USDJPY ready to drop another 100 pip?USDJPY has done a fake out with retest of the daily high price started to move back to the major direction of the trend with second step liquidity grab 147.27 level with a price action confirmation to reject further back below. As the last day of trading week price may continue to drop to long term support 145.90 with further possibility to reject back below.
USDJPY
XAU/USD | Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after correcting down to the $3331 demand zone, price faced strong buying pressure and is now trading around $3357.
If gold manages to hold below $3367, we could expect a stronger drop, with downside targets at $3342, $3331, and $3323. This scenario will only fail if price holds above $3350, pushes past $3367, and closes above it — in that case, gold may rally back toward levels above $3390.
This analysis will be updated soon — don’t forget to show some support, friends!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 15, 2025 USDJPYDespite some profit-taking after the rise toward 148.0, the pair remains supported by monetary policy divergence. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 4.46%, while comparable JGBs remain around 0.82% even after the summer expansion of the YCC band.
Weak momentum in the Japanese economy increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will postpone further tightening: real wages have fallen for the sixth consecutive month, and core CPI has eased to 2.4% y/y, reducing the pressure on the regulator to normalize policy. At the same time, Japan’s Ministry of Finance refrains from verbal interventions, being comfortable above the 145.0 level, which reduces the risk of aggressive dollar selling.
Global risk appetite remains moderate after strong U.S. PPI data, which traditionally channels capital into U.S. assets and supports USD against JPY.
Trade recommendation: BUY 147.300, SL 147.100, TP 148.400
Event horizon forming for USD/JPY? U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg TV that the BOJ is behind the curve and will likely raise rates. This contrasts with BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who sees no urgency despite rising wages and service-sector inflation.
Bessent also called for a more dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, suggesting a total of 150 basis points in cuts, starting with a 50 bp reduction in September.
On the weekly chart, USD/JPY is trading near 147.75, holding just above mid-channel support in an uptrend from early 2024. With Japanese and U.S. rate paths potentially diverging, traders are watching for sustained downward pressure on the dollar. A key inflection zone for a potential pivot lies between 150.90 and 154.27.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Movement Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement From : 146.550
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Long Setup – Liquidity Sweep + Manipulation Zone EntryUSDJPY created a clean opportunity after sweeping liquidity below a major support zone. Price briefly broke lower, collecting stops and breakout entries, before rejecting strongly from a manipulation area. This rejection signals smart money involvement and provides a solid long entry.
The stop is placed just beneath the manipulation zone for clear invalidation. The upside targets are mapped at key resistance and imbalance areas above, where the market is likely to rebalance. By scaling out at multiple levels, the trade secures profit while leaving room to capture the larger move.
This setup works because liquidity is predictable. Retail traders place stops in obvious spots, and once that liquidity is taken, institutions move the market the other way. By waiting for the sweep and entering on rejection, we align with that flow instead of being trapped.
Risk-to-reward is favorable, and management is simple: cut losses if price breaks the manipulation zone, and ride the move toward imbalance levels if momentum continues.
If you enjoy trade breakdowns like this, please like this post and follow for more setups, insights, and price action strategies.
#USDJPY #forex #priceaction #smartmoneyconcepts #liquiditysweep #daytrading #tradingviewideas
USDJPY: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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USDJPY H4 | Falling towards major supportUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is an overlap support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and tjhe 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 145.89, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 145.09, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 147.09, which is a pullback resistance.
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USDJPY — Bulls on Standby for a Big Comeback!USDJPY is approaching a key confluence zone where the 🟧 daily support aligns with the long-term bullish trendline.
Price has been in a medium-term correction, but now it’s knocking on the door of a potential bullish reversal.
As long as the highlighted support holds , I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure.✅
A clear break above the short-term 🔴 channel will confirm the shift in momentum and open the door for the next 📈 impulse move.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Expectation of Fed rate cut and BoJ rate hike dampen the USDJPYDue to the recent softer US CPI print and weakening labor market data since the start of the month, market expectations for a Fed rate cut have increased. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in three rate cuts for this year, with the earliest likely to occur in September.
Meanwhile, in Japan, inflation has also eased, while concerns about US demand have diminished. Japan's 2Q GDP is expected to rebound to 0.4%, avoiding a technical recession. As a result, markets anticipate the BoJ may hike rates further, which would lend additional support to the yen against the US dollar.
Technically, USDJPY has formed a downtrend, characterized by lower swing low and a bearish extension of its EMAs. If USDJPY falls below the 146 support level, the currency pair could test the next support at 145. Conversely, if USD/JPY recovers above both the 21 and 78 EMAs, the price may surge toward the resistance at 149.00.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Analyst at Exness.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy and sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 147.400
🩸Bearish Reversal : 147.950
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY – Bullish Trend Continues StronglyThe USDJPY pair is currently trading within an upward channel, with solid support at 146.500 JPY, and there is potential for further gains towards the next resistance level at 148.400 JPY.
The chart shows that the price continues to form higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend. The strength of the US dollar, supported by the Fed's tightening policies, further drives this trend.
Impact from News:
Strong US labor market data and decisive monetary policy from the Fed continue to support the USD. If USDJPY breaks through the resistance at 148.400, the bullish trend may continue toward the 150.000 JPY level.
However, if the support at 146.500 is broken, a pullback to 145.000 could occur.
In summary, the bullish trend remains strong, with the next target being the resistance at 148.400 JPY.
USDJPY in DowntrendHey dear friends,
Looking at the chart, USDJPY is currently in a corrective phase after hitting a significant resistance level. The price has breached below the trendline, and if it closes the candle below this level, USDJPY will likely trigger a stronger bearish move.
With this outlook, the next target for the decline is the 146.00 area. The price could continue moving lower if the current support isn’t held. Keep an eye on this level to confirm a stronger bearish trend.
Good luck, and don’t forget to share your thoughts in the comments!
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.39
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 147.86
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Scenario Study: (USD/JPY) BULLS vs BEARSHere’s a fresh, focused read on USD/JPY using today’s news, data, and technicals, plus trader sentiment on 4 hour charts.
What changed today so far... (Aug 13, 2025)
CPI came in mild (~2.7% YoY) → markets ramped up odds of a September Fed cut (≈94–98%) → Treasury yields/dollar slipped. That kept USD/JPY heavy after a pop to ~148.5 earlier in the week.
4-hour technicals (levels that matter)
Range defined by MAs: Price has been ping-ponging between the 4h 100-bar MA (~147.94) and 4h 200-bar MA (~146.73). A break of either side likely sets the near-term trend.
Nearby resistance: 148.00/148.50 (recent weekly high ~148.52). A sustained 4h close above opens 149.00 → 149.50.
Nearby support: 147.10 (intra-range floor) then 146.70 (4h 200-MA); below that, risk toward 146.00–145.50.
Short MAs (8 & 16 on 4h charts): With CPI softness pressuring USD, the very short MAs are flattening/near price (typical in a range). A bearish tilt re-asserts if price rides below them toward the 200-MA; a bullish turn needs reclaims above them and a close >148.00/148.50. (Directional inference from the cited 4h range behavior.)
Sentiment & positioning
Retail positioning: Net-long skew persists (~61% long / 39% short), a contrarian negative for USD/JPY if the skew persists into weakness. Ahead of/after CPI, trader bias for USD leaned bearish (BofA), and the dollar index eased post-release. That favors JPY on dips unless risk rallies push yields back up.
Tradeable take (4-hour game plan)
Bias now: Mildly bearish / range-to-down while below 148.00–148.50 and especially if price holds under the 8/16 4h MAs toward the 200-bar MA (~146.7).
Bearish continuation trigger: 4h close below 146.70 (200-MA) → momentum target 146.00 → 145.50; invalidation back above 147.20–147.40.
Bullish reversal trigger: 4h close above 148.50 (and holding above the short MAs) → targets 149.00 → 149.50; invalidation on a drop back below 148.00.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Today’s softer CPI + higher cut odds keep USD/JPY on the back foot, with the pair stuck between the 4h 100- and 200-bar MAs. Until 148.50 breaks, risk skews to a grind lower toward 146.7 → 146.0; a clean topside break flips bias to 149+~.
Thank you for reading, and happy trading!
_________________________________
DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading.
USD_JPY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 146.800
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 147.600
LONG🚀
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USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 148.900 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 148.900 support and Resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 148.100
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.