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Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰 Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it! 📊 The Master Plan (Analysis) Bias: Bullish ✅ Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation. Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting. 🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics) This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision. 🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders): We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels: Layer 1: 0.79000 Layer 2: 0.79200 Layer 3: 0.79400 Layer 4: 0.79600 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management): A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800. Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭 🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan): Our primary target is 0.80400. Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤 Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets! 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch $EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs. $EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues. $GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc. Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. ✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛ The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling. Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
by The-Thief
USDCHF Forming Bullish ReversalUSDCHF on the 4H timeframe is currently showing signs of a bullish reversal after forming a short-term corrective flag pattern. Price action indicates that buyers have stepped in around the 0.7900 region, creating a strong base of support. The recent breakout from the minor descending channel signals renewed bullish momentum, with the pair likely to target the 0.8000 psychological level in the coming sessions if momentum sustains. From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is gaining strength due to improving US economic data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials hinting that higher rates may persist for longer. On the other hand, the Swiss franc remains slightly weaker amid reduced demand for safe-haven assets as global risk sentiment stabilizes. This fundamental divergence favors continued upside potential for USDCHF. If price successfully retests the breakout area and holds above 0.7930, buyers could push higher toward 0.8020 and 0.8070 next. Maintaining structure above the recent swing low would confirm a bullish continuation, aligning with the current market bias and presenting a profitable opportunity for traders positioning with the broader USD strength.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USD/CHF Very Near Support , Don`t Miss Long Setup !Here is my 4H USD/CHF chart, this will be my Second time to enter from this area of support. If u take a closer look u will see how strong and stubborn this support area and it pushes the price very high Last time it comes near it, so I will enter a buy trade once the price is near it and it gives me a bullish price action. I will be targeting from 100 to 150 pips in this trade. Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Support Area . 2- Good Rejection Last Time . 3 - Oversold.
Long
by FX_Elite_Club
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF: Bullish Move to 0.81180?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:USDCHF is hinting at a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone between 0.79940-0.80100 near a support level and upward trendline. First target at 0.80650 marks initial resistance, while the second at 0.81180 offers a deeper upside potential. Set a stop loss on a close below 0.79800 to manage risk effectively. A break above 0.80100 with strong volume could confirm this move, driven by USD strength and CHF weakness. Watch interest rate trends! 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: 0.79940 – 0.80100 (support + trendline zone) ❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below 0.79800 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.80650 (initial resistance) TP2: 0.81180 (extended bullish target) What’s your take on this? Share below! 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
5
USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend Price was in a strong uptrend first. Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend. 2. Breakout Zone Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected. The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area. 3. Entry Point Entry point is around 0.79798. This is where a buy trade is planned. 4. Stop Loss (Risk Control) Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619. If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses. 5. Target Point (Take Profit) Target is around 0.80334. This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy). 6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio. Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens. --- 📊 Summary Trade Type: Buy Setup Entry: ~0.79798 Stop Loss: Below 0.79619 Take Profit: ~0.80334 Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USD/CHF Bullish Break-and-Retest Setup – 2H Timeframe1. Overall Trend Price had been in a downtrend but recently reversed into a rising channel (highlighted in pink). The price broke below the lower trendline of the channel, indicating a potential pullback or temporary correction. 2. Chart Pattern & Idea After breaking the ascending channel, the chart suggests a potential bullish continuation (a breakout-retest strategy). The drawn pattern shows a pullback to a support zone (highlighted in blue box) where price may bounce. 🟦 Trade Setup Component Value Comment Entry Point 0.79596 Current price, just above support zone Stop Loss 0.79180 Below key support area Target Point 0.80550 At prior resistance / measured move ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio Risk: ~41 pips (0.79596 - 0.79180) Reward: ~95 pips (0.80550 - 0.79596) R:R Ratio: ~2.3:1 — favorable 📌 Key Technical Observations Support Zone (Buy Area) Between 0.79209 and 0.79550, this is a demand zone where price is expected to bounce. Marked by a consolidation area and minor structure support. Target Area 0.80550 aligns with a previous high and resistance level. Also matches a measured move of the previous channel height. Bullish Confirmation Price might need to form a higher low or bullish candlestick pattern inside the support zone to validate entry. ⚠️ Potential Risks If price breaks and closes below 0.79180, it invalidates the bullish thesis. Market may retest lower support levels or re-enter the downtrend. USD/CHF is also impacted by USD strength/weakness and Swiss Franc safe-haven flows (watch news). 📈 Summary: Trade Plan Bias: Bullish Entry: Buy around 0.79596 (or on bullish confirmation within support zone) Stop Loss: 0.79180 Take Profit: 0.80550 Risk-Reward: Good (2.3:1)
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF - The LONG Shift At Extreme & Confluence Points North🔱 Could this is the turn for USDCHF? 🔱 🏦 Some condensed economic fundamental points first 🏦 📈 Rate Differential: Fed ≈ 5.25-5.50 % vs SNB 0 % → strong yield advantage for USD. Growth Gap: U.S. GDP resilient; Swiss economy soft from tariffs and weak demand → CHF under pressure. 💰 Carry & Flows: Higher U.S. yields attract capital into USD assets. ⚠️ Risk Sentiment: If markets stay risk-on, CHF’s safe-haven bid fades. Sudden risk-off shocks, faster Fed cuts, or unexpected SNB tightening. 🌍 Bias: USD supported by yield spread and stronger growth unless risk-off returns. 🔱 What The Chart Is Telling Us 🔱 he white pitchfork seems to be catching price rather loosely around the centerline — and only now do we see why. It’s likely due to a shift in play. See the orange parallel? It’s shifted upward if we use the overshoot above the centerline as the reference for the parallel lines. The red, downward-sloping pitchfork gives us a strong confluence point where price stops falling. It’s also sitting at the L-MLH, the extreme relative to the red fork. HAGOPIAN? Yes! If we start to trade away from the red centerline, then I also expect a Hagopian is cooking and we go up farther than from where we came! I’ll be watching it on lower timeframes, looking to catch the bus north. If this setup plays out, it could be a significant move, so the stop-loss needs to be well-placed. Just follow me and maybe we can travel together 🚌💨
Long
by HowToChart
USDCHF BUY OPPORTUNITYHello traders I wish you a great WEDNESDAY, Here's my point of view about OANDA:USDCHF TECHNICALLY: Last week we had a Massive momentum shift due to US DOLLAR BULLISH momentum. The JULY monthly time frame low acted as support. Price re-integrated the area as traders Digest first FED first rate cut. Price re integrated as form of pullback and we might see more upside momentum as long as we stay above the 0.79000. FUNDAMENTALLY change in the US DOLLAR SENTIMENT can invalidate the setup! However, if we stick with the same tone, then US will likely continue bullish! You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
Long
by AIRFOREXONE_
USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 The pair is coiling around 0.7910, right under a cluster of juicy 1H Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and stacked resistance. Momentum is building—here’s the play: 🟢 Bullish Path Strong push above 0.7926 → 0.7933 → 0.7944 could ignite a run toward 0.7948/0.7950+. A clean breakout here would signal fresh upside fuel. 🔴 Bearish Trap Sharp rejection from the 1H resistance zone? Watch for a slide back to 0.7900 and the liquidity pocket near 0.7888. 🎯 Key Focus Lower-timeframe confirmation around that first resistance band. Breakers & order-block reactions will be the tell for the next directional wave. ⚡️ Patience pays—wait for the candle close and let the market show its hand. What’s your bias: Breakout 🚀 or Fade 🔻? Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀 🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault, This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time. 📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨) Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱: 0.79000 0.79300 0.79500 0.79700 0.80000 (add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯) 💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000 Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500 ⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style. 🎯 Target Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000 Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨) 🔔 Important Reminder ✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it. ✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style. ✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint. 💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵. Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside. Current Bias Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm. Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF. Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive. Macro Context Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside. Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued. Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key. Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum. SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910 Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USDCHF daily chart ,the corridor paysThe USDCHF daily chart looks like a corridor battle the price continues to move between support at 0.7910 and resistance at 0.8170 and as long as these levels hold the swing trading strategy remains valid buying near support and taking profits near resistance works textbook style if resistance at 0.8170 is broken the next logical target shifts to the 0.8440 zone where significant volume is concentrated technically the structure still points to a sideways market with possible false breakouts fundamentally the pair remains driven by the US dollar index and Fed policy while the franc traditionally acts as a safe haven any shifts in Fed rhetoric or SNB actions could trigger a breakout from the range in conclusion as long as USDCHF trades in this corridor it is a convenient instrument for range trading and breakouts should only be traded with volume confirmation and price consolidation above key levels
Long
by InvestWorld_777