USDJPY
USDJPY bearish sideways consolidation The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 148.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.10, followed by 145.40 and 144.60 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.90 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade.
Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement.
However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside.
Looking at the broader picture:
• The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support.
• From there, the pair began climbing in a constructive way, consistently putting in higher lows on the long-term chart.
• During the current consolidation, we’ve seen two notable bullish reactions: dips slightly below 147.70 were bought aggressively on 14 August and again just two days ago, leaving behind clean bullish pin bars on the daily chart.
Putting these pieces together, my bias is bullish. I expect the current range to eventually resolve higher, with 150.80 as the next major resistance and natural target for bulls.
That being said, the market still needs to confirm this idea:
• Upside acceleration comes with a clear break above 148.50.
• The bullish case would be invalidated by a daily close below 146.50.
As always, patience is key — range markets test our discipline, but they also prepare the ground for the next big move. 🚀
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 146.84
1st Support: 145.99
1st Resistance: 148.34
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GOLD - BEARISH TO $3,588 (1H UPDATE)Like I said on yesterday’s update, we’re yet to see ‘Minor Wave 4’ correction on Gold, as part of the bigger Wave 3 bullish cycle.
We’ve seen a ‘Break of Structure’ as price broke below previous ‘Wave IV’ yesterday. I’ve placed a ‘Sell Stop’ order at $3,629. If this activates, I’ll be targeting $3,588📉
If this doesn’t activate, then our buy positions keep pushing higher into profit!
USD/JPY - Top Down Analysis 🟣 Monthly Chart (Macro Structure)
Context: Price has been ranging within a broad band between 162 resistance and 138–140 support.
Current Zone: Sitting mid-range near 147–148, right under a heavy monthly supply block (150–152).
Bias: Until 150+ breaks clean, upside is capped. Structure suggests more downside liquidity hunts.
🔵 Weekly Chart (Swing Bias)
Supply Zone: Weekly supply at 150–152 rejected strongly.
Trendline: Rising liquidity channel (higher lows), but capped at supply.
Order Flow: Repeated rejections indicate sellers still control the higher timeframe.
Bias: Bearish toward the liquidity resting around 145.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 150–152
Support: 144–145
🟢 Daily Chart (Refined Structure)
Supply Reaction: Strong rejection from the 61.8% retrace within the weekly supply zone.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Resting neatly at 145 handle, aligning with trendline support.
Bias: Lower-high structure under supply → daily order flow favors continuation down.
⏱ 1H Chart (Execution Layer)
Supply Zone: 147.7–147.9 (confluent with 71% fib retrace & weak resistance).
Reaction: Intraday rejection already showing weakness.
Next Path: Break of weak support at 147.0 would confirm continuation toward 146.8 → 145.5.
Intraday Bias: Sell rallies back into 147.7–147.9.
USDJPY possible drop to monthly supportwith weak US job data has weakens the Dollar Index which led USDJPY to break from the resistance. Price has formed currently a bearish market structure which is maintaining series of lower high's showing a probability to drop the price to monthly support. If further downtrend continuation, entry at break of structure is expected.
USDJPY Sell zone to look forWith NFP 22k weaker job data, USDJPY along with DXY rejected from the higher price to the major direction of the trend. Price has got strongly rejected from the monthly, weekly and daily level of resistance. As price approaching the high liquidity zone 147.87, we may expect a strong rejection from the higher price.
147.87 can be a sell level upon price action confirmation.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 10, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is fluctuating within a narrow trading range against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session amid mixed fundamental signals. Expectations that domestic political uncertainty could give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) more reason to slow down interest rate hikes, coupled with optimistic market sentiment, are undermining the yen's position as a safe-haven currency. In addition, the overnight recovery of the US dollar (USD) on Tuesday helped the USD/JPY pair recover from its daily decline and return closer to its August low.
However, yen bears seem reluctant to make aggressive bets amid a growing understanding that the Bank of Japan will stick to its policy normalization course. On the contrary, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to resume its cycle of rate cuts next week, which could hinder the growth of the US dollar. In addition, diverging expectations regarding the policies of the Bank of Japan and the Fed could play into the hands of the lower-yielding Japanese yen and help limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders may also prefer to refrain from action ahead of Wednesday's US producer price index (PPI) release.
Trade recommendation: SELL 147.20, SL 147.65, TP 146.00
BTCUSDT 4Hour Time frame📊 BTC/USDT Snapshot
Current Price: ~$112,419
Range (Intraday): $110,812 – $113,138
Change: Around –0.5% from the last close
🔎 Key Levels (4-Hour Focus)
Support Zone: ~$106,000 (recent double-bottom area)
Current Pivot: ~$112,000 (key resistance and decision zone)
Next Resistance: ~$117,000 (if breakout holds)
📉 Technical Indicators (4-Hour Context)
RSI: In the mid-50s → showing moderate strength after bounce
MACD: Slightly positive → early bullish signal
Momentum: Neutral to bullish; recovery attempt underway
📌 4-Hour Outlook
Bullish Case: If BTC closes firmly above $112,000, it could push toward $117,000.
Bearish Case: If rejection happens at $112,000, price may slip back toward $110,000 → $106,000 support.
Bias: Consolidation with bullish potential, but resistance needs to be cleared.
✅ Conclusion: On the 4-hour chart, BTC/USDT is in a neutral-to-bullish phase, holding above its recent bottom. $112K is the key battleground — breakout could fuel upside momentum, while rejection risks another retest lower.
USD/JPY - Targets for next move Hi Traders, what are everyone's thoughts on USD/JPY?
This is my view.. I see price in HTF making Bullish movements reacting of Demand zones. What we have now is a very clear ranging market after price came off the Supply zone. BSL was swept and now we are stuck between a very weak Support and Resistance.
So what I belive will happen next will be due to HTF bullish Demand, I see SSL liquidity that has to be swept before buyers step in to drive the price back up again. Im seeing much stronger rejections from sellers than I am from buyers currently telling me Sellers have more control.
I do have short positions currently active but I will continue to add more positions on this pullback. The highlighted yellow area within the IMB will be my targets.
Good luck traders and please follow and comment if this was helpful
USDJPY H1 | Bullish bounce offUSD/JPY has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support, and could rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 147.22, which is a pullbacksupport.
Stop loss is at 146.84, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 147.90, which is a pullback resistance.
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USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.406.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 144.300 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY: Breakout from Japan's PoliticsUSD/JPY is currently fluctuating within a range-bound channel, with strong support at 146.600 and significant resistance at 148.500. The 4-hour chart shows that the price is stabilizing around EMA 34 at 147.620, maintaining a strong upward momentum.
Impact from Japan's Politics
On September 9, 2025, news of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's resignation caused political instability in Japan, weakening the Japanese yen against the US dollar. Investors are concerned that the looser monetary policy from his successor could further weaken the yen, paving the way for USD/JPY to continue rising.
Strong Growth Outlook
With a solid support base and the USD benefiting from the yen's weakness, USD/JPY is on a strong upward trend, targeting 148.500, and potentially extending towards 150.000 if political and economic factors continue to drive this momentum.
Yen Pairs Falter at Technical Junctures Several yen pairs have stalled around resistance levels, despite solid rallies into them. But whether this could indicate the beginning of a deep pullback or eventual bullish breakout likely hinges on whether incoming data points towards a hard or soft landing in the US. Today I look out EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CHF/JPY and CAD/JPY crosses, and update analysis on USD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, market Analyst at City Index
USD/JPY: Downside Pressure MountsUSD/JPY has completed a corrective rally into the wave (2) region, stalling around the 152.00–150.50 supply zone and respecting the descending trendline resistance. This rejection confirms that the broader bearish cycle is intact, and the pair is now entering a wave (3) decline.
From the structure, wave (1) has already unfolded strongly to the downside, and the recent corrective bounce aligns as a double three (W–X–Y) correction, which has likely ended. With this in place, we should see downside continuation, targeting lower levels in a clean five-wave decline.
T1 = 144.289
T2 = 142.288
SL = 150.525
As long as USD/JPY holds below the 150.80–152.00 invalidation zone, the outlook stays bearish. Selling momentum remains strong, and any pullback is likely to create new opportunities for sellers until wave (5) completes.
USDJPY Forming Ascending ChannelUSDJPY is currently trading around 147.28, moving within a clear ascending channel structure on the daily chart. Price is testing the lower trendline support near 146.40, making this a critical zone for buyers to defend. If the pair holds above this level, we could see momentum building back toward the 149.40–150.00 resistance area, while a breakdown would expose downside levels near 139.80.
On the fundamental side, the Japanese Yen remains under pressure as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance, despite inflation running higher than historical averages. In contrast, the US Dollar is being driven by shifting expectations on Federal Reserve policy, with recent economic data suggesting that rate cuts may be delayed as inflation cools gradually but remains sticky. This divergence keeps USDJPY well supported in the medium term.
Traders are closely watching upcoming US CPI and labor market data, which will provide further clarity on Fed policy direction. A strong recovery from the ascending channel support could confirm bullish continuation, while a decisive break below could trigger a sharp corrective move.
Risk management is key at this stage, as volatility remains elevated with potential central bank interventions from Japan if the Yen weakens too aggressively. Holding above the channel base keeps the structure bullish, but losing it shifts bias to a deeper retracement.
USDJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 146.94
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.66
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY – Dual POI Short Setup🧠 Market Context
Previous Day High swept → liquidity grab complete.
CHoCH → Bearish Intent confirmed → directional bias is short.
Price is now retracing into supply zones for potential continuation lower.
🎯 Key Points of Interest (POIs)
Refined 1H POI
Aligned with highest previous day volume.
Strong institutional confluence.
Extreme 5M FVG (sweep origin)
Cleaner entry with tighter risk.
Aligns with the extreme point of interest logic from liquidity models.
⚖️ Execution Plan
Option A: Scale Entries
Partial entry at 1H POI.
Add position at 5M extreme FVG if price sweeps deeper.
Option B: Confirmation Entries
Wait for LTF BOS / rejection candle inside either POI before execution.
🔽 Bearish Targets
147.037 → Previous Daily Low (Liquidity Zone).
146.582 – 146.600 → Deeper liquidity + imbalance fill.
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per setup, split across zones.
Move SL to breakeven once 2R is achieved.
Trail stop following bearish structure.
📊 Summary
USDJPY has shifted to bearish intent after the PDH sweep. Two valid POIs are in play — a volume-backed 1H supply and an extreme 5M FVG.
Best approach: scale into both for higher probability while keeping risk controlled.
💬 What do you think? Would you take the refined 1H POI or wait for the extreme 5M FVG?
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 146.150
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Dollar-Yen Outlook: Bearish While Under 147.82 PivotUSDJPY – Overview
The pair shows bearish momentum after stabilizing below 147.82, confirming pressure to the downside.
Technical Outlook:
📉 As long as price trades below 147.82, bearish momentum is expected to extend toward 147.07 → 146.35.
📈 A confirmed 4H close above 147.82 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 148.49 → 149.00.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 147.82
Support: 147.07 – 146.35
Resistance: 148.49 – 149.00
Bias: Bearish below 147.82; bullish recovery possible only on a confirmed break above this pivot.
USDJPY Testing 146.700 as Market Awaits ReactionHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a potential selling opportunity around the 146.700 zone. The pair has been trading in an uptrend, but is currently in a correction phase, approaching this key support/resistance level.
Structure: While the broader bias has been bullish, the correction is bringing price back toward an area of interest.
Key level in focus: 146.700 — a zone where sellers may look to step in if momentum shifts.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains sensitive to U.S. data and Fed expectations, which continue to guide short-term USD moves.
Trade safe,
Joe.