USDJPY
USDJPY Forming Bullish MomemtumUSDJPY is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum following a clean breakout from a bullish pennant formation on the 2H timeframe. The market formed higher lows and consolidated within a tight structure, creating compression that has now resolved upward. This breakout indicates continuation of the prior bullish impulse, and price is now targeting the key resistance zone between 148.80 and 149.30. This area previously acted as a strong supply zone, and a clean break above could open the path toward 150.00 psychological levels.
Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by expectations of a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Despite mixed economic data recently, the US economy remains resilient, with GDP growth and labor market data showing strength. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan continues to maintain an ultra-loose monetary stance, offering little rate-hike guidance. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the dollar well-bid against the yen. Any further yield differential expansion will continue to support USDJPY to the upside.
From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the 147.65–147.50 breakout support. Momentum is aligning well with the current price action, and volume confirmation on the breakout adds confidence to the bullish scenario. Traders should watch the reaction around the 149.00–149.30 zone carefully, as this is the last major barrier before we potentially see continuation toward multi-month highs.
Overall, the bullish continuation pattern suggests that USDJPY is preparing for another leg higher. With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, this pair remains a key watch for trend-following traders. Patience and precision remain critical here—watch for potential retests and build positions on confirmation.
USDJPY30h Candle confirmed break out!
📢 USDJPY – 30H Breakout Confirmed
Technical Outlook:
Confirmed breakout on the 30H candle, signaling bullish.
Resistance break!
A Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern observed, though the right shoulder is slightly weaker than the left.
For safety, Stop Loss placed below the last Higher Low (HL) to respect market structure.
📍 Key Line:
“Imperfect structures can still produce perfect trades — when aligned with price action and fundamentals.”
🌐 USD Fundamentals Supporting the Bias:
Stronger-than-expected economic data (e.g., recent PMI and labor reports) continues to support USD strength.
Fed's hawkish stance and higher-for-longer rate policy remain favorable for the dollar against low-yielding currencies like JPY.
USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal off the 78.6% Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 148.30, which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 147.13, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 149.18, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 149.20
1st Support: 146.36
1st Resistance: 151.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025USDJPY 7/27/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
4Hour - Bearish
We’re getting some mixed signals going into this week on UJ but it does look primarily bearish, especially after the move last week.
Currently price action is resting at 147.500 and we’re waiting to see if it will hold as resistance.
Here are two potential ways price action could play out for the week ahead:
Bearish Continuation - This is the most likely based on the context clues of last week. We’re clearly bearish and that lines up with the DXY bias at the moment.
For us to spot a confident short position on UJ we would need to see some bearish conviction coming off our 147.500 zone. We could see this happen after some consolidation or immediately so be cautious and be patient.
Bullish Reversal - This is the only bullish set up I'd be interested in if it plays out. We need to be convinced price action will move higher so I would need to see a significant push above 147.500 resistance with new structure in the form of higher low above. I’d look to target higher toward key levels of resistance if this happens.
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is high swing resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally toward the 149.191–149.202 resistance zone. Here's the full breakdown
---
Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support
Price recently filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) level (yellow box) and is now pulling back toward it.
The FVG zone is expected to act as a support and potential entry point for buyers (marked by the green upward arrow).
2. Uptrend Structure
Price is moving within an ascending trendline, suggesting bullish market structure.
The current retracement is seen as a higher low setup, aligning with bullish continuation logic.
3. 200 EMA as Support
The 200 EMA at 146.198 is providing dynamic support.
Confluence between the EMA, FVG, and ascending trendline strengthens the bullish bias.
4. Resistance Target Zone
The projected target zone is between 149.191–149.202, which aligns with a previous high and key resistance level.
This zone is highlighted as the final take-profit area.
5. RSI Momentum
RSI is at 57.11, showing positive momentum but not yet overbought — which supports further upside.
RSI remains above 50, maintaining bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.653
Support Zone (FVG): 146.20–146.92 (approx)
Trendline Support: Uptrend line intact
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support (146.198)
Resistance Target: 149.191–149.202
RSI: 57.11 – healthy bullish momentum
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.661.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 145.139 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 146.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 146.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY SELLUSD/JPY rises further and approaches 148.00 as the US Dollar firms up
The US Dollar rallies for the second consecutive day against the Yen, and approaches 148.00. Strong US data support the Fed's "wait and see" stance and underpin demand for the US Dollar. In Japan, the uncertain political context is likely to deter the BoJ from hiking interest rates further.
Previous market optimism is turning into caution as the market shifts its focus to the monetary policy reports by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve due next week.
The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, more so after the strong US business activity and Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday. These data confirmed that the US economy remains resilient with a healthy labour market, which gives further leeway for the Fed to await further insight into the impact of tariffs before resuming rate cuts. The US Dollar has been trading higher following Thursday’s releases.
Also on Thursday, US President Trump paid an unusual visit to the Federal Reserve, only a few days ahead of their monetary policy meeting. Trump complained about the overcosts of the headquarters’ renovation and pressed for a less restrictive monetary policy, but his unusually soft comments after the visit eased investors’ concerns about the previous attacks on the central bank's independence.
In Japan, the somewhat softer Tokyo inflation figures seen on Friday and the trade deal would help the BoJ to continue hiking interest rates, but the bank is likely to stand pat next week and probably delay further monetary tightening until the political situation clarifies. This is likely to keep the Yen upside attempts subdued in the near-term.
SUPPORT 147.642
SUPPORT 147.311
SUPPORT 146.854
RESISTANCE 148.206
RESISTANCE 147.972
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.34
My Stop Loss - 148.12
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD | Symmetrical Wedge Breakdown
TF: 15m |
🎯 Setup Insight:
The market doesn’t move in straight lines — it coils.
What you're seeing is an ABCDE corrective wedge, playing out its final phase.
Wave E completed, and liquidity is built right above.
We expect a trap in the purple premium zone (1.1740–1.1757) — then a drop toward 1.1695.
---
🧠 Strategy:
Sell Zone: 1.17410 – 1.17574
Target: 1.16958
Invalidation Above: 1.17600
Wedge ✅
Liquidity ✅
Confluence ✅
Only one move left — the snap.
---
🗝️ Notes:
The market may spike into the OB zone to trap late buyers before the real move unfolds.
The mini-diagram on the right explains it all: "Trap them high, exit them low.✓
The Day AheadFriday, July 25 – Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus)
Key Data Releases:
US
June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets.
July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook.
UK
July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending.
June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation.
Japan
July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance.
June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure.
Eurozone
Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds.
France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc.
June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook.
Central Bank:
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields.
Earnings – Market Movers:
HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends.
Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment.
Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure.
NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment.
Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR.
Trading Implications:
Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias.
Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations.
UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence.
Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish From now Price : 146.500
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry's Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 146.450
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 147.350
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target📌 Chart Overview:
This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection).
🔍 Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained:
🔹 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction)
Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00–146.50.
This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum.
The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone
A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. It’s now being retested from below.
The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap.
Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns.
🔹 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels
Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zone—used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries.
Major zone: Sitting around 148.50–149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction.
📈 Projected Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds.
After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50–149.00).
There, we look for:
Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation).
Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals.
🚫 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
Price fails to hold above the Central Zone.
Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again.
Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50–146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement.
🧩 Technical Insights Summary:
Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain.
Key Confluence:
2x Supply → Strong demand.
QFL + Central → Key breakout/rejection zones.
Major Zone → High-probability reversal area.
Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50.
Watch for:
Candlestick rejections in Major Zone.
Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone.
USD-related news near July 30–31 (highlighted below chart).
USDJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
USDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDJPY
Entry - 146.78
Stop - 146.96
Take - 146.43
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25 VIDEO EXPLANATION 📊USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day and reached a nearly three-week high during Asian trading on Thursday. The recently announced trade deal between Japan and the US reduces economic uncertainty and increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will resume its tightening cycle at the end of this year, which in turn is seen as a key factor continuing to support the JPY. The US dollar (USD), on the other hand, is languishing near two-and-a-half-week lows and is putting additional pressure on the USD/JPY pair.
However, domestic political uncertainty and disappointing data on Japan's manufacturing PMI may keep yen bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the optimistic market sentiment should help limit the safe-haven yen's gains and further losses for the USD/JPY pair. Traders are now eagerly awaiting the release of US flash PMI indices to take advantage of short-term opportunities later in the North American session. However, the mixed fundamental backdrop calls for caution before making aggressive directional bets.
Trade recommendation: SELL 146.00, SL 147.10, TP 145.00
USDJPY Structure Analysis – Liquidity Filled, Rejection + Target🧠 Overview:
This 2-hour chart of USDJPY highlights a clear bearish structure following a smart money-driven move. The price action reflects market maker behavior, liquidity manipulation, trendline rejections, and strategic zone targeting. Let's break down the key elements for today’s USDJPY analysis.
🔍 Key Technical Breakdown:
1. 🏦 Liquidity Grab & Fill (July 17th)
The marked green zone shows an aggressive liquidity sweep where the price dipped sharply into a previous demand zone, triggering stop losses and collecting institutional orders.
This movement represents a classic "liquidity fill", often engineered by market makers to trap retail buyers/sellers.
After sweeping liquidity, price quickly reversed upwards — a signal that large buy orders were triggered and filled.
2. 🎯 Central Zone as a Distribution Region
The market retraced to the "Central Zone", highlighted on the chart, which acted as a distribution area:
Price consolidated and created indecision before rejecting sharply again.
This zone reflects a short-term supply where institutional players may have offloaded positions.
Key clue: This consolidation occurred below the major trendline, increasing its strength as resistance.
3. 🔻 QFL Zones (Quasimodo Failure Levels)
Two QFL levels are marked, which denote structure breaks and retracements in MMC/SMC strategy:
First QFL marks a major support break – a signal of shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Second QFL confirms continued lower lows formation – solidifying bearish market structure.
These levels are critical in identifying market intent and anticipating future moves.
4. 📉 Descending Trendline Rejection
The descending trendline drawn from recent highs is being respected continuously:
Price tested the trendline multiple times but failed to break above.
These rejections represent seller dominance and validate the trendline as a dynamic resistance.
A break above this line would invalidate the current bearish structure.
5. 🎯 Next Target – Major Demand Zone (145.00–145.20)
Price is heading toward a major demand zone marked in green around 145.000:
This area is a strong buy-side liquidity zone, where institutional buyers may show interest again.
If this zone is tapped, we may see either:
A bounce (bullish reaction), or
A breakdown and continuation lower if bearish momentum continues.
Traders should monitor this area closely for price action signals (engulfing candles, rejection wicks, or bullish divergence).
🧠 Strategic View:
Bias: Bearish, unless trendline breaks with strong volume.
Ideal Entry: Look for short entries on lower timeframe pullbacks into minor resistance (like trendline or last supply zone).
Target Area: 145.00 – ideal zone to book profits or switch bias.
Invalidation: A break and close above the descending trendline + central zone.
🔑 Confluences in This Analysis:
Concept Details
✅ Liquidity Grab Trap & Fill strategy at prior lows
✅ Central Zone Bearish distribution and rejection
✅ Trendline Repeated resistance rejections
✅ Structure Lower lows and QFL confirmations
✅ Target Area Clear next demand zone identified
⚠️ Risk Note:
As always, wait for confirmation before entering trades. The market may fake out near zones. Use proper risk management (1-2% risk per trade) and adjust your strategy as new candles form.
📌 Conclusion:
This chart paints a textbook scenario of how institutional movements and structure-based analysis (MMC/SMC) can offer high-probability setups. We expect further downside toward the 145.00 region before any significant reversal. Keep an eye on reaction from this demand zone for the next play.