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USDJPY

USDJPY Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 147.661. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 145.139 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
3
USDJPY SELLUSD/JPY rises further and approaches 148.00 as the US Dollar firms up The US Dollar rallies for the second consecutive day against the Yen, and approaches 148.00. Strong US data support the Fed's "wait and see" stance and underpin demand for the US Dollar. In Japan, the uncertain political context is likely to deter the BoJ from hiking interest rates further. Previous market optimism is turning into caution as the market shifts its focus to the monetary policy reports by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve due next week. The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, more so after the strong US business activity and Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday. These data confirmed that the US economy remains resilient with a healthy labour market, which gives further leeway for the Fed to await further insight into the impact of tariffs before resuming rate cuts. The US Dollar has been trading higher following Thursday’s releases. Also on Thursday, US President Trump paid an unusual visit to the Federal Reserve, only a few days ahead of their monetary policy meeting. Trump complained about the overcosts of the headquarters’ renovation and pressed for a less restrictive monetary policy, but his unusually soft comments after the visit eased investors’ concerns about the previous attacks on the central bank's independence. In Japan, the somewhat softer Tokyo inflation figures seen on Friday and the trade deal would help the BoJ to continue hiking interest rates, but the bank is likely to stand pat next week and probably delay further monetary tightening until the political situation clarifies. This is likely to keep the Yen upside attempts subdued in the near-term. SUPPORT 147.642 SUPPORT 147.311 SUPPORT 146.854 RESISTANCE 148.206 RESISTANCE 147.972
Short
by Mark804
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.34 My Stop Loss - 148.12 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD | Symmetrical Wedge Breakdown TF: 15m | 🎯 Setup Insight: The market doesn’t move in straight lines — it coils. What you're seeing is an ABCDE corrective wedge, playing out its final phase. Wave E completed, and liquidity is built right above. We expect a trap in the purple premium zone (1.1740–1.1757) — then a drop toward 1.1695. --- 🧠 Strategy: Sell Zone: 1.17410 – 1.17574 Target: 1.16958 Invalidation Above: 1.17600 Wedge ✅ Liquidity ✅ Confluence ✅ Only one move left — the snap. --- 🗝️ Notes: The market may spike into the OB zone to trap late buyers before the real move unfolds. The mini-diagram on the right explains it all: "Trap them high, exit them low.✓
Short
by Greenfireforex
The Day AheadFriday, July 25 – Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus) Key Data Releases: US June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets. July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook. UK July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending. June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation. Japan July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance. June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure. Eurozone Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds. France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc. June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook. Central Bank: ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields. Earnings – Market Movers: HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends. Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment. Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure. NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment. Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR. Trading Implications: Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias. Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations. UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence. Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish From now Price : 146.500 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
15
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry's Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Reversal : 146.450 🩸 Bearish Reversal : 147.350 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
14
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target📌 Chart Overview: This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection). 🔍 Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained: 🔹 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction) Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00–146.50. This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum. The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation. 🔹 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. It’s now being retested from below. The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap. Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns. 🔹 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zone—used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries. Major zone: Sitting around 148.50–149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction. 📈 Projected Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds. After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50–149.00). There, we look for: Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation). Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals. 🚫 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection Price fails to hold above the Central Zone. Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again. Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50–146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement. 🧩 Technical Insights Summary: Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain. Key Confluence: 2x Supply → Strong demand. QFL + Central → Key breakout/rejection zones. Major Zone → High-probability reversal area. Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50. Watch for: Candlestick rejections in Major Zone. Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone. USD-related news near July 30–31 (highlighted below chart).
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25 VIDEO EXPLANATION 📊USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT
by JCFRGNT
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day and reached a nearly three-week high during Asian trading on Thursday. The recently announced trade deal between Japan and the US reduces economic uncertainty and increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will resume its tightening cycle at the end of this year, which in turn is seen as a key factor continuing to support the JPY. The US dollar (USD), on the other hand, is languishing near two-and-a-half-week lows and is putting additional pressure on the USD/JPY pair. However, domestic political uncertainty and disappointing data on Japan's manufacturing PMI may keep yen bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the optimistic market sentiment should help limit the safe-haven yen's gains and further losses for the USD/JPY pair. Traders are now eagerly awaiting the release of US flash PMI indices to take advantage of short-term opportunities later in the North American session. However, the mixed fundamental backdrop calls for caution before making aggressive directional bets. Trade recommendation: SELL 146.00, SL 147.10, TP 145.00
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Structure Analysis – Liquidity Filled, Rejection + Target🧠 Overview: This 2-hour chart of USDJPY highlights a clear bearish structure following a smart money-driven move. The price action reflects market maker behavior, liquidity manipulation, trendline rejections, and strategic zone targeting. Let's break down the key elements for today’s USDJPY analysis. 🔍 Key Technical Breakdown: 1. 🏦 Liquidity Grab & Fill (July 17th) The marked green zone shows an aggressive liquidity sweep where the price dipped sharply into a previous demand zone, triggering stop losses and collecting institutional orders. This movement represents a classic "liquidity fill", often engineered by market makers to trap retail buyers/sellers. After sweeping liquidity, price quickly reversed upwards — a signal that large buy orders were triggered and filled. 2. 🎯 Central Zone as a Distribution Region The market retraced to the "Central Zone", highlighted on the chart, which acted as a distribution area: Price consolidated and created indecision before rejecting sharply again. This zone reflects a short-term supply where institutional players may have offloaded positions. Key clue: This consolidation occurred below the major trendline, increasing its strength as resistance. 3. 🔻 QFL Zones (Quasimodo Failure Levels) Two QFL levels are marked, which denote structure breaks and retracements in MMC/SMC strategy: First QFL marks a major support break – a signal of shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Second QFL confirms continued lower lows formation – solidifying bearish market structure. These levels are critical in identifying market intent and anticipating future moves. 4. 📉 Descending Trendline Rejection The descending trendline drawn from recent highs is being respected continuously: Price tested the trendline multiple times but failed to break above. These rejections represent seller dominance and validate the trendline as a dynamic resistance. A break above this line would invalidate the current bearish structure. 5. 🎯 Next Target – Major Demand Zone (145.00–145.20) Price is heading toward a major demand zone marked in green around 145.000: This area is a strong buy-side liquidity zone, where institutional buyers may show interest again. If this zone is tapped, we may see either: A bounce (bullish reaction), or A breakdown and continuation lower if bearish momentum continues. Traders should monitor this area closely for price action signals (engulfing candles, rejection wicks, or bullish divergence). 🧠 Strategic View: Bias: Bearish, unless trendline breaks with strong volume. Ideal Entry: Look for short entries on lower timeframe pullbacks into minor resistance (like trendline or last supply zone). Target Area: 145.00 – ideal zone to book profits or switch bias. Invalidation: A break and close above the descending trendline + central zone. 🔑 Confluences in This Analysis: Concept Details ✅ Liquidity Grab Trap & Fill strategy at prior lows ✅ Central Zone Bearish distribution and rejection ✅ Trendline Repeated resistance rejections ✅ Structure Lower lows and QFL confirmations ✅ Target Area Clear next demand zone identified ⚠️ Risk Note: As always, wait for confirmation before entering trades. The market may fake out near zones. Use proper risk management (1-2% risk per trade) and adjust your strategy as new candles form. 📌 Conclusion: This chart paints a textbook scenario of how institutional movements and structure-based analysis (MMC/SMC) can offer high-probability setups. We expect further downside toward the 145.00 region before any significant reversal. Keep an eye on reaction from this demand zone for the next play.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.84 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 144.91 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 147.15 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
4
USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25📊USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 145.971. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 145.357 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY: A Bullish Thesis for Trend ContinuationThis analysis outlines a data-driven, bullish thesis for USD/JPY, identifying a strategic long entry within an established market trend. The setup is supported by a combination of fundamental catalysts and a clear technical structure. 📰 The Fundamental Picture The primary driver for this trade will be the high-impact US economic data scheduled for release. This release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. Fundamentally, this trade is a play on the deep policy differences between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. While the Fed's future steps are a topic of debate, the Bank of Japan's policy remains one of the most accommodative in the world, creating a long-term headwind for the Japanese Yen. This dynamic provides a strong fundamental basis for relative US Dollar strength against the Yen. 📊 The Technical Structure Chart analysis reveals that USD/JPY is in a confirmed and healthy uptrend. The current price action indicates a constructive pullback, presenting a strategic opportunity to join the dominant trend at a favorable price. The proposed entry point is positioned at a key technical level that offers a low-risk entry. Technical indicators support the continuation of the trend, suggesting that momentum remains with the bulls. ✅ The Trade Plan This trade is structured with a clear and favorable risk-to-reward profile, aiming to capitalize on the established trend. 👉 Entry: 146.343 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 145.233 🎯 Take Profit: 148.560 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long
by MaxellAguiran
Continuation of downtrend. Waiting for confirmation SELL USDJPY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY is starting a corrective downtrend. Yesterday's New York session's selling pressure surpassed the buying liquidity zone around 147,000. This further confirms the possibility of the pair continuing its downward correction. Some recovery waves in today's Asia-Europe session are considered a good opportunity to SELL towards the target of 144,300 (trailline zone of the h4 frame). Pay attention to the important breakout price zone of 145,900. 📉 Key Levels Support: 145,900-144,300 Resitance: 147,000-147,800 SELL trigger: Rejection from 147,000 SELL 147,700 (Strong resistance + SMA 20) Target 144,400 SELL DCA: Break 145,900 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
1
USD/JPY) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a potential drop toward the 145.200 – 145.191 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown: --- Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (1H) 1. Rising Channel Breakdown Price has broken below an ascending channel, confirming a trend line breakout and signaling a trend shift from bullish to bearish. The trend line cut and rejection from the upper resistance zone support the bearish reversal. 2. Key Support Breakout A crucial horizontal support zone around 147.80–148.00 was broken. The break-and-retest of this area (yellow box) acts as a confirmation of bearish momentum continuation. 3. Bearish Momentum Below EMA Price is trading below the 200 EMA (147.659) — a strong signal of downward bias on this timeframe. The EMA has flipped from dynamic support to resistance. 4. RSI Oversold but Bearish RSI is at 29.41, in oversold territory, which may hint at a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure suggests more downside potential before a deeper retracement. 5. Target Projection Projected target zone is between 145.200–145.191, aligning with previous structure lows and likely liquidity zone. Mr SMC Trading point Summary Bias: Bearish Current Price: 147.307 Key Resistance: 147.80–148.60 zone Structure: Rising channel break + key support breakout 200 EMA: Above price (bearish signal) RSI: 29.41 – oversold but momentum remains bearish Target: 145.200–145.191 Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
18
Major resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 147.67 1st Support: 145.89 1st Resistance: 149.03 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
USDJPY 2H Analysis : Trendline Break or Double the Supply?🧠 Market Context: The market has recently undergone a liquidity grab followed by a temporary bullish reaction, indicating that large players (institutions or market makers) are manipulating price around sensitive zones before committing to a direction. 🧱 Key Technical Zones & Observations: 🟩 1. Liquidity Filled Zone (Smart Money Move) Location: Around July 17. Explanation: Price dropped impulsively into a pre-marked liquidity pocket. This filled buy-side liquidity resting below previous lows. Implication: Smart money has now captured trapped breakout sellers. Expectation of reversal or bullish mitigation. 🟧 2. Central Zone (Supply/Distribution Area) This zone was tested multiple times, signaling it as a supply-rich region. Acted as a base for previous strong bearish move. If the trendline is broken, price may retest this Central Zone, potentially acting as resistance again. 🟩 3. QFL Formation (Quantity Following Line) Nature: Base breakout with a fast snap-back indicates institutional demand. The structure signals a failed breakdown or liquidation trap. Actionable Insight: Strong bounce potential here, ideal for sniper long entries if market structure shifts bullish. 🟦 4. Trendline (Critical Validation Tool) The descending trendline from July 18 has acted as dynamic resistance. Multiple rejections validate its significance. Main Conditional Setup hinges on this trendline: Break = Bullish structure shift No break = Trend continuation (retest of demand or breakdown) 🔁 5. Previous Reversal Completed Price action has printed a reversal model (possibly Wyckoff-style accumulation or spring). Completion of the pattern aligns with upcoming directional decision. ✅ Conditional Trade Scenarios: 🔺 Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline Setup: Price breaks and closes above the trendline with volume and momentum. Action: Buy on retest of broken trendline or confirmation candle. Targets: Short-term: 147.50 Major: 148.00 – strong resistance/supply zone Validation: Structure shift + momentum + rejection of prior supply. 🔻 Condition 2: Rejection from Trendline (Trendline Holds) Setup: Price respects the trendline and fails to break. Action: Short on bearish engulfing/rejection. Plan: "Double the supply zone" as per your label. Targets: 146.20 → 146.00 zone This respects the previous price memory and liquidity void. 🧠 Deeper MMC Insight: The market is in indecision phase, balancing between continuation and reversal. Institutional footprints (QFL + liquidity fills + trendline rejections) suggest preparation for a trap-spring-accumulate or distribution-breakdown move. Watch for fakeouts around the trendline – MMC logic says market makers often induce both directions before committing. 🧭 Trade Management Tips: If long: Protect below the QFL base. If short: Watch for manipulation around the Central Zone. Wait for confirmation: Don’t pre-enter before structure validates direction.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades