USDJPY — Bulls on Standby for a Big Comeback!USDJPY is approaching a key confluence zone where the 🟧 daily support aligns with the long-term bullish trendline.
Price has been in a medium-term correction, but now it’s knocking on the door of a potential bullish reversal.
As long as the highlighted support holds , I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure.✅
A clear break above the short-term 🔴 channel will confirm the shift in momentum and open the door for the next 📈 impulse move.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY
Expectation of Fed rate cut and BoJ rate hike dampen the USDJPYDue to the recent softer US CPI print and weakening labor market data since the start of the month, market expectations for a Fed rate cut have increased. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in three rate cuts for this year, with the earliest likely to occur in September.
Meanwhile, in Japan, inflation has also eased, while concerns about US demand have diminished. Japan's 2Q GDP is expected to rebound to 0.4%, avoiding a technical recession. As a result, markets anticipate the BoJ may hike rates further, which would lend additional support to the yen against the US dollar.
Technically, USDJPY has formed a downtrend, characterized by lower swing low and a bearish extension of its EMAs. If USDJPY falls below the 146 support level, the currency pair could test the next support at 145. Conversely, if USD/JPY recovers above both the 21 and 78 EMAs, the price may surge toward the resistance at 149.00.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Analyst at Exness.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy and sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 147.400
🩸Bearish Reversal : 147.950
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY – Bullish Trend Continues StronglyThe USDJPY pair is currently trading within an upward channel, with solid support at 146.500 JPY, and there is potential for further gains towards the next resistance level at 148.400 JPY.
The chart shows that the price continues to form higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend. The strength of the US dollar, supported by the Fed's tightening policies, further drives this trend.
Impact from News:
Strong US labor market data and decisive monetary policy from the Fed continue to support the USD. If USDJPY breaks through the resistance at 148.400, the bullish trend may continue toward the 150.000 JPY level.
However, if the support at 146.500 is broken, a pullback to 145.000 could occur.
In summary, the bullish trend remains strong, with the next target being the resistance at 148.400 JPY.
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.39
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 147.86
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Scenario Study: (USD/JPY) BULLS vs BEARSHere’s a fresh, focused read on USD/JPY using today’s news, data, and technicals, plus trader sentiment on 4 hour charts.
What changed today so far... (Aug 13, 2025)
CPI came in mild (~2.7% YoY) → markets ramped up odds of a September Fed cut (≈94–98%) → Treasury yields/dollar slipped. That kept USD/JPY heavy after a pop to ~148.5 earlier in the week.
4-hour technicals (levels that matter)
Range defined by MAs: Price has been ping-ponging between the 4h 100-bar MA (~147.94) and 4h 200-bar MA (~146.73). A break of either side likely sets the near-term trend.
Nearby resistance: 148.00/148.50 (recent weekly high ~148.52). A sustained 4h close above opens 149.00 → 149.50.
Nearby support: 147.10 (intra-range floor) then 146.70 (4h 200-MA); below that, risk toward 146.00–145.50.
Short MAs (8 & 16 on 4h charts): With CPI softness pressuring USD, the very short MAs are flattening/near price (typical in a range). A bearish tilt re-asserts if price rides below them toward the 200-MA; a bullish turn needs reclaims above them and a close >148.00/148.50. (Directional inference from the cited 4h range behavior.)
Sentiment & positioning
Retail positioning: Net-long skew persists (~61% long / 39% short), a contrarian negative for USD/JPY if the skew persists into weakness. Ahead of/after CPI, trader bias for USD leaned bearish (BofA), and the dollar index eased post-release. That favors JPY on dips unless risk rallies push yields back up.
Tradeable take (4-hour game plan)
Bias now: Mildly bearish / range-to-down while below 148.00–148.50 and especially if price holds under the 8/16 4h MAs toward the 200-bar MA (~146.7).
Bearish continuation trigger: 4h close below 146.70 (200-MA) → momentum target 146.00 → 145.50; invalidation back above 147.20–147.40.
Bullish reversal trigger: 4h close above 148.50 (and holding above the short MAs) → targets 149.00 → 149.50; invalidation on a drop back below 148.00.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Today’s softer CPI + higher cut odds keep USD/JPY on the back foot, with the pair stuck between the 4h 100- and 200-bar MAs. Until 148.50 breaks, risk skews to a grind lower toward 146.7 → 146.0; a clean topside break flips bias to 149+~.
Thank you for reading, and happy trading!
_________________________________
DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading.
USD_JPY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 146.800
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 147.600
LONG🚀
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USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 148.900 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 148.900 support and Resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 148.100
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement from : 147.350
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 147.120
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 148.480.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 149.489 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen has refreshed monthly lows as the Bank of Japan last week reaffirmed its commitment to ultra-loose policy and kept the 10-year JGB yield target around 1.49%. Inflation is easing, with July core CPI falling to 1.7%, below the target range — an argument for maintaining yield-curve control.
Against this backdrop, the U.S. 10-year yield climbed toward 4.25% on expectations of a firm CPI print, widening the spread with Japanese bonds to 425 bps. Accelerated Japanese capital outflows into dollar assets support USDJPY. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has only issued verbal warnings about possible interventions, with no actual dollar selling observed — market participants view 150 as the next target.
Dollar demand is also supported by steady oil prices above $85/bbl, which increase Japan’s import bills. Higher commodity prices worsen the country’s trade balance and spur additional dollar purchases by Japanese corporates for settlements.
Trade recommendation: BUY 148.300, SL 148.100, TP 149.500
AUDJPY Strategy That Outsmarts the Noise: Entry & Target Ready!Hey friends 👋
I’ve prepared an analysis for the AUDJPY pair. If the price reaches the 96.201 - 96.169 zone, I’ll be looking to open a buy position from that level.
My target will be set at 96.524.
Every single like you send is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone who supports with a like 🙏
USDJPY potential buy area!USDJPY 4H price has formed 2 important impulse and started to move back to the upside with new series of higher high and higher low showing a potential trend continuation.
Daily price is just crossed above 10ema and may pullback to daily 10ema which is also 4h support an important level where a bullish trade is high probale.
USD/JPY, CAD/JPY, CAD/JPY Technical OutlookSome interesting setups are forming on the daily charts of USD/JPY, CAD/JPY and CHF/JPY. Keep in mind that USD/JPY will be more sensitive to the incoming US inflation report, which leaves the potential for some divergences to form among the Japanese yen pairs. Overall, my bias is for them to move lower in due course.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
USDJPY H4 | Bullish momentum to extendUSD/JPY is reacting off the buy entry which is a pullback resistance, and a breakout of this level could lead the price to rise to the upside.
Buy entry is at 147.98, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 146.85, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 149.15, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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USD/JPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal : 146.850
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Strong buy opportunity near the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into the USDJPY pair (June 13, see chart below) we gave a very timely buy signal, looking for a break-out, that easily hit our 148.675 Target:
Now we are looking for yet another buy opportunity as the price, having established a Channel Up, is being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this Higher Low is preserved, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start.
We expect at least another +4.14% run, setting a 152.500 medium-term Target. Notice also how the 1D RSI is well supported on a Higher Lows trend-line.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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