Get started

USDJPY

USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal USD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 148.67, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 150.81, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 146.37, which is a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Would Firm Treasury Yield Continue to Support USDJPY?Fundamental approach: - USDJPY edged higher this week amid resilient US growth signals and firm Treasury yields, while dovish-leaning BoJ communication kept Japanese rates anchored. Risk sentiment was mixed ahead of Fed minutes and Jackson Hole. - US data and Fed repricing supported the US dollar as markets weighed sticky services momentum and steady consumption into Jul, focusing on how minutes may shape Sep cut odds. - In Japan, authorities maintained vigilance on FX moves and inflation normalization, but BoJ policy settings and modest wage/inflation follow-through limited Yen support. - USDJPY could remain supported if Fed minutes and Jackson Hole skew hawkish, while any signs of softer US demand or a stronger BoJ tilt could cap gains. Upcoming US PMIs and durable goods, plus Tokyo CPI, may recalibrate rate differentials. Technical approach: - USDJPY is sideways above the key support at 147.00. The price is slightly above both EMAs and within the ascending channels, indicating a potential upward movement. - If USDJY remains above 147.00 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 148.60. - On the contrary, closing below support at 147.00 may prompt a decline to retest the following support at 146.00, which is confluent with the ascending channel's lower bound. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
Nikkei 225 & USD/JPY AnalysisThe Nikkei 225 has reached new all-time highs (almost reaching 44,000), driven by strong domestic economic indicators and robust corporate earnings. The yen has strengthened against the US dollar, influenced by 1) speculation over the timing of a rate cut from the FOMC, and 2) the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance and expectations of interest rate hikes. (narrowing of monetary policy between the two countries) Historically, a weaker yen (rising USD/JPY - thin blue line) has been beneficial for Japanese exporters, leading to increased corporate earnings and, consequently, a rising Nikkei 225. But, at times, this inverse relationship has shown signs of divergence. The current divergence between the USDJPY and the Nikkei 225 suggests that the Nikkei 225 is increasingly driven by domestic economic factors rather than the traditional USD/JPY correlation. In the short term, the Nikkei 225 may continue its upward momentum, supported by strong economic fundamentals and investor confidence. With the price breaking out and staying above the upward channel, climbing toward the 45,000 price level. Medium-Term Risks: Potential geopolitical tensions and shifts in global economic conditions could introduce volatility in the medium term. This could lead to a retracement down to 42,000 before trading higher again. While the traditional correlation has weakened, ongoing monitoring of USD/JPY movements remains essential, as significant fluctuations could still impact investor sentiment.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 147.73 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 147.86 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 147.44 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
USD/JPY: Liquidity Hunts Inside the RangeHello guys. After the sharp drop at the end of July, USD/JPY has been consolidating inside a well-defined range. We’ve now seen two classic liquidity hunts: Hunt 1 (top of range): Price spiked above resistance, took stops, and quickly rejected. Hunt 2 (bottom of range): Price swept liquidity below support before bouncing back inside the range. This type of price action suggests accumulation of orders before the next expansion. Currently, price is rebounding from the second liquidity hunt, showing signs of strength. If buyers can hold above the 146.80 range low, we may see continuation toward the 149.04 resistance zone, which is the next liquidity pool above. Levels to Watch: Support: 146.80 (range low) Resistance: 148.00 (mid-range resistance) Target: 149.04 Short-term bullish as long as 146.80 holds. A clean break above 148.00 could open the path to 149.04.
Long
by melikatrader94
8
USDJPY Next Week | Short From 147.56 Targeting Liquidity SweepHere’s my outlook for USDJPY in the coming week. If price rises to around 147.56 in the early part of next week (Aug 18–22), I believe it’s a good area to consider going short. This level has acted as resistance several times recently, and I expect it could hold once again. If price fails to reach 147.56, I won’t take the trade — in that case, the risk-to-reward profile would likely deteriorate, and I prefer to avoid setups where my predefined advantage is weakened. The stop loss should be placed above the white line. From experience, once price breaks above that line, it often continues to take out the highs above it. That’s why I believe placing a stop here is both reasonable and sufficient. The purple line below marks a level where I expect price could extend to if it sweeps the liquidity (stop losses) resting around recent lows. This purple line is located roughly halfway between the previous low and the nearby high beneath it. Based on my years of trading experience, when price breaks a low, it rarely reverses immediately; more often, it continues a bit further before turning around. For that reason, I allow a small buffer and set my take profit around the 0.382 Fibonacci level between those two price points. My plan is to hold the short position until that level, then take profit and start looking for a potential long setup from there. In my view, 147.56 is likely to be reached sometime next week, so I will post an update once we see how the market reacts. This trade setup gives a risk-to-reward ratio of 6.5. Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 13.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. I’ll be sharing updates on how this idea plays out, so if you want to follow along and see the outcome, consider following me here on TradingView. --- *This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Short
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
2
Big Bounce from 146.20! Is USDJPY Heading for 149.00?The USDJPY 4H chart is showing signs of recovery after a period of volatility. Price recently bounced from the 146.20–146.70 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a strong demand area multiple times in the past week. Buyers have stepped in strongly from that level, and the pair is now trading around 147.60–147.85, pushing upward with a constructive bullish structure. Looking at the broader picture, USDJPY had been under pressure earlier, printing lower highs and testing deeper supports. However, the rejection near 146.20 marks a potential swing low formation 🔄, as price immediately rallied higher with strong bullish candles. Importantly, the market has shifted above the mid-level 147.20–147.40 area, turning it into a short-term base for buyers. On the upside, the immediate resistance 🚧 lies at 147.85–148.00, which is already being tested. A breakout above this zone would expose the higher resistance at 148.52, a key level where sellers previously rejected price. If bulls clear 148.52 decisively, the next possible leg could target the 149.00 handle, a psychological level and prior supply zone. The trade setup 🎯 as shown on the chart is structured with bullish bias: • Entry: Around 147.60–147.85 (already activated) • Stop Loss (SL): Near 147.18 (just below recent consolidation base 🛡️) • Target (TP): First target near 148.00–148.10, extended target at 148.52 🚀 This gives a risk-to-reward ratio better than 2:1 ✅, which is favorable for continuation trades. The structure also shows multiple “Buy (B)” markers clustering at the bottom around 146.20–146.70, confirming that dip-buying interest is strong. On the other hand, the “Sell (S)” markers above 148.50 highlight the importance of this resistance zone. Bulls need strong momentum to flip this level; otherwise, price may stall temporarily. In terms of strategy, the bullish trade remains valid as long as USDJPY holds above 147.20. Traders can consider booking partial profits 💰 near 148.00 and leaving the rest toward 148.50. Once price moves in profit, it’s wise to trail the stop-loss 🔒 to breakeven or slightly in the green to protect against sudden pullbacks. ✅ Conclusion: USDJPY is looking bullish in the short term 📈 after bouncing from 146.20–146.70 support. A move toward 148.00–148.50 is favored, with potential extension toward 149.00 if momentum stays strong. However, active risk management is key—secure small profits at intermediate levels and trail stops as the trend progresses.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Reversal From : 147.700 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance. Pivot: 145.96 1st Support: 142.37 1st Resistance: 150.98 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection from this level could lead the price to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 148.95 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% FIbonacci retracemet. Stop loss: 150.80 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance. Take profit: 146.00 Why we like it: There is a swin low support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
USDJPY Sell Setup – Watching 147.600 Key Zone Next WeekHey Traders, In the coming week, I’m monitoring USDJPY for a potential sell opportunity near 147.600. Trend: Still in a clear downtrend. Current move: Price is correcting upward into resistance. Key level: 147.600 – a major support-turned-resistance area. If price rejects this zone with confirmation, it could resume the bearish move. I’ll be looking for signs of weakness (candlestick rejection, momentum shift) before entering. What do you think? Will USDJPY hold below 147.600 or push higher first? Trade safe, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
6
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆 In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions. ❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis. ❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy. This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts. The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management. 🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢 ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by Nii_Billions
4
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 147.84 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 147.33 Recommended Stop Loss - 148.06 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
SCENARIO STUDY: Bullish or Bearish?Hello fellow traders! Here’s a fresh, USD/JPY plan that blends 4-hour technicals with today’s macro/news flow, plus the most recent trader and bank sentiment. Time to get happy! USD/JPY for Aug 15, 2025, U.S. morning/afternoon 4H structure: After a slide that tested ~146.2–146.4 support, the USD/JPY keeps running into 147.8 and 148.5 as notable 4H hurdles. Macro/news today: U.S. PPI (July) surprised hotter, cooling talk of a 50 bp Fed cut (market leans 25 bp for Sep 17); Japan Q2 GDP beat aided the yen and BoJ-hike chatter. BoJ backdrop: July meeting opinions/outlook show a cautious tightening bias and discussion of resuming hikes; 10-yr JGB around ~1.5%. Positioning & sentiment (latest): CFTC JPY (non-commercial) net longs have fallen from mid-July peaks to ~82k (Aug 8). Retail (spot) sits near 54% long / 46% short. Banks’ bias (based on recent published views): UBS CIO guides for USD/JPY drifting lower through year-end (~140 by Dec 2025) as BoJ tightens gradually, and J.P. Morgan Research also expects weaker USD into late-2025 (USD/JPY ~141 Sep, 140 Dec). 4-hour levels to mark Support: 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 (deeper swing shelf). Resistance: 147.80, 148.50 (recent 4H/spot pivot and swing high). Scenario A — Bullish (rebound off support / corrective pop) Why it could play out: Hotter U.S. PPI trimmed aggressive-cut bets; if incoming U.S. data/fedspeak doesn’t further dent yields, a corrective USD bounce can lift price from support toward overhead supply! Go Bulls? :D Bullish Plan (4H execution): Entry: 146.40–146.70 on a 4H bullish candle or RSI divergence near S1. (Structure band per the 4H map.) Stop: 145.95 (clean break of the lower shelf). Take Profit 1: 147.80 (first supply). Take Profit 2: 148.50 (recent high / strong supply). Respect Supports: 146.40–146.20, then 146.00. Resistances to fade/scale: 147.80, 148.50. Indicative R:R: from 146.60 risk ~65 pips to stop for ~+120 pips to TP2 (≈1:1.8), +120–190 pips if extension through 148.5. Scenario B — Bearish (trend continuation from resistance) Why it could play out: 4H downswing remains intact below 147.8/148.5; BoJ tone leans cautious-hawkish, Japan data firmed (GDP), while CFTC shows less crowded JPY longs (reduced squeeze risk). UBS/JPM public pieces lean medium-term lower USD/JPY. Bearish Plan (4H execution): Entry: 147.80–148.00 on a 4H rejection wick / failure swing at R1. Stop: 148.60 (invalidate above R2 swing high). TP1: 147.00 (recent intraday base). TP2: 146.20–146.40 (key 4H demand). Resistances to lean on: 147.80, 148.50. Supports to target: 147.00, 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 if momentum accelerates. Go Bears? :D BUT WAIT..... Which is more probable now? As for the team here at How To (dot) Forex, we are collectively leaning bearish (Scenario B) over the next few sessions. And, here is why.... Structure: Price remains capped beneath 147.8/148.5 on the 4H map. Macro skew: Hot PPI pared back “big cut” bets but markets still favor a 25 bp cut; meanwhile Japan GDP beat + BoJ talk of possible resuming hikes is JPY-supportive. Sentiment: Retail near 50/50 (slight long) and CFTC net JPY longs off the highs → fewer asymmetric squeeze dynamics for upside USD. What are the banks saying? Recent UBS and JPM predictions point to lower USD/JPY into year-end, aligning with fade-rallies bias unless price reclaims R2 decisively. _________________________________________________ OPINION AND COMMENTARY: we prefer fade-rally shorts into 147.8–148.0 unless a 4H close above 148.5 flips bias. If you see a strong 4H basing signal at 146.2–146.4, the bullish corrective setup is valid — just keep targets conservative at 147.8/148.5. If you have questions, or want to see a specific type of analysis not presented here, leave us a comment below. Thank you for reading. We appreciate your support. Happy trading! _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading. If you are new to trading, consider practicing with a free paper trading account. Ask your broker for details.
by financetrance
XAU/USD | Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after correcting down to the $3331 demand zone, price faced strong buying pressure and is now trading around $3357. If gold manages to hold below $3367, we could expect a stronger drop, with downside targets at $3342, $3331, and $3323. This scenario will only fail if price holds above $3350, pushes past $3367, and closes above it — in that case, gold may rally back toward levels above $3390. This analysis will be updated soon — don’t forget to show some support, friends! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
83
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT