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Usdchfprediction

USD/CHF Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:USDCHF USD/CHF remains under downside pressure after a sharp selloff from the recent highs. Price rebounded briefly from the 0.7888–0.7880 support zone but failed to sustain upside momentum, and is now stalling beneath the 0.7925–0.7936 resistance zone. The broader structure still points to a bearish continuation bias. The recent recovery appears corrective in nature, forming a lower high beneath resistance. As long as price remains capped below the resistance zone, the pair is vulnerable to renewed selling pressure toward the lower support area. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) Entry Zone: 0.7925 – 0.7936 Stop Loss: 0.7940 Take Profit 1: 0.7888 Take Profit 2: 0.7880 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.41 📌 Invalidation A sustained break and close above 0.7940 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a deeper upside recovery. 🌐 Macro Background The short-term macro backdrop remains unfavourable for USD/CHF. The US Dollar continues to weaken amid uncertainty surrounding President Trump’s upcoming announcement of the next Federal Reserve Chairman, raising concerns that future Fed leadership may lean toward a more politically accommodative policy stance. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has found relative support after Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel warned that negative inflation prints are possible this year, while downplaying the likelihood of a return to negative interest rates. This has reinforced CHF’s defensive appeal in the near term. Although the US Dollar briefly regained ground after the EU–US Greenland dispute was de-escalated and tariff threats were rolled back, broader sentiment toward the Greenback remains fragile, keeping downside risks dominant for USD/CHF. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 0.7925 – 0.7936 Support Zone: 0.7888 – 0.7880 Bearish Invalidation: Above 0.7940 📌 Trade Summary USD/CHF is trading beneath a key resistance zone after a corrective rebound from support. As long as price remains capped below 0.7936, the bias favours a sell-on-rallies approach, targeting a renewed move lower toward the 0.7900–0.7888 support region. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Financial markets involve risk, and traders should manage positions according to their own risk tolerance.
Short
by ATFX_Global
USDCHF I Technical Analysis and Long Opportunity ExplainedWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
Is USD/CHF Preparing for a Momentum Shift Higher?🔥 USDD/CHF – “THE SWISSY” | Swing + DAY Trade Guide (Bullish Plan) 🇺🇸💵🇨🇭💎 📌 Current Context (London Time): USD/CHF is hovering around key zones near 0.790-0.795 — showing volatility influenced by strong CHF demand and mixed USD data. 🧠 TRADE PLAN – THIEF LAYER STRATEGY 🎯 Bias: Bullish reversal play (swing & intraday) Entry Strategy: We’re stacking buy limits in thief layer style (take multiple fills instead of one entry): 🎯 Buy Limit Layers: ⚡ 0.79100 ⚡ 0.79200 ⚡ 0.79400 (You can add more layers based on your risk appetite) 📉 SL (Thief Style): 🚫 Stop Loss @ 0.79000 – designed as your last line of defense 📈 Target Zone (Take Profit): 🚀 Primary Target @ 0.79900 Price squeeze up to this level where resistance from moving averages + overbought pressure likely kicks in. ⚠️ Risk Advisory: 📌 All risk decisions are yours — trade your plan, not my words. Thief OG’s take profits and losses at their own risk. 🔗 PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation & Confirmation) 📌 EUR/USD – Strong inverse correlation with USD/CHF; when EUR/USD falls, USD/CHF often rises. 📌 USD/JPY – USD strength gauge; strong USD often lifts USD/CHF too. 📌 XAU/USD (Gold) – Safe-haven proxy; gold up can signal CHF strength (USD/CHF down). 📌 EUR/CHF – CHF strength context; strong euro may push CHF pairs differently. 📊 TECHNICAL EDGE 🟦 Key SMA/EMA resistance around our target zone 🟩 Support cluster aligning with buy layers 🟨 RSI/OB levels suggest bounce potential 🧨 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (London Time) 🟢 Swiss Franc (CHF) Drivers: • SNB continues steady policy stance → CHF stays strong as safe haven. • Lower inflation / strong risk sentiment drives CHF strength. • Any Swiss GDP/ZEW survey or SNB commentary can spike moves. 🔵 US Dollar (USD) Drivers: • Fed policy outlook + US GDP & unemployment data shape USD strength. • USD weakening as Fed easing bets grow puts downward pressure on USD/CHF. 📅 Watch Key Events (London Time): 🕐 US GDP releases 🕐 Fed meeting minutes / speeches 🕐 Swiss ZEW expectations survey 🕐 CPI / inflation prints from USD & CHF regions 💡 Thief Vibe Final Words 🚨 This setup is built for smart layering, patient fills and disciplined exit runs. 📈 Stack entries, defend your risk, and exploit the natural dynamics of USD ↔ CHF flows.
by The-Thief
The franc strengthens its position: pressure on the dollarAfter recent strengthening, USDCHF has shifted into a declining phase. The chart shows that upward impulses are losing momentum, while the movement is gradually transitioning into a bearish structure. Sellers are beginning to dominate, limiting growth attempts and pushing the price lower. Fundamental factors add pressure to the pair. Dollar weakness is linked to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy and the decline of the DXY index, which is losing ground amid weak U.S. economic data. At the same time, the Swiss franc gains support as a safe-haven asset, especially under conditions of geopolitical uncertainty. An additional signal favoring the downside comes from the technical picture: the breakdown of key levels and the price holding within a bearish channel confirm seller interest. Thus, USDCHF remains under pressure, and the market’s next steps will determine whether the current decline develops into a sustained downtrend.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
A compressed spring on the chart: readiness for a breakoutOn the four-hour chart, USDCHF is forming a “symmetrical triangle” pattern. After a period of consolidation, the price is gradually narrowing its range, indicating energy accumulation ahead of a new impulse. The triangle is a model of uncertainty, but its completion often leads to a strong move. In the current structure, it is evident that buyers are holding the asset above key levels, which increases the probability of an upward breakout. Trading tactics for this formation are usually based on waiting for a breakout of the triangle’s boundaries. A close above the upper line opens the scenario for continued growth, while a break below suggests a decline. However, given the overall bias toward dollar strength, the upward breakout remains the priority scenario. Thus, USDCHF is in a phase of preparation for an impulse, and the upcoming breakout of the triangle will be the key signal for opening positions.
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Stabilization before a new impulse USDCHF shows signs of strengthening after a period of consolidation. The pair is gradually shifting upward, with impulses becoming more confident, indicating buyer dominance. Corrective pullbacks remain limited, while upward segments retain stability. This dynamic suggests that the market is building a foundation for continued upward movement. An additional factor is the demand for the dollar, which supports interest in the asset and increases the likelihood of a new impulsive wave. Thus, USDCHF is in a strengthening phase, where the next steps may define the scale of the bullish trend.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Swissie Breakout Retest: Are Buyers Preparing a Major Push?USD/CHF BULLISH SETUP | HMA Pullback + TMA Breakout Retest (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📈 Asset: USD/CHF - "The Swissie" ⏰ Timeframe: 4H & Daily (Swing) / 1H & 15M (Day Entry) 🔄 Style: Bullish Continuation | Pullback & Breakout Retest ⚡ Strategy: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Order Entry ✨ Executive Summary A technically sound bullish opportunity is forming on USD/CHF! We are identifying a high-probability pullback to a confluence zone, confirmed by the adaptive Hull Moving Average (HMA) and awaiting a decisive breakout & retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA). This plan uses a strategic, risk-managed entry method. 📊 Technical Rationale & Confirmation ✅ Trend Filter: Price above the key Hull Moving Average (HMA) on the 4H chart confirms the primary bullish structure. The current move is treated as a healthy pullback within the uptrend. 🔺 Key Signal: We are watching for a breakout and bullish retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), which often acts as dynamic support in a trend. A successful hold here is our confirmation trigger. 🎯 Precision Entry Zone: The confluence area between 0.8000 - 0.8040 provides a high-value zone for action. ⚔️ Trade Plan: "The Thief" Layered Entry Strategy This plan uses multiple limit orders to "steal" the best average entry price, scaling into the position. 🟢 ENTRY (Layered Limit Orders): Layer 1: 0.8040 Layer 2: 0.8020 Layer 3: 0.8000 🔹 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite. ⛔ STOP LOSS (Risk Management): Initial/Thief SL: 0.7970 (Below the entry zone and key structure). 📢 IMPORTANT NOTE, THIEF CREW: I provide a framework, not financial advice. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital first! 💰 🎯 TAKE PROFIT Target: Primary Target: 0.8150 (A strong resistance and potential overbought/trap zone). Tactical Exit: Consider partial profits on the way up. "Escape with profits" when momentum wanes. 📢 REMINDER: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU are responsible for your own exits. Take money at your own risk and comfort level. 🌍 Related Pairs & Key Correlations (Must Watch!) Monitoring correlated pairs increases context and confidence. FX:EURUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. If USD/CHF is bullish (USD strong), EURUSD is often bearish. Watch for USD strength confirmation here. OANDA:EURCHF : POSITIVE Correlation. Often moves in tandem with USD/CHF. A strong Euro can also support CHF pairs. Confirm trend alignment. FX:GBPUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. Another major USD pair. Broad USD strength (helping USD/CHF) should pressure GBPUSD lower. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): INVERSE Correlation to USD. A falling Gold price ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) typically signals USD strength, which could support this USD/CHF bullish thesis. 🔑 Key Point: For this USD/CHF bullish idea to thrive, we want to see broad USD strength (DXY ⬆️) and/or CHF weakness against other majors. Watch TVC:DXY for the clearest USD direction clue. 📌 Final Notes & Disclaimer This is a STRATEGY GUIDE, not a signal. The "Thief" method smooths your entry but requires discipline. Always use proper risk management (<1-2% per trade). Like 👍 and Follow if you find this detailed breakdown useful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more content coming! Comment below! What's your take on this setup? Are you watching the same correlations? 🚀 Trade Safe, Thief Crew! Let's get those pips! #Forex #USDCHF #Swissie #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #HMA #TMA #Breakout #ForexStrategy #RiskManagement
by The-Thief
USDCHF I Retracement and Potential Long from SupportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend (76% Probability) A fresh BUY signal has been triggered on USD/CHF following the formation of a Marubozu candlestick pattern on the current timeframe. Our model assigns a 76% historical backtest probability to this setup, highlighting a statistically strong bullish continuation opportunity. 🔍 Technical Analysis & Price Structure The recent Marubozu candle signals strong buyer dominance, where price closes near the high with minimal wicks — a hallmark of decisive bullish control. This pattern suggests: A resumption of the prevailing uptrend after a brief corrective pullback Strong participation by buyers at current levels Rejection of lower liquidity zones Upside continuation potential toward key resistance levels Combined with trend-following model confirmation, the setup carries high technical validity. 🌍 Market Context & Macro Overview Market sentiment around USD/CHF remains constructive: USD performance is mixed, but the pair benefits from safe-haven dynamics Swiss Franc strength seems muted as global risk sentiment stabilizes Interest rate differentials still broadly favor the USD Market expectations around upcoming US economic data may add bullish pressure Overall, macro conditions support potential upside continuation. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch These levels will guide short-term price action: Immediate Resistance – 0.79866 A short-term ceiling; clearing this opens the path to higher levels. Immediate Support – 0.79388 A key zone where buyers stepped in to confirm the Marubozu formation. Major Resistance – 0.80423 Primary bullish target if momentum sustains. Major Support – 0.78831 Critical structure invalidation for the bullish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Parameters (0.10 Lot Example) Parameter Level Entry 0.79627 Stop Loss (SL) 0.79427 Take Profit (TP) 0.80027 Risk $50 Potential Profit $100 Risk–Reward Ratio 1 : 2 The setup presents a clean, mechanical bullish continuation structure with clearly defined risk boundaries. 🛡 Risk Management Guidance Maintain professional-grade discipline: Keep risk per position between 1–2% of your capital Scale in on retests or partial confirmations if volatility increases Move to break-even or trailing stop once price clears the first resistance Avoid entering before high-impact USD or CHF data releases Lock profits if momentum begins to flatten near major resistance Marubozu-driven setups often follow through quickly — managing the trade dynamically is essential. 📌 Final Thoughts USD/CHF is presenting a well-defined bullish continuation opportunity, supported by a high-probability Marubozu signal, trend alignment, and supportive macro conditions. A break above 0.79866 could accelerate momentum toward 0.80423, while maintaining SL discipline below 0.79427 keeps risk controlled. This setup fits well for traders looking for a structured, statistically tested trend continuation entry.
Long
by SivaArjun
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF Bulls Charge Forward – Key Breakout Setup Unfolding🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - FOREX PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP Bullish Momentum | Day Trade | Moving Average Breakout Confirmed 📊 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW 🔔 Asset: USD/CHF (The Swiss Franc Pair) 📈 Bias: BULLISH ✅ ⏱️ Timeframe: Intraday (Day Trade) 🎲 Strategy: Moving Average Breakout + Layered Entry System 💡 ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN The USD/CHF has successfully confirmed a bullish breakout above key Moving Average resistance levels. Price structure indicates a strong push higher with multiple confluence zones supporting upward momentum. The setup respects recent market structure and provides a clean risk-to-reward opportunity for tactical intraday traders. 🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY - "The Thief Method" 💼 Layered Buy Limit Entry System (Multiple Order Placement): 🔹 Layer 1: Buy Limit @ 0.80000 🔹 Layer 2: Buy Limit @ 0.80250 🔹 Layer 3: Buy Limit @ 0.80500 🔹 Layer 4: Buy Limit @ 0.80750 💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale into positions rather than going all-in. 🛑 STOP LOSS - "The Thief's Insurance" 🎯 Stop Loss Level: 0.79500 Reasoning: Previous market structure | Nearest Lower Low | Candle Wick consideration This SL respects mechanical support and provides defined risk parameters. 🚨 TAKE PROFIT - "Police Barricade Zone" 💰 Target Level: 0.81900 Resistance Indicators: Strong Historical Resistance 📍 Overbought Zone Alert ⚠️ Profit Taking Trap Zone 🎣 ⚡ Recommendation: Consider taking partial profits at 0.81900 to secure gains before potential pullback. 📌 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 🌍 Correlated Pairs & Key Levels: 💵 EURCHF - Watch for inverse correlation; if USD/CHF rallies, EUR/CHF often consolidates. Key level: 0.94500 📊 GBPCHF - Similar dynamics; acts as confirmation. Watch resistance near 1.08200 🎲 USDJPY - Risk sentiment indicator; strong risk-on when USD/CHF pushes higher. Level: 155.500 🔗 CHF Crosses Generally - When USD strengthens, all CHF pairs weaken; observe overall CHF weakness 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS ✅ Moving Average Alignment - Price above key MA(s) = bullish continuation signal ✅ Breakout Confirmation - Clear resistance break with momentum ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable setup with defined entry zones ✅ Layering Advantage - Multiple entries reduce average cost and emotional decision-making ✅ Structure Respect - SL places at logical market structure levels ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS & NOTES 🎪 "Thief Style" Trading Strategy - This is a tactical, fun-oriented approach to forex trading. NOT financial advice. Risk Warning: 🔴 Past performance ≠ Future results 🔴 Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss 🔴 Position sizing is YOUR responsibility 🔴 Stop losses and take profits are RECOMMENDATIONS, not guarantees 🔴 Only risk capital you can afford to lose Your Trading Journey: YOUR entry decisions = YOUR profits/losses YOUR stop loss placement = YOUR risk management YOUR take profit timing = YOUR discipline Manage your own risk. Make your own choices. Own your results. 🌐 CORRELATION & WATCHLIST Monitor these instruments for USD/CHF confirmation: 🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Strength confirmation 🇨🇭 SNB Policy - Swiss National Bank decisions = CHF mover 📊 Interest Rate Differentials - USD vs CHF rate spreads 🎯 Risk Sentiment - Risk-on favors USD, risk-off favors CHF ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #MovingAverage #Breakout #ThiefStyle #SwissFranc #TradingCommunity #FXTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan #ProfitPathway
Long
by The-Thief
1
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. Uptrend line breakout. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
Short
by VladimirRibakov