Usdchflong
USDCHF - Anticipating the Price to Bounce off Weekly SupportThe image provided displays a technical analysis chart for the USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc) currency pair on a weekly timeframe, showing price consolidation within a triangle pattern.
Chart Analysis and Trading Strategy 📊
The chart indicates the following key technical elements and a potential trading bias:
Currency Pair: USD/CHF. 💴
Pattern: The price action is consolidating within a "Triangle" or symmetrical triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines (lower highs and higher lows). This generally indicates a period of market indecision before a potential breakout.
Key Levels: 🎯
Weekly Resistance: A resistance zone is marked near the upper boundary of the triangle. A breakout above the resistance area (around 0.8145 according to recent analysis) would confirm a strong upward movement.
Weekly Support: A support area is indicated near the lower boundary of the triangle (around 0.7865). A break below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest further decline.
Indicated Bias: The annotation "LOOK FOR LONGS" suggests a bullish bias, anticipating that the price will bounce off the lower trendline/support and eventually break out to the upside. Other recent analyses on the pair also suggest a potential for recovery after testing key support levels. ⬆️
#USDCHF BullishI believe we are bullish on USDCHF. What I believe is going to happen right now is liquidate my Breakout Box to the sell side, or possibly just retest the equilibrium, and go bullish. As of now, we need to wait for more candles to be revealed to confirm where price really wants to move, and for that to happen we need to wait for the London session. We need to pay attention to the 4hour and 1hour timeframe when they are closing and how they are close/ forming. Knowing what the big timeframes are doing and OANDA:USDCHF let it all be in sync with the 15minute timeframe.
USDCHF I Technical Analysis and Long Opportunity ExplainedWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
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Is USD/CHF Preparing for a Momentum Shift Higher?🔥 USDD/CHF – “THE SWISSY” | Swing + DAY Trade Guide (Bullish Plan) 🇺🇸💵🇨🇭💎
📌 Current Context (London Time):
USD/CHF is hovering around key zones near 0.790-0.795 — showing volatility influenced by strong CHF demand and mixed USD data.
🧠 TRADE PLAN – THIEF LAYER STRATEGY
🎯 Bias: Bullish reversal play (swing & intraday)
Entry Strategy:
We’re stacking buy limits in thief layer style (take multiple fills instead of one entry):
🎯 Buy Limit Layers:
⚡ 0.79100
⚡ 0.79200
⚡ 0.79400
(You can add more layers based on your risk appetite)
📉 SL (Thief Style):
🚫 Stop Loss @ 0.79000 – designed as your last line of defense
📈 Target Zone (Take Profit):
🚀 Primary Target @ 0.79900
Price squeeze up to this level where resistance from moving averages + overbought pressure likely kicks in.
⚠️ Risk Advisory:
📌 All risk decisions are yours — trade your plan, not my words. Thief OG’s take profits and losses at their own risk.
🔗 PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation & Confirmation)
📌 EUR/USD – Strong inverse correlation with USD/CHF; when EUR/USD falls, USD/CHF often rises.
📌 USD/JPY – USD strength gauge; strong USD often lifts USD/CHF too.
📌 XAU/USD (Gold) – Safe-haven proxy; gold up can signal CHF strength (USD/CHF down).
📌 EUR/CHF – CHF strength context; strong euro may push CHF pairs differently.
📊 TECHNICAL EDGE
🟦 Key SMA/EMA resistance around our target zone
🟩 Support cluster aligning with buy layers
🟨 RSI/OB levels suggest bounce potential
🧨 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (London Time)
🟢 Swiss Franc (CHF) Drivers:
• SNB continues steady policy stance → CHF stays strong as safe haven.
• Lower inflation / strong risk sentiment drives CHF strength.
• Any Swiss GDP/ZEW survey or SNB commentary can spike moves.
🔵 US Dollar (USD) Drivers:
• Fed policy outlook + US GDP & unemployment data shape USD strength.
• USD weakening as Fed easing bets grow puts downward pressure on USD/CHF.
📅 Watch Key Events (London Time):
🕐 US GDP releases
🕐 Fed meeting minutes / speeches
🕐 Swiss ZEW expectations survey
🕐 CPI / inflation prints from USD & CHF regions
💡 Thief Vibe Final Words
🚨 This setup is built for smart layering, patient fills and disciplined exit runs.
📈 Stack entries, defend your risk, and exploit the natural dynamics of USD ↔ CHF flows.
USDCHF: Wave structure at a trend forkUSDCHF: Wave structure at a trend fork
USDCHF Wave Overview (D1 and H4)
As a trader who has been practicing wave analysis for over ten years, I note that the USDCHF pair is currently demonstrating the completion of an extended corrective formation and is poised to form a new impulse.
Chart D1: The global picture indicates that the market is ending a sideways phase. The wave structure appears to be the end of a corrective sequence, which serves as the foundation for the next trend movement.
Chart H4: Local dynamics confirm the formation of key entry points. Here, the first signs of an impulse are visible, which could mark the beginning of a larger wave.
Main Scenario
After the completion of the corrective phase, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. This movement will be accompanied by increased seller activity and a gradual shift in priority to the downside.
Alternative Scenario
If the price holds above recent highs and forms a stable upward impulse structure, the priority will shift to continued growth. In this case, the correction will be considered incomplete, and the pair may experience a further rebound.
Trading Idea
Conservative approach: wait for confirmation of a breakout of key levels and enter with the trend.
Aggressive approach: use local impulses on H4 for earlier entries, but with tight stops.
In both cases, it is important to maintain strict risk management and adjust the plan as new impulses emerge.
Results
USDCHF is at the transition point between a correction and a new impulse. The wave structure on D1 and H4 provides clear guidelines for trading: watch for confirmation of the scenario and act with discipline.
USDCHF: Bullish Push to 0.805?FX:USDCHF is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price forming higher lows along an upward trendline after bouncing from support, converging with a downward trendline touch that could ignite upside momentum if buyers break through amid recent consolidation. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity post-downtrend, targeting higher resistance levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3.🔥
Entry between 0.7900–0.79155 for a long position. Target at 0.80500 . Set a stop loss at a close below 0.78745 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum near the trendlines.🌟
Fundamentally , USDCHF is trading around 0.796 in mid-December 2025, with recent central bank decisions shaping the pair's direction. For the US Dollar, the FOMC cut rates by 25 bps on December 10 to 3.50%-3.75% in a 9-3 split vote, with hawkish guidance signaling fewer future cuts amid labor resilience and inflation concerns. For the Swiss Franc, the SNB held its policy rate at 0% on December 11 despite low inflation , with forecasts indicating no changes through 2026 and a low bar for negative rates, potentially weakening CHF further. These outcomes could favor USD strength against CHF if Fed's hawkishness persists. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.7900 – 0.79155
🎯 Target:
• 0.80500
❌ Stop Loss:
• Close below 0.78745
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3
💡 Your view?
Will USDCHF break above the trendline and run toward 0.8050 — or does resistance hold for another rejection? 👇
Will USD/CHF Sustain Its Bullish Structure with Layered Entries?🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - BULLISH SWING SETUP | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 💰
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW
Pair: USD/CHF (The Swissy)
Trade Type: Swing Trade - Bullish Bias
Strategy: Thief's Multi-Layer Entry Method 🎭
🔥 THE SETUP
💎 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYER METHOD
Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering Style):
Layer 1: 0.79000 🎯
Layer 2: 0.79200 🎯
Layer 3: 0.79400 🎯
📝 Note: You can add MORE layers based on YOUR capital & risk appetite. This averaging-down approach works when trend aligns with your direction!
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Thief's Stop Loss: 0.78600 ⚠️
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY stop loss level. You MUST adjust YOUR stop loss based on:
Your own risk tolerance
Your account size
Your trading strategy
Your psychology
I'm NOT recommending you copy my SL blindly. Trade at YOUR OWN RISK! 🎲
🎯 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: 0.81000 🚀
📍 Why This Level?
Moving Average acting as STRONG resistance zone
Overbought conditions expected
Potential bull trap zone - ESCAPE with profits here!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY take profit level. You can exit earlier/later based on YOUR strategy. Make money, TAKE money at YOUR OWN RISK! 💪
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together):
EUR/CHF - Swiss Franc weakness benefits both
GBP/CHF - CHF weakness across the board
DXY (US Dollar Index) - USD strength drives USD/CHF up
📉 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite):
EUR/USD - When USD strengthens, EUR/USD typically falls
XAU/USD (Gold) - Gold often drops when USD gains
CHF/JPY - Inverse CHF movement
🎯 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS:
DXY above 106.00 = Bullish fuel for USD/CHF 🔥
Swiss National Bank dovish = CHF weakness expected
US Treasury Yields rising = USD strength catalyst
Risk-ON sentiment = CHF (safe haven) typically weakens
📊 KEY TECHNICAL FACTORS
✅ Bullish Catalysts:
Multiple support levels holding
USD showing relative strength
CHF facing headwinds from SNB policy
Layer entry allows better average price
⚠️ Watch Out For:
Strong resistance at 0.81000 zone
Potential overbought conditions near target
Risk-OFF events trigger CHF safe-haven demand
SNB surprise interventions
💡 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS
"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
This is a SWING trade - not a sprint! 🏃♂️
Layer your entries, manage your risk, and let the trade breathe.
Remember:
✅ YOUR money = YOUR rules
✅ YOUR risk = YOUR decision
✅ YOUR profit = YOUR timing
Trade smart, not hard! See you at 0.81000! 🎯💰
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TheSwissy #LayeringStrategy #RiskManagement #TradingView #ForexIdeas #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 📈💪🔥
Drop a 🚀 if you're watching this pair! Drop a 💬 with your TP level!
USDCHF - MASTERING THE TRADETeam, it’s been about 7–8 months since we started trading USDCHF together. The first few months were a bit tough — I got stuck at some points — but I kept pushing, spent more time learning about risk, and worked hard to master it.
I’ve mainly been focusing on fundamentals:
Digging into the US economy and the Treasury market
Researching macro trends, especially how overseas demand for the USD plays out
This week, with the US rate cut on the horizon, I called for us to exit USDCHF two days ago — and that decision paid off. We’ve traded really well over these past months, and I’m proud of how far we’ve come.
Here’s the plan moving forward:
Current price: 0.7999 → adding a small portion
More entries planned at 0.7960 and 0.7920
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 0.8045–0.8065
🎯 Target 2: 0.8078–0.8096
🎯 Target 3: 0.8115–0.8130
We’ve built this strategy step by step, and now it’s time to execute with confidence. Let’s keep the momentum going — LETS GO! 🚀
Stabilization before a new impulse USDCHF shows signs of strengthening after a period of consolidation. The pair is gradually shifting upward, with impulses becoming more confident, indicating buyer dominance.
Corrective pullbacks remain limited, while upward segments retain stability. This dynamic suggests that the market is building a foundation for continued upward movement.
An additional factor is the demand for the dollar, which supports interest in the asset and increases the likelihood of a new impulsive wave. Thus, USDCHF is in a strengthening phase, where the next steps may define the scale of the bullish trend.
Swissie Breakout Retest: Are Buyers Preparing a Major Push?USD/CHF BULLISH SETUP | HMA Pullback + TMA Breakout Retest (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📈 Asset: USD/CHF - "The Swissie"
⏰ Timeframe: 4H & Daily (Swing) / 1H & 15M (Day Entry)
🔄 Style: Bullish Continuation | Pullback & Breakout Retest
⚡ Strategy: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Order Entry
✨ Executive Summary
A technically sound bullish opportunity is forming on USD/CHF! We are identifying a high-probability pullback to a confluence zone, confirmed by the adaptive Hull Moving Average (HMA) and awaiting a decisive breakout & retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA). This plan uses a strategic, risk-managed entry method.
📊 Technical Rationale & Confirmation
✅ Trend Filter: Price above the key Hull Moving Average (HMA) on the 4H chart confirms the primary bullish structure. The current move is treated as a healthy pullback within the uptrend.
🔺 Key Signal: We are watching for a breakout and bullish retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), which often acts as dynamic support in a trend. A successful hold here is our confirmation trigger.
🎯 Precision Entry Zone: The confluence area between 0.8000 - 0.8040 provides a high-value zone for action.
⚔️ Trade Plan: "The Thief" Layered Entry Strategy
This plan uses multiple limit orders to "steal" the best average entry price, scaling into the position.
🟢 ENTRY (Layered Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 0.8040
Layer 2: 0.8020
Layer 3: 0.8000
🔹 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite.
⛔ STOP LOSS (Risk Management):
Initial/Thief SL: 0.7970 (Below the entry zone and key structure).
📢 IMPORTANT NOTE, THIEF CREW: I provide a framework, not financial advice. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital first! 💰
🎯 TAKE PROFIT Target:
Primary Target: 0.8150 (A strong resistance and potential overbought/trap zone).
Tactical Exit: Consider partial profits on the way up. "Escape with profits" when momentum wanes.
📢 REMINDER: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU are responsible for your own exits. Take money at your own risk and comfort level.
🌍 Related Pairs & Key Correlations (Must Watch!)
Monitoring correlated pairs increases context and confidence.
FX:EURUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. If USD/CHF is bullish (USD strong), EURUSD is often bearish. Watch for USD strength confirmation here.
OANDA:EURCHF : POSITIVE Correlation. Often moves in tandem with USD/CHF. A strong Euro can also support CHF pairs. Confirm trend alignment.
FX:GBPUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. Another major USD pair. Broad USD strength (helping USD/CHF) should pressure GBPUSD lower.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): INVERSE Correlation to USD. A falling Gold price ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) typically signals USD strength, which could support this USD/CHF bullish thesis.
🔑 Key Point: For this USD/CHF bullish idea to thrive, we want to see broad USD strength (DXY ⬆️) and/or CHF weakness against other majors. Watch TVC:DXY for the clearest USD direction clue.
📌 Final Notes & Disclaimer
This is a STRATEGY GUIDE, not a signal.
The "Thief" method smooths your entry but requires discipline.
Always use proper risk management (<1-2% per trade).
Like 👍 and Follow if you find this detailed breakdown useful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more content coming!
Comment below! What's your take on this setup? Are you watching the same correlations?
🚀 Trade Safe, Thief Crew! Let's get those pips!
#Forex #USDCHF #Swissie #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #HMA #TMA #Breakout #ForexStrategy #RiskManagement
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently within the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.79918
- Strong overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 0.79423
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.80445
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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USD/CHF: Looking for BuyUSD/CHF: Looking for Buy Entry Points from Institutional Levels
Current Situation:
On the USD/CHF chart, price has reached a level where it encountered strong resistance to downward movement. The nature of this halt indicates the presence of a limit player — such reversals are rarely random coincidences.
Primary Scenario:
A price reversal upward is expected from current levels with the formation of buying positions. Potential reversal points are marked on the chart — these are high volume zones where large participants previously showed activity.
Trading Plan:
Consider opportunities to open long positions from the high volume zones displayed on the chart
Entry points form in areas where institutional activity was previously recorded
USDCHF: Bullish CRT CycleThe Narrative: The market has completed the accumulation phase at the lows. We have a confirmed CRTL + TS (Turtle Soup) at 0.80417. This sweep of the lows indicates that sell-side liquidity has been harvested, and the "fuel" for the move up has been gathered.
The Technical Setup:
1. The Trap (Turtle Soup): Price stabbed into the Range Low (CRTL) and reversed. In CRT, this "Turtle Soup" creates a false breakdown to trap sellers. "Turtle soup = explosive moves!".
2. The Entry Zone (FVG): After the initial bounce, price created a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). I am waiting for a retracement into this zone (marked in grey). This allows us to enter at a "Discount" price alongside smart money before the expansion continues.
3. The Draw on Liquidity (Target): The market naturally seeks to rotate from range low to range high. Our target is the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at the top of the structure.
Execution Plan:
WAIT: For price to dip into the FVG (approx. 0.80600).
TRIGGER: Watch for a Bullish Model #1 confirmation inside the FVG.
TARGET: The unmitigated highs at CRTH.
USDCHF Idea 23.11For chf, I see two scenarios, one is currently as close as the other, and that is a short position at the level around 0.8, where the daily level is nearby, and the vwap condition can be met even when the price reaches the poc level.the second most distant scenario and at this moment even less probable is a long position at the val level which is at the level of 0.786, whether it will be a beautiful range, we will see
USD/CHF: Ready for Expansion after Liquidity TrapTimeframe: 4H | Model: CRT Model #1 Bullish Setup
The USD/CHF pair is showing a high-conviction setup for a continuation of the bullish move. Price has executed a textbook deep pullback, trapping weak sellers and finding support at a critical structural zone.
Here’s the step-by-step breakdown based on the CRT framework:
Liquidity Sweep: Price moved down and tagged the prior swing low at CRTL + TS (Candle Range Theory Low + Turtle Soup). This deep sweep cleared the stops of early buyers, completing the Manipulation (Candle 2) phase.
FVG Demand Zone: The true foundation of this reversal is the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price perfectly traded back into this imbalance zone, which now acts as a high-value demand region for smart money to accumulate long positions.
The Trigger (Model #1): We are waiting for the definitive confirmation of the reversal—the Bullish Model #1 entry. This requires a strong candle close above the manipulation low, signaling that buyers have taken back control and are ready to initiate the Distribution (Candle 3) phase.
Targets:
Primary Objective (CRTH): The target is the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 0.80615. This move aims to fill the price void and run the stops above the previous high.
Expansion: Given the clear FVG rejection, a clean break and hold above the CRTH could lead to substantial further upside expansion.
Discipline: This setup requires patience. Do not enter until the Model #1 candle closes with conviction, confirming the rejection of the FVG. Waiting for the close is the difference between falling for the trap and trading with the smart money!
Trade the Bounce. Follow the FVG.
Greetings,
MrYounity






















