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USD/CHF Day Trade Idea: Hull MA Break Signals Sellers’ Control💵 USD/CHF "THE SWISS" – Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Day Trade) 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Bias The Hull Moving Average (HMA) was recently breached by sellers, confirming the downtrend momentum. 🔑 Entry Approach (Layering Style) Instead of a single entry, I’m applying a layered sell-limit strategy: Sell Limit Layers: 0.79200 | 0.79000 | 0.78800 | 0.78650 (you can adjust/add more layers based on your own trade management) 🛑 Stop Loss Idea My protective SL: 0.79500 👉 Note: This is my preferred stop level, but you can always customize risk based on your comfort. Trade at your own discretion. 🎯 Target Zone Key support + oversold conditions + potential liquidity trap → Exit zone around 0.78000. 👉 Again, this is my take-profit preference — but you can scale out or close earlier if you catch profits. 📌 Key Notes for Traders ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my trading idea, not financial advice. Everyone’s money-management style is unique. ✅ The setup is designed for day trade positioning with controlled risk. 💡 Use flexible TP/SL rules — your risk tolerance = your decision. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:EURUSD → Often inversely correlated with USD/CHF (when EUR rises, USD/CHF tends to fall). FX:USDJPY → Strong USD pairs can give clues about broader USD strength/weakness. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → A safe-haven asset like CHF; if Gold gains, CHF can strengthen too. TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) → Always a must-watch for confirming USD direction. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #DayTrading #HullMovingAverage #SwingTrade #ForexSignals #TradingPlan #DXY #GoldCorrelation #ThiefStyle
Short
by The-Thief
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF – Bearish Channel Rejection | Short Setup Towards 0.7800 Pair & Timeframe Pair: USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) Timeframe: 4H (4-hour chart) 2. Pattern Falling Channel: Price has been trending downwards inside a descending channel (highlighted in blue). Recently, price bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a short-term bullish retracement. 3. Key Levels Entry Zone (Sell Area): Around 0.79727 – 0.80080 (gray + green box). This is a supply zone / resistance area where sellers might step in. Stop Loss: Just above 0.80080 (green zone suggests a safe stop loss). Take Profit: Around 0.78021 (bottom of the channel, marked with blue line). 4. Trade Idea This looks like a sell setup: Expectation is price will move slightly higher into the resistance box. Then reverse back down, continuing the main bearish trend toward the lower channel boundary. 5. Risk-Reward Risk: Small (green zone is tight, just above resistance). Reward: Large (target is far below near 0.7800). This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, which is attractive for swing traders. 6. Confirmation The setup assumes rejection from the resistance zone. Confirmation might come from bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing) on the 4H chart before entering short. ✅ Summary: This is a bearish continuation setup inside a descending channel. The plan is to sell around 0.797–0.801 zone with a stop loss above 0.801 and target near 0.7800. Good R:R ratio — but entry should wait for rejection/confirmation.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 The pair is coiling around 0.7910, right under a cluster of juicy 1H Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and stacked resistance. Momentum is building—here’s the play: 🟢 Bullish Path Strong push above 0.7926 → 0.7933 → 0.7944 could ignite a run toward 0.7948/0.7950+. A clean breakout here would signal fresh upside fuel. 🔴 Bearish Trap Sharp rejection from the 1H resistance zone? Watch for a slide back to 0.7900 and the liquidity pocket near 0.7888. 🎯 Key Focus Lower-timeframe confirmation around that first resistance band. Breakers & order-block reactions will be the tell for the next directional wave. ⚡️ Patience pays—wait for the candle close and let the market show its hand. What’s your bias: Breakout 🚀 or Fade 🔻? Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside. Current Bias Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm. Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF. Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive. Macro Context Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside. Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued. Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key. Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum. SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910 Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USDCHF - Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF: Swiss Slide to 0.79795 Ahead? FX:USDCHF is showing signs of a bearish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at the red box around 0.8065 near a key resistance level. The target at 0.79795 aligns with the next support zone, offering a clear downside potential. Set a stop loss at 0.81 on a close above to manage risk effectively. A break below 0.805 with increasing volume could confirm this slide, driven by USD weakness and CHF strength. Watch Swiss economic data and global risk sentiment as catalysts. Ready for this move? Do you see this USD/CHF slide coming? Share your view! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
Short
by Master_Hunter
USD/CHF - H1 - Channel Breakout (NFP) (05.09.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8011 2nd Support – 0.7988 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
42
USDCHF longs due to better than expected eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
Long
by NDOBObanks
USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (11.08.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8036 2nd Support – 0.8019 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
31
Liquidity Grab Complete? Why USDCHF Could Be Heading South📉 USDCHF remains firmly in a downtrend on both the weekly (1W) and daily (1D) timeframes. The recent bullish retracement is now confronting a critical resistance zone 🔒 — defined by a descending trendline and a daily order block between 0.8150–0.8200. 🧱 Price action at this level shows clear signs of rejection, aligning with a bear flag formation, which could pave the way for continued downside toward the 0.7800–0.7600 region. 📊 Fundamentally, the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to gain strength, supported by Switzerland’s stable economic outlook and ongoing safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from dovish Fed expectations and rising political uncertainty in the US 🇺🇸. 🔮 From a Wyckoff/ICT perspective, this upward move appears to be a liquidity grab into a premium zone, with smart money likely distributing positions before initiating a new markdown phase. A sell bias is favored below 0.8200, with downside targets set at 0.8000 and beyond. 📅 Keep a close eye on this week’s US NFP and Swiss CPI releases — both could inject fresh volatility into the pair.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Is USDCHF Ready to Drop? Short Setup Explained📉 USDCHF Trade Idea Breakdown Taking a close look at USDCHF, we’re currently in a clear downtrend 🔻. Price is under pressure on the higher timeframes, but on the lower timeframes (15m & 30m), we’re seeing a pullback 🌀. What I’m watching for now is a rejection at resistance 🔄 followed by a bearish break in market structure ⛔️. If that confirms, I’ll be looking to take a short entry with targets set at the two previous lows marked out in the video 🎯📉. Stop loss placement would be just above the recent swing high for risk management 🛑. As always — this is not financial advice ⚠️.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
USD/CHF - Bearish Flag (24.07.2025)Fundamental Updates : Dollar falls - New Trade agreement and uncertainties in Market : President Donald Trump announced a trade deal on Tuesday with Japan, which lowers tariffs on auto imports to 15% in exchange for a $550 billion package of U.S.-bound investment and loans. The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.7878 2nd Support – 0.7855 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
USD/CHF - Bearish Flag (24.07.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.7878 2nd Support – 0.7855 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12