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USDJPY

US dollar gets hit by weird disappointing NFP numbersLast Friday the US delivered not its best NFP reading. US dollar bears jumped into action. Let's dig in! MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX TVC:DXY FX_IDC:EURUSD FX_IDC:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDCAD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
USDJPY Will Grow! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.215. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 150.314 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry, which is an overlap support, and could potentially rise further. Buy entry is at 147.04, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 145.82, which is a multi-swing low support. Take profit is at 148.72, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 4, 2025 USDJPYAfter Friday’s weak U.S. jobs report, USD/JPY fell sharply, breaking below 150. At the start of the new week the pair stabilized around 147–148, yet the fundamental backdrop remains tilted against the dollar: expectations for Fed cuts in the coming months are weighing on U.S. yields and narrowing the U.S.–Japan yield spread—the primary long-run driver of USD/JPY. Exclusive for our readers – a 202% bonus on deposits of $202 or more! Give the promo code PROFIT202 to customer support and start trading with TRIPLED capital. Full promo details are available via the link. The Bank of Japan continues an ultra-loose stance, with forecasts showing inflation around target but little appetite for aggressive tightening in the near term. That leaves the main channel of yen support tied to U.S. yield dynamics and global demand for safe-haven assets. With softer U.S. yields and elevated U.S. political uncertainty, demand for defensive currencies may stay resilient. Additional risk factors include commentary from Japan’s Ministry of Finance regarding the yen and potential bouts of volatility around Fed communications and incoming U.S. data. Today’s base case favors selling USD/JPY on corrective upticks toward 146, as pressure from lower U.S. yields persists. Trade idea: SELL 147.550, SL 148.550, TP 146.050
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 145.86 1st Support: 143.29 1st Resistance: 151.05 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPY 4Hour TF - August 3rd, 2025🟦 USDJPY 4H Analysis Bullish Idea 📅 August 3, 2025 🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias: • Monthly – Bullish • Weekly – Bearish • Daily – Bullish • 4H – Bearish USDJPY has retraced sharply from local highs, breaking down into prior support near 147.50. Short term structure has shifted bearish, but higher timeframes still lean bullish making this a key reaction zone to monitor. 🔍 Key Zone: 147.00 – 147.50 This zone sits at a prior key support zone. How price reacts here will determine whether the pair resumes its bullish leg or continues deeper. ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Rejection (Blue Path) 1.If price holds above 147.00–147.50 and prints bullish confirmation 2.Look for continuation toward 151.50 Target: 151.50 (next clean resistance zone) This setup aligns with the HTF bullish trend. Clean break of structure and bullish reactions are needed for confirmation. ⚠️ Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Orange Path) 1.If price breaks and closes below 147.500 zone 2.Watch for lower high + retest rejection Target: 145.00 support zone This is a lower probability counter trend continuation but is possible if price action presents the needed confirmations. 🧠 Final Notes • Price is at a decision point, wait for Price action confirmation • HTF bias leans bullish, but 4H structure must shift back up • Trade with structure, not against it
Long
by ForexLeague
CADJPY - Wave C Near Completion: Big Drop Coming!We’ve been tracking CADJPY for years, and price has followed Elliott Wave structure almost perfectly. In mid‑2024, an ending diagonal signalled the top and kicked off a major bearish impulse. That drop formed wave A of the current ABC correction. Wave B completed in late 2024, and price is now in wave C -pushing toward the 50–61.8 % Fibonacci retracement, which marks our sell zone. We’ll be watching for a trendline to form into this zone. A clean break of that trendline will be our trigger to enter shorts. Trade Idea: - Watch for rejection in the 50–61.8 % sell zone - Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above rejection - Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle Targets: TP1: 101.5 (1000pips) TP2: 95 ( 1650pips) Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing See below for our previous CADJPY setups: Swing 1: Swing 2: Swing 3: Swing 4: Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 147.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 145.83 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, using a combination of trendline support, key horizontal levels, and EMA 200 confluence to identify a potential bounce. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Market Structure: USD/JPY experienced a sharp decline from the resistance zone near 150.445, but price is now testing a strong confluence support area: Horizontal support zone Rising trendline 200 EMA (146.907) 2. Support Confluence Zone: Marked as "trend support level", this zone has historically acted as a springboard for bullish moves. Recent price action shows a wick rejection at this zone, indicating buying pressure. 3. Resistance/Target Zones: Target 1: 149.190 – 149.208 Target 2: 150.445 (major resistance zone) 4. EMA 200: Price is reacting just above the 200 EMA, strengthening the bullish case for a bounce. 5. RSI (14): RSI has dipped to 35.92, near oversold territory, suggesting the downside may be exhausted. Prior bounce from similar RSI levels led to strong upward moves. 6. Projected Path: The chart outlines a potential bullish recovery, targeting a climb back into the upper channel and retesting previous highs. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish (Reversal from trendline + support zone) Entry Zone: Current level near 147.40–146.90 (support confluence) Targets: TP1: 149.190 TP2: 150.445 Invalidation: Daily close below trendline and 200 EMA (~146.70 or lower) Indicators: RSI supports a bounce; EMA and trendline confirm structure Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
USDJPY BUYThe year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. In Japan, political uncertainty looms, as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) lacks a parliamentary majority and may call fresh elections. An LDP victory could strengthen the Yen by ensuring stability, while opposition gains might lead to fiscal expansion and weaken the currency. If no elections occur, a modest budget would likely keep the Yen supported. In terms of monetary policy, the Fed and BoJ are set to diverge in monetary policy. The Fed expects to deliver only two additional rate cuts in 2025, the BoJ is expected to maintain its dovish stance, avoiding rate hikes amid weak inflation and a shrinking economy, leaving the Yen vulnerable to market disappointment over policy inaction SUPPORT 149.232 SUPPORT 148.598 SUPPORT 147.963 RESISTANCE 147.285 RESISTANCE 146.913
Long
by Mark804
1
EUR/USD Reversal or Trap? 4H Clean Breakdown InsidePrice just tapped into a high-probability sell zone after a corrective Wave 2 structure. With sellers already active at 1.16342 and 1.17635, this setup is not just textbook—but a potential goldmine for swing traders. 🔻 Is this Wave 3 continuation about to begin? 🔍 Liquidity swept. Zones respected. Structure still bearish. ⚠️ Many traders will miss the bigger picture here—will you? 👇 Drop your thoughts: Are we about to break 1.13000? Do you agree with the Elliott Wave count? What’s your bias on DXY? 💬 I personally reply to every comment—let’s build this chart together. 🔥 If you caught the entry, show your entry point and reasoning—let’s level up as a team.
by Greenfireforex
USDJPY The Week Ahead Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 148.90 Resistance Level 2: 149.70 Resistance Level 3: 150.20 Support Level 1: 146.12 Support Level 2: 145.40 Support Level 3: 144.60 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 150.492. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 148.583 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
0721 Impact of Japanese Senate Elections on Yen Exchange Rate Hello traders, 1. I spent the entire weekend following the Japanese Senate elections, as they will determine the fluctuations of the world's largest financing currency—the yen exchange rate. ★ The results are out, and we are currently in scenario two— the ruling coalition suffered a crushing defeat + Shigeru Ishiba refuses to resign. However, senior figures within the Liberal Democratic Party, such as Taro Aso, have publicly stated that they intend to demand Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation for accountability, increasing the pressure on Ishiba to step down. This means we might see "scenario three"—the USD/JPY exchange rate could potentially break through the 151-155 range. ★ Is this the worst-case scenario? Of course not. The worst-case scenario would be if the "far-right party" that campaigned on the slogan "Japan First" achieved a landslide victory in this election. The most notable winner is a marginal far-right party known as the "Reform Party." The Reform Party originated from a YouTube channel during the pandemic, which spread conspiracy theories about vaccines and "global elite conspiracies." NHK estimates that the Reform Party will win up to 22 seats, whereas three years ago, they had only 1 seat in the Senate and currently have only 3 seats in the House of Representatives. ✔ Let's take a look at this big winner's political proposals—stricter immigration restrictions + opposition to globalism + opposition to radical gender policies + reassessment of decarbonization and vaccine policies + massive tax cuts + increased social welfare spending. This means Japan may implement more "radical tax cuts" combined with aggressive economic stimulus through quantitative easing, leading to a more severe depreciation of the yen, increasing the likelihood of the USD/JPY exchange rate rising to the 160 range. ★ What are the risks of a sharp depreciation of the yen? For Asia, the depreciation of the yen typically drags down other Asian currencies collectively, especially under U.S. tariff pressures, where Asian currencies are already under devaluation pressure. A strong depreciation of the yen would mean Japan is taking other Asian countries along with it off a cliff. We need to pay attention to the "passive" depreciation of the renminbi. Asia will feel the pain, but Europe and the U.S. will also suffer. Theoretically, if the USD/JPY exchange rate surges (indicating a sharp depreciation of the yen), it is very advantageous for arbitrage trading with leverage (because the yen becomes cheaper). However, when the yen experiences a severe depreciation, the situation changes. Let me give you a classic example: After Shinzo Abe returned to power at the end of 2012, he launched the "three arrows" economic policy: unlimited quantitative easing monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + structural reform = artificially lowering the yen exchange rate to stimulate exports (the clear goal was to increase the USD/JPY exchange rate) = rapid depreciation of the yen (from 80 in 2012 to 125 in 2015). So what happened then? — A large number of Japanese institutions sold off U.S. bonds, European bonds, and REITs to cash out. The reason is simple: ✔ Japanese financial institutions (such as GPIF, insurance companies, and banks) hold a large amount of dollar/euro assets. When the yen depreciates, the yen-denominated market value of these foreign currency assets skyrockets. Selling off overseas assets is equivalent to cashing out foreign exchange gains in advance. ✔ The proportion of foreign currency assets is too high → must rebalance. Due to the yen depreciation, a large institution that originally allocated 20% of its total assets to foreign currency assets might see that proportion swell to 30% or 40%. This triggers asset allocation restrictions within pension and insurance funds (ALM principles), necessitating the sale of overseas assets and reallocation to yen-denominated assets. ✔ The yen depreciation phase is usually accompanied by an expansion of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. If Japanese institutions hedge their dollar assets, the hedging costs become very high (the costs of hedging through FX swaps and forwards rise), so they must also sell off some assets to reduce exposure. Therefore, in 2013, there was a collective sell-off of U.S. and European bonds. Technically: Daily chart, there is a possible Crab Harmonic Pattern. The Crab Harmonic Pattern From the chart, we can see: The upward move from A to B is labeled as 0.762, which falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618-0.786 for the A-B leg of the Crab pattern. The downward move from B to C is labeled as 0.668, which also falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382-0.886 for the B-C leg of the Crab pattern. The upward move from C to D is labeled as 1.112, which corresponds to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13-1.272 for the C-D leg of the Crab pattern. Based on these Fibonacci ratio relationships, we can identify this price action pattern as a typical Crab harmonic pattern. This type of pattern often suggests that the price may be about to reverse. On the left 4H chart, the broken trendline is suggesting a new possible downtrend to begin . Make a good use of those support positions, sellers of UJ could find a great trade deal. Follow me to get more update on UJ. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Short
by FUNTRADER-Vera
2
USDJPY: Breaking Out With Macro Backing 🟢 USDJPY | Breakout Opportunity Above Resistance Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bullish Type: Break and Retest 📊 Technical Setup USDJPY is currently consolidating at a key 4H resistance zone (147.75–147.90). A clean breakout and retest of this area will confirm bullish continuation. • Entry: Above 147.90 (after confirmed candle close + retest) • SL: Below 147.30 • TP: 148.90 / 149.60 • RR: ~1:2.5 • Indicators: RSI showing strong upside momentum, holding above 50 🧠 Fundamentals + Macro Confluence • USD Strength: Strong macro & delayed rate cuts support USD upside • JPY Weakness: BOJ remains dovish; risk-on sentiment weighing on JPY • COT + Conditional Score: USD score increased to 17, JPY dropped to 8 • Risk Sentiment: VIX at 14.2 = RISK ON → bearish JPY bias 🧭 Gameplan “Wait for confirmation above resistance before entering” 🔔 Set alerts around 147.90 and monitor lower timeframes for retest and bullish candle structure.
Long
by wajahatarif
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Reversal : 147.450 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
26
XAU/USD | Next Key Zone: Watch for Rejection at $3334! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, just as expected, the price dropped from $3310 to $3288 in the first leg, where it hit a demand zone and bounced up to $3305, delivering a 170-pip rally. The main bearish move from $3333 to $3288 yielded 450 pips, bringing the total return on this analysis to over 620 pips! In the second phase, gold dropped sharply again to $3268, and once more found demand, currently trading around $3307. If the price holds above $3294, we could expect further upside toward the $3322–$3334 zone. Once gold reaches this area, a strong bearish rejection is likely, with a potential return of 250 to 400 pips. All key supply and demand levels are marked on the chart — make sure to monitor them closely and study the chart in detail. Hope you’ve made the most of this powerful analysis! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
54
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Buy & Sell Reversal Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal - 148.750 🩸Bearish Reversal - 150.100 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
8
USD/JPY: Fifth Wave Target in SightUSD/JPY is painting a textbook five-wave impulse structure from the recent lows, and we're now positioned for what could be the final act of this motive sequence. Current Wave Count ✅ Waves 1-3 Complete: Clean impulsive structure with wave 3 showing strong extension ✅ Wave 4 in Progress: Currently correcting from the 150.94 high 🎯 Wave 5 Setup: Targeting completion around 151.95 - 152.20 Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: 150.00 area (ideal wave 4 retracement) This aligns with wave principle fourth-wave correction parameters Provides a healthy pullback without threatening wave 1 overlap Target: 151.95 - 152.20 zone for wave 5 completion Classic 5 vs 1+3 projection Trade Strategy Monitor for supportive price action near 150.00 Look for an impulsive price action to confirm wave 5 beginning Structure suggests one more leg higher before a larger correction The beauty of Elliott Wave: when the count is this clean, the roadmap becomes crystal clear. Let's see if USD/JPY delivers this final push to complete the sequence.
Long
by TheSignalService