_






















