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USDJPY

USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.39 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 147.86 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Scenario Study: (USD/JPY) BULLS vs BEARSHere’s a fresh, focused read on USD/JPY using today’s news, data, and technicals, plus trader sentiment on 4 hour charts. What changed today so far... (Aug 13, 2025) CPI came in mild (~2.7% YoY) → markets ramped up odds of a September Fed cut (≈94–98%) → Treasury yields/dollar slipped. That kept USD/JPY heavy after a pop to ~148.5 earlier in the week. 4-hour technicals (levels that matter) Range defined by MAs: Price has been ping-ponging between the 4h 100-bar MA (~147.94) and 4h 200-bar MA (~146.73). A break of either side likely sets the near-term trend. Nearby resistance: 148.00/148.50 (recent weekly high ~148.52). A sustained 4h close above opens 149.00 → 149.50. Nearby support: 147.10 (intra-range floor) then 146.70 (4h 200-MA); below that, risk toward 146.00–145.50. Short MAs (8 & 16 on 4h charts): With CPI softness pressuring USD, the very short MAs are flattening/near price (typical in a range). A bearish tilt re-asserts if price rides below them toward the 200-MA; a bullish turn needs reclaims above them and a close >148.00/148.50. (Directional inference from the cited 4h range behavior.) Sentiment & positioning Retail positioning: Net-long skew persists (~61% long / 39% short), a contrarian negative for USD/JPY if the skew persists into weakness. Ahead of/after CPI, trader bias for USD leaned bearish (BofA), and the dollar index eased post-release. That favors JPY on dips unless risk rallies push yields back up. Tradeable take (4-hour game plan) Bias now: Mildly bearish / range-to-down while below 148.00–148.50 and especially if price holds under the 8/16 4h MAs toward the 200-bar MA (~146.7). Bearish continuation trigger: 4h close below 146.70 (200-MA) → momentum target 146.00 → 145.50; invalidation back above 147.20–147.40. Bullish reversal trigger: 4h close above 148.50 (and holding above the short MAs) → targets 149.00 → 149.50; invalidation on a drop back below 148.00. THE BOTTOM LINE Today’s softer CPI + higher cut odds keep USD/JPY on the back foot, with the pair stuck between the 4h 100- and 200-bar MAs. Until 148.50 breaks, risk skews to a grind lower toward 146.7 → 146.0; a clean topside break flips bias to 149+~. Thank you for reading, and happy trading! _________________________________ DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading.
by financetrance
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal : 148.100 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
8
USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Movement from : 147.350 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
12
USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal : 147.120 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
18
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 148.480. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 149.489 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen has refreshed monthly lows as the Bank of Japan last week reaffirmed its commitment to ultra-loose policy and kept the 10-year JGB yield target around 1.49%. Inflation is easing, with July core CPI falling to 1.7%, below the target range — an argument for maintaining yield-curve control. Against this backdrop, the U.S. 10-year yield climbed toward 4.25% on expectations of a firm CPI print, widening the spread with Japanese bonds to 425 bps. Accelerated Japanese capital outflows into dollar assets support USDJPY. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has only issued verbal warnings about possible interventions, with no actual dollar selling observed — market participants view 150 as the next target. Dollar demand is also supported by steady oil prices above $85/bbl, which increase Japan’s import bills. Higher commodity prices worsen the country’s trade balance and spur additional dollar purchases by Japanese corporates for settlements. Trade recommendation: BUY 148.300, SL 148.100, TP 149.500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H4 | Bullish momentum to extendUSD/JPY is reacting off the buy entry which is a pullback resistance, and a breakout of this level could lead the price to rise to the upside. Buy entry is at 147.98, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 146.85, which is a multi-swing low support. Take profit is at 149.15, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal : 146.850 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
12
USDJPY Strong buy opportunity near the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into the USDJPY pair (June 13, see chart below) we gave a very timely buy signal, looking for a break-out, that easily hit our 148.675 Target: Now we are looking for yet another buy opportunity as the price, having established a Channel Up, is being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this Higher Low is preserved, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start. We expect at least another +4.14% run, setting a 152.500 medium-term Target. Notice also how the 1D RSI is well supported on a Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout as Fundamentals & Technicals AlignUSDJPY is entering a critical juncture where both macroeconomic conditions and price structure are pointing toward a potential bullish continuation. The pair has been consolidating just under a descending trendline after a sharp drop from July’s highs, but strong US fundamentals, a persistently dovish Bank of Japan, and upcoming political catalysts are creating the perfect environment for an upside breakout. If buyers can reclaim momentum above near-term resistance, the path toward retesting multi-month highs appears open, with yen crosses likely to follow the lead. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Price is consolidating around 147.46 after falling from the 150.91 high. A descending trendline from the late-July peak is being tested. A confirmed breakout would likely accelerate bullish momentum. Key upside targets: 148.96 – immediate resistance & short-term target (previous swing high). 150.91 – major resistance at July’s high. Stop-loss at 146.43 safeguards against deeper retracements. The structure reflects a series of bullish continuation patterns (flags, breakouts, retracements). Fundamental Analysis Current Bias: Bullish USD Strength: Strong US data and anticipation of Trump’s “major” economic announcement are lifting the dollar. JPY Weakness: Despite better-than-expected Japan Eco Watchers Survey, the BoJ’s ultra-loose stance continues to suppress yen demand. Rate Differentials: Still heavily in USD’s favor, sustaining upward pressure on USD/JPY. Risk Sentiment: Even with mild geopolitical tensions, USD’s safe-haven appeal is preventing JPY from benefiting. Risks: Disappointing US political announcements. Hawkish surprises from the BoJ. Sharp swings in risk sentiment favoring the yen. Key News/Events Ahead: Trump’s economic policy reveal. US CPI & PPI releases. BoJ policy signals or commentary. Leader/Lagger Dynamics: USDJPY is the leader for yen crosses, often setting the tone for GBPJPY, AUDJPY, and CHFJPY. Summary: USDJPY’s bullish outlook is reinforced by the combination of favorable fundamentals and a technical setup pointing toward a breakout. A move above 147.80–148.00 could open the door to 148.96 in the short term and 150.91 in the medium term. With yen crosses closely tied to USDJPY’s movements, this pair’s breakout could spark broader JPY weakness across the board, making it a pivotal chart to watch in the days ahead.
Long
by ultreosforex
17
USDJPY Looks Bearish, Your thoughts ?USDJPY Looks Bearish, It has been falling hard after touching resistances. Now it will continue to glide. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market. Disclaimer: The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
Short
by forexnawaab
EUR/USD | Holding Above 1.16 Could Unlock More Upside! (READ IT)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price reacted beautifully to all the marked zones on the chart. Especially after reaching the 1.14 demand area, it experienced a strong bullish move, rallying over 200 pips to hit 1.16. Currently, EURUSD is trading around 1.16220, and if it holds above the 1.16 level, we can expect further upside. The next bullish targets are 1.16435, 1.16780, 1.17100, and 1.17500. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
15