USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThis is a follow up to my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) as price action is confined within our reversal structure (Inverse H & S) and Range (Channel) with the tendency of a rally that might lead to the correction of the overall downtrend perspective.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakout | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Since price action is caught within a Supply & Demand channel (Fr0.88200/0.89200), price is back at the Demand zone.
ii. After the successful Breakout of Fr0.88400 at the beginning of the year, the price has been going through a corrective phase with visible rejection from the demand zone.
iii. In the coming week(s), I shall be looking forward to 61.8/78.6 retracements to join the rally.
iv. A significant Breakdown of Fr0.88200 in the coming week shall trigger a conscious approach as only an engulfing Bullish candle from this zone will be the signal to look out for.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdchfsignals
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekIn my last publication on this pair, I projected that the Bearish run that began in November 2020 has found a bottom and a reversal is at the corner (see link below for reference purposes), but unfortunately, it didn't go as expected as it took price exactly 30days to complete an Inverse H and S pattern (Reversal Pattern) with clues of how to hop in the rally.
As USDCHF cap below Fr0.89200, a break above this zone in the coming week would complete a “Head and Shoulders” triggering corrective recovery above Fr0.89400 for a rally.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Reversal pattern (Inverse H & S) | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Inverse H& S: Bearish Leg that began Nov. 2020 falls to make a Shoulder and then rises to the Neckline(Fr0.89200); price then falls again and below the former Shoulder to make a Head and then rises again; finally, the price falls again but not as far as the second Shoulder.
ii. The Reversal pattern explained above supports a Breakout of the Neckline zone @ FR0.89400 in the coming weeks.
iii. For the cautious, a successful Breakout followed by a Retest of this zone might be a signal to hop into the rally.
iv. Please note that this is a counter-trend opportunity which might lead into a corrective phase of the obvious Downtrend.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 180 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekIt is over 200pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) as price respects and completes my Descending channel expectations; The USD/CHF is rose sharply on Friday and climbed to Fr0.89000, thereby hitting it's the highest level since Wednesday. The question now is "Are we at a new Demand zone anticipating a surge?" Well, Let's see as price response to this key zone @ Fr0.88800 in the coming week shall either support or disagree with this bias.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakout | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The Bearish run that began in November 2020 appears to have found the bottom to make a new Demand zone.
ii. The spring of a Bullish engulfing candle on Friday do has a piece of underlying information that needs further confirmation to make a decision on this pair.
iii. In this regard, Patience is key as I shall be looking out for a correction into the Demand zone followed by engulfing candles that will support a rally.
iv. It is also appropriate that we do not ignore the strong breakout of the bearish trendline as the price appears not to respect it anymore.
v. A significant breakdown of Fr0.88600 might consider this setup invalid as we continue to look for candles that support a surge from Demand zone.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 140 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Will USD/CHF take a U-turn?USD/CHF is collapsing, which may try to recover the loss. Short-term investors can buy nearby the strong support channel for the targets of 0.9000 - 0.9060 - 0.9110 .
At present, I don't recommend to sell at this point. Day traders can sell below the support trendline but after consecutive two or three red candles.
I will update the downside scenario while it becomes unstoppable. Currently, my above targets are intact for the positional traders.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekWith over 100pips running in profit since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes), the US dollar has continued its downtrend against the Swiss franc for the fourth consecutive day. Signs of a further decline in the Greenback continues to be emphatic as price breaks down and retest Fr0.90800 to make new Resistance level for future "sells".
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish )
Structure: Trend Channel | Breakdown| Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Price appears to continue to respect the Downtrend that began in April 2019 as it gets caught in a Descending channel pattern.
ii. Connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price with parallel trendlines support my downward trend bias.
iii. Price making lower low since the beginning of the month points at the sellers' momentum at this juncture as we experienced a significant Breakdown followed by a retest of Fr0.90800 level last week.
iv. For me, Fr0.90800 level shall be my yardstick (new Resistance level) for selling opportunities in the following week(s).
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKOur last publication on this pair fetched 247pips profit (see link below for reference purposes); Price action caught within the sandwich of Supply and demand zone (bearish Rectangle) since the Impulse leg that began late April 2020, we continue to see the potential of shorting the USD/CHF pair despite the recent news regarding the COVID-19.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Supply and Demand | Trend
Observation: i. Within the Supply and Demand zone, it is observed that price continue to find it difficult to test the Supply zone since Sep. 2020.
ii. Hence, justifying recent Lower Lows as the rejection of 0.92000 level on the 2nd & 11th Nov. 2020 (Double Top) points toward the risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
iii. It is also worthy to note that the little Breakdown of 0.90000 in the previous week hints at the strength of the Sellers at this juncture.
iv. Breakdown and retest of 0.90000 in the following week(s) will open a window for me to add volumes to my Sell positions.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKIt has been a while since I published anything on USDCHF due to validity of previous bias. With over 300pips in our direction since last publication (see link below), it is now glaring that the present structure is so ripe for a reversal (at least a correction move since the downward spiral began in March 2020); As the Greenback pushed higher last week to close in the positive territory, Price broke above my Key level @ 0.91250 with signals that scream "Rally"!
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand| Reversal Pattern | Breakout
Observation: i. Since Impulsive decline that began mid-June 2020, Price action appears to have stalled in the Demand area and culminated to make a Double Bottom Structure signifying a Reversal structure.
ii. Breakout of Bearish Trendline followed by an immediate restest @ 0.91000 which also coincides with the Breakout of Key level confirms the strength of Buyers.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 230 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF Will Bounce?According to this chart, USDCHF is an uptrend for a short period. As mentioned above, we will see T1 and T2 soon. Beware to strong support trendline. It has tested twice! We are currently seeing buying pressure because of speculators and volatility.
If breakout the support level:
It will hit 0.87760 (T1) - 0.85600 (T2) to 0.83541 (2015 January's Low Price).
USDCHF | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVELast week kick-started on a Bullish note for the Greenback but later surrendered a major part of its early gains to the Swissy as it breaks down my Key level @ 0.93850. Even though it rallied back up from this Breakdown; price appears to be respecting the Bearish Trendline which has been holding since late May 2020.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakout | Trendline
Observation: i. Bearish Trendline - My line drawn over Lower highs explains the prevailing direction of price action and suggest a further Bearish bias.
ii. Breakdown of my Key level @ 0.93850 mid-week (8th of July) reveals the underlining strength of the Sellers at this juncture which makes this zone a level to look out for in the coming week(s).
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 160 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
Potential Duration: 5 to 14 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF Buy SignalPattern: Multi-year Rectangle on the 1W chart.
Signal: Bullish as the price has bounced off of the 0.91800 Support and based on the 2018 fractal has considerable upside.
Target: Basic target is 1.0000 and if 1.002500 breaks Extension Target can be 1.0200.
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USDCHF - BUY Now"M" pattern was formed in couple of places and you can see that price was retrace from there to bullish movement. There is a support at 0.98412 but its might break the support and will touch the 0.236 fibo level and retrace the price to upwards or may be price can be retrace from the support itself too.
Note: Trade at your own risk.
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