USD/JPY) support boost Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, based on a rejection from a key support zone and signs of trend continuation toward a higher target.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Support Level:
Price has bounced from a clearly defined support zone around 146.00 – 146.50, which has held multiple times in the past.
This zone is acting as a strong demand area where buyers are stepping in.
2. Bullish Rejection + Structure:
A bullish candle has formed from the support area, signaling potential reversal.
The drawn projection suggests higher highs and higher lows forming — indicating bullish continuation.
3. EMA (200):
Price has respected the 200 EMA (blue line), bouncing off it — a strong confluence for bullish trend continuation.
EMA is slightly upward sloping, indicating a longer-term bullish bias remains intact.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is rising from oversold territory (42.09), indicating a bullish momentum shift.
A potential bullish divergence might be forming (price made lower low, RSI made higher low).
5. Target Point:
Price is projected to reach 150.904, giving a potential move of ~2.91% (426 pips) from current levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 146.90 – 147.30 (current levels or slight pullback)
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~145.90)
Take Profit (TP): 150.900 (key resistance / previous high)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Attractive, based on the size of the support zone vs. projected move
Mr SMC Trading point
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Key Insights:
Strong confluence between price structure, support zone, and 200 EMA bounce.
Favorable risk-reward ratio for swing or intraday traders.
Best confirmation would come from a bullish engulfing candle or break above minor resistance near 147.80.
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USDJPY
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D5 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
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FX:USDJPY
Falling towards major support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 145.88
1st Support: 144.24
1st Resistance: 147.97
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY testing key support after Friday's dropThe USD/JPY fell sharply Friday in reaction to the weak US jobs data. But it is now testing the upside of a massive short-term support area, between 146.00-147.00. Can we see a bounce here towards 148.60 zone initially?
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.23 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 148.77
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US dollar gets hit by weird disappointing NFP numbersLast Friday the US delivered not its best NFP reading. US dollar bears jumped into action. Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:EURUSD
FX_IDC:USDJPY
FX_IDC:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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USDJPY Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.215.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 150.314 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPJPY and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry, which is an overlap support, and could potentially rise further.
Buy entry is at 147.04, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.82, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 148.72, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for August 4, 2025 USDJPYAfter Friday’s weak U.S. jobs report, USD/JPY fell sharply, breaking below 150. At the start of the new week the pair stabilized around 147–148, yet the fundamental backdrop remains tilted against the dollar: expectations for Fed cuts in the coming months are weighing on U.S. yields and narrowing the U.S.–Japan yield spread—the primary long-run driver of USD/JPY.
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The Bank of Japan continues an ultra-loose stance, with forecasts showing inflation around target but little appetite for aggressive tightening in the near term. That leaves the main channel of yen support tied to U.S. yield dynamics and global demand for safe-haven assets. With softer U.S. yields and elevated U.S. political uncertainty, demand for defensive currencies may stay resilient.
Additional risk factors include commentary from Japan’s Ministry of Finance regarding the yen and potential bouts of volatility around Fed communications and incoming U.S. data. Today’s base case favors selling USD/JPY on corrective upticks toward 146, as pressure from lower U.S. yields persists.
Trade idea: SELL 147.550, SL 148.550, TP 146.050
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 145.86
1st Support: 143.29
1st Resistance: 151.05
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY 4Hour TF - August 3rd, 2025🟦 USDJPY 4H Analysis Bullish Idea
📅 August 3, 2025
🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bullish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bullish
• 4H – Bearish
USDJPY has retraced sharply from local highs, breaking down into prior support near 147.50. Short term structure has shifted bearish, but higher timeframes still lean bullish making this a key reaction zone to monitor.
🔍 Key Zone: 147.00 – 147.50
This zone sits at a prior key support zone. How price reacts here will determine whether the pair resumes its bullish leg or continues deeper.
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Rejection (Blue Path)
1.If price holds above 147.00–147.50 and prints bullish confirmation
2.Look for continuation toward 151.50
Target: 151.50 (next clean resistance zone)
This setup aligns with the HTF bullish trend. Clean break of structure and bullish reactions are needed for confirmation.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Orange Path)
1.If price breaks and closes below 147.500 zone
2.Watch for lower high + retest rejection
Target: 145.00 support zone
This is a lower probability counter trend continuation but is possible if price action presents the needed confirmations.
🧠 Final Notes
• Price is at a decision point, wait for Price action confirmation
• HTF bias leans bullish, but 4H structure must shift back up
• Trade with structure, not against it
CADJPY - Wave C Near Completion: Big Drop Coming!We’ve been tracking CADJPY for years, and price has followed Elliott Wave structure almost perfectly.
In mid‑2024, an ending diagonal signalled the top and kicked off a major bearish impulse. That drop formed wave A of the current ABC correction. Wave B completed in late 2024, and price is now in wave C -pushing toward the 50–61.8 % Fibonacci retracement, which marks our sell zone.
We’ll be watching for a trendline to form into this zone. A clean break of that trendline will be our trigger to enter shorts.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for rejection in the 50–61.8 % sell zone
- Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above rejection
- Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle
Targets:
TP1: 101.5 (1000pips)
TP2: 95 ( 1650pips)
Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing
See below for our previous CADJPY setups:
Swing 1:
Swing 2:
Swing 3:
Swing 4:
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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USD/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, using a combination of trendline support, key horizontal levels, and EMA 200 confluence to identify a potential bounce.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Market Structure:
USD/JPY experienced a sharp decline from the resistance zone near 150.445, but price is now testing a strong confluence support area:
Horizontal support zone
Rising trendline
200 EMA (146.907)
2. Support Confluence Zone:
Marked as "trend support level", this zone has historically acted as a springboard for bullish moves.
Recent price action shows a wick rejection at this zone, indicating buying pressure.
3. Resistance/Target Zones:
Target 1: 149.190 – 149.208
Target 2: 150.445 (major resistance zone)
4. EMA 200:
Price is reacting just above the 200 EMA, strengthening the bullish case for a bounce.
5. RSI (14):
RSI has dipped to 35.92, near oversold territory, suggesting the downside may be exhausted.
Prior bounce from similar RSI levels led to strong upward moves.
6. Projected Path:
The chart outlines a potential bullish recovery, targeting a climb back into the upper channel and retesting previous highs.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (Reversal from trendline + support zone)
Entry Zone: Current level near 147.40–146.90 (support confluence)
Targets:
TP1: 149.190
TP2: 150.445
Invalidation: Daily close below trendline and 200 EMA (~146.70 or lower)
Indicators: RSI supports a bounce; EMA and trendline confirm structure
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USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 147.000 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 147.000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY BUYThe year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape.
In Japan, political uncertainty looms, as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) lacks a parliamentary majority and may call fresh elections. An LDP victory could strengthen the Yen by ensuring stability, while opposition gains might lead to fiscal expansion and weaken the currency. If no elections occur, a modest budget would likely keep the Yen supported.
In terms of monetary policy, the Fed and BoJ are set to diverge in monetary policy. The Fed expects to deliver only two additional rate cuts in 2025, the BoJ is expected to maintain its dovish stance, avoiding rate hikes amid weak inflation and a shrinking economy, leaving the Yen vulnerable to market disappointment over policy inaction
SUPPORT 149.232
SUPPORT 148.598
SUPPORT 147.963
RESISTANCE 147.285
RESISTANCE 146.913
EUR/USD Reversal or Trap? 4H Clean Breakdown InsidePrice just tapped into a high-probability sell zone after a corrective Wave 2 structure. With sellers already active at 1.16342 and 1.17635, this setup is not just textbook—but a potential goldmine for swing traders.
🔻 Is this Wave 3 continuation about to begin?
🔍 Liquidity swept. Zones respected. Structure still bearish.
⚠️ Many traders will miss the bigger picture here—will you?
👇 Drop your thoughts:
Are we about to break 1.13000?
Do you agree with the Elliott Wave count?
What’s your bias on DXY?
💬 I personally reply to every comment—let’s build this chart together.
🔥 If you caught the entry, show your entry point and reasoning—let’s level up as a team.
USDJPY The Week Ahead Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 148.90
Resistance Level 2: 149.70
Resistance Level 3: 150.20
Support Level 1: 146.12
Support Level 2: 145.40
Support Level 3: 144.60
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USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 150.492.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 148.583 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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