USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
The pair has broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
We expect the price to consolidate and complete a pullback toward the broken zone before resuming its decline toward lower support levels.
A strong breakout and daily close above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish outlook.
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USDJPY
USDJPY resistance at 148.90The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 148.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.10, followed by 145.40 and 144.60 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.90 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceUSD/JPY is reacting off the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that lines up with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 147.86, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 148.73, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 146.34, which is a swing low support.
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USD/JPY Bullish Continuation Towards 149.00This USD/JPY (1H) chart shows a bullish setup:
Price is respecting the ascending channel (support & rejection lines).
Currently, price is near the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone between 147.257 – 147.526, suggesting a possible retracement before continuation upward.
Both EMA 70 & EMA 200 are aligned closely, acting as dynamic support.
A long entry is expected from the FVG zone with a target point at 148.975 – 149.002.
Stop-loss lies below the FVG around 147.251.
👉 Overall bias: Bullish continuation towards 149.00 after filling the FVG.
USD/JPY: Downtrend Continues with Weak SupportCurrent Situation:
USD/JPY is trading around 147.60, down from its recent high of 148.700. The pair has broken through the key support level at 147.800, opening the possibility for further downside.
Downward Target:
If USD/JPY maintains below 147.800, the downtrend could continue, with the next support levels at 146.800 and 146.300.
Trading Strategy:
Prioritize selling on any bounce towards 147.500–147.800. Set the target at 146.800 and 146.300, with a stop loss above 148.00 for risk management.
Supporting News:
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at Jackson Hole, signaled that the Fed may ease tightening sooner if the labor market weakens. This has led to a decline in U.S. bond yields and a weaker USD, providing favorable conditions for JPY to strengthen.
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.26 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 147.57
Recommended Stop Loss - 147.09
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY – Downward Pressure Aiming Straight At 146.000?📉 USDJPY Under Pressure – Could the Drop Extend to 146.000 and Beyond?
The US Dollar continues to weaken across the board, and USDJPY is now showing strong bearish momentum on the H2 timeframe. The chart highlights several critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and liquidity zones that could guide price action in the coming sessions.
📊 Technical Outlook (H2):
Recent rejection confirms supply pressure, opening the door for a deeper retracement.
Key FVG Zone between 148.57 – 149.52 acts as a short-term supply area.
As long as price trades below this zone, bearish continuation remains in play.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
147.94 – minor reaction zone.
146.56 – 146.03 → strong demand / liquidity pool; price may test these levels soon.
A clean break below 146.00 could open the path toward deeper downside targets.
⚡ What This Means:
With USD weakness persisting, USDJPY could face another significant leg lower. Traders should monitor liquidity grabs and confirmations around the 146.xx zone for potential setups.
🔥 Do you see USDJPY holding the 146.00 demand area, or will the sell-off accelerate further?
👇 Share your view in the comments!
USDJPY may drop to daily low!USDJPY from the daily there is a sideway move, with a strong rejection from the daily resistance 148.78. Today's price so far tested the daily high and currently from the hourly perspective price is creating multiple doji with liquidity grab from the daily resistance giving a high probability for the price to drop to daily support level.
A possible buy trade is high probable.
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 146.313.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 147.650
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.947.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 147.470.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY: Increasing Downside PressureUSD/JPY is currently trading around the 147 level after a technical rebound, but the overall trend still leans to the downside. Recent news shows that the Fed has adopted a dovish stance, weakening the USD, while strong Japanese economic data has reinforced expectations that the BoJ may tighten policy further, lending greater support to the yen. Major institutions such as Nomura have even forecast that USD/JPY could fall toward the 142 area in the coming months.
From a technical perspective, the 148.2 resistance zone is acting as a strong barrier, where price is unlikely to break through given the current news backdrop does not favor USD strength. On the contrary, failure at this level could trigger a reversal, with USD/JPY likely to retest support at 146.2 and potentially extend lower toward the 145 region – a key area that could determine a deeper decline.
Thus, despite short-term fluctuations caused by profit-taking and temporary balance, the medium-term outlook continues to favor a bearish trend, in line with both fundamental drivers and the current technical structure.
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 147.88
1st Support: 146.40
1st Resistance: 148.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 148.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 146.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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USDJPY Faces Limited Upside Amid Fed and BoJ SignalsThe FX:USDJPY pair edged higher after losing about 1% in the previous session and is now trading around 147.22. However, the upside momentum may be capped as the Japanese yen (JPY) could regain strength following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda at the Jackson Hole symposium on Saturday.
Additionally, USD/JPY may come under renewed pressure as the U.S. dollar (USD) faces challenges due to the increasing likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, stemming from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks at Jackson Hole on Friday.
From a technical perspective, USDJPY recently marked its decline with a sharp, vertical bearish candle. A retracement is currently underway, but sellers still hold the advantage as the EMA 34 and 89 have turned bearish, and the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone has yet to be broken.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
Bullish Reversal : 146.750
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
1 hour ago
Trade closed manually
Avoid Closed Near entry 147.800
USDJPY has done false breakdown?USDJPY trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: After multiple doji formation, price is about to bounce off the support level potentially move back to the upside.
Daily: With a massive rejection on Friday, USDJPY started to fill the imbalance and price may continue to move back to the upside.
Entry timeframe 4H : Upon rejection from any previous candles support, price may continue to bounce.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish entry with SL above sessions high
USDJPY: Bearish Momentum Builds After H4 Structure Shift!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of USDJPY, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish, positioning us to focus on high-probability selling opportunities aligned with downside liquidity objectives.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Bearish Order Block Reaction: Price recently reacted to a weekly bearish order block, causing an H4 market structure shift (MSS) to the downside. This confirms that the H4 order flow is now in alignment with the higher timeframe bearish bias, with the weekly order block acting as a strong institutional resistance zone.
Liquidity Dynamics: Recent price action saw sell-side liquidity swept (external range liquidity), followed by a pullback into an H4 fair value gap (FVG), representing internal range liquidity. This reinforces the expectation that the H4 FVG may hold as a firm resistance zone.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate the bearish continuation.
Target Objective: Focus on discount-side liquidity pools, consistent with institutional objectives to rebalance price and capture liquidity resting below.
The main liquidity draw is towards the weekly liquidity pool- which is our long term draw on liquidity.
Remain patient, allow the market to confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
149.50 Target Set — Aggressive Bulls OnlyTechnical analysis — USD/JPY (1-hour chart you shared)
The dominant feature on the chart is a deep bearish liquidity sweep (a single long vertical down candle) that reached roughly the 146.0–146.2 area before buyers sharply pushed price back up. That sweep looks like a stop-hunt followed by an immediate mean reversion: price recovered into a short-term retracement and is currently testing the resistance cluster around 148.115. The overall short-term structure now reads as a bounce off a flash low, producing a higher low, but bulls still need a reclaim of the recent swing highs to claim control.
Key visible levels (in plain language): the immediate resistance band to watch is the 148.115 → 148.520 → 148.778 zone (these are stacked red dotted levels on your chart). On the downside, the near pivot/support is ~147.166, with a tighter support cluster around 146.872 → 146.690 → 146.572 and the liquidity floor near 146.214–146.0 (the sweep low). If price holds above the 146.8–147.2 cluster, the odds favor another attempt at the 148.1–148.5 area; if it falls back through the 146.2 floor, sellers will likely regain initiative.
Structurally, this looks like a short-term mean-reversion opportunity rather than a clear trend continuation. The big wick down removed a lot of buy-side liquidity; the subsequent recovery suggests short-term buyers are present. However, volatility remains elevated — I see event icons under the timeline, so economic releases could create wide intraday swings. That argues either for waiting for confirmation (clean hourly closes) or using smaller position sizes if you enter immediately.
A quick numeric appraisal of the long trade box visible on the chart: entry ~147.166, stop ~146.872, target ~148.115. The risk per unit is 147.166 − 146.872 = 0.294 (about 29.4 pips on a JPY pair); the reward to target is 148.115 − 147.166 = 0.949 (about 94.9 pips). Reward:Risk ≈ 0.949 ÷ 0.294 = 3.23 — a favorable ratio if the support holds and volatility doesn’t spike.
What to watch next (trade management and confirmations): if the pair posts a clean hourly close above 148.115, that will reduce false-break risk and increase the chance of hitting higher targets (148.52 / 148.78).
Conversely, failure to close above 148.115 and a reversal candlestick there would be a bearish sign and could lead price back toward 146.87 and the flash low. Keep an eye on hourly momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) for divergence and on volume/tick activity during any breakout attempt. Because economic events are on the chart timeline, avoid entering with full size immediately before a known print — widen stops or wait until the event is clear.
Trade setups (explicit — bullets as requested)
• Aggressive dip-buy (the chart’s boxed trade)
o Entry: ~147.10–147.20 (around current pivot).
o Stop: ~146.80–146.70 (chart SL ≈ 146.872).
o Take-profit 1: 148.115 (partial exit). Take-profit 2: 148.520 (scale out).
o R:R (to TP1): ~3.23 (94.9 pips reward / 29.4 pips risk).
o Notes: use reduced size if trading through event windows; a tight stop risks being clipped by noise.
• Conservative breakout long
o Entry: wait for an hourly close above 148.115.
o Stop: below the breakout candle low or below 147.166 pivot (give ~20–30 pips buffer depending on spread).
o Targets: 148.520, then 148.778 for larger bias confirmation.
o Notes: lowers false breakout risk; trade momentum, not wishful bias.
• Rejection short
o Entry: bearish price action / clear rejection at 148.115 (failed break or reversal candle).
o Stop: above recent wick high (above 148.520).
o Targets: first 146.872, then 146.214–146.0 if weakness continues.
o Notes: short becomes higher-probability if momentum indicators turn down at resistance.
Final recommendations: if you favor a cleaner edge, wait for a confirmed hourly close above 148.115 before chasing longs. If you prefer higher reward and accept higher risk, the boxed long is reasonable given the R:R, but size it conservatively and respect the 146.8 invalidation. Tell me if you want position-size calculations for a specific account balance and risk percent, or an annotated re-export of this chart with levels labeled for your TradingView.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 147.86, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 148.73, which is an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 145.93, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 25, 2025 USDJPYFollowing dovish-leaning Fed rhetoric, demand for the dollar has eased and U.S. yields have retreated, reducing support for USDJPY. The pair has pulled back from recent highs as markets price a September Fed cut, narrowing the U.S.–Japan yield spread and making long USD positions against the yen less compelling.
Japan’s recent macro data in August has been more resilient than expected, and the Bank of Japan continues a cautious normalization with an emphasis on wages and sustained inflation at target. Against this backdrop, a modest domestic impulse in Japan and lower U.S. yields support the yen. Another factor is the market’s sensitivity to potential verbal interventions from Japan’s Ministry of Finance if the yen were to weaken again.
Near-term, risks for USDJPY are skewed lower: a softer Fed, steadier Japanese data, and the authorities’ intervention risk management create a fundamental case for the pair to decline. Barring a renewed jump in U.S. yields, the probability of further yen strength remains elevated.
Trading recommendation: SELL 147.250, SL 147.950, TP 146.500
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance ,which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 146.32
1st Support: 143.31
1st Resistance: 151.12
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.